XAUUSD SD + OTE Long Trade (Smart Money Logic)This is my recent LONG trade on OANDA:XAUUSD on the 15 min chart.
When everyone was waiting to SHORT , I was waiting patiently in my LONG position.
Entry :
$3378 - Order Block + FVG + 0.5 Optimal Trade Entry level
Exit :
1st Target - $3400 (Standard Deviation Target 1 + 3400 psychological level)
2nd Target - $3418 (Standard Deviation Target 2)
NOTE: Smart Money DOES NOT HUNT stoplosses , they trigger their positions slightly below where they find maximum liquidity, because their positions are WAY TOO HUGE and need all the anti-orders (buy/sell stops) basically buy side or sell side liquidity so that they can fill in their orders. They are literally there to HELP YOU push the price up or down, you just need to place your stoplosses right! not too tight not too far off which may cause market structure shifts. SLs need to be absolutely perfect
Trade Explanation :
OANDA:XAUUSD should have used the 1D Bearish Order Block and we should have seen a fall or at least a decent enough retracement, but only 1 thing saved us, that is 15 min Bullish INDUCMENT and 1H BIAS . I never entered in a short trade!
I hope everyone saw these liquidity pools at the bottom and waited for them to get swept, but yeah, not always will liquidity be hunted right? Pools are areas with the most number of orders + stops. So aren't they supposed to be a good thing? :)
So, yes, DAILY bias is good, but again, LTF bias is also very necessary. Markets won't always respect the DAILY bias. Else, they would always be stuck in a sideways momentum right?
Think about it!
Also, do let me know in the comments what you feel about this trade and also share your analysis!
Bias
JM Financial Bullish BiasWeekly TF looks like its retesting the breakout levels
taking support at 21 Day EMA
Retesting happening at lower volume levels
Offering great entry set up for swing long position
On Daily TF the stock has some great volume build up and looks like its poised for an upmove from here
And erstwhile resistance zone is acting as Support zone for the stock
Pullbacks has happened at a very lower volumes
We are also able to see Divergence on the Daily TF where Price is moving Higher High whereas RSI is making a lower low
With all the confluence we observe that the stock is bullish in nature and giving a great entry set up with a Stop loss of 87/86s levels we should aim for Swing Target 1of 120s levels
Dolat Investment Bullish BiasEither Buy now or wait for retracement levels at 82/85s levels
then the risk reward will look more attractive
SL 70s
Target 120s
Strong set up
Keep it in radar