Analysis of BTC Response to Previous FED Rate CutsToday's analysis focuses on the impact of past Federal Reserve rate cuts on Bitcoin (BTC) price action. In 2020, following a rate cut, BTC initially experienced a modest increase, followed by a significant decline of approximately -63%. The price found support around the 200-day moving average.
As we approach the potential rate cut on September 18, 2024, we should consider the possibility of a similar market reaction. Key levels to monitor include $28,000 (300-day MA) and $37,000 (200-day MA).
While historical patterns suggest caution, a strong rally to levels around $65,000 to $68,000 could occur. However, if BTC breaks its previous all-time high of $73,000, we might see a structural shift towards a more parabolic trend.
Please note that this analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Proceed with caution and avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term market movements.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin to $100k+?The price of BINANCE:BTCUSDT at the moment is around $56,000, in a short term bearish momentum. If it'll break the $55000 mark, I think the Bitcoin can fall further till it reaches the $52,000 mark, and can take a reversal from that price zone and come back in a bullish momentum and would definitely cross the $100k in the long run.
Some of the reasons why I'm thinking like that:
- We can see it forming a Cup & Handle pattern from the Monthly Time Frame, currently falling to make a handle if it'll bounce back from the $52,000 mark.
- From the Weekly Time Frame, the Fibonacci's golden level (0.618) is exactly around the $52,000 mark.
- From the Monthly Time Frame, the Fibonacci's 0.318 level is also around the $52,000 mark.
This is just a perspective of mine, the previous liquidation grab have filled several gaps already, if it'll fall further I belief there will be a strong momentum and many buyers waiting on the 0.618 level or the $52000 mark to give it a healthy bounce back to $100k+.
BITCOIN: Bearish - Double TOP + Rising WedgeBITCOIN: Bearish – Double TOP + Rising Wedge
The market could go back down to around $58 000.
In addition, detection of a possible double top on Bitcoin which would bring the price down to around $48 000
Watch for the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages, as well as the Ichimoku levels, and RSI.
be careful
$STX Looks Strong: Could It Rally to $7?NASDAQ:STX Looks Strong: Could It Rally to $7?
➡️ Current Trend: Bullish on the higher time frame (HTF).
➡️ Key Support Level: $1.20
If $1.20 holds as support, it’s a very positive sign for STX holders.
➡️ Bull Flag Formation:
- Breakout zone: $1.60 - $1.70
- If STX breaks out of this zone, it could push the price toward $5 - $7.
➡️ Accumulation Zone:
- Above $1 is a good area to accumulate STX.
- Below $1 could be bearish.
Stay sharp and watch these levels.
Arbitrum $5 Potential in Current Bull Market?ARBITRUM (ARB/USDT) Chart Analysis:
➡️ Liquidation Sweep: ARB has recently hit a high liquidation zone, wiping out all longs that were opened near the top. Even those with lower leverage positions have been liquidated, pushing the price into a very deep dip.
➡️ Accumulation Zone: This dip presents a strong accumulation opportunity in the spot market. I'm starting to accumulate ARB between the $0.58-$0.4 range. This area is ideal for long-term investors looking to capitalize on the current market conditions.
➡️ Resistance Levels:
Major Resistance 1: $0.8
Major Resistance 2: $2
Should ARB break through these two key resistance levels, we could potentially see the price rally to $5-$8.
➡️ Investment Strategy: I've initiated my buy orders, and my target is set at $5. After losing the $1.84 support, ARB has dropped by 77%, which marks an 82% decline from its all-time high (ATH).
➡️ Bull Run Expectation: In the current bull run, I am aiming for a potential 10x return on ARB. This could be a prime opportunity to position for significant gains.
$BTC | Daily: August Plan:This month looks like we’re heading for some sideways. While many were hoping for a pump to 80k after the monthly close, but, we've seen a dip down to 50k instead.
Both weekly and monthly charts are currently bearish. BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bears in control until bulls break $65k. Don’t expect a quick pump or dump; patience is key!
Key levels to watch:
60k - HTF Resistance +0.5 Fib
53k - July Low & 50EMA support (weekly)
49k - Current Low
BTC TRADE IDEABTC has been facing local resistance at 56 - 57k region, which was previously good support for BTC. Once we clear it, we will again see a bullish rally towards 65k. But BTC will most likely fail to clear it at current market structure and is expected to trade sidewise for few days/weeks.
Bitcoin Fresh Analysis ( more Dump or Pump ? )#Bitcoin Fresh Analysis:
Bitcoin recently bounced strongly from the $50,400 Bullish Order Block. If Bitcoin can hold this support level, we might see it reach $65,000 soon. However, if it fails to hold and breaks down, the next possible support is around the $42,000 Bullish Order Block.
Always wait for confirmations before entering trades. Never risk your hard-earned money on uncertain moves.
BTC long term possibility this idea is a combination of fundamental world view .. painted on chart using Elliot wave ..
upcoming 4rth is a primarily a technical trade and not a fundamental trade... however given the current economic situation ( inflation again creeping up and remaining persistent ) forcing central banks to postpone rate cuts , employment and wage situation ( pointing at income distribution and availability of money) it looks like the rally will be short lived and btc may peak out anywhere between 90k-120k.
BTC MARKET ANALYSIS Currently BITCOIN is sitting at a very crucial position, with lower low of 59500 zone. If BTC fails to maintain current support at 60000 level, then we might see a sharp fall toward 54000 level. Technically B5C is above 50EMA on Weekly basis. For upward movement BTC must be above 60000.
60000 ia an important support support level, let's wait for Monday market opening.
Bitcoin Needs More Bull Power to Cross $69,800I am sorry I could not publish charts for 2 days, however in my last update I had shared the zones to come. If you have read my last chart idea, you would knew what was going to happen.
When I published my last chart we were at mark X, and I told you that there are chances BTC would move up and try to break the upper resistance and on failure it will retest the support at 1, that is exactly what happened.
A tip : Always keep in mind, when you are trading, you are against the market of pros - The Market Makers. They are not normal traders, they have deep knowledge of the mindset of a normal trader. So when market gains too much green, in market language it is called Trader greed, and when market is too much red, its Trader fear.
So when there is too much green they will drop the asset price and will earn from it, and when the traders are in red (shorting an asset), they will pump the price to liquidate people. You would have seen multiple times. Since I started writing charts, I am always awaring you of zones where this can happen.
Let's talk about the current situation.
At this moment MA20 is holding the price, however this is not the strongest of all MAs. There is a chance that we fall from this zone, and btc try to retest the lastest zone (the light orange zone with red border). The last time this zone was tested it failed, meaning this is not a solid support and hence the responsibility to hold btc price fall goes to MA50. There are very light chances this particular zone has become a good zone, but data does not show enough power here.
As we know, the area of $69,800 is an old ATH of btc, and hence it has a high resistance. It will take atleast 5 attempts in normal cases or multiple hits with a good volume to cross it. Or if super charged bulls enter the market, this can be crossed within a day.
I have told you before multiple times, it is easy to go red and very very difficult to go green.
You can understand it like gravity, its easy to drop a thing than to make it fly.
The MACD as of now shows that Bulls have reduced power and Bears are slowly gaining the control. There are huge chances we might retest the support level 1 with MA 100 hovering over it.
When even market is green, MMs will dump it and when market is red and every one starts to short, MMs will do a sudden pump. Stay ALert!
BITCOIN: Double top possible + NAVARRO 200 : Watch out!!
BITCOIN: Double top possible: Watch out for 48,000 + NAVARRO 2000 bullish = 2 opposing patterns.
The Wolf of Zurich detected a possible double top on bitcoin
As expected, the 56,400 was reached perfectly thanks to my analysis.
The next levels are:
On the decline :
56,425 (again)
48,000
40,770
On the rise:
NAVAROO 200 bullish detected, and the price could reach $72,000 then $80,000
In addition, Be careful because there is a bullish divergence with the ROC!!
To watch the EMA 50 and 200, and the ICHIMOKU and Fibonacci levels
$BTC | Daily: HTF Plan:The weekly close was so bullish. BINANCE:BTCUSDT successfully flipped the POI level (67k), showcasing the strength of spot buyers in the market.
Expect some consolidation before bulls push to 72k (PMH) and then new highs!
68k- POI level
72k- PMH + Liquidation
74k- New all time high.