BAJAJINDEF Price ActionBajaj Indef (BAJAJINDEF) has experienced a period of high volatility and rapid price movement in June 2025. After a sharp rally from around ₹225 in late May to a peak near ₹478.90 by mid-June, the stock has since corrected and is now trading in the ₹400–₹420 range. This recent surge was accompanied by significant spikes in trading volume, indicating heightened market interest and participation.
The stock’s price action shows a pattern of large daily swings, with both double-digit percentage gains and losses within short intervals. This suggests speculative activity and possibly profit-booking after the strong rally. The valuation of the stock has shifted from not qualifying to being considered very expensive, reflecting the sharp run-up in price relative to its fundamentals.
Short-term momentum appears to have cooled, with the stock pulling back from its highs and now consolidating. Investors should be cautious, as the recent volatility and elevated valuation may lead to further price fluctuations. The underlying trend remains positive compared to levels a month ago, but the risk of sharp corrections is high given the stock’s recent behavior.
Bullishpattern
JUBILANT PHARMOVA- Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout (Daily T/F)Trade Setup
📌 Stock: JUBILANT PHARMOVA ( NSE:JUBLPHARMA )
📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable)
🎯 Entry Zone: ₹1470.00 (Breakout Confirmation)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹1058.00 (Daily Closing Basis) (-9.5 % Risk)
🎯 Target Levels:
₹1221.15
₹1269.55
₹1319.90
₹1373.55
₹1433.55
₹1500.00 (Final Target)
Technical Rationale
✅ Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout - Classic bullish pattern confirming uptrend continuation
✅ Strong Momentum - Daily RSI > 60, Weekly RSI >60 Monthly rsi >60
✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 520.55K vs previous day's 203.99K
✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength
Key Observations
• The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength
• Well-defined pattern with clear price & volume breakout
• Conservative stop loss at recent swing low
Trade Management Strategy
• Consider partial profit booking at each target level
• Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved
• Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information.
What do you think? Are you watching NSE:JUBLPHARMA for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
CERA Price action**CERA Sanitaryware (NSE: CERA) Price Analysis – June 2025**
- **Current Price:** As of June 27, 2025, CERA closed at ₹6,816, showing a 3.33% gain from the previous session.
- **Recent Trend:** The stock has been volatile in June, with prices fluctuating between ₹6,573 and ₹7,275. Over the past week, it declined by about 2.8%, but remains up 6% for the month and nearly 17% over the past three months.
- **Long-Term Performance:** Despite recent weakness, CERA has delivered a 62% return over three years and nearly 198% over five years. However, the stock is down about 27% year-on-year and 8.5% over the last six months, reflecting sectoral and company-specific challenges.
- **Valuation:** The price-to-earnings ratio is around 34.5, and price-to-book is 6.2. The dividend yield is close to 1%. These metrics are moderate compared to sector peers, with CERA’s PE below Kajaria Ceramics but above Somany Ceramics.
- **Fundamentals:** Revenue growth has averaged 7.2% annually over five years, slightly above the industry average. Net income growth is strong at 15.7% per year. The company recently reported modest revenue growth but faced margin pressures, with EBITDA declining in the latest quarter.
- **Outlook:** Analysts remain mostly positive, with a majority suggesting a buy rating. The company is focusing on operational efficiency and expanding its luxury product range to counter retail market challenges. Recovery in the real estate sector and government initiatives are expected to support future growth.
**Key Takeaway:**
CERA’s stock is stabilizing after a period of volatility, supported by solid long-term fundamentals but facing near-term headwinds in profitability and demand. The medium-term outlook is constructive, especially if margin recovery strategies succeed and sector demand improves.
Infy Price actionInfosys (INFY) is currently trading around ₹1,608, with recent fluctuations between ₹1,606 and ₹1,629. Over the past year, the stock has delivered modest gains, slightly underperforming broader market indices and the IT sector. Financially, Infosys remains robust, maintaining strong revenues, healthy profit margins, and a debt-free balance sheet. The company continues to reward shareholders with consistent dividends, including a recent payout of ₹22 per share.
Looking ahead, growth expectations for Infosys are muted. The company has projected revenue growth of just 0–3% for the upcoming fiscal year, citing macroeconomic uncertainties and cautious client spending in its key markets. This represents one of the lowest growth forecasts for Infosys in over a decade and reflects broader industry headwinds, including delayed client decision-making and a focus on cost optimization.
Analyst sentiment is generally positive but cautious, with most maintaining a buy or hold rating. Price forecasts for the next year range from ₹1,667 to ₹1,945, indicating limited upside from current levels. Technical analysis shows immediate support near ₹1,579 and resistance around ₹1,633, suggesting the stock is likely to remain range-bound in the near term.
In summary, Infosys is financially sound and offers stable dividends, but near-term growth is expected to be subdued due to global economic challenges and restrained client budgets. The stock is more attractive for investors seeking stability and income rather than aggressive capital appreciation at this stage.
OIL Price ActionOil India Limited is currently trading at ₹433.40 as of June 27, 2025. The stock has seen a notable decline over the past week, falling by nearly 7%. Over the last month, the price has remained relatively flat, with a slight gain of about 0.5%. Looking at a broader time frame, the stock is up 12% over the past three months and has gained just under 2% in the last six months.
The 52-week high for Oil India stands at ₹767.90, while the low is ₹325.00, indicating that the stock is trading well below its peak for the year. Recent sessions have shown increased volatility, with sharp movements both up and down. For example, the stock dropped over 5% in a single day on June 24, after previously rallying above ₹470 earlier in the month.
Oil India’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 10.98, and the price-to-book (PB) ratio is 1.32, suggesting the stock is reasonably valued compared to its historical averages and sector peers. The company maintains a market capitalization of around ₹70,500 crore, ranking it among the larger players in India’s gas and petroleum sector.
In summary, Oil India Limited is currently in a correction phase after a strong run-up earlier this year. The stock is trading closer to its recent lows than its highs, with moderate valuation metrics and ongoing volatility. Investors should watch for further price stabilization before considering new positions.
CEATLTD Price actionCEAT Ltd has recently shown a recovery in its price action after a period of volatility. The stock closed at ₹3,645.30, rebounding over 2% in the latest session following a brief dip earlier in the week. Over the past month, CEAT experienced a mild correction, with the price dropping about 4%, but the three-month return remains strong at over 25%. On a one-year basis, the stock has delivered a solid gain of more than 37%, reflecting sustained investor interest and underlying business strength.
Trading volumes have picked up during the recent upswings, indicating renewed buying interest at lower levels. The price has oscillated between ₹3,500 and ₹3,700 in the past week, suggesting the presence of both support and resistance in this range. Despite the recent volatility, the long-term trend remains positive, with the stock having nearly tripled over the past three years.
Fundamentally, CEAT is trading at a premium to its book value, and its return on equity has been moderate. The company’s overall financial health and growth prospects continue to support the stock’s medium- to long-term outlook, though short-term moves may remain choppy as the market digests recent gains. In summary, CEAT is in a consolidation phase after a strong rally, with a positive longer-term trend and renewed buying interest evident on recent dips.
REDINGTON Price ActionRedington has shown strong upward momentum in recent sessions, with the stock surging over 8% in a single day to close above ₹322. This rally follows a period of consolidation and marks a new 52-week high, reflecting robust buying interest and high trading volumes. Over the past month, the stock has delivered a return of more than 23%, and its three-month gain exceeds 32%, highlighting sustained positive sentiment.
Technically, multiple bullish signals have emerged, including short-term moving average crossovers and a positive shift in candlestick patterns, suggesting the potential for further gains in the near term. Despite the sharp rise, the stock is trading at higher valuations compared to its sector, but its financial strength and growth trajectory remain solid.
In summary, Redington is currently in a strong uptrend, supported by technical momentum and strong fundamentals, though the elevated valuation may prompt some profit booking if the rally extends further.
HSCL Price actionHimadri Speciality Chemical Ltd has shown a strong bullish reversal in its latest trading sessions. The stock jumped over 12% in a single day, closing above ₹505 after a previous close near ₹449, supported by high trading volumes and renewed buying interest. Over the past week, the share price has gained nearly 15%, and its three-month return is above 17%. Despite this surge, the stock is still about 24% below its 52-week high, indicating it is recovering from a broader correction.
Technically, a bullish signal was triggered with a recent short-term moving average crossover, which often points to further short-term gains. The company’s fundamentals remain solid, highlighted by strong return on equity, low debt, and a high growth trend, but the stock is trading at elevated valuations compared to sector averages.
In summary, Himadri Speciality Chemical Ltd is experiencing strong short-term momentum with positive technical and fundamental signals, though it remains in recovery mode after earlier declines and is trading at a premium valuation.
KIRLOSBROS Price actionKirloskar Brothers Ltd (KIRLOSBROS) has experienced a strong upward trend recently, with the stock price rallying sharply from lower levels earlier in June 2025. The price reached a high above 2,200 INR before encountering some resistance and pulling back slightly. This surge was accompanied by increased trading volumes, indicating heightened interest from market participants.
The overall trend remains positive, supported by the company's solid annual financial performance, despite a dip in the most recent quarterly earnings. The stock is currently trading near the upper end of its recent range, which can sometimes lead to short-term corrections or consolidation as traders take profits. However, the long-term outlook is constructive, with forecasts suggesting the potential for further gains if the positive momentum continues and the company maintains its growth trajectory.
In summary, KIRLOSBROS is in a strong uptrend with notable volatility. Short-term pullbacks are possible, but the underlying fundamentals and recent price action indicate continued investor confidence in the stock’s prospects.
KAYNES Price actionKaynes Technology has demonstrated strong financial performance, with significant growth in both sales and profits over the past year. Net sales increased by over 55% and net profit rose nearly 75%, supporting its position as a market leader with robust fundamentals and high institutional confidence. The stock has outperformed the broader market, delivering a return of over 43% in the past year.
Recently, the stock has shown some volatility. After reaching highs above 6,000 INR in May and early June 2025, the price has pulled back, with recent closes in the 5,700–5,900 INR range. Short-term technical indicators present a mixed picture: the RSI is around 55, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD is slightly negative, indicating mild bearish momentum. The technical strength is rated as mildly bearish, but profitability remains strong.
Despite the recent dip, long-term forecasts remain positive, with projections suggesting potential for double-digit percentage gains over the next year and substantial growth over a five-year horizon. Institutional holdings are high, reflecting continued confidence from large investors. In summary, Kaynes Technology combines strong financials and market leadership with short-term technical caution, but its long-term outlook remains constructive.
APARINDS Price actionAPAR Industries (APARINDS) is currently trading between ₹8,083 and ₹8,620 per share as of June 26, 2025. The stock is down about 31% from its 52-week high of ₹11,779.90 (reached in January 2025), but it remains 85% above its 52-week low of ₹4,308.05 (from April 2025). Over the past six and twelve months, APARINDS has delivered negative returns of -22.68% and -16.58%, respectively, reflecting a significant correction after a strong rally earlier in the year.
Valuation-wise, the stock has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 39, which is lower than the industry average of 59.33 but still considered high. The price-to-book (P/B) ratio stands at 7.21, and the dividend yield is modest at about 0.63%. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for the trailing twelve months is ₹204.46.
Financially, APARINDS reported revenue of ₹185.81 billion and a net profit of ₹8.21 billion for the trailing twelve months, with a net profit margin of roughly 4.4%. The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 and a strong return on equity (ROE) of 18.24%. Growth remains robust, with standalone net sales up 17.87% year-on-year in March 2025 and quarterly net profit rising by 2.45% year-on-year.
Analysts forecast an average one-year target price of ₹9,122, with estimates ranging from ₹6,672 to ₹11,025, suggesting about 8% upside from current levels. Over the next three years, revenue and net income are expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 14–17% and 15–18%, respectively, while EPS is projected to increase by about 15.3% per year. ROE is expected to reach around 20% within three years.
Key strengths for APARINDS include strong revenue and earnings growth, high promoter holding (57.77%), low leverage, and a robust ROE. The main risks are its high valuation, which may limit near-term upside, and the recent negative returns, which indicate some profit-taking or correction after earlier gains.
In summary, APARINDS remains fundamentally strong with solid growth prospects, but investors should be mindful of its premium valuation and recent price volatility when considering entry.
ONGC Bullish Setup (Study Purpose Only)🟢 Price at lower trendline of ascending channel – potential support zone
🔄 Signs of bullish reversal near key support
🌍 Geopolitical tensions (e.g. war concerns) could lift crude oil prices – likely positive for ONGC
📅 Watch closely for upside move this week if reversal confirms
Note: This is a technical study, not financial advice.
#ABCCAPITAL looking bullish on monthly & weekly timeframe#ABCCAPITAL has given a breakout at 260 on a weekly timeframe. Upside potential: 100%+. Stop loss: 238. A few things to note:
The stock has given a breakout on weekly level. Risk-averse traders can wait for June monthly close above 260
This stock will require immense patience as this could turn a multi-bagger
The volumes have been increasing over the last few months
This is not a buy/sell recommendation. Research carefully and invest at your own risk.
AUTHUM INVEST - Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout (Daily T/F)Trade Setup
📌 Stock: AUTHUM INVEST ( NSE:AIIL )
📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable)
🎯 Entry Zone: ₹2540.00 (Breakout Confirmation)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹2142.00 (Daily Closing Basis) (-15 % Risk)
🎯 Target Levels:
₹2686.80
₹2842.05
₹3006.30
₹3180.00
₹3363.80
₹3558.20
₹3728.00 (Final Target)
Technical Rationale
✅ Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout - Classic bullish pattern confirming uptrend continuation
✅ Strong Momentum - Daily RSI > 60, Weekly RSI >60 Monthly rsi >60
✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 683.67K vs previous day's 44.95K
✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength
Key Observations
• The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength
• Well-defined pattern with clear price & volume breakout
• Conservative stop loss at recent swing low
Trade Management Strategy
• Consider partial profit booking at each target level
• Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved
• Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information.
What do you think? Are you watching NSE:AIIL for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
FORCEMOT Price action **Force Motors (FORCEMOT) Price Analysis – April 21, 2025**
**Current Price:** ₹9,229
**Trend:** Strong uptrend, up 40% in the past three months.
**Support:** ₹8,700–₹8,900
**Resistance:** ₹9,270 (previously ₹10,272, the 52-week high).
**Outlook:** Bullish above ₹9,000. A breakout above ₹9,270 could potentially retest the 52-week high.
**Summary:** The momentum is strong, and the trend remains positive unless the price falls below ₹8,700.
Samvardhana Motherson BreakoutMOTHERSON Stock Analysis
MOTHERSON stock is breaking out again on the monthly chart after previously reaching a new all-time high and then declining. It recently broke the trend-line with good buying pressure. The target could be the all-time high or lower, but it may take a few months to reach if things go well. Stop-loss should be set based on individual risk appetite.
Index Inclusion : Part of NIFTY NEXT 50 and NIFTY 100 indices, indicating significant market presence.
Financial Highlights:
- Revenue Growth : Consistent increase over recent quarters, reaching Rs 113,662 crore in Mar 2025.
- Net Profit : Also rising, with Rs 3,618 crore in Mar 2025.
- EPS : Improved to Rs 5.50 in Mar 2025.
- Annual Revenue & Profit : Steady growth over the past five years, with revenue surpassing Rs 113,662 crore and net profit over Rs 3,618 crore in 2025.
Financial Performance:
- Profit Margins : Net profit margin around 3.18% in Mar 2025.
- Valuations : P/E ratio at approximately 23.81, indicating moderate valuation.
- Debt Levels : Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.42, reflecting manageable debt.
- Cash Flow & Balance Sheet : Operating cash flow remains strong; assets and liabilities Show growth aligned with revenue expansion.
These financial insights are sourced from Moneycontrol.
Conclusion :
Motherson International shows a consistent growth in revenue and profits, with stable financial ratios and manageable debt levels. Its inclusion in major indices and recent financial performance suggest it remains a significant player in its sector. However, the recent stock decline indicates market caution, so investors should monitor market sentiment closely.
This is for educational purposes only and not a buy or sell recommendation.
Wave 3 Completes, All Eyes on 1582.95After completing a W-X-Y corrective structure, price has started moving higher in what appears to be a new impulse wave. Within this sequence, Wave 3 seems to have topped at 1685.65, which is 100% of Wave 1 measured from the Wave 2 low — a common relationship in impulse extensions.
Wave 1 had ended at 1582.95, and Wave 2 retraced deeply to 1380, falling beyond the 0.618 Fibonacci level. As per the rule of alternation, since Wave 2 was deep, Wave 4 is expected to be shallow. A possible support zone lies near the 0.236 retracement level at 1614.95.
For the structure to remain valid, Wave 4 must stay above the Wave 1 high. If price breaks below 1582.95, it would invalidate the current impulse count and suggest that this may not be Wave 5.
RSI reached the overbought zone during the final part of Wave 3, which supports the idea of a pullback unfolding. As long as price respects the invalidation level, the setup remains intact and points toward a potential Wave 5 advance.
The chart will be updated as price action evolves.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NEWGEN Price Action**NEWGEN (Newgen Software Technologies) Price Analysis – June 2025**
**Current Price & Trend**
- Latest price: Around ₹1,148 as of June 16, 2025.
- The stock has recently shown a mildly bearish technical trend, with daily moving averages and the monthly MACD indicating caution.
- Short-term signals (as of early June) are bearish, with a 5-day EMA crossover and stochastic crossover suggesting further downside. Historically, such signals have led to average declines of 3–11% over the following days and weeks.
**Technical Indicators**
- Most short-term moving averages are giving sell signals, and several oscillators (Stochastic, CCI, Williams %R) are in oversold territory.
- RSI is neutral, and the MACD is mixed (bullish weekly, bearish monthly).
- Pivot points suggest support near ₹922–₹928 and resistance around ₹931–₹936.
**Fundamentals**
- FY25 net profit: ₹315 crore (+20.5% YoY); revenue: ₹1,487 crore (+19.5% YoY), driven by strong growth in APAC and US markets.
- The company is almost debt-free and has delivered 34% CAGR profit growth over five years.
- Return on equity (ROE) is strong at 23%, and ROCE is 28.6%.
- Dividend yield is 0.44%.
- The stock is considered overvalued, trading at a P/E of 51.6 and nearly 11 times book value.
**Other Points**
- Promoter holding has slightly decreased in the last quarter.
- Working capital days have increased, which could affect cash flows.
**Summary**
NEWGEN is fundamentally strong, with robust profit and revenue growth, high ROE, and almost no debt. However, the stock is currently overvalued and showing mildly bearish technical signals in the short term. Investors should be cautious at current levels and watch for a technical reversal or improved valuations before considering fresh entries.
NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES - Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout (Daily T/F)Trade Setup
📌 Stock: ( NSE:NAZARA )
📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable)
🎯 Entry Zone: ₹1325.00 (Breakout Confirmation)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹1219.00 (Daily Closing Basis) (-12 % Risk)
🎯 Target Levels:
₹1367.45
₹1411.30
₹1456.55
₹1503.25
₹1549.25
₹1594.30
₹1639.50 (Final Target)
Technical Rationale
✅ Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout - Classic bullish pattern confirming uptrend continuation
✅ Strong Momentum - Daily RSI > 60, Weekly RSI >60 mONTHLY rsi ABOVE 60
✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 4.95M vs previous day's 946.53K (Nearly 4.5x surge)
✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength
Key Observations
• The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength
• Well-defined pattern with clear price & volume breakout
• Conservative stop loss at recent swing low
Trade Management Strategy
• Consider partial profit booking at each target level
• Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved
• Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information.
What do you think? Are you watching NSE:NAZARA for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
JUBLFOOD price actionJUBLFOOD (Jubilant Foodworks) is currently trading at ₹681.45 as of June 13, 2025, up 2% for the day. Over the past year, the stock has gained about 26.5%, though it remains roughly 14% below its 52-week high of ₹796.75 and about 30% above its 52-week low of ₹522.25.
Technically, the stock is showing mixed signals. The RSI is neutral around 49.5, while MACD and ADX are giving sell signals. However, most short-term moving averages (except the 5 and 50-day) are showing buy signals, and the price is currently above the VWAP, indicating some short-term strength. The Stochastic RSI is in the overbought zone, suggesting caution.
Fundamentally, JUBLFOOD is trading at a high P/E of 197, which points to an expensive valuation. Its book value is ₹31.9, with the stock trading at over 21 times book value. The dividend yield is low at 0.18%, and the average ROE over three years is moderate at 13.8%. The company remains a leader in the quick-service restaurant sector in India, holding franchise rights for Domino’s, Dunkin’ Donuts, and Popeyes.
Analysts have a wide range of price targets, from as low as ₹516 to as high as ₹1,000. While the company’s fundamentals are strong, the high valuation and mixed technicals suggest investors should be cautious. The short-term trend is up, but further upside will depend on sustained buying and a breakout above resistance levels.
JUBILANT INGREVIA (LONG)Price has given a long tern consolidated range breakout with multiple cofluences
Point to look at -
- All Ema Lined Up (Bullish)
- High Volume Spurt
-14-15 % Move Possiblity
- Big Bar Candle Breakout
Retest Level - 756-760 Area
Upside Level - 870
Invalid Below -690 CB
Till Then, Stay Focused, Keep Following Markets
Glenmark Pharma for Big profitTake entry at 1468Rs
Strong SL of 1426 Rs
Target will be 1774
We will have almost 3% SL and 20% of terget so it will be best deal acc to risk rewards ratio.
Counter is ready to give its downtrendline breakout and we will make entry at 1426 because it will be its retest level.....