IFCI Price Action## Trend Overview
IFCI has shown significant volatility in recent months. After a strong rally earlier in the year, the stock has entered a corrective phase, with the price currently hovering around ₹60.58–₹64.50 as of July 14, 2025. The broader trend over the past year has been negative, but the last quarter displayed a sharp upward move, followed by some consolidation and profit booking.
## Price Action & Momentum
- **Short-Term:** The stock is consolidating after a steep rise in the last three months, where it gained nearly 49%. The recent pullback reflects profit-taking and market caution.
- **Medium-Term:** Despite the recent correction, the price remains above major moving averages, indicating that the medium-term uptrend is still intact.
- **Long-Term:** IFCI is down about 12% over the past year, but up over 534% in three years, highlighting its high volatility and cyclical nature.
## Technical Indicators
- **Moving Averages:** The daily price is above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, supporting a positive medium-term outlook. Shorter-term averages are converging, suggesting a pause or consolidation.
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** The RSI is in the overbought zone, indicating potential for further cooling or sideways movement before the next trend emerges.
- **MACD:** The MACD indicator is positive, but momentum has slowed, suggesting the rally may be losing steam.
- **Volatility:** The stock displays high volatility, with a beta above 2, indicating larger swings compared to the broader market.
## Support and Resistance
- **Immediate Support:** Around ₹60, where recent buying interest has emerged.
- **Major Support:** Near ₹55, which aligns with the 50-day moving average and a previous breakout zone.
- **Immediate Resistance:** Near ₹65, which coincides with recent swing highs.
- **Major Resistance:** The 52-week high at ₹91.40.
## Volume and Sentiment
- Recent sessions have seen increased volume on down days, reflecting profit booking and cautious sentiment.
- Long-term sentiment remains speculative, with traders reacting quickly to momentum shifts and news.
## Summary
IFCI remains a high-beta, volatile stock with a history of sharp rallies and deep corrections. The current daily chart shows consolidation after a strong uptrend, with the price holding above key supports. As long as the stock remains above its 50-day moving average, the medium-term bullish structure is intact. However, the overbought technical indicators and recent profit-taking suggest that short-term movements may remain range-bound or slightly negative until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs. Risk management is crucial given the elevated volatility.
Bullishsetup
Bank Nifty Price Action# BANKNIFTY Hourly Chart Price Analysis
## Overview
On the hourly chart, BANKNIFTY is exhibiting a cautious and volatile structure, with technical indicators suggesting a mix of short-term weakness and potential for intraday momentum. The index is trading near key support and resistance levels, and traders are closely watching for breakouts or breakdowns to determine the next directional move.
- **Above 57,070:** Intraday bullish momentum is likely.
- **Below 56,900:** Weakness and potential downside may emerge.
- **Holding above 55,750:** Maintains a positive undertone for the broader trend.
## Technical Indicators
- **Moving Averages:** Most short-term and medium-term moving averages are signaling a bearish bias, with prices trading below the 5, 10, 20, and 50-period averages.
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** Hovering in the neutral to slightly bearish zone, indicating lack of strong momentum but not yet oversold.
- **MACD:** Shows bearish crossover, supporting the short-term negative bias.
- **Stochastic Oscillator:** Indicates overbought conditions on some timeframes, cautioning against aggressive long positions.
- **ATR (Average True Range):** High, reflecting elevated volatility and potential for sharp intraday swings.
## Price Action Insights
- The index recently broke below a short-term ascending pattern, increasing the risk of further declines if support levels are breached.
- Intraday trading is expected to remain volatile, with sharp moves likely around key pivot levels.
- Sentiment is cautious due to global factors and domestic flows, but the downside is cushioned by institutional buying on dips.
## Trading Outlook
- **Bullish Scenario:** Sustained move above 57,070 with strong volume could open up targets towards 57,300 and 57,500.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Failure to hold above 56,900 may see the index test 56,500 and lower supports.
- **Neutral/Bounce Play:** Sideways consolidation is possible if the index holds between 56,900 and 57,070, with traders advised to wait for a clear breakout.
**Note:** High volatility and mixed signals call for disciplined risk management and quick decision-making on intraday trades.
Linear Regression with RSI: A New approach to Trend AnalysisHello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Today we are going to learn one Method of analysing the chart, here we are using EURUSD chart, and the method we're using is very simple & interesting, We are using the Linear Regression Trend Channel & Relative Strength Index (RSI), What happens in this method, is that we identify a particular zone where the price is making a one-sided move, like if the price is trending upwards, making higher highs and higher lows. We then apply a regression channel to it, and within that channel, we set internal deviation for the upper and lower sides, like 2 or 2.5 or 3 etc., whatever setting it takes.
In this chart, we can clearly see that the 2.5 setting is forming a complete channel, which we've applied for the last two months, from 12th May 2025, when the uptrend started. We've used the 4-hour time frame chart and the RSI. Every time the price hits the bottom of the channel, we can see that the RSI also enters the same zone, between 30-40, and from there, it bounces back.
Currently, the price has again hit the bottom of the regression channel, and the RSI has also gone below 40, between 30-40. And the good thing is that we're seeing a positive divergence in the RSI. So, there's a high possibility that the price might bounce back from here.
It's worth watching what happens next in the market. Nothing is guaranteed here; everything is a game of probabilities. This is one method that we often use, and its results have given us a very good experience. So, let's see what happens next in this chart. This observation is also a good learning experience, which we often encounter, 7-8 times out of 10, in favor of the market, but sometimes it doesn't work, maybe 2-3 times, when the trend changes. So, let's see what happens next.
This post is shared purely for educational purpose & it’s Not a trading advice.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NDRAUTO Price Action#### Current Price and Performance
- **NDR Auto Components** is trading near ₹1,050–₹1,100 as of July 9, 2025, after a recent pullback from its all-time high of ₹1,191 set earlier in the month.
- The stock has delivered an exceptional one-year return of over 135%, with a three-month gain of more than 70%.
- Recent price action shows high volatility, with swings of 7–11% on certain days and a short-term correction of about 8% in the past week.
- Over the past month, the stock is down about 2–3%, reflecting some profit booking after a rapid rally.
#### Trend and Technical Overview
- The medium-term trend remains positive, supported by robust earnings growth and strong momentum.
- Technical indicators suggest the stock is consolidating after reaching overbought levels, with support seen near ₹1,000 and resistance around ₹1,150.
- The stock’s volatility is elevated, and its beta is above 2, indicating higher sensitivity to market movements.
#### Valuation and Financial Metrics
- NDRAUTO trades at a premium, with a price-to-book ratio above 8 and a price-to-earnings multiple reflecting high growth expectations.
- The company’s market capitalization is approximately ₹2,500 crore.
- Return on equity (ROE) is strong, around 19–23%, and return on capital employed (ROCE) is above 20%.
- Net profit for FY25 rose nearly 38% year-on-year to over ₹53 crore, with revenue up 18% to about ₹713 crore.
- Operating margins have improved to nearly 11%, and earnings per share (EPS) for the year is above ₹22.
- The dividend yield is modest at 0.26%, with a payout ratio around 12%.
#### Market Sentiment and Outlook
- Market sentiment remains positive, with the company consistently reporting record profits and sales.
- Analysts highlight the company’s efficient operations, strong order book, and improving profitability.
- The recent correction is seen as a healthy consolidation after a sharp rally, though further volatility is likely in the short term.
- The long-term outlook is favorable, supported by ongoing growth in the auto components sector and the company’s expanding market share.
#### Summary
NDRAUTO has delivered outstanding returns over the past year, driven by robust financial performance and strong sector momentum. The stock is currently consolidating after hitting record highs and remains highly volatile. While valuations are elevated, the company’s growth trajectory and operational efficiency support a positive outlook for medium- to long-term investors. Short-term caution is warranted due to recent volatility and profit booking.
FINOPB Price Action#### Current Price and Performance
- **Fino Payments Bank (FINOPB)** is trading around ₹274–₹278 as of July 8–9, 2025.
- The stock has seen a recent high of ₹300 and a low of ₹274.95 in the latest trading sessions.
- Over the past month, the price has declined from the ₹286–₹290 range, with a notable drop from its 52-week high of ₹467.
- The 52-week low stands at ₹200, highlighting significant volatility in the past year.
#### Trend and Technical Overview
- The short-term trend is **negative**, with the stock slipping about 4% over the past week and nearly 7% in the last month.
- Volumes are robust, with daily trading often exceeding 1.5 million shares, indicating high market participation and speculative interest.
- The stock is currently trading closer to its lower circuit limit than its upper circuit, reflecting bearish sentiment.
#### Valuation and Financial Metrics
- FINOPB is priced at a **low price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) ratio**, though exact values are not meaningful due to inconsistent profitability.
- The trailing twelve-month (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) is positive and has grown 7.3% year-on-year.
- The market capitalization is around ₹2,477 crore.
- Dividend yield is 0%, and the company has not announced any dividends recently.
#### Market Sentiment and Outlook
- Sentiment is cautious, with the stock underperforming the sector and broader indices in 2025.
- The price action reflects ongoing concerns about growth visibility and profitability, despite some improvement in recent quarters.
- The stock is viewed as a high-risk, high-volatility play, with traders dominating activity rather than long-term investors.
#### Summary
FINOPB is in a corrective phase, trading near the lower end of its yearly range after a sharp decline from its highs. While trading volumes are high and EPS has shown some growth, the lack of dividends and inconsistent profitability weigh on sentiment. Investors should remain cautious, as the stock’s volatility and weak trend suggest further downside risk unless there is a clear improvement in fundamentals.
### JYOTISTRUC Price Analysis#### Current Price and Performance
- Jyoti Structures Ltd is trading at approximately **₹17.59** as of July 8, 2025.
- The stock has experienced high volatility in recent weeks, with daily swings of 2–5% being common.
- Over the past month, the price has generally trended downward from the ₹19–₹20 range, with multiple sessions closing in the red.
- The 52-week high is near ₹22, and the low is just above ₹15, indicating a wide trading range and active speculative interest.
#### Trend and Technical Overview
- The short-term trend is **negative**, with the stock declining about 10% over the last two weeks.
- Daily volumes remain elevated, suggesting ongoing trader participation but also reflecting uncertainty and rapid profit booking.
- The stock has failed to sustain above key resistance levels near ₹18.50–₹19.00, and support is now seen around ₹17.00.
#### Valuation and Financial Metrics
- Jyoti Structures is a small-cap company in the capital goods sector, and its financials remain under pressure, with limited earnings visibility.
- The company has a history of restructuring and remains sensitive to sector news, which adds to price volatility.
- Valuation multiples are not meaningful at this stage due to inconsistent profitability.
#### Market Sentiment and Outlook
- Sentiment is cautious, with traders focusing on short-term momentum rather than long-term fundamentals.
- The stock’s recent decline and inability to hold higher levels suggest that risk remains elevated.
- Any sustained recovery will likely depend on improvement in financial results or sector-specific positive developments.
#### Summary
JYOTISTRUC is currently in a corrective phase, marked by high volatility and weak short-term momentum. While trading interest is strong, the lack of earnings clarity and recent price declines point to ongoing risk. Investors should approach with caution, focusing on technical support levels and monitoring for signs of fundamental improvement.
GRSE Price Action
#### Current Price and Performance
- **GRSE** is trading near ₹2,965–₹2,974 as of July 9, 2025, after a recent dip from its 52-week high of ₹3,538.
- Over the past year, the stock has delivered a return of approximately 9%, with a sharp rally in the past three to six months (up about 81–84% during that period).
- The stock has shown high volatility, with a notable correction of nearly 13% in the last month and a 4.5% decline in the last week.
#### Trend and Technical Overview
- **Medium-term trend** remains positive, supported by strong order inflows and robust financials, but the recent correction suggests some profit booking and consolidation after a rapid upmove.
- Technical indicators reflect heightened volatility, with the stock pulling back from overbought levels.
- The stock is trading at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 64 and at 16 times its book value, indicating premium valuation.
#### Valuation and Financial Metrics
- **Market capitalization** is around ₹34,000 crore.
- **Return on equity (ROE)** stands at 28%, and **return on capital employed (ROCE)** is 37%, both indicating efficient use of capital.
- **Dividend yield** is modest, around 0.3–0.5%.
- The company is nearly debt-free and has delivered strong profit growth (CAGR of 26% over five years).
- Revenue and profit have grown significantly, with FY25 revenue at ₹5,076 crore and net profit at ₹527 crore.
- Operating margins have improved to 8%, and the company maintains a healthy dividend payout ratio of about 30%.
#### Market Sentiment and Outlook
- Sentiment remains positive, given GRSE’s strategic role in defense shipbuilding and a strong order book.
- Analysts highlight the company’s consistent financial performance and leadership in its sector, though caution is advised due to high valuation multiples.
- The recent correction may offer a better entry point, but further consolidation or volatility is possible in the short term.
#### Summary
GRSE has delivered strong medium-term returns, underpinned by robust financials, sector leadership, and efficient capital management. The stock is currently consolidating after a sharp rally and is trading at premium valuations. While the long-term outlook remains positive, investors should be mindful of recent volatility and elevated price multiples when considering new positions.
AGIIL Price Action#### Current Price and Performance
- AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL) is trading near ₹990–₹1,000 as of early July 2025.
- The stock touched a 52-week high of around ₹1,030 and a low near ₹328, showing a strong upward trend over the past year.
- Over the last year, AGIIL has delivered a return of more than 115%, significantly outperforming broader market indices and sector peers.
- Short-term performance remains robust, with the stock up over 18% in the past month and about 31% in the last three months.
- The stock has shown notable volatility, with weekly price movements averaging around 9%.
#### Trend and Technical Overview
- The medium-term trend is positive, supported by strong price momentum and investor interest.
- Technical indicators suggest the stock is not in the overbought zone, but recent price action has been volatile, with some profit booking observed after the recent rally.
- The stock’s beta is high, indicating greater sensitivity to market movements compared to the broader market.
#### Valuation and Financial Metrics
- AGIIL trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 34–36 and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio near 4.5–10.7, which is higher than sector averages, reflecting premium valuations.
- The dividend yield is low, around 0.05–0.11%, making it less attractive for income-focused investors.
- The company’s earnings per share have grown steadily, with recent annual EPS exceeding ₹27.
- Return on equity (ROE) and return on capital employed (ROCE) remain strong, both above 25%, indicating efficient use of capital.
- Revenue and profit growth have been solid, with revenues up over 21% year-on-year and operating margins above 25%.
- The company’s debt-to-equity ratio has improved, now at a comfortable level below 40%.
#### Market Sentiment and Outlook
- Market sentiment is positive, with increased retail investor holdings and stable promoter ownership.
- AGIIL is considered one of the top-performing small-cap stocks in its sector, although some analysts note that growth rates have moderated recently.
- The stock is viewed as overvalued by some metrics, suggesting limited immediate upside unless earnings growth accelerates further.
- Risks include high valuation multiples, recent volatility, and a slowdown in quarterly profit and revenue growth.
- The long-term outlook remains favorable, supported by a strong project pipeline and consistent financial performance, but short-term caution is warranted due to recent rapid price appreciation.
#### Summary
AGIIL has delivered exceptional returns over the past year, driven by strong fundamentals and investor optimism. While the company maintains solid profitability and growth, its valuation is elevated and recent volatility suggests that investors should be cautious about new entries at current levels. The stock remains attractive for those with a medium- to long-term horizon, provided they are comfortable with the higher risk and volatility profile.
SAMHI Price action#### Current Price and Performance
- SAMHI Hotels is trading around ₹220–₹221 as of early July 2025.
- The stock has moved between a 52-week high of approximately ₹238 and a low near ₹121.
- Over the past year, the stock has delivered a return of about 15–16%, with a moderate uptrend since its listing.
- Short-term price action has been stable, with minor fluctuations and a slight upward bias in recent weeks.
#### Trend and Technical Overview
- The medium-term trend is positive, supported by strong operational results and improving financials.
- Technical indicators show a bullish outlook, with moving averages and MACD supporting upward momentum, though some caution is advised due to a slightly overbought RSI.
- The stock has shown resilience even during broader market volatility, outperforming major indices over the past year.
#### Valuation and Financial Metrics
- SAMHI has reported a significant turnaround, moving from losses to profitability in FY25.
- Revenue for FY25 rose to over ₹1,130 crore, with operating profit margins improving to nearly 36%.
- Net profit margin has increased sharply, and earnings per share turned positive after several years of losses.
- The company’s debt profile has improved, with a lower net debt-to-EBITDA ratio, and strong institutional holdings support the valuation.
- The stock is considered expensive on some valuation metrics, reflecting high growth expectations.
#### Market Sentiment and Outlook
- Analyst sentiment is generally positive, with target prices suggesting potential upside of 25–30% from current levels.
- The company’s robust order book, successful strategic partnerships, and expansion into high-demand markets are seen as key growth drivers.
- Risks include high valuation multiples and execution challenges in a competitive hospitality sector.
- The long-term outlook remains favorable, with expectations of continued revenue and profit growth as the company leverages its portfolio and operational strengths.
#### Summary
SAMHI Hotels has demonstrated a strong recovery, transitioning to profitability and delivering robust revenue growth. The stock has outperformed the broader market and is supported by positive analyst sentiment and institutional interest. While valuations are high, the company’s improving fundamentals and growth prospects make it attractive for investors with a medium- to long-term horizon. Caution is warranted in the short term due to potential volatility, but the overall trajectory remains positive.
SWSOLAR Price action### SWSOLAR Price Analysis
#### Current Price and Performance
- Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy (SWSOLAR) is trading near ₹305 as of early July 2025.
- The stock has seen significant volatility over the past year, with a 52-week high near ₹400 and a low around ₹230.
- Over the last month, the stock delivered a modest gain of about 1.5%, while in the last three months, it rebounded strongly with a return of nearly 25%.
- Despite recent gains, the one-year return is sharply negative, down over 50%, reflecting a challenging period for the company.
#### Trend and Technical Overview
- The medium-term trend shows a recovery from earlier lows, supported by improved financial results and order inflows.
- Short-term price action indicates consolidation, with the stock trading in a narrow range after a recent rally.
- Technical indicators suggest resistance around ₹320–₹330, with support near ₹290.
#### Valuation and Financial Metrics
- SWSOLAR trades at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio above 80, indicating premium valuation despite recent earnings improvement.
- The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is above 7, which is elevated compared to sector norms.
- The company recently returned to profitability, reporting a net profit margin of about 1.3% and positive earnings per share after several loss-making quarters.
- Revenue growth has been robust, with the latest quarter showing a year-on-year increase of over 110%.
- Operating cash flow turned positive in the latest fiscal year, a significant improvement from previous negative figures.
#### Market Sentiment and Outlook
- Analyst sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with most recommendations skewed toward buying, and an average target price suggesting potential upside of over 35% from current levels.
- The company’s strong order book and improving execution are seen as key positives.
- However, high valuation multiples and recent volatility warrant caution for new investors.
- The long-term outlook depends on continued execution of large-scale projects and maintaining profitability.
#### Summary
SWSOLAR has staged a notable turnaround in recent quarters, moving from losses to profitability and delivering strong revenue growth. The stock has rebounded from its lows but remains volatile and highly valued relative to peers. Investors should monitor execution risks and broader market sentiment, as further upside may depend on sustained financial performance and sector stability.
NTPC price action### NTPC Price Analysis
#### Current Price and Performance
- NTPC is trading in the ₹370–₹380 range as of early July 2025.
- The stock has achieved a 52-week high near ₹390 and a low around ₹200, reflecting a strong upward trend over the past year.
- Year-to-date, NTPC has delivered a return of over 60%, with particularly strong momentum in the last six months.
- Short-term price action shows some consolidation after a sharp rally, with minor fluctuations in the past few weeks.
#### Trend and Technical Overview
- The medium-term trend remains bullish, supported by robust earnings, capacity expansion, and favorable sector dynamics.
- Technical indicators suggest the stock is in overbought territory, with some analysts expecting a pause or correction before the next leg up.
- NTPC’s beta is below 1, indicating lower volatility compared to the broader market.
#### Valuation and Financial Metrics
- NTPC trades at a moderate price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, below many private sector peers, making it relatively attractive from a valuation perspective.
- The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is reasonable, reflecting the company’s stable asset base.
- Dividend yield is above 3%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- The company maintains a strong balance sheet, steady cash flows, and a history of consistent dividend payouts.
#### Market Sentiment and Outlook
- Market sentiment is positive, with analysts maintaining a buy or accumulate stance for long-term investors.
- The company’s focus on renewable energy and capacity addition is seen as a key growth driver.
- While the stock may experience short-term consolidation, the long-term outlook remains favorable due to NTPC’s dominant position in the power sector and ongoing expansion plans.
#### Summary
NTPC has delivered impressive returns over the past year, driven by strong fundamentals and sector tailwinds. The stock is currently consolidating after a significant rally, but its valuation, dividend profile, and growth prospects make it attractive for investors with a medium- to long-term horizon. Caution is warranted in the short term due to potential profit booking, but the overall outlook remains positive.
Himadri Speciality Chem – Weekly Chart Update📊 Himadri Speciality Chem – Weekly Chart Update
• Strong volume breakout recently, with price hovering around 480–490 zone
• Price facing resistance near 200 EMA (red line) at ~487.70
• Support zones:
– 472.55 (20 EMA)
– 449.70 (50 EMA)
• Weekly candle formation hints at indecision. Watch next move for breakout or fade.
🎯 Plan Ahead:
If sustains above 488–490, potential upmove towards 520+
If breaks 472, expect retracement till 450–455 range
🔁 Trend is your friend, till it bends.
Not financial advice—just chart reading. Stay sharp. 💹
#Himadri #SwingTrade #PriceAction #VolumeBreakout #NSE #WeeklyAnalysis #TechnicalSetup
Bitcoin Eyes Breakout — Bullish Setup Gathers StrengthConsolidation Above Key Support:
Bitcoin continues to hold firmly above the $100,000–$105,000 support zone, a critical area that acted as major resistance earlier in 2025. This sustained price action reinforces the prevailing bullish momentum and signals strength beneath the surface.
Wedge Formation Nearing Resolution:
The prolonged wedge pattern now taking shape suggests a substantial move is imminent. The structure supports a breakout scenario, with an initial target of $130,000–$135,000 in play.
Uptrend Intact, No Signs of Exhaustion:
Despite recent weeks of sideways action, Bitcoin continues to consolidate near its highs—a pattern that historically favors continuation, not reversal. The broader trend remains upward and firmly intact.
Focus & Opportunity:
Bitcoin's technical setup justifies close attention in the days ahead. At the same time, traders and investors should keep an eye on select altcoins, which could offer amplified upside as capital rotation picks up momentum.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #WedgeBreakout #PriceAction #Altcoins #CryptoMarket #MarketUpdate #AllTimeHigh
### EMIL Price AnalysisElectronics Mart India Ltd (EMIL) recently closed at around ₹144, showing a modest uptick after a period of volatility. The stock has rebounded sharply over the past month, gaining over 16%, yet it remains well below its 52-week high of ₹262. The past year has been challenging, with the share price down more than 35%, underperforming both its sector and the broader market.
Technically, EMIL is trading above key short-term moving averages, suggesting a short-term uptrend. The price is above the 20-day and 50-day averages, but still below the long-term 200-day average, indicating that while momentum has improved, the broader trend remains cautious. The stock’s volatility is notably high, with weekly price swings above the market average.
Momentum indicators like MACD and RSI are showing positive signals, but there are early signs of momentum loss, and volume-based indicators suggest some recent selling pressure. The stock is currently near a resistance zone, and a sustained move above ₹150 could trigger further upside, while support is seen around ₹138.
Fundamentally, EMIL has demonstrated steady revenue and profit growth over the last few years, but recent quarters have shown a decline in profitability. The company’s price-to-earnings ratio is on the higher side, suggesting it is not undervalued relative to its earnings. Analyst forecasts indicate moderate growth potential, with a one-year price target in the ₹160–₹190 range.
In summary, EMIL is showing signs of a short-term recovery with improving technicals, but long-term investors should remain cautious given its recent underperformance and valuation concerns. A clear breakout above resistance levels would strengthen the bullish case, while failure to hold above support could lead to renewed weakness.
Nifty price actionNifty 50 closed at 25,461 with a modest gain, reflecting cautious optimism after recent profit booking and volatility. The index formed a bullish hammer candlestick, which is often interpreted as a sign of potential short-term reversal or support. Buying interest in heavyweight stocks like Bajaj Finance, Infosys, Dr. Reddy’s, ICICI Bank, and Wipro helped offset declines in sectors such as metals and auto.
Technically, Nifty found support near its near-term EMA trendline, and the RSI remains healthy in the low 60s, suggesting the trend is still neutral to positive. Immediate support levels are at 25,240 and 25,103, while resistance is seen at 25,682 and 25,819. Sustained trading above 25,682 could trigger further upside, possibly toward 26,000, but a break below 25,240 would increase the risk of a deeper correction, with 25,000 and 24,500 as the next key supports.
Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with advances outnumbering declines. However, overbought oscillators and low ADX readings indicate limited momentum, so the index may remain rangebound unless a clear breakout or breakdown occurs. Traders are advised to watch for a decisive move above 25,600 for bullish confirmation, or below 25,240 for signs of renewed weakness.
Banknifty price actionBank Nifty closed at 57,031.9 on July 4, 2025, up 0.42%, showing resilience after a brief dip earlier in the week. The index has been consolidating near all-time highs, maintaining a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart. Despite some profit booking, Bank Nifty remains above its key moving averages, and technical indicators like RSI and MACD continue to support the broader uptrend.
Short-term support is seen around 56,500–56,600, which aligns with the 20-day EMA. As long as Bank Nifty holds above this zone, the bias remains positive and the index could attempt to move towards resistance levels at 57,540 and 57,854. A decisive close above 57,800 would likely open the path to 58,500. However, overbought oscillators and a weak ADX suggest the trend strength is moderate and the market could remain rangebound unless a breakout occurs.
Constituent performance has been mixed, with ICICI Bank, AU Bank, HDFC Bank, and Axis Bank contributing to gains, while Bank of Baroda, IndusInd Bank, and Federal Bank saw mild declines. Overall, the structure favors a buy-on-dips approach as long as the index stays above its immediate support. A close below 56,500 would be the first sign of a deeper correction.
WCIL - H&S Pattern | Breakout Above Resistance | Daily Chart📊 WCIL – Breakout Above Resistance | RSI Bullish | Strong Volume | Fibonacci Levels | Daily Chart
📅 Chart Date: June 27, 2025
📈 CMP: ₹114.43 (+3.42%)
📍 Ticker: NSE:WCIL
🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
🔺 Breakout From Trendline & Resistance
WCIL has broken out above horizontal resistance at ₹113.50 and long-term descending trendline, indicating strong bullish momentum
Golden neckline breakout of a potential inverse head & shoulder / V-recovery formation
📊 Volume Spike
Massive increase in volume (7.09M) confirms buying interest and validates the breakout
📈 RSI Indicator (14, Close)
RSI at 70.85, trending upward and entering bullish territory
Multiple Bullish RSI crossover signals provide confluence for the uptrend
🌀 Fibonacci Retracement Levels
38.2% – ₹107.94
50.0% – ₹121.13 (next key level)
61.8% – ₹134.31
100% – ₹177.00 (full retracement potential)
📍 Key Price Levels
✅ Breakout Zone: ₹113.50
🔼 Immediate Resistance: ₹121.13
🎯 Target Levels: ₹121 → ₹134 → ₹153+
🛡️ Support Levels: ₹107.9 → ₹100 → ₹91
💡 Trade Idea
Entry: Above ₹114 on confirmation with volume
SL: Below ₹107.50 (close below previous resistance)
Targets: ₹121 → ₹134 → ₹153
Risk-Reward: High conviction due to structure and volume
⚠️ Disclaimer
This chart analysis is for educational purposes only. Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
"India's Favourite Vineyard"Sula Vineyards Ltd
About
Incorporated in 2003, Sula Vineyards Limited is India's largest wine producer and seller as of March 31, 2022. The company also distributes wines under a bouquet of popular brands including "RASA," "Dindori", "The source," "Satori", "Madera" & "Dia" with its flagship brand "Sula" being the "category creator" of wine in India.
🍷 Sula Vineyards – Reversal Underway?
Weekly + Monthly Chart View:
After a long downtrend from ₹699, Sula has likely formed a double bottom around ₹250–₹260 and bounced from 0.786 Fib level. The recent higher low and breakout above the short-term falling trendline indicate a possible reversal. Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD are recovering from oversold zones.
Fundamentals from Screener.in:
FY25 Revenue: ₹595 Cr, Net Profit: ₹82 Cr
ROCE: 18.4%, ROE: 16.7%, Debt-Free
Promoter Holding: 27.3%, FIIs increased stake
Strong brand leadership in wine category
If ₹310–₹311 resistance flips to support, potential upside till ₹331 / ₹364 / ₹424 in medium term.
📌 Reversal confirmation if price holds above ₹305–310 zone.
#SulaVineyards #WineStock #BullishSetup #TechnicalBreakout #NSE #Sula
🧠 Disclaimer: For educational and research purposes only. No buy/sell advice.
📝 Chart Purpose & Disclaimer:
This chart is shared purely for educational and personal tracking purposes. I use this space to record my views and improve decision-making over time.
Investment Style:
All stocks posted are for long-term investment or minimum positional trades only. No intraday or speculative trades are intended.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered advisor. These are not buy/sell recommendations. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before taking any investment decision. I do not take responsibility for any profit or loss incurred based on this content.
OFSS Price ActionOracle Financial Services Software Ltd (OFSS) is currently trading around ₹9,030, reflecting a volatile but active price environment. Over the past week, the stock declined by nearly 3%, but it has gained over 6% in the last month and more than 15% in the past three months. Despite this recent recovery, OFSS remains down about 29% over six months and approximately 13% over the past year.
Technically, the stock has faced strong resistance in the ₹9,060–₹9,288 range, with immediate supports at ₹8,837, ₹8,731, and ₹8,611. A close above ₹9,195 could trigger fresh buying momentum, while a sustained move below support levels may signal further downside. Options data indicates heightened volatility, with active trading in both calls and puts near the ₹8,000–₹9,500 strikes.
Fundamentally, OFSS reported a 7.4% year-on-year revenue increase in FY2025, with net income up 7.2% and a robust profit margin of 35%. The company’s earnings per share beat analyst expectations, though revenue was slightly below estimates. The dividend yield stands at a healthy 2.96%, and the company maintains a strong market capitalization above ₹77,000 crore.
Overall, OFSS is showing signs of stabilization after a sharp correction, with short-term price action suggesting a cautious but potentially positive outlook if key resistance levels are breached.
MOTILALOFS Price actionMotilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd (MOTILALOFS) has experienced **strong price momentum over the past year, rising more than 50%**. The stock recently traded between ₹854 and ₹929, with its all-time high of ₹1,064 reached in October 2024 and a 52-week low near ₹488.
**Short-term action:**
In the last week, the stock moved up by about 0.4%, and in the past month, it gained nearly 7%. Over three months, the gain was especially notable at nearly 40%. However, the stock is highly volatile—about 3.8 times as volatile as the Nifty index—and has a high beta of 1.79, indicating large price swings.
**Recent trend:**
After peaking above ₹1,000 in late 2024, MOTILALOFS saw a correction, dropping to the ₹700-800 range by mid-2025. Since then, it has rebounded, climbing back above ₹850. The last few sessions show a mix of minor gains and losses, reflecting ongoing volatility and active trading interest.
**Volume and liquidity:**
Trading volumes have been robust, with some sessions seeing over a million shares traded, especially during sharp moves. This indicates strong liquidity and sustained investor interest.
**Valuation and fundamentals:**
The stock is considered overvalued relative to market averages, with a price-to-earnings ratio above 20 and a price-to-book ratio above 4. Its dividend yield is modest at 0.58%. Despite high volatility, the company has delivered solid profitability and efficiency metrics, with return on equity above 25%.
**Outlook:**
Analysts remain optimistic, with some forecasting potential upside toward ₹1,150, though downside risk remains to ₹763. The company’s business is diversified across broking, asset management, investment banking, and housing finance, and recent results show strong revenue growth, especially in wealth management and housing finance. However, there have been short-term challenges, such as a decline in cash market share and weaker performance in private wealth management.
**Summary:**
MOTILALOFS is in a recovery phase after a sharp correction, showing renewed upward momentum but with high volatility. The outlook is positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sector growth, but investors should remain cautious due to the stock’s elevated valuation and price swings.