XAUUSD GOLD TRADING STRATEGY August 5, 2025: XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 5, 2025:
Yesterday's trading session, gold prices continued to increase sharply due to previous influences. However, the possibility of a short-term correction in gold prices at the end of the week will be very high.
Basic news: According to CME FEDWatch, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates at its September meeting has now increased to about 84%, reflecting increasing concerns about economic weakness. The market is currently pricing in at least two 25 basis point cuts between now and the end of the year, showing a clear shift in investor sentiment after disappointing employment data.
Technical analysis: Gold's bullish momentum is currently showing signs of weakening. The peak area of 3383 - 3385 may create a double peak pattern on H1, but the possibility of gold prices correcting today is very low. Currently, gold prices are filling liquidity at support areas. The correction of gold prices may take place at the end of the week when buyers take profits.
Important price zones today: 3350 - 3355 and 3330 - 3335.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3350 - 3352
SL 3347
TP 3355 - 3365 - 3375 - 3400.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3330 - 3332
SL 3327
TP 3335 - 3345 - 3365 - 3400.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3420 - 3422
SL 3425
TP 3417 - 3407 - 3387 - 3357 - OPEN (small volume).
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Buy!!
BTCUSDT – Bullish trend remains intactBitcoin is still trading within a long-term ascending channel. After a mild pullback to the FVG zone around 112,100 USDT, the price rebounded and is now consolidating above the ascending trendline support. If this level holds, BTC is likely to continue toward the upper channel target at 122,500 USDT.
Recent news supporting the uptrend:
Fidelity and BlackRock have continued accumulating Bitcoin-related ETF shares.
Weak US jobs data has fueled expectations of a Fed rate cut, drawing capital back into crypto.
Ethereum's upcoming hard fork upgrade is boosting overall market sentiment.
With both technical structure and fundamentals aligned, BTC remains bullish as long as it stays above 112,100.
EURUSD remains in a downtrendEUR/USD continues to move within a descending channel, with the 1.1600 area acting as strong resistance. Recent price action suggests the current rebound may be just a retest before the downtrend resumes. The next bearish target is around the 1.1390 support zone.
On the news front, although a strong U.S. PMI puts slight pressure on EUR, the USD faces mixed forces:
Weak NFP data increases expectations of a Fed rate cut.
The new US–EU trade deal imposing a 15% tariff has sharply weakened the euro.
Eurozone PMI improved but remains below 50, indicating a still-fragile recovery.
XAUUSD awaits breakout at confluence zoneGold is consolidating around 3,361 USD after a strong rebound from the key support zone at 3,284 USD — previously a major swing low in the existing bullish structure. Recent price action on the H4 timeframe is forming a potential Cup and Handle pattern, indicating that buying pressure remains present after each retracement.
The 3,351 USD resistance area now acts as a confluence zone, where the descending trendline from July intersects with a key horizontal level. Price behavior at this zone will likely determine the next directional move. A successful breakout would confirm the bullish continuation structure, with room to revisit the previous highs.
Current technical signals suggest that buyers are gradually regaining control, as higher lows emerge and upward momentum builds from the major support area.
Gold regains shine after Fed shiftHey traders! Let’s break down what’s been happening with XAUUSD recently.
Last week, gold made a stunning comeback — tumbling first, then surging nearly 800 pips within just a few sessions. This rapid shift was fueled by dovish signals from the Fed and soft US jobs data, which sparked growing expectations of early monetary easing.
At the same time, a global financial survey shows analyst sentiment toward gold at its highest in months. With ongoing global uncertainty, gold is once again in the spotlight as a go-to safe haven.
Despite the rally, volatility remains elevated. The next move will likely depend on upcoming economic data and fresh comments from Fed officials. Meanwhile, holiday trading could mean slower market activity in the short term.
From a technical perspective, gold has broken out of its previous downtrend channel and is moving rapidly. According to Dow Theory, a short pullback may occur — but if price holds above key support, the bullish wave could extend toward the $3,416 level, marked by the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
This breakout might just be the beginning of a new bullish phase after weeks of sideways action.
What’s your take — is gold gearing up for something bigger?
XAUUSD – Gold accelerates: Is the 3,600 target within reach?Gold has made an impressive rally of nearly 720 pips, surging from the recent bottom near 3,260 up to 3,365, following a deeply disappointing U.S. jobs report. Non-Farm Payrolls came in at just 106K, far below expectations, while the unemployment rate climbed to 4.2% — a clear sign that the U.S. economy is slowing down. In this context, the expectation that the Fed will pause rate hikes has become more solid, paving the way for gold to break higher.
Technical analysis on the D1 timeframe shows that XAUUSD remains in a well-established ascending channel that has persisted since late 2024. The recent bounce from the 3,260 support zone was strong, with yesterday's bullish candle confirming that buyers are regaining control.
As long as price holds above the 3,260 support area, the next target lies at the psychological resistance around 3,500, and beyond that — the ambitious 3,600 mark.
BTCUSDT – Bitcoin consolidates amid silent institutional buying Bitcoin is fluctuating between 114K and 116K USDT within a long-term ascending channel, supported by a wave of positive news. Weaker-than-expected U.S. labor data has fueled hopes that the Fed may pause its rate hikes — boosting sentiment for risk assets like BTC.
At the same time, major regulatory developments such as the SEC’s “Project Crypto” and the GENIUS Act by the CFTC are laying the groundwork for legalizing the crypto market. Notably, over 30,000 BTC were accumulated by MicroStrategy and institutional funds within just 48 hours — signaling strong capital inflows.
On the daily chart, BTC is forming an inverse cup-and-handle pattern, with 107,280 acting as key support. If the price holds and breaks above 120,872 USDT, a rally toward 130K may follow. However, if inflows weaken, a short-term pullback toward 112K could occur before the next upward move.
EURUSD – Euro tumbles under strong dollar pressureAfter a brief uptick following the US–EU trade agreement, EUR/USD quickly sank under a wave of strong US economic data. While import tariffs on EU goods were reduced to 15%, the US dollar gained more as capital kept flowing into the US thanks to a Q2 GDP growth above 3%, steady PCE, and a strong ADP report.
On the H4 chart, the bearish structure is clear: EUR/USD broke below key support and formed a series of unfilled FVGs, signaling sellers are still in control. The current pullback towards the 1.14300 resistance zone could act as a bull trap, with the next target eyed near 1.12300 — a likely liquidity zone.
If this area breaks, the 1.1200 mark may be triggered next. Meanwhile, USD strength shows no signs of fading — especially as the Fed maintains a cautious stance with no easing in sight. The euro is no longer seen as a safe haven, and investors are gradually pulling out.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 1, 2025:
Yesterday's trading session, gold prices recovered to the 3315 area and then continued to decrease to the 3281 area. Currently, gold prices are fluctuating quite unpredictably due to the impact of tariff news and investor confidence.
Basic news: The Federal Reserve FED continues to maintain the federal funds benchmark interest rate in the range of 4.25% - 4.50%, in line with policy since 2025. Chairman Powell did not give any signal about the next interest rate cut on September 16 - 17.
Technical analysis: After falling sharply to the 3269 area, gold prices are showing signs of recovery. In the current downtrend channel, there has been a higher bottom than the bottom at H1. We can see that if the bullish pattern at H1 is confirmed, combined with the reversal candlestick appearing at H4, the possibility of gold bouncing back to reach the resistance area of 3330, even 3350 is completely possible. In the weekend trading session, we will wait at the support zones to trade.
Important price zones today: 3280 - 3285 and 3269 - 3274.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3283 - 3285
SL 3280
TP 3288 - 3300 - 3310 - 3330.
Plan 2: BUY XAUSD zone 3269 - 3271
SL 3266
TP 3274 - 3284 - 3300 - 3320.
Wish you a safe, favorable and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
XAUUSD – Gold jumps as weak US job data boosts bullish sentimentGold prices reacted positively after the US Non-Farm Payrolls came in at only 106K and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, signaling a cooling labor market. This weak data has lowered expectations of further rate hikes from the Fed, offering strong support for gold.
On the H4 chart, XAUUSD has formed a bottom around the 3,247 area and is now rebounding within a descending channel. A slight trendline break and a W-pattern near the bottom further reinforce the potential for a continued upward move.
Technical view:
XAUUSD is approaching a key resistance zone around 3,313 – a crucial level that could trigger a breakout. If gold breaks above it with strong buying pressure, it may head toward the upper boundary of the channel.
The RSI is recovering from oversold levels, while EMA34 and EMA89 are starting to converge – suggesting a possible trend reversal ahead.
Gold weakens further – is 3250 next?Hello traders, take a look at the chart — what do you see?
Here’s my perspective:
Recently, gold has shown signs of weakness as the U.S. dollar strengthens amid expectations that the Fed will delay interest rate cuts. In response to this, gold continues to trend lower and is currently hovering around the 3,289 USD mark.
The previous ascending trendline has been broken, and both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 have turned downward, fueling bearish momentum. The 3,320 support level has also failed, and the latest bullish correction was rejected — reinforcing the downtrend.
Given these clear fundamentals and technical confirmations, I expect the bearish momentum to accelerate, at least in the short term.
My immediate target for this move is 3,250 USD.
What about you — where’s your target?
XAUUSD – Gold may plunge if key support failsHello traders! Gold continues to move within a clear descending channel and is currently retesting the previous support zone around 3,295.600. The RSI remains weak, and the EMA 34 stays below the EMA 89, confirming that the bearish trend is still dominant.
On the news front, U.S. labor costs have exceeded expectations, the Fed held rates steady, and there’s no sign of a dovish shift. This continues to strengthen the USD and puts pressure on gold. Investors are now awaiting Powell’s speech at tonight’s FOMC meeting—if his tone remains hawkish, gold is likely to face further downside.
Trading strategy:
If price retraces to the 3,350 – 3,371 zone and shows rejection or reversal signals, SELL remains the preferred option.
Gold dips again – is the bounce just a trap?Hello traders!
After a quiet start to the day, gold has turned lower and is now hovering around the $3,300 mark. The decline in OANDA:XAUUSD came as U.S. Treasury yields rose in response to strong U.S. economic data. The Fed is widely expected to maintain its current monetary policy stance during today’s session.
From a technical perspective, XAUUSD continues to form bearish structures and breakdowns. While a short-term bullish correction is currently underway, the bears still hold the upper hand — and selling opportunities remain the preferred strategy.
I’ll be focusing on two key entry zones marked on the chart, with a short-term bias favoring sell setups.
Do you agree with this approach?
⚠️ Please remember: This is just a trading idea — make sure to manage your risk properly with defined TP and SL levels.
Good luck and happy trading!
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD July 31, 2025Yesterday's trading session, after breaking the rising price channel in the 3318 - 3320 area, the gold price fell sharply to the 3269 area.
Basic news: US Treasury yields fell and the weak US labor market report could boost investor demand. Data released by the US Department of Labor on Tuesday showed that the number of new jobs fell in June after 2 consecutive months of increase. Today, the Federal Reserve will announce a new interest rate decision.
Technical analysis: The rising price channel in the H1 frame was broken, and the gold price immediately fell sharply. Currently, the downtrend of gold is still maintained. The MA lines are still resistance for gold prices.
Important price zones today: 3300 - 3305, 330 - 3325 and 3267 - 3272.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3303 - 3305
SL 3308
TP 3300 - 3290 - 3280 - 3270.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3323 - 3325
SL 3328
TP 3320 - 3310 - 3290 - 3280.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3267 - 3269
SL 3264
TP 3272 - 3282 - 3292 - 3302 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, favorable and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
EURUSD at risk of reversal: will sellers take control?Hello everyone! What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
Lately, the euro has been under pressure due to growing weakness in the Eurozone economy. The European Central Bank (ECB) has sent out more cautious signals in response to rising recession risks and cooling inflation. This increases the likelihood that the ECB may wrap up its tightening cycle earlier than the Fed – a shift that could weigh heavily on EURUSD.
From a technical standpoint, EURUSD recently hit a peak around 1.1766 after several attempts, and a CHOCH (Change of Character) reversal pattern may be forming. If the pair fails to reclaim the 1.1766 zone, a deeper downside scenario is likely to unfold.
As for me, I’m currently favoring short setups, especially around supply zones or after failed retests. Discipline and solid risk management remain my top priorities.
How about you? What’s your take on this pair?
XAUUSD – The Weakness of Gold – Are Investors Ready?Gold is being heavily impacted by the strengthening of the US dollar, driven by recently released economic data from the US. A strong increase in employment and a 2.5% GDP growth show that the US economy is growing stronger than expected, pushing the US dollar higher and creating downward pressure on gold.
The chart shows that gold is trading within a downward price channel, with key support and resistance levels already identified. The strong resistance at 3,345 USD continues to be a major challenge for any upward movement in gold.
If gold cannot break through these resistance levels and continues to decline below 3,310 USD, we may see a deeper correction.
EURUSD: Short-term rebound signals after sharp dropEURUSD has just reacted to a key demand zone and is showing signs of a technical rebound. A small double bottom pattern is forming on the 3H chart, indicating that buyers are starting to return. If the price holds above this recent low, the short-term bullish scenario could continue.
On the news front, the US JOLTS data came in lower than expected, reflecting a cooling labor market. This reduces the likelihood of further Fed tightening, creating room for the euro to recover slightly.
Strategy: Favor buying if price remains above the support zone, with a potential move to retest the upper FVG area before the market makes its next decision.
Gold rebounds – Enough to shift the trend?Gold is trading within an ascending channel, recently bouncing modestly from the trendline after a series of declines. The structure suggests XAUUSD could continue a technical rebound toward the resistance zone near 3,374 before a new trend is confirmed.
On the news front, JOLTS job openings came in slightly below expectations, indicating a cooling U.S. labor market. This offers mild support for gold, as the Fed may consider easing policy sooner. However, with the figure still above 7 million, the impact remains short-term.
Strategy: Watch price reaction near the 3,374 zone. If it fails to break through, the bearish scenario remains dominant. Short-term buying may be considered as long as the trendline holds.
Gold XAUUSD Trading Strategy July 29, 2025Gold XAUUSD Trading Strategy July 29, 2025:
Yesterday's trading session, gold prices continued to fall as expected. After approaching the resistance area of 3300, gold prices are recovering.
Basic news: The market is almost unlikely to see the possibility of the FED cutting interest rates in July and about 40% chance that the FED will continue to keep interest rates unchanged in September, up from about 10% the previous month. US non-farm payrolls are likely to continue to increase rapidly, showing a rapid recovery in the labor market.
Technical analysis: Gold prices continue to stick with the MA lines, the downtrend channel has not been broken. Currently, the 3280 - 3285 area may be a support area for gold prices to recover after the previous sharp decline. We will mainly trade according to the short-term trend and wait for a long-term buying point.
Important price zones today: 3330 - 3335, 3350 - 3355 and 3280 - 3285.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3333 - 3335
SL 3338
TP 3330 - 3320 - 3300 - 3280.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3353 - 3355
SL 3358
TP 3350 - 3340 - 3320 - 3300.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3283 - 3285
SL 3280
TP 3288 - 3300 - 3320 - 3340 - Open.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.💗💗💗💗💗
Gold dives toward 3,320 as Fed decision loomsHello everyone, what are your thoughts on gold prices?
Gold's decline is accelerating, dragging the precious metal down toward the 3,320 USD mark. A stronger U.S. dollar and further developments on the trade front following the U.S.-EU agreement have significantly impacted demand for safe-haven assets.
From a technical perspective, the break below the rising price channel could mark the beginning of a deeper correction. Oscillators on the chart have just started turning negative, suggesting that the path of least resistance for gold is now downward.
Looking ahead, Wednesday’s key FOMC decision—along with the accompanying policy statement and Powell’s press conference—will be closely scrutinized for clues on the Fed’s interest rate cut roadmap.
Additionally, investors will face several important U.S. macroeconomic data releases this week, which will play a vital role in shaping the USD’s trajectory and provide new momentum for XAUUSD.
What do you think about the precious metal? Share your thoughts below!
BTCUSDT – short-term pullback before heading higherBTCUSDT remains within a clear ascending channel. On the H8 timeframe, price is facing resistance and may pull back toward lower support before continuing its upward move. Several Fair Value Gaps below act as strong backing zones for buyers.
On the news side, market sentiment is improving as investors anticipate the upcoming PCE report and renewed interest in Bitcoin ETFs. Although the Fed holds its hawkish tone, rising recession risks are fueling expectations of a rate cut later this year.
Strategy: Consider BUY setups if price pulls back into support and shows strong reaction. Trend remains bullish unless the ascending structure is broken.
Gold plunges as Fed stays firm, war fails to boost XAUUSD is showing clear signs of weakness after peaking at 3,375 and consistently forming lower highs. On the H2 chart, the price action confirms a completed distribution pattern and is now consolidating ahead of a potential breakdown below 3,283.
News highlights:
The US ADP and GDP reports exceeded expectations, strengthening the case for the Fed to keep interest rates higher for longer – putting significant pressure on gold.
Although the JOLTS job openings dipped slightly, the figure remains above 7 million, offering little support for gold recovery.
Conflict news between Thailand and Cambodia might offer some support, but the impact is limited due to the small regional scale.
Trading strategy: Prioritize SELL if price pulls back to 3,339 and fails to hold. The next target is around 3,252.
The main trend remains bearish unless XAUUSD breaks above 3,360.
Do you think XAUUSD will break the bottom this week?
EUR/USD Under Pressure : Sell or Buy ? The EUR/USD pair remains under mild bearish pressure, hovering around the 1.1700 mark and extending its Thursday downtrend. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) stays firm despite growing optimism over improving US-China relations. However, the ongoing tension between Trump and Powell continues to capture market attention.
In response to these developments, EUR/USD has stalled its previous rally. On the chart, the pair is forming a series of lower highs, moving within a narrowing wedge pattern. The 1.1600 level now emerges as the critical battleground between bulls and bears.
Do you think EUR/USD can successfully defend this support zone? Let us know your thoughts!






















