XAUUSD (H1) – Liam PlanUptrend intact, but signs of short-term exhaustion | Trade reactions, not impulse
Quick summary
Gold remains in a strong H1 uptrend, continuing to print higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined bullish structure. However, after the recent sharp advance, price is starting to slow near the highs, increasing the likelihood of short-term pullbacks and two-sided price action.
➡️ The broader trend stays bullish, but execution should now be level-driven and reaction-based, not momentum chasing.
Technical view
Price is currently trading at elevated levels relative to recent structure, where prior buying activity has already been absorbed.
Key price areas to watch:
Short-term sell area: 5520 – 5530
Upper resistance area: around 5600
Pullback buy area: 5405 – 5420
Primary buy zone: 5150 – 5155
The current structure favors a pullback and rebalancing phase before any sustained continuation higher.
Trading scenarios
SELL – short-term reaction trades
Look for sell reactions around 5520 – 5530 if price shows weakness.
Downside targets sit near 5420, with further extension possible if the pullback develops.
These sells are tactical and short-term, not calls for a trend reversal.
BUY – aligned with the main trend
Primary scenario
Buy pullbacks into 5405 – 5420 if the area holds.
Targets back toward 5520 and higher.
Deeper scenario
If volatility increases, wait for price to retrace toward 5150 – 5155.
This area offers the best risk-to-reward for trend continuation.
Key notes
Strong trends still correct; patience matters.
Avoid entries in the middle of the range where risk outweighs reward.
Short positions are tactical only while the broader structure remains bullish.
What’s your plan:
selling reactions near 5520 – 5530, or patiently waiting for a pullback into 5405 – 5420 to rejoin the uptrend?
— Liam
Buyxauusd
maintain uptrend, buy gold 3350Plan XAU day: 04 August 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) retain a subdued tone during the first half of the European session on Monday, although the absence of sustained selling pressure keeps the metal within reach of the one-week high recorded earlier in the day. The US Dollar (USD) begins the new week with a modest recovery, partially retracing Friday’s decline triggered by softer-than-expected US employment data, supported in part by a rebound in US Treasury yields. This recovery exerts downward pressure on demand for the precious metal.
Nevertheless, the USD's upside remains limited amid increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume interest rate cuts as early as September. This anticipation continues to provide support for the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, a broadly cautious market mood—driven by persistent trade uncertainties and heightened geopolitical tensions—reinforces the appeal of Gold as a safe-haven asset and advises restraint among bearish market participants
personal opinion:!!!
Accumulated price zone around 3350 - 3364, buying power maintained. Gold buying point following the uptrend line today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Support zone point: 3350 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold price increased, broke 3360Plan XAU day: 21 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are extending their upward momentum for the second consecutive session on Monday, as buyers remain cautiously optimistic and await a decisive breakout above a multi-week trading range before committing to further gains. The US Dollar (USD) begins the new week on a softer footing amid mixed signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate outlook—an important factor currently supporting the precious metal.
Additionally, persistent concerns over the potential economic consequences of former President Donald Trump’s unpredictable trade policies are bolstering gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
personal opinion:!!!
Short term H1 frame, gold price breaks 3360 forming bullish structure. Uptrend continues to maintain
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3377 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
price increase, gold price towards 3385Plan XAU day: 14 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
An already fragile global risk sentiment has deteriorated further in response to renewed tariff threats from US President Donald Trump targeting two of the country’s major trade partners—Mexico and the European Union. In separate letters sent on Saturday to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, President Trump announced the potential for new tariffs, adding to more than 20 similar notices issued since last Monday.
This latest development has dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, as reflected in the broadly weaker tone across global equity markets, and may continue to provide support for safe-haven assets such as gold. However, mixed signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s near-term interest rate trajectory are preventing XAU/USD bulls from making aggressive moves or extending the recent rally to multi-week highs
personal opinion:!!!
Trade tensions between two major regions: the US and the EU, have made gold prices positive again, and market concerns that DXY and EURO will restrain each other's value.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3385 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold price stabilizes above 3300Plan XAU day: 10 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) have pared a portion of their modest intraday gains but continue to maintain a positive bias for the second consecutive day, trading around the $3,320 level during the early European session on Thursday. Ongoing uncertainties surrounding US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and their potential implications for the global economy are keeping investors cautious. In addition, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower interest rates later this year continue to lend support to the non-yielding precious metal.
Meanwhile, the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting released on Wednesday indicated limited support for a potential rate cut as early as this month. This has provided a boost to the US Dollar (USD), which—alongside a broadly positive tone in equity markets—is capping the upside potential for gold as a safe-haven asset. As such, it would be prudent to await confirmation through sustained buying interest before anticipating further gains, as market participants turn their attention to upcoming US Weekly Jobless Claims data and speeches from Federal Reserve officials for near-term trading cues
personal opinion:!!!
Market accumulates, sideways above 3300 waiting for US unemployment news today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
support zone point: 3307 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
NF news and gold buying pressurePlan XAU day: 03 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are struggling to build on a modest intraday rebound from the $3,340 area, holding relatively steady near the upper boundary of the weekly range during the first half of the European session. Market participants appear cautious, opting to await the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for further clarity on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) potential rate-cut trajectory. This data is expected to play a pivotal role in shaping near-term demand for the US Dollar (USD) and could provide significant directional impetus for the non-yielding yellow metal.
personal opinion:!!!
Weak DXY is still the driving force for gold price to increase and recover around 3400, along with NF news not very positive for USD
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3395 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold price recovered break 3340, price increasedPlan XAU day: 02 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold Demand in China Expected to Rise Further
"Gold prices (XAU/USD) fluctuated between modest gains and slight losses during the first half of the European session on Wednesday, remaining below the one-week high reached the previous day. The US Dollar has regained some positive momentum, appearing to break a seven-day losing streak that had brought it to its lowest level since February 2022. This renewed strength in the greenback is acting as a headwind for the precious metal. Additionally, a broadly positive risk sentiment in the market is seen as another factor limiting the upside potential for the safe-haven asset.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price continues to recover after breaking the 3340 price zone, buying power maintained before ADP-NF news today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3366 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Policy instability, DXY falls sharply, gold recoversPlan XAU day: 01 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold Demand in China Expected to Rise Further
"In the first quarter of the year, China recorded a net export of 36 tons of gold to Hong Kong, reflecting a growing domestic demand for gold despite elevated prices. The uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policy has likely been a significant contributing factor. As a result, gold has seen increased appeal among Chinese investors as both an investment asset and a safe-haven store of value. In contrast, demand for gold jewellery likely remained subdued due to persistently high prices."
"China aims to expand its exploitable gold reserves by 5 to 10 percent by 2027, potentially in response to rising domestic demand, according to a statement from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released early last week. The country also plans to boost gold production by more than 5 percent over the next two years. While China is already the world’s largest gold producer, it continues to rely on imports to satisfy internal demand.
personal opinion:!!!
Trump administration's policy instability caused the dollar to lose value and gold to fall sharply. Gold is on the way to recovery, returning to the price range of 3366.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3366 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Bears up 3366 , waiting for GDP ! XAUUSDPlan XAU day: 26 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers for the second consecutive day on Thursday and maintains its positive momentum during the first half of the European session. The US Dollar (USD) continues to face strong selling pressure amid reports that US President Donald Trump is considering replacing Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, raising concerns about the central bank’s future independence. Additionally, growing expectations that the Fed may resume its rate-cutting cycle as early as July have pushed the USD to a more than three-year low, which supports demand for the non-yielding yellow metal.
personal opinion:!!!
European session buying pressure helped gold price successfully break 3340, continuing the upward trend 3366
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3367 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold price short growth: price zone 3345Plan XAU day: 25 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
US President Donald Trump criticized both Israel and Iran for violating a full ceasefire agreement shortly after it was announced. Moreover, media reports indicated that the recent US airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities likely did not destroy the core components but only delayed Tehran’s program by a few months. Trump, however, reiterated that Iran’s nuclear sites were completely destroyed.
Nonetheless, the ceasefire between Israel and Iran appears to be holding for now, with both sides declaring victory in the conflict and warning that they are prepared to resume hostilities if attacked. This keeps the geopolitical risk premium in play and is likely to continue supporting the safe-haven appeal of Gold ahead of key US macroeconomic data releases later in the week.
personal opinion:!!!
Accumulation price zone: 3300 - 3335 is being maintained in the Asian and European sessions. Pay attention to selling pressure in the liquidity zone 3345.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3345; 3367 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
BUY 3375 , sideway H1, gold price accumulatesPlan XAU day: 18 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Heading into the key central bank event risk, the disappointing US macro data released on Tuesday pointed to a softening economy and reaffirmed bets that the Fed will lower borrowing costs in September. This keeps a lid on the overnight US Dollar rally to the weekly peak.
The US Census Bureau reported that Retail Sales declined by 0.9% in May, compared to a 0.7% contraction expected and a 0.1% dip in April. Moreover, US Industrial Production fell short of estimates and contracted by 0.2% in May, following a revised 0.1% increase the previous month
personal opinion:!!!
sideways fluctuation in the price range of 3370 - 3395, gold price waiting for the result of keeping interest rates unchanged and continuing to accumulate around 3400
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Buy point: 3375 , 3338
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Accumulate and then hit 3500 soonPlan XAU next week: 16 June - 20 June 2025
Related Information:
Recently, US President Trump told Axios that Israel’s attack could help him reach an agreement with Iran. He urged Iran to make a deal, adding, 'There has already been great death and destruction, but there is still time to bring this slaughter to an end, with the next planned attacks expected to be even more brutal.'
The University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment report for June showed that households are becoming more optimistic about the economy. The Sentiment Index increased from 52.2 to 60.5, while inflation expectations declined for both the one-year and five-year outlooks—from 6.6% to 5.1%, and from 4.2% to 4.1%, respectively.
personal opinion:
Gold prices will tend to accumulate at the beginning of the week around 3400, news of Middle East tensions will push gold prices back to 3500 by the middle of next week.
Important price zone to consider :
sell point: 3500, 3536
buy point: 3410, 3376
Sustainable trading to beat the market
SELL DXYDollar dominates the whole market
We clearly see that DXY should start to fall from 114.0 to 109.0
Current Market Price is 113.45
This indicates that eurusd, gbpusd, audusd, nzdusd should go up
Be ready to book good profit in coming weeks
Sell DXY from 113.50 to 114.0
Stop Loss = 115.20
Take Profit = 109.0 - 108.0
Gold Still in Bart Pattern, Struggling in $1190-$1205 XAUUSD Technical Overview:
Pivot: 1193.70
Key Resistance: 1197.45 - 1200.25 - 1203.59 - 1207.89
Key Support: 1193.70 - 1190.55 - 1188.10 - 1184.22
Day Trading Range: 1186 - 1204
Technical Indicator:
RSI: Indicator shows down side momentum, moving around below 50 level.
MACD: MacD loosing bulls side power.
Moving Average: SMA 55 (1200) & SMA 200 (1198) both are strong resistance for Gold today.
Technical Trade Idea:
Most Likely Scenario: long positions above 1193.70 with targets at 1200.45 & 1204.55 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1193.70 look for further downside with 1190.25 & 1187.25 as targets.
Overall, Gold is still range bound with support levels lined up at 1193.90, 1192.70, 1189.50 and 1187.50. Technically, the trigger point for an acceleration to the downside is 1187.50. This is because under this level, there is no support until $1167.10. If buyers continue to come in to defend 1193.90 to 1187.50, then this could generate enough counter-trend momentum to fuel a rally into 1205.90 then possibly 1215.10.
Gold futures closed lower on Wednesday mostly in reaction to the Fed’s widely expected rate hike. However, there was a little improvement late in the session after the initial reaction to the news as traders interpreted the Fed’s monetary policy statement and comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell as dovish.
Gold could pick up a bid on Thursday if investors continue to price in a dovish Fed. Furthermore, the market could get support from lower Treasury yields, a softer U.S. Dollar and a drop in demand for higher-yielding assets.
Thanks
YoCryptoManic













