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Captainvincent

Gold Set to Explode from Triangle Pattern—Act Now!📊 Market Structure Gold is entering a tight accumulation phase within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern – indicating compression before a strong breakout. On the downside, the price is still supported by the Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 USD , which is the main support area for the medium-term uptrend structure. On the upside, the Resistance Zone 4,103 – 4,110 USD continuously exerts pressure, causing price rejection. Currently, gold is trading right in the middle of the compression triangle → the market is preparing to choose a direction. Looking at the wave structure, the trend slightly leans towards a break up to sweep liquidity in the high area. 💎 Key Technical Zones • ⭐ FVG Supply Zone: 4,128 – 4,150 USD → expected strong reaction area if price breaks up • 🟣 Resistance Zone: 4,103 – 4,110 USD → decisive area for direction • 🟪 Demand Zone: 4,007 – 4,020 USD → strong base maintaining structure • 🟦 Liquidity Clear: 3,980 USD → risk area if price collapses the triangle 🎯 Trading Plan – Two Possible Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY – Wait for Breakout from Triangle (priority scenario) If the price breaks the resistance zone 4,103 – 4,110 with a strong H1 closing candle: • Entry: 4,112 – 4,115 • SL: 4,095 • TP1: 4,128 • TP2: 4,145 • TP3: 4,150 (reach FVG) → This is a trend-following setup, with a high probability of sweeping liquidity above after the break. 2️⃣ BUY – Retest Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 If the price continues to follow the triangle pattern and falls to the trendline + demand zone: • Entry: 4,010 – 4,017 • SL: 3,990 • TP1: 4,103 • TP2: 4,128 • TP3: 4,150 → This is a very strong confluence area between Demand Zone + Trendline + pattern base. ❌ SELL? When is it valid? Currently, selling is not prioritized, as the price is still above the Demand Zone and the larger structure still favors an uptrend. Selling is only valid if the price: • Breaks strongly below 4,007 USD → At this point, the market turns bearish, with a distant target of 3,980 USD. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is under strong compression. When the triangle pattern is broken, the move will be extremely fast and decisive. The current trend leans towards breaking up and heading straight into the FVG area 4,128 – 4,150 USD. Just be patient and wait for the confirmation candle — don’t predict, react to the market. ⚡ “Breakout is born from pressure — patience profits.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 24/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: Gold's Final Correction Before a Strong Rebound📊 Market Structure – Elliott Wave + SMC Gold has completed impulse wave 1–5 at the peak of 4,207 USD and is entering an Elliott correction phase in the form of ABC . Wave A : bottomed at Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 USD Wave B : retraced upwards, creating consecutive Equal Highs and small BoS but has not broken the larger structure Wave C : is forming, may extend down to the Demand Zone if the price loses 4,030 SMC signals reinforce the scenario of a completed correction: A series of Equal Lows → the market still has liquidity below to "sweep" towards the Demand Zone The area BoS – 4,076 is the decisive structure: if not broken upwards, the correction trend continues The area FVG + Resistance 4,152 USD is the target for a major retracement wave after completing wave C => In summary: the market is in the final phase of correction. Once wave C is completed, gold is likely to rebound strongly in the larger trend. 💎 Key Technical Zones 🔹 Demand Zone – Main BUY area 4,008 – 4,020 USD → Strong Demand confluence + Elliott wave C + liquidity below. → High probability of reversal. 🔹 Reaction Zone – Temporary reaction area 4,030 – 4,040 USD → If the price retraces early but hasn't swept the bottom → the correction may still continue. 🔹 Supply & FVG Zones (Strong resistance) 4,152 – 4,207 USD → Main target of the retracement wave after the ABC pattern is completed. 🎯 Trading Plan – Vincent’s Execution Map 1️⃣ BUY Setup – According to Wave C (top priority) Wait for the price to complete wave C at the Demand Zone: Entry: 4,012 – 4,020 SL: below 3,984 TP1: 4,076 TP2: 4,128 TP3: 4,152 TP4: 4,207 → This is the main setup of the day, confluence of both SMC + Elliott. 2️⃣ BUY Aggressive – Early buy according to Break of Structure If the price breaks BoS 4,076 before reaching Demand: Entry: 4,070 – 4,076 SL: 4,040 TP: 4,128 – 4,152 – 4,207 → Setup for those who want to catch the impulsive wave early. 3️⃣ SELL Scalp – Small trend (not the main trade) Only enter when the price retraces to Fibo: Entry: 4,092 – 4,106 SL: 4,116 TP: 4,040 → 4,020 → Short-term scalp, aiming to complete wave C. 🧠 Vincent’s View The overall trend still leans towards Bullish Reversal after correction. As long as the price holds Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 , gold can rebound strongly back to the target of 4,152 – 4,207. “Liquidity always shows the way – patience is the real advantage.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 21/11/2025 ✍️ Analyzed by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: Gold Adjusts, Awaiting Fibo 4,092 Confirmation📊 Market Structure Gold is moving in the ABC–D–E adjustment pattern after a strong decline from the peak. Current structure: Wave (C) peaks at the 4,128 – 4,130 USD region and strong selling pressure appears. The price then creates a temporary bottom (D) but does not touch the Demand Zone at 4,007 USD, indicating the BUY side still has strength. Currently, the price is in a small upward adjustment phase to form wave (E). Key points: The major trend still leans towards an increase as long as the bottom at 4,007 USD is not broken. The BUY side is looking for a complete structure to continue pushing up to the FVG region. 💎 Key Technical Zones 1. Fibo Retracement Zone — 4,092 USD Confluence region of: Fibo 0.5 – 0.618 Adjustment structure (small wave) → Suitable for light SELL scalp, according to candle reaction signals. 2. FVG Zone — 4,128 – 4,151 USD This is a large FVG region, coinciding with the market's "loss cost." If the price pushes up as expected in wave (E), this is the main SELL region of the day. 3. Supply Zone — 4,207 – 4,210 USD Extremely strong region, if the price breaks the FVG, it will move to this region. This is the extended target for the BUY side if the market rises strongly. 4. Demand Zone — 4,007 – 4,020 USD The strongest liquidity bottom region of the session. If the price breaks 4,092 and does not maintain structure, gold will retest this region before a major increase. 🎯 Trading Plan – According to the current chart 1️⃣ SELL Scalp – Main scenario Wait for the price to retrace to the Fibo 4,092 USD region and observe the reaction: Entry: 4,092 SL: 4,105 TP1: 4,075 TP2: 4,060 TP3: 4,030 (lower FVG) → This is a short-term scalp order, suitable for the current weak market. 2️⃣ SELL Setup – FVG Zone If the price breaks 4,092 and runs up to FVG: Entry: 4,126 – 4,151 SL: 4,160 TP1: 4,092 TP2: 4,060 TP3: 4,030 → This is the best SELL region of the day. 3️⃣ BUY Setup – Demand Zone Only activate if the market drops deeply: Entry: 4,020 – 4,007 SL: 3,995 TP1: 4,060 TP2: 4,092 TP3: 4,128 – 4,151 → Buy according to the major trend when the price reaches the liquidity bottom region. 🧠 Vincent’s View The current market is in a controlled adjustment phase. Priority: ✔ SELL scalp at 4,092 ✔ Beautiful SELL at 4,126–4,151 ✔ BUY only activates when reaching 4,020–4,007 The major trend is still waiting to complete the wave pattern to push up to the Supply Zone 4,207 USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Technical Rebound to FVG, Prioritise WATCHING FOR SELL at 4📊 Market Structure Gold has completed a strong decline from the peak of 4.21x, leaving consecutive Break of Structure (BoS), confirming a short-term bearish structure. The drop through the Breakout zone of 4.10x indicates a dominant selling force. Currently, the price is bouncing from the Premium Zone 4.05x, aligning with the technical rebound behaviour after a strong sell-off. The BUY side is merely pulling the price back to the abandoned liquidity zones (FVG 4.12x – 4.15x) before the SELL side can regain control. The upper FVG zone is where the price often returns to fill after a steep fall. This is also the confluence zone between: FVG (Fair Value Gap) Old candle body Breaker Fibonacci Premium → The risk of selling at these zones is very high. 💎 Key Technical Zones Rebound zone for Sell FVG 1: 4.101 – 4.126 FVG 2 (Strong Confluence): 4.126 – 4.150 Support zone – target to hit Premium Zone $$$: 4.050 – 4.052 Lower FVG: 4.030 – 4.035 High probability price scenario: Rebound to FVG → reaction → continue to decline to 4.03x. 🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritise SELL 1️⃣ SELL Setup – High Probability Wait for price to rebound to the above FVG zones: Entry SELL: 4.118 – 4.126 Can add orders at higher: 4.140 – 4.150 Stop-loss: above 4.158 TP1: 4.101 TP2: 4.050 TP3: 4.030 ✔️ This is a trend-following setup, selling at premium, adhering to SMC principles. ✔️ The current price is just beginning the rebound, not yet meeting BUY conditions. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Only activate on deep Discount Entry BUY: 4.030 – 4.035 (Lower FVG) SL: below 4.020 TP: 4.070 – 4.100 → BUY is only for counter-trend traders and must wait for a clear discount. 🧠 Vincent’s View The market is in a distribution – decline phase, every rebound aims to pull liquidity. As long as the price does not close above 4.150, SELL remains the optimal strategy for the day. Observe closely when the price hits 4.12x – 4.15x, this is a “high-risk” zone for the BUY side and a “great opportunity” for the SELL side. “Sell where the liquidity lives — that’s where institutions strike.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 17/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Maintains Uptrend, Watch for Pullback to Buy with Cash Flow🔍 Context & Market Structure After a strong upward impulse from a low liquidity area, the price has broken the downtrend structure and formed a bullish BoS on H1. Currently, gold is accumulating above the Support Zone at 4,183 USD after creating a new peak and leaving a FVG just below the current price . Above is the Liquidity Zone $$$ around 4,232 USD – a concentration of sell-side stop losses and buy-side profit-taking orders, likely to create a “final push” that attracts liquidity. => Overall: the main trend remains bullish , prioritising waiting for a pullback to discount levels to buy with the trend rather than chasing orders at high levels. 💎 Key Technical Zones Liquidity Zone $$$: around 4,232 USD – upper liquidity area, prone to profit-taking reactions. Current FVG: price gap area just below the current price (around 4.20x) – expected to “fill the gap” before continuing. Support Zone 1: 4,183 USD – nearest support, confluence with the area where the upward impulse began to slow. Support Zone 2: 4,140 USD – stronger support, aligning with the old structure. Liquidity Clear: 4,101 USD – lower liquidity area, if swept, it would be a very attractive discount for swing buyers. 📈 Proposed Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy with the trend at FVG / 4,183 USD Priority to wait for the price to: Either fill the FVG around 4.20x and show a rejection candle, Or clearly retest Support 4,183 USD with a bullish reversal signal on M15–H1. When a confirmation signal appears: → Consider buying (BUY) around 4.19x – 4.18x . Stoploss: below 4,175 USD (below the nearest low and support). TP reference: TP1: 4,210 USD TP2: 4,232 USD (Liquidity Zone $$$) TP3: trailing if the price breaks through 4,232 and maintains the bullish structure. 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario – Deeper Pullback Before Continuing Upward If the price clearly breaks 4,183 USD and closes an H1 candle below: → Avoid buying hastily, wait for the price to continue adjusting to Support 4,140 USD or even Liquidity Clear 4,101 USD . At these zones, if there appears: strong rejection candles, or small reversal structures (bullish ChoCH on M15), → Then consider buying at a discount with better RR, targeting a return to 4,183 → 4,210 → 4,232 USD. 3️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario (for experienced scalpers only) If the price hits Liquidity Zone 4,232 USD but shows strong rejection (long wick, high sell volume): → Consider short-term sell scalp back to the 4.20x – 4,183 USD area. This is a counter-trend trade, so: keep the volume small, short TP, tight SL above the newly formed peak. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Do not FOMO buy when the price is testing near the 4.23x area – this is a prone-to-sell area. Prioritise waiting for a pullback to FVG / Support for a better entry point and RR. Always adjust volume according to actual SL, avoid over-leverage during strong market volatility. “Buy the dip in liquidity zones, do not chase orders at the peak – that's how to go with the big money flow.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Bullish Structure, Monitor FVG 4,060📊 Market Structure After completing the structure break (ChoCH + BoS) at the 4,080 USD zone, gold has sustained a strong upward momentum and created Equal High 4,140 – 4,145 USD , corresponding with the short-term resistance Order Block . Currently, the price is technically reacting in this area, indicating short-term profit-taking pressure from buyers after a prolonged rally. The H1 structure remains bullish as the main support zones have not been broken. A potential scenario is that the price will adjust to FVG zones or support to absorb liquidity before bouncing towards the Liquidity Zone 4,197 USD — the upper liquidity peak. 💎 Key Technical Zones • OB & Resistance: 4,127 – 4,140 USD • Support Zone: 4,104 – 4,107 USD • FVG Zone #1: 4,060 – 4,067 USD • FVG Zone #2: 4,031 – 4,037 USD • Liquidity Target: 4,197 USD 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Pullback Scalping If the price reacts sharply downward at the OB zone 4,127 – 4,140 USD: • Entry: 4,132 – 4,137 • SL: 4,150 • TP1: 4,104 • TP2: 4,067 → Short-term trade, leveraging the pullback to the support zone to prepare for the next BUY setup. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Continuation When the price completes its adjustment to the FVG or Support Zone and a bullish signal appears (rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 4,067 or 4,037 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,140 • TP2: 4,197 • TP3: 4,210 → Main setup in the current trend. Prioritize buying at the discount zone after sufficient liquidity is absorbed at the lower zone. 🧠 Vincent’s View The H1 structure remains buyer-favored. Current adjustments are technical, not reversals. The FVG zone around 4,060 USD is a key point to observe price behavior — if a clear reaction occurs, this could be the starting point for the next upward wave to 4,197 USD . “Liquidity fuels the next move — let the market breathe before the impulse.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Reaches Supply Zone: Prepare for a Pullback to FVG📊 Market Structure Gold continues to maintain its bullish structure after breaking the structure high (BoS) at the 4,000 USD zone and forming a steep bullish channel over the past 3 sessions. Currently, the price is precisely hitting the Order Block 4,140 – 4,150 USD — a critical supply zone formed from the previous distribution. The H1 candle is showing slight technical reaction signs , implying the potential for a short pullback to re-accumulate liquidity. If a pullback occurs, the Premium Zone 4,080 – 4,085 USD and FVG 4,025 – 4,035 USD will be ideal areas to look for buy signals. The bullish structure is only invalidated if the H1 candle closes below the Support 4,006 USD zone. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block: 4,140 – 4,150 USD → main supply zone, where profit-taking pressure appears • Premium Zone: 4,080 – 4,085 USD → medium-term rebalancing zone • FVG Zone: 4,025 – 4,035 USD → potential discounted price zone for BUY orders • Support Zone: 4,000 – 4,006 USD → critical defense zone 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at OB 4,145 USD If the price continues to react downwards at the 4,140 – 4,150 USD supply zone: • Entry: 4,143 – 4,147 • SL: 4,155 • TP1: 4,085 • TP2: 4,035 → Short-term setup, targeting the rebalancing zone before buying back in line with the trend. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Continuation from FVG Zone When the price pulls back to the FVG / Premium Zone and creates a confirmed bullish signal: • Entry: 4,030 – 4,035 • SL: 4,006 • TP1: 4,090 • TP2: 4,145 • TP3: 4,170 → Trend-following setup, preferred when the price re-accumulates and a clear rejection appears. 🧠 Vincent’s View Buyers still control the market, but the current OB touch may trigger a short pullback before the bullish wave continues. The ideal scenario is “tap OB → pullback FVG → continuation,” maintaining a stable bullish structure towards the 4,170 USD target. “Buy the dip where fear replaces greed — that’s where the next impulse begins.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Retests FVG Preparing for a New Uptrend, Target 4,120 USD📊 Market Structure Gold has officially broken the bearish structure (BoS + ChoCH) by surpassing the 4,025 USD zone, confirming a significant shift in market momentum. Following a series of consecutive BoS and a break of the downtrend line, the price is entering a balanced retest phase (FVG 4,030 – 4,040 USD) . As long as the price maintains above the 4,020 USD support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and it is expected to target the Liquidity Zone 4,070 – 4,090 USD , further extending to the Order Block 4,118 – 4,125 USD . 💎 Key Technical Zones • FVG Retest Zone: 4,030 – 4,040 USD • Trendline Support: around 4,000 USD • Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,090 USD • Final Target (OB): 4,118 – 4,125 USD 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Main FVG Retest If the price retraces to the FVG zone of 4,030 – 4,040 USD and forms a bullish confirmation signal (bullish candle / rejection wick): • Entry: 4,033 – 4,038 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,070 • TP2: 4,090 • TP3: 4,120 → Enter at the “discount” zone after the market absorbs liquidity. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Defensive (deep trendline retest) If the price slightly sweeps the small OB zone around the trendline: • Entry: 3,998 – 4,004 • SL: 3,985 • TP1: 4,070 • TP2: 4,120 → The structure remains intact, this entry has a high RR, suitable for mid-term swing. ⚠️ Invalidation: • If the price closes an H1 candle below 3,985 USD → the short-term uptrend is invalidated. 🧠 Vincent’s View The buyers are fully controlling the H1 structure after breaking the downtrend line that lasted nearly 2 weeks. The price is likely to complete the FVG – trendline – breakout retest before continuing to expand towards the liquidity peak of 4,120 USD. This is the “buy-the-dip” strategic phase for this week. “Smart money buys the discount while everyone waits for confirmation.” ⚜️🟡 ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
XAU/USD – Retest Before Takeoff📊 Market Structure After several days of fluctuating within a narrow range, gold has finally broken through the main descending trendline extending from the peak of 4,108 USD. Buyers are currently controlling the short-term structure by continuously creating BoS (Break of Structure) in the price range of 3,965 – 3,980 USD. The Order Block 3,970 – 3,975 USD area has become an important dynamic support zone , converging with the newly formed trendline. If the price continues to hold above this area, there is a high possibility of a light retest to absorb liquidity before breaking out to higher resistance zones. Above, the Resistance 4,028 USD zone is the first barrier to overcome to confirm the medium-term uptrend, while the Liquidity Zone around 4,070 – 4,080 USD is the extended target of the breakout. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block (Support): 3,970 – 3,975 USD → potential retest area. • Resistance Zone: 4,028 USD → first profit-taking point for buyers. • Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,080 USD → extended target if resistance is successfully broken. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Retest OB: If the price adjusts to the 3,970 – 3,975 USD area and a confirming candle signal appears (bullish rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 3,972 – 3,975 • SL: 3,960 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 4,028 • TP3: 4,070 → Prioritize trading with the trend after the uptrend structure is confirmed. 2️⃣ SELL Scenario – Reaction at Resistance: If the price hits the 4,028 – 4,070 USD area and there is a strong reversal signal: • Entry: 4,045 • SL: 4,065 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 3,985 → Short-term scalp, only activate if a clear rejection signal appears. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is showing signs of transitioning from accumulation to range expansion . Breaking the descending trendline is the first signal for a new upward move, as long as the OB 3,970 area remains intact. Buyers can take advantage of pullbacks to increase their position, targeting 4,070 USD – where significant liquidity converges above. “Break the line, respect the retest — that’s where smart money joins the move.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 07/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Testing Resistance, Compression Structure Set to Break📊 Market Structure On the H1 chart, gold is forming a compression structure between the Support 3,944 USD and Resistance 3,989 USD zones. The recent lows create a series of Higher Lows along the rising trendline – indicating buyers are quietly absorbing supply around the lower region. However, the 3,989 USD zone remains the central resistance axis , converging with the descending trendline formed from the previous peak (4,028 USD). Each time the price hits this zone, a short-term profit-taking reaction occurs, showing strong defense from sellers. Below the support zone, the Premium Zone 3,944 USD continues to be the main pivot point – where the price has previously surged strongly in the last two sessions. If this zone is breached, the short-term bullish structure will be invalidated, opening up the possibility of returning to the Liquidity Zone around 3,921 – 3,892 USD . Conversely, if the price closes above 3,989 USD , the market will confirm a Bullish Break of Structure (BoS), triggering an extended target towards 4,028 – 4,052 USD . 💎 Key Technical Zones • Resistance Zone 1: 3,989 USD → main resistance, strong reaction zone. • Resistance Zone 2: 4,028 – 4,052 USD → upper liquidity target zone. • Support Zone: 3,944 USD → dynamic support, converging with the rising trendline. • Liquidity Zone: 3,921 – 3,892 USD → the last zone protecting the bullish structure. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Await Confirmed Breakout: If the price closes above 3,989 USD and successfully retests: • Entry: 3,985 – 3,995 • SL: 3,965 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 4,028 • TP3: 4,052 2️⃣ SELL Scenario – React at Resistance: If a reversal candlestick pattern appears at 3,989 USD: • Entry: 3,985 – 3,990 • SL: 4,000 • TP1: 3,965 • TP2: 3,950 • TP3: 3,944 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is in a “compression before breakout” phase, with liquidity concentrated around the 3,989 USD zone. If this zone is broken, the price could quickly surge to the supply area above 4,028 – 4,052 USD. If it fails, a price rejection here could pull gold back to the rising trendline at 3,950 USD. “Compression breeds expansion — let price show which side holds conviction.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 06/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Forms New Liquidity Low, Buyers Return🔍 Market Context Gold has completed a significant liquidity sweep around the 3,929 – 3,921 USD zone, clearing out the stop-losses of weak buyers before bouncing back strongly. The bullish candle reaction at this zone indicates strong absorption from large capital flows, opening the possibility of forming a technical recovery wave towards the supply zone (OB – FVG) above. In the short term, the market structure temporarily shifts to a bullish bias , as long as the price holds above this Liquidity Zone. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,929 – 3,921 USD → newly swept liquidity low, acting as main support. • FVG 1: 3,951 – 3,959 USD → first target of the recovery wave. • FVG 2: 3,977 – 3,985 USD → unfilled price balance zone. • Order Block: 3,995 – 4,022 USD → strong supply resistance, expected reaction upon retest. • Resistance Zone: 4,025 – 4,045 USD → watch for candle reactions to confirm upward momentum or reversal. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Liquidity Sweep Retest • Entry: 3,932 – 3,922 USD (pullback to sweep zone) • Stop Loss: below 3,912 USD • Take Profit:  TP1: 3,965  TP2: 3,975  TP3: 3,987  TP4: 3,995  TP5: 4,022 ➡️ “Buy the discount” strategy by Smart Money: buy after liquidity sweep to catch the technical rebound. 2️⃣ SELL Reaction – OB 4,022 USD If the price approaches the OB 3,995 – 4,022 USD zone and shows reversal signals (strong rejection, bearish engulfing candle), → consider opening a short-term sell (counter-trend scalp) • Entry: 4,015 – 4,020 • SL: 4,030 • TP: 3,990 → 3,970 → 3,940 ⚙️ Market Structure • Temporary uptrend line remains intact. • Liquidity has been swept at the old low → confirming bullish ChoCH . • Confluence structure of FVG + OB + trendline creates favorable conditions for recovery momentum. 📈 Summary Gold has completed the old low liquidity sweep and is in a technical recovery phase. As long as the price stays above 3,921 USD, the short-term trend leans towards bullish retracement . Observe price reactions at the FVG 3,975 – 3,995 USD zone to determine buyer strength. 🔥 “Liquidity fuels direction — once the weak hands are out, the real move begins.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 05/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Accumulated Gold on Support, 3,952 USD is the Gateway for a New 🔍 Market Context Gold is oscillating within a symmetrical triangle pattern , reflecting price compression and waiting for a breakout signal. Buyers still maintain a short-term bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates increasing selling pressure. The zone 3,959–3,964 USD is currently the “balance point” — if this area is breached, the downtrend may extend to the lower liquidity zone around 3,929–3,921 USD . 💎 Key Technical Zones • Resistance Zone: 4,020 – 4,040 USD → the main resistance of the triangle, where strong reactions are likely. • Support Zone: 3,959 – 3,964 USD → the support zone maintaining the bullish structure. • Liquidity Zone: 3,929 – 3,921 USD → a low liquidity zone, potentially attracting price sweeps before reversing. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Preferred when price holds above support • Entry: 3,959 – 3,964 USD • Stop Loss: 3,940 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,985  – TP2: 4,020  – TP3: 4,040  – TP4: 4,096 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – Buy at the trendline support zone when a confirmation signal appears (rejection or bullish ChoCH). 2️⃣ SELL Setup – Scenario if support breaks • Entry: 3,950 – 3,955 USD (after closing a candle below the support zone) • Stop Loss: 3,970 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,935  – TP2: 3,925  – TP3: 3,912 ✳️ “Sell the breakdown” – Sell when support is clearly breached, targeting the lowest liquidity zone (3,912 USD). 💬 Summary Gold is in a phase of accumulation before a major move . If it holds above 3,952 USD → prioritize BUY according to the bullish structure . If it breaks below 3,952 USD → SELL according to the breakout towards the Liquidity Zone. The scenario will be clearly confirmed when the current symmetrical triangle is broken. 💡 Today's Tagline: “Liquidity defines direction — follow where the money hides.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 04/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Accumulating Before Breakout, Target 4,096 USD🔍 Market Context Gold is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern , indicating short-term accumulation before forming a new breakout wave. Following a sharp decline from the peak region of 4,096 USD, the market has shown two instances of Change of Character (ChoCH) – early signs of buying pressure returning. As long as the price holds above the 3,959 – 3,917 USD zone, the short-term bullish structure remains intact. This support zone acts as a crucial “discount zone” in the current accumulation cycle. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Support Zone 1: 3,959 USD → main structure holding zone, coinciding with the lower trendline. • Support Zone 2: 3,917 USD → final liquidity reaction zone. • Resistance Zone: 4,040 USD → potential break & retest zone. • Liquidity Zone: 4,096 USD → expansion target if the peak is breached. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritise bullish structure • Entry: 3,959 – 3,917 USD • Stop Loss: 3,905 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,985  – TP2: 4,040  – TP3: 4,072  – TP4: 4,096 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – prioritise buy orders at the confluence support zone of trendline + FVG to follow the SMC flow. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Secondary strategy when price reacts at the peak • Entry: 4,096 USD • Stop Loss: 4,108 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 4,072  – TP2: 4,040  – TP3: 3,985 ✳️ “Sell the premium” – only activate if there is a strong price rejection signal at the liquidity peak. 💬 Summary The short-term trend of gold remains bullish as the price stays above the trendline and continuously forms higher lows. The main strategy is buy the dip – sell reaction around the 3,959 → 4,096 USD zone. The confirmation of a strong uptrend will be when the price closes steadily above 4,040 USD . “Smart money accumulates in silence before the market makes noise.” ⏰ Time Frame: 1H 📅 Update: 03/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Short-Term Uptrend, Target $4,108🔍 Market Context Gold continues to uphold a short-term uptrend structure after forming a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) around the 3,926 USD zone. Buyers are in control as prices consistently create higher lows and react positively at the Order Block + Supporting Trendline zone. As long as prices remain above the 3,940–3,926 USD area, the uptrend structure is preserved. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block Bullish: 3,926 USD → main support zone, confluence with rising trendline. • Fair Value Gap (FVG): 3,942 – 3,972 USD → potential liquidity absorption zone. • Resistance Zone: 4,032 USD → short-term resistance, needs to be broken to confirm continued uptrend. • Liquidity Zone: 4,108 USD → expansion target if the above resistance is breached. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritise catching the retracement from support zone • Entry: 3,942 – 3,926 USD • Stop Loss: 3,910 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,972  – TP2: 4,032  – TP3: 4,064  – TP4: 4,108 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – Prioritise orders in the confluence zone of OB + FVG to follow Smart Money flow. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Short-term at resistance zone • Entry: 4,032 – 4,048 USD • Stop Loss: 4,060 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 4,010  – TP2: 3,972  – TP3: 3,942 ✳️ “Sell the premium” – Activate only if clear price rejection signals appear at resistance. 💬 Summary The current structure still leans towards bullish short-term with the 3,926 USD zone as the key invalidation zone . As long as prices stay above the trendline, the immediate target is the 4,108 USD liquidity zone. Optimal strategy: Buy on dip – Sell on reaction. “Smart Money buys fear, sells greed — follow the footprints, not the noise.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 31/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Rebounds Toward OB, but Deeper Correction May Follow🔍 Market Context After forming a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a clear Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, gold dropped sharply from 4,080–4,100 USD, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish structure. Price is now making a technical rebound, forming Lower Highs toward the Order Block 4,012 USD — aligning with a small Fair Value Gap (FVG) , suggesting new selling pressure may emerge. This rebound is seen as a “pullback retest supply” within a completed bearish setup. If the 4,012 USD supply zone reacts strongly, price may extend its drop toward lower liquidity pools. 💎 Key Technical Structure BoS (bearish): confirms a break below prior bullish structure. Order Block (OB): 4,010–4,020 USD → main supply area confluencing with FVG. FVG zone: 3,985–4,010 USD → technical retracement zone. Supply Zone: 3,891–3,895 USD → temporary support, may be swept. Liquidity Zone: 3,850–3,860 USD → key liquidity target. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Retest OB 4,010–4,020 USD Entry: 4,010 – 4,020 SL: 4,035 Take Profit: 3,985 - 3,965 - 3,945 - 3,915 - 3,890/Open ✅ Condition: Wait for price to retest FVG–OB with clear bearish confirmation (strong rejection, bearish engulfing, or minor ChoCH on M15). ➡️ Trend-follow setup – sell after price retests supply zone. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Liquidity Zone 3,850 USD Entry: 3,850 – 3,860 SL: 3,830 TP1: 3,870 - 3,885 - 3,900 - 3,920 - 3,940/Open ✅ Condition: Wait for strong absorption or bullish reversal signal (long-tail rejection or bullish ChoCH on M15–H1). ➡️ Counter-trend scalp setup for reversal traders. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise SELLs below 4,035 USD. BUYs only valid with confirmation at Liquidity Zone. Avoid mid-range trading (3,920–3,970) to reduce noise. 💬 Conclusion Gold remains in a bearish trend after breaking prior bullish structure. As long as price stays below 4,035 USD , downside momentum prevails. Next major target: 3,891 – 3,851 USD . 👉 Strategic Plan: Sell 4,010–4,020 | SL 4,035 | TP 3,985 → 3,890 🎯 Buy 3,850–3,860 | SL 3,830 | TP 3,870 → 3,940 🎯 💎 Price never lies — liquidity always reveals the truth. ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 29/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD | Gold to drop 2000PIPS, where is the best sell zone?🔍 Market Context After breaking the medium-term upward structure at the main Trendline , gold has formed a distinct series of Lower High – Equal Low (EqL) , indicating a phase shift from bullish to bearish. Currently, the price is fluctuating around the 3,960–3,970 USD zone – this is a temporary liquidity accumulation area before moving up to retest the resistance at 4,015–4,050 USD , which was previously a Demand Zone now turned into Supply Zone . If a strong bearish reaction occurs here, the price is likely to extend its decline towards the Order Block 3,945–3,960 USD zone, or even deeper to the Premium Zone 3,884 USD . 💎 Key Technical Structure Main Trendline: broken, confirming a structural change (ChoCH). Resistance Zone: 4,010–4,015 → quick reaction resistance. Supply Zone: 4,043–4,060 → strong technical retracement zone. Premium Zone: 3,884–3,900 → discount zone, potential temporary bottom. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Zone 1 – Scalp Reaction at Resistance Zone Entry: 4,010 – 4,015 SL: 4,025 Take Profit : 4,005 - 3,995 - 3,975 - 3,965 - Open ➡️ Quick scalp reaction at nearby resistance – suitable for trading during London/NY sessions. 2️⃣ SELL Zone 2 – Major Retest at Supply Zone Entry: 4,043 – 4,060 SL: 4,065 Take Profit : 4,050 - 4,040 - 4,030 - 4,020 - 4,010/Open ➡️ Main setup – retest of confluence supply zone with broken trendline, high probability if strong rejection on H1/H4. 3️⃣ SELL Continuation – Break & Retest below 3,945 USD Entry: 3,945 – 3,950 SL: 3,965 TP: 3,884 ➡️ Setup breaks EqL bottom confirming continuation of downtrend, targeting Premium Zone. 4️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Premium Zone 3,900 USD Entry: 3,900 SL: 3,880 TP1: 3,910 - 3,920 - 3,930 - 3,940 - 3,950/Open ✅ Condition: Only buy when a strong reaction candle appears (long-tail rejection / ChoCH bullish on M15–H1). ➡️ This is the final discount zone before major capital can return to the market – technical reversal setup, low risk / high reward. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise SELL at supply zones, BUY at Premium – avoid trading in the middle of the range. Reduce volume on scalp setups (Sell 1). If price closes above 4,070 → short-term downtrend is invalidated. 💬 Conclusion Gold is still under short-term bearish pressure, however, the 3,884–3,900 USD zone may serve as strong support. The appropriate strategy is to utilise the two resistance zones for Selling and observe technical Buying at the Premium bottom. 👉 Comprehensive Strategy: Sell 4,010–4,015 | SL 4,025 | TP 4,005 → 3,965 🎯 Sell 4,043–4,060 | SL 4,065 | TP 4,050 → 4,010 🎯 Buy 3,900 | SL 3,880 | TP 3,910 → 3,950 🎯 🔥 “Trade with patience, react at precision zones — that’s how consistency is built.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 28/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Plan |Gold Gradually Accumulating, Ready for a Rebound Wave?🔍 Market Context After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold underwent a deep correction, breaking the short-term bullish structure (BoS) and retesting the OB Bearish zone above . However, since the price returned to the 4,040 – 4,060 USD area, the market has clearly shown signs of liquidity absorption ($$$) and maintained an internal uptrend line, indicating that buying momentum is returning. The current structure suggests gold is in a re-accumulation phase before forming a medium-term rebound wave towards the 4,185 → 4,243 USD zone. The buyers hold the advantage as long as the price does not break the main support trendline. 💎 Key Technical Structure Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 USD → a strong support zone confluencing with the trendline, where institutional buying forces have appeared. Support Trendline: connecting the series of higher lows from 15/10 → the short-term trend remains bullish. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,060 – 4,080 → supply absorption zone, confirming its role as a “price base”. Resistance Zone: 4,149 – 4,185 → the first resistance zone to break to confirm the recovery momentum. Target FVG / Supply Zone: 4,243 – 4,250 → potential profit-taking zone or point to consider reversal. Current structure: → Short-term: bullish corrective move. → Medium-term: potential for forming an extended recovery wave if it holds above 4,040 USD. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Trendline / Liquidity Zone 4,060 USD Entry: 4,060 – 4,070 SL: 4,035 TP1: 4,149 TP2: 4,185 TP3: 4,243 ✅ Condition: Price touches the trendline or liquidity zone 4,060 and shows a bullish reversal signal (rejection / bullish engulfing). ➡️ This is a high-probability setup, confluencing the trendline structure + liquidity support zone, often where large buyers re-enter the market. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Break & Retest resistance zone 4,149 USD Entry: 4,149 – 4,155 SL: 4,130 TP1: 4,185 TP2: 4,243 ✅ Condition: Wait for the price to break the resistance zone 4,149 with strong volume, then lightly retest without closing the candle below 4,130. ➡️ Trend-following setup – confirms the return of buying momentum and extends the target to the FVG zone 4,243 USD. 3️⃣ SELL Setup (Scalp Reaction) – FVG 4,243 USD Entry: 4,240 – 4,245 SL: 4,255 TP: 4,185 → 4,150 ✅ Condition: Only execute if there is a strong reaction at FVG 4,243 without a continuation break signal. ➡️ Short-term technical sell – exploiting the supply zone reaction, do not hold the position long. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise trading in the buy direction, avoid selling against the main trend. If H2 closes the candle below 4,035 → bullish scenario invalid, wait for a new structure. Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,090–4,130). Keep moderate volume, move SL to breakeven when the price exceeds 4,149. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in an ascending re-accumulation phase after a strong decline. As long as the price holds the trendline and support zone 4,040 – 4,060 USD, there is a high chance gold will rebound following the liquidity + breakout retest model, with the main target being 4,185 → 4,243 USD . If it breaks through 4,243 USD, the market may trigger a stronger recovery momentum towards 4,300 – 4,340 USD . 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy 4,060–4,070 → TP 4,185 / 4,243 USD Add Buy when breaking 4,149 USD with volume confirmation. Technical Sell 4,243 USD if there is no signal to break higher. 🔥 “As long as 4,040 holds, gold remains in accumulation — patience will pay.” ⏰ Timeframe: 2H 📅 Update: 27/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context After a prolonged decline from the peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD zone, where the selling side was completely absorbed by strong buying pressure from the demand zone below. The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the appearance of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum. This indicates a high possibility that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the FVG resistance zone above, or even expand back to the ATH zone if buying pressure continues. 💎 Key Technical Structure Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom zone, increased volume appears, confirming absorption of sell orders. Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → starting zone for recovery momentum; if the price retests this zone and holds → confirmation signal for an upward phase. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): • FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave. • FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence of medium-term resistance. OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if the price surpasses → confirmation of a new upward trend. Current market structure: → Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone). → Medium-term: waiting for confirmation to break 4,234 to transition to a complete bullish structure. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest the Order Block 4,081 USD Entry: 4,081 – 4,085 SL: 4,060 TP1: 4,196 TP2: 4,234 TP3: 4,370 ✅ Conditions: Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 zone, a confirmation signal for an increase appears (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15. ➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to the confluence of OB + ChoCH + strong demand zone. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD Entry: 4,196 – 4,200 SL: 4,180 TP: 4,234 → 4,370 ✅ Conditions: The price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing candles below 4,180. ➡️ Trend-following setup, following the money flow when the price confirms breaking the short-term resistance zone. 📉 Alternative Scenario – SELL reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp) Entry: 4,234 – 4,240 SL: 4,255 TP: 4,196 → 4,100 ✅ Conditions: If the price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment phase may appear. ➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if there is no continuation confirmation at FVG2. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise BUY according to the main recovery trend, only SELL when there is a clear reaction. Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,130–4,180). If the price closes H1 candles below 4,060 → invalidate the recovery trend, pause all buy orders. 💬 Conclusion Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal . Two important zones to monitor: 4,081 USD (OB Zone): first rebound support zone. 4,234 USD (FVG Zone): zone confirming a new upward structure. If the price holds OB and breaks through FVG, there is a high chance gold will resume its upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) zone. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD. Sell reaction 4,234 USD only when a clear reversal signal appears. 🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 23/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.” 🔍 Market Context After reaching the historic peak ATH GOLD 4,381 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe. Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak. The sellers are regaining short-term dominance, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — which was the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend. If this zone is decisively broken, it is highly likely that the medium-term bullish structure will break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD. 💎 Technical Analysis Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction. Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, may see a temporary pause. Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum creation zone → ATH; if breached, long-term bullish structure is invalidated. Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken. Overall Structure: → Short-term: bearish corrective phase. → Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not broken. 📉 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone Entry: 4,216 – 4,228 SL: 4,240 TP1: 4,043 TP2: 3,956 TP3: 3,689 ✅ Condition: Wait for a clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at the FVG resistance zone. ➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow post-ChoCH, targeting the key OB zone 3,953 USD. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD Entry: 3,956 – 3,953 SL: 3,940 TP: 4,043 → 4,216 ✅ Condition: Price holds OB and a strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again). ➡️ This is the decisive zone for the medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if it breaks, gold enters a new deep decline cycle. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 with reversal signals. BUY at 3,953 only with a clear reaction; if broken, cease all buy orders. When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD. 💬 Conclusion Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) . If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280; but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase towards 3,689 USD – where a large liquidity pool is concentrated at the bottom. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if clear reversal signals appear. Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if strong reaction; If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritise SELL continuation. 🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H – reference H4/Daily 📅 Update: 22/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Technical Rebound Prepares for Next Waveb]🔍 Market Context After reaching a peak at the ATH GOLD 4,391 USD region, gold has undergone a technical correction — reflecting temporary profit-taking following a strong upward trend. The market structure still maintains a bullish bias as the support zones below (FVG + OB) remain intact and untested. Currently, the price is hovering around 4,325 USD, indicating that selling pressure has weakened. Buyers are likely to return at two strategic zones below — where institutional money (Smart Money) typically accumulates positions before the next upward wave. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,391 USD Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,465 – 4,424 USD → the upper liquidity zone, the main target for the next upward wave. FVG Zone: 4,284 – 4,267 USD → an unfilled gap, likely to be retested. Order Block Zone: 4,244 – 4,230 USD → deep discount zone confluence with Fibo 0.786, high probability of strong reaction. Liquidity Clear $$$: 4,186 – 4,190 USD → the last defense zone of the main upward trend. Overall structure remains bullish ; the current decline is merely a phase of adjustment to “accumulate liquidity” before continuing the upward momentum. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – FVG Zone 4,267 USD Entry: 4,267 – 4,270 SL: 4,255 TP: 4,330 → 4,366 → 4,391 ✅ Condition: Confirming bullish candle (rejection / engulfing bullish) at the FVG zone or a small BoS appears on M15. ➡️ Short-term “buy-the-dip” setup, leveraging the unfilled FVG zone — where technical buyers often initiate positions first. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Order Block Zone 4,244 USD Entry: 4,244 – 4,230 SL: 4,210 TP: 4,284 → 4,366 → 4,391 → 4,424 ✅ Condition: Strong confirming candle (engulfing bullish) or a retracement pattern breaking a small BoS back up. ➡️ Swing-buy setup at deep discount zone — confluence of OB + Fibo 0.786, high probability and optimal R:R. ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying in the middle of the range (4,320–4,340). Prioritize waiting for clear reactions at 4,267 and 4,244 before entering trades. If the price closes an H1 candle below 4,210 → pause all buy orders, re-evaluate price action at 4,186. Maintain moderate trading volume during the current rebound phase. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in a phase of healthy technical correction within a major upward trend. The two zones 4,267 USD (FVG Zone) and 4,244 USD (Order Block Zone) are key “accumulation” areas for large capital. When bullish confirmation signals appear, these will be safe buy positions before gold heads back to the peak 4,391 – 4,465 USD . 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy at 4,267 – 4,270 USD if reversal confirmation occurs. Buy at 4,244 – 4,230 USD if a strong OB reaction signal appears. 🔥 “Smart money waits at precise levels — not at the top. The next gold wave will emerge between 4.267 and 4.244.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD PLAN | When balanced breaks, strength leaves its mark.🔍 Market Context After setting a short-term peak at the 4,385 – 4,372 USD zone, gold has entered a strong technical correction phase, with a series of consecutive red candles breaking the short-term upward structure. The sellers temporarily dominate, pushing the price through the H1 upward trendline. However, the support zone below (Liquidity Zone + Order Block Bullish) is beginning to show absorption, indicating that buyers might return at discounted price zones. 💎 Technical Analysis Previous Bullish BoS: confirms the main trend is still long-term bullish . FVG Down Zone: 4,285 – 4,260 USD → a price imbalance zone left in the downtrend, possibly where the price may retrace to “fill the gap” before choosing a direction. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,222 – 4,218 USD → a short-term support zone where new buying liquidity appears. Order Block Bullish: 4,203 – 4,185 USD → a confluence area between OB and Fibo 0.786, where large capital might return. Deep Bullish OB: 4,142 – 4,128 USD → the last defensive zone for the main upward trend. Order Block Bearish: 4,372 – 4,385 USD → a critical resistance zone, likely to react if the price retraces. The current structure shows gold is in a retracement – liquidity rebalancing phase, with insufficient signals to reverse the trend. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy reaction at Liquidity zone 4,222 – 4,203 USD Entry: 4,222 – 4,203 SL: 4,185 TP: 4,260 → 4,318 → 4,372 ✅ Condition: Strong rejection candle (rejection / engulfing bullish) appears at the support zone or small reversal BoS. ➡️ This is a “buy the dip” setup following the main trend, leveraging the liquidity zone and confluence OB. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Sell reaction at FVG Down 4,285 – 4,260 USD Entry: 4,260 – 4,285 SL: 4,300 TP: 4,222 → 4,203 ✅ Condition: Strong bearish candle or rejection signal appears at the FVG zone. ➡️ This setup is for scalping traders or short-term shorts in the unfilled price balance zone. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not FOMO buy when the price has not confirmed the 4,222 zone. If the price breaks below 4,185 → wait for a re-test to continue selling towards the 4,128 zone. Keep moderate volume, as the market is in a rebalancing phase – liquidity remains noisy. 💬 Conclusion Gold is in a transitional phase after a strong decline . The 4,222 – 4,203 USD zone will be key to determining whether the medium-term upward trend continues. If this zone holds, gold is likely to retest the 4,318 – 4,372 USD zone. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy reaction at 4,222 – 4,203 USD when confirmed. Technical Sell at FVG 4,260 – 4,285 USD if a clear rejection appears. 🔥 “When the market is unbalanced, the strongest side will leave a mark – and this time, the mark is around the 4,220 USD zone.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
2
Gold Plan | Where will gold drop today?🔍 Market Context Gold continues to maintain a short-term upward trend following a series of Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming active buying from lower zones. Currently, the price is approaching the ATH GOLD zone and heading towards the Liquidity Sell Zone 4,281 USD – a densely liquid area where short-term sell reactions from major players may occur. After a hot rise, technical correction risks are starting to increase. Lower zones like 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD will be potential “accumulation zones” for institutional buyers in the upcoming pullback. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,275 – 4,280 USD Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,281 – 4,285 USD → high liquidity resistance area, may trigger short-term reversal reactions. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,186 – 4,152 USD → crucial support area in the uptrend, where technical reactions are expected. FVG – BoS Zone: 4,152 – 4,148 USD → “price balance” zone yet to be filled, likely to be retested. OB Deep Zone: 4,130 – 4,120 USD → deep demand zone converging with Fibo 0.786 – ideal area for large capital to re-accumulate. Overall structure remains bullish , but in the premium zone – an area where institutions typically distribute orders to gain liquidity before adjusting. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at Liquidity Zone 4,281 USD When the price hits the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone and clear reversal signals appear (rejection candles, bearish engulfing, or minor structure break), → open short-term sell orders (scalp/intraday). Target: 4,186 → 4,152 USD. Stop Loss: above 4,285 USD. ➡️ This is a typical “liquidity sweep – technical reaction” scenario, capitalising on short-term sell-offs at high liquidity peaks. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Buy back following the main trend after correction When the price corrects to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone or deeper to OB Deep 4,130 USD , and clear upward confirmation signals appear (strong rejection or minor BoS increasing again), → open buy orders in line with the main trend. Target: 4,230 → 4,275 USD. Stop Loss: below 4,120 USD. ➡️ Trend-following scenario – waiting for price correction to discount zones to accumulate in line with the larger trend. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not FOMO buy when the price is hitting the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone. Prioritise short-term sells with clear confirmations or buys at lower OB zones. Keep light volume when trading against the main trend. Observe reactions at the 4,186 zone – this is the key level of the day. 💬 Conclusion Gold is at the peak of the current rise , short-term profit-taking pressure may appear around the 4,281 USD zone. If strong reactions occur, a correction to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone is reasonable for market rebalancing. The larger trend remains upward , so lower OB zones will be reasonable buy opportunities for the next wave. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell reaction at 4,281 USD when reversal signals appear. Buy back at 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD when confirmation signals appear.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Buyers Reclaim Structure, Targeting Liquidity Zone🔍 Market Context After a strong Liquidity Sweep yesterday, gold has rebounded and formed consecutive Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming buyers have regained control. The price has now filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG 4,191 – 4,202) and is heading towards the Sell Liquidity Zone 4,237 – 4,240 USD — a concentration of pending sell orders and stop-losses from previous short positions. The current structure shows strong bullish momentum , however, the possibility of a correction from this high liquidity area is noteworthy. 💎 Technical Analysis Liquidity Sweep: Completed, clearing liquidity below 4,070. FVG (Fair Value Gap): 4,191 – 4,202 → filled, confirming price balance. Sell Liquidity Zone: 4,237 – 4,240 → potential resistance zone, likely strong reaction. OB Zone | Buy: 4,143 – 4,145 → nearby support, expected first reaction when price corrects. OB Deep | Buy: 4,110 – 4,115 → deep demand zone, confluence with Premium Zone 4,156 – 4,118. Overall Structure: The main trend remains bullish , with strong upward momentum but requires a technical correction for re-accumulation. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at liquidity zone When the price approaches the Sell Liquidity Zone 4,237 – 4,240 USD , observe candlestick reaction (rejection, bearish engulfing). If confirmation signals appear, open a short-term sell order . Target: OB Buy Zone 4,145 → 4,110 USD. Stop Loss: above 4,245 USD. ➡️ This is a liquidity reaction setup, high probability when the market encounters resistance confluence with Fibonacci zone 0.786–1.0. 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario – Buy with trend from OB If the price corrects to the OB Zone 4,143 – 4,145 USD and shows a clear reaction (strong rejection or minor structure break), → a buy with the main trend can be opened. Target: return to 4,200 → 4,235 USD. Stop Loss: below 4,130 USD. If the price drops further, the OB Deep Buy 4,110 – 4,115 USD will be the final “liquidity attraction” zone for a new upward bounce. ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying at 4,200+ as it is near the liquidity resistance zone. Prioritise short-term sell at 4,237 if clear signals are present. When price corrects to OB, wait for reaction before buying, do not bottom fish early. 💬 Conclusion After completing the liquidity sweep, gold has confirmed a return to bullish structure with multiple consecutive BoS. Currently, the price is approaching the liquidity zone 4,237 USD – a short-term correction is highly likely. The 4,145 – 4,110 USD zone will be where buyers await reaction to accumulate orders and continue the medium-term uptrend. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Short sell at 4,237 USD if reversal signals are present. Wait to buy at OB zone 4,145 – 4,110 USD when clear reaction occurs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent