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XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 28 |WATCHING FOMC + EU TRADE TENSIONS XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 28 | GOLD REBOUNDS SLIGHTLY BUT REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE | WATCHING FOMC + EU TRADE TENSIONS Gold staged a mild technical recovery after last week’s heavy sell-off of nearly $100. While the bounce offers short-term opportunities, overall structure remains under bearish pressure unless bulls can reclaim the upper distribution zone. 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT – TRADE POLICY & MONETARY UNCERTAINTY: Trump has delayed the 50% tariff on EU goods until July, calling recent trade talks “positive.” In response, US 10-year yields spiked back above 4.55%, signaling market expectations for prolonged high interest rates. Meanwhile, the Fed has announced a 10% workforce cut due to ongoing operational losses from interest payments — a rare move that underscores deeper fiscal constraints. ➡️ With mixed risk sentiment and no clear policy direction, Gold remains a safe-haven focus — but vulnerable in the short-term if yields and the dollar continue to rise. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1): Gold is currently trading below the 3,335–3,346 resistance zone, which has repeatedly rejected bullish attempts. If price fails to reclaim this zone, we could see renewed bearish momentum toward the lower FVG support. The Fair Value Gap near 3,248 remains a major zone of interest if sellers regain control. 🔍 TRADE PLAN – UPDATED LEVELS: 🔻 SELL ZONE: 3,344 – 3,346 Stop Loss: 3,350 Take Profit: 3,340 – 3,336 – 3,332 – 3,328 – 3,324 – 3,320 🔻 SELL SCALP: 3,326 – 3,328 Stop Loss: 3,332 Take Profit: 3,322 – 3,318 – 3,314 – 3,310 – 3,305 – 3,300 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,278 – 3,276 Stop Loss: 3,272 Take Profit: 3,282 – 3,286 – 3,290 – 3,294 – 3,298 – 3,302 – 3,310 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,246 – 3,244 Stop Loss: 3,240 Take Profit: 3,250 – 3,254 – 3,258 – 3,262 – 3,266 – 3,270 – 3,280 📌 STRATEGY TIP: Avoid mid-range entries. Let price come to your zones. Prioritize confirmed reactions, especially near structural levels like 3,335 and 3,248.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
GOLD TRADING INSIDE COMPRESSION ZONE WAITING FOR A CLEAR BREAK XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 27 | GOLD TRADING INSIDE A COMPRESSION ZONE – WAITING FOR A CLEAR BREAKOUT Gold continues to consolidate below the 3,364 resistance zone after a rejection late last week. The market is currently trading within a compression range, preparing for a breakout – but direction still depends heavily on macro triggers and technical structure. 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: U.S. 10-year yields remain above 4.5%, keeping the dollar stable and applying short-term pressure on precious metals. The Fed’s cost-cutting moves and operational losses are raising deeper concerns about long-term monetary stability. Risk sentiment is mixed, and institutional money continues to flow cautiously into gold as a long-term value hedge, especially with equities showing signs of exhaustion. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1): Price failed to break through the 3,345–3,364 resistance zone, triggering a pullback toward the mid-range. Key support around 3,311 is now being tested – a decisive level that could determine whether bulls can regain momentum or bears take control. If price breaks below 3,311, we could see a deeper dip toward the 3,298–3,288 demand zone, which may offer a better re-entry for buyers. On the upside, a confirmed break above 3,364 could open the door for a move into the Fair Value Gap toward 3,407. 🔹 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 BUY SCALP Entry: 3,314 – 3,312 Stop Loss: 3,308 Take Profit Targets: 3,318 – 3,322 – 3,326 – 3,330 – 3,340 – 3,350 🔵 BUY ZONE Entry: 3,298 – 3,296 Stop Loss: 3,292 Take Profit Targets: 3,302 – 3,306 – 3,310 – 3,314 – 3,320 – 3,330 🔻 SELL SCALP Entry: 3,346 – 3,348 Stop Loss: 3,350 Take Profit Targets: 3,342 – 3,338 – 3,334 – 3,330 – 3,320 – 3,310 🔻 SELL ZONE Entry: 3,364 – 3,366 Stop Loss: 3,370 Take Profit Targets: 3,360 – 3,356 – 3,352 – 3,348 – 3,344 – 3,340 – 3,330 📌 Note: Price is trading in the mid-range of a larger structure. Best opportunities remain near the edges of support/resistance with confirmation. Avoid overtrading in the middle zone. Let the market come to your areas of value. 💬 If you found this plan helpful, Like + Comment + Follow for daily GOLD strategies from the MMF Team.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Pull Back Before NFP Week?XAUUSD PLAN – 26/05 | Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Pull Back Before NFP Week? Gold is currently trading near a major resistance zone after a sharp rebound last week. With Fed policies still hawkish and trade tensions between the US and EU on hold, the market is entering a wait-and-see phase — ideal for structured trades. 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: Trump Delays 50% Tariffs on EU Until July 9: This cooled market tension temporarily but doesn’t eliminate the risk long term. US 10-Year Yields Surge Back Above 4.55% right after, showing bond markets are still pricing in tighter conditions. The Fed Faces Strategic Losses: As rate hikes increase reserve interest payments, the Fed is trimming 10% of its workforce — a rare signal of operational pressure. ➡️ Investors should brace for volatility ahead of NFP and watch closely for central bank reactions. 🔍 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – H1/H4 View: Gold is respecting a rising channel while consolidating near the 3360–3366 region — a key sell zone with potential for reversal. The chart also shows clear Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) above and below current price, signaling pending liquidity sweeps. 🔑 KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS 🔺 Resistance Zones: 3364 – 3366 → Local top and key reversal zone 3406 – 3408 → FVG upper bound, potential blow-off target if breakout occurs 🔻 Support Zones: 3324 – 3326 → 20 EMA retest, potential bullish bounce 3310 – 3308 → Trendline + EMA89 confluence 3304 → Break below this area could invalidate short-term bull bias 🎯 TRADE SETUPS 🟢 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3326 – 3324 Stop-Loss: 3320 Take-Profit: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3310 – 3308 Stop-Loss: 3304 Take-Profit: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 🔴 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3364 – 3366 Stop-Loss: 3370 Take-Profit: 3360 → 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3406 – 3408 Stop-Loss: 3412 Take-Profit: 3400 → 3396 → 3392 → 3388 → 3385 → 3380 ⚠️ STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION: If price breaks above 3366 with momentum, expect a run to 3408 and possibly 3450. If price rejects 3366 or fails to hold above 3320, scalpers can look for quick shorts with tight stops. 📌 Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range. Wait for strong rejection or breakout confirmation to enter.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
Will Gold Surge with a Gap Up as US-China Trade War Heats Up?XAU/USD Analysis: Will Gold Surge with a Gap Up? (26/5 - 30/5) Fundamental Outlook US-China Trade War: China's halt on US goods imports weakens the USD, boosting gold (inverse USD correlation). Trump’s 50% EU Tariff Threat: Potential EU retaliation could spike global uncertainty, driving investors to gold as a safe haven. Gold Demand: Rising trade tensions and inflation fears are pushing capital into gold, especially in India and China with upcoming festivals. Macro Drivers Monetary Policy: US Fed: Trade war fallout may pressure rate cuts, reducing USD appeal and supporting gold. China’s PBOC: Possible Yuan devaluation could lift gold prices in USD terms. Market Sentiment: Expect VIX spikes from trade uncertainties, favoring gold. Strong physical gold demand in Asia supports prices. Key Events: US PCE inflation and consumer confidence data (watch for high inflation boosting gold). Monitor EU/China trade retaliation statements. Technical Analysis (H4 Chart) Trend: Gold is in a strong ascending channel with support (3,325) and resistance (3,407 - 3,444). Current Price: 3,407.554, testing key resistance (3,407 - 3,444). Support Levels: 3,361.648 (mid-channel), 3,325.347 (channel support). Resistance: 3,444.436 (all-time high). Price Action: Recent Doji candle at resistance suggests possible pullback before continuation. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 3,325 - 3,340 3,361 - 3,407 Scenarios: Bullish: Break above 3,444 with momentum could trigger a gap up, targeting 3,500 Bearish: Failure at 3,444 may lead to a pullback to 3,361 or 3,325. Gap Up Probability: 60% chance at market open (26/5), driven by bullish sentiment. Trading Plan Buy Strategy Entry: 3,361 - 3,370 (pullback to FVG or mid-channel). Take Profit: 3,444 (resistance), 3,500 (breakout target). Stop Loss: Below 3,325 (channel support). Sell Strategy Entry: Sell on rejection at 3,444 with bearish confirmation (e.g., strong bearish candle or head-and-shoulders). Take Profit: 3,361 (FVG zone). Stop Loss: Above 3,444. Best Trading Times Monitor market open (26/5) for gap-up confirmation. Trade during London/New York sessions for optimal liquidity. Key Takeaways Gold is poised for potential upside due to trade war escalation and USD weakness. Watch for a breakout above 3,444 for a possible gap up or a pullback to 3,361 for buying opportunities. Stay updated on US inflation data and trade policy news.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Relief Rally or Trap Before the Next Big Drop? BTC/USD PLAN – MAY 24 | Relief Rally or Trap Before the Next Big Drop? Bitcoin is showing signs of a technical rebound after rejecting from the 111k region. However, macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment are sending mixed signals that require caution moving forward. 🌍 MACRO OVERVIEW: The US Dollar remains strong, supported by persistent high Treasury yields — putting pressure on risk assets like crypto. New tariff tensions between the U.S. and China are shaking markets and tightening global liquidity, which may weigh on speculative assets including Bitcoin. BTC ETF inflows have declined for the second week in a row, suggesting institutions are becoming more cautious after the recent rally. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1 Chart): After bouncing from the key support around 106,800, BTC has initiated a mild retracement toward the 0.5 Fibo at 109,300. Short-term bullish target lies at the 110,000–111,947 area — a heavy confluence zone of supply, trendline resistance, and previous bull trap zone. A failure to break 111,900 may lead to a strong correction back to 106,800, and if that fails, a deeper drop toward 102,567 is likely — a high-liquidity demand zone. 📌 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 SHORT-TERM BUY SCALP: Entry: 108,300 – 108,500 Stop Loss: Below 107,900 Take Profit: 109,300 – 110,000 – 111,947 Look for bullish reaction if BTC forms a higher low and stays inside the channel. 🔻 MAJOR SELL SCENARIO: Entry: 111,800 – 112,000 Stop Loss: Above 112,300 Take Profit: 110,000 – 108,500 – 106,800 – 102,500 Favor short setups if price fails at resistance and shows rejection with lower volume or bearish candles. ⚠️ Caution: Bitcoin is at a critical resistance zone. A breakout may trap late longs before a deep correction. If price breaks and holds above 112k, the bullish trend may resume toward new highs. 🎯 Stick to your zones. Don’t chase price. Use proper risk control.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD PLAN 23/05–YIELD CURVE FLIPS Will Gold Breakout or Sell Off🔥 GOLD PLAN 23/05 – YIELD CURVE FLIPS | Will Gold Breakout or Sell Off at 3360? Global markets are heating up again as risk sentiment shifts. A major alert comes from the U.S. bond market: For the first time since October 2021, the yield curve between the 5-year and 30-year treasuries inverted to +1.00%, signaling strong expectations for inflation and future growth concerns. 🌍 MACRO CATALYSTS DRIVING GOLD: Iran warns the U.S.: “Leash your mad dog!” – escalating rhetoric as Israel is rumored to be preparing a strike on Iran's nuclear sites. Tehran vows to retaliate and holds the U.S. accountable. Goldman Sachs says: “Only one way – BUY GOLD!” Following the failed 20-year bond auction, rising deficits, and fiscal stress, GS urges investors to move into gold and crypto. The return of risk-off sentiment makes Gold the #1 safe haven asset, attracting global institutional flow. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1 Chart): Critical resistance at 3358–3360 is a key decision zone. A breakout here may trigger a strong move toward previous highs (ATH zone: 3390–3400). Major support lies around 3276–3274. A breakdown here may expose gold to deeper pullbacks below the 3200 handle, revisiting the FVG zone. 📌 TRADE PLAN FOR TODAY: 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3276 – 3274 SL: 3270 TP: 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TP: 3308 – 3312 – 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3340 🔻 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3376 – 3378 SL: 3382 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3350 🔻 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3344 – 3346 SL: 3350 TP: 3340 – 3336 – 3332 – 3328 – 3324 – 3320 ⚠️ Caution: With geopolitical risk and bond market stress rising, volatility is expected to spike. Be patient and trade only on confirmation from key zones. 🎯 Stick to the plan. Don't chase the price. Protect your capital.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Is Gold Set to Explode or Fake Out at 3400?GOLD PLAN 22/05 – TERROR ATTACK SHOCKS MARKETS | Is Gold Set to Explode or Fake Out at 3397? Markets have just been hit by fresh geopolitical tension: An Israeli diplomat was shot dead in Washington D.C. during a high-profile Jewish community event near the Holocaust Museum. The shooter allegedly shouted political slogans, and the FBI is now treating the case as a potential anti-Semitic terrorist act. Former President Donald Trump called the event “disgusting” and urged the U.S. to stand strong against extremism. 🟡 This incident triggered a wave of risk aversion, pushing safe-haven assets like GOLD into the spotlight once again. 🌐 FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT: The USD remains under pressure due to weak U.S. economic data (housing, manufacturing, retail). Despite the Fed’s “higher for longer” tone, markets are pricing in potential rate cuts by Q3. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East & U.S. soil may fuel further gold demand in the short term. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1 Chart): Price is nearing FVG resistance at 3395–3397, which could serve as a liquidity trap for breakout traders. Key mid-zone resistance: 3344–3356, where price might stall or reverse if upward momentum weakens. Strong support levels: 3303 – 3288 – 3277, aligned with previous structure and demand zones. 📌 TRADE PLAN: Buy zone: 3296 - 3294 SL: 3290 TP: 3300 - 3304 - 3308 - 3315 - 3320 - 3330 - ??? Buy Scalp: 3316 - 3314 SL: 3310 TP: 3320 - 3324 - 3328 - 3332 - 3340 - 3350 Look for bullish reaction from the support zone and enter with proper risk management. 🔻 Sell zone: 3395 – 3397 SL: 3401 TP: 3390 - 3386 - 3380 - 3376 - 3370 🔻 Sell Scalp: 3358 - 3360 SL: 3364 TP: 3354 - 3350 - 3346 - 3342 - 3338 - 3330 If price spikes into FVG and shows exhaustion or bearish reversal, short setup is valid. ⚠️ Warning: Due to geopolitical headlines and gold trading near psychological resistance, expect high volatility and potential for traps. 🎯 Stick to your zones. Manage TP/SL properly. Do not chase price!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
FED HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING?GOLD PLAN 21/05 – FOMC HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING? The recent surge in gold has paused just as traders digest the latest Federal Reserve signals. Despite rising geopolitical risks and weakening U.S. economic data, Fed officials continue to project a “higher-for-longer” rate stance, keeping the dollar afloat and adding pressure on gold’s rally. 📉 However, the technical structure tells another side of the story. ⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: Bearish Trap or Hidden Bullish Opportunity? On the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is showing signs of consolidation after tapping into a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 3328–3356 area. We now observe two key FVG zones above and below current price, highlighting high volatility and potential liquidity grabs. 🔍 A short-term bullish scenario is forming if gold retraces towards 3250–3252 support, where trendline confluence and dynamic support suggest strong demand. Conversely, any strong rejection from 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could activate a bearish play back towards the lower structure levels. 💹 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY: 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3252–3250 Stop Loss: 3246 Take Profit Targets: 3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3277–3275 Stop Loss: 3272 Take Profit Targets: 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300 🔻 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3354–3356 Stop Loss: 3360 Take Profit Targets: 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320 🔻 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3328–3330 Stop Loss: 3334 Take Profit Targets: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300 🌍 MACRO INSIGHT: Fed’s hawkish tone is weighing on precious metals, but gold remains attractive under geopolitical uncertainty and de-dollarization trends. China and other central banks continue their accumulation, suggesting long-term bullish pressure is intact. Watch for U.S. data this week – especially PMI and jobless claims – which could provide short-term catalysts. 📌 Stay cautious and disciplined. Stick to your zones and manage risk tightly – volatility is increasing. 👉 If you found this useful, don’t forget to like, comment and follow for daily gold insights!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
GOLD MARKET UPDATE - BE READY FOR BIG MOVES!🔥 GOLD MARKET UPDATE – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE SHAKES INVESTORS | BE READY FOR BIG MOVES! Gold experienced a sharp drop following the latest hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, as they reaffirmed that current monetary conditions remain stable and tight. This has caused confusion and panic among many investors, leading to a wave of sell-offs during the U.S. and early Asia sessions. 📉 On the higher timeframes, Gold appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern – a classic consolidation structure before a potential continuation move. Despite the strong bullish momentum seen during the Asian and European sessions yesterday, the key resistance near 325x held firm, preventing any major breakout. For now, Gold seems to be trapped in a new sideways range, and unless price decisively breaks above 325x, we may continue to see choppy price action within this zone. ⚠️ However, if the current selling momentum persists and the price breaks down below the lower trendline support, the bearish flag setup could play out, with up to 80% probability, signaling a potential strong continuation of the downtrend. Traders should stay extremely alert – a major price movement could happen at any moment! 🔑 Key Support Levels: 3205 3294 3280 3262 🔑 Key Resistance Levels: 3244 3262 3278 3286 💹 Scalping Setup – BUY: Entry: 3294–3292 Stop Loss: 3288 Take Profit Targets: 3298 – 3302 – 3306 – 3310 – 3315 – 3320 – 3330 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3272–3270 Stop Loss: 3266 Take Profit Targets: 3276 – 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3330 🔻 Scalping Setup – SELL: Entry: 3242–3244 Stop Loss: 3248 Take Profit Targets: 3238 – 3234 – 3230 – 3226 – 3220 – 3210 🔻 SELL Zone: Entry: 3276–3278 Stop Loss: 3282 Take Profit Targets: 3272 – 3268 – 3264 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240 📌 Remember to always follow your TP/SL strategy to protect your capital!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
GOLD DAILY PLAN MAY 19: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH GOLD DAILY PLAN – MAY 20: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH RUN? Gold opened the new trading week with a powerful GAP UP of over 20 USD, followed by an additional 50 USD rally during the Asia session. This explosive move is being fueled by geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty, setting the tone for what could be a highly volatile and profitable week for gold traders. 🔥 Key Fundamental Drivers Behind This Gold Rally: 1️⃣ Putin rejects peace talks – Increased war risks reignite gold’s safe-haven appeal. 2️⃣ U.S. credit rating downgraded – Rising debt and bond yields are pushing investors back to gold. 3️⃣ Trump threatens new trade tariffs – Even a softer version of “Trade War 2.0” could shock global markets, making gold a top hedge. ➡️ With no clear resolutions in sight, gold may soon retest the all-time high of $3,500. 🧠 Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Are Confirming EMA13 has crossed above EMA34 and EMA200 on the M30 chart — a classic reversal confirmation. The main trendline was broken, and price is now retesting the breakout zone. Momentum remains strong, and price structure is shifting bullish. Priority is now to BUY the dips rather than sell counter-trend. 📌 Key Price Levels to Watch: 🔺 Resistance Zones: 3254 – 3277 – 3288 (If price breaks above 3287, we may quickly see a move toward 3350–3500.) 🔻 Support Zones: 3204 – 3193 – 3186 – 3174 – 3163 (Best areas to watch for confirmation to BUY.) 🎯 Suggested Trade Ideas: BUY Zone: 3186 - 3184 Stop-Loss (SL): 3180 Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230 BUY Scalp: 3194 - 3192 Stop-loss: 3189 Take-Profit: 3200 - 3204 - 3210 - 3215 - 3220 SELL Zone: 3287 - 3289 Only scalp or take quick profits near resistance zones Stop-Loss (SL): 3293 Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270 (Note: Avoid holding SELLs, only scalp on strong bearish signals.) ⚠️ Trading Notes: Market is highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines. One comment from Trump or Putin could move gold 50–100 USD in minutes. No need to chase price. Let it come to your zones — and only enter on clear confirmations. 📌 Summary: ✅ Structure has turned bullish across M30 and H4. ✅ Focus on buying dips, not shorting into strength. ✅ Medium-term target zones: 3350 → 3400 → 3500, depending on continued macro pressure. 📣 Follow AD for live trading plans, market sentiment, and smart entry zones every session! Good luck & stay disciplined.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD Pullback or Bull Trap? This Move for the WEEK⚡️Will the Recovery Hold or Just a Retest Before Another Drop? 🧠 Macro Backdrop: Geopolitical tension: US-China trade headlines and Russia-Ukraine negotiations continue to stir uncertainty, but risk appetite is still cautious. US CPI and PPI data this week came in weaker than expected → inflation remains soft, but no signal yet for immediate rate cuts from the Fed. Gold has been under pressure for 2 weeks but may be stabilizing as DXY loses steam and equity markets show hesitation. 🔍 Technical Outlook (Chart: M30–H1): Gold is forming a rising wedge within a broader corrective pattern. Yesterday’s rebound from the 3,163 zone has pushed price back above the 20 EMA (black) and is testing the 3,208–3,210 zone. This area is key for today: breakout or rejection? 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: 🔺 Resistance: 3,221 → Local structure neckline 3,235 → Previous supply + Fibo confluence 3,251 → Strong upper bound resistance 🔻 Support: 3,184 → Minor support (demand block) 3,173 → Swing low (key reaction zone) 3,163 → Final line of defense 📈 Trade Scenarios: ⚠️ Scenario A – Bullish Push Above 3,221: If price breaks and holds above 3,221, we may see a bullish continuation to 3,235 and even 3,251. Momentum confirmation: Price must stay above 3,210 on pullbacks. 🔹 Entry: 3,222 – 3,224 🔹 SL: 3,216 🔹 TP: 3,235 → 3,251 ⚠️ Scenario B – False Break & Bearish Rejection: If price fails to hold above 3,221 and reverses below 3,208 → potential short opportunity targeting lower liquidity zones. 🔻 Entry: 3,220 – 3,218 (after rejection) 🔻 SL: 3,228 🔻 TP: 3,184 → 3,173 → 3,163 ⚠️ Scenario C – Range Play: If price remains between 3,208 and 3,184, scalp inside the range and wait for breakout confirmation. 💬 Follow for real-time setups and live strategy updates during major market sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
SPDR's Heavy Outflows Signal Institutional Exit – Is Gold LosingSPDR's Heavy Outflows Signal Institutional Exit – Is Gold Losing Momentum? 📉 SPDR Gold Trust Overview (Apr 24 – May 14, 2025): 🔻 Continuous Net Selling: From April 30 to May 14, SPDR saw 10 consecutive sessions of net selling, unloading over 18.5 tons of gold. 📌 Key Selling Days: May 2: -4.87 tons May 6: -2.29 tons May 14: -2.58 tons 👉 SPDR's gold holdings dropped from ~948.56 tons to ~936.51 tons — a decrease of over 12 tons in just 3 weeks, signaling that institutional capital is exiting gold ETFs. This reflects waning confidence in gold’s short-term upside. 🕯️ Technical Breakdown: Gold's price has broken below the $3200 support zone on the D1 chart, invalidating the bullish defense zone. The Double Top pattern is now around 80% completed, signaling a possible deeper drop unless a strong recovery occurs. Momentum remains strongly bearish, making it difficult to time SELL entries unless lower timeframe resistance shows up. 🧭 Macro Pressures: Optimism around US economic growth and expectations of prolonged high interest rates are weighing on gold. The PPI report and Fed Chair's speech today could trigger further volatility, especially if the rhetoric remains hawkish. CPI earlier this week painted a mixed picture, with sticky inflation — which is bearish for gold. 🧠 What Smart Money Is Doing: Big funds are rotating out of gold and back into risk-on assets like equities and crypto. This shift is not just a technical correction; it reflects a broader macro-driven sentiment change. Gold is currently lacking institutional support. 🎯 Trading Strategy for Today: 🔴 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3186 – 3188 SL: 3192 TP: 3182 → 3178 → 3174 → 3170 → 3166 → 3160 → 3150 → 3140 🔴 SELL ZONE (High-Probability Resistance): Entry: 3226 – 3228 SL: 3232 TP: 3220 → 3216 → 3210 → 3206 → 3200 → 3196 → 3190 → ??? 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3154 3174 3188 3206 3226 3254 ⚠️ What to Watch Today: US PPI and Fed speech could trigger extreme volatility in the NY session. Wait for price to pull back toward resistance before SELLING — don’t chase. BUY only if a confirmed D1 reversal or high-volume reaction occurs. 🔚 Final Thoughts: With SPDR aggressively dumping gold and price breaking below critical support, institutional flows are no longer supporting the bull case. As long as price stays under $3200, SELL remains the primary strategy. A break below $3150 opens the path to $3000. 📣 Stay tuned — AD will update real-time strategies as we approach the US session. Follow, trade smart, and always respect your TP/SL. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
DOUBLE TOP IN PLAY? IS $3000 THE NEXT STOP?DOUBLE TOP IN PLAY? IS $3000 THE NEXT STOP? Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of one of the most bearish patterns on the daily chart – the Double Top formation. After reaching an all-time high near $3,500, the metal has entered a sharp correction phase, now hovering dangerously close to the psychological support at $3,200. 🕯️ Technical Breakdown: A clear Double Top pattern is visible on the Daily (D1) chart, with two peaks forming near the same resistance level – a classical signal of bullish exhaustion. If today's daily candle closes below the $3,200 zone, we may see a sharp drop toward the $3,000 level in the short to medium term. The neckline of this pattern aligns with the critical support at 3196–3200 – a must-watch area for potential breakdown confirmation. 💸 What the Smart Money Is Doing: Investors are pulling out of Gold and rotating into risk-on assets like equities and crypto, chasing higher yields and growth potential. This shift suggests more than just technical correction – it may reflect a broader macro sentiment change, especially if the Fed continues to maintain its hawkish tone and delays rate cuts. 📊 Suggested Trade Scenarios: 🔻 If Daily Close is Below $3,200: High probability sell setup based on Double Top Potential downside targets: 3120 → 3050 → 3000 🔺 If Price Holds Above $3,200 and Bounces: Watch for retracement to 3250–3278 for potential reversal signals Short-term BUY scalp towards 3300–3320 with tight SL below 3190 ⚠️ What to Watch This Week: Key US data including CPI, PPI, and a speech from the Fed Chair are expected — which could cause high volatility. Market is extremely reactive — avoid emotional trades and wait for clear structure confirmations. Risk management is key, especially in current uncertain market conditions. 📌 Final Thoughts: The Double Top on Gold is becoming a strong technical signal for potential trend reversal. A confirmed break below $3,200 could open the door to a deeper correction toward $3,000. 📣 Stay connected with AD for more real-time updates, technical levels, and smart trading setups every session.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Price Faces Heavy Pressure – Key Levels and Strategy GOLD DAILY STRATEGY – 14 MAY 2025 Price fails to hold gains as sellers dominate early Asia – Eyes on 3206 zone! 🔍 Market Sentiment Update: Gold started the day with a slight uptick, but the rally was quickly rejected, and price fell sharply — a clear signal that buying power remains extremely fragile. This kind of price behavior — slow climbs, rapid falls — is typical of a market losing confidence in its upside momentum. At the same time, geopolitical tensions have eased and US-China tariff talks have shown signs of progress, further pressuring gold as safe-haven demand weakens. All major macro indicators are now aligning with the bearish narrative. 🟠 Conclusion? Gold is likely to stay within the current descending price channel, and any bullish pullbacks may be limited unless strong demand re-emerges. 📉 Technical Outlook: Price is trading below key resistance and continues to reject upside attempts. The market is respecting short-term resistance zones and pushing deeper into support. Unless there’s a clear reversal signal, selling on rallies remains the optimal approach. 📌 Key Resistance Zones: 3244 3262 3278 3290 3308 3330 📌 Key Support Zones: 3216 3206 3194 3170 3158 🎯 Trade Setups: 🔴 SELL SCALP Entry: 3257 – 3259 SL: 3263 TP: 3253 → 3250 → 3246 → 3242 → 3238 → 3235 → 3230 → 3220 🔴 SELL ZONE Entry: 3278 – 3280 SL: 3284 TP: 3274 → 3270 → 3266 → 3262 → 3258 → 3254 → 3250 → 3240 → 3230 🔵 BUY SCALP Entry: 3196 – 3194 SL: 3190 TP: 3200 → 3204 → 3208 → 3212 → 3216 → 3220 🔵 BUY ZONE (Long-Term Zone) Entry: 3158 – 3156 SL: 3152 TP: 3162 → 3166 → 3170 → 3174 → 3178 → 3182 → 3190 ⚠️ Final Notes: Price action continues to respect the bearish channel. BUY entries are risky at this point — every bounce is met with resistance. Watch closely for price behavior near 3222–3206 for possible intraday reactions. News events remain critical — any update from US-China talks or surprise Fed remarks could change the bias swiftly. 📌 As always — respect your zones. Stay reactive, not predictive. Trade safe, and let the market show its hand.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD Will the Correction Continue or Will We See a Reversal?GOLD UPDATE – Will the Correction Continue or Will We See a Reversal? 📊 Market Analysis: Yesterday’s sharp decline in gold prices indicates a temporary easing in geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing conflict and political issues. It seems that the global environment has become slightly less tense recently, which could be a key factor in the correction we are seeing in gold. From a political and trade perspective, the current price trend appears rational, but it is important to note that nothing is set in stone just yet. Further negotiations are expected, and these could lead to significant agreements. After the sharp drop, gold has managed to find some momentum for recovery, filling liquidity gaps and returning to areas of lower liquidity. 🔍 Current Outlook: At the moment, I’m still expecting a possible rebound in gold, but the best opportunity might be to focus on sell positions for the time being. Yesterday’s plan, although bearish, enabled us to catch key levels for potential buy entries. Today, sell entries might be more favorable than buying. The price is likely to continue adjusting as we await more macroeconomic news, especially regarding the US Federal Reserve’s actions. We’ve seen the Fed avoid Trump’s pressure, and there is speculation that interest rate cuts might be postponed until later in the year rather than mid-year as previously expected. If this is the case, gold could potentially revisit the $3000/oz mark in the near future. 🔮 Short-Term Strategy: For now, we will continue trading according to the market’s correction wave. Sell positions might offer a better risk-to-reward ratio in this environment. We may still see some bounces, but they would likely be short-lived unless we see more positive macroeconomic data. 💡 Key Resistance Levels: 3264 3278 3307 3328 💡 Key Support Levels: 3241 3207 3196 3172 3156 🎯 Trade Setup: BUY SCALP: Entry: 3196 – 3164 SL: 3190 TP: 3200 → 3204 → 3208 → 3212 → 3216 → 3220 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3158 – 3156 SL: 3152 TP: 3162 → 3166 → 3170 → 3174 → 3178 → 3182 → 3190 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3278 – 3280 SL: 3284 TP: 3274 → 3270 → 3266 → 3260 → 3250 → 3240 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3328 – 3330 SL: 3334 TP: 3324 → 3320 → 3316 → 3312 → 3308 → 3300 → 3290 → 3280 📅 Key Event: CPI Announcement Today, we are also expecting the CPI report, a critical piece of data for the month. Be aware that there’s not much to analyze yet regarding this report, but we will update everyone once the data comes out later today. 💼 Risk Management: Given the volatility we’re seeing, proper risk management is essential. Stick to your TP/SL levels to protect your account and avoid unnecessary risks. 📈 Final Thoughts: Gold is currently facing corrections, but with geopolitical tensions easing, it could lead to more stability and potential breakout opportunities. Keep your trades aligned with key levels and macro news. Keep an eye on CPI and adjust accordingly. 💬 Good luck to everyone! Keep your positions safe and be patient for the right opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD PRICE PLUNGES ON WEEKLY OPEN RETRACEMENT OR NEW BEAR TREND?📉 GOLD PRICE PLUNGES ON WEEKLY OPEN – RETRACEMENT OR NEW BEAR TREND? Gold started the week with a sharp gap down, breaking below key levels after weekend developments signaled easing geopolitical tensions and positive progress in US-China trade talks. This calm has dampened safe-haven demand, triggering an aggressive selloff in early Asian hours. 🔍 Technical Outlook – M30 Parallel Channel Gold is currently respecting a descending parallel channel on the M30 chart. Price is pushing lower and has yet to fill the weekend’s gap around the 3326–3328 zone. This remains a critical Key Level for any potential short-term recovery. 🗓️ This Week’s Macro Focus Traders should brace for high volatility as the US economic calendar is packed with top-tier releases: Tuesday: CPI (Consumer Price Index) Thursday: PPI (Producer Price Index) Thursday Night: Fed Chair Powell speaks Meanwhile, ongoing tariff policy updates and geopolitical headlines will continue to stir price action unpredictably. 📌 Trading Bias For now, the dominant trend is bearish. Unless we see a strong bullish reversal pattern or key breakout confirmation, the preference remains selling on rallies. Only if buyers reclaim control around the gap zone (3326–3328) should we look for long setups. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3288 – 3308 – 3328 🔻 Key Support Levels: 3262 – 3246 – 3236 – 3200 🎯 Trade Setups 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244 SL: 3240 TP: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3326 – 3328 SL: 3332 TP: 3322 → 3318 → 3314 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3306 – 3308 SL: 3312 TP: 3300 → 3296 → 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3270 ⚠️ Final Thoughts Gold remains highly reactive to macro news and liquidity traps, especially with so many risk events this week. Trade with caution, follow your TP/SL rules, and stay flexible with your strategy. The market may deliver unexpected volatility—manage your risk smartly. 🟡 Let price guide you — not emotions. 🚨 Stay disciplined. Stay profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
BTC/USD – Daily Trade Plan | 10 May 2025🟢 BTC/USD – Daily Trade Plan | 10 May 2025 "Breakout Incoming? Price Coiling Tighter Near Key Resistance!" 🔍 Market Overview: Bitcoin has shown strong upward momentum after breaking past the $99,000 mark, reaching a short-term high at $104,269.47. Since then, price has consolidated within a narrowing range. The daily structure remains bullish, but short-term selling pressure is visible — especially ahead of the weekend and macro uncertainty. 🧭 Technical Landscape: 🔺 Resistance Zones: $104,269.47 – Local top, price has failed to break this level several times. $105,765 – $106,917 – Previous rejection zone + Fibonacci confluence. $108,045 – Possible extension target if breakout confirms. 🔻 Support Zones: $102,301 – Immediate intraday support; likely first retest. $99,379 – Strong mid-range support, aligned with Moving Average & FVG. $97,093 – Long-term trendline & high-demand zone. 📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Continuation If BTC holds above $102,300 and breaks H4 resistance: 🔵 Buy Entry: $102,500 – $102,300 🎯 Targets: $104,000 → $105,700 → $106,900 → $108,000 🛑 Stop Loss: $101,800 📉 Scenario 2: Liquidity Grab & Deep Pullback If BTC loses $102,300 support, expect a move to collect liquidity around $99K: 🔵 Buy Entry: $97,200 – $97,000 🎯 Targets: $99,000 → $101,000 → $102,500 🛑 Stop Loss: $96,400 ⚠️ Key Market Considerations: 🧊 DXY Recovery: Short-term USD strength may cap BTC upside. 🏦 Fed Policy Tone: Remains hawkish. Any USD volatility can shift crypto sentiment. 🔼 Long-Term Trend: Still bullish. Focus on buy-the-dip setups rather than chasing highs. 📝 Final Thoughts: Bitcoin is entering a coiled zone, awaiting high-volume confirmation. Breakouts or sharp rejections from the current range will decide the next leg. 🚀 Stay patient — Wait for clean candle closes (H4 preferred) 🔒 Stick to your SL/TP — Discipline defines success 💡 Avoid mid-range FOMO. Let price tell the story.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD – BREAKOUT OR TRAP BEFORE THE WEEKEND?📊 GOLD – BREAKOUT OR TRAP BEFORE THE WEEKEND? The gold market is showing significant liquidity sweeps this Friday. In the early Asian session, price pushed down to the 327x region, collecting liquidity, before swiftly rebounding. On the M30 chart, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed and been filled — signaling accumulation and potential setup for a major move. 📉 Technical Perspective: Gold has been moving within a parallel descending channel since yesterday. However, during the late Asian session, we saw the first signs of a possible breakout. If the candle closes above 3,324, this could confirm a breakout — at which point an early BUY entry on the retest would be ideal. 🔥 Fundamental Notes: The market remains highly sensitive to geopolitical news, especially tensions between nations and potential tariff announcements from Donald Trump regarding China. In this climate, trading based on key level reactions is safer than predicting direction. The zones 3,324 and 3,366 will be crucial decision points for bulls and bears. A breakout above 3,366 could shift the short-term trend bullish. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3,345 3,364 3,395 🔻 Key Support Levels: 3,280 3,270 3,256 3,244 3,225 📈 Trade Setup – Friday Strategy: 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3,280 – 3,278 Stop Loss: 3,274 Take Profits: 3,285 → 3,290 → 3,295 → 3,300 → 3,305 → 3,310 → 3,320 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3,364 – 3,366 Stop Loss: 3,370 Take Profits: 3,360 → 3,356 → 3,352 → 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330 ✅ Final Note: Fridays often bring sharp liquidity grabs. Stay cautious, especially with heightened geopolitical tension and pending policy statements from global leaders. Always respect your TP/SL zones to protect your capital. 📌 Let price lead. React to structure. Avoid chasing noise. Wishing all traders a safe and profitable end of the week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
POST-FOMC MARKET OUTLOOK | Is Gold Poised for More Gains?🟡 GOLD 08/05 – POST-FOMC MARKET OUTLOOK | Is Gold Poised for More Gains? After last night’s FOMC meeting, the outcome came in line with expectations — the Fed held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% and maintained a hawkish tone. Powell reinforced that there is no urgency to cut rates and that future policy will depend on incoming economic data. Despite some dovish hopes from the market, the Fed remained cautious — no pivot, no surprises. 🔥 Geopolitical Tensions: Meanwhile, geopolitical stress between India and Pakistan is escalating again around the Jammu-Kashmir region. This could continue to act as a bullish driver for gold, especially in Asia where safe-haven demand is more sensitive to border conflicts. 🧠 Market View: BUY Setup Still Dominates Over the past few sessions, gold has shown strong accumulation followed by solid bullish momentum. As long as candle structure remains healthy, buying dips near 338x–336x remains the preferred strategy. However, if an unexpected catalyst drives a breakdown below 336x with confirmation from candle close, this could invalidate the short-term bullish bias and open the door for a sell setup, targeting the large liquidity gap between 3354 to 3340. Until then, trade the range — respect top and bottom of key intraday zones. 📉 TECHNICAL ZONES TO WATCH: 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3396 3408 3430 3455 🔻 Support Levels: 3384 3366 3354 3334 🎯 Trade Plan: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3336 – 3334 SL: 3330 TP: 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3430 – 3432 SL: 3436 TP: 3426 → 3422 → 3418 → 3414 → 3410 → 3400 ⚠️ Key Event Ahead: Today’s US session brings the Unemployment Claims report — known to trigger high volatility in precious metals. Stay alert, and always wait for confirmation candles before executing trades near critical zones. ✅ Follow for real-time updates and mid-session trade setups. 💬 Drop your view in the comments below – are we going to break higher or revisit liquidity zones?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Plunges from 3435 After China Rate Cut FOMC Storm Incoming?Gold Plunges from 3435 After China Rate Cut – FOMC Storm Incoming? 📅 May 7, 2025 | XAU/USD Intraday Outlook Gold faced a sharp decline in early sessions today, dropping nearly 800 PIPS from 3,435 down to the 3,36x range. While the fall appeared aggressive, the macro backdrop may provide clues — especially ahead of tonight's high-stakes FOMC meeting. 🔍 What Triggered the Sell-off? 1️⃣ China Cuts Rates by 10bps Unexpectedly: Just ahead of U.S.–China trade talks, China slashed its benchmark interest rate by 10bps. While the move supports Chinese markets, it also boosts the U.S. Dollar (DXY), creating headwinds for gold. 2️⃣ Investors Awaiting FOMC Clarity: Traders are hesitant to buy gold near recent highs, especially with the Fed expected to signal rate direction tonight. There’s growing speculation that today's events are part of a broader setup for potential Fed easing. 3️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions Not Helping Gold – Yet: Despite renewed tensions between India and Pakistan, and a volatile global climate, gold hasn't responded bullishly — a sign that technicals and macro shifts are temporarily outweighing news-based fear. 📈 Technical Analysis – Dual Scenarios in Play Gold is now moving in a wide, volatile range. Liquidity grabs at both ends are likely, and traders should adopt a flexible, confirmation-based approach rather than sticking to one directional bias. 🔺 Key Resistance Zones: 3,390 3,402 3,416 3,432 3,444 3,468 🔻 Key Support Zones: 3,365 3,356 3,332 3,314 🎯 Trade Plan – May 7, 2025 (Pre-FOMC Strategy) 🔵 BUY SCALP • Entry: 3,355 • SL: 3,350 • TP: 3,360 → 3,364 → 3,368 → 3,372 → 3,376 → 3,380 🔵 BUY ZONE • Entry: 3,332 – 3,330 • SL: 3,326 • TP: 3,336 → 3,340 → 3,344 → 3,348 → 3,352 → 3,358 → 3,365 📌 KEY BUY LEVEL to Watch: → 3,314 – 3,312 ⚠️ This is a critical Fibonacci zone. If broken, trend structure may be compromised. Use wide SL (~6 PIPS) with open TP structure. 🔴 SELL SCALP • Entry: 3,430 – 3,432 • SL: 3,436 • TP: 3,425 → 3,420 → 3,415 → 3,410 → 3,400 🔴 SELL ZONE • Entry: 3,468 – 3,470 • SL: 3,474 • TP: 3,464 → 3,460 → 3,455 → 3,450 → 3,445 → 3,440 → 3,430 ⚠️ Final Thoughts: Today’s FOMC statement will likely dominate market direction for the rest of the week. Volatility is expected to increase sharply. With both macro and geopolitical catalysts in play, risk management is non-negotiable. 🔐 Stick to key zones. Avoid trading the news blindly. Wait for price action confirmation — and remember: capital protection beats every setup. 📌 Follow this post to get real-time updates after FOMC and new breakout zones for Thursday.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Surges Amid War Tensions Is This the Start of a New Bull 🟡 Gold Surges Amid War Tensions – Is This the Start of a New Bull Run? 📈 XAU/USD Weekly Outlook – May 6, 2025 Gold made a strong comeback this morning, jumping over 600 PIPS as investor demand surged in response to escalating geopolitical risks and massive physical demand in Asia — particularly from China and Japan. The current breakout momentum suggests a high probability of new ATHs if macro and political tensions continue. 🔥 Why is Gold Rising Again? 1️⃣ Geopolitical Flashpoint: 19+ Ukrainian UAVs struck Moscow overnight. The attack came just ahead of Russia's Victory Day (May 9) — a symbolic blow that rattled global markets. 2️⃣ China Ramping Up Gold Imports: Reports show China has been quietly stockpiling gold at aggressive levels. Institutional and retail demand has returned strongly to the Asian bullion market. 3️⃣ Fear and FOMO in the Market: Asian investors are driving early-session buying frenzies. Technical retracements are being ignored as price accelerates without respecting classic resistance zones. 📊 Technical Outlook – H4 + D1 Focus Gold has successfully defended the 3312 zone and surged past resistance zones with ease. Current MA13/MA34/MA89 crossovers on higher timeframes confirm a trend reversal and sustained bullish momentum. 🔑 Key Technical Zones to Watch: 🔻 Support Levels: 3355 3335 3313 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3380 3405 3443 3470 🎯 Trade Plan for May 6 – BUY Bias Dominant 🚫 Avoid SELL positions unless confirmed exhaustion appears — momentum is extremely bullish and politically driven. 🔵 BUY ZONE #1: Entry: 3314 – 3312 SL: 3308 TP: 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → ??? 🔵 BUY ZONE #2: Entry: 3335 – 3332 SL: 3329 TP: 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360 🔴 SELL ZONE (High Risk): Entry: 3343 – 3345 SL: 3359 TP: 3339 → 3335 → 3330 → 3326 → 3320 🧭 Final Thoughts Gold is currently in hyper bullish mode. Key level 3313 is now confirmed as a volume-based support (VPOC + FIBO 0.5) and will likely be the base for the next wave. As global headlines point to uncertainty, investors are shifting capital back into gold, supported by physical buying from China. 💬 Patience and proper entry are key. Avoid early sell traps. Focus on the Asia-led FOMO rallies and align your strategy with safe-haven flows.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD - Will Geopolitical Shocks Fuel a Bigger Rally?🚨 GOLD SURGES IN ASIA OPEN – Will Geopolitical Shocks Fuel a Bigger Rally? Gold opened the week with a powerful bullish spike in the Asia session, rallying nearly $30/oz amid renewed global tensions and policy uncertainty. The strong upside momentum marks a potential shift in sentiment after recent corrections. 🌍 What’s Driving the Market? 🔺 Geopolitical Risks Back on the Radar: Tensions are rising again between Russia–Ukraine and India–Pakistan with no clear diplomatic resolution in sight. This reintroduces safe-haven demand for gold as global uncertainty climbs. 🔺 Trump’s Pressure on the Fed: Former President Trump has urged the Fed to cut interest rates sooner, adding further speculation ahead of the FOMC meeting this week. These combined factors have sparked strong buying interest right from the Asia open, with the yellow metal attempting to reclaim lost ground from previous sessions. 📈 Technical Overview (H1 – H2 Focus): 🟢 Key Support Zones: 3250 3246 3238 3224 3204 🔴 Key Resistance Zones: 3278 3288 3301 3314 🎯 Trade Setup for the Day: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244 SL: 3240 TP: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3300 – 3302 SL: 3306 TP: 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3284 → 3280 → 3270 ⚠️ Final Notes: With the FOMC meeting ahead and geopolitical developments unfolding, traders should expect heightened volatility this week. Gold may continue to attract safe-haven flows if headlines escalate, but any dovish surprise from the Fed could accelerate the rally even further. 📌 Stay alert. Let price come to your zones. Trade the reaction, not the assumption.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
GOLD - Will FOMC and Tariff Talks Decide the Next Big Move?💥 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK – Will FOMC and Tariff Talks Decide the Next Big Move? As we head into a critical trading week, gold is at a crossroads, navigating through conflicting macro signals and important structural levels. Last week’s developments — ranging from strong US NFP data to China’s unexpected SGX:40B tariff waiver — have significantly reshaped sentiment in the precious metals market. 🌐 Macro Backdrop – Shift in Global Risk Tone 🔹 China’s Tariff Waiver on selected US goods hints at improving trade ties. This eases geopolitical risks and reduces the urgency for safe-haven assets like gold. 🔹 Stronger-than-expected NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls) further solidifies a hawkish bias for the Fed. A robust labor market may push the Fed to maintain higher rates for longer. 🔹 DXY & Bond Yields are holding firm. A stronger USD and rising yields typically weigh on gold — unless major risks re-emerge. 📌 FOMC Meeting This Week – Traders are now watching the Fed’s next move closely. Any dovish tone could fuel gold’s rebound. A surprise hawkish tone? Expect further selloffs. 🔍 Technical Landscape (H4 + Daily Focus) Gold is currently forming a descending wedge pattern, with lower highs and solid support holding around the 3,224 – 3,204 zone. Last week’s rejection at the 3,277 resistance aligns with macro-driven selling pressure. However, price continues to respect key Fibonacci levels and internal trendline dynamics, suggesting a potential for large breakout movement after FOMC. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3,240 3,250 3,264 3,277 3,311 🔻 Key Support Levels: 3,224 3,210 3,204 🎯 Trade Plan – Week of May 6th, 2025 🔵 BUY ZONE A: 3,204 – 3,202 SL: 3,198 TP: 3,208 → 3,212 → 3,216 → 3,220 → 3,225 → 3,230 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,276 – 3,278 SL: 3,282 TP: 3,272 → 3,268 → 3,264 → 3,260 → 3,250 → 3,240 ⚠️ Key Risks to Monitor This Week: 🏛 FOMC Statement & Powell’s Press Conference → Any hint of rate cuts = Gold bullish → Any reaffirmation of higher for longer = More downside 💼 Trade Developments (US–China) → Further easing of tariffs = Negative for gold → Any new friction = Potential rebound 📉 DXY & Bond Yields → Keep an eye on Dollar strength. If DXY breaks above 106.5, gold may face deeper pressure. 🧠 Final Thoughts: The gold market is no longer driven by one-sided risk-off flows. As macro tensions ease, gold is transitioning into a more range-bound, news-driven phase. This week is all about reaction, not prediction. Let the market come to your zone. Wait for confirmation before executing. The best trades come from discipline — not prediction. 📌 Follow this account for real-time updates during FOMC and Friday’s CPI preview.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading