Channelbreak
Nifty Weekly Analysis : 10-14 June, 2024Trend:
As expected, last week was very eventful with wild volatile moves.
Nifty has given a very strong ATH weekly closing near 23300 by forming a hammer candle(hanging man) in weekly time frame. It means that bulls have crushed & empowered bears completely. Next week should be
However, the exit polls seemed to be a perfect bull trap and the crash was a bear trap. The inflated VIX also got crashed and now we are almost back to normal markets.
Bullish market should continue given there are no global news of war, etc. in next week.
Levels:-
1. Above ATH of 23340, we can see continuation of uptrend with 23500, 23830 and 24000 as potential targets for next week.
2. Below 23000, market will turn slightly bearish till 22850. If 22850 is also breached, we can expect further downside of 22500 and then 22250.
Verdict:
I am expecting gap up opening above 23350 and sideways market throughout the day which will favour option sellers. The channel is broken on upside and hence, probability of downside is quite low. However, markets are supreme and this is my personal opinion.
Please trade according to your own analysis.
Stocks to watch for next week:-
IT sector stocks are looking strong. Sonata software, Birlasoft, HCLtech, Infy have given good breakouts.
Channel Breakout Strategy for Long-Term AccumulationLet's structure it as a clear trading strategy:
**Trading Strategy: Channel Breakout and Long-Term Accumulation**
1. **Identify Breakout**: Look for stocks breaking out of their historical trading range, accompanied by a sudden increase in trading volume.
2. **RSI Confirmation**: Confirm the breakout with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 53, indicating moderate bullish momentum without being overbought.
3. **EMA Analysis**: Ensure the stock is trading above all key Exponential Moving Average (EMA) levels, signifying strong upward momentum and stability.
4. **Accumulation Range**: Accumulate shares within the price range of ₹491 to ₹500 per share during the retesting phase after the breakout.
5. **Long-Term Hold**: Plan to hold these accumulated positions for the long term, leveraging the breakout and technical indicators for sustained growth potential.
This strategy combines technical analysis with a focus on breakout opportunities and long-term investment goals.
STEELXIND Channel & Falling Wedge BreakOutSteelxind had earlier given a channel breakout on 1D timeframe with higher volumes. It started consolidation after breakout and is now attempting to breakout from a falling wedge pattern on 1D timeframe. Go long after bullish closing confirmation. Follow stop loss rules.
Take a look: low risk; 50% ROI possible; don't missFundamentally good stock,
Good for 2-3 weeks holding.
For short term investment in cash market'.
Leave a " Like If you agree ". 👍
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Entry: 76
target: 79 - 88 - 112
sl: 68
major stoploss / support: 63
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Enter only after breaking & close above " Yellow box" mentioned.
Or else wait for some time.
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Don't make complicated trade set-up.📈📉
Keep it " simple, focus on consistency 💹
Refer our old ideas for accuracy rate🧑💻
Valuable comments are welcomed-✌️
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refer old ideas attached below
Best swing trade idea on BATA INDIABATA INDIA has fallen 40% from highs !!
Stock has always given correction around 40 to 45% in past
Right now 40% correction is done and if stock fallen more 5% from hereon then support is coming around 1220-1260 levels.
Stock has broken its medium term support which was working from 2019
But stock is also making falling channel and it is working properly.
So if anyone is interested in a stock for a long term then should not of 5-6% correction from here and should start accumulating from these levels.
Also this is best swing trade idea for 30-40% upside from current levels.
Thank You !!
IFBIND / IFB INDUSTRIES LTD - 3 Years Downtrend Channel BreakoutIFBIND
1) Time Frame - Weekly.
2) The Stock has been consolidating in a downtrend channel since 2021 & Now It has given a 3 years Downtrend breakout with huge volume & strong bullish candle close in weekly.
3) The next target / resistance would be its previous life time high (1546.95 - 24.5% from the current price 1241.95).
4) Recommendation - Strong Buy
Jubilant Food : Multi Year Breakout !! Potential multibagger !!Jubilant Food is making falling wedge and now given the breakout.
After breakout prices are correcting. But we can make a huge position because it's multi year breakout
We can clearly see prices halt there.
Now from hereon we can see 650 levels and 800 levels in months to come !!
Buy on Dips !!
KPITTECH - 3 Months consolidation Breakout & All Time HighKPITTECH
1) Time Frame - Daily.
2) The Stock has been in a consolidation since (November, 2023). It has given a breakout & Closed at its All time high with strong bullish momentum in Daily time frame.
3) Good bullish momentum NIFTY IT Index.
4) Recommendation - Strong Buy
JUBLFOOD: Channel Breakout & formed Cup & Handle PatternJubilant Foodwork has given a channel breakout and also formed Cup & Handle Pattern.
#Current Price - 545
#Expected Target - 651
#Resistance Based Targets
- Target 1 - 557
- Target 2 - 586
- Target 3 - 625
- Target 4 - 651
#Support Based Targets (Can be used as Stoploss)
- Target 1 - 505 (For low risk tradders)
- Target 2 - 480.5 (For risk taking tradders)
Pattern is forming on daily chart.
Disclaimer:
This idea is only for education purpose, Please consult your financial advisor.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please give a Like if you like.
17 Jan ’24 — How the Mighty has fallen! HDFCBK takes down N50 ⬇️Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
Recap from yesterday “We would like to give one more opportunity for Nifty to hold its ground. We would start the day tomorrow with a neutral bias and wait for Nifty to fall below 21913 to go bearish.”
4mts chart
Not only did Nifty50 open 360pts gap-down, but it broke the 21913 support. This was the laxman rekha for us below which we had to go bearish. It all started when HDFCBK -8.44% started giving up points like crazy. The results announced were alright per se, but the signs of NPA going up and EPS staying the same would have unnerved the FIIs. Nifty ended up losing another 100pts to close at -2.09%. When was the last time you saw a 2% or more fall in Nifty50. Even when SPX and NDQ had multiple episodes of 2%+ falls, Nifty50 was showcasing its resilience.
63mts chart
Yesterday Nifty was at the top end of the ascending channel and today it closed right at the bottom end. From 26th Oct 2023, Nifty has always respected the bottom part of the ascending channel. The next support comes up at 21491 and falling below that would also mean we are breaking the channel. We changed the stance from neutral to bearish in the opening minutes, hope you got the email via TradingView minds when we pivoted.
15 Jan ’24 — Bullish reinforcements are on the way! Nifty50Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “Till yesterday, we were looking for neutral trades with a possibility of going down. See how the tables have turned today. For Monday — we need to look out for bullish opportunities now.”
4mts chart
Another gap-up of 131pts ~ 0.6% today! It was required to break the channel resistance line. There was a minor fall, but the 22000 level provided early support and we kept the gap unclosed. Once Nifty50 found its balance, it rallied steadily for the day and closed near the highs. The new ATH is 22111.
63mts chart
The break away from the channel is evident in the 63mts chart. See the points Nifty is climbing every time it gets a stance upgrade from neutral to bullish. Remember how things were looking weak on the 8th and 10th of Jan and how Nifty turned from there? For tomorrow, the bullish stance continues and the first support will be the ascending channel top-line ~ 22050 levels.