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BANCOINDIA: BO after Consolidation, Chart of the WeekBanco Products Broke Out From a Consolidation, Continuing Its Massive Bull Run. Let's analyse in "Chart of the Week" As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: - Banco Products has completed a consolidation phase - The stock has demonstrated exceptional momentum with a breakout above the ₹400 levels in April 2024 - Current trading price of ₹835.60 represents a gain of over 100% from the breakout point - Price action shows strong institutional accumulation with increasing volumes during upward moves Volume Spread Analysis - Volume spikes are clearly visible during key breakout moments, particularly in Q2 2024 - The highest volume bars (green) coincide with price advances, indicating genuine buying interest - Recent volume of 36.75M shares traded shows sustained institutional participation - Volume patterns suggest smart money accumulation rather than retail speculation Key Technical Levels: Base Formation: - Multi-year base formed between ₹100-400 levels from 2022 to early 2024 - This represents a classic cup and handle pattern on the weekly timeframe - The base provided strong support and allowed for institutional accumulation - Depth of base (approximately 18 months) suggests a strong foundation for future moves Support Levels: - Primary Support: ₹650-680 (previous resistance turned support) - Secondary Support: ₹550-580 (50% retracement of recent rally) - Major Support: ₹400-420 (breakout zone) - Ultimate Support: ₹300 (top of multi-year base) Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance: ₹850-870 (current highs) - Next Resistance: ₹950-1000 (psychological round number) - Extended Resistance: ₹1200-1250 (measured move from base) Position Sizing: - Allocate a maximum of 3-5% of the portfolio to a single stock - Use the pyramiding approach: 50% on initial entry, 25% on confirmation, 25% on extension - Risk per trade should not exceed 2% of total capital Risk Management Rules: - Honour stop-losses strictly without emotional interference - Book partial profits at predetermined levels - Reduce position size if the stock shows signs of distribution - Monitor sector rotation and overall market conditions Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop: Auto Components Sector Overview: - India's auto component industry is driving macroeconomic growth, with the market estimated to grow by USD 259.03 billion from 2025 to 2029 at a CAGR of 37% - The auto components sector achieved 32.8% growth in FY24, with optimism for continued strong performance - Export revenues could soar to $100 billion by 2030 from $21 billion in 2024, at a 30% CAGR Fundamental Strengths of Banco Products: - Market Cap of ₹11,952 crores with revenue of ₹3,379 crores and profit of ₹433 crores - Leading manufacturer and exporter of automotive and industrial gaskets, heat shields, and sealing solutions since 1961 - Promoter holding at 67.88% shows strong management confidence Growth Catalysts: - Expanding electric vehicle segment creating new opportunities - Sector attracted ₹2,45,771 crore FDI between April 2000 and December 2024 - Export potential with global OEM partnerships - Various Indian auto component manufacturers are entering joint ventures with foreign companies for domestic production Risks and Challenges: - Commodity price fluctuations affecting margins - Global economic slowdown impacting export demand - Competition from Chinese manufacturers - Trading at 9.17 times book value indicates a premium valuation Market Outlook: Short-term Outlook (1-3 months): - Expect consolidation in the ₹750-870 range - Watch any dip below ₹700 - Watch for a breakout above ₹870 for the next leg up Medium-term Outlook (3-12 months): - Sustained institutional interest expected - Earnings growth should support price appreciation Long-term Outlook (1-3 years): - Export opportunities provide additional upside - EV transition could create new revenue streams - Sector leadership position makes it a preferred play in the auto components space Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:BANCOINDIALong
by Karanshah137
3
E2E: Base Formation and Trend Change Chart of the WeekNSE:E2E : Cloud Computing Giant Shows Strong Breakout After Trendline Breakout. Let's analyse in "Chart of the Week" As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: • Stock has formed a massive symmetrical triangle/wedge pattern • Recent breakout above the upper trendline resistance around 2,900-3,000 levels • Currently trading at 3,084.10 with strong momentum and above-average volume • Price action shows a clear shift from consolidation to the trending phase • Multiple higher lows formation during the consolidation phase indicates underlying strength Volume Spread Analysis: • Volume spike visible during the recent breakout, confirming genuine buying interest • Volume at 813.46K vs average volume of 422.91K, indicating a 92% increase • Consistent volume support during the base formation phase • Volume-price confirmation suggests institutional participation Key Technical Levels: Support Levels: • Primary Support: 2,700-2,800 (previous resistance turned support) • Secondary Support: 2,400-2,500 (triangle breakout level) • Major Support: 2,000-2,100 (psychological level and previous consolidation zone) Resistance Levels: • Immediate Resistance: 3,200-3,300 (next psychological level) • Major Resistance: 3,500-3,600 (measured move target from triangle) • All-time High: 5,487.65 (long-term target) Technical Patterns: • Symmetrical Triangle: 15-month consolidation pattern completed with upside breakout • Base Formation: Strong base around 1,600 levels as mentioned in the chart annotation • Ascending Triangle: Multiple retests of resistance with higher lows • Volume Breakout Pattern: Confirmed with increased participation Technical Assessment: • Trendline Breakout: Clean break above descending trendline resistance • Price Structure: Shift from consolidation to trending phase • Momentum: Strong upward momentum post-breakout • Support-Resistance Flip: Previous resistance becomes new support Risk Management: • Maximum Risk: 10% of position size • Volatility Risk: High (small-cap IT stock) • Sector Risk: Technology sector concentration Risk Mitigation: • Diversification across the IT portfolio • Position sizing discipline • Regular monitoring of technical levels • Sector rotation consideration Sectoral Analysis: Industry Overview: • India's data center industry is undergoing a major transformation, driven by the rapid rise in digital adoption, AI-driven workloads, and cloud computing adoption • In 2025, E2E Cloud, a leading AI-centric cloud service provider, announced the launch of India's largest NVIDIA H200 GPU infrastructure • Strong government support for Digital India initiatives • Growing demand for cloud computing and AI/ML services Sector Positioning: • E2E network provides a full-stack AI/ML and GenAI cloud ecosystem designed for scalable, accessible, and cost-efficient deployment of large-scale compute clusters • E2E Networks provides enterprise-grade GPU computing at a much lower cost by removing the complexity and extra expenses linked to global hyperscale providers • Strategic focus on AI and machine learning infrastructure • Competitive advantage in cost-effective cloud solutions Growth Drivers: • Increasing AI adoption across industries • Digital transformation acceleration post-COVID • Government push for data localization • Growing startup ecosystem requiring cloud infrastructure Fundamental Backdrop: Financial Performance: • Revenue: 159 Cr with Profit: 34.5 Cr (TTM) • Revenue from operations slumped -12.63% YoY to Rs 36.11 crore in Q1 FY26 • Profit before tax (PBT) stood at Rs -2.84 crore in Q1 FY26, steeply lower than Rs 10.14 crore in Q1 FY25 • Strong profitability growth trajectory Market Capitalization & Valuation: • Mkt Cap: 6,166 Crore (up 10.8% in 1 year) • Small Cap company classification Shareholding Pattern: • Promoter Holding: 40.6% • Promoter holding has decreased over the last quarter: -3.00% • Mutual Fund Shareholding in E2E Networks was 1.86% • Strong promoter holding with some recent reduction Business Model Strength: • E2E CDN is a global content delivery network that distributes your content & web pages to end-users with minimal latency • Asset-light scalable business model • Recurring revenue from cloud services • Growing customer base in the AI/ML segment Key Concerns: • Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out a dividend • High valuation multiples indicate growth expectations • Small-cap volatility and liquidity concerns • Intense competition from global cloud providers Bull Case: • Strong technical breakout • Leadership position in Indian AI/ML cloud infrastructure • Beneficiary of India's digital transformation • Scalable business model with high growth potential Bear Case: • Expensive valuation with high growth expectations • Competition from global hyperscalers • Small-cap inherent volatility • Dependency on the technology sector performance Overall Assessment: • Technically strong setup with favourable risk-reward • Fundamentally positioned in a high-growth sector • Regular monitoring required due to small-cap nature Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:E2ELong
by Karanshah137
2
GMDC - Chart of The Week, Testing Trendline, Change of PolarityNSE:GMDCLTD has a beautiful structure on the Weekly Timeframe to qualify for my Chart of the Week idea. It saw Decent Above-Average Volumes and confirmed a Change of Polarity and is Now Testing the Falling Trendline with RSI and MACD trending upwards. About: NSE:GMDCLTD is primarily engaged in 2 sectors, i.e. mining and power. Its projects include Lignite, Bauxite, Fluorspar, Multi-Metal, Manganese, Power, Wind and Solar. Trade Setup: It could be a good Swing Trade if it breaks the trendline and the Change of Polarity is Still Intact. If the Trade gets activated after breaking the trendline, then keep this Week's Low as the Stop Loss or Even Take RSI and MACD as a Stop Loss Signal. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:GMDCLTDLong
by Karanshah137
VIMTALABS: Parallel Channel & Flag BO, Chart of the WeekNSE:VIMTALABS Explodes 50%: From Parallel Channel Prison to Trendline Freedom Post Q1 FY26 Flag Breakout. Let's analyse it in the "Chart of the Week" As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: - Current Price: ₹887.20 (as per chart) - 52-Week Range: ₹252 to ₹903 - Market Cap: ₹3,901 Crores - Recent Performance: Stock has shown exceptional momentum with 171% returns in the past year Volume Spread Analysis: - Breakout Volume: Exceptional volume spike during the August 2025 breakout - Volume Confirmation: Higher volumes on up-moves, lower on corrections - Accumulation Phase: Steady volume during the consolidation phase indicates smart money accumulation Chart Patterns: - Long-term Ascending Trendline: Yellow trendline acting as dynamic support since May 2024 - Parallel Channel Breakout: Stock consolidated in a 6-month parallel channel (₹400-550) from December 2024 to July 2025 - Flag and Pennant Formation: Classic continuation pattern post Q1 FY26 results - Volume Breakout: Massive volume surge accompanying the breakout, confirming genuine momentum Key Technical Levels: - Base Formation: ₹400-450 level established during Dec 2024 - Jul 2025 consolidation - Primary Support: ₹550-600 (previous resistance turned support) - Secondary Support: ₹500 (parallel channel upper boundary) - Immediate Resistance: ₹700-750 (psychological levels) - Final Resistance: ₹900-1000 Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Company Overview: - Contract Research and Testing Organization serving biopharmaceutical, food, consumer goods, electronic, electrical, agrochemical, healthcare, and medical device sectors Financial Performance: - Q1 FY26 Results: Net profit rose 53.83% to ₹19 Crore, sales increased 30.29% to ₹98 crore - Recent Quarter: EBITDA margins at 35.7% - Debt Position: The Company is almost debt-free Sector Dynamics: - CRO/CRAMS Sector: Strong tailwinds from global pharmaceutical outsourcing - Biologics Focus: Company expanding in high-growth biologics testing segment - Regulatory Compliance: Successfully completed US FDA GCP certification Other Highlights: - Consistent revenue growth across quarters - Strong margin expansion and operational efficiency - Debt-free balance sheet providing financial flexibility - Expanding service offerings in high-margin biologics - Beneficiary of the global pharma outsourcing trend Key Risk Factors: - High valuation metrics post recent rally - Dependence on the pharmaceutical sector cycles - Regulatory compliance requirements - Competition from larger CRO players Market Sentiment: - Recent 31% surge to hit a new 52-week high of ₹902, reflecting strong investor interest - Strong institutional interest evidenced by consistent buying - Positive analyst coverage post strong quarterly results Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:VIMTALABSLong
by Karanshah137
3
APOLLO: C&H and Rounding Bottom BO: Chart of the Week NSE:APOLLO : The Cup and Handle Breakout That Finally Delivered After Multiple False Starts with Rounding Bottom Breakout on Daily TF Let's Analyze it in the Chart of the Week. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action: • The chart reveals a sophisticated Cup and Handle pattern formation spanning from Late-2023 to August 2025, with the "cup" forming between 205-160 levels and the "handle" consolidating around the 180-200 zone • Multiple breakout attempts were witnessed - first in December 2024 with a King Candle formation, followed by another sharp rally in May 2025, both failing to sustain above the descending trendline • The current August 2025 breakout represents the third and most convincing attempt, breaking through both the descending resistance trendline and the horizontal resistance at 205-220 levels • Volume surge during the current breakout (119.95M vs average 54.33M) confirms institutional participation and validates the breakout authenticity • The curved line clearly marks the rounding bottom formation, indicating a gradual shift from bearish to bullish sentiment Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Pattern Insights: • Exceptional volume breakout with nearly 2.2x average daily volume during the recent surge • Volume accumulation visible during the cup formation, indicating smart money participation • Low volume during handle formation, suggesting healthy consolidation • Volume expansion coinciding with price breakout confirms institutional buying Key Support and Resistance: • Immediate Support Zones: - Primary: 220-225 (previous resistance turned support) - Secondary: 200-205 (handle formation base) - Major: 180-185 (cup formation low) • Critical Resistance Levels: - Near-term: 250-260 (measured move target from cup depth) - Intermediate: 280-290 (Fibonacci extension 1.618 level) - Long-term: 320-340 (cup and handle pattern target) • Base Formation: Strong accumulation base established between 160-220 over 18+ months Multi-Pattern Technical Setup: • Cup and Handle Pattern: Classic bullish continuation pattern with 18-month formation period • Descending Triangle Breakout: Successfully breached the falling trendline resistance • Rounding Bottom: Long-term reversal pattern indicating strong institutional accumulation • Volume Breakout Pattern: Exceptional volume expansion confirming price breakout validity Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Latest Financial Performance: • Net profit surged 126% to Rs 19 crore in Q1 FY2026 compared to Rs 8 crore in Q1 FY2025 • Revenue growth of 46.5% to Rs 134 crore versus Rs 91 crore in the previous year, same quarter • Quarterly growth basis shows a 32.21% jump in net profits since last quarter • Market capitalization stands at approximately Rs 7,854 crores, reflecting strong market confidence Strategic Business Positioning: • Company is involved in more than 150 indigenous defence programs and 60 DcPP (Defence Capital Procurement Policy) programs as a sub-system partner • Specializes in ruggedized electronic hardware and software solutions for critical sectors • Strong focus on import substitution and Atmanirbhar Bharat initiatives • Diversified client base including DRDO, HAL, BEL, and other major defence contractors Sector Momentum Analysis: • Apollo Micro Systems gained 14.6% on August 22, 2025, demonstrating resilience amid market fluctuations • Stock has significantly outperformed the broader market year-to-date, reflecting strong performance in the Aerospace & Defence sector • Defence budget allocation increases continue to provide sectoral tailwinds • Growing focus on indigenous defence manufacturing creates long-term opportunities Market Participation Analysis: • High institutional interest is evident from volume patterns • Retail participation is likely to increase given the breakout visibility • Options activity expected to increase as the stock approaches higher price levels • Potential inclusion in small-cap/midcap indices could trigger passive fund buying Risk Assessment and Scenario Analysis: Technical Risk Factors: • Failed breakout history (December 2024 and May 2025) suggests caution is required • High beta nature means increased volatility during market corrections • Potential for profit booking at psychologically important 250 levels • Need for sustained volume to validate the breakout authenticity Fundamental Risk Considerations: • Defence sector dependency on government policy changes and budget allocations • Long procurement cycles are typical in defence contracts, affecting quarterly results • Competition from established defence majors and emerging players • Currency fluctuation impact on imported components and raw materials Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:APOLLO
by Karanshah137
12
Cupid: Past Multibagger Forming Rounding Bottom BreakoutFrom ₹10 to ₹150: How CUPID Stock Became a Multibagger Dream and What's Next. Let's analyse and Deep Dive into my Chart of the Week Idea. Price Action Analysis: Long-term Trend Analysis: - Primary Trend: Strongly bullish multi-year uptrend since 2023 - Trend Structure: Classic accumulation-markup-distribution pattern visible - Price Progression: Massive rally from ₹10 levels in 2023 to ₹145+ levels - Current Phase: Potential early stage of renewed markup phase after consolidation Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Profile Assessment: - Accumulation Phases: High volume during the 2023-2024 markup phase - Distribution Evidence: Volume spike during 2024 highs suggesting profit-taking - Current Volume: Recent volume expansion (74.46M) confirming breakout momentum - Volume Trend: Healthy volume participation during the current breakout phase Volume-Price Relationship: - Positive Correlation: Rising prices accompanied by expanding volume - Breakout Validation: Current breakout supported by above-average volume - Distribution Concerns: Previous high volume at peaks indicated selling pressure Key Price Levels: Support Levels: - Immediate Support: ₹95-100 (recent consolidation base) - Critical Support: ₹80-85 (previous resistance turned support) - Major Support: ₹65-70 (rectangle pattern lower boundary) - Ultimate Support: ₹50-55 (long-term trend line support) Resistance Levels: - Key Resistance: ₹145-150 (previous highs) - Major Resistance: ₹150-155 - Target Extension: ₹170-180 (measured move projection) Technical Indicators Assessment: Trend Indicators: - Moving Averages: Price clearly above major moving averages, indicatinga bullish bias - Trend Strength: Strong upward trajectory since the consolidation base - Momentum: Building positive momentum after prolonged consolidation Trade Setup & Strategy: Primary Long Setup: - Entry Strategy: Buy on dips to ₹115-120 support zone - Confirmation: Entry above ₹145 for momentum traders Alternative Strategies: Conservative Approach: - Entry: Wait for pullback to ₹100-105 levels - Timeframe: Medium to long-term holding period (Weekly Charts) - Risk Profile: Lower risk, moderate reward Aggressive Approach: - Entry: Immediate entry at current levels (₹145) - Timeframe: Short to medium-term momentum play (Daily Charts) - Risk Profile: Higher risk, higher reward potential Entry and Exit Levels: Entry Zones: - Zone 1: ₹115-120 (Primary entry for dip buyers) - Zone 2: ₹145-150 (Momentum breakout entry) - Zone 3: ₹100-105 (Deep pullback opportunity) Target Levels: - Target 1: ₹150-155 (Short-term objective) - Target 2: ₹160-165 (Medium-term target based on pattern) - Target 3: ₹180-190 (Long-term extension target) - Ultimate Target: ₹200+ (Bull market extension) Exit Strategy: - Profit Booking: Book 30% at Target 1, 40% at Target 2, and the remaining at Target 3 - Trailing Stop: Implement trailing stop-loss above ₹140 - Time Stop: Review position if targets are not achieved in 8-12 months Stop-Loss Strategy: Stop-Loss Levels: - Aggressive Stop: ₹110 (for entries around ₹120) - Moderate Stop: ₹100 (for swing traders) - Conservative Stop: ₹85 (for long-term investors) Stop-Loss Management: - Initial Risk: Limit to 8-10% of the entry price - Trailing Mechanism: Move stop-loss to breakeven after 15% gains - Pattern Stop: Below ₹95 invalidates the breakout setup - Time-based Stop: Exit if below ₹110 for more than 2 weeks Position Sizing & Risk Management: Position Sizing Guidelines: - Conservative Investors: 2-3% of portfolio - Moderate Risk Takers: 4-5% of portfolio - Aggressive Traders: 6-8% of portfolio (maximum) - Sectoral Exposure: Limit total pharma/healthcare exposure to 15-20% Risk Management Framework: - Maximum Loss: Limit loss to 2% of total portfolio per trade - Diversification: Don't concentrate more than 10% in a single stock - Sector Allocation: Balance with other defensive sectors - Time Diversification: Stagger entries over 2-3 weeks Portfolio Integration: - Correlation Check: Monitor correlation with other pharma stocks - Sector Rotation: Consider the pharma sector cycle and rotation - Market Cap Allocation: Balance small-cap exposure with large-caps - Liquidity Consideration: Account for small-cap liquidity constraints Risk Assessment: Technical Risks: - Failed Breakout: Risk of false breakout below ₹115 - Distribution Pattern: High volume at peaks may indicate selling - Overbought Conditions: Rapid rise may lead to consolidation - Support Breakdown: Break below ₹95 would be technically negative Fundamental Risks: - Valuation Concerns: High PE ratio of 96+ indicates premium valuation - Sales Decline: The Recent 7% sales decline raises growth concerns - Sector Competition: Increasing competition in the contraceptive market - Regulatory Changes: Healthcare sector regulatory modifications Market Risks: - Small-Cap Volatility: Higher volatility compared to large-caps - Liquidity Risk: Potential liquidity issues during market stress - Sentiment Risk: Healthcare sector sentiment shifts - Global Economic: Impact of global economic conditions on exports Company Overview & Fundamental Backdrop: Business Profile: - NSE:CUPID is India's premier manufacturer of male and female condoms, personal lubricant, and IVD kits, established in 1993 - The company manufactures and exports contraceptives, including male and female condoms, and medical devices, with a focus on sexual health and reproductive safety, serving both domestic and international markets, supplying high-quality products to governments and NGOs - Market capitalization: ₹3,940 crores as of July 2025, classified as a Small Cap company Financial Performance: - Current valuation metrics: PE ratio of 96.3 and PB ratio of 11.5 - Recent performance: Sales declined by 7.24% to Rs 61 crore in Q4 FY25 versus Rs 66 crore in Q4 FY24; however, net profit rose 2.71% to Rs 41 crore for FY25 - Long-term returns: The stock has delivered 133% returns in the last 3 years Sectoral Growth Outlook: - The Indian contraceptive devices market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.2-6.3% from 2025 to 2030 - Market size estimated at USD 264.01 million in 2025, expected to reach USD 377.61 million by 2030, at a CAGR of 7.42% - India's pharmaceutical sector aims to grow from the current US$50 billion to US$450 billion by 2047, with India being the 3rd largest producer of drugs globally Monitoring Parameters: What to Look Closely at Technically? - Weekly Close: Monitor weekly closes above ₹115 for trend continuation - Volume Trends: Watch for volume expansion on up-moves - Relative Strength: Compare performance with the Nifty Healthcare Index What to Look Closely at Fundamentally? - Quarterly Results: Track revenue growth and margin expansion - Order Book: Monitor new contract wins and export orders - Sector Trends: Keep track of contraceptive market growth - Management Commentary: Follow management guidance and outlook Now, when to exit? - Technical Breakdown: Close below ₹95 for two consecutive days - Volume Reversal: High volume selling at resistance levels - Fundamental Deterioration: Significant decline in business metrics - Sector Weakness: Broad-based healthcare sector underperformance So, My Take: NSE:CUPID presents a compelling technical setup with a confirmed breakout from a year-long consolidation pattern. The stock has transformed from a ₹10 stock to a multibagger, and current technical indicators suggest potential for further upside. However, premium valuation and recent sales decline warrant careful risk management. The trade offers an attractive risk-reward profile for investors willing to accept small-cap volatility in exchange for participation in a growing healthcare subsector. Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:CUPIDLong
by Karanshah137
18
ECLERX SKYROCKETS 35%! This Pattern Signals ₹4,200 TargetNSE:ECLERX SKYROCKETS 35%, Made a Beautiful Chart Structure to Qualify for the Chart of the Week Price Action: - It experienced a powerful rally from ₹2,200 to ₹3,877 (all-time high) between July and October 2024 - Recent correction formed a descending wedge pattern from October 2024 to early May 2025 - Currently showing an explosive breakout at ₹3,301.80, up ₹852.40 (+34.80%) in this Week. - Massive single-week gain with a long bullish candle breaking above both resistance levels and the downtrend line - The weekly chart shows a strong V-shaped recovery from support Volume Analysis: - This Week's volume at 2.28M shares vs. average of 420.79K (over 5x normal volume) - Previous support bounces have also witnessed above-average volume - Extremely high volume on today's breakout suggests significant institutional participation - Volume pattern confirms the legitimacy of the price action Key Support and Resistance: - Strong support zone at ₹2,200-2,300 (green horizontal box) - tested and held multiple times over the past year - Previous resistance now likely support at ₹3,200-3,250 (green horizontal line) - Next resistance at all-time high of ₹3,877 (marked as "High") - Downtrend line (white diagonal) now broken with conviction Technical Patterns: 1. Descending Wedge Breakout- Classic bullish reversal pattern completed this week 2. Double Bottom*- Formed at ₹2,300 level in March-May 2025 3. Support Retest- Successfully retested the major support zone before the breakout 4. V-Shaped Recovery - Strong reversal indicating powerful buying interest Trade Setup: - Pattern: Descending wedge breakout with volume confirmation - Confirmation: Explosive price action and volume expansion - Context: Bullish reversal after testing major support zone Entry Points: 1. Aggressive Entry: Current price (₹3,301.80) with partial position 2. Pullback Entry: On retest of breakout level ₹2,900-3,000 3. Confirmation Entry: On consolidation and holding above ₹3,200 for 2-3 sessions Exit Strategy: - Target 1: ₹3,600 (psychological resistance) - Target 2: ₹3,877 (previous all-time high) - Target 3: ₹4,200 (pattern projection based on measured move) - Trailing Stop: 7% trailing stop after Target 1 is achieved Stop Loss Placement: - Aggressive Stop: ₹2,950 (below recent swing low) - Conservative Stop: ₹2,800 (near the breakout point of the wedge) - Pattern-Based Stop: ₹2,500 (invalidation level for the pattern) Risk Management: - Position sizing: Limit risk to 1-2% of trading capital - Risk-reward ratio: Minimum 1:1.5 for aggressive entry, 1:2 for pullback entry - Consider scaling approach: * Enter 50% position now * Add 25% on confirmation of trend (holding above ₹3,200) * Add 25% on pullback (if it occurs) - Take partial profits: 30% at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, hold remainder with trailing stop NSE:ECLERX shows a powerful technical setup with its powerful breakout from a descending wedge pattern on record volume. The price action respects key technical levels, with the stock holding major support at ₹2,200-2,300 before staging today's massive rally. The breakout above both the wedge pattern and horizontal resistance, with 5x normal volume, suggests potential for continued upside momentum toward previous highs and beyond. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:ECLERXLong
by Karanshah137
12
YATRA: Spectacular Recovery, Chart of the Week Post Q1 FY26From IPO Disaster to Cup & Handle Breakout: NSE:YATRA Spectacular Recovery Rally May Just Be Getting Started post Strong Q1 FY26 Numbers As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: Chart Pattern Identification: - Primary Pattern: Cup & Handle Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern) - Cup formation period: March 2024 to May 2025 - Handle formation: May 2025 to July 2025 - Breakout confirmation: August 2025 with strong volume spike Key Price Levels: - IPO Base Level: ₹125-130 (Initial listing range) - All-Time High: ₹194.00 (Early 2024 peak) - Major Support Levels: - ₹118 (Cup base/IPO resistance turned support) - ₹106 (Handle low) - ₹90-95 (Previous resistance cluster) - Major Resistance Levels: - ₹160 (Next logical resistance) - ₹180-185 (Pre-ATH resistance zone) - ₹194 (All-time high) Trend Analysis: - Long-term Trend: Bullish reversal after prolonged downtrend - Medium-term Trend: Strong bullish momentum post-breakout - Short-term Trend: Consolidating after breakout with bullish bias Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Characteristics: - Breakout Volume: Exceptional surge to 134.47M (significantly above average) - Volume Confirmation: Strong institutional participation is evident - Historical Volume Pattern: Low volume during handle formation followed by breakout explosion Volume Spread: - Volume surge indicates genuine breakout with institutional backing - Previous accumulation phase visible during cup formation - Current volume levels suggest sustained interest Key Support & Resistance: Dynamic Support Levels: - Immediate Support: ₹125-130 (Breakout level/IPO base) - Secondary Support: ₹118 (Cup rim level) - Critical Support: ₹106 (Handle low - stop loss reference) Resistance Levels: - First: ₹160 (38.2% retracement from ATH) - Second: ₹180-185 (Pre-ATH consolidation zone) - Ultimate: ₹220-240 (Cup & Handle measured move) Technical Indicators & Patterns: Classical Patterns: - Cup & Handle: Completed with successful breakout - Rounding Bottom: Visible in the cup formation - Ascending Triangle: Formed during handle consolidation Key Technical Observations: - Price action shows strong momentum post-breakout - Previous IPO resistance at ₹125-130 now acting as support - Breakout occurred with a gap-up opening, indicating strong sentiment Sectoral Backdrop: Online Travel Industry Overview: - India Online Travel Market expected to reach USD 23.10 billion in 2025 and grow at a CAGR of 7.76% to reach USD 33.90 billion by 2030 - Online travel booking service market in India expected to reach projected revenue of US$57,924.4 million by 2030 with a CAGR of 10.6% - India's travel industry is valued at $178 billion, fueling economic growth with travel stocks offering lucrative investment opportunities Market Position: - Yatra Online Ltd. was identified as one of the major companies operating alongside MakeMyTrip, EaseMyTrip, and Cleartrip - Strong competitive position in a growing market - Recovery phase post-pandemic showing robust growth trajectory Fundamental Backdrop: Financial Metrics: - Market Cap: 2,223 Crore, Revenue: 900 Cr, Profit: 49 Cr (TTM) - Promoter Holding: 64.46% (Strong management commitment) - Trading at 2.84 times book value at 45.8 times P/E Operational Assessment: - The company has a low return on equity of 2.90% over the last 3 years - Profitability achieved, indicating operational efficiency improvement - Revenue growth trajectory supported by sector tailwinds Growth Lever: - Beneficiary of India's domestic tourism boom - Digital transformation in travel booking - Post-pandemic recovery in the travel sector - The government's focus on tourism development Market Outlook & Catalysts: Positive Catalysts: - Travel & Tourism market in India projected to grow by 8.07% (2025-2029) - Increasing domestic travel penetration - Corporate travel recovery - Digital adoption acceleration Key Risk Factors: - Intense competition from larger players - Seasonal business variations - Economic slowdown impact on discretionary spending - Regulatory changes in the travel sector Key Monitoring Points: - Sustained holding above the ₹125 breakout level - Volume sustainability in the coming sessions - Broader market conditions and sector rotation - Company's Next Few quarterly results and guidance updates. Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:YATRA
by Karanshah137
6
SARDAEN: Triangle Breakout, Chart of the WeekWhy NSE:SARDAEN Triangle Breakout Could Signal the Next Big Move in it, let's analyze in "Chart of the Week" Post Strong Q1 FY26 Results As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: • Stock has exhibited a strong uptrend from 2022 lows around ₹120-140 to current levels of ₹534.95 • Major rally phase from mid-2023 onwards, gaining over 300% in approximately 18 months • Current consolidation phase since late 2024, around ₹400-600 range, indicates institutional accumulation • Recent price action shows formation of higher lows with resistance being tested multiple times Volume Spread Analysis: • Volume spikes during major breakout moves confirm institutional participation • Recent consolidation accompanied by relatively lower volumes, typical of the accumulation phase • Volume breakout above 7.11M suggests renewed interest at current levels • Volume pattern supports the bullish bias with buying interest on dips Key Technical Levels: Base Formation: • Primary base established between ₹400-₹430 levels during 2024 consolidation • Secondary base forming at ₹480-₹500 range as recent support • Base width of approximately 8-10 months indicates a strong foundation for the next leg up Support Levels: • Immediate Support: ₹480-₹500 (recent swing lows and 50-day moving average area) • Strong Support: ₹420-₹440 (previous resistance turned support) • Major Support: ₹380-₹400 (long-term trend line support and 200-day moving average) Resistance Levels: • Immediate Resistance: ₹560-₹580 (recent highs and psychological level) • Major Resistance: ₹600-₹620 (all-time high zone and round number resistance) • Extended Resistance: ₹680-₹720 (measured move projection from triangle pattern) Technical Pattern Recognition Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: • Clear triangle formation visible from the chart with converging trend lines • Triangle spans approximately 8-10 months, indicating a significant pattern • Breakout direction typically follows the prevailing trend (bullish in this case) Trend Line Analysis: • Primary uptrend line intact from 2022 lows, providing dynamic support • Resistance trend line from 2024 highs is being challenged multiple times • Converging trend lines creating the triangle pattern setup Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Company Fundamentals: • Market Cap: ₹18,852 crore (up 88.40% in 1 year) • Revenue: ₹5,350 crore with profit of ₹941 crore (TTM) • Business Model: Manufacture of sponge iron, ferro alloys, billet, wire-rod, and iron ore pellet through Steel, Ferro, and Power segments • Promoter Holding: 73.16% indicating strong management confidence • Dividend Policy: Low payout at 7.69% of profits over the last 3 years, suggesting reinvestment focus Sectoral Outlook: • Steel Industry: India is the world's largest steel producer with strong domestic demand • Ferro Alloys Market: Global market projected to grow from $156.37 billion in 2024 to $204.2 billion by 2032 at 5.60% CAGR • Indian Ferrosilicon: Market valued at $347.7 million in 2022, estimated to grow at 5.0% CAGR through 2030 • Infrastructure Push: Union Budget 2025-26 increased capital investment outlay for infrastructure by 11.1% to ₹11.2 lakh crore Growth Lever: • Integrated business model across the steel value chain provides operational synergies • Strong promoter holding indicates alignment with minority shareholders • Beneficiary of India's infrastructure development and steel demand growth • Consolidation phase completion, suggesting readiness for the next growth phase Key Risk Factors: • Commodity price volatility affecting margins • Working capital days increased from 78.1 days to 119 days, indicating efficiency concerns • Current valuation appears overvalued by 52% compared to intrinsic value • Global steel demand fluctuations and trade policy changes Market Catalysts: • Government infrastructure spending and PLI schemes • 2025 outlook suggests potential upturn in steel producer activity with lower input costs and shifting trade policies • Iron ore production increased by 5.5% to 135 MMT in FY 2024-25, supporting raw material availability • Ferro Alloys industry poised to reach $188.7 billion by 2025, driven by a robust economy Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:SARDAEN
by Karanshah137
5
ZUARI: Stunning Breakout: A Deep Technical Analysis in the ChartNSE:ZUARI Stunning Breakout: A Deep Technical Analysis in the Chart of the Week As per SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it's just for Informational purposes Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: - The stock has shown a remarkable multi-year uptrend spanning from 2021 to 2025 - Price has rallied from lows around ₹90 in 2021 to current levels near ₹306, representing a gain of over 240% - The stock is currently trading at ₹306.25 with recent highs touching ₹344.40 - Volume surge is evident in recent sessions with 58.28M shares traded, indicating strong institutional participation Volume Analysis: - Exceptional volume spike during breakout phases indicates institutional buying - Volume-price correlation is positive during upward moves - Recent volume of 58.28M vs average suggests strong momentum continuation - Distribution patterns absent, indicating healthy accumulation Chart Patterns and Structure: Base Formation: - A strong accumulation base was formed between 2021-2022 in the ₹90-180 range - This 18-month consolidation phase created a solid foundation for the subsequent bull run - The base shows characteristics of a cup-and-handle pattern with gradual accumulation Support and Resistance Levels: - Major Support Levels: ₹160-170 (dotted green rectangle area), ₹210-220 - Immediate Support: ₹280-290 range - Key Resistance: ₹344.40 (recent high marked by red horizontal line) - Next Resistance: ₹360-380 zone if breakout sustains Technical Patterns: - Multi-year ascending triangle formation with higher lows and consistent resistance around ₹250-260 levels - Recent breakout above ₹260 resistance with strong volume confirmation - Flag and pennant patterns visible during consolidation phases - Currently in a potential flag formation after the recent surge Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Company Overview: - NSE:ZUARI is an India-based fertilizer manufacturing company engaged in the manufacturing, trading, and marketing of chemical fertilizers and fertilizer products - The company manufactures and markets Single Super Phosphate (SSP) through its brand Jai Kisaan with a market cap of ₹1,288 Cr - The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8% over the past five years, with a low return on equity of 8% over the last 3 years Sectoral Dynamics: - India's FY 2025-26 budget allocates ₹1.84 trillion for fertilizer subsidies, with ₹1.19 trillion for urea and ₹0.49 trillion for P&K fertilizers - The India Fertilizer Market size was valued at $40.5 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach INR 1,401.0 Billion by 2033, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 4-6.1% - India's fertilizer sector in 2025 is a blend of strategic imports, domestic policy innovation, and scientific transformation with precision farming initiatives and sustainability experiments Key Rationale: - Government support through substantial subsidy allocation provides sector stability - Growing agricultural focus and food security concerns drive long-term demand - Technical breakout coincides with favourable sectoral tailwinds - Undervaluation based on intrinsic value models suggests upside potential - Strong historical returns demonstrate the company's ability to generate wealth Risk Factors: - Poor fundamental metrics with low sales growth and ROE - High dependence on government policies and subsidy changes - Commodity price volatility affecting margins - Environmental regulations pushing toward organic alternatives - Working capital-intensive business model My Take: NSE:ZUARI presents a compelling technical setup with a multi-year breakout backed by strong sector fundamentals. The stock's impressive 240%+ rally from base levels, combined with government support for the fertilizer sector, creates an attractive risk-reward proposition. However, one should be mindful of the company's weak operational metrics and maintain disciplined risk management. The current setup favours trend continuation with measured targets, making it suitable for both swing and positional traders with appropriate position sizing. Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it's just for Informational purposes Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:ZUARILong
by Karanshah137
3
KIRLOSENG: Post-Results Breakout and Consolidation. F&P PatternNSE:KIRLOSENG : How This Hidden Gem Could Be Your Next Big Winner After Post-Results Breakout and Consolidation Let's Analyze in my "Chart of the Week" Price Action: - The stock shows a classic recovery pattern from March 2025 lows around ₹590-600 - Current price at ₹914.85 represents a significant 52% recovery from the March bottom - The stock has been forming higher lows since March, indicating underlying strength - Recent breakout above the ₹850 resistance level with strong volume confirmation Volume Spread Analysis: - Volume spike during the recent breakout suggests institutional participation - The post-results reaction shows a healthy volume of 724.08K against a 20-day average of 5.73M - Volume patterns indicate an accumulation phase during the consolidation period from April to June Base Formation: - Primary base established between ₹590-650 (March 2025 lows) - Secondary base formed around the ₹750-800 level during April-May consolidation - Current base being built around ₹880-920 after the recent breakout Support and Resistance Levels: Key Support Levels: - Immediate support: ₹880-890 (recent breakout level) - Strong support: ₹830-850 (previous resistance turned support) - Major support: ₹780-800 (secondary base level) - Ultimate support: ₹590-650 (primary base) Resistance Levels: - Immediate resistance: ₹950-970 - Major resistance: ₹1,000-1,020 (psychological level) - Long-term resistance: ₹1,100-1,150 (previous highs from late 2024) - Ultimate target: ₹1,400+ (all-time high region) Technical Patterns: Flag and Pole Pattern: - The chart clearly shows a flag and pole formation - The flag represents the consolidation phase from May to June 2025 - Recent breakout confirms the pattern completion with an upward trajectory Ascending Triangle: - The stock has formed an ascending triangle pattern with higher lows and consistent resistance around ₹850 - The breakout above this level validates the bullish continuation pattern Post-Results Reaction: - Kirloskar Oil Engines shares settled slightly, trading at Rs 803.75, representing a 9.36% increase, while the BSE Sensex was up by 0.25%. - The positive reaction to results indicates market confidence in the company's performance Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: - Primary entry: ₹900-920 (current levels on any dip) - Secondary entry: ₹880-890 (on pullback to support) - Aggressive entry: ₹930-950 (on breakout above current resistance) Entry Levels: - Conservative traders: Wait for pullback to ₹880-890 support - Moderate traders: Enter at current levels around ₹910-920 - Aggressive traders: Enter on a breakout above ₹950 Exit Strategy: Target Levels: - Target 1: ₹1,000 (8-10% upside) - Target 2: ₹1,100 (18-20% upside) - Target 3: ₹1,250 (35-40% upside) - Ultimate target: ₹1,400+ (50%+ upside) Exit Timing: - Book 30% profits at Target 1 - Book 40% profits at Target 2 - Hold the remaining 30% for the ultimate target with a trailing stop loss Risk Management: Stop-Loss Levels: - Conservative stop-loss: ₹850 (6-7% downside) - Moderate stop-loss: ₹830 (8-9% downside) - Aggressive stop-loss: ₹800 (11-12% downside) Position Sizing: - Risk per trade: Maximum 2% of portfolio - Position size calculation: Portfolio value × 2% ÷ (Entry price - Stop loss) - For ₹1,00,000 portfolio with entry at ₹910 and stop at ₹850: Position size = ₹2,000 ÷ ₹60 = 33 shares Sectoral Backdrop: Industrial Machinery Sector: - The industrial machinery sector has been showing resilience amid economic recovery - Infrastructure push by the government supports demand for engines and pumps - Agricultural mechanization trends favour companies like NSE:KIRLOSENG Market Position: - The company caters to the agriculture, ... Clients (Marine, Defence, etc), After Sales Support, Retail Channel – Tractor spares, Oil, Batteries. - Diversified revenue streams provide stability across economic cycles Fundamental Backdrop: Financial Performance: - Netprofit is up for the last 2 quarters, 68 Cr → 127 Cr (in ₹) - Revenue is up for the last 2 quarters, 1454 Cr → 1753 Cr (in ₹) - As of 31-Mar-2025, Kirloskar Oil Engines has a trailing 12-month revenue of 6349 Cr Market Valuation: - Its current market cap is 13,289 Cr with 14.5 Cr shares. - Stock is trading at 4.30 times its book value - Promoter holding has decreased over the last 3 years: -18.3% Growth Outlook: - The B2B business grew 5 per cent year on year, and the B2C business also witnessed a double-digit growth of 14 per cent year on year - Strong positioning in agriculture and industrial segments provides sustainable growth prospects - The final dividend of Rs 4 per equity Share indicates management confidence My Take: Investment Rationale: - Technical breakout supported by improving fundamentals - Diversified business model reduces concentration risk - Strong balance sheet with consistent profitability - Attractive valuation after the recent correction from highs The combination of technical breakout, improving fundamentals, and supportive sectoral trends makes NSE:KIRLOSENG an attractive investment opportunity for medium to long-term investors with appropriate risk management measures in place. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:KIRLOSENGLong
by Karanshah137
12
Gabriel India: Ascending Trendline Breakout, Chart of the WeekNSE:GABRIEL : A Technical Breakout Story That Could Double Your Investment? Let's Analyze it in my "Chart of the Week" Idea. Price Action Analysis: • The stock has shown a remarkable multi-year uptrend from around ₹100 levels in 2022 to current levels above ₹950 • A clear ascending channel pattern is visible with the yellow dotted trendline acting as dynamic support • Recent price action shows a powerful breakout from a consolidation phase around ₹600-700 levels • The stock is currently trading near all-time highs with strong momentum • Volume expansion during the recent breakout confirms genuine buying interest Volume Spread Analysis: • Volume patterns show significant spikes during major price advances • The recent breakout phase is accompanied by above-average volume, indicating institutional participation • Volume tends to contract during consolidation phases, which is a healthy price action • The volume profile suggests strong accumulation during the base-building phases Key Technical Levels: Base Formation: • Primary base formed between ₹100-200 levels during 2022-early 2023 • Secondary base established around ₹400-500 levels in late 2023 • Most recent consolidation base around ₹600-700 levels before the current breakout Support Levels: • Immediate support: ₹850-900 (recent breakout zone) • Strong support: ₹700-750 (previous resistance turned support) • Major support: ₹600 (base of recent consolidation) • Critical support: ₹500 (psychological level and previous consolidation zone) Resistance Levels: • Immediate resistance: ₹1000-1050 (psychological barrier) • Next resistance: ₹1200 (measured move target) • Extended target: ₹1400-1500 (based on channel projection) Technical Pattern Recognition: Primary Patterns: • Long-term ascending channel with consistent higher highs and higher lows • Multiple cups and handle formations during the uptrend • Recent flag/pennant consolidation followed by breakout • Classical stage 2 uptrend characteristics with expanding volume Technical Indicators: • Price trading above all major moving averages • Strong momentum as evidenced by the steep price advance • Healthy pullbacks followed by resumption of uptrend • Volume-price confirmation during breakouts Trade Setup: Entry Levels: • Aggressive entry: Current market price (₹950-970) • Conservative entry: On pullback to ₹850-880 levels • Breakout entry: Above ₹1000 with volume confirmation • Accumulation entry: Any dip towards ₹800-820 levels Exit Levels: • First target: ₹1200 (26% upside from current levels) • Second target: ₹1400 (47% upside) • Extended target: ₹1600 (68% upside) • Trailing stop strategy recommended for long-term positions Stop-Loss Placement: • For aggressive entries: ₹800 (16% risk) • For conservative entries: ₹750 (12% risk from ₹850 entry) • For breakout entries: ₹900 (10% risk from ₹1000 entry) • Weekly closing basis stop-loss recommended Risk Management Framework: Position Sizing: • Risk per trade: Maximum 2-3% of portfolio • For ₹800 stop-loss from current price: Position size = (Portfolio × 2%) ÷ ₹150 • Recommended allocation: 5-8% of equity portfolio given the risk-reward profile • Consider scaling into position over 2-3 tranches Risk Parameters: • Maximum drawdown tolerance: 20% from peak • Time-based stop: Exit if consolidation exceeds 6 months • Sector rotation risk: Monitor auto sector performance • Market correlation: High beta stock, reduce position size in volatile markets Sectoral Backdrop: Auto Ancillary Sector Dynamics: • Indian automotive sector showing strong recovery post-COVID • Shift towards electric vehicles creating new opportunities for component manufacturers • Export potential increasing with global supply chain diversification • Government's PLI scheme supporting auto component manufacturing Industry Trends: • Increasing focus on high-quality, precision components • Growing aftermarket business providing stable revenue streams • Consolidation in the sector is favouring established players • Technology upgrades driving margin expansion Fundamental Backdrop: Company Overview: • NSE:GABRIEL is a leading manufacturer of automotive shock absorbers and suspension systems • Strong presence in both OEM and aftermarket segments • Diversified customer base across passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, and two-wheelers • Established relationships with major automotive manufacturers Financial Highlights: • Consistent revenue growth is driven by industry expansion • Improving margins through operational efficiency and product mix optimization • Strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels • Increasing return on equity and return on capital employed Growth Drivers: • Expanding automotive production in India • Growing replacement market for suspension components • Export opportunities in emerging markets • New product development and technology partnerships Investment Thesis: • Well-positioned to benefit from India's automotive growth story • Strong competitive moat through technical expertise and customer relationships • Potential for multiple expansions as the company scales operations • Dividend yield providing downside protection for long-term investors My Take: The technical setup for NSE:GABRIEL presents a compelling risk-reward opportunity with the stock breaking out from a multi-month consolidation phase. The combination of strong sectoral tailwinds, robust fundamental backdrop, and bullish technical patterns creates a favourable investment environment. However, investors should maintain proper risk management given the stock's high beta nature and current extended valuation levels. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:GABRIELLong
by Karanshah137
14
RattanIndia: Next New-Age Multi-Bagger Play ? Chart of the WeekWhy NSE:RTNINDIA Could Be Your Next Multi-Bagger Play, let's analyse my "Chart of the Week" Idea. Price Action: • Multiple base formations visible across the timeline from 2021-2025 • Classic cup and handle pattern formation during the 2023-2024 consolidation phase • Rectangle consolidation pattern between ₹35-40 levels during Early 2025 • Strong breakout from multi-year resistance around the ₹75-80 zone • Current pullback to retest breakout levels around the ₹47-50 range Key Supports and Resistance Levels: • Primary Support: ₹47-50 (previous resistance turned support) • Secondary Support: ₹35-40 (rectangle pattern base) • Major Support: ₹25-30 (long-term base level) • Immediate Resistance: ₹65-70 (previous consolidation zone) • Major Resistance: ₹75-80 (breakout level) • Target Resistance: ₹94-95 (measured move projection) Base Analysis: • Stage 1 Base: ₹10-25 range from 2021-2022 (Accumulation phase) • Stage 2 Base: ₹35-45 range during 2023-2024 (Re-accumulation) • Current Base: ₹47-50 retest zone (Healthy pullback after breakout) Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Characteristics: • Massive volume spike during recent breakout (300+ million shares) • Above-average volume during consolidation phases • Volume expansion on upward price movements • Volume contraction during pullback phases indicates a healthy correction • Volume profile shows strong institutional participation Volume Patterns: • Accumulation is visible during base formation periods • Distribution avoided during recent highs • Current pullback on lower volume suggests buying interest at support Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: • Primary Entry: ₹48-50 (current support retest) • Secondary Entry: ₹52-55 (breakout reconfirmation) • Aggressive Entry: ₹45-47 (deeper pullback opportunity) Exit Levels: • Target 1: ₹65-70 (38% upside from ₹50) • Target 2: ₹80-85 (65% upside from ₹50) • Target 3: ₹95-100 (90% upside from ₹50) Stop Loss Levels: • Conservative: ₹42-43 (below rectangle support) • Moderate: ₹45-46 (below recent lows) • Tight: ₹47-48 (below immediate support) Risk Management: Position Sizing: • Risk 1-2% of portfolio capital per trade • Use a 2-3% position size for a conservative approach • Maximum 5% allocation for aggressive traders Risk-Reward Ratios: • Entry at ₹50 with ₹45 stop: Risk-Reward of 1:3 to 1:9 • Entry at ₹52 with ₹47 stop: Risk-Reward of 1:2.6 to 1:8.6 Portfolio Allocation: • Small-cap allocation: 10-15% maximum • Individual stock limit: 2-5% of total portfolio • Sector diversification recommended Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop: Business Overview: • NSE:RTNINDIA comprises of tech-focused new age businesses, including e-commerce, electric vehicles, and drones • The company is completely focused on providing world-class electric mobility products that are affordable and accessible to every Indian • Multi-business model spanning fintech, e-commerce, and drone technology Sector Dynamics: • The electric vehicle sector is experiencing government policy support • The e-commerce segment is benefiting from the Digital India initiatives • Drone technology is gaining traction in commercial applications • Tech-focused businesses aligned with India's digital transformation Financial Highlights: • Market cap of RattanIndia Enterprises Ltd stood at Rs. 8,263 Cr • RattanIndia Enterprises Ltd's net Sales rose by 22% since the same period last year to ₹ 6,866 Cr in the FY2025 • The company is in a growth investment phase with expanding business verticals. Investment Thesis: • Diversified exposure to high-growth sectors • Potential beneficiary of India's transition to electric mobility • Strong technical setup after multi-year base formation • Early-stage company with significant scaling potential ahead Risk Factors: Technical Risks: • Small-cap volatility and liquidity concerns • Dependence on broader market sentiment • Potential for gap-down moves in adverse conditions Fundamental Risks: • Current losses and cash burn in the growth phase • Execution risk across multiple business verticals • Competition in the electric vehicle and e-commerce segments • Regulatory changes affecting drone and fintech operations My Take: This technical setup presents a compelling opportunity with the stock breaking out of a well-defined pattern, supported by decent enough fundamentals in the Growth Sectors of New Age Company and favourable sector dynamics. The risk-reward profile appears attractive for traders and investors willing to manage position size appropriately. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:RTNINDIALong
by Karanshah137
15
Titan - Trendline BO Post Q4 - Chart of the Week NSE:TITAN has a beautiful structure in the Weekly Timeframe and qualifies for my Chart of the Week idea post decent Q4 Results. About: NSE:TITAN is among India’s most respected lifestyle companies. It has established leadership positions in the Watches, Jewellery and Eyewear categories, led by its trusted brands and differentiated customer experience. It was founded in 1984 as a joint venture between TATA Group and Tamil Nadu Industrial Development Corporation (TIDCO). Technical View: The stock has decisively broken above a major descending trendline (marked with a white line) that had contained price action since July-August 2024. This trendline has been respected multiple times over approximately 8-9 months, making today's breakout particularly significant. The breakout occurred with substantial price momentum, as indicated by the large green candle and 5 %+ gain, suggesting conviction behind the move. A critical demand zone (marked in green) around ₹2,900-3,000 that has repeatedly provided strong support. This zone has been tested and respected at least four times (marked with green arrows), demonstrating its importance as a major technical floor. Since January 2025, the stock has formed progressively higher lows, indicating increasing buying interest at higher price levels. Support and Resistance Analysis: Key Resistance Levels Immediate Resistance: ₹3,600 (horizontal level from previous swing highs) Major Resistance: ₹3,886.95 (52-week high/all-time high) Psychological Resistance: ₹3,750 (round number between current price and highs) Key Support Levels Immediate Support: ₹3,400-3,450 (previous resistance turned support) Trendline Support: ₹3,350 (the broken trendline should now act as support) Critical Support: ₹2,900-3,000 (major demand zone that has consistently held) Structural Support: ₹2,750 (low of the most recent significant pullback) Trade Setup: The combination of a clean trendline breakout, strong momentum, and historically reliable support zone suggests Titan Company may be poised for continued upside. Based on technical projections: Target(Take Profit): Near-term Target: ₹3,700-3,750 (measured move from the breakout point) Intermediate Target: ₹3,886.95 (retest of previous high) Longer-term Potential: New all-time highs above ₹3,900 if momentum continues Stop Loss: The critical factor to watch will be whether the stock can maintain positions above the broken trendline on any pullbacks. This would confirm the validity of the breakout and strengthen the bullish case. Conversely, a failure to hold above ₹3,400 could signal a false breakout scenario. Keep in the Watchlist and on your Radar. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:TITANLong
by Karanshah137
4
Sterlite Tech: From Despair to Breakout – A Textbook Turnaround NSE:STLTECH : From Despair to Breakout – A Textbook Turnaround Story in the Making. It makes it to my chart of the week Idea after breaking out with good volumes. Price Action Analysis: -Recent Action: Strong green candle with significant body suggesting institutional accumulation -Candle Structure: Minimal upper shadow indicates buying pressure throughout the session -Previous Action: Series of consolidation candles around ₹85-95 showing accumulation phase -Breakout Candle: Wide-range bar breaking above downtrend resistance with conviction Price Swing Analysis: -Higher Highs/Higher Lows: Recent price action shows initial signs of trend reversal -Momentum Shift: Price moving from range-bound to trending behaviour -Gap Analysis: No significant gaps visible, suggesting organic price discovery Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Current Weekly Bar Analysis: -Volume: 302.33M (Exceptionally high - 12x average volume) -Spread: Wide range bar with substantial price movement -Close Position: Closing in the upper 75% of the range -VSA Interpretation: Professional Money Accumulation - High volume with wide spread and strong close Volume-Price Relationship Breakdown: Phase 1 (2022-2023): Distribution & Selling Climax -High volume on down bars during the initial decline -Volume spikes coinciding with major price drops -Classic distribution pattern with professional selling Phase 2 (2023-2024): Accumulation Phase -No Supply Bars: Low volume on down bars indicates selling exhaustion -Testing for Supply: Multiple tests of the ₹50-60 zone with reducing volume -Background Volume: Consistently low volume, suggesting minimal selling pressure Phase 3 (Late 2024-2025): Mark-up Beginning -Effort vs Result: Increasing volume with improving price action -Spring Action: False break below support, followed by quick recovery -Current Bar: Classic "Upthrust After Accumulation" with massive volume Volume Spread Analysis Summary: Key VSA Signals Identified: -Selling Climax: Evident in 2022 with high volume and wide down bars -No Supply: Consistent pattern during 2023-2024 base formation -Spring/Shakeout: Brief dip below ₹58 with immediate recovery -Effort to Rise: Current massive volume surge on breakout attempt -Professional Interest: Volume pattern suggests smart money accumulation Chart Structure Breakdown: -Base Formation: Classic Multi-Year Cup Base spanning approximately 3 years (2022-2025) -Base Duration & Depth: 36+ months with a devastating 85% decline from peak (₹318 to ₹50 lows) Volume Characteristics: - Volume dried up significantly during the base formation phase - Massive volume surge (302.33M vs 24.45M average) accompanying the recent breakout attempt - Classic accumulation pattern with low volume during decline and high volume on breakout Key Levels: Support Levels: - Primary Support: ₹58-60 (recent low and base formation floor) - Secondary Support: ₹75-80 (previous resistance turned support) Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance: ₹125-130 (downtrend line resistance) - Major Resistance: ₹193-200 (previous significant level) - Ultimate Resistance: ₹242-250 (prior consolidation zone) - Breakout Zone: ₹108-112 (current breakout level with volume confirmation) Price Patterns: -Primary Pattern: Multi-year Cup Base with potential Handle formation -Current Action: Breakout from 3-year downtrend line with explosive volume -Volume Confirmation: 12x volume surge validates the breakout authenticity -Pattern Reliability: High probability setup given the extended base duration and volume characteristics Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: Primary Entry: ₹110-112 on sustained breakout with volume above 50M Add-on Entry: ₹115-118 on momentum continuation or successful retest of breakout zone Early Entry: ₹105-107 for aggressive traders betting on breakout confirmation Exit Strategy: Initial Target: ₹140-145 (measured move from base depth) Secondary Target: ₹175-180 (intermediate resistance zone) Ultimate Target: ₹200+ (major resistance retest) Trail SL: Use a 20% trailing stop once the initial target is achieved Stop-Loss and Risk Management: Ideal Stop-Loss: ₹95-98 (below breakout zone invalidation) Conservative SL: ₹88-90 (below recent swing low with buffer) Position Sizing: Risk 1.5-2% of portfolio capital given the high-conviction setup Risk-Reward: Attractive 1:3 to 1:4 ratio to initial targets Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop: Sector Outlook: Sector: Telecom Infrastructure & Optical Fiber - benefiting from 5G rollout momentum Relative Strength: Telecom capex cycle turning positive with the government's digital infrastructure push Peer Performance: Optical fiber and telecom equipment stocks showing renewed interest Stock Fundamentals: Business Turnaround: The Company has been restructuring operations and reducing its debt burden Growth Catalyst: 5G infrastructure deployment and the government's Digital India initiatives provide tailwinds Financial Health: Improving operational efficiency, though still in recovery phase Technical-Fundamental Alignment: Multi-year base formation coincides with business restructuring completion Overall Trade Summary: Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3.5:1 to initial target, extending to 5:1+ for swing targets Conviction Level: High- Textbook cup base with volume confirmation. Ideal Trader Profile: - Swing Traders: 4-8 week holding period for initial targets - Positional Traders: 6-12 month horizon for major resistance retest - Momentum Players: Quick 15-20% moves on breakout continuation Key Insight: "After 3 years of pain, Sterlite Tech is displaying all the hallmarks of a classic turnaround story - the kind that can deliver multi-bagger returns for patient capital." Key VSA Insight: "The 12x volume surge represents the moment when smart money stops accumulating and starts marking up - a classic VSA signal for trend initiation." My Take: Trade Thesis: This represents a high-probability, low-risk entry into a fundamentally improving story at a technically optimal juncture. The combination of multi-year base, volume breakout, and sector tailwinds creates a compelling risk-adjusted opportunity. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:STLTECHLong
by Karanshah137
9
AstraZeneca Breakout Above 10000 Could Signal Next Leg, Post Q4NSE:ASTRAZEN Breakout Above 10000 Could Signal Next Leg, Post Spectacular Q4 and FY25 Numbers. Breaking out of Rising Channel, hence selected for this Week's "Chart of the WEEK" Price Action Analysis: • Stock has been in a strong uptrend since May 2024, rising from around 3000 levels to current levels near 9800 • Recent price action shows consolidation between the 7500-8500 levels with multiple tests of resistance • Current price at 9409 represents a +22.80% gain, showing strong momentum • Volume spike visible in recent sessions at 2.75M shares vs average, indicating institutional interest • Price structure shows a higher highs and higher lows pattern intact. Key Support and Resistance Levels: • Primary Support: 8000-8200 zone (previous resistance turned support) • Secondary Support: 7500-7600 (multiple bounce zone) • Key Resistance: 8500-8600 (red horizontal line showing multiple rejections) • Breakout Resistance: 9000 psychological level • Current High: 10,950 acting as immediate resistance Base Formation and Patterns: • Rectangle consolidation pattern formed between 7500-8500 from September 2024 to March 2025 • Bullish flag pattern visible after the breakout above 8500 • Ascending triangle formation with higher lows and flat resistance around 8500 • Volume expansion during breakout confirms pattern validity Technical Indicators: • Strong upward-trending channel maintained since mid-2024 • Price trading above all major moving averages • Momentum appears to be building after the recent consolidation phase • Volume profile shows accumulation during base formation Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: • Primary Entry: On pullback to 8800-9000 support zone • Aggressive Entry: Current market price around 9400 for momentum play • Conservative Entry: Wait for retest of 8500 breakout level Exit Levels: • Target 1: 10,500 (psychological resistance) • Target 2: 11,200 (measured move from rectangle pattern) • Target 3: 12,000 (extension target based on trend channel) Risk Management: • Stop Loss: 8200 for entries around 9000 (tight stop) • Stop Loss: 7800 for swing positions (wider stop) • Position Size: Risk 1-2% of portfolio per trade • Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2 for all entries Position Sizing Guidelines: • For 1% risk: Calculate position size based on distance to stop loss • Maximum exposure: 3-5% of portfolio in a single stock • Scale in approach: 50% on initial entry, 30% on pullback, 20% on confirmation Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop: Pharmaceutical Sector Overview: • Indian pharma sector benefiting from global generic drug demand • Regulatory approvals and US FDA compliance driving growth • Export-oriented companies are seeing currency tailwinds • Increased healthcare spending post-pandemic, supporting sector growth AstraZeneca Pharma Fundamentals: • Strong presence in oncology and respiratory segments • Robust pipeline of innovative drugs and biosimilars • Strategic partnerships with global pharmaceutical companies • Consistent revenue growth and expanding market share in India • Strong balance sheet with healthy cash flows Market Dynamics: • Institutional buying is visible through increased volumes • FII interest in pharmaceutical stocks remains positive • Sector rotation favouring defensive healthcare plays • Government initiatives supporting pharmaceutical manufacturing Risk Factors: Technical Risks: • High volatility near resistance levels • Potential for false breakouts given extended rally • Volume confirmation required for sustained moves • Overbought conditions in the short term Fundamental Risks: • Regulatory changes in pharmaceutical pricing • Currency fluctuation impact on export revenues • Competition from generic drug manufacturers • Global economic slowdown affecting healthcare spending Market Risks: • Overall market correction could impact individual stocks • Sector rotation away from pharmaceuticals • Profit booking by institutional investors • Global pharmaceutical industry headwinds My Take: NSE:ASTRAZEN presents a compelling technical setup with a clear breakout above long-term resistance. The stock's strong fundamentals post Q4 and FY25, combined with favourable sector dynamics, make it an attractive investment opportunity. However, risk management remains crucial given the extended nature of the current rally. Traders should consider scaling into positions on pullbacks while maintaining strict stop-loss discipline. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:ASTRAZENLong
by Karanshah137
9
Honasa Consumer - Breakout Brewing After 6-Month Base Formation NSE:HONASA : Breakout Brewing After 6-Month Base Formation - Is This the Perfect Entry Point? After Q4 FY25 Results, Jefferies Adjusts Price Target to ₹400 From ₹320, Keeps at Buy. They target double-digit revenue growth on retail push, also eyeing Mamaearth revival, thus qualify for my Chart of the Week idea. Base Formation & Pattern Recognition: NSE:HONASA has carved out a compelling 6-month consolidation base between November 2024 and May 2025, with the stock oscillating between ₹197-280 range. This extended sideways movement represents a classic accumulation phase, where smart money has likely been building positions while retail investors remained on the sidelines. The most recent price action shows a powerful breakout above the ₹280 resistance level, accompanied by explosive volume expansion - a textbook technical setup that often precedes sustained upward moves. Key Technical Levels: Key Support Levels: - Primary Support: ₹280 (former resistance, now support) - Secondary Support: ₹240-250 (mid-range consolidation zone) - Major Support: ₹197 (base low and critical floor) Key Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance: ₹350-360 (psychological round number) - Next Target: ₹400 (measured move from base breakout) - Long-term Target: ₹472 (0.786 Fibonacci extension visible on chart) Volume Analysis: The standout feature is the dramatic volume surge accompanying today's breakout - nearly 5x the average weekly volume at 26.41M shares. This volume expansion validates the breakout and suggests institutional participation rather than retail-driven momentum. The volume pattern during the 6-month base shows periodic spikes at key support levels, indicating accumulation by informed participants during weakness. Technical Pattern: The chart displays a Rectangle/Trading Range pattern that has resolved to the upside. The measured move target from this pattern projects to approximately ₹400, representing the height of the rectangle (₹280-₹197 = ₹83) added to the breakout point. Trade Setup: Setup Type: Breakout Play with Volume Confirmation Entry Strategy: - Aggressive Entry: ₹325-330 (current levels on any minor pullback) - Conservative Entry: ₹285-290 (on retest of breakout level) Position Sizing: Use 1-2% portfolio risk given the setup quality Exit Strategy: - Target 1: ₹360 (9-10% upside) - Book 30% position - Target 2: ₹400 (20% + upside) - Book another 40% position - Target 3: ₹450-470 (35-40% upside) - Ride remaining position Stop Loss: - Tight Stop: ₹310 (6% downside protection) - Wider Stop: ₹275 (below breakout level for swing traders) Risk Assessment: Bullish Factors: - Clean 6-month base formation - Volume-confirmed breakout - Multiple support levels established - Strong sector tailwinds in the consumer space Risk Factors: - Broader market volatility could impact momentum - Profit-booking likely near psychological levels - Need to hold above ₹280 to maintain bullish structure Bottom Line: Honasa Consumer presents a high-probability technical setup with the stock breaking out of a well-defined 6-month accumulation base on strong volume. The risk-reward profile favours the bulls, with clearly defined support levels for stop placement and multiple upside targets for profit-taking. The key now is whether the stock can sustain above the ₹280 breakout level and continue its march toward the ₹350-400 zone. Any pullback to the ₹285-290 area would offer an attractive secondary entry point for those who missed the initial breakout. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:HONASALong
by Karanshah137
8
KIMS - Chart of the Week, Forming XABCD Pattern Near Base.NSE:KIMS made a beautiful Structure on the Daily timeframe to Qualify for my Chart of the Week idea, it saw Decent Volumes around the marked Key Levels from where it regained its 50 DEMA-making MACD Trending up. It is Forming an XABCD Harmonic Pattern near its Base and the D point is the likely target crossing Previous Highs. About: NSE:KIMS was Incorporated in the year 1973 and is one of the largest corporate healthcare groups in Andhra Pradesh and Telangana in terms of patients treated and treatments offered. The company offers multidisciplinary healthcare services with primary, secondary, and tertiary care across 2-3 tier cities and an additional quaternary healthcare facility in tier-1 cities. Trade Setup: This could be a good Positional Trade with Point C (474-508) Being a Major Support Zone and Point D (730) as a Likely Target as Per XABCD Harmonic Pattern Theory. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT Below your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:KIMSLong
by Karanshah137
GRSE - Chart of the Week, Breaking Trendline and Made a BaseNSE:GRSE has a beautiful structure on the Weekly Timeframe to Qualify for my Chart of the Week idea, it saw Decent Volumes this week around the marked Key Levels of 100 WSMA and also broke the trendline with RSI Trending Upwards. About: NSE:GRSE is a premier shipbuilding company in India under the administrative control of the Ministry of Defence, primarily catering to the shipbuilding requirements of the Indian Navy and the Indian Coast Guard. NSE:GRSE is a diversified, profit-making and the first Shipyard in the country to export warships and deliver 100 warships to the Indian Navy and Indian Coast Guard. Trade Setup: Could be a good Positional Trade with the 100 WSMA Being a Major Support along with Marked Key Levels, Buy on Dips as the Entire Defense Sector is in an Uptrend and it Broke the Trendline Strongly this week. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT Below your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:GRSELong
by Karanshah137
Archean Chemical - Chart of the WeekNSE:ACI has a beautiful structure in the Weekly Timeframe that qualifies for my Chart of the Week idea. It saw Decent Volumes this week and closed above its recent swing high, with RSI and MACD Trending Upwards and Closing Above all Major Short moving Averages, breaking the Trendline. About: NSE:ACI is India's largest exporter of bromine and industrial salt in Fiscal 2021. The company is the leading specialty marine chemical manufacturer in India and is focused on producing and exporting bromine, industrial salt, and sulphate of potash to customers around the world. Brokerage View: ICICI Securities research report on Archean Chemical Industries ACI has a plethora of opportunities – each carrying strong value creation potential – along its path ahead. Right off the bat, the expansion in bromine derivatives, and thus, higher captive bromine consumption would likely provide a strong fillip to ACI’s bromine business. Separately, Oren shall help cater to chemicals’ demand for O&G exploration services along with bromine compounds. Also, the success in its SOP flotation process could unlock extensive value. Further, its foray into SiC chip production – likely production FY28E onwards – would place ACI among the few Indian producers in semiconductors. Outlook: It is also exploring a giga-factory in ZincGel batteries using zinc-bromide electrolyte, which exhibits synergies with its bromine. In our view, the stock has little to lose due to undemanding valuations (12.8x FY27E PE). Retain BUY and TP of INR 675 (based on 15x FY27E EPS). Trade Setup: It has broken the falling trendline and respected a Major Support Zone, Buy on Dips will the way to play this counter because of the uncertain environment of trump tariffs. Stop Loss: Swing Low Levels around the Levels Marked on a Weekly Closing Basis only. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:ACILong
by Karanshah137
4
Tata Consumer Prod. - Chart of the WeekNSE:TATACONSUM has a beautiful structure in the Weekly Timeframe that qualifies for my Chart of the Week idea. It saw Decent Volumes this week and closed above its recent swing high, with RSI and MACD Trending Upwards and Closing Above all Major Moving Averages. About: NSE:TATACONSUM is one of the leading companies of the Tata Group, with presence in the food and beverages business in India and internationally. It is the second-largest tea company globally and has significant market presence and leadership in many markets. In addition to South Asia (mainly India), it has presence in various other geographies including Canada, the UK, North America, Australia, Europe, the Middle East and Africa. F&O Activity: Significant Shorts are getting covered with 1050 PE OI Increasing Significantly. Trade Setup: It is Forming Like a Falling Wedge, it can test the upper edge and can give a good swing towards 1186-1190 Levels. So buy on Dips Until it closes below the Swing Low, ideally around the Marked Green Levels. Target(Take Profit): Around the Upper Edge of the Falling Wedge. Stop Loss: Swing Low Levels around 950-930. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:TATACONSUMLong
by Karanshah137
2
Triveni Turbine - Chart of the Week NSE:TRITURBINE has a beautiful structure on the Weekly Timeframe to Qualify for my Chart of the Week idea, it saw Decent Volumes around the marked Key Levels which is 0.786% Fib Retracement Levels and also a Rising trendline which has been defending since June 2022 Several Times. About: NSE:TRITURBINE primarily manufactures and supplies power-generating equipment and solutions. It was a division of NSE:TRIVENI since the 1970s and was demerged w.e.f from Oct 2010 into a separate entity. Trade Setup: Could be a good Positional Trade with the Rising Trendline Being a Major Support along with FIb Levels. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT Below your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:TRITURBINELong
by Karanshah137
7