mcx natural gas brekaout updatemcx natural gas drag down 350 near@ after made high 490@ now some possibilities here on chart--
natural gas breakout point as per chart expert 365@ if sustain abv or close above than expect 385--400--430 after break out will see rock hard buy
if break structure 350@ than again dwn side 330--320 expect here
Chart Patterns
XAUUSD Short-Term Pullback Within a Bigger Bullish Trend📉 XAUUSD Update – Short-Term Pullback Within a Bigger Bullish Trend
Timeframes: 4H & 5M
Gold has seen a sharp intraday pullback from the recent highs, but the higher-timeframe structure remains bullish.
4H View
Price is still above the rising EMA support, keeping the broader trend intact
Strong supply zone visible near 4360 – 4380, which triggered the rejection
Key higher-timeframe support sits at 4290 – 4300
5M View
Momentum has turned bearish short term, with price trading below the EMA–VWAP band
RSI near 38 signals short-term weakness, not yet a full reversal
Buyers may re-enter near 4310 – 4320
Key Levels
Resistance: 4328 – 4335
Support: 4310 – 4300
Bullish Reclaim: Above 4335
Outlook
This move looks like a healthy correction rather than a trend change. Holding above 4300 keeps the bullish bias intact, while a reclaim of 4335 could signal the next upside attempt.
TATA CV Segment Bearish View Tata Motors’ commercial vehicles (CV) business is part of Tata Motors Limited, India’s largest automobile company and a major global CV manufacturer. It produces a full range of trucks and buses serving cargo, passenger, construction, and defense applications in India and overseas markets.
## Company overview
Tata Motors Limited was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India. It is a public company within the Tata Group, with operations and subsidiaries across India, the U.K., South Korea, Thailand, South Africa, and other regions.
The company has evolved into one of the world’s leading automotive manufacturers, with consolidated revenues above USD 40–50 billion and a significant share of India’s automobile market. Within this, commercial vehicles form a core business alongside passenger vehicles and Jaguar Land Rover.
## Commercial vehicle portfolio
The CV division offers a full line of products, including small commercial vehicles, light, intermediate, medium, and heavy trucks, as well as buses and construction/defence vehicles. Products span applications such as cargo haulage, last‑mile delivery, tippers for mining and construction, staff and school buses, and special-purpose vehicles.
Tata Motors is recognized as a leader in the Indian commercial vehicle market, with a long legacy that includes India’s first indigenously developed light commercial vehicle and mini‑truck (Tata Ace). The company positions its CVs around durability, low total cost of ownership, and suitability for tough Indian operating conditions.
## Scale and market presence
Tata Motors’ commercial and passenger vehicles are sold in more than 175 countries. The group maintains a network of over 100 subsidiaries and strong distribution across Africa, the Middle East, South Asia, Southeast Asia, South America, Australia, CIS, and Russia.
Manufacturing and R&D for CVs are mainly based in India, with plants in locations such as Jamshedpur, Pune, and Lucknow, supported by engineering centers in India, the U.K., Italy, and Korea. This global footprint helps the CV business adapt products to local regulations and customer needs.
## Strategy and strengths
The CV business focuses on technology, safety, fuel efficiency, and connected-vehicle solutions to lower lifecycle costs for fleet operators. There is a growing emphasis on alternative fuel and electric commercial vehicles in line with sustainability goals.
Key strengths include brand trust under the Tata Group, a deep service and spares network in India, a wide product range for all tonnage segments, and experience in harsh-use environments. These factors support Tata Motors’ position as India’s largest commercial vehicle manufacturer and an important global player.
BSOFT — Double Bottom Formation | Waiting for Neckline Breakout BSOFT has gone through a sharp corrective phase and is now showing a clear double bottom structure near the demand zone.
Both lows were defended strongly, and price has started to move back toward the neckline resistance around the highlighted level.
Right now, the stock is at a decision point.
• A clean breakout and hold above the neckline would confirm the pattern and open the door for the next upside leg.
• Until that happens, patience matters — no anticipation, only confirmation.
This study is purely based on price behavior, structure, and reactions, not predictions or hype.
I prefer to wait for price to prove itself before taking any action.
Quality setups > random trades.
Part 8 Trading Master Class Option Pricing and the Role of Greeks
Option prices are influenced by multiple factors, not just price direction. These influences are measured by Option Greeks:
Delta – Measures how much the option price changes for a 1-point move in the underlying
Gamma – Measures the rate of change of delta
Theta – Measures time decay; options lose value as expiry approaches
Vega – Measures sensitivity to changes in volatility
Rho – Measures impact of interest rate changes
Understanding Greeks helps traders manage risk, select strategies, and anticipate how options behave under different market conditions.
Heranba Industries: Why Falling Wedges Often Mark the BottomThe Setup Heranba Industries (NSE: HERANBA) has been in a corrective phase for months, but the structure has now matured into a classic Falling Wedge Pattern on the Daily timeframe.
For those new to this pattern: A Falling Wedge is a bullish reversal pattern. It is characterized by "Lower Highs" and "Lower Lows" contracting into a narrower range. This contraction signals that selling pressure is exhausting and buyers are stepping in at higher relative lows.
Technical Breakdown:
Price Action: The price has respected the upper trendline resistance multiple times. The recent breakout candle suggests a shift in momentum.
The Psychology: Notice how the selling waves are getting shorter? This "compression" usually precedes an expansion in volatility (the breakout).
Volume Profile: We are looking for a spike in volume to confirm the breakout validity. A low-volume breakout is often a trap, so watch the close.
Trade Management (Educational View):
Aggressive Entry: On the immediate break of the upper trendline (Current Levels: ~247-248).
Conservative Entry: Waiting for a "Retest" of the trendline around 240-242 to confirm support.
Stop Loss: Strictly below the recent swing low (invalidate the pattern if price falls back into the wedge).
Targets: The theoretical target of a wedge is often the top of the wedge structure (the origin of the pattern).
Risological Note: We track these compression patterns because they offer high Risk-to-Reward ratios. We are not predicting the future; we are reacting to probability.
Chumtrades XAUUSD Sideway Trading PlanMarket View
Gold is currently moving within a clear sideway structure, with no confirmed signal for a new trend. Price action suggests accumulation and rotation inside defined ranges.
Sideway Structure
Small H4 Box (inner range):
Upper boundary: 4335
Lower boundary: 4290
This is the main short-term trading box where price is reacting most frequently.
Large Sideway Box (outer range):
Upper boundary: 435X
Pay attention to 434X (around 4340–4342)
Lower boundary: 4270
A deeper extension may reach 4256
Intraday Expectation
Sideway behavior remains the primary scenario.
Trading approach:
Sell near the top of the range
Buy near the bottom of the range
No major news today, no clear breakout catalyst.
Risk Note
Manage risk carefully and stay alert for false breakouts.
If price closes decisively outside the larger box, reassess the structure.
Triangle formationThangamayil Jewellers – Glistening with Opportunity
The overall sentiment in the jewellery sector has turned positive, supported by strong fundamentals and global tailwinds.
Gold and silver prices are on a consistent uptrend, hitting new highs almost daily, driven by both safe-haven demand and global metal rallies.
Thangamayil Jewellers, a Tamil Nadu-based company, has established a strong presence among the middle class, with steady growth in both sales and revenue.
Technically, the stock shows a clear bullish triangle formation on the monthly chart, while also exhibiting low-price accumulation patterns on the daily timeframe.
This setup offers a compelling combination of fundamental strength and technical breakout potential, making it a stock to watch closely in the current metals rally.
Part 7 Trading Master Class Buyers vs Sellers in Option Trading
Option trading has two sides: buyers and sellers (writers).
Option Buyer
Pays a premium
Risk is limited to the premium paid
Profit potential can be unlimited (for calls)
Needs strong price movement in the expected direction
Option Seller
Receives the premium
Profit is limited to the premium received
Risk can be unlimited (especially in naked positions)
Benefits from time decay and sideways markets
This buyer-seller dynamic makes options a zero-sum game, where one side’s gain is the other’s loss.
Supreme Industries - Strong Weekly Demand Zone + Unfilled GapOn the weekly chart of Supreme Industries, price is approaching a strong confluence area near ₹3145 – ₹3200.
There are three major technical factors aligning at this zone 👇
1️⃣ Weekly Demand Zone:
Price has previously reversed from this area, showing strong buyer interest.
Now, once again, the price is testing the same zone — indicating buyers might become active again.
2️⃣ Lower Bollinger Band Support:
Currently, price is trading near the lower Bollinger Band.
Whenever price touches the lower band, a short-term pullback or bounce is often seen.
3️⃣ Unfilled Gap:
There’s also an unfilled gap around this zone, adding an extra layer of support.
If the price shows signs of reversal from this level,
a short-term upside move toward ₹4060 can be expected.
The risk–reward from this zone looks attractive (around 2:1 setup).
⚙️ Trade Plan (for Educational Purpose Only):
📍 Entry Zone: ₹3145 – ₹3200
🛑 Stop Loss: Below ₹3060
🎯 Target: ₹4060
💡 Conclusion:
This setup looks like a strong technical confluence reversal zone,
where the Demand Zone + Lower Bollinger Band + Gap Support
together create a high-probability area for buyers to step in.
Wait for bullish price action confirmation (like a strong green candle or structure break) before considering any entries.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a buy/sell recommendation.
Always do your own research and risk management before trading.
XAUUSD H1 Analysis Before Key NewsXAUUSD H1 Analysis Before Key News
During the Asian-European session, gold is likely to move sideways awaiting news as the market enters a sensitive phase with data and political factors, amidst a clearly formed short-term downtrend structure.
PRIORITY SCENARIO
Trading strategy according to the current structure, prioritizing short-term sell and buy at lower liquidity zones.
Main sell zone: around 4323, coinciding with the POC of the Volume Profile.
Technical context: price is moving below the equilibrium zone, clear H1 downtrend structure; the POC area often acts as a "pullback to sell" price zone.
Expected movement: early European session may see a pullback of about 40–50 points, then price returns to sideways movement and faces downward pressure again.
Position management:
Sell should only be held short-term and tightly managed when price reacts at 4323. If price surpasses POC and holds above this zone, risk should be reduced and avoid holding sell positions.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO
Strategy to buy at lower liquidity zones, suitable for medium-term trading.
Buy zone 1: around 4242, important VAH zone.
Buy zone 2: around 4215, Buy Zone according to Volume Profile.
Technical context: these are two price zones with high liquidity density, often attracting buying force when the market needs to rebalance after a decline.
Expected movement: price sweeps liquidity below, creating a new accumulation base and seeking recovery opportunities.
MAIN REASON
On H1, a downtrend structure has formed after a distribution phase, indicating short-term advantage leans towards the sell side.
Volume Profile clearly identifies POC 4323 as a reasonable pullback zone to sell, while 4242 and 4215 are price zones with high probability of buying reaction.
Sideways scenario before news fits the market context awaiting important macroeconomic and political information.
MACRO CONTEXT AND POLITICAL NEWS
Political factors are strongly impacting the currency market, especially the USD. The US is said to have proposed a security guarantee mechanism for Ukraine similar to NATO's Article 5 to promote negotiations to end the conflict with Russia, although territorial issues have not yet reached consensus.
These signals are putting weakening pressure on the USD, thereby continuing to support gold in the medium term. However, in the short term, strong volatility around news release time is something to be particularly noted.
RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING
Do not prioritize trading when price is between the equilibrium zone and has not reached important Volume Profile levels.
Sell orders should only be considered short-term trades before news, avoiding holding through data release or important political speeches.
Medium-term buy strategy will have more advantage if price reacts clearly at 4242 or deeper at 4215.
Closely monitor USD fluctuations as current political news is the main driving factor.
Safe Enterprises Retail Fixtures LtdDate 17.12.2025
Safe Enterprises Retail Fixtures
Timeframe : 4 Hours Chart
About
It designs, manufactures, supplies, and installs shop fittings and retail fixtures, providing customized solutions across various retail segments such as fashion, electronics, and department stores.
Product Portfolio
(1) Modular storage racks and systems
(2) Cabinets, partition systems
(3) Display tables and counters
(4) Digital display screens and touch monitors
(5) Electrified shop fittings with IoT applications like Lift and Learn
(6) Eight engineered shop fitting lines
Revenue Bifurcation
(1) Domestic Sales: 98.69%
(2) Exports: 1.31%
Domestic Revenue Bifurcation
(1) Maharashtra – 17.46%
(2) Karnataka – 11.00%
(3) Telangana – 8.14%
(4) Uttar Pradesh – 7.78%
(5) Gujarat – 7.54%
(6) The remaining 48.05%
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 1,281 Cr
(2) Stock Pe 23.1
(3) Roce 96.4 %
(4) Roe 77.6 %
(5) Book Value 5.5X
(6) Opm 36%
(7) Promoter 70%
(8) Profit Growth (TTM) 70%
(9) EV/Ebita 16.25
(10) PEG 0.06
Regards,
Ankur
XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis for TodayXAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis for Today
Price has touched the resistance trendline, but the plan still prioritises BUY (VAL 4303–4306)
Strategy Overview
Gold is currently reacting at the resistance trendline, but there is not enough confirmation yet to call a bearish reversal. For now, the main plan remains to look for buys from the liquidity zone (Volume Profile – VAL). A strong trend shift will only be confirmed if price clearly breaks and closes above the trendline.
1) Technical View
Price is being pressed by the upper resistance trendline, so short-term volatility and wicks are likely.
However, the lower area is supported by Volume Profile (VAL), which favours a reaction-based buy strategy rather than FOMO entries in the middle of the move.
On the upside, there is strong liquidity around 4370, a zone where profit-taking or distribution can easily appear.
2) Trading Plan for Today (Clear Entry – SL)
Scenario A (Preferred): BUY using Volume Profile (VAL)
✅ Buy: 4303 – 4306 (VAL)
SL: 4295
Near TP: 4320 – 4330
Extended TP: Towards the 4370 liquidity zone if the trendline is broken successfully
Logic: VAL represents a “low value area” on the Volume Profile, which often attracts buying interest. As long as price holds this zone, the bias remains buy on pullbacks.
Scenario B: SELL at the upper strong liquidity zone
✅ Sell: Around 4370
SL: 4380
TP: 4330 → 4306 (return to the value area)
Logic: The 4370 level is a strong liquidity zone. If price reaches this area and fails to hold, it provides a textbook reaction-based sell setup.
3) Trend Confirmation Conditions
Strong bullish confirmation: When price breaks and closes an H1 candle clearly above the trendline. At that point, buy setups become safer, with targets towards higher liquidity zones.
If price continues to be rejected multiple times at the trendline, the priority is to wait for price to return to VAL 4303–4306 before buying. Avoid chasing price.
4) Fundamental Context
CIBC: Weaker US employment data may push the Fed to cut interest rates earlier next year, which is typically supportive for gold in the medium term.
Silver prices breaking higher due to tight supply and rising demand suggest that precious metals flows remain strong, meaning gold can experience sharp liquidity-driven moves.
💬 Which scenario are you leaning towards today?
Buying at VAL 4303–4306, or waiting for price to reach 4370 to sell the reaction?
Part 6 Learn Institutional TadingTypes of Options
There are two primary types of options:
Call Option
A call option gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price before or on expiry. Traders buy call options when they expect the market to move upward.
Example:
If NIFTY is trading at 20,000 and you buy a 20,100 call option, you profit if NIFTY moves above 20,100 plus the premium paid.
Put Option
A put option gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Traders buy put options when they expect the market to move downward.
Example:
If NIFTY is at 20,000 and you buy a 19,900 put option, you profit if the index falls below 19,900 minus the premium.
BTC Market Update – FOMC Range ModeBitcoin is stuck in FOMC limbo — no clean pump, no dump, just tight consolidation as markets wait for Powell’s cue. Volatility is coiling, and a big move is loading.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: $92K–94K (must hold for bullish continuation)
Bullish Trigger: Break & hold above $94.6K
🎯 Next upside: $100K retest
Bearish Trigger: Break below $87.7K
🎯 Downside risk: Low $80Ks before a rebound attempt
Market View:
This is a classic decision range — expect sharp expansion once direction is chosen. Stay alert around FOMC headlines; volatility can spike fast.
Bias: ⚖️ Neutral → Breakout pending
Disclaimer:
For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Trading in Forex, Gold, Crypto, and markets involves high risk. Do your own research and trade at your own risk.
RIL 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Current Price Context (approx):
RIL is trading near ₹1,540 – ₹1,550 intraday range today.
📈 1‑Day Resistance Levels
These are levels where the stock may face selling pressure or pause on the upside:
Intraday Daily Resistances (Pivots & Speed Levels):
R1: ~₹1,549 – ₹1,550
R2: ~₹1,557 – ₹1,557
R3: ~₹1,562 – ₹1,563
(above current price)
Extended intraday pivot R4 (if breakout):
~₹1,570+ (from broader pivot series)
📉 1‑Day Support Levels
Key levels where buyers may step in on dips:
Intraday Daily Supports:
S1: ~₹1,536 – ₹1,537
S2: ~₹1,531 – ₹1,532
S3: ~₹1,523 – ₹1,524
(below current price)
Weekly pivot support band (if selling accelerates):
Around ₹1,531 – ₹1,505+ (broader support zone)
IOC 1 Month Time Frame 📊 Current Context
IOC is trading around the ₹166–₹168 range as of mid‑December 2025.
Over the last month, the stock has seen a slight decline (~‑2.7% to ‑3.6% depending on source).
🟢 Key 1‑Month Support Levels
These are levels where the price may find buying interest if the stock pulls back:
✅ Primary Support: ~₹164–₹162
➡️ Near recent lows and pivot zone where short‑term buyers could step in.
✅ Lower Support: ~₹160–₹158
➡️ Broader support band from slight chart congestion.
⚠️ Deep Support: ~₹138–₹135
➡️ A deeper correction zone identified by longer‑term indicators — likely only relevant if broader markets turn very weak.
🔴 Key 1‑Month Resistance Levels
These are price points that may cap upside near‑term:
🚧 Immediate Resistance: ~₹170–₹171
➡️ Short‑term hurdle around recent highs.
🚧 Next Resistance: ~₹172–₹173
➡️ Slightly stronger resistance if stock breaks above ₹171.
🚧 Higher Resistance: ~₹176–₹177+
➡️ Breakout zone toward the upper end of the near‑term range.
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading What Is Option Trading?
An option is a financial derivative whose value is derived from an underlying asset such as a stock, index, commodity, or currency. Option trading involves buying or selling contracts that give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price within a specified time period.
Each option contract has key elements:
Underlying asset – Stock, index (NIFTY, BANKNIFTY), commodity, etc.
Strike price – The price at which the asset can be bought or sold
Expiry date – The date on which the option contract expires
Premium – The price paid by the buyer to the seller (writer) of the option
Options are traded on exchanges and are standardized in terms of lot size and expiry.
XAUUSD – Continuation Update | Buy Trade Progressing as PlannedAfter the earlier move and corrective phase, Gold once again respected the previous high → support zone, confirming that buyers were still defending structure.
🔹 Buy Trade Recap:
Entry taken after structure held above support
Price dipped close to SL, but never broke structure
Liquidity was grabbed, weak hands shaken out
Market respected demand and expanded upward
🎯 TP1 hit successfully
Partial profits secured as planned.
🔹 Current Status:
Buy position still active
Targeting TP2
SL protected and trade managed
This trade is a reminder:
Markets don’t reward impatience.
They reward those who trust their analysis and manage risk.
Almost stopped out, yes — but structure stayed intact.
And that’s all that matters.
Patience is not passive.
It’s a position.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradeManagement #SmartMoney #TradingView #ValhallaCore
XAUUSD (Gold Spot) Technical Outlook - 17/12/2025XAU/USD – Technical Update
Gold trades near $4,332 and remains in a strong bullish trend across all timeframes, supported by price holding well above key moving averages. Momentum is strong, though short-term indicators are overbought, hinting at minor pullbacks.
Key Levels:
Support: 4300–4305 | 4290 | 4270
Resistance: 4335 | 4367 | 4400
Intraday Strategy:
Buy dips: 4300–4310
Targets: 4335 → 4365
SL: Below 4270
Fundamentals:
US macro data & Fed expectations keep gold supported amid cautious risk sentiment.
Bias: 📈 Bullish trend | Buy on dips
Disclaimer:
For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Trading in Forex, Gold, Crypto, and markets involves high risk. Do your own research and trade at your own risk.






















