JK Paper cmp 426.25 by Weekly Chart viewJK Paper cmp 426.25 by Weekly Chart view
- Weekly basis Support Zone 345 to 380 Price Band
- Weekly basis Resistance Zone 445 to 480 Price Band
- Bullish Cup & Handle pattern made surrounding Support Zone
- Volumes spiked heavily last week by close sync with avg traded qty
- Majority of the Technical Indicators BB, EMA, MACD, RSI, SAR on positive trend
- Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout well sustained by price and volumes momentum
Chart Patterns
Astral micro System Bullish Astra micro wave given good sign for upmove after Goldman sachs upgrade. It's moving good.
We can get 5 -10% Easily from here in swing trading. 30 -40% in long run. Good stock.
Consult your financial advisor before making any position in stock market. For more information Visit my Tradingview Profile.
Lemon Tree Hotels LtdLEMONTREE - The stock is currently in a strong technical position, showing robust buy signals across key indicators and maintaining a clear uptrend within an ascending parallel channel.
It recently broke above a long-term resistance zone and is now retesting this level.
If the price sustains above 160, this retest suggests a bullish continuation.
The breakout was supported by decent trading volume, indicating strong buying interest,
and the price is trading above its EMA, which confirms short-term bullish momentum.
Consider buying above 175 with a target of 195 and a stop loss below 160.
BULLISH INVERTED HEAD&SHOULDERS PATTERN Bank Nifty has formed a bullish inverted Head & Shoulders pattern on the daily chart.
The neckline is placed around 55,700, and price has broken above it, which is a bullish signal.
If the breakout sustains, it indicates a potential trend reversal to the upside.
Rising volume supports the strength of this breakout.
The next resistance zone is seen around 57,000 – 57,500 levels.
Support is now near the neckline area around 55,700.
Conclusion
If the breakout holds and the price successfully retests the neckline, Bank Nifty could see a strong upward move ahead.
GOLD@ 3890 : Bubble Peak or Just a Pit-Stop?Pullback vs. Correction The 100th-Idea Deep Dive !!
Gold has moved almost 88% in the last two years to new records. The main drivers are falling real yield expectations with an easing bias, persistent geopolitical risk, record central bank buying and the 2025 rebound in ETF demand.
Geopolitics is shifting as Washington pushes for a Gaza ceasefire. Headlines talk about partial acceptance and ultimatums but nothing is done yet. The war premium can fade step by step though headline shocks will still remain.
Key levels:-
Resistance 3890–4000
Pullback zone 3640–3650 (5%)
Correction zone 3475–3480 (11%)
Weekly RSI stretched into high 70s and 80s → risk of mean reversion before any bigger change.
Macro gears:-
Real yields and the dollar:-
Lower real yields = higher gold. That is the key lever. As rate cuts and softer real rates were priced into 2025, gold repriced hard.
Central bank sponsorship:-
Official demand has been consistent three years in a row. 2022 at 1082t, 2023 at 1037t, 2024 at 1045t. This is rare in modern data and explains why dips are shallow.
ETF flows:-
After outflows in 2024, 2025 turned. Three straight months of inflows into August, strongest since 2020, YTD around 588t. Pure fuel ✨
Geopolitics & the premium:-
From 2023 to 2025 Middle East risk kept term premia elevated. Now Gaza peace talks open a path for that premium to fade. But timelines and enforcement are unclear. Strikes still came even with peace headlines. Means the bleed can be gradual but headline spikes remain..
Pullback or true correction:-
3890–4000 is the confluence zone. Psychological milestone + vertical extension after 88% impulse. Bubble behavior meets supply.
Level 1 at 3640 → about -5% pullback. If bids hold, trend resumes.
Level 2 at 3470→ -10 to -12% wash into prior shelf. Would be first real reset in two years.
Weekly momentum overbought. Phases like this don’t end instantly but forward returns improve after reset.
Flows @ CBs rarely chase tops, they buy weakness across months. That softens drawdowns.
ETFs are flighty. Peace plus firmer yields can stall inflows. Any Fed pivot or growth wobble can flip them back fast.
Possible future paths :-
Continuation bubble :- Break 3900 → 4050–4200
Triggers dovish Fed, softer yields, failed peace, ETF flows
Tactic = only add above 3900 on daily/weekly close. No chasing wicks.
Shallow pullback :-Tag 3630–3660 then rotate
Triggers peace holds, modestly firm yields, demand returns
Tactic = scale in near 3640–3650 if H4 shows higher low + reclaim POC. First TP 3780–3820.
True correction :- flush 3520–3460
Triggers Gaza settlement + real yields higher + ETF stall
Tactic = let it wash. Look for capitulation + basing 3480–3460. Best R:R after failed bounce and reclaim.
Levels & invalidation:-
Bull continuation pivot 3890–3900. Opens 4050–4200.
Pullback buy zone 3630(Hvz)–3650 with confirmation. Invalidation H4 <3600.
Correction buy zone 3480 ±20 after basing. Invalidation weekly <3420 → opens 3300–3350.
If flat → stagger entries and size carefully.
If long from lower → trail under last daily HL, book partial 3880–3950.
Surprise risk (Imp) ETF squeeze higher – inflows still not at 2020 peak → late cycle melt-up possible.
Policy shock – faster cuts or fiscal noise sink yields = blow-off. Strong data → pop in yields = sharp air pocket.
Geopolitical whipsaw – peace unravels → $50–100 spike in thin tape!!
Bottom line:-
This is a two year vertical impulse meeting macro reality at 3890.
Level 1 = 3640–3650 pullback line.
Level 2 = 3480 correction line.
Until weekly breaks, dips are still opportunities not obituaries. But only with structure. No blind catching this high up.
Bubbles don’t end quietly – great trends reset then go again ✨
Fade euphoria into 39xx if momentum stalls. Buy fear into 348x if the market finally delivers the reset it owes.
Trade safe ⚡
Sparkrlight ♾️✨⚡
Avantel - Tactical Buy Setup Ahead of Earnings🚀 Avantel Ltd – Tactical Buy Setup Ahead of Earnings
**Type:** Short-Term Trading Idea
**Bias:** Bullish
**Time Horizon:** 1–2 weeks
**Risk Management:** Use tight stop-loss below recent swing low
📊 Technical Snapshot
Avantel Ltd is flashing multiple bullish signals, making it a high-conviction candidate for short-term trading. In a rangebound broader market, Avantel stands out with strong relative strength and momentum indicators aligning ahead of its earnings release.
✅ Key Technical Triggers:
- **52-Week High:** Trading near its yearly high while broader indices remain muted—clear sign of relative strength.
- **Super Trend:** Positive crossover confirms trend continuation.
- **RSI:** Slightly overbought, but still constructive—indicates sustained buying interest.
- **ADX:** Rising ADX confirms a trending move, not just a spike.
- **MACD:** Bullish crossover with expanding histogram—momentum building.
- **Volume Surge:** Heavy volumes last week suggest institutional accumulation ahead of results.
🧠 Trader’s Take
This is a classic pre-earnings momentum setup. With trend, volume, and sentiment aligning, Avantel offers a tactical long opportunity. Monitor price action around results for potential breakout continuation or reversal signals.
> “Strong hands are buying. The tape is speaking—listen.”
📌 Suggested Strategy
- **Entry:** On minor dips or breakout above recent high
- **Stop Loss:** Just below recent swing low or 5–7% from entry
SAMMAAN Capital: Trendline Breakout, Chart of the weekFrom Housing Finance Giant to NBFC Phoenix: Why NSE:SAMMAANCAP Breakout Could Signal a Multi-Bagger Opportunity. Let's Analyse in the Chart of the Week.
As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Price Action Analysis:
Overall Trend Structure:
- The stock has been in a prolonged downtrend from its recent high of ₹260 in early 2022
- A major capitulation event occurred in July 2024, creating a panic low at ₹79.38
- Since the July 2024 low, the stock has formed a clear accumulation phase with higher lows
- Recent price action shows a strong breakout from a descending trendline that acted as resistance since early 2024
- Current price at ₹165.03 represents a 107% rally from the lows, indicating strong momentum recovery
Candlestick Patterns & Momentum:
- The most recent weekly candle shows a massive bullish engulfing pattern with a substantial body, suggesting strong buying conviction
- Price has cleared multiple resistance zones with authority, indicating institutional accumulation
- The breakout candle shows no upper wick, demonstrating aggressive buying and a lack of selling pressure at higher levels
- Consecutive green candles in recent weeks suggest sustained buying interest
- The price action exhibits characteristics of a potential trend reversal from bear to bull phase
Moving Averages & Dynamic Support:
- Price has reclaimed all major short-term moving averages
- The stock is now trading above its 50-week moving average
- A golden cross formation appears imminent as shorter-term MAs cross above longer-term MAs
- Previous resistance zones are now expected to act as support on pullbacks
Volume Spread Analysis:
Volume Profile:
- Massive volume spike on the latest breakout candle (462.74M vs average 86.92M) - approximately 5.3x the average volume
- This represents the highest volume since early 2022, indicating significant institutional participation
- Volume during the accumulation phase (July 2024 - September 2025) was relatively subdued, typical of smart money accumulation
- Previous high-volume events coincided with panic selling in 2022 and mid-2024
- Current volume expansion during upward movement is a classic sign of breakout validity
Volume-Price Correlation:
- The price-to-volume ratio shows a healthy correlation during the recent rally
- Higher volume on up days compared to down days indicates bullish sentiment
- The massive volume breakout suggests this move has strong institutional backing
- No signs of distribution (high volume on down days) at current levels
Volume Analysis Inference:
- The 5x volume expansion confirms a genuine breakout rather than a false move
- Smart money appears to be entering positions aggressively
- Retail participation is likely to increase given the media coverage and the F&O ban lifting
- Volume profile supports continuation of the uptrend in the near-term
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Major Resistance Zones:
- R1 (Immediate): ₹175-180 - Minor psychological resistance
- R2 (Near-term): ₹200-220 - Previous consolidation zone and descending trendline confluence
- R3 (Major): ₹240-260 - Recent high zone with significant supply potential
- R4 (Psychological): ₹300 - Round number psychological barrier
Major Support Zones:
- S1 (Immediate): ₹150-155 - Recent breakout level, now acting as support
- S2 (Strong): ₹135-140 - Multiple touch points and previous resistance turned support
- S3 (Critical): ₹113-120 - Horizontal support zone with high volume node
- S4 (Ultimate): ₹100-105 - Major accumulation zone and swing low area
Key Price Levels to Watch:
- Breakdown level to watch: ₹145 (invalidation of bullish setup)
- Pivotal zone: ₹135-140 (must hold for bullish continuation)
- Stop-loss zone for longs: Below ₹130
Base Formation & Pattern Recognition:
Primary Base Structure:
- The base shows characteristics of a "Stage 1" accumulation base as per the Weinstein methodology
Secondary Patterns Identified:
- Descending Channel: From January 2024 to September 2025, the stock traded within a falling channel
- Breakout Pattern: Recent weekly candle broke above the descending trendline resistance with authority
- Double Bottom: A smaller double bottom formation exists at the ₹100-105 level (June-July 2025)
- Higher Low Sequence: Since the July 2024 bottom, the stock has made consistent higher lows - ₹79, ₹100, ₹130, ₹135
Pattern Implications:
- The quality of base formation (15 months) indicates strong institutional accumulation
Technical Indicators Assessment:
Trend Indicators:
- Price trading above descending trendline for the first time in 18 months
- Structure shifted from lower highs/lower lows to higher highs/higher lows
- Breakout above multi-month resistance confirms trend reversal
- Weekly timeframe showing a clear momentum shift
Volatility Indicators:
- Recent expansion in price range indicates increasing volatility
- Volatility expansion during upward movement is a bullish characteristic
- ATR (Average True Range) is likely expanding, providing better trading opportunities
Diversification Rules:
- Maximum NBFC/Financial sector exposure: 15-20% of portfolio
- Since Sammaan Capital is an NBFC, ensure other NBFC holdings don't exceed the sector limit
- Correlation check: Avoid overweight in stocks moving in tandem
- Rebalance if a single position grows beyond 10% due to appreciation
Risk Management Framework:
Technical Risk Factors:
- Breakout failure risk: 30% probability of pullback to ₹140-150
- False breakout risk: Volume sustenance needed for confirmation
- Resistance rejection risk: ₹220 zone has strong supply potential
- Trend reversal risk: Any weekly close below ₹130 invalidates the bullish thesis
- Volatility risk: NBFC stocks prone to sudden regulatory/news-driven moves
Risk Mitigation Strategies:
- Never invest more than planned position size, even if the setup looks perfect
- Use limit orders instead of market orders to avoid slippage
- Don't average down if SL is hit - accept loss and re-evaluate
- Keep a 30% cash reserve for better entry opportunities
- Use trailing stops religiously once in profit
- Maintain a trading journal to track decisions and learn from mistakes
Portfolio Risk Constraints:
- Maximum drawdown tolerance: 20% on this position
- Overall portfolio heat: Not more than 4-5% at risk across all open positions
- Correlation check: If market corrects 5%, financial stocks may correct 7-8%
- Sector concentration: Limit NBFC exposure even if multiple opportunities arise
- Black swan provision: Always keep an emergency exit plan
Risk Monitoring Checklist:
- Daily: Check if price respects support zones
- Weekly: Review volume patterns and trend integrity
- Monthly: Reassess fundamental drivers and news flow
- Quarterly: Deep-dive into earnings, asset quality, regulatory changes
- Event-driven: Monitor RBI policies, interest rate decisions, sector news
Exit Risk Management:
- Never hold through a major support breakdown, hoping for recovery
- If SL hit, stay away for 2-3 weeks before re-entry consideration
- Avoid revenge trading after the stop-loss trigger
- Book partial profits at predetermined levels - don't get greedy
- If the target is achieved faster than expected, evaluate for signs of exhaustion
Sectoral Analysis - NBFC & Housing Finance:
NBFC Sector Overview:
- NSE:SAMMAANCAP is a mortgage-focused non-banking financial company (NBFC) regulated by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and rated 'AA' by CRISIL and ICRA
- The NBFC sector has witnessed consolidation over the past 3 years post-COVID disruptions
- The regulatory framework has tightened with the RBI implementing scale-based regulations
- A favourable policy environment exists with a stable macroeconomic backdrop
- Housing finance remains a priority sector with government's push for affordable housing
Current Sector Dynamics:
- Interest rate cycle appears to be stabilising after aggressive hikes in 2022-2023
- Credit growth in retail segments (housing, LAP) remains robust at 15-18% YoY
- Asset quality concerns have moderated across the NBFC sector
- Competition is intensifying with banks offering competitive home loan rates
- Digital transformation and fintech partnerships reshaping distribution
Sector Growth Drivers:
- India's housing demand remains strong, driven by urbanization and nuclear families
- Under-penetrated mortgage market compared to developed economies (10% vs 50-70% mortgage-to-GDP)
- Government schemes like PMAY (Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana) support affordable housing
- The Loan Against Property (LAP) segment is growing as businesses seek growth capital
- Co-lending arrangements between NBFCs and banks gaining traction
Sector Headwinds:
- Asset-liability management challenges for smaller NBFCs
- Rising cost of funds impacting margins
- Regulatory compliance costs are increasing
- Competition from banks with lower cost of funds
- Economic slowdown risks impacting borrower repayment capacity
Regulatory Environment:
- RBI's scale-based regulation framework implemented in October 2022
- Enhanced monitoring of large NBFCs (asset size >₹10,000 crore)
- Stricter provisioning and capital adequacy norms
- Focus on corporate governance and risk management frameworks
- Recent F&O ban lifting indicates regulatory confidence restoration
Fundamental Analysis:
Business Model & Operations:
- Incorporated in 2005, registered and regulated by the National Housing Bank (NHB), engaged in providing home loans, loans against property, corporate mortgage loans, lease rental discounting, and residential construction finance
- The company has adopted an asset-light business model with a differentiated origination strategy and proven co-lending execution across affordable housing and MSME segments
- Operates with co-lending partnerships - had 10 bank partnerships as of September 2024, with plans to increase to 12 by March 2025
- Product portfolio: Home Loans, Loan Against Property (LAP), Construction Finance, Lease Rental Discounting
Financial Performance Analysis
- Market capitalization: ₹13,670 crore; Revenue: ₹8,947 crore; Current year profit: -₹1,800 crore
- The company has delivered poor sales growth of -8% over the past five years
- Q1 FY26: Reported profit of ₹334 crore on total income of ₹2,400 crore; For FY25, posted loss of -₹1,807 crore on total income of ₹8,676 crore
- Recent profitability turnaround visible in quarterly results suggests business stabilization
- The company has a low interest coverage ratio, indicating higher financial leverage
Recent Corporate Developments:
- Abu Dhabi's IHC (International Holding Company) approved preferential allotment to buy 43.5% stake for ₹8,850 crore through Avenir Investment RSC Ltd, paving the way for IHC to assume promoter status
- This massive foreign investment indicates strong confidence in turnaround story
- Company rebranded from Indiabulls Housing Finance to Sammaan Capital to shed legacy issues
- Credit ratings upgraded by S&P and Moody's changed outlook to 'positive' from 'stable'; retained AA/Stable rating from CRISIL and ICRA
- F&O ban recently lifted, signalling renewed market confidence
Asset Quality & Risk Metrics:
- Assets Under Management of ₹12,777 crore as of September 2024
- Shift towards an asset-light model, reducing balance sheet risk
- Co-lending partnerships diversify risk and improve capital efficiency
- Need to monitor gross NPA and net NPA trends in upcoming quarters
- Provisioning coverage ratio and capital adequacy ratio are key metrics to watch
Valuation Metrics:
- PE ratio currently at 0, indicating the company was loss-making in the recent period
- Market cap growth of 3.48% the last 1 year - recent rally not fully reflected in this data
- Price-to-Book ratio likely attractive given low valuation during the distress period
- Current valuation at ₹165 offers asymmetric risk-reward if turnaround sustains
- Comparable NBFCs trading at 1.5-3x book value; Sammaan could rerate as profitability improves
Management & Corporate Governance:
- Company underwent significant management changes post-rebranding
- Abu Dhabi's IHC taking promoter status brings international credibility
- Focus on transparent reporting and governance improvements post legacy issues
- Strategic shift to asset-light model shows adaptive management
Competitive Position & Market Share:
- Competes with players like HDFC Ltd, LIC Housing Finance, PNB Housing, and Bajaj Housing Finance
- Differentiated strategy focusing on emerging geographies and affordable housing segment
- Co-lending model provides a competitive advantage in a capital-constrained environment
- Brand recall is still building after rebranding from Indiabulls
Key Strengths:
- Strong rating from CRISIL and ICRA (AA/Stable) indicates a robust credit profile
- ₹8,850 crore investment by Abu Dhabi's IHC validates business potential
- Asset-light model reduces capital requirements and improves ROE potential
- Regulatory compliance and risk management frameworks strengthened
- Experienced in affordable housing and MSME lending segments
Key Concerns & Risks:
- Historical loss of ₹1,800 crore in FY25 raises sustainability questions
- Poor revenue growth of -8.08% over 5 years indicates business challenges
- A low interest coverage ratio suggests vulnerability to interest rate volatility
- Ongoing investigations related to past operations remain overhang
- Execution risk in scaling up co-lending partnerships
- Asset quality deterioration risk if economic conditions weaken
Integrated Technical-Fundamental Outlook:
Confluence Factors Supporting Bullish Thesis:
- Technical breakout coinciding with fundamental catalysts (IHC investment, F&O ban lifting)
- Volume expansion confirming institutional interest aligning with ₹8,850 crore IHC investment
- 15-month base formation suggesting strong accumulation by informed investors
- Credit rating upgrades provide fundamental validation to the technical setup
- Quarterly profitability turnaround supporting higher valuation rerating
Scenario Analysis:
Bull Case Scenario
- IHC investment successfully closes and brings operational improvements
- Asset quality remains stable, and profitability is sustained in the upcoming quarters
- Co-lending partnerships expand as planned, driving AUM growth
Base Case Scenario
- Business stabilises with moderate growth in AUM and profitability
- Volatility remains elevated due to sector and stock-specific news
Bear Case Scenario
- Asset quality deterioration or operational challenges emerge
- IHC deal gets delayed or faces regulatory hurdles
- Technical breakdown below ₹145 leads to retest of ₹120-130 zone
- Macro headwinds (RBI policy tightening, economic slowdown) impact the sector
- Exit recommended if the weekly close is below ₹130
Critical Events to Monitor:
Next 3 Months:
- Completion of IHC preferential allotment and fund infusion
- Q2 FY26 earnings (October/November 2025) - profitability sustainability check
- Any regulatory updates or clarifications on past investigations
- Technical retest of ₹150-155 support zone and price reaction
Next 6 Months:
- Q3 FY26 earnings showing consistent profitability
- Expansion of co-lending partnerships (target 12 banks)
- AUM growth trajectory and disbursement trends
- NPA trends and provisioning coverage
- Technical breakout above ₹220 resistance
Next 12 Months:
- Full-year FY26 results demonstrating turnaround completion
- Market share gains in affordable housing and LAP segments
- ROE and ROA improvement trends
- PE multiple rerating towards industry average
Recommended Action Plan:
- Allocate 4-6% of portfolio with strict stop-loss discipline
- Book partial profits
- Trail remaining position
- Monitor quarterly results and credit metrics religiously
- Re-evaluate thesis if any fundamental red flag emerges
My 2 Cents:
The chart presents a textbook example of a turnaround setup with a well-defined 15-month base formation, decisive breakout on exceptional volume (5.3x average), and a clear risk-reward structure. The combination of descending channel breakout and momentum shift from lower lows to higher highs creates a compelling technical narrative.
NSE:SAMMAANCAP represents a high-risk, high-reward turnaround play backed by credible fundamental catalysts. The ₹8,850 crore investment by Abu Dhabi's IHC provides a strong validation of intrinsic value. The transition to an asset-light model, credit rating upgrades, and return to quarterly profitability suggest the worst may be behind. However, the legacy of past losses, low interest coverage, and ongoing investigations warrants cautious optimism and strict risk management.
Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week
Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
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👍BOOST if you found it useful.
✍️COMMENT below with your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Don’t Miss This Rare MCX Setup Breakout + Retest= Big Move AheadHello Traders!
Today’s analysis is on MCX Ltd., where we just spotted a powerful Descending Triangle Breakout . After weeks of consolidation, the price has finally broken the falling resistance and even retested the breakout zone. This setup often leads to a strong trending move.
Why this setup is special?
Price respected support multiple times, showing heavy demand from lower levels.
Breakout + Retest makes it one of the most reliable continuation patterns.
Risk–Reward is highly favorable for both short-term and positional traders.
Levels to Track:
Currently, the best accumulation zone lies between 8000–8155 , which gives a low-risk entry point. On the upside, the immediate short-term target is around 8446 , while the medium-term level aligns with the previous ATH near 9115 . If momentum sustains, the stock even has potential to reach the positional target of 9774 . For risk management, traders can keep a short to medium-term stop loss at 7788 , while positional traders may consider a wider SL at 7522 .
Rahul’s Tip:
Such breakouts don’t come often. Once the retest is done, the real rally usually begins. Traders who wait too long often end up chasing the move at much higher prices.
If you want to catch these setups before they take off, make sure you follow closely — (Analysis By @TraderRahulPal, TradingView Moderator). More analysis & educational content is shared regularly on my profile. Sometimes one breakout can change your trading month completely. If this helped you, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
“Nifty 50 Intraday Key Levels | Buy & Sell Zones” 6th Oct 2025Key Levels for Tomorrow:
25,120 → Above 10m closing Short Cover Level (CE Safe Zone)
Below 10m hold PE (Risky Zone)
25,023 → Above 10m hold CE (Entry Level)
Below 10m hold PE (Risky Zone)
24930 → Above 10m hold → Positive Trade View
Below 10m hold → Negative Trade View
24,820 → Above Opening S1 hold CE (Buy Level)
Below Opening R1 hold PE (Sell Level)
24,690 → Above 10m hold CE (Buy Level)
Below 10m hold PE (Sell Level)
24,590 → Above 10m hold CE (Safe Zone)
Below 10m hold UNWINDING Level
Muthoot group stock! microfin good buy!!!???looks like a base has formed, im planning to slowly accumulate small qty
160-180+ is good price range,
plan a decently wide sl as this is a microfin small cap company
Given the recent loss, negative EPS, and risk factors, a fair (conservative) valuation might be ₹160‑₹180 if things improve moderately. If the company shows consistent profit and better asset quality, then ₹200+ is possible. But getting to the optimistic scenario will require strong execution and favourable external conditions.
HEROMOTOCO- Flagging Near All-Time HighsThe Setup: Consolidation After a Powerful Rally
HEROMOTOCO has had a strong multi-month rally, emerging from a large, rounded base (the "Cup"). It is now forming a very tight bullish flag or continuation pattern right below its major "Weak High" at ₹6,000. This is a classic, high-probability formation:
A strong move up indicates demand.
The tight consolidation (flag) indicates that profits are being absorbed with minimal supply hitting the market.
It is setting up for the final thrust to challenge the all-time high zone.
Key Technical Confirmation
⭐ Relative Strength (RS): The Relative Strength line (bottom indicator) shows a recent sharp upward turn, confirming that NSE:HEROMOTOCO is currently outperforming the broader market and is acting as a leader in its sector.
📈 Moving Averages (MAs): The price is resting comfortably above all major moving averages (MAs are stacked in a bullish order), which are providing dynamic support. The uptrend remains robust.
📣 Volume Signature: Volume was high on the rally out of the cup base and has been decreasing during this tight consolidation phase (flag). This quiet volume suggests a lack of aggressive selling and is ideal before a breakout.
The Trade Plan
🎯 Entry Signal: Look for a decisive weekly close above the flag's upper boundary (approx. ₹5,750). The high-conviction entry is a successful, high-volume breakout above the major weak high near ₹6,000.
🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Management): Place a clear stop loss below the low of the current tight consolidation, for example, around ₹5,200. This level is also supported by the immediate cluster of moving averages.
💰 Target Expectation: Given the size of the prior cup base, the potential price projection is significant. The expectation is for a sustained breakout into new All-Time Highs with potential for a multi-quarter trend run.
⚠️ Potential Risks & Cautionary Notes
🚨 Failure to Clear ₹6,000: The most critical risk is that the stock fails to push definitively past the ₹6,000 resistance zone. If it attempts the high and reverses sharply, it could be rejected and trigger a move back to the support levels.
⚙️ Auto Sector Headwinds: Unexpected sector-specific news, regulatory changes, or a general slowdown in demand for two-wheelers could negate the technical setup.
⚖️ Whipsaw/Shakeout: Due to the tight consolidation, any breakout attempt that quickly reverses (a "whipsaw") can trap buyers. Ensure your entry is based on a confirmed daily or weekly close above the resistance.
#SHYAMMETL - 2nd BreakOut in DTFScript: SHYAMMETL
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BreakOut in DTF which Failed
📈 2nd BreakOut in DTF after a short consolidation below Resistance
📈 Volume spike seen during Breakout.
📈 MACD Bounce
📈 Can go for a swing trade
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Kfin Tech - Low Risk Long SetupCMP 1067 on 04.10.25
All important levels are marked on the chart.
The price has been traveling in a parallel channel and presently resting at the lower edge of the channel.
Also, a double bottom pattern was formed, with a bottom of around 1000.
First target is 1160, considering the stop loss of 1000.
If it crosses 1180 and sustains above, it will gain more strength.
If it sustains below 1000 levels, the setup will go weak.
One should keep the position size in accordance with the risk capacity.
All these illustrations are only for learning and observation purposes; they should not be considered as trading recommendations.
All the best.
GBPCHF – Bearish Setup (H2 Chart)📊 GBPCHF – Bearish Setup (H2 Chart)
Pair: GBPCHF
Timeframe: 2H
Bias: Short Position
🔎 Market Context:
GBPCHF is retesting a resistance zone (1.07389 – 1.07902).
The pair has been struggling to push higher, indicating selling pressure in this zone.
If rejection continues, a bearish move is expected toward lower support levels.
📌 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: 1.07389 – 1.07902
Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.07902
Take Profit (TP): 1.06342 (recent demand / support zone)
⚖️ Risk-Reward (RR):
Approx 1:3, maintaining a favorable setup for next week.
📅 Setup valid for Oct 6 – Oct 10, 2025
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Please trade with strict risk management.