Daily updates for Nifty50: 30/09/2025Between the chaos of bulls/bears at the current level of Nifty, there is a slight divergence for a back in the prices.
Nevertheless, I'm bearish for this unless prices are trading below 24805. I am bearish till the trendline that I shared yesterday.
Buying on the intraday level will be on rejection of 24628, which is 78.6% fib retracement.
Any swing trade will be on the rejection of the trendline at around 24530sh range
Chart Patterns
Mold-Tech #technicalanalysis
pattern look like vcp from left to right move price became narrow.
High volume after absorption ,
* Now price break 1st correction candle above trade. Entry point
* Sl -10% , from entry point 179 current price,
Reason below high volume after selling zone absorption area below that.
ASIANPAINT 1D Time frameCurrent Price Snapshot
Current Price: ₹2,345.50
Day’s Range: ₹2,342.00 – ₹2,388.80
52-Week Range: ₹2,124.75 – ₹3,358.00
Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): 44.19 — indicates a neutral to slightly bearish momentum.
MACD: -4.010 — suggests bearish momentum.
Moving Averages:
5-day: ₹2,396.00 — indicates a Sell signal.
50-day: ₹2,389.00 — indicates a Sell signal.
200-day: ₹2,350.00 — indicates a Neutral signal.
Technical Summary: Predominantly Sell signals across various indicators.
Summary
Above ₹2,388.80: Potential rise toward ₹2,400 – ₹2,420.
Below ₹2,342.00: Potential fall toward ₹2,320 – ₹2,300.
Between ₹2,300 – ₹2,380: Likely range-bound movement.
BHARTIARTL 1D Time frameCurrent Price Snapshot
Current Price: ₹1,897.80
Day’s Range: ₹1,890.80 – ₹1,907.60
52-Week Range: ₹1,511.00 – ₹2,045.80
Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): 44.19 — indicates a neutral to slightly bearish momentum.
MACD: -4.010 — suggests bearish momentum.
Moving Averages:
5-day: ₹1,896.00 — indicates a Sell signal.
50-day: ₹1,890.00 — indicates a Sell signal.
200-day: ₹1,850.00 — indicates a Buy signal.
Technical Summary: Predominantly Sell signals across various indicators.
Summary
Above ₹1,907.60: Potential rise toward ₹1,920 – ₹1,940.
Below ₹1,890.80: Potential fall toward ₹1,880 – ₹1,860.
Between ₹1,860 – ₹1,900: Likely range-bound movement.
KOTAKBANK 1D Time frameCurrent Price Snapshot
Current Price: ₹1,991.60
Day’s Range: ₹1,990.50 – ₹2,015.00
52-Week Range: ₹1,679.05 – ₹2,301.90
Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): 46.61 — indicates a neutral momentum.
MACD: -7.62 — suggests bearish momentum.
Moving Averages: Mixed signals — short-term averages are bearish, while long-term averages are bullish.
Technical Summary: Predominantly Sell signals across various indicators.
Summary
Above ₹2,015: Potential rise toward ₹2,050 – ₹2,100.
Below ₹1,990: Potential fall toward ₹1,950 – ₹1,900.
Between ₹1,950 – ₹2,010: Likely range-bound movement.
BPCL 1D Time frameCurrent Price Snapshot
Last Traded Price: ₹340.20
Day’s Range: ₹337.15 – ₹340.85
52-Week Range: ₹234.01 – ₹373.35
Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): 53.27 — indicates a neutral momentum.
MACD: 2.49 — suggests a bullish trend.
Moving Averages:
5-day: ₹327.97 — indicates a Sell signal.
50-day: ₹322.14 — indicates a Buy signal.
200-day: ₹296.14 — indicates a Buy signal.
Pivot Points:
Support: ₹327.13
Resistance: ₹337.93
Summary
Above ₹340.85: Potential rise toward ₹345 – ₹350.
Below ₹337.15: Potential fall toward ₹330 – ₹325.
Between ₹330 – ₹340: Likely range-bound movement.
BAJFINANCE 1D Time frameCurrent Price Snapshot
Current Price: ₹999.00
Day’s Range: ₹989.45 – ₹1,002.30
52-Week Range: ₹645.10 – ₹1,036.00
Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): 59.37 — indicates a neutral to slightly bullish momentum.
MACD: -4.010 — suggests bearish momentum.
Moving Averages: Mixed signals — short-term averages are bearish, while long-term averages are bullish.
Technical Summary: Predominantly Buy signals across various indicators.
Summary
Above ₹1,002.30: Potential rise toward ₹1,020 – ₹1,030.
Below ₹989.45: Potential fall toward ₹980 – ₹970.
Between ₹980 – ₹1,010: Likely range-bound movement.
LT 1D Time frameCurrent Price: ₹3,655.30
Day’s Range: ₹3,648.00 – ₹3,696.60
52-Week Range: ₹2,965.30 – ₹3,963.50
Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): 41.19 — indicates a neutral to slightly bearish momentum.
MACD: -1.47 — suggests bearish momentum.
Moving Averages: Mixed signals — short-term averages are bearish, while long-term averages are bullish.
Technical Summary: Predominantly Sell signals across various indicators.
ICICIBANK 1D Time frame₹1,345.80 (NSE)
Day’s Range: ₹1,342.60 – ₹1,356.60
52-Week Range: ₹1,186.00 – ₹1,500.00
📉 Technical Overview
Trend: The stock is trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating a mildly bearish trend.
RSI: Currently at 26.6, suggesting the stock is in the oversold zone.
MACD: At -10.01, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Moving Averages: A strong sell signal is indicated, with 0 buy signals and 12 sell signals across various timeframes.
🔼 Potential Upside (Rise)
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,355 – ₹1,365
Breakout Target: Above ₹1,365, the next resistance is around ₹1,380 – ₹1,390.
Bullish Confirmation: A close above ₹1,390 could signal a reversal or consolidation.
🔽 Potential Downside (Fall)
Immediate Support: ₹1,340 – ₹1,330
Breakdown Target: Below ₹1,330, the stock may test ₹1,310 – ₹1,300.
Bearish Confirmation: A close below ₹1,300 would strengthen the bearish outlook.
✅ Summary
Above ₹1,365: Potential rise toward ₹1,380 – ₹1,390.
Below ₹1,330: Potential fall toward ₹1,310 – ₹1,300.
Between ₹1,330 – ₹1,365: Likely range-bound movement.
AXISBANK 1D Time frameTrading close to ₹1,130.
This is slightly below the earlier ₹1,160–₹1,170 zone we discussed, so the range shifts down.
🔼 Upside (Rise Possibility)
Immediate resistance near ₹1,140 – ₹1,145.
If price breaks and sustains above this, it can move to ₹1,155 – ₹1,165.
Strong momentum above ₹1,165 may extend toward ₹1,175.
🔽 Downside (Fall Possibility)
First support is at ₹1,120 – ₹1,115.
If that breaks, price could slip toward ₹1,105 – ₹1,095.
Closing below ₹1,095 would weaken the trend further.
✅ Summary for Today
Above ₹1,140 → rise possible till ₹1,155 – ₹1,165.
Below ₹1,120 → fall possible till ₹1,105 – ₹1,095.
Between ₹1,120 – ₹1,140 → sideways range.
Swing Trade Journey – Trade 4: Pilani Investment & Industries CoTrade 4 Log
Entered #PilaniInvestment at ₹5397
Stop Loss: LOD (Low of Day)
Reasoning:
The stock is trading near the 20-day moving average in a low volatility zone, which makes the risk–reward setup favourable. Price is also holding above the 20MA, adding strength to the setup.
Tracking this as part of my trading journey — recording setups, risks & outcomes.
#TradingJourney #StockMarketIndia #SwingTrading #PilaniInvestment
Triangle Pattern Strategy for Breakout within Range | Study OnlyThis chart showcases a symmetrical triangle pattern, where the price consolidates between two converging trendlines, indicating a period of market indecision. The formation of lower highs and higher lows suggests that the price is narrowing, setting up for a potential breakout.
Technically, the RSI is showing a bullish divergence as it rises from the oversold zone, while the MACD is crossing into positive territory, further supporting the possibility of an upward move. Volume indicators also highlight increasing interest, suggesting the potential for a breakout in the near term.
This is only view of my side by analysys of chart.
Note:
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice or a trading recommendation. Always conduct thorough research and consult a financial professional before making any trading decisions.
BBOX – Breakout from Consolidation, Swing Long SetupDetailed Analysis & Trade Idea
1. Trend Context
From Jan–Mar 2025, the stock went into a sharp downtrend, losing nearly 40–45% of its value.
After that fall, it formed a base around ₹420–₹460 during July–September. This base acts as a demand zone where buyers stepped in repeatedly.
Recently, prices started moving higher from this base, supported by rising trading volumes (a strong sign that institutions might be accumulating).
2. Current Price Action
As of now, the stock is at ₹534.05.
Today's candlestick shows a strong bullish close near the day's high (buyers in control).
Price has broken above its short-term resistance zone around ₹520–530, which was repeatedly tested in September.
This indicates a potential breakout from consolidation.
3. Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance: ₹540–550 → This is where sellers may test strength.
Next Resistance: ₹580–600 → If momentum sustains, this zone becomes the natural target.
Supports:
₹500: Closest support (recent breakout level).
₹460: Strong base support (if the trade fails).
4. Trade Plan (Swing Long Setup)
Entry Zone: Buy on dips near ₹520–530 OR if it sustains above ₹535 with volume.
Stop Loss: Close below ₹495 (below breakout zone).
Profit Targets:
Target 1 (T1): ₹565
Target 2 (T2): ₹590–600
This gives us a Risk–Reward Ratio (RRR) of ~1:2 (risk ~35 points, reward up to ~70 points).
Gold Market Analysis & Trading Plan
📌 Macro Background
Gold prices continue to receive support from the decline in US interest rates and the weakening of the USD.
The DXY index decreased by 0.27% to 97.91, reducing the strength of the greenback.
The 10-year US Treasury yield fell by 3 basis points to 4.141%.
Real yield decreased to 1.761%, providing support for gold as the opportunity cost of holding gold is lower.
These factors reinforce the upward trend, although in the short term, gold may still experience adjustments to attract more capital flow.
📈 Technical Structure
The H4 frame shows that gold is maintaining a strong upward momentum, however, the RSI has moved deeply into the overbought zone.
⚖️ Trading Scenarios
🔴 Scenario 1 – Sell Scalping
Entry: 3,879 – 3,882
SL: 3,890
TP: 3,865 → 3,850 → 3,836 → 3,810
👉 Suitable for short-term orders when the price reacts at high resistance.
🟢 Scenario 2 – Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,805 – 3,808
SL: 3,799
TP: 3,822 → 3,840 → 3,873 → 3,898
👉 Buy in line with the main trend when the price adjusts to the nearby support zone.
🟢 Scenario 3 – Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Support)
Entry: 3,745 – 3,742
SL: 3,735
TP: 3,765 → 3,780 → 3,798 → 3,820 → 3,850
👉 This is a value buy zone if the market adjusts strongly, suitable for short swings.
📊 Summary
The major trend of gold remains bullish, supported by the weakening USD and declining US yields.
In the short term, be aware of the potential for technical adjustments from the resistance 3,879 – 3,882.
Priority strategy: Buy on adjustments, Sell only for quick scalping.
📌 Note: Strict capital management, adhere to stop-loss to preserve profits when unexpected fluctuations from US news occur.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 30.09.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 30.09.2025
RTF: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
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📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Gold Strength Persists: Trendline Support Key Into EOQ ClosingGold continues to show impressive strength, holding its bullish momentum without any major signs of rejection from higher levels. Price action is moving with a steady pace, consistently finding support on the rising trendline, which remains a key technical guide for intraday moves. The immediate horizontal support is now seen around 3850, and as long as price holds above both the trendline and this level, bulls are expected to remain firmly in control.
For bears to gain traction, they would need to drag price under the trendline and 3850 on a closing basis(H4 or Higher), which could open the door for a pullback. Until then, momentum clearly favors the upside. note that today marks month-end and quarter-end closing (EOQ), which may bring additional volatility and sharp intraday swings.
Overall, the bias remains bullish above 3850, with the trendline acting as dynamic support and a key zone to watch heading into the new month.
NIFTY Analysis 30 SEPTEMBER, 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 amTrading Skill Self-Check (Before Trading and traning)
Evaluate yourself
Can you identify support & resistance levels accurately?
Can you spot Doji, engulfing, or pin bar patterns?
Can you calculate FAKE levels using 1- 4 hour chart?
Can you judge overbought/oversold zones in intraday charts?
Can you set entry/exit levels before market open?
Can you place stop-loss orders effectively?
Can you manage positions during consolidation or breakout?
Can you predict short covering moves?
Can you avoid trading during indecision?
Can you adjust strategy dynamically based on market reaction at key levels?
Can you recognize short-term trend reversals before price breaks key levels?
Can you differentiate between strong and weak breakouts?
Can you use gap analysis and previous day levels to anticipate pre-market moves?
Can you combine multiple indicators (like moving averages, trendlines, volume) to confirm trade setups?
Can you analyze intraday candlestick bodies and wicks to identify buying/selling pressure?
Can you forecast short-covering or profit-booking moves using chart patterns?
Risk Management Skills
Can you set stop-loss levels based on support/resistance or ATR?
Can you calculate target levels based on technical levels, Fibonacci, or fake level strategy?
Can you adjust position size according to risk tolerance and volatility?
Can you avoid overtrading during consolidation or sideways markets?
Can you cut losses quickly when the market moves against your position?
Execution & Strategy Skills
Can you place orders efficiently during volatile market conditions?
Can you track market reaction to key levels and adjust your trades dynamically?
Can you combine pre-market analysis with live price action to improve decision-making?
Can you identify fake breakouts or fake moves and avoid being trapped?
Can you maintain discipline and follow your trading plan without letting emotions affect decisions? if NO ,THEN WHY U R WEASTING YOUR MONY AND TIME.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 30/09/2025Nifty is likely to see a flat opening around the 24,700 zone, indicating indecision after the recent downtrend. The index is trading near a crucial support and resistance zone, suggesting that today’s session could remain range-bound with opportunities for both intraday buyers and sellers.
On the upside, a move above 24,750–24,800 can trigger a bounce toward 24,850, 24,900, and 24,950+. Sustaining above these levels may bring short-covering and provide momentum to bulls.
On the downside, a breakdown below 24,700 followed by weakness under 24,650–24,600 can drag the index lower toward 24,550 and 24,500-. If selling pressure increases, further downside cannot be ruled out.
Overall, Nifty is consolidating in a narrow range with sellers holding dominance. Traders should stay cautious, follow breakout levels, and manage risk with strict stop-losses.
XAUUSD – Will ATH Diminish Gold's Value?Hello Traders,
Gold once accounted for up to 21% of total global assets, but now this figure is only about 5%. Two perspectives are clearly visible:
Gold is gradually losing its relative importance in the financial system.
The total value of global assets has increased significantly (the denominator has expanded), causing gold's proportion to decrease, while the absolute value of gold still plays an important role.
Technical Analysis
In today's Asian session, gold continues to set higher price levels, indicating a very strong upward momentum.
The upward price channel on H1 has touched the upper boundary, showing slight hesitation, but the main trend remains bullish.
The H1 and H4 frames maintain strong buying pressure, with market sentiment heavily leaning towards buyers, ready to push prices to higher levels.
According to Elliott Wave, the price is currently in wave 5 (market sentiment wave). The current task is to observe the reaction when this wave completes, to prepare for the ABC correction cycle.
Regarding Fibonacci, the next important resistance area is at 3880, where a bearish reaction is likely to occur.
Trading Scenario
Sell (at Fibo resistance 3880):
Entry: 3880
SL: 3886
TP: 3866 – 3850 – 3835
Buy (trend-following preferred):
Entry: 3813 – 3816
SL: 3809
TP: 3828 – 3843 – 3860 – 3878
👉 Note: Smaller frames H1 – M15 will provide additional confirmation signals to optimize entry points.
Conclusion
The bullish trend of gold is still prioritized, wave 5 is not yet complete, and the scenario aiming for 4000 – 4050 is entirely feasible.
Short-term selling at strong resistance areas can be considered, but risk management must be tight.
Traders need to closely follow support – resistance areas in smaller frames to maximize profits.
Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes and to discuss more scenarios in the community.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(30/09/2025)Bank Nifty is likely to witness a flat opening near the 54,500 levels. The index is currently trading around a critical zone where both support and resistance levels are closely placed, suggesting that the market may remain range-bound initially before a clear breakout direction emerges.
On the upside, if Bank Nifty manages to sustain above 54,550–54,600, it can trigger a bullish move toward 54,750, 54,850, and 54,950+. A strong close above these levels will further strengthen the positive momentum.
On the downside, immediate support is seen around 54,450–54,400. A breakdown below this zone may open the gates for further weakness toward 54,250, 54,150, and 54,050-.
Overall, Bank Nifty is consolidating in a tight range, and traders should wait for a breakout on either side to confirm the next trend. Following strict stop-losses and trailing profits is advised, as false breakouts are also possible in such flat openings.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 30-09-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 30-Sep-2025
Nifty closed at 24,677.55, recovering slightly after testing crucial supports. For tomorrow’s session, the index is positioned between 24,801 (Opening Resistance) and 24,570 (Last Intraday Support). These levels will be pivotal in shaping intraday moves.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Last Intraday Resistance: 24,923
Opening Resistance: 24,801
Current Market Level (CMP): 24,677
Opening Support: 24,625
Last Intraday Support (Crucial on daily chart): 24,570
Extended Support Levels: 24,484 → 24,276
🚀 Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens near 24,780 – 24,850, it will be very close to the Opening Resistance at 24,801 .
Sustained move above 24,801 may trigger bullish momentum, leading towards 24,923.
A breakout above 24,923 could extend gains towards 25,000+ zones, but traders must confirm strength with follow-up buying.
However, rejection around 24,801 – 24,923 may attract intraday profit booking, dragging Nifty back towards 24,700 – 24,625.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-ups tend to trap aggressive buyers if resistance zones are not broken decisively. Always wait for an hourly close above resistance before committing to fresh longs.
⚖️ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (within ±100 points)
A flat opening near 24,650 – 24,700 will likely keep Nifty in a consolidation phase.
On the upside, a push towards 24,801 needs to be watched closely. If crossed, 24,923 becomes the immediate target.
On the downside, failure to hold 24,625 will invite pressure towards 24,570.
Sustained weakness below 24,570 will likely lead to an extended decline towards 24,484 → 24,276.
👉 Educational Note: Flat openings usually indicate indecision. Such days often turn into range-bound markets until a breakout confirms direction.
📉 Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens around 24,550 – 24,500, it will be close to the Last Intraday Support at 24,570 .
A breakdown below 24,570 may extend the decline to 24,484, and if that fails to hold, next support lies at 24,276.
If 24,570 holds firmly, expect a rebound towards 24,625 → 24,700, driven by short covering.
Hourly close below 24,570 is the confirmation for a bearish continuation.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-downs often trigger panic selling in the first hour. Smart traders wait for support to be tested before entering trades to avoid false breakdowns.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
⏳ Avoid aggressive trades in the first 15–30 mins; let the market settle.
🛑 Always place stop losses on a closing basis (15-min/hourly candle) .
🎯 Use option spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) to minimize time decay.
⚖️ Stick to a 1:2 or higher risk-reward ratio .
💰 Book partial profits at key levels instead of waiting for extremes.
🧘 Maintain discipline—capital preservation is more important than chasing every move.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Bullish Bias: Above 24,801 → 24,923, next target 25,000+.
Neutral Zone: Between 24,625 – 24,801, expect sideways consolidation.
Bearish Bias: Below 24,570, expect weakness towards 24,484 → 24,276.
📊 Nifty is trading in a tight band with critical support at 24,570 and resistance at 24,801. A decisive move beyond these levels will guide intraday momentum. Traders should stay patient and trade only on confirmation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This trading plan is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.