Heromotoco - Reversal in the making Heromotoco - Reversal in the making
Fundamental Outlook
Almost debt free D/E ratio is 0.04, High ICR (85)
PE of 19.23, IND PE is 45.12, 0.4X of Industry PE, inexpensive stock
PEG of 2.52, reasonable
ROE = 23.67%
ROCE = 31.15% , ROCE 5yrs = 25.06%
Sales growth = 8.3%, Sales Growth 5 yrs =6.94%
Profit growth = 16.06%, Profit Growth 5 yrs = 7.64%
Promoter holding at 34.74%, stable over the years
Cumulative FII/DII holding above 50%
Public holding < 10%
Very less public holding, continually decreasing, signalling strong hand holding
Technical Outlook
CMP : 4234
On Weekly charts ,
Stock has experienced a significant downtrend and seems to be bouncing off 3500-3600 levels
RSI(weekly)=53
On daily charts
LTP > EMA21 > EMA63 < EMA200
Relative strength and momentum on 20 day time period is improving.
RS = 99, relatively weak strength compared to Nifty 500
Momentum = 101, relatively better momentum compared to Nifty 500
RSI (daily) = 70 , overbought zone
Chart Patterns
On weekly charts ,
Stock is beginning to form a rounding bottom pattern.
Industry Outlook
Sector/Industry - Automobiles/2-3 Wheelers
Nifty auto is a leading index compared to other sectoral indices in the past 20 days.
Nifty Auto has formed a W pattern/double bottom in the recent past and is recovering appreciably.
Continuing momentum should take the Index past recovery to bullish phase
Latest Q4 Results
Mar 2025
NSE:HEROMOTOCO
QOQ
👉Revenue drops -2.83% to 9970
👉EBITDA rose 1.69% to 1441
👉EBITDA Margin rose 0.64% BPS to 14.45%
👉Net Profit rose 5.51% to 1169
👉EPS rose 4.84% to 58.06
YOY
👉Revenue rose 3.67% from 9617
👉EBITDA rose 9.17% from 1320
👉EBITDA Margin rose 0.73% BPS from 13.73%
👉Net Profit rose 23.97% from 943
👉EPS rose 24.14% from 46.77
Fundamentals
👉Stock PE is 19.23
👉Stock EPS is 218.94
👉Dividend announced of Rs.65
Growth
👉2 year Revenue CAGR is 9.46%
👉2 year Profit CAGR is 25.00%
👉2 year EPS CAGR is 24.78%
👉2 year Price CAGR is 30.29%
Disclosure 1 - Invested
Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered
Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
Chart Patterns
Honasa Consumer LimitedTrend: Clearly bullish
Price is moving inside a rising channel (higher highs & higher lows).
Structure remains intact as long as price holds above channel support.
Primary pattern: Ascending Channel (Bullish)
Secondary structure: Consolidation near resistance followed by a potential breakout
Volume expansion seen during bullish impulsive moves
Buy on dips 300 | Target 315 | Sl 295
NIFTY 2Hr ChannelNSE:NIFTY
NIFTY 50 – 2H Structure Update
Nifty is trading within a well-defined rising channel, indicating an intact medium-term bullish structure.
Price has taken support from the demand zone (blue zone) and bounced strongly, confirming buyers’ presence at lower levels.
Currently, price is consolidating above the previous breakout zone (~26,100), which now acts as an important support.
As long as this support holds, the higher-high higher-low structure remains valid.
🔹 Immediate Support: 26,100–26,000
🔹 Resistance / Supply: Near upper channel zone
🔹 Trend Bias: Buy on dips while above demand
🔹 Risk Area: Sustained breakdown below the blue zone can invite deeper retracement
Market is in a healthy pause after a sharp rally, not weakness.
Patience and level-based trading is the key here.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
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This content is shared strictly for educational and informational purposes.
We are not SEBI-registered investment advisors or analysts.
The views expressed are personal opinions, based on publicly available data and market observations.
Please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before taking any investment or trading decisions.
Any actions taken based on this content are entirely at your own risk and responsibility.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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Nifty Trading Strategy for 07th January 2026🔵 NIFTY INTRADAY TREND TRADING PLAN
📈 BUY SETUP (Bullish Breakout)
✅ Trade Condition:
Enter BUY only if 15-Minute candle CLOSES above 26220
💰 Entry Zone:
Buy above the high of the 15-Minute candle after confirmation close
🎯 Profit Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 26260
🎯 Target 2: 26300
🎯 Target 3: 26335
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Below the low of the 15-Minute breakout candle
Or follow strict risk management
📌 Trade Logic:
Break and close above 26220 confirms bullish strength
Buyers gaining control; continuation expected
Best during high-volume market hours
📉 SELL SETUP (Bearish Breakdown)
❌ Trade Condition:
Enter SELL only if 15-Minute candle CLOSES below 26110
💰 Entry Zone:
Sell below the low of the 15-Minute candle after confirmation close
🎯 Profit Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 26075
🎯 Target 2: 26045
🎯 Target 3: 26009
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Above the high of the 15-Minute breakdown candle
📌 Trade Logic:
Breakdown below support indicates bearish momentum
Sellers in control of price action
⚠️ IMPORTANT TRADING RULES
📊 Trade only after candle close
💵 Book partial profits at targets
🔄 Trail stop loss to secure profits
🚫 Avoid trades during sideways markets
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
🚨 This content is for educational purposes only.
🚨 I am not a SEBI registered analyst/advisor.
🚨 This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
🚨 Stock market trading involves risk.
🚨 Trade only with proper risk management and discipline.
🚨 Consult your financial advisor before taking any trades.
#ETH.P Guns loaded and ready for the big battleThe ETH is turning around after a good consolidation zone. After erasing the 2025 gain, the ETH is not set for running the next major cycle with the support from the whales. This cycle will be huge for ETH. Are you in the game already?
Disclaimer:
It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trade signals.
The creator and Systematic Traders Club are not responsible for any financial losses resulting from the use of this indicator.
Trading and investing involve risk. Always do your own analysis and use proper risk management.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/01/2026A flat opening is expected in Nifty 50, with the index continuing to trade within the same price structure seen in the previous session. The market is hovering around the 26,170–26,200 zone, which is acting as an immediate balance area where buyers and sellers are evenly placed. Since there are no major changes in yesterday’s key levels, the overall tone remains range-bound, and the index is waiting for a clear directional trigger.
On the upside, a sustained move above 26,250 will be crucial to revive bullish momentum. If Nifty holds above this level, long positions can be considered with upside targets at 26,350, 26,400, and 26,450+. A clean breakout above this resistance may lead to follow-through buying and expansion of the current range.
On the downside, failure to hold 26,200 can increase selling pressure. A decisive break below this level may open the downside toward 26,150, 26,100, and 26,000, where strong support is placed. Until the index breaks out of this range, traders should focus on range-based setups, avoid over-leveraging, and strictly follow risk management in intraday trades.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(07/01/2026)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat, continuing to trade within a well-defined consolidation range after recent volatility. The index is currently hovering near the 60,050–60,120 zone, which is acting as a short-term equilibrium area. As long as price holds above 60,050, the bias remains mildly positive, and a sustained move above 60,050–60,100 can trigger fresh upside momentum toward 60,250, 60,350, and 60,450+. On the downside, 59,950–60,000 remains a critical support zone; any decisive breakdown below this level may invite selling pressure, opening the path for 59,750, 59,650, and 59,550. Until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs, traders should expect range-bound movement, focus on level-based entries, and maintain strict risk management in intraday trades.
Gold Trading Strategy for 07th January 2026🟡 GOLD TREND TRADING PLAN (INTRADAY)
📈 BUY SETUP (Bullish Continuation)
✅ Condition:
Buy only if 1-Hour candle CLOSES above 4519
💰 Entry: Above 4519 (after confirmation close)
🎯 Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 4529
🎯 Target 2: 4540
🎯 Target 3: 4555
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Below the 1-Hour candle low or as per risk management
📌 Logic:
Strong hourly close above resistance indicates trend continuation
Momentum buyers expected above 4519
📉 SELL SETUP (Bearish Breakdown)
❌ Condition:
Sell only if 30-Minute candle CLOSES below 4475
💰 Entry: Below 4475 (after confirmation close)
🎯 Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 4460
🎯 Target 2: 4450
🎯 Target 3: 4435
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Above the 30-Minute candle high
📌 Logic:
Breakdown below support on 30-min timeframe
Indicates short-term bearish pressure
⚡ GOLD SCALPING STRATEGY (FAST TRADES)
🔻 SCALPING SELL (Rejection Play)
📍 Zone: Around 4419
❌ Condition:
Price shows rejection on 15-Minute candle
Sell on BREAK of the LOW of rejection candle
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Above the high of rejection candle
🎯 Target:
💵 5 to 10 points
OR 🔄 Trail stop loss to ride momentum
📌 Best For:
Quick scalp trades
High volatility sessions
🔺 SCALPING BUY (Rejection Play)
📍 Zone: Around 4419
✅ Condition:
Price shows bullish rejection on 15-Minute candle
Buy on BREAK of the HIGH of rejection candle
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Below the low of rejection candle
🎯 Target:
💵 10 to 15 points
OR 🔄 Trail stop loss for extended move
📌 Best For:
Momentum scalping
Strong reversal confirmations
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
🚨 This content is for educational purposes only.
🚨 Not a buy or sell recommendation.
🚨 Trading involves risk. Please trade with proper risk management & position sizing.
🚨 Consult your financial advisor before trading in Gold / Commodities.
If you want, I can:
ADANI PORTS & SEZ (APSEZ) My View on ADANI PORTS & SEZ (APSEZ) ⚓📊
Adani Ports is showing strength on charts, supported by strong volumes and a positive structure.
The stock continues to trade above key moving averages, indicating bullish momentum.
From a technical perspective:
Trend remains positive
Buying interest is visible on declines
Momentum indicators suggest continuation, not exhaustion
As long as the stock holds above key support zones, the broader trend looks intact.
However, traders should follow strict risk management and avoid over-leveraging.
📌 This is my personal chart-based view for educational purposes only, not a buy/sell recommendation.
Always do your own research.
HDFCBANK — 1H Technical Analysis
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Structure: Intermediate ABC correction within a broader uptrend
Current Price Zone: ~₹963
Trend Context: Higher-timeframe trend remains positive, short-term corrective phase in progress
🔍 Market Structure & Price Action (Educational View)
Price is currently forming an Intermediate corrective ABC structure after facing rejection near the ₹1,018–1,020 resistance band.
Wave (a): Sharp impulsive decline from the top
Wave (b): Retracement toward resistance, failed to make a new high
Wave (c): Ongoing decline, approaching a high-probability demand zone
This is a classic corrective pause, not a trend reversal unless key supports fail.
📌 Key Levels to Track
Major Resistance: ₹1,018–1,020
Reclaim Level (Trend Continuation): ₹975–980
ABC Completion / Demand Zone: ₹961–965
Critical Invalidation Level: ₹957
Breakdown Support (Risk Zone): ₹916
💡 Corrections often end where institutions previously accumulated — zones matter more than candles.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan)
If price holds above ₹961–965 and shows stabilization:
Confirmation signals to watch:
Bullish engulfing / strong rejection wick
Higher low on 15m–1h
Volume expansion on green candles
Upside Roadmap:
₹975 → ₹990 → ₹1,010
Sustained move above ₹980 opens doors for fresh highs over time
📘 This would confirm ABC completion and resumption of the larger uptrend.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Risk Case)
If price breaks and sustains below ₹957:
ABC structure fails
Selling pressure may accelerate
Downside opens toward ₹930 → ₹916
📉 Below ₹957, probabilities shift from “buy-the-dip” to “protect capital”.
🎓 Educational Takeaways
Corrections are healthy pauses, not immediate sell signals
Always trade levels + confirmation, not hope
Bigger trend remains intact above ₹957
Sideways + choppy price = option sellers’ playground
🧠 Options Trading Strategies (Educational Only)
🟢 Bullish (Support Holds)
Strategy 1: Bull Call Spread
Buy ATM Call
Sell OTM Call (₹980/₹1000 zone)
Defined risk, lower theta decay
Strategy 2: Cash-secured Put (Aggressive)
Sell ₹960 PE only if price stabilizes
Suitable for experienced traders
🔴 Bearish (Support Breaks)
Strategy 1: Bear Put Spread
Buy ₹960 PE
Sell ₹920 PE
Risk-defined downside play
Strategy 2: Call Credit Spread
Sell ₹980 CE
Buy ₹1020 CE
Works best in breakdown + consolidation
⚠️ Avoid naked options near support zones.
✅ DOs
✔ Trade near key levels, not in the middle
✔ Use defined SL (₹957)
✔ Reduce position size during corrections
✔ Wait for price confirmation
❌ DON’Ts
❌ Don’t panic sell near demand zones
❌ Don’t over-leverage options during volatility
❌ Don’t assume every dip is a buying opportunity
❌ Don’t ignore higher-timeframe trend context
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
HDFC Bank is undergoing a controlled intermediate correction within a broader bullish structure.
The ₹961–965 zone is crucial — holding above this keeps the bullish roadmap intact, while a breakdown below ₹957 increases downside risk.
📌 Patience + confirmation = edge.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI registered analyst. Markets are risky, and I may be wrong. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Reliance ending diogonal in wave 5Reliance Industries Limited – Ending Diagonal in Wave (5) | Structure from April 2025
The advance in Reliance from the April 2025 low has unfolded as a clear impulsive structure. With Wave (1) through Wave (4) in place, the ongoing rise appears to be Wave (5) of the larger sequence.
The internal structure of the current leg shows overlapping price action within a rising wedge, indicating a fifth-wave ending diagonal:
Overlapping sub-waves
Loss of upside momentum near highs
Price respecting diagonal trendline boundaries
These characteristics typically appear at the terminal stage of a trend. If this interpretation is correct, Wave (5) is either complete or in its final phase.
A decisive breakdown below the lower diagonal boundary would confirm the end of Wave (5) and signal the start of a corrective ABC phase.
Key takeaways:
Ending diagonals imply trend exhaustion, not strength
Risk increases for fresh longs at this stage
Post-diagonal corrections are usually swift and deep
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | January 6–7✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Overall Structure: Rebound Completed – Entering Institutional Distribution Zone
Price has completed a full recovery rebound from the 4274 low and has now entered the 4460–4490 institutional distribution zone.
The current structure is defined as:
➡ End of rebound + Upper boundary of the medium-term downtrend channel + High-level distribution zone
2️⃣ Moving Averages: Bullish Repair Completed, But Entering Major Resistance
MA5 / MA10 / MA20 have formed a complete short-term bullish alignment.
However, MA50 (around 4440–4460) is forming a structural overhead resistance band.
➡ This is a zone where price can rise, but continuation becomes difficult.
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Riding the Upper Band – Momentum Exhaustion Phase
Price is trading near the upper Bollinger Band.
The upper band has started to flatten.
➡ The market has entered a momentum exhaustion zone with increasing pullback risk.
✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Structure: Rising Channel → Distribution Wedge
A clear rising channel combined with a rising wedge has formed.
Price continues to push higher but fails to expand trend space.
➡ This is a standard institutional distribution wedge structure.
2️⃣ MA Structure: Bullish but Losing Acceleration
MA5 / MA10 remain in bullish alignment.
However, their slope is clearly slowing.
Price is showing signs of stalling along moving averages with increasing upper-wick volume.
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Upper Band Rejection
Multiple touches of the upper band have failed to extend.
➡ The short-term structure is entering a false-breakout distribution zone.
🔴 Resistance Levels
4488 – 4495
4515 – 4530
🟢 Support Levels
4450
4430
4410
4405 – 4400 (major)
📌 Gold Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Strategy 1 — Short from High Levels (Main Strategy)
📍 Sell Zone 1: 4488 – 4495
📍 Sell Zone 2: 4505 – 4515
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 4450
TP2: 4430
TP3: 4410
TP4: 4405 – 4400
Reasons:
• H4 upper Bollinger Band + MA50 structural resistance
• Completion of H1 distribution wedge
• Upper-band momentum exhaustion confirmed
• High-level distribution trap structure in place
🔰 Strategy 2 — Buy on Deep Pullbacks (Secondary / Counter-Trend)
Only when price pulls back into the major support zone and shows clear stabilization:
📍 Buy Zone: 4405 – 4385
🎯 Targets: 4430 / 4450
✅ Trend Summary
• The market is currently in an end-of-rebound distribution phase
• 4488–4520 is the institutional high-level distribution zone
• Upside space is limited while downside pullback probability continues to increase
• Main rhythm: Sell rallies and follow the corrective pullback structure
🔥 Trading strategies are time-sensitive.
Please adjust positions based on real-time market behavior.
SRF LTD: Price Compression at Key Resistance|Clean Breakout Play📌 Structure: Daily Timeframe
SRF has been consolidating inside a clean descending channel, printing lower highs while demand holds near the channel base.
Price is now pressing against well-tested channel resistance — a clear decision zone.
🔴 Key Reads
Descending resistance respected multiple times
Tight price compression near supply → volatility contraction
Buying interest visible near demand
Muted volume during consolidation → pre-expansion behaviour
This is structure-led, not momentum-driven.
🟢 Breakout Rules (Strict)
Trade triggers only if:
Strong green Marubozu / near-Marubozu
Daily close above descending resistance
Clear volume expansion
No close above resistance = no trade.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Breakout close
SL: Low of breakout candle
Target 1: ₹3300, then trail
Management: Trail via higher lows / structure
Defined risk. Reward from range expansion, not prediction.
🧠 Why It Works
- Long consolidation builds energy
- Repeated rejections weaken supply
- Channel breakouts often expand fast
Clean price + volume = institutional participation
⚠️ Invalidation
Weak breakout
Low volume
Rejection wick with close back inside channel
→ No trade
📊 Final Word
SRF is coiled, not weak.
Patience first. Execution only on confirmation.
➡️ Let price prove strength. 👍 Appreciate if this helps.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a technical study for educational purposes only, based purely on price action and volume.
Not financial advice. Please manage risk as per your own trading plan.
🔔 Follow
If you like clean, no-indicator, price–volume based setups,👉 Follow for more structure-led trade ideas and chart studies.
💬 Your Turn
Have a stock you want analysed using pure price action & volume?
Drop the name in the comments — I’ll pick a few and share clean charts.
BTCUSD Price Structure & Key LevelsBTCUSD is showing a clear recovery after an earlier corrective decline. Price found strong buying interest around the 86,000–86,500 zone, where selling pressure weakened and the market began forming higher lows. This behaviour signalled a shift in control from sellers to buyers.
The bullish shift was validated once price achieved a Break of Structure above previous resistance. Following this move, BTCUSD continued to build a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming an active bullish trend. The upward movement is supported by impulsive candles, while pullbacks remain shallow, indicating stable momentum rather than distribution.
During the rally, multiple Fair Value Gaps were left behind, created by strong directional movement. Key demand areas are visible around 91,200–90,800 and further below near 89,200–88,800. These zones may attract buyers again if price retraces, as they represent areas of price imbalance.
On the upside, price is reacting near the 94,200–94,400 resistance band, which aligns with prior highs and short-term liquidity. A sustained hold above this zone may allow continuation toward the 96,000 region, while rejection here could lead to a healthy pullback into previous demand without changing the overall trend.
In summary, the market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the most recent higher low, with attention on reactions at highlighted support and resistance levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and uncertainty.
XAUUSD Structure, Zones & Price BehaviourGold is transitioning from a corrective bearish phase into a developing bullish recovery. Earlier price action shows a clear bearish trendline, formed after rejection from the 4550 major resistance, which triggered strong selling pressure. This decline remained controlled and eventually slowed near the 4260–4290 demand zone, where buyers stepped in with strength.
The reaction from this demand zone marked a key shift in sentiment. Price began forming higher lows, followed by a decisive Break of Structure above the prior internal resistance around 4380–4400. This BOS confirms that bearish momentum has weakened and buyers are now gaining short-term control.
During the impulsive recovery, a visible Fair Value Gap was created near 4330–4360, highlighting an imbalance caused by aggressive buying. This area may act as a potential buy-on-dip zone if price revisits it, provided overall structure remains intact. Another layer of support sits near 4400, which now acts as a flip level after previous resistance.
On the upside, price is currently consolidating below 4470–4485, where minor profit-taking is visible. A clean hold above this region opens the path toward the 4550 resistance, which remains the most important supply level on the chart. A rejection from that zone could lead to consolidation, while acceptance above it would signal broader bullish continuation.
Overall structure is shifting bullish, supported by demand reaction, BOS confirmation, and healthy pullbacks.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and uncertainty.






















