Bitcoin’Smart Money Setup: $80K Drop Before $108K Rebound!Bitcoin is currently trading near $102,000 after showing multiple signs of exhaustion at the top.
I expect BTC to drop toward the $80,000 zone — this will likely act as a liquidity grab or a correction phase.
From there, a short-term bounce toward $108,000 could trap late buyers before the major macro downtrend begins.
Next year, Bitcoin may form its final cycle bottom near $50,000, where long-term accumulation could restart.
This setup reflects a smart money distribution pattern — first a correction, then a fake rally, and finally a deeper decline.
📊 Levels to Watch:
Short-term Target: $80,000
Reversal Bounce: $108,000
Long-term Bottom: $50,000
Chart Patterns
$BTC STANDING ON ITS LAST SUPPORT: READ THIS BEFORE YOUR TRADEBITCOIN TECH UPDATE — FRESH LEVELS, FRESH PAIN
CRYPTOCAP:BTC just dumped to $80,641, making a new low since 12 April 2025.
That’s almost -30% from my Short + Exit levels.
Those who Rode the Short, Enjoy the profits.
Those who avoided chasing above $120k, capital saved again.
Where We Stand Now
Bitcoin is sitting exactly on the 0.786 Fib ($83,300), the strongest bullish support left on the chart.
This level = Bulls’ last hope.
If daily candle doesn’t close below $83,300, then expect a relief rally into upside inefficiencies:
Upside Targets (If 0.786 Holds)
$88,600 → major unfilled FVG
$93,000 → bearish Order Block (high probability fill)
$98,000 → another upside FVG waiting to be delivered
Watch how price behaves at these levels — next macro move will be decided there.
If 0.786 Fib Breaks…
Be ready.
Next liquidity pools: $73,000 / $66,000
Both zones have massive bullish orderflow waiting.
If 0.786 support holds → BTC still has high probability to push for a new ATH.
Summary:
Trend still bearish, but BTC is now at a critical support.
Hold → relief rallies + possibly new ATH.
Break → $73k–$66k incoming.
Stay sharp. Watch the levels. Trade with intention.
NFA &" DYOR
Smart Money Liquidity Trap Explained⭐ Smart Money Liquidity Trap Explained
✨ A deep dive into how institutions manipulate price before major moves ✨
In every financial market — Forex, Crypto, Stocks, Indices — price doesn’t simply move at random. Behind the scenes, Smart Money (institutions, banks, hedge funds) engineer setups that allow them to enter positions at the best possible price. One of their most effective tools is the Liquidity Trap.
Let’s break it down beautifully and clearly. 👇
🔥 What Is a Liquidity Trap?
A Liquidity Trap occurs when Smart Money deliberately pushes price into areas loaded with:
❌ Stop-loss orders
📉 Sell-side liquidity
📈 Buy-side liquidity
😰 Emotional retail entries
🔥 Breakout traders placing pending orders
These areas become liquidity pools — perfect fuel for institutions to fill their massive positions.
Retail traders think it’s a breakout…
But Smart Money thinks:
➡️ "Thank you for the liquidity."
🧩 How Smart Money Creates the Trap
1️⃣ Phase 1: Build the Setup
Smart Money guides price slowly toward an obvious level:
A clean high
A clean low
A trendline
A double top/bottom
Retail traders get excited:
📢 “Breakout coming!”
But institutions are simply gathering attention.
2️⃣ Phase 2: The Liquidity Grab ⚡
Price spikes violently above/below the obvious level.
This move triggers:
🟥 Stop-loss hunts
📉 Forced liquidations
💥 Breakouts that fail instantly
This sudden spike gives institutions the liquidity needed to place large buy or sell orders without causing massive slippage.
This is why the spike is often fast and dramatic.
3️⃣ Phase 3: The Real Move Begins 🚀
After the liquidity is collected, price reverses sharply.
This is the moment Smart Money actually commits to the real direction.
Retail traders feel:
🤯 “Why did it reverse?!”
😭 “I got stopped out for nothing!”
😵 “The breakout was fake!”
But Smart Money simply executed their strategy perfectly.
🎯 How to Use Liquidity Traps in Your Trading
Study where retail traders commonly place:
⛔ Stops
📌 Breakout orders
❗ Predictable entries
Then wait for the fast liquidity grab followed by:
A displacement 🎇
A sharp wick rejection
A structure shift (CHoCH / BOS)
These signals often reveal the true direction of the upcoming move.
💡 Key Features of a Smart Money Liquidity Trap
✨ Sudden spike into obvious areas
✨ Fast liquidation and stop-hunting behavior
✨ Sharp wick rejections
✨ Structure shift after the spike
✨ Smooth continuation in the real direction
🚀 Why This Concept Is So Powerful
Recognizing liquidity traps allows you to:
❌ Avoid fake breakouts
🛡️ Protect yourself from stop-hunts
🎯 Enter the market at premium/discount levels
🤝 Align with Smart Money
💼 Improve long-term consistency
This is how professional traders stay on the right side of volatility — by understanding why the market moves, not just where it moves.
Gold H1 – Is This Just a Range or a Break Incoming?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (21/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade inside a compressed intraday range as markets react to the latest discussion on whether the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates anytime soon.
According to new reports, policymakers remain cautious, and early rate-cut expectations are fading as inflation progress slows.
This shift pushes USD stronger, increases Treasury yields, and temporarily weakens gold’s bullish momentum.
Key takeaways from the news:
• Fed officials note that inflation is “still not where it needs to be,” reducing the probability of early rate cuts.
• Markets have scaled back expectations for a Q1 cut, keeping USD supported.
• Higher yields → tighter financial conditions → gold struggles to break premium levels.
• Institutions are likely engineering liquidity grabs on both sides before committing to a new directional move.
Price is currently sitting near the 4030–4045 zone, right above discount liquidity, waiting for a catalyst to break out of the short-term compression.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Market Structure:
Gold has completed a clear CHoCH + short-term bearish sequence and is now compressing into the discount zone around 4030.
• Premium Sell Zone (4H Supply):
4128–4130 aligns with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above internal highs.
• Discount Buy Zone:
4030–4028 sits inside the last clean demand zone where a previous sweep occurred.
• Liquidity Map:
→ Buy-side liquidity: above 4128–4135
→ Sell-side liquidity: below 4028–4020
Institutions are likely to sweep one side before delivering direction.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4128 – 4130
• Stop-Loss: 4140
• Take-Profit:
→ 4080 (minor imbalance fill)
→ 4045 (range EQ)
→ 4030–4028 (discount demand retest)
📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15 before entering.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4030 – 4028
• Stop-Loss: 4020
• Take-Profit:
→ 4060 (short-term reaction level)
→ 4095 (inefficiency fill)
→ 4120 (premium retest)
📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4030–4028 pocket and shows bullish displacement from discount.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• USD strength may spike unexpectedly as rate-cut bets fade — reduce position size during volatility.
• Avoid trading inside the 4045–4085 chop zone unless a clean structure break forms.
• Manage trades aggressively once liquidity levels are taken.
• Expect engineered manipulation during low-volume Asian hours.
📝 Summary
Gold is compressing inside a narrow intraday range as markets reassess the likelihood of Fed rate cuts.
SMC structure suggests a two-sided liquidity sweep before a decisive move:
• Sell Zone: 4128–4130 (premium supply)
• Buy Zone: 4030–4028 (discount demand)
Expect classic accumulation → sweep → displacement patterns until macro conditions create a new trend.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
Be alert ? BTC behave different scenerioAfter halving BTC has approached maximum of 518 days last 2 bull run out of 3. This time scenarios showing different theory. so don's belief bilndly. BTC future are above $1M as predicted but if we are going to Bear Market then atleat 1.5 year should be long days.
So be alert
XAUUSD – Where Smart Money Strikes Today🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters today’s session after a period of controlled volatility, with price repeatedly reacting around key liquidity pockets but failing to produce a clean breakout. The M30 structure remains bearish, with price rejecting premium levels and forming consistent lower highs.
Recent Drivers
USD stays firm as markets maintain expectations of a slightly hawkish Federal Reserve
Traders await upcoming mid-week data → low conviction, cautious positioning
Overall sentiment remains neutral — no strong safe-haven pressures
Session Outlook
London Session: Likely to engineer early sweeps into premium supply zones
New York Session: Higher chance of real directional expansion
Bias: Bearish intraday until discount zones trigger a CHoCH (shift of character)
Price is currently inside mid-range, so the safest setups remain at extremes where liquidity is concentrated.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
M30 Trend: Lower High → Lower Low sequence
Equilibrium zone: 4068–4085
Inducement layers resting above 4147 and 4081
Liquidity Levels
BSL: Above 4147 & 4081
SSL: Below 4033 & deep liquidity at 3993
Market continues printing engineered wicks, trapping impulsive traders
Imbalances
Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → perfect for premium scalp sells
Minor imbalance: 4081
Discount inefficiencies near 4033 and 3993 → ideal buy setups
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Strong Logic + Clear Explanation)
4148–4147 ▶️ Premium Liquidity Trap – High-Quality Sell Zone
This area holds an unmitigated bearish order block combined with buy-side liquidity.
Smart Money typically uses this zone to trap breakout buyers before reversing sharply.
4079–4081 ▶️ Secondary Premium Sweep Zone – Fast Rejection Expected
A mini liquidity pool just above equilibrium, designed for early-session stop hunts.
Often triggers sharp intraday reversals.
4035–4033 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Clean Scalping Demand
This zone holds micro-demand + SSL resting below.
Expect low-drawdown reactions ideal for quick intraday buys.
3995–3993 ▶️ Deep Discount Liquidity Pool – High-Probability Reversal Base
A rich accumulation of Sell-Side Liquidity combined with HTF discount structure.
Strong reversal potential if price reaches this level.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (High-Precision SMC Execution)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection Sell
Entry: 4148–4147
Stoploss: 4126
TP1: 4135
TP2: 4120
TP3: 4085
Logic: BSL sweep + bearish imbalance fill → sharp sell-off expected.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep
Entry: 4079–4081
Stoploss: 4087
TP1: 4065
TP2: 4048
TP3: 4033
Logic: Quick liquidity hunt above equilibrium followed by displacement.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday Scalping Rebound
Entry: 4035–4033
Stoploss: 4027
TP1: 4048
TP2: 4070
Logic: SSL sweep → micro CHoCH → ideal for fast bullish reaction.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal
Entry: 3995–3993
Stoploss: 3987
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4040
TP3: 4070
Logic: Major discount zone + liquidity buildup → strong reversal potential.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Avoid mid-range trading — only trade at liquidity extremities
Expect London fake-outs; real movement likely in NY
Always wait for M5/M15 confirmation (CHoCH + BOS)
Avoid buying in premium areas; avoid selling in deep discount zones
Follow strict risk management — volatility may spike unexpectedly
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold continues to hold a bearish intraday structure, favouring premium sell setups at 4147 and 4081.
Discount zones at 4033 and 3993 offer high-probability buy reactions and possible deeper reversals.
Trade with patience. Execute only at liquidity extremes.
Let Smart Money show its trap — then strike with precision.
GUN/USDT: Two Key Demand Zones for High-Probability Bounce (4H)The price action on the 4-hour chart shows that GUN has been moving within a clear descending channel, indicating a prolonged bearish trend. However, two deep-value demand zones have been identified, presenting high-probability swing long opportunities.Primary Demand Zone (Higher): The first purple zone, which has already been tapped or is very close to a tap, represents a strong unmitigated Order Block. This is the immediate trade opportunity targeting a move back towards the channel's upper boundary.Secondary Demand Zone (Lower): Should the primary zone fail, the lower, deeper purple box at $\sim\$0.0079$ represents a high-conviction "Last Line of Defense" demand area. This offers an excellent high-risk/high-reward entry if the price extends the drop.Trade Plan: We are looking for a reaction and consolidation within one of these two demand zones to target the upper trendline and potentially break out of the descending channel for a significant swing.
XAUUSD Bullish Retracement Setup from Support Zone Toward Key Re1. Market Structure
Price is currently trading near a major support zone (~4055–4060 area), highlighted in blue.
Multiple rejections from this zone in the past indicate strong buying interest.
The structure shows higher lows forming intraday, suggesting bullish pressure building.
2. Key Zones
🔵 Support Zone (Entry Region)
Marked around 4055–4060.
Price dipped into this zone and bounced, showing a potential demand area for long positions.
🔵 Resistance Level (First Target Region)
Around 4081–4098.
This is the first major resistance the price is likely to test after bouncing.
🔵 Final Target Zone
4120 area, the upper major resistance.
Previous highs around this level show strong selling interest historically.
3. Expected Price Movement
The chart suggests a potential bullish move:
Price bounces from the support (entry) area.
Climbs toward 4081 (minor resistance).
Retraces slightly.
Continues upward toward 4097–4100.
Final push toward 4120 target zone.
This is a classic retracement + continuation bullish structure.
4. Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish
Entry: 4055–4060 (support zone)
First TP: 4081
Second TP: 4097–4100
Final Target: 4120
Stop Loss: Below 4050 (beneath support zone)
Gold XAUUSD – Fresh Resistance Tested Twice, Bears Eye 4057 PullGold gave us a clean reaction today, rejecting the 4107–4110 supply zone not once, but twice. That double tap reinforced a fresh resistance band at 4087–4095, where sellers stepped back in with intention.
As long as 4012 holds on the upside, this resistance zone remains my short-term line in the sand. Any push back into 4087–4095 may attract renewed selling pressure, keeping the door open for a move toward 4057, with momentum potentially extending lower if sellers stay in control.
I’ll be watching how price behaves on each revisit—structure remains king.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
ERIS 1 Day View 📊 Current Price & Range
Last traded around ₹1,669 – ₹1,672
Today’s observed intraday range so far: Low ~ ₹1,651.6 and High ~ ₹1,679.2.
Previous close was ~ ₹1,669.60.
🔍 Key Technical Levels (1-Day)
Support levels to monitor:
1. ~ ₹1,650 mark – near today’s intraday low (~1,651).
2. A stronger buffer may lie around ₹1,620-1,630, given prior trading zones (though exact MA data not fully pulled).
3. If price breaks decisively below ~₹1,650, the next meaningful lower zone might be nearer the 52-week low area (~₹1,100) but that’s much further away.
Resistance levels to monitor:
1. Immediate resistance near today’s high ~ ₹1,679-1,680.
2. If momentum builds, next resistance around ~ ₹1,700-₹1,720 area.
3. The 52-week high (~₹1,910) remains well above current price and acts as long-term cap.
⚠️ Notes & Caveats
These levels are based on publicly available price ranges today; they do not include detailed moving-average levels or intraday support/resistance lines from charting software.
Always consider external risks: market sentiment, pharma sector news, regulatory updates, earnings surprises for Eris.
Short-term trading involves higher volatility and increased risk; these setups should be used with proper stop-losses and position sizing.
Smart Loss Management Guide in the Trading Market1. Why Loss Management Is More Important Than Profit-Making
Most new traders focus on making money and ignore risk control. But experienced traders know that your downside determines your survival. If capital is destroyed early, even a good trading system cannot help. Here’s why loss management matters:
Capital Preservation: If you lose 50% of your account, you need a 100% gain to recover. Avoiding deep drawdowns is essential.
Consistency Over Luck: A trader with average profits but disciplined risk control will outperform an aggressive trader without rules.
Uncertainty of Markets: Even the best strategies have losing streaks. Smart loss management keeps you disciplined during uncertain phases.
Simply put, losing small and winning medium-to-large is the essence of profitable trading.
2. Key Principles of Smart Loss Management
2.1 Risk Per Trade Rule
Professional traders follow a simple rule:
Risk only 1–2% of trading capital per trade.
This ensures that even after 10 losing trades in a row, your capital stays strong. A 1% rule means:
If your capital = ₹1,00,000
Max loss per trade = ₹1,000
This protects you from emotional decisions and ensures controlled drawdowns.
2.2 Position Sizing
Position size determines how much quantity you buy or sell. It must be based on:
Stop-loss distance
Capital
Risk per trade percentage
Formula:
Position Size = Risk Amount / Stop-Loss Distance
Example:
Capital = ₹1,00,000
Risk per trade = 1% = ₹1,000
Stop-loss = 5 points
Position size = 1000 / 5 = 200 quantity
This keeps your risk uniform across trades.
2.3 Placing Effective Stop-Loss Orders
Not all stop-losses are equal. Smart traders use:
Technical stop-loss: based on chart levels (support, resistance, swing high/low).
Volatility-based stop-loss: dynamic stops using ATR (Average True Range).
Time-based stop-loss: exit if trade doesn’t work within a fixed time window.
Avoid placing stops too close, which results in premature exits.
2.4 Avoiding Averaging Down
Many traders double their position when price goes against them thinking it will “bounce back”.
This is dangerous.
Averaging down increases exposure when your analysis is already wrong. Professional traders do the opposite—they scale out or exit.
2.5 Maintain Reward-to-Risk Ratio
Every trade must have a minimum Risk-to-Reward (RR) ratio of 1:2 or 1:3.
Example:
If risk = ₹1,000
Target should be ₹2,000 or ₹3,000
This ensures that even with a 40% win rate, you remain profitable.
3. Psychological Pillars of Smart Loss Management
Market losses are emotionally painful. Most poor decisions come from emotions like fear, hope, greed, and frustration. Smart traders master the psychology of loss.
3.1 Accept That Losses Are Normal
Every trader—beginner or expert—has losing trades. Accepting losses helps:
Reduce revenge trading
Maintain discipline
Focus on process, not outcome
3.2 Don’t Take Losses Personally
A losing trade is not a failure of your personality. It is simply part of the game. Traders who attach ego to trades often avoid closing losing positions, leading to bigger losses.
3.3 Control Overtrading
After a loss, many traders try to recover immediately. This emotional urge leads to irrational decisions. Smart loss management requires:
Stop trading after big loss
Follow pre-defined trade limits
Reset emotionally before next trade
3.4 Develop Emotional Discipline
The best loss management tool is self-control. This includes:
Sticking to stop-loss
Avoiding impulsive orders
Following a checklist before entering trades
Discipline converts a strategy into consistent profits.
4. Techniques for Smart Loss Management
4.1 Use Trailing Stop-Loss
Trailing stops help protect profits as the trade moves in your favor. For example:
If trade goes 20 points up, move stop-loss to breakeven
If trade goes 40 points up, trail stop to +20
This locks in gains and avoids giving back profits.
4.2 Hedging Positions
Advanced traders use hedging techniques like:
Options hedging (buying puts to protect long positions)
Futures hedging
Ratio spreads
Hedging reduces the impact of sudden volatility or news events.
4.3 Diversify Trades
Avoid putting all your capital into one trade or one sector. Diversification ensures:
Reduced exposure
Stable overall performance
Lower emotional pressure
But don't over-diversify; focus on 4–8 quality trades.
4.4 Use a Daily Loss Limit
Set a maximum daily loss that stops you from trading further.
Example:
Daily Max Loss = 3% of capital
If you hit that limit, stop trading for the day.
This prevents emotional breakdowns and unnecessary revenge trades.
4.5 Create a Trading Journal
Record:
Entry and exit
Stop-loss
Reason for trade
Emotional state
Reviewing your journal reveals patterns, mistakes, and ways to refine your strategy.
5. Common Mistakes to Avoid
5.1 Moving Stop-Loss Further Away
Traders sometimes shift stop-loss thinking the market will reverse. This is a mistake. A stop-loss must be respected at all times.
5.2 Trading Without a Defined Exit
A trade without a clear exit strategy becomes a gamble. Smart traders pre-plan both stop-loss and target.
5.3 Ignoring Market Conditions
A strategy that works in trending markets may fail in sideways markets. Loss management includes reducing position size during choppy or news-heavy environments.
5.4 Emotions-Based Position Sizing
Increasing lot size after a win or reducing after a loss emotionally disturbs risk management. Position size must always be formula-based.
6. Building Your Smart Loss Management System
Step 1: Define Your Risk Rules
Risk per trade, daily loss limit, maximum open trades.
Step 2: Create Position Sizing Formula
Based on stop-loss distance and capital.
Step 3: Pre-Plan Stop-Loss Levels
Technical, volatility-based, or time-based.
Step 4: Maintain a Journal
Track mistakes, patterns, and improvements.
Step 5: Maintain Emotional Discipline
Follow rules no matter what the market does.
7. Conclusion
Smart loss management is the foundation of profitable trading. Markets reward discipline, not emotion. By controlling risk, using effective stop-loss techniques, maintaining psychological discipline, and applying structured methods, traders protect their capital and grow consistently over time. Every successful trader understands that losses are unavoidable, but big losses are preventable. With a strong loss management system, you turn volatility from a threat into an opportunity and ensure you remain a long-term player in financial markets.
Tube Investments of India Ltd — Wave X Triangle in PlayAfter the sharp decline from ₹4,810, the recent advance initially looked like a potential leading diagonal of a new impulse. However, the internal overlaps and choppy rhythm point instead to a Wave X triangle, likely part of a larger corrective sequence (W–X–Y).
As long as price holds below ₹3,419.90, the bearish outlook remains intact, with the next leg — Wave Y — possibly aiming toward the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone (₹2,511–₹1,968). That region, close to the golden ratio, may act as a potential termination zone for the entire correction.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves Intraday Option Trading
Focus on momentum
Quick scalping
Uses volume, market structure
Greeks change rapidly
Risk high due to volatility
Positional Option Trading
Based on swing analysis
Uses spreads and hedged strategies
Requires understanding of Theta and Vega
Preferred for hedging and income generation
Silver Look Good for short with 1:2 target Trend: Bearish. The market has shifted from an uptrend to a downtrend.
Pattern: Break and Retest. Price broke below the 49.50 support level, retested it as resistance, and is now rejecting it.
The Trade: A Short (Sell) setup is active.
Target (TP): 46.48 (Lower support zone).
Stop Loss (SL): 49.79 (Just above the current resistance).
Outlook: Sellers are in control as long as the price stays below 49.80
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Support in DCMSHRIRAM
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis November 20Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
Here's a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Shortly, at 10:30 AM and 12 PM, the Nasdaq indicators will be released.
At the bottom left, the purple finger indicates the final long position entry point on the 19th, at $90,355.8. I've linked the strategy to that level.
The bottom area at the bottom is what I consider to be the major support line for this week.
(The center line of the Bollinger Bands monthly chart has moved from the previous $87,665.3.)
Everyone knows this and is waiting for it.
In my experience, if you wait at the bottom,
it generally doesn't come down easily. + Nasdaq volatility
Of course, we'll have to watch today's movement,
but please watch until the very end.
Because today could be a day with a significant move,
I kept my strategy as safe and simple as possible.
*Red Finger Movement Path:
One-Way Long Position Strategy
1. $90,341.7 long position entry point / Stop loss price if the purple support line is completely broken
2. $93,343.2 long position primary target -> Top, Good target price in that order
If the strategy is successful, you can utilize the 92.3K long position re-entry point indicated.
Since the 4-hour Bollinger Bands are repeatedly hitting the center line,
barring a sharp decline in the Nasdaq,
it is poised for a strong upward trend.
Note that the first point at the bottom is a double bottom.
If it falls to this level,
it is more likely to reach the bottom than to rebound.
Today, the Nasdaq and Bitcoin must move as far upward as possible to avoid falling to 86.7K this week. In the event of a weak sideways movement or correction,
I recommend keeping the bottom open until 9:00 AM next Monday.
Please use my analysis to this point for reference only.
I hope you operate safely, with a clear focus on principled trading and stop-loss orders.
Thank you.
SOL DUMP TO THE $40YES, YOU SEEN RIGHT
CRYPTO:SOLUSD
SOL ready with multiple negative patterns.
1. all time resistance
2. triple top
3. cup and handle failure
First pattern is already activated and triple top near to active.
Reverse scenario
take support from major strong support. cup and handle breakout
🧠 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
⚖️ This is not financial advice or suggestion
👉 “Risk Is Real 💸 Stay Practical🚀”
💬 Please feel free to ask any questions (It's Free)
OVERVIEW GOLD CHART H1 11/21 🧭 1. CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT
Gold remains in a downtrend on the H1 timeframe, despite a minor rebound after the NFP release.
A sharp drop to 4,039 created a new low, followed by a weak recovery and sideways movement during the Asian session.
When the London session opened, price broke below the consolidation zone, confirming that sellers are still in control of the market.
Key highlights:
• The market remains bearish as long as price stays below 4,052–4,060
• Volume Profile shows VAL at 4,052 turning into a new resistance
• Intraday structure continues to form lower highs → maintaining the main downtrend
⸻
🔍 2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H1
🔹 Trend overview
• H1: Clear bearish pattern with consecutive LL – LH.
Breakout from the Asian session sideways confirms the continuation of the downtrend.
🔹 Price action
• Asian session: Price consolidates after the sharp drop
• European session: Break below the sideways range → sellers continue to push
• All upward moves are just retracements – not a reversal
⸻
📌 3. IMPORTANT PRICE ZONES
🔥 Resistance zones (SELL priority)
• 4,040 – 4,052 → Strong intraday resistance
– Confluence of VAL, supply zone, and downtrend line
• 4,060 – 4,070 → For deeper pullbacks
🟩 Support zones (downside targets)
• 3,995 – 4,005 → Stronger support – extended target if selling momentum increases
⸻
🎯 4. TRADING SCENARIOS
🔻 Scenario 1 – Most important (priority)
SELL on pullback
If price retraces to 4,040 – 4,052 and shows rejection signals (M5/M15):
Sell zone: 4,040 – 4,052
TP: 4,025 → 4,010 → 3,995
SL: Above 4,060
🔻 Scenario 2 – Continuation after breaking the low
If price breaks 4,028 with a strong H1 candle close:
Sell continuation
TP: 4,010 → 3,995
SL: 4,045
🔻Scenario 3 – Only trigger on reversal structure
If price breaks & closes above 4,060, the structure weakens:
➡️Quick Buy: up to 4,075 → 4,092
(Only trade with strong signals – this is a counter-trend setup)
⸻
🥇 5. CONCLUSION
• Main trend: Down – SELL is preferred
• Best entry zone: 4,040 – 4,052 (strong confluence)
• Only Buy on a clear break above 4,060
Bitcoin is in a clean daily downtrend right nowBitcoin is in a clean daily downtrend right now – every bounce is just providing fuel for the next leg until the structure says otherwise.
Good evening traders, Brian here with a higher-timeframe look at BTCUSD.
Fundamental analysis
Bitcoin has been under sustained pressure even as some funds continue to accumulate spot positions. A few key points:
Macro uncertainty and tighter dollar liquidity are weighing on high-beta assets. While gold has held up relatively well, the performance gap between BTC and XAU has been widening in recent weeks, highlighting a clear risk-off tone towards crypto.
On-chain and fund flows suggest that a number of crypto investors are actually de-risking and pulling capital out, which reduces market depth and makes downside moves more violent when liquidity is thin.
Narrative is still mixed: long-term holders and some institutions are happy to buy lower, but in the short term the order flow is dominated by forced selling, deleveraging and risk reduction.
Bottom line: the macro backdrop does not yet justify an aggressive “buy the dip” approach on BTC. Trend-following shorts remain safer than trying to call the bottom.
Technical analysis
Daily structure is clearly bearish:
We have a confirmed market structure shift on the left of the chart, with the prior higher-low support broken and a series of decisive lower lows since then.
The main bullish trendline from earlier in the year has given way, and price is now travelling within a steep descending leg.
BTC recently tagged the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the last major swing, aligning with a prior liquidity pocket. That produced a sharp intraday bounce, but so far it looks like a reaction inside a downtrend, not a full reversal.
Around 75.4k we have an important daily support zone. If this level is broken and accepted below, it opens the door to a deeper flush towards the next large support band lower on the chart.
Overhead, there is a clean imbalance/FVG and prior distribution area around 108k, with an intermediate resistance block around 96–97k and a nearer supply zone around 88k. These are prime locations to look for fresh shorts if price retraces.
For now my bias is simple: look to sell rallies into premium levels; any longs are tactical, short-term trades off key support only.
Key levels
Resistance / short zones:
88,000 – first reaction zone, “pay attention to the reaction”
96,500–97,200 – main short entry area for medium-term positions
108,000 – higher FVG / major daily supply
Support / long-only intraday zones:
75,400 – key support + 1.618 Fib/liquidity zone
74,000–72,000 – deeper support if 75.4k fails
Trade scenarios (for reference, not financial advice)
1. Short the first meaningful pullback – 88k area
Entry: 88,000
Stop: 90,000 (above local structure)
Targets: 82,000 → 78,000 → 75,500
Idea: treat 88k as the first supply zone in a downtrend. If price bounces from current levels and stalls here, I’m looking for rejection (wick rejections, failed break, or a clear shift in intraday structure) to join the trend. Once price moves in favour, I would look to pull the stop to breakeven and let the position run.
2. Core swing short – 96.5k–97.2k zone
Entry: 96,500–97,200
Stop: 99,000
Targets: 88,000 → 82,000 → 75,500
This is my preferred “medium-term” sell area. It aligns with a more significant daily supply block and offers better risk–reward if the larger bearish leg continues. Any squeeze into this region after a series of lower lows is, in my view, a controlled opportunity to reload shorts.
3. Tactical long only at deep support
Entry: 75,400–74,800
Stop: 73,800
Targets: 82,000 → 88,000
Here I would only consider a short-term long if we see a clean liquidity sweep into the 1.618 extension and strong rejection (long lower wicks, aggressive buy-back). The idea is simply to trade the bounce back into resistance, not to fight the higher-timeframe downtrend.
If BTC loses 75.4k and starts closing below it on the daily, I would become much more cautious on any long exposure and focus almost entirely on short setups towards the lower “important support” zone on the chart.
Trade with the trend, respect your risk, and don’t get trapped trying to be a hero at the bottom of a falling market.
If this BTC breakdown adds value to your plan, make sure you follow Brian for more daily BTC and gold analysis, and share your own view in the comments so we can compare scenarios.
Trade deal on Monday ????# NIFTY FUTURES - Clean Breakout & Successful Retest 🎯
## Key Observations:
**Price Action:**
- Strong breakout from the consolidation range (marked in blue)
- Successfully retested the breakout level around 26,000
- Currently trading at 26,170.50, holding well above the breakout zone
**Technical Strength:**
- Price firmly above 42-period VWMA (shown in white)
- Moving averages aligned in bullish formation and trending upward
- Despite global market weakness, Nifty showing remarkable resilience
**Market Sentiment:**
- International markets showing negativity
- Indian markets displaying relative strength - decoupling from global weakness
- Strong institutional support evident
## Conclusion:
All technical indicators converging toward one direction - **BULLISH BIAS**
The successful retest of breakout level combined with strong relative strength against weak global markets presents a high-probability long setup.
**Strategy:** Look for long entries on minor dips with stop loss below recent retest lows.
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*Current Price: 26,170.50 | Change: +30.50 (+0.12%)*
#NIFTY #NiftyFutures #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #IndianMarkets #NSE






















