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Manappuram Fin (W): Bullish - Coiling at ResistanceTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic The stock is challenging the upper end of its 3-month consolidation zone. The setup is a classic "Volatility Contraction" right below the All-Time High, supported by recent institutional accumulation and sector-wide tailwinds. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The stock is pushing resistance due to two key drivers: > Liquidity Boost (Dec 15): The company successfully raised ₹500 Crore via Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs), ensuring strong capital adequacy for growth. > Sector Spillover: The massive deal in peer Shriram Finance (MUFG stake buy) has triggered a re-rating of the entire NBFC sector, lifting sentiment for gold loan players like Manappuram. 📈 2. The Chart Structure (Rectangular Base) > The Box: The ₹262 – ₹295 trading range. - Significance: The stock has spent 3 months absorbing supply in this zone. > The "Knock" at the Door: The stock closed the week at ₹292.65 , just ~1.8% away from the ATH of ₹298 . - Price Action: Closures near the high of the week indicate that buyers are willing to hold positions over the weekend, a bullish sign. 📊 3. Volume & Indicators > Volume Analysis (Correction): While the breakout volume hasn't happened yet, the internal volume shows accumulation. High-volume spikes on Dec 12 (21M) and Dec 16 (12M) suggest institutions bought the dip, while the pullback days had lower volume. This confirms a healthy accumulation pattern . > EMAs & RSI: Rising RSI and Positive Crossover on EMAs confirm the momentum is aligned to the upside. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is primed for a "Blue Sky" breakout. > 🐂 Bullish Breakout (The Trigger): - Condition: A decisive Daily Close above ₹298 . - Target 1: ₹325 . - Target 2: ₹340 . > 🛡️ Support (The Safety Net): - Immediate Support: ₹275 – ₹280 . If the breakout fails, the stock will likely drift back to the middle of the box. - Stop Loss: A close below ₹262 would invalidate the bullish thesis. Conclusion This is a High-Probability Setup . The "Accumulation Spikes" inside the range suggest the breakout is legitimate. > Strategy: Watch for a high-volume move past ₹298 . The sector tailwinds make this a strong candidate for a new leg up.
NSE:MANAPPURAMLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Weekly analysis of XAUUS/Gold with buy and sell scenarios...Last week gold moved in a range, as we analyzed and closed below the high of previous week. Weekly candle is indecision candle and now price is near to all time high level. Coming week, we may see a range bound market crating both buy and sell side scenario till price break all time high with volume and conviction. We should track price movement cautiously within the range. We may also witness a breakout of all time high if market and global events/news support it…. 1. Price has created higher highs in lower time frames and created micro structures. 2. Now it is choppy till breakout the all-time high or support level. 3. Price is continuously running above EMAs confirming up move for now. 4. There is a POI nesting multiple PD arrays including daily FVG. We may see reversal from this level. 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone. 7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signaling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HareeyMarketMantraah
TechMahindra BreakoutHi All… Greetings! Today I’m sharing with you Tech Mahindra Daily Chart. There has been a good break out in the stock. The stock has made a Double Bottom Pattern and has crossed its Down Trend Line. I think it would a good time to invest in the stock. Hoping for the stock to reach the TGT of 1680. In the coming time I think it should give good returns. Thanking You Important Things 1. This is only for educational purposes only. 2. Never over trade. 3. Always keep Stop Loss. 4. Trade in limited quantity. 5. Taking a small loss is better than wiping up your whole capital. I hope you found this idea helpful. Please like and comment. Share with Your Friends. Keep Learning, Happy & Safe Trading Disclaimer – These ideas shared by me to all are my personal analysis / views. I'm not a SEBI registered technical analyst.
NSE:TECHMLong
by NikhilChoudhary2023
XAUUSD (H4) – Weekly Outlook (Dec 22–26)Buy the dip inside the channel, watch for a short-term correction after Wave 5 Strategy summary for next week On the H4 chart, gold is still trading inside a mid-term rising channel. However, the wave structure suggests Wave 5 is likely finished, so next week I’m focusing on two main ideas: Mid-term BUY bias, but only if price pulls back to a better liquidity area. Short-term SELL correction, triggered only with confirmation (break below 4309) on the lower timeframe. 1) Technical view: Uptrend channel holds, but a correction is likely Price is currently in the upper half of the channel → not an ideal spot to chase buys. The chart highlights two key liquidity areas: Liquidity Sell Zone near 4433 (upside target, only valid if price builds a clean path higher). Strong Liquidity around 4254 (the area where I want to reload mid-term buys). Meaning: The channel is still the main framework, but if Wave 5 has finished, a pullback/correction is normal before the next directional leg. 2) Mid-term plan (priority): BUY at channel liquidity ✅ Buy zone: 4250 – 4255 SL: 4240 Expectation: A rebound back toward the channel’s midline, and if momentum returns, continuation toward 4433. Logic: This is the “better price” area aligned with the channel structure + key liquidity. Risk-reward is far cleaner than buying at the highs. 3) Short-term plan: SELL the correction only after confirmation Because Wave 5 looks completed, a corrective sell is valid — but I only want to sell after the market confirms on the lower timeframe: ✅ Bearish confirmation: break below 4309 After the break, prefer a sell on retest (no chasing). A realistic correction target is a move back toward the 425x liquidity zone. Note: This is a short-term correction trade and doesn’t conflict with the mid-term buy bias. 4) Fundamentals next week: Holiday liquidity = more sweeps Dec 22–26 includes multiple European holidays, which often means thin liquidity: price may not trend hard, but it can still wick and sweep stops. Geopolitical risk remains elevated: Israeli officials plan to brief Trump on potential new strikes on Iran — this can trigger sudden safe-haven flows into gold. Action: Trade smaller, trade cleaner, and avoid getting trapped in abnormal volatility. 5) Execution checklist Mid-term BUY: wait for 4250–4255, SL 4240. Short-term SELL: only activate if 4309 breaks, then sell the retest on lower TF. No FOMO in a low-volume holiday week. Which scenario are you leaning into next week: buying 425x, or waiting for a 4309 breakdown to sell the correction?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Silver Intraday: Exhaustion Sell Near Upper Bollinger BandTrading Day - Monday (22nd Dec 2025) Entry : Sell Entry Zone: 208,000 – 208,200 Stop Loss: 208,760 Targets: MCX:SILVER1! T1: 207,000 T2: 206,000 Reason: * Upper BB rejection candle → momentum exhaustion * PSAR dots compressing → trend strength weakening * Vertical rally without pullback → correction likely * Red candle after strong green → profit booking sign * Price far above BB mid → mean reversion risk Risk: • Risk per trade < 2% • Avoid trade if SL hit or Wait for next Entry confirmation #Silver #Intraday #Commodities #RSI #PSAR #RiskManagement
MCX:SILVER1!
by saurabhf7
TATA ELXSI: What Price and Volume Reveal After a DowntrendAfter a prolonged downtrend, Tata Elxsi started trading inside a well-defined falling channel. This phase represents controlled selling, where price continues to make lower highs and lower lows, but without aggressive expansion. That’s important — it shows selling pressure is present but not accelerating. As price approached the lower end of the channel, downside momentum started to slow. Candles became narrower and selling failed to push price further down. This is typically where supply begins to dry up. The key development came when price broke above the channel boundary with a clear increase in volume. This is not a random green candle — it signals that buyers stepped in decisively and absorbed the remaining supply that was controlling the trend. The volume spike confirms that the move is participation-driven, not a low-liquidity bounce. When price exits a falling structure with volume, it often marks a trend transition phase, not an immediate vertical rally, but a shift from distribution to stabilization. This chart is shared to highlight: How falling channels behave Why volume matters at structure breaks How trend control shifts from sellers to buyers
NSE:TATAELXSILong
by siripireddyvenu
METAL Index Holding Rising Channel – Next Leg Higher LoadingThe Nifty Metal Index is trading firmly inside a well-defined rising channel on the weekly timeframe, clearly indicating long-term strength in the sector. Price is currently consolidating near the upper half of the channel, which is a healthy sign after a strong uptrend. Despite multiple volatile phases, the index has consistently respected the lower channel support, showing strong buying interest on every dip. The recent sideways movement near the top suggests time correction, not trend weakness. Structurally, the index continues to form higher highs and higher lows, keeping the broader bullish trend intact. This consolidation near resistance usually acts as a launchpad for the next expansion, provided the channel structure holds. RSI is placed around the 60–65 zone, reflecting sustained bullish momentum without overbought pressure. This indicates the trend still has room to extend on the upside.
NSE:CNXMETALLong
by Marketik
1
IT Index Near Long-Term Trendline – Breakout Setup FormingThe Nifty IT Index is trading at a very important technical junction, where price has climbed back to a major long-term descending trendline after a prolonged corrective phase. This trendline has acted as a strong supply zone earlier, making the current test extremely crucial. After forming a clear base near the rising support line, the index has started making higher highs and higher lows on the daily timeframe. This shift in structure suggests that selling pressure has weakened and buyers are slowly gaining control. The recent move towards resistance is happening with steady momentum, not sharp rejection, which often indicates absorption of supply. Such price behaviour near a falling trendline usually precedes a trend reversal breakout rather than a deep pullback. RSI is holding above 65, confirming strong bullish momentum and showing no signs of bearish divergence. Momentum strength at resistance increases the probability of a sustained breakout if follow-through buying comes in. If the IT index manages to close decisively above this long-term resistance, it can trigger a fresh trending move, marking the end of the corrective cycle. Until then, this zone remains a make-or-break area, but structurally the setup is tilted in favour of the bulls.
NSE:CNXITLong
by Marketik
Final leg to the downside before see one last run to end cycleMarkets rarely witness deep crashes during an active bull run, yet history shows that major corrections often occur before the final and most impulsive leg of the cycle. Bitcoin’s 2021 bull market offers a clear example. On 12 April 2021, Bitcoin topped near $64,000, followed by a sharp 55% decline. After this liquidity reset, the market recovered and later printed a new high near $69,000, confirming that deep pullbacks can be structural rather than bearish. Applying this framework to the current cycle, if Bitcoin forms a macro top near $126,000, a 45–50% correction would naturally bring price into the $65,000–$60,000 range. Recent price action supports this possibility, as the market has started making steep lower lows alongside aggressive liquidity hunts on both sides, a typical sign of distribution and leverage cleanup. The $60,000 level stands out as a major liquidity zone where excess long positions are likely to be flushed and stronger hands can accumulate. Importantly, this technical setup aligns with macro pressure from Japan’s recent 75-basis-point interest rate hike. Historically, such hikes have been followed by 20–30% Bitcoin corrections. A 30% drop from $90,000 again targets the $63,000–$60,000 zone, reinforcing this area as a high-probability support. Taken together, historical precedent, liquidity behavior, and macroeconomic factors suggest a final corrective phase toward $60,000 before Bitcoin attempts its last impulsive rally of the cycle, potentially extending toward $140,000–$150,000. Rather than signaling weakness, such a correction may serve as the foundation for the market’s final expansion.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by animeshrajak5555
$XRP /USDT – Weekly Technical View (Short Analysis)#XRP has completed a strong impulsive move from long-term lows, topping near the 3.5–3.6 USDT resistance zone, which aligns with a major historical supply area. The rejection from this zone suggests a corrective phase is underway, forming a descending structure. Price is currently hovering around 1.9–2.0 USDT, testing a key Support-1 demand zone. As long as this support holds, a consolidation or corrective bounce is possible. However, a decisive breakdown below this range could open the door for a deeper correction toward the lower support box (~0.6–0.8 USDT), marked as wave (C). Overall bias: Long-term bullish structure intact, but medium-term correction ongoing. Watch how price reacts at the current support for the next directional clue. ~Disclaimer~ High Risk Investment Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors. Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading. This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
by renderwithme
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading How Option Trading Works When a trader buys a call option, they expect the price of the underlying asset to rise above the strike price before expiration. If the price rises significantly, the trader can either exercise the option or sell it in the market for a profit. Similarly, buying a put option reflects a bearish view, where the trader expects prices to fall. Option sellers, on the other hand, earn income through the premium received. However, selling options involves higher risk, as losses can be substantial if the market moves sharply against the position.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Part 1 Ride The Big MovesWhat Are Options? An option is a financial derivative contract that derives its value from an underlying asset such as a stock, index, commodity, or currency. The contract gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price, known as the strike price, on or before a specified date called the expiration date. The seller (or writer) of the option has the obligation to fulfill the contract if the buyer chooses to exercise the option. There are two main types of options: Call Options: Give the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price. Put Options: Give the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. The buyer pays a price known as the premium to the seller for acquiring this right.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by SkyTradingZone