Short term swing on Jyoti CNCWith the earnings flattening out , EPS seems to have bottomed out and recent CEO statements clearly indicate strong order book and positive cash flow in Q3 leading upto Q4.
Along with these fundamental view , it formed a base between 878 - 924 range. Entererd the trade on breakout and pull back in to base.
Entry : Entry 912
SL : 875 ( I usually dont keep a hard SL, I exit if the price sustains under 875 for 2 successive trading sessions - thats how I've found success )
Target : 1035
Current entry does look for slightly longer term hold in which case I would add more qty if the price drops under 870 ( hold for 6-12 months ) . The hold would make sense if the company delivers on the time while sustaining a strong order book and cash flow as predicted which would eventually elevate the EPS and price should go up n beyond the previous ATH.
Note: Personally , I have a long term position which I opened at 411 so currently this is just a swing but yes a substantial drop under 870 and I'll add to my long term position.
Chart Patterns
Minda Corporation : Consolidation Breakout Minda corporation is coming out of the consolidation breakout after almost after year. The volumes today were huge.
The RSI is also above 70 indicating a good momentum in the price on daily charts.
Looking at the history of the stock from the consolidation breakout , one can expect a steady price move in the upcoming days
CMP : 579
SL : 540
Target 1 : 640
Target 2 : 740
Note : Info is for educational purpose only.
Deepak fertilizer is ready to blast....🔍 Thesis on Deepak Fertilisers (DEEPAKFERT): Technical + Fundamental Snapshot
Technical outlook: The stock is showing bullish momentum—recent breakouts above key levels (e.g. around ₹1,450) have been met with confirmation. Indicators like moving averages and MACD lean positive, with many charts/screeners rating it a “Strong Buy” or “Buy.”
Support / Resistance context: Current price is below its 52-week high (₹888), indicating a favourable range captured with decent upside. The pullbacks have found support at prior breakout zones, which could now act as support.
Fundamentals: The company has been growing sales and profits robustly — revenue & net profit CAGR over recent years are in healthy double digits. Return on Equity (ROE) ~15-17%, debt to equity moderate (~0.6-0.7) giving some leverage but manageable.
Valuation & Risks: P/E ratio of ~18-20× is not cheap but not outrageously high relative to growth and sector peers. There are some risks: Operating margins have seen pressure; the chemicals segment has had weak demand at times. Also, while debt is manageable, interest coverage and cost pressures (input, energy etc.) remain variables.
Conclusion (balanced): Overall, Deepak Fertilisers appears to have a positive long-term fundamental base plus a bullish technical setup. Short-term, there is room for upside if the price can sustain above the breakout levels; downside risks exist if market sentiment turns or input costs rise sharply / demand softens.
Gold "Cools Down": A Sign of a Coming Downturn? Hello, investors!
Gold saw a notable correction on September 24, closing at $3,762.73/oz after reaching a historic high of $3,790.82/oz just one day earlier. Gold futures also dropped 0.5% to $3,795.80/oz. Is this a sign of a deeper correction or just a short-term profit-taking before key news?
Fundamental Analysis: Market "Holds Its Breath" Before the PCE Inflation Report
Yesterday's drop in gold seems to have little to do with the released U.S. economic data, as the USD index only had a slight rebound and housing data wasn't strong enough to cause such a major move. Instead, the most likely reasons are:
Cautious Profit-Taking: Investors are taking profits after a rapid run-up, aiming to mitigate risk before the upcoming PCE inflation report on September 26.
Fed Expectations: Despite short-term volatility, the market holds firm on its expectation that the Fed will cut rates in October and December with a high probability (94% and 77%). A low-rate environment and geopolitical concerns remain the core drivers supporting gold's price in the long term.
Technical Analysis: "Sell" or "Wait to Buy"?
Gold had a significant correction from the $3,770 area, indicating that a large number of profit-taking sell orders were triggered. However, the downtrend has paused and is now looking for a new balance point.
Outlook: With the current cautious sentiment, there's a chance gold may see further selling pressure in the short term. However, any deeper drop would be an excellent opportunity to buy back at a better price, as the long-term bullish momentum is still intact.
Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management):
Sell Zone: Zone $3766 - $3768, SL $3776
Buy Zone: Zone $3702 - $3700, SL $3692
The market is highly sensitive. Do you think this correction is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #PCE #USD
BTC LONG SETUPBTC/USDT – 1H Long Setup Analysis
🔹 Current Price: 111,653 USDT (Bitget Perpetual)
🔹 Trend: After a sharp drop from recent highs, BTC is showing signs of forming a base with a possible rebound setup.
⸻
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone:
• Strong support is visible around 110,744 – 110,747 USDT, marked by previous demand and horizontal structure.
• Below that, deeper support lies near 109,383 – 108,534 USDT.
2. Resistance Levels / Targets:
• TP1: ~115,078 – 115,980 USDT
• TP2: ~117,340 – 118,165 USDT
• Higher extension target: ~119,810 USDT
3. Trend Structure:
• Price broke a rising channel but has bounced back after a correction.
• Current pullback is retesting demand, indicating potential continuation to the upside if bulls defend the base.
4. Indicators:
• EMA 9 (blue) is currently under pressure, suggesting short-term weakness, but if reclaimed, momentum could shift bullish.
• Volume shows increased activity at recent lows, hinting at accumulation.
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Long Trade Plan (Swing Bias):
✅ Entry Zone: Between 111,000 – 111,700 USDT (current price zone, near support)
✅ Stop-Loss: Below 110,744 USDT (to avoid fakeouts)
✅ Take Profit Targets:
• TP1 → 115,078 – 115,980 USDT
• TP2 → 117,340 – 118,165 USDT
• Extended TP → 119,810 USDT
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable (approx. 1:3+ if targeting TP2).
⸻
Summary:
BTC is consolidating above a strong support base. If bulls hold the 111K–110.7K zone, upside targets remain valid towards 115K–118K. A break below 110.7K would invalidate this setup and could push price toward 109K or lower.
Sensex trades and targets on expiry - 25/9/25 Sensex expiry analysis - Overall trend is downside, do look for PE most of the time. If market is going up the trade with least quantity only. If it falling go for your daily quantity. I see good moves below 81600 and 82000 above. Market will try to hit as many SL before giving us trending moves. As per premiums we can see movement of 180/- on either side if we are in zone, once the zone is broken we can good spikes up to 300/-.Preserving capital is most important thing and do. If not sure of market wait till 2.30 then look for trending trades. The targets provided can ac as reversal zone too so look out for those trades too once targets are done.
ZUARIIND - PEAD Breakout and Non-Linear Base FormationThis chart captures ZUARIIND’s price action featuring a distinct non-linear base and a classic Pocket Pivot setup followed by a Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) breakout. The stock was flagged in a scan on September 22, 2025, after a 34-day PEAD digestion period, resulting in a sharp move from ₹302 to ₹376 (+19.99%). Key technical events include the formation and breakout above the non-linear base, a clear PEAD trendline, and volume confirmation on the surge. Fundamental stats, sector analysis, and ADR are annotated for trading and study reference, making the chart ideal for illustrating advanced trading strategies using PEAD, Pocket Pivot, and base patterns
Tata Investment Corporation : Inverted Head & Shoulder(breakout)Tata Investment Corporation is forming a inverted head and Shoulder pattern right shoulder . On Friday last week , the stock is just around the neckline .
The Stock just gave breakout on daily, weekly and monthly candles and can be bought on retest
RSI daily reading is above 70 indicating a positive momentum.
Stop loss: 6600
Target: 9600
This is for learning purpose, please DYOR
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1: Adjustment structure formed, awaiting confirmation below 3685
After the surge to 375x, gold is entering a correction phase in line with the structural pattern. On H1, the price clings to the upper edge of the rising wedge, with RSI cooling off from overbought levels, indicating that supply pressure is starting to dominate. Today's plan focuses on the adjustment structure, prioritising selling upon confirmation signals.
Key price zones (as per the attached chart)
Sell strong resistance 3775–3785: confluence of channel top + 2.618 extension. Look for weakening reactions to initiate short/medium-term sell orders.
Buy zone volume 3726–3720: a thin support area providing momentum for a rebound. Holding this zone could push the price to retest 3750–3775; conversely, losing 3720 may lead to a deeper decline.
Resistance + FVG 3715–3698: as the price drops, this area turns into supply; a failed retest here is an early signal for further decline.
Confirm sell 3688–3685: closing H1 below this zone confirms a short-term downtrend, targeting a lower buy zone.
BuyZone 3652–3646: confluence of channel bottom + old liquidity, expecting a strong bullish reaction if revisited.
Reference trading scenarios (adhering to risk management)
Sell reaction at peak: 3778–3783, SL 3792, TP 3755 → 3738 → 3722.
Sell on confirmation: wait for H1 to close below 3685, enter sell 3684–3682, SL 3696, TP 3673 → 3656 → 3648.
Buy scalp by volume: 3726–3720, SL 3715, TP 3738 → 3750 (only short-term if the larger structure remains corrective).
Buy swing at strong zone: 3652–3646, SL 3639, TP 3673 → 3698 → 3712 → 3740.
Operational notes
Prioritise waiting for rejection/closing signals at the mentioned zones; avoid chasing orders in between.
Order volume should be allocated according to confirmation levels (confirmation zone < breakdown < failed retest).
Avoid excessive leverage; adjust SL according to structure when in profit.
This is a personal perspective, not an investment recommendation. If you want the quickest updates on the next XAUUSD scenarios, follow me and join my community for discussions.
Nifty analysis - 24/9/25Nifty today's analysis. As per chart I see market should be going down. Look for PE trades most of the day. Its start of new week expiry so we can see both side movement to set the targets for the week to follow. SL hunting will seen so trade as per levels breakout and break down only.
Suprajit Engineering LtdSUPRAJIT - The stock has been respecting a rising channel and recently rebounded from the lower trendline at 420. It is now breaking above a minor descending trendline. A small cup and handle pattern is visible between 460 and 495, with a breakout at 490-495, suggesting bullish momentum.
The price action is breaking above the upper boundary of the triangle, signaling bullish momentum and a potential resumption of the previous uptrend. The chart shows larger volume surges on green candles, supporting the breakout strength and indicating increased trader interest on positive price moves.
If a sustained breakout and close above approximately 495 occurs, this could signal a fresh swing entry opportunity targeting 525 and 560 in the near term, provided volume remains strong.
If the breakout fails and the price closes back inside the triangle, look for support re-tests at 440, which could present a lower-risk entry for a potential swing setup.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 24-Sep-2025BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 24-Sep-2025
📌 Key Levels to Watch :
🟥 56,259 – Major Upside Resistance
🟥 55,801 – Last Intraday Resistance
🟧 55,495 – 55,688 – Opening Support / Resistance Zone (No Trade Zone)
🟩 55,365 – Last Intraday Support
🟩 55,266 – Important Intraday Support
🟩 54,969 – 55,038 – Buyer’s Support
🚀 Gap Up Opening (200+ points above previous close)
If Bank Nifty opens above 55,801, buyers will control momentum. A sustained move above this level could trigger a rally toward 56,259.
However, rejection near 55,801 can create a pullback toward 55,495 – 55,688 zone, which is the no-trade consolidation area.
Only if the index sustains above 55,801 with strong volume, traders may consider long positions targeting 56,259.
Educational Note: Gap-ups above resistance often look attractive but can also trap buyers if momentum fades. Always wait for a 15–30 minute confirmation candle before entering long trades.
📉 Flat Opening (within 100 points range)
In this scenario, the index will likely open inside the 55,495 – 55,688 zone, marked as a No Trade Zone .
If Bank Nifty sustains above this band, then upside levels 55,801 and later 56,259 come into play.
Failure to hold above this zone could drag prices back to 55,365 and 55,266 support levels.
Traders should avoid aggressive positions inside the zone and instead wait for a breakout or breakdown.
Educational Note: Flat openings inside a congestion zone are tricky. The best strategy is patience—allow the price to exit the zone before taking directional trades.
⚠️ Gap Down Opening (200+ points below previous close)
If Bank Nifty opens below 55,266, weakness will likely extend toward the Buyer’s Support zone at 54,969 – 55,038.
If this zone holds, buyers may attempt a recovery. Watch for intraday reversal patterns near this support to attempt small long trades.
If the zone breaks, expect further downside pressure. Resistance on the upside will now be 55,266 and 55,495 – 55,688 zone.
Educational Note: Gap downs can often lead to overreaction. Instead of chasing the fall, wait for the price to test key supports and observe whether buyers step in before planning trades.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders :
Do not take trades inside the No Trade Zone (55,495 – 55,688), as whipsaws are common there.
Use strict stop losses; never risk more than 2% of your capital on a single trade.
For directional plays, prefer ATM or slightly ITM options for better risk-reward.
Avoid averaging in losing trades; instead, cut losses quickly and re-enter only on confirmation.
On volatile days, consider using spreads (like bull call/bear put) to reduce premium decay risk.
✅ Summary & Conclusion :
A Gap Up above 55,801 may lead to a rally toward 56,259, but confirmation is key.
A Flat Opening inside 55,495 – 55,688 is a no-trade zone. Wait for breakout/breakdown.
A Gap Down below 55,266 could push prices to the Buyer’s Support zone (54,969 – 55,038).
Respect levels, avoid noise inside the no-trade zone, and focus on high-probability setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in ORISSAMINE
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
MTAR Tech (W) - Signals Bullish Reversal with Pattern BreakoutMTAR Tech has shown a significant sign of a potential long-term trend reversal. The stock, which has been in a prolonged downtrend since its All-Time High in September 2023, has decisively broken out of an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the weekly chart today.
This classic bullish reversal pattern was confirmed by a strong upward move that breached the neckline, supported by decent trading volume .
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation 👍
The bullish thesis is strongly supported by momentum indicators across all major timeframes:
- Broad Momentum: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in a bullish crossover state on the monthly, weekly, and daily charts , indicating synchronized positive momentum.
- Volume Trend: The general trend of building volume suggests increasing buyer participation and conviction in the upward move.
Future Outlook and Key Levels
The breakout from this major reversal pattern suggests the downtrend that began in mid-2023 may be over. The price action in the coming days will be crucial for confirmation.
- Bullish Case 📈: If the breakout momentum is sustained, the stock could be on a path toward the next major resistance level near ₹2,245 .
- Bearish Case 📉: However, if the breakout fails to hold and momentum wanes, the stock could pull back to test support around the ₹1,400 level.
[Hcc] upcoming rocket 🔍 HCC Stock Snapshot
Technical outlook: Daily / moving average indicators are leaning bullish — price is above most short- & medium-term MAs (5-, 10-, 20-, 50-day) which suggests upward momentum.
Resistance & risk: The 200-day moving average is still above current price, acting as resistance. Also some oscillators show caution (e.g. MACD weak, some neutral/oversold zones).
Fundamental status: Revenue declined YoY recently, partly due to divestments. While ROCE is high (around 25-30%), ROE has been weak or even negative in recent times.
Valuation: Many analysts/models view HCC as undervalued vs intrinsic value — there is potential upside if business fundamentals improve.
Gold 1H – Inflation Worries & Risk Sentiment Guide MovesGold on the 1H chart is hovering near 3,753 after multiple BOS confirmations, holding a firm bullish bias yet approaching premium resistance. Liquidity sits above 3,787–3,785, while fresh demand zones are placed at 3,725–3,723 and deeper at 3,688–3,686.
Today’s narrative around sticky U.S. inflation expectations and renewed geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe is boosting safe-haven appetite. Still, intraday price action suggests possible liquidity sweeps into resistance before price retraces back towards demand zones.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,787–3,785 (SL 3,794): Premium resistance where liquidity runs may spark short-term selling towards 3,780 → 3,775 → 3,770.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,725–3,723 (SL 3,718): Pullback demand aligned with structure, favouring longs towards 3,740 → 3,755 → 3,770+.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,688–3,686 (SL 3,680): Deeper discount demand area, attractive for positional buys targeting 3,700 → 3,715 → 3,730+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Pullback Demand (3,725–3,723)
• Entry: 3,725–3,723
• Stop Loss: 3,718
• Targets:
TP1: 3,740
TP2: 3,755
TP3: 3,770+
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand (3,688–3,686)
• Entry: 3,688–3,686
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Targets:
TP1: 3,700
TP2: 3,715
TP3: 3,730+
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Sweep (3,787–3,785)
• Entry: 3,787–3,785
• Stop Loss: 3,794
• Targets:
TP1: 3,780
TP2: 3,775
TP3: 3,770
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Rising inflation concerns and safe-haven flows from geopolitical risks are keeping gold buyers in play. However, smart money could drive engineered stop-hunts near premium resistance before retracements set in. The bias remains buy-on-dips around key supports, while short-term scalps against liquidity sweeps near 3,787–3,785 should be approached with caution. Volatility is expected as markets digest U.S. inflation updates and risk headlines.
Divergenc Secrets1. Option Styles
American Options – Can be exercised at any time before expiration.
European Options – Can only be exercised on the expiration date.
Exotic Options – Customized contracts with complex features (used by institutions).
Most stock options in the U.S. are American-style, while index options are often European-style. In India, stock and index options are European-style.
2. Why Trade Options?
Options trading is popular because it offers:
Leverage – Control large stock positions with small capital.
Hedging – Protect portfolios against market declines.
Income Generation – By selling (writing) options and collecting premiums.
Speculation – Betting on price movements without owning the stock.
Flexibility – Strategies can be bullish, bearish, neutral, or even profit from volatility.
3. Risks in Option Trading
While options provide benefits, they also come with risks:
Limited life span – Options expire; if your prediction is wrong, you lose the premium.
Leverage risk – Small movements can cause large percentage losses.
Complexity – Strategies can be difficult for beginners.
Unlimited losses – Selling (writing) naked options can lead to unlimited loss potential.
4. Basic Option Strategies
a) Buying Calls
Suitable when expecting strong upward movement.
Limited risk (premium), unlimited reward.
b) Buying Puts
Suitable when expecting strong downward movement.
Limited risk, high reward potential.
c) Covered Call
Own the stock and sell a call option against it.
Generates income but caps upside potential.
d) Protective Put
Own the stock and buy a put as insurance.
Protects against downside risk.
e) Straddle
Buy both a call and put at the same strike and expiration.
Profits from large movements in either direction.
f) Strangle
Similar to straddle but with different strike prices.
Cheaper but requires bigger move.
g) Iron Condor
Sell one call and one put (out of the money) and buy further out-of-the-money options for protection.
Profits from low volatility.
Cup & Handle Pattern formation in Hindustan ZincHindustan Zinc formed Cup & Handle Pattern on Daily Chart ,Stock is Trading above all important moving averages(20,50,100,200) & MACD & RSI also indicating positive momentum.
Breakout of it will happen above 465 level & Target will be 515 Rs ,with a stoploss of 450Rs.
its not a buy or sell call ..For education only
Britannia Trend - BearishBritannia Trend is looking bearish in short term as well as long term. The reason for being bearish is the Market Shift on Daily / Weekly and Monthly charts.
Currently price at a major Supply zone should move downwards.
Despite of a GST cut in FMCG it is not looking so promising.
Also as per GANN Pressure dates with vertical lines 24-Sep is also an important date for Sep target of 5899.
Traders can enter the sell trade with SL at 6480 for target 5899 by Sep end. Long term target 5300-5000-4500 in another 6 months.
📉 THIS CHANNEL IS ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
Disclaimer: I am Not a SEBI registered analyst. I just share my positions to do paper trading and no where its a recommendation! Please do your own analysis before taking any trade.
XAUUSD 09/24 – Scenario after the Fed's Key SpeechHello everyone,
Gold continues its upward momentum in recent sessions. Yesterday, the price touched the 1.618 Fibonacci level on the H4 chart and then declined, indicating a slight rejection right after the PMI news.
Technical Perspective
The Wolfe Waves structure remains intact, not yet broken.
If the price returns inside the trendline, the signal confirming the Wolfe pattern will become clearer.
Current key resistance area: 3790 – 3825, coinciding with Fibonacci 361.8.
Noteworthy short-term support area: 3650 – 3647.
Fundamental Perspective
In yesterday's speech, Chairman Powell emphasised: “If monetary policy is eased too quickly, efforts to curb inflation will fail.”
This indicates that the Fed continues to prioritise price stability over the market's expectations for rate cuts. This is a factor to consider when trading gold in the current phase.
Today's Trading Scenario
Sell Setup
Entry: 3825 – 3827
SL: 3833
TP: 3810 – 3790 – 3768 – 3755
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3647
SL: 3642
TP: 3672 – 3688 – 3695 – 3710 – 3750
Summary
In the short term, gold is in a correction phase after hitting resistance. Prioritise observing signals around 3790 – 3825 to find Sell opportunities, while 3650 is a notable buying point for a recovery scenario.
This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to the Wolfe Waves model. You can refer to and adjust according to your personal strategy.
Follow me for the latest analyses as the market changes.
Wishing you successful trading!