XAUT/USDT – Gold LTF (1H) Analysis
BYBIT:XAUTUSDT
Gold is showing strength after consolidating within the mid-range. On the lower timeframe, price has respected the demand zone and pushed into premium levels, reclaiming liquidity.
Current Zone: Trading around $3,766–$3,778 with a clear push toward the $3,800 resistance.
Fib Levels: Price already tapped into 0.705/0.786 retracement (3764–3769), and holding above this zone signals bullish intent.
Market Structure: Multiple BOS (Breaks of Structure) confirmed upside momentum. A clean CHoCH and FVG fills below further validate the rally.
Bias: As long as $3,743 (0.382 fib) holds as support, upside continuation is favored.
📈 Upside Target: A break and close above $3,780 opens the gates for $3,800–$3,820 range.
📉 Downside Risk: Failure to hold $3,743 support could drag back to $3,720–$3,700 demand block.
Conclusion: Momentum is with the bulls; eyes on $3,800. If this level gives way, Gold could accelerate further into untested highs.
Chart Patterns
Toncoin Market Report: Bearish Pressure vs Potential ReboundThe market has entered a clear distribution phase after repeated failures to sustain higher levels. Recent structure shifts on the daily timeframe highlight strong bearish control, with downside momentum accelerating as buyers continue to lose strength. The sharp breakdown signals that liquidity has shifted toward lower zones, creating pressure for further declines.
While short-term rebounds may emerge, these are more likely to serve as corrective pullbacks rather than true trend reversals. The overall flow indicates that sellers remain in command, and price is expected to gradually seek lower value areas as part of an extended bearish cycle
Gold Trading Strategy for Friday Late-Session✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold pulled back after hitting the 3791 high, dropping to the 3717 level, and then consolidating in the 3744–3755 range. The current candlestick has moved back above the MA5 and MA10 and is approaching the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is regaining strength.
The moving averages are turning upward in the short term, suggesting potential for further upside momentum. The Bollinger Bands are opening upward, with price near the upper band, showing the risk of a short-term rally but also the possibility of a pullback.
At present, gold is in a high-level consolidation phase, with a short-term bullish bias. However, dense resistance above makes a pullback likely after any rally.
✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded sharply after testing the 3722 level, reaching as high as 3783, and is currently consolidating near 3775. Consecutive bullish candles indicate strong short-term momentum.
The moving averages (MA5 and MA10) have formed a bullish alignment, showing a short-term uptrend. However, with the candlesticks approaching the upper Bollinger Band, a technical pullback may occur. The short-term trend remains bullish, and if price can hold above 3766, it may continue to test the 3783–3791 range, though there is still a risk of a rally followed by a pullback.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3783 / 3791 / 3805
🟢 Support Levels: 3766 / 3752 / 3742
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰If gold pulls back to the 3766–3755 support zone and holds, consider entering long positions in batches, targeting 3783–3791.
🔰If gold rallies to 3783–3791 but faces resistance, consider light short positions, targeting 3766–3755.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
Traders Watch Gold Surge Ahead of Fed’s Next MoveGold 1H – Consolidation Before Fed Clarity
Gold on the 1H timeframe is currently trading around 3,746, moving within a well-defined consolidation range. Price action highlights a premium supply zone at 3,775–3,773 and a discount demand zone at 3,723–3,725. The market structure shows earlier signs of BOS and ChoCH, with engineered liquidity sweeps becoming evident. A potential Mitigation → Expansion sequence is in play, where a liquidity grab near discount demand could fuel a bullish leg toward premium supply.
From a macro perspective, today’s headlines underscore the cautious stance across financial markets as investors await the Federal Reserve’s upcoming guidance. Lingering inflationary concerns, coupled with speculation around the timing of future rate cuts, have kept volatility elevated. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks continue to underpin safe-haven demand for gold, adding an extra layer of support at discount levels.
This combination of technical liquidity zones and macro uncertainty sets the stage for tactical plays: fading moves into the supply zone while remaining prepared for dip-buying opportunities at defined demand areas.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3,775–3,773 (SL 3,782): Supply zone coinciding with a buy-side liquidity pool above 3,780, offering downside targets at 3,760 → 3,745 → 3,730.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 3,723–3,725 (SL 3,718): Discount demand aligned with liquidity grab potential, with upside targets at 3,745 → 3,760 → 3,775+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3,775–3,773)
• Entry: 3,775–3,773
• Stop Loss: 3,782
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,760
TP2: 3,745
TP3: 3,730
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3,723–3,725)
• Entry: 3,723–3,725
• Stop Loss: 3,718
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,745
TP2: 3,760
TP3: 3,775+
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🔑 Strategy Note
With the Fed’s next move looming, traders should anticipate engineered sweeps into both premium and discount liquidity pools before the market establishes clearer direction. The tactical edge comes from aligning intraday setups with liquidity hunts:
• Fade supply at 3,775–3,773 if rejection confirms.
• Buy dips into 3,723–3,725 if liquidity is swept cleanly.
The broader narrative of inflation concerns, dollar sensitivity, and safe-haven flows reinforces the case for two-sided opportunities. Expect gold to remain volatile within this consolidation range, with sharp moves likely as liquidity is targeted ahead of Fed clarity.
“Nifty 50 Key Levels & Trade Zones – 29th Sept 2025”“Follow me and like this post for more learning tips!”
24,870 → Above 10m closing Shot Cover Level
24,870 → Below 10m hold PE By Safe Zone
24,778 → Above 10m hold CE By Entry Level
24,770 → Below 10m hold PE By Risky Zone
24,718 → Above 10m hold Positive Trade View
24,718 → Below 10m hold Negative Trade View
24,620 → Above Opening S1 10m hold CE By Level
24,620 → Below Opening R1 10m hold PE By Level
24,520 → Above 10m hold CE By Level
24,520 → Below 10m hold PE By Level
24,418 → Above 10m hold CE By Safe Zone Level
24,418 → Below 10m hold Unwinding Level
Gold – Channel Support Holding, Upside Target Towards 3770Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel on the 15-min chart. Price action has repeatedly respected both support and resistance lines, which makes this pattern highly reliable in the short term. Currently, the price is bouncing from the lower channel support and holding firmly above the 3740–3743 zone. As long as this support area is protected, the bullish momentum remains intact and the next upside target comes in around 3770, aligning with the channel resistance. A breakout above 3770 could trigger an even stronger rally, while a failure to hold below 3733 would invalidate the setup and shift the bias to the downside.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile
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BTCUSD Bitcoin USD has tried to take liquidity below the weekly FVG.After taking liquidity at the bottom, it turns bullish towards the top on demand at the bottom. After taking the liquidity of the niche, it can give an upward rally in the demand of the down. After taking the liquidity of the down, it can give an upward rally in the demand of the niche.
HCL Technologies.HCL Technologies is currently consolidating after a sharp correction and has formed a base near the buy zone of 1414–1301. The stock has broken out of its downtrend line and is showing early signs of reversal.
View: Bullish reversal in progress. Accumulation in the buy zone with strict SL offers favorable risk-to-reward. A breakout above 1503 can trigger momentum towards higher targets.
1st Target: 1503 (immediate resistance & breakout level)
2nd Target: 1673 (measured move after breakout)
3rd Target: Previous swing high zone (around 1800+)
Stop Loss: Close below 1414 (buy zone invalidation).
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisBitcoin (BTCUSDT) has broken below its ascending channel with a strong bearish candle, confirmed by notable trading volume. At the same time, the RSI also lost the 36.12 support level, signaling weakness in momentum. From here, we can consider two main scenarios:
Scenario 1: Fake Breakdown
If the $107,820.57 support holds as a fake-out, it would indicate strong buyer presence.
This would provide a potential long entry opportunity, anticipating a bounce back toward the channel highs.
Scenario 2: Confirmed Breakdown
If BTC decisively breaks and closes below $107,820.57, it could trigger further downside.
A short position could be considered here, but with reduced risk, as the overall long-term trend remains bullish.
📌 For now, traders should wait for confirmation before committing to either direction.
ICICIBANK 1D Time frameClosing Price: ₹1,363.00
Day's Range: ₹1,357.00 – ₹1,372.70
Previous Close: ₹1,375.80
Volume: 18,342,280 shares traded
Market Cap: ₹971,186 crore
52-Week High: ₹1,500.00
52-Week Low: ₹1,186.00
Face Value: ₹2.00
Beta: 0.90
🧾 Financial Highlights
P/E Ratio (TTM): 18.36
P/B Ratio: 3.12
EPS (TTM): ₹74.04
Dividend Yield: 0.81%
ROE: 17.05%
Book Value: ₹436.56
📈 Technical Insights
Trend: The stock is approaching its 200-day moving average, a key technical indicator. A bounce from this level could signal a buying opportunity, while a breakdown may suggest further downside risk.
Support Levels: ₹1,357.00, ₹1,350.00
Resistance Levels: ₹1,375.00, ₹1,400.00
📌 Key Takeaways
Recent Performance: ICICI Bank's stock declined by 0.91%, underperforming the broader market.
Analyst Sentiment: Despite recent volatility, ICICI Bank remains a top pick among analysts for long-term investment.
MOTHERSON 1D Time frameStock Snapshot
Closing Price: ₹105.66
Day's Range: ₹103.26 – ₹106.01
52-Week Range: ₹71.50 – ₹144.66
Market Cap: ₹1,11,518 crore
P/E Ratio (TTM): 33.54
P/B Ratio: 3.20
Dividend Yield: 0.80%
Book Value: ₹33.05
Beta: 1.64
Volume: 24,534,407 shares traded
VWAP: ₹104.93
Face Value: ₹1.00
📈 Performance Overview
1-Week Return: -3.14%
1-Month Return: +13.27%
YTD Return: +22.73%
1-Year Return: -11.16%
3-Year Return: +28.45%
5-Year Return: 0.00%
🧾 Financial Highlights
TTM EPS: ₹3.15
Net Sales (Latest Four Quarters): ₹9,271.58 crore
Net Profit (Latest Four Quarters): ₹605.86 crore
Shareholder's Funds: ₹1,676.80 crore
Total Assets: ₹3,089.00 crore
🔍 Technical Insights
Trend: Currently in a downtrend; price below VWAP indicates bearish momentum.
Support Levels: ₹103.26, ₹100.00
Resistance Levels: ₹106.01, ₹110.00
📌 Key Takeaways
Dividend: 50% (₹0.50 per share)
Bonus Issue: 1:2 ratio
Market Position: Strong over 3 years despite short-term volatility
Analyst Sentiment: Positive overall, short-term corrections possible
SENSEX 1D Time frameCurrent Snapshot
Closing / Current Level: ~ ₹ 80,426.46
Day’s Range: High ~ ₹ 81,033, Low ~ ₹ 80,332
Open: ~ ₹ 80,956
⚡ Strategy Thoughts
Bullish approach:
If it recovers above ~80,700 and holds, targets can be 81,000 → 81,300.
Bearish / defensive view:
If Sensex fails near 80,700–81,000, or breaks below ~80,300, downside toward 79,800 and lower comes into play.
Range play:
Between 80,300 and 80,700, you can trade both sides — buy near the bottom of the range, short near resistance — but use tight stops.
BANKNIFTY 1D Time frame
Previous Close: 55,121
Today Open: 55,061
Day’s High: 55,276
Day’s Low / Last: 54,389
⚡ Strategy
For Intraday / Short-Term Traders:
If BankNIFTY holds above 54,400 – 54,500, a small bounce toward 54,800 – 55,000 is possible.
If it fails to hold 54,400, expect more downside toward 54,000 – 53,800.
Bullish View (Only if recovery): Buy above 54,800 for targets 55,100 – 55,250, SL below 54,500.
Bearish View (Preferred): Sell on rise near 54,700 – 54,900 with SL above 55,000, targets 54,300 → 54,000.
NIFTY 1D Time framePrevious Close: 24,889
Today Open: 24,819
Day’s High: 24,869
Day’s Low: 24,629
Current / Last Price: around 24,655
⚡ Strategy
Bullish Plan:
Buy near 24,550 – 24,600 with SL below 24,300.
Targets: 24,700 → 24,800 → 24,900.
Bearish Plan:
If price breaks below 24,300, expect weakness toward 24,100 – 24,000.
LT 1D Time framePrevious Close: ₹ 3,644
Today Open: ₹ 3,664
Day’s High: ₹ 3,795
Day’s Low: ₹ 3,661
Current / Last Traded Price: around ₹ 3,730
⚡ Strategy
Bullish Side:
Buy on dips near ₹ 3,700 – 3,720 with stop loss below ₹ 3,660. Target ₹ 3,760 → ₹ 3,795.
Bearish Side (Only if Weakness):
If price falls below ₹ 3,660, short opportunities may open toward ₹ 3,600.
TATAMOTORS 1D Time frameCurrent Price: ₹673.00
Day's Range: ₹662.35 – ₹680.35
Previous Close: ₹664.30
Volume: 15,780,434 shares traded
Market Cap: ₹247,780 crore
52-Week High: ₹1,000.40
52-Week Low: ₹535.75
Face Value: ₹2.00
Beta: 1.30
🧾 Financial Highlights
P/E Ratio (TTM): 11.69
P/B Ratio: 0.00
EPS (TTM): ₹57.54
Dividend Yield: 0.89%
ROE: 28.1%
Book Value: ₹315
📈 Technical Insights
Trend: The stock has shown resilience with strong long-term performance over three years, despite recent challenges compared to the Sensex.
Support Levels: ₹662.35, ₹650.00
Resistance Levels: ₹680.35, ₹700.00
📌 Key Takeaways
Recent Performance: Tata Motors' shares rose over 2% today, snapping a two-day decline, following the announcement that Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) had commenced a phased restart of its operations after a cyberattack.
Analyst Sentiment: Despite recent volatility, Tata Motors remains a top pick among analysts for long-term investment.
Trading Master Class With Experts1. What Are Options?
Options are financial contracts that give traders the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset (like stocks, indices, or commodities) at a pre-decided price within a specific time frame. Unlike shares, which represent ownership, options are derivatives whose value comes from the price of the underlying asset.
Call Option → Right to buy at a fixed price.
Put Option → Right to sell at a fixed price.
This flexibility makes options useful for speculation, hedging, and income strategies.
2. Key Terminologies in Options
To trade options, one must understand the language of the market:
Strike Price → The price at which the option buyer can buy/sell the underlying.
Premium → The cost paid to buy an option.
Expiry Date → The last date the option can be exercised.
In-the-Money (ITM) → Option has intrinsic value (profitable if exercised now).
Out-of-the-Money (OTM) → No intrinsic value (worthless if exercised now).
Mastering these terms is crucial to avoid confusion while trading.
3. How Option Trading Works
Let’s simplify with an example:
Suppose Reliance stock is trading at ₹2,500. You buy a Call Option with a strike price of ₹2,600 by paying a premium of ₹50.
If Reliance rises to ₹2,700, your option value increases (you gained ₹100 – ₹50 = ₹50 profit).
If Reliance stays below ₹2,600, your option expires worthless, and you lose only the premium (₹50).
This shows how options can provide high reward with limited risk.
4. The Players in Option Trading
There are two main participants:
Option Buyers → Pay a premium, have limited risk but unlimited profit potential.
Option Sellers (Writers) → Receive premium, have limited profit but unlimited risk exposure.
Example: If you sell a call option and the stock skyrockets, your losses can be massive. That’s why option writing requires deep knowledge and strong risk management.
5. Benefits of Option Trading
Why do traders choose options over stocks?
Leverage → Control a large value of assets with small capital (premium).
Hedging → Protects portfolios from sudden market crashes.
Flexibility → Can profit in bullish, bearish, or even sideways markets.
Defined Risk for Buyers → Maximum loss is only the premium paid.
This versatility makes options a favorite tool among professional traders.
6. Risks Involved in Option Trading
Though attractive, options are not risk-free:
Time Decay (Theta) → Option value reduces as expiry approaches, even if stock price doesn’t move.
High Volatility → Sudden market swings can cause rapid premium erosion.
Unlimited Loss for Sellers → Writers can lose far more than the premium received.
Complex Pricing → Influenced by multiple factors (volatility, time, demand-supply).
Hence, proper strategy and discipline are vital.
Gas fuelling in for an expiry rally!
Observations:
• Price broke down below the horizontal support zone (~$3.12–$3.13), but the candles show strong rejection wicks which indicats sign of bear trap.
• Bears tried to push below support, but volume did not confirm sustained selling.
• RSI (bottom panel) is in a deeply oversold region and attempting to curl back up with a momentum shift possible.
• Previous swing lows around $3.10–$3.12 held, confirming demand.
Buy:
• Entry Zone (Buy): $3.12 – $3.15 (current levels)
• Stop Loss: Below $3.05 (decisive breakdown level)
• Targets:
• T1: $3.22
• T2: $3.28
• T3: $3.34–$3.38 (major resistance supply zone)
Logic:
• The false breakdown below $3.12 triggered short positions (bears trapped).
• If price sustains above $3.12–$3.15, trapped shorts may cover, fueling an upside bounce.
• Risk–reward here is favorable since SL is tight (~10 cents risk for 20–25+ cents potential gain).
Part 7 Trading Master Class1. Risk Management in Options Trading
Risk is both the biggest appeal and the biggest danger in options trading. Without proper risk management, traders can face massive losses.
Key practices include:
Position Sizing: Never risking more than a small percentage of capital on a single trade.
Stop-Loss Orders: Exiting positions when losses exceed tolerance levels.
Diversification: Spreading trades across different sectors or instruments.
Hedging: Using options not for speculation but for protection of a stock portfolio.
Awareness of Leverage: Remembering that leverage can magnify both gains and losses.
Professional traders always prioritize risk management over profit chasing.
2. Role of Options in Hedging and Speculation
Options serve dual purposes:
Hedging
Companies hedge currency risks using currency options.
Investors hedge stock portfolios by buying index puts.
Commodity traders hedge raw material costs with commodity options.
Speculation
Traders can take leveraged bets on short-term price movements.
Bullish traders buy calls; bearish traders buy puts.
Volatility traders deploy straddles/strangles to benefit from sharp moves.
This dual nature — protection and profit — makes options invaluable across markets.
3. Options in Global and Indian Markets
Globally, option trading is massive. Exchanges like CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) pioneered listed options. The U.S. markets dominate in volume and liquidity.
In India, options gained traction after NSE introduced index options in 2001. Today:
Nifty and Bank Nifty options are among the most traded derivatives worldwide.
Stock options are actively traded with physical settlement.
Weekly expiry contracts have boosted retail participation.
India is now among the top markets for derivatives trading globally.
4. Challenges, Risks, and Common Mistakes
Despite their potential, option trading is not easy. Challenges include:
Complexity: Requires understanding of pricing models and Greeks.
High Risk for Sellers: Unlimited potential losses.
Time Decay: Buyers must be right not only about direction but also timing.
Liquidity Issues: Illiquid contracts can result in slippage.
Common mistakes traders make:
Overleveraging with large positions.
Ignoring Greeks and volatility.
Trading without a defined plan or exit strategy.
Chasing profits without managing risk.
Awareness of these pitfalls is crucial for long-term success.
5. The Future of Option Trading and Final Thoughts
The world of options is evolving rapidly. With technology, AI-driven strategies, and algorithmic trading, options are becoming more accessible and efficient. Platforms now offer retail traders tools once exclusive to institutions.
In India, the increasing popularity of weekly options and innovations like zero brokerage discount brokers have democratized option trading. Globally, options tied to cryptocurrencies and ETFs are gaining popularity.
However, while opportunities expand, the fundamentals remain unchanged: options are powerful, but they demand respect, knowledge, and discipline.
In conclusion, option trading is not just about making fast money. It’s about using financial intelligence to structure trades, manage risks, and optimize outcomes in an uncertain market.
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading 1. The Mechanics of Option Trading
Option trading involves two primary participants: buyers and sellers (writers).
Option Buyer: Pays the premium upfront. Has limited risk (only the premium can be lost) but unlimited potential gain (in case of call options) or substantial downside protection (in case of puts).
Option Seller (Writer): Receives the premium. Has limited potential gain (only the premium) but carries significant risk if the market moves against the position.
Trading mechanics also include:
Margin Requirements: Sellers need to deposit margins since their risk is higher.
Lot Size: Options are traded in lots rather than single shares. For example, Nifty options have a standard lot size of 25 contracts.
Liquidity: High liquidity in options ensures tighter spreads and better price execution.
Settlement: Options can be cash-settled (index options in India) or physically settled (individual stock options in India post-2019 reforms).
The actual trading process involves analyzing the market, selecting strike prices, and deciding whether to buy or sell calls/puts depending on the outlook.
2. Option Pricing and the Greeks
One of the most fascinating aspects of option trading is pricing. Unlike stocks, which are priced directly by supply and demand, option prices are influenced by multiple factors.
The Black-Scholes model and other pricing models take into account:
Intrinsic Value: The real value of an option if exercised today.
Time Value: Extra premium based on time left until expiry.
Volatility: Higher expected volatility raises option premiums.
The Greeks
Option traders rely heavily on the Greeks, which measure sensitivity to different market factors:
Delta: Measures how much an option price changes with a ₹1 change in the underlying asset.
Gamma: Measures how delta itself changes with the price movement.
Theta: Time decay; options lose value as expiry nears.
Vega: Sensitivity to volatility.
Rho: Sensitivity to interest rates.
Understanding these allows traders to manage risk more effectively and structure trades in line with their market views.
3. Types of Option Strategies: From Basics to Advanced
Options allow for simple trades as well as complex multi-leg strategies.
Basic Strategies:
Buying Calls (bullish).
Buying Puts (bearish).
Covered Call (own stock + sell call).
Protective Put (own stock + buy put).
Intermediate Strategies:
Bull Call Spread (buy lower strike call, sell higher strike call).
Bear Put Spread (buy put, sell lower strike put).
Straddle (buy call + buy put at same strike).
Strangle (buy out-of-money call + put).
Advanced Strategies:
Iron Condor (combination of spreads to profit from low volatility).
Butterfly Spread (low-risk, low-reward strategy).
Calendar Spread (buy long-term option, sell short-term).
Each strategy has a defined risk-reward profile, making options unique compared to outright stock trading.