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A Change of Character (ChoCh) in Smart Money ConceptA Change of Character (ChoCh) in Smart Money Concept signals a potential trend reversal, and Dabur India Ltd trading near ₹498 on the hourly chart is showing such a setup, hinting at a possible shift from bearish to bullish momentum. 📘 What is Change of Character (ChoCh)? Definition: In Smart Money Concept (SMC), a Change of Character occurs when price action breaks the most recent structural high/low in the opposite direction of the prevailing trend. Mechanics: In a downtrend, ChoCh is confirmed when price breaks a recent swing high. In an uptrend, ChoCh is confirmed when price breaks a recent swing low. Purpose: It highlights the first sign of a trend reversal, often before a full Break of Structure (BoS) confirms the new trend. 🔑 Importance of ChoCh in Trading Early Signal: ChoCh acts as the initial footprint of institutional order flow shifting direction. Risk Management: Traders use ChoCh to tighten stops or prepare for entries aligned with the new trend. Multi-Timeframe Relevance: On higher timeframes, ChoCh can mark major reversals; on lower timeframes, it signals short-term opportunities. Strategic Edge: Recognizing ChoCh allows traders to position themselves ahead of retail participants who wait for later confirmations. 📊 Dabur India Ltd – Current Opportunity Current Price: ₹497.50 (slightly up from previous close of ₹495.65). Hourly Chart Setup: The stock is forming a ChoCh, suggesting a potential end to the recent downtrend. Implication: If Dabur sustains above ₹498 and builds higher lows, it could mark the beginning of an uptrend phase. Opportunity: Aggressive traders may look for early long entries near current levels. Conservative traders may wait for a Break of Structure (BoS) above a significant resistance to confirm trend reversal. Risk Consideration: False ChoCh signals can occur; hence, volume confirmation and stop-loss placement below recent swing lows are crucial. 🚀 Final Takeaway The Change of Character (ChoCh) is a powerful Smart Money Concept tool that helps traders spot early trend reversals. Dabur India Ltd’s hourly chart showing ChoCh near ₹498 is a potential bullish opportunity, but traders should confirm with price action and volume before committing.
NSE:DABURLong
by NANARKAR
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 31/12/2025A gap-up opening is expected in Nifty 50 above the 26,050 level, indicating a positive start and improving short-term sentiment after recent consolidation near lower support zones. The index has bounced from the 25,900–25,950 region, which continues to act as a strong demand area. This suggests that buyers are gradually stepping in, but the overall structure still requires follow-through above key resistance levels for a sustainable upside move. On the upside, 26,050 remains the most important trigger for bullish momentum. A sustained hold above this level can open the path for long trades, with immediate upside targets placed at 26,150, 26,200, and 26,250+. Further strength above 26,250 may extend the rally toward 26,350, 26,400, and 26,450+, where higher timeframe resistance is placed. On the downside, the 25,950–25,900 zone will act as crucial intraday support. If the index fails to sustain above this area, selling pressure may re-emerge. In such a case, short positions can be considered below 25,950, with downside targets at 25,850, 25,800, and 25,750-. Until a clear breakout is confirmed, traders are advised to stay disciplined, trade based on level confirmation, and manage risk strictly in this range-to-breakout environment.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(31/12/2025)A gap-up opening is expected in Bank Nifty, indicating a positive start to the session after yesterday’s recovery from lower levels. The index has managed to move above the 59,200–59,250 zone, suggesting improving sentiment in the short term. However, the overall structure still demands confirmation through sustained price action above key resistance levels before a strong directional move can be confirmed. On the upside, the 59,300–59,350 zone will act as the immediate resistance area. A sustained hold above 59,350, followed by a breakout above 59,550, can trigger fresh long trades, with upside targets placed at 59,750, 59,850, and 59,950+. Strength above these levels may further accelerate buying momentum toward the upper resistance band near 60,000. On the downside, the 59,050 level remains a crucial intraday support. If Bank Nifty fails to hold above this zone and slips back below 58,950, selling pressure may re-emerge. In such a scenario, short positions can be considered with downside targets at 58,750, 58,650, and 58,550-. Until a clear breakout above resistance is confirmed, traders should stay disciplined, trade with defined levels, and manage risk carefully in this evolving market setup.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 31-Dec-2025NIFTY Trading Plan for 31-Dec-2025 (Timeframe: 15-min | Gap criteria considered: 100+ points) Key Levels to Track (from chart) Last Intraday Resistance: 26,159 Opening Resistance: 26,056 Opening Resistance / Support (Pivot Zone): 25,970 – 25,933 Opening Support (Gap-down case): 25,835 Lower Support (Extreme): 25,661 🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens above 25,970, price starts above the pivot zone with scope for continuation. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Gap-up opens show overnight strength, but continuation only comes with acceptance above key resistance. Many gap-ups initially retrace before choosing direction. Patience in the first few minutes improves risk-reward. Plan of Action: Avoid the first 10–15 minutes; observe price behaviour above 25,970. Sustaining above 25,970–26,056 → bullish bias remains intact. Break and acceptance above 26,056 opens upside toward 26,159. Rejection near 26,056–26,159 may cause a pullback toward 25,970. Options traders: Prefer ATM / ITM Calls only after confirmation; avoid chasing spikes. 🟡 2. FLAT OPENING A flat open around 25,930–25,980 places NIFTY inside the pivot / balance zone. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Flat openings indicate temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Direction usually emerges after a clear breakout or breakdown of the opening range. Trading inside the zone often leads to whipsaws and premium decay. Plan of Action: Sustaining above 25,970 keeps bullish bias toward 26,056 → 26,159. Failure to cross 25,970 keeps price range-bound. Breakdown below 25,933 signals weakness toward 25,835. Look for bullish rejection candles near 25,933–25,970 for bounce trades. 🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens below 25,933, early sentiment turns cautious to bearish. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Gap-downs are often emotion-driven. Strong support zones can attract short-covering and value buying, so selling blindly into support increases reversal risk. Plan of Action: First support to watch is 25,835 — observe volume and candle structure. Breakdown and acceptance below 25,835 opens downside toward 25,661. Strong bullish reversal near 25,661 can lead to a sharp intraday bounce. Any pullback toward 25,933 after breakdown can be used as sell-on-rise. ⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 🛡️ Avoid trading the first 5–10 minutes on gap days. Don’t buy options at resistance or sell at support without confirmation. Use a time-based stop-loss (15–20 minutes) if premium stalls. Risk only 1–2% of total capital per trade. Prefer ATM options or defined-risk spreads to control theta decay. Book partial profits near marked resistance/support levels. 🧾 Summary & Conclusion Above 25,970: Bulls remain active; targets 26,056 → 26,159. Between 25,933–25,970: Market stays balanced; patience is key. Below 25,933: Sellers gain control unless buyers defend 25,835 / 25,661. Trade price behaviour at levels, not predictions or emotions. Consistency comes from discipline, confirmation, and risk control. ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Gold Trading Strategy for 31st December 2025🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) – 1 HOUR TIME FRAME ⏱️ 📌 TRADE SETUP (Breakout Strategy) 🟢 BUY ABOVE : $4361 ➡️ Buy only if a 1H candle closes above 4361 📈 Targets: 🎯 TP1: $4375 🎯 TP2: $4386 🎯 TP3: $4399 🔴 SELL BELOW : $4316 ➡️ Sell only if a 1H candle closes below 4316 📉 Targets: 🎯 TP1: $4303 🎯 TP2: $4290 🎯 TP3: $4276 ⚠️ ENTRY RULE (IMPORTANT): ✔️ Trade only above the HIGH or below the LOW of the 1H candle that closes beyond the mentioned levels ❌ No trade inside the range 📊 TIME FRAME: 1 Hour (H1) 💰 INSTRUMENT: Gold (XAUUSD) ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. Please manage your risk and position size before entering any trade. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
2
Coal India Weekly Price Action Analysis for 2026Coal India seems to have formed a good base in 380 to 370 region during the entire 2025. in December it brokeout from the base and tried making a new swing high at 412. This could be signs that the stock is likely to remain in uptrend and reach 470 to 480 levels in 2026 As per the trendline shown the best buy seems to be at 385-390 levels for targets 430, 440 , 470 & 480 in 2026 keep SL at 365 Wishing you all Happy & Prosperous New Year! Happy trading!
NSE:COALINDIALong
by TradewithLS
SELL SILVER - everyone says this, but i say only when i'm sureMarkets that run too far from their statistical/structural mean tend to revert back — especially after parabolic rallies. Classic studies show prices can overshoot by large factors before pulling back toward long-term averages. arXiv Silver in 2025 experienced extraordinary gains (~150–170%+), which is well beyond typical historical norms relative to commodities or industrial metals. Trading Economics When a rally of that magnitude climaxes, mean-reversion theory suggests: Prices overshoot the “fair value band” Sellers (especially momentum traders) begin taking profits Volatility spikes increase backwardation/short squeezes This is exactly what has been happening recently — sharp pullbacks, volatility, and aggressive liquidation.
MCX:SILVER1!Short
by piyushbafna000
BTC 1H: Rejection at Supply, Bearish Continuation RiskChart Analysis (1H BTC/USD): Major Supply Zone (~90,000–90,200): Price was strongly rejected from this area, confirming it as a key overhead resistance. Sellers remain active here. Fair Value Gap (FVG) / Mid Resistance (~89,000–89,500): The red FVG zone above current price acts as a likely pullback target, but also a strong sell zone if revisited. Current Structure: After the rejection, BTC broke down and is consolidating below short-term EMAs, indicating bearish momentum on the 1H timeframe. Key Support Zones: Near-term demand: ~86,700 Major downside target: ~84,600 Loss of the 86.7k support increases probability of a deeper move toward 84.6k. Projected Path: The dotted projection suggests a possible pullback into resistance (87.8k–89k) followed by continuation lower, unless price reclaims and holds above the FVG. Bias: Below 89k: Bearish / sell rallies Above 90.2k: Bearish bias invalidated, trend may shift bullish
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by KingProTrader
Aditya Birla CapitalAditya Birla Capital remains a buy-on-dips candidate as the stock is in a well-established bullish trend, consolidating above its rising 21-EMA after a strong rally. The recent sideways movement with cooling RSI indicates healthy digestion rather than distribution, while the broader structure of higher highs and higher lows remains intact. As long as the stock holds above the ₹345–335 support zone, the bias stays positive, with a potential upside toward ₹395–420 on a decisive breakout above ₹370. Fresh buying should be avoided near resistance, but dips toward support offer a favorable risk–reward for positional traders.
NSE:ABCAPITAL
by Simplecharttraders
Gold (XAUUSD) – 4H Chart Update | Breakout → Pullback Phase!Hello Everyone,, i hope you all will be doing good, let's check the updates of Gold as it has already done the hard part, the breakout above the previous resistance is in place. After the breakout, price pushed higher and is now doing what strong markets usually do: a pullback. This pullback is not a sign of weakness yet. In fact, it is a healthy reaction, where the market is testing whether the old resistance can act as new support. This phase decides continuation or failure. As long as Gold holds above the marked support zone, the structure remains positive, and continuation toward higher levels stays open. What we want to see here is price stabilizing, not panic selling. If support fails and price starts accepting below it, then the breakout thesis weakens. Until that happens, this move should be treated as a normal post-breakout retest. Key Levels to Watch Breakout Level / New Support: Around 4330–4340 Immediate Support Zone: Pullback base area Upside Continuation: Possible if support holds Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish above support Well Guys Most traders get confused during pullbacks. Strong moves rarely go straight up, continuation usually comes after patience, not after chasing candles. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Give likes and comment your thought on my analysis, thankyou everyone!
TICKMILL:XAUUSDLong
by TraderRahulPal
4
Gold 1H – Smart Money targets 4040 liquidity🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (30/12) 📈 Market Context Gold has suffered a sharp breakdown following year-end positioning flows, marking its largest single-day drop in weeks. According to today’s hot ForexFactory update, bearish momentum is accelerating as price decisively breaks below key technical levels, with downside targets now aligning toward the $4040–4050 liquidity zone. This move appears driven less by fresh macro catalysts and more by portfolio rebalancing, profit-taking, and thin liquidity conditions, typical of late-December trading. Despite some dip-buying interest emerging intraday, the broader flow suggests distribution rather than accumulation, keeping Gold vulnerable to further downside sweeps before any sustainable recovery. Smart Money behavior in this environment favors selling continuation with corrective pullbacks, rather than impulsive trend reversals. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bearish displacement after HTF distribution Key Idea: Sell premium pullbacks; buy only at deep discount liquidity Structural Notes: • Clear CHoCH confirmed after loss of prior bullish structure • Strong bearish displacement created inefficiencies below • Previous bullish trendline invalidated • Price trading below equilibrium, attempting weak corrective retrace • Internal liquidity partially cleared; external selling liquidity rests below • Resistance zone aligns with prior supply and breakdown origin 💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4480 – 4490 | SL 4500 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4310 – 4320 | SL 4300 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → continuation 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4480 – 4490 | SL 4500 Rules: ✔ Pullback into premium resistance / supply ✔ Bearish MSS or CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 4420 4370 4310 – extension if bearish momentum persists 🟢 BUY GOLD 4310 – 4320 | SL 4300 Rules: ✔ Selling liquidity sweep into deep discount ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms absorption ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 4370 4420 4480 – only if structure flips bullish ⚠️ Risk Notes • Bearish momentum dominates after structural breakdown • Year-end liquidity increases fake pullbacks and stop hunts • No trade without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session and around USD yield headlines • Reduce position size if volatility expands unexpectedly 📍 Summary Gold has transitioned from accumulation to distribution, with Smart Money now favoring downside continuation toward deeper liquidity pools. The plan is clear: • Sell premium pullbacks at 4480–4490, or • Buy only at deep discount 4310–4320 after confirmation Let liquidity be engineered. Let structure confirm intent. Smart Money waits — retail reacts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
DAILY UPDATE NIFTY Trade plan on  NSE:NIFTY 50 INDEX : 31st Dec 2025 Hourly Chart Analysis * I view today as a pause (halt) day, and potentially the first day of a reversal. * On Friday, 26 December, I outlined two scenarios; the second appears to be unfolding. * As noted in my prior post, the market may be forming an ending structure consistent with an ending diagonal/triangle. Price action today aligns with that possibility. * The market may continue to move sideways; therefore, if tomorrow’s session holds above the 25,878 zone, I will prefer looking for bullish opportunities. * My plan is to consider selective, longer-dated call options and avoid lower time frames, given the likely range-bound conditions and limited upside/downside room intraday. Daily Chart Analysis * Following the recent decline, today functioned as a halt day. * A reversal becomes more probable if tomorrow’s close is above the 25,980 zone. * Tactically, a constructive approach is to look for longs above 25,980, with a stop near 25,875. Weekly Chart Analysis * The breach below 26,000 signals a notable shift in sentiment toward the bearish side. * However, as this is only the first trading day of the week, further confirmation is needed to establish the longer-term trend. Summary and Trading Implications * While the weekly backdrop leans bearish, the hourly structure is attempting to stabilize and turn constructive. * Should the hourly timeframe confirm a bullish bias and momentum sustain beyond the first two sessions of the week, the weekly outlook could begin to improve. * Key levels to monitor: * Bullish confirmation: 25,980 (daily close above) * Invalidation/stop reference: 25,875 * Sentiment pivot: 26,000 (weekly context) If you like this analysis, please let me know in the comments. Thank you to all readers I welcome your thoughts, questions, and insights. For direct correspondence, please feel free to reach out via email. I look forward to connecting with you. Disclaimer: Views expressed are my own and for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI registered advisor. I may or may not have any position in the securities/instruments discussed. Please consult with a registered professional before making investment decisions. #Nifty50, #NiftyAnalysis, #StockMarket, #TradingTips, #IndianStockMarket, #TechnicalTrading, #MarketUpdate, and #TradeSmart.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by DEBOJYOTI_BANDOPADHYAY