12 MONTHS CANDLE_UPL_LONGTERM TRADEHi traders,
Posting the interesting Topic on UPL with Technical Analysis long-term view.
Currently UPL is trading at INR 787.35 with longer term bullish basis.
Entry at current level with stoploss of 12 Months low. Ride the trend until it closes previous yearly low price or Market Structure.
Note:_ Only for Educational purpose Since investments in Securities and market are subjected to market risk.
Chart Patterns
XAUUSD Structure Shift After Resistance RejectionXAUUSD earlier showed a clear bullish structure, supported by a rising trendline and consistent higher highs. The price moved steadily until reaching the 4550 resistance level, a zone historically attracting strong selling. Multiple rejections here showed buying exhaustion and growing seller activity.
Market sentiment changed when price could not stay above the trendline. A clear break below dynamic support confirmed a short-term structure change, followed by a strong bearish move. The speed and strength suggest active distribution, not just a minor pullback, showing sellers temporarily in control.
After the sharp decline, price reached key support, where bearish momentum slowed and candles compressed. This shows temporary balance as the market absorbs previous volatility. Such pauses are common after strong moves and act as decision points for the next phase.
From a broader view, this area now indicates market intent. Staying above support may allow stabilisation and corrective recovery, while dropping below maintains downside pressure. Overall, XAUUSD moved from trend continuation to a rebalancing phase, making patience and confirmation vital before the next move.
Part 3 Institutional Trading Psychological Side of Options Trading
Option trading demands:
Patience
Discipline
Position sizing
Emotional control
Common psychological traps:
1. Overtrading
Options move fast; traders chase too many trades.
2. FOMO
Buying OTM options expecting big moves.
3. Holding losers
Time decay accelerates losses.
4. Unrealistic expectations
Expecting to turn 1000 into 1 lakh daily.
5. Revenge trading
After losses, traders take random trades.
Jindal Stainless (D): Strongly Bullish - Sector-Backed BreakoutTimeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear
The stock has confirmed a major "Blue Sky" breakout, clearing a confluence of resistance levels (Angular + Horizontal) to hit a new All-Time High. This move is powered by a sector-wide rally and strong institutional volume.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The breakout is fueled by a convergence of positive factors:
> Sector Rally: The Nifty Metal index is surging, lifting all ferrous metal stocks. When a stock breaks out with its sector, the probability of success increases significantly.
> Strong Earnings Support: The company’s Q2 FY26 results provided the fundamental floor, and the market is now pricing in future growth from its capacity expansion plans (targeting 4.2 MTPA).
📈 2. The Chart Structure (The "Coil" bursts)
> The Squeeze: The tight sideways trend below the angular resistance. This "Coiling" action (low volatility + drying volume) indicated that sellers were exhausted.
> The Breakout: Today's surge of 5.14% smashed through the ₹825–₹830 supply zone.
- Significance: By closing at a new ATH ( ₹848.05 ), the stock has no overhead supply (resistance) left. It is now in "Price Discovery" mode.
> Volume: The 2.77 Million volume is an "Ignition Bar." It confirms that "Smart Money" has initiated a new markup phase.
📊 3. Technical Indicators
> EMAs: The Positive Crossover (PCO) on Short-term EMAs confirms the immediate trend is vertical.
> RSI: Rising RSI across all timeframes (Monthly/Weekly/Daily) signals synchronized momentum. An RSI above 60 in a breakout is a sign of strength, not an overbought signal.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is primed for a "Blue Sky" run.
> 🐂 Bullish Target (Blue Sky):
- Target 1: ₹960 .
- Strategy: Since the stock is at an ATH, use a Trailing Stop Loss (e.g., 20-day EMA) to ride the trend as far as it goes.
> 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"):
- Immediate Support: ₹790 – ₹800 . The previous resistance zone should now act as a rock-solid floor (Polarity Principle).
- Stop Loss: A close below ₹776 would act as a structural failure, invalidating the breakout.
Conclusion
This is a Grade A Setup .
> Refinement: The "Low Volume" during the sideways phase followed by "High Volume" on the breakout is the perfect recipe for a sustainable move.
> Action: The breakout is confirmed. The dip to ₹820-830 (if it happens) is a buying opportunity.
$PEPE on the 1H chart is forming a inverse head & shoulderCRYPTOCAP:PEPE on the 1H chart is forming a classic inverse head & shoulders pattern. The left shoulder emerged after a controlled sell-off, the head dipped into deeper liquidity, and now a higher right shoulder has developed—indicating that selling pressure is easing.
The neckline is slightly ascending, which adds strength to the pattern. Price is currently hovering just below this neckline, meaning the market is at a decision point, not late.
A clean breakout and hold above 0.00000430–0.00000435
→ Opens upside toward 0.00000460 → 0.00000490 → 0.00000510
Invalidation:
Loss of 0.00000390
→ Pattern weakens, retest of 0.00000360 possible
This is a wait-for-breakout setup. Don’t front-run it — let PEPE prove strength.
is this cup and handle breakout with Volume in JSL?Timeframe: daily
Trend: Uptrend
Structure:
• Support: 715
• Resistance: 880,930,995,1110
• Key Level: 850
View:
If Price holding above 850 level. Below targets are achievable
Target1: 880
Target 2: 930
Target 3: 995
Target 4: 1110
Risk Note:
Invalidation below 715.
⚠️ Educational & analytical view only. No investment advice.
Part 2 Ride The Big Moves 1. Breakouts
Option buyers profit most during:
Higher highs
Higher lows
Volume expansion
Trend confirmation
2. Reversals
Put buyers benefit when:
Market forms double tops
Distribution zone breaks
Supply zone rejection occurs
3. Volume Profile
Important levels:
POC (Point of Control) – maximum volume
Value Area High / Low
Low Volume Nodes (LVN) – breakout zones
Option traders align entries with these areas.
4. Implied Volatility and Market Zones
Low IV at support → calls become cheaper
High IV at resistance → selling calls becomes attractive
SMLMAH TRADE | SWING SETUPTrade Type: Swing Trade
Time Frame: Short–Medium Term
Bias: Bullish
Trend: Uptrend continuation
KPI Strength Factors ✅
🔹 Price above key EMAs (20/50/100) → bullish structure intact
🔹 Higher high–higher low formation → trend continuation
🔹 Strong bullish candle with good close → buyer control
🔹 Volume expansion on upside → confirmation of strength
🔹 Holding above breakout / demand zone → no distribution signs
Swing Trade Plan:
Buy Zone: Near current levels / minor pullbacks
Targets:
🎯 T1: Previous swing high
🎯 T2: Next resistance zone (positional extension)
Stop Loss: Below recent swing low / demand zone
Swing View:
As long as price holds above the breakout base, SMLMAH is likely to continue its upward move with higher targets in the coming sessions.
KPI GREEN TRADE – BTST SETUP (Today)Trade Type: BTST (Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow)
Bias: Bullish continuation
Trend: Short-term uptrend intact
Why this trade works (KPI aligned):
✅ Price above key moving averages → strength confirmed
✅ Higher high–higher low structure → trend continuation
✅ Strong bullish candle → demand dominance
✅ Volume expansion → institutional participation
✅ Market structure supportive → follow-through likely
Trade Plan:
Buy Zone: Near today’s close / breakout level
Target: Previous high / next resistance zone
Stop Loss: Below today’s low / key support
Expectation:
If the market opens stable to positive, price is likely to continue momentum and give a gap-up or early follow-through move tomorrow.
⚠️ Trade with strict stop-loss and proper position sizing. Market conditions can change.
jsljindal stainless ltd
bullish trend is Showing on the chart.
buy signals in
technical indicators and
Inverse Head & Shoulders (Weekly) chart pattern.
BUYING RANGE 820/830
Watch for a breakout above 820/830 to sustain the bullish trend. If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards 700/715 and an uptrend from here.
Part 2 Intraday Trading Master ClassWhy Traders Use Options
1. Leverage
Control large positions with small capital.
2. Hedge Risk
Protect existing stock or futures positions.
3. Diversify
Allows traders to build strategic positions.
4. Profit in Any Market Condition
Options allow strategies for:
Uptrend
Downtrend
Sideways
Low volatility
High volatility
AVANTI FEEDAVANTI FEED
bullish trend is Showing on the chart.
buy signals in
technical indicators and
cup with handle chart pattern.
BUYING RANGE 725/730
Watch for a breakout above 970/980 to sustain the bullish trend. If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards 600/610 and an uptrend from here.
BTC IS ABOUT TO BREAK PATTERN EITHER SIDEIn my previos post i shown you support and resistance on the basis of gann fan,Now here i would like to show you pattern which is followed by ..
The pattern you can name it TRIANGLE,FLAG OR WEDGE as well.
Whenever it break this triangle there is chance of bigger move having taken support/resistance either side it's an information to keep eye.
INDUS TOWERINDUS TOWER
bullish trend is Showing on the chart.
buy signals in
technical indicators and
Inverse Head & Shoulders (Weekly) chart pattern.
BUYING RANGE 421/425
Watch for a breakout above 460/470 to sustain the bullish trend. If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards 300/310 and an uptrend from here.
Part 1 Intraday Trading Master Class Types of Option Trading Styles
1. Intraday Option Buying
Fast-moving
Requires strong trend and momentum
High risk, high reward
Most traders use:
Price action
Volume profile
Breakouts
Trendlines
Market structure shifts
2. Intraday Option Selling
Profits from Theta decay within the day
Works best in sideways or controlled market
Risk is high if market breaks out sharply
3. Positional Option Buying
Useful for events, trending markets
Needs volatility expansion
Slower but simpler than selling
4. Positional Option Selling
Best for experienced traders
Focus on:
High probability setups
Containing risk
Credit spreads
Hedged positions
SIEMENS: Multi-Timeframe Compression After Strong TrendWeekly View
Price has tested the same supply zone multiple times, showing diminishing upside momentum. While this resembles distribution, there is no confirmed weekly breakdown yet. Trend damage is visible, but reversal is not confirmed.
Daily View
Price is consolidating near the lower end of the range with EMA compression. This indicates balance and volatility contraction rather than outright weakness. A directional move is likely once price exits this range.
Monthly View
After a strong uptrend, the large red candle signals momentum interruption. Current structure resembles a flag / digestion phase rather than a trend breakdown. Monthly trend remains intact unless key support is violated.
Key Levels
• Resistance: 3,150–3,200
• Support: 3,000–2,950
Bias & Plan
Neutral to cautious. No positional edge inside the range. Prefer trading post-confirmation on breakout or breakdown with volume expansion.
XAUUSD (H1) – Liam View: Strong Bullish Breakout→ short-term bearish shift, prefer selling the pullback | Quick reaction buy at 4330–4333
Quick summary
Gold just printed a very aggressive dump with clear BOS (Break of Structure) — a short-term bearish shift is now in play. Price is currently in a technical rebound, so the cleaner plan is:
Don’t chase shorts at the lows
Wait for a pullback into 4458–4462 to sell from a premium supply zone
If price sweeps back down, look for a quick reaction buy at 4330–4333
1) Technical view (based on your chart)
The sell-off looks like a classic liquidity dump: large bearish candles, multiple supports broken → confirms bearish pressure intraday.
After a dump, the market often retraces into supply (re-distribution) before the next leg.
The 4330–4333 area is marked as a support that already “tested liquidity” — it can still provide a bounce, but it’s more of a scalp zone, not a full reversal yet.
2) Key Levels
✅ Sell zone: 4458 – 4462 (supply / pullback short)
✅ Buy zone: 4330 – 4333 (support / quick reaction)
3) Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
Scenario A (priority): SELL the pullback
✅ Sell: 4458 – 4462
SL guide: 4470 (or above the most recent lower-TF swing high)
TP1: 4400 – 4390
TP2: 4333
TP3: extension lower if structure continues to break down
Logic: After a strong BOS, 4458–4462 is where you get a better short entry — avoid selling late.
Scenario B: BUY reaction at support (scalp only)
✅ Buy: 4330 – 4333
SL guide: 4322–4325
TP: 4370 → 4400 (scale out)
Logic: This zone can spark a technical bounce. Only buy with clear holding signals on lower timeframes (M5–M15) — no catching falling knives.
4) Confirmation rules (avoid noise)
If price reaches 4458–4462 and fails to reclaim above → SELL bias stays strong.
If 4330 breaks and closes below → stop looking for buys and focus on pullback sells.
5) Risk notes
No mid-range entries — only act at 4330–4333 or 4458–4462.
Risk per trade: max 1–2%.
After a dump, spreads and wicks can expand — reduce size.
Which side are you leaning today: selling 4458–4462, or waiting for 4330–4333 to buy the reaction bounce?
PCR Trading Strategies Option Pricing – How Premium Is Calculated
Premium = Intrinsic Value + Time Value
Factors affecting premium:
Spot price vs Strike price (Moneyness)
Volatility (IV)
Time to expiry
Interest rate
Demand & supply
Market events (Budget, Fed Meetings, elections)
A rise in volatility increases premiums even if price remains unchanged.
Nifty looks weak in short termNifty is looking weak in the short term as structurally it is unable to break the structure on the upside. Any bounce should be a good opportunity to sell targetting lower levels as marked in the chart. The lower level marked is the previous month low which should be a good retracement level.
XAUUSD liquidity grab done, awaiting next move.Market Context (Intraday)
Gold has just completed a sharp sell-off, breaking below the previous structure and sweeping sell-side liquidity. The strong bearish displacement suggests a stop-hunt and rebalancing phase, not a clean trend continuation yet. Current price action shows consolidation after liquidity absorption.
Technical Structure
Market is trading below the descending trendline, keeping short-term pressure bearish.
A clear liquidity sweep occurred below 4,321, followed by a weak rebound.
Price is now reacting inside a key rebalancing zone, where both buyers and sellers may reposition.
Key Levels to Watch
Sell Reaction Zone: 4,455 – 4,460
→ Strong supply + trendline resistance. Expect rejection if price rallies here.
Mid Resistance / Decision Zone: 4,390 – 4,395
→ Intraday flip zone. Failure here keeps bearish bias intact.
Buy Zone (Liquidity): 4,245 – 4,255
→ Major demand + sell-side liquidity. Area to watch for potential bullish reaction.
Scenarios
Bearish Scenario:
If price fails below 4,390, expect continuation toward 4,320 → 4,250 to complete liquidity collection.
Bullish Recovery Scenario:
A strong reaction from 4,245–4,255 followed by acceptance above 4,395 could open a recovery move toward 4,455+.
Macro Notes
With year-end positioning and lower liquidity conditions, price is likely to be driven by liquidity hunts rather than clean trends. Avoid chasing moves; focus on reactions at key zones.
Bias
Neutral to bearish intraday, until price shows a clear acceptance above resistance.






















