Bank nifty trades and targets - 6/1/25Hello Everyone. The market was in a bearish mode today. If the market opens flat then we can see continuation of trend. If it opens gap up then we need to see the resistance level to break before looking for CE trades. If it opens gap down then look for PE trades after support zone is broken. Let the market settle in first 15 to 30 minutes then look for directional trades. Book profits every 60 points as we are getting very few trending moves.
Chart Patterns
KPITTECH - Wait for the PullbackCMP: 1533
Primary view/assumption is that, 3rd and 4th wave are complete and now are in the early stages of the Primary (5)th wave.
Price has retraced 38% of the entire impulse from 2nd wave and now showing signs of reversal.
Price is now approaching the 200 DEMA and the wide range RED bar (GAP Down Candle) at 1600 levels
The smaller TF 5 waves also appears to be terminated/ended at around 1600 levels.
If indeed, the primary view of bullishness to play out (5th wave has started), then it is prudent to wait for this impulse to end expect the DIP in the 2nd wave down. The 3rd wave will be most rewarding
On Weekly TF, Primary 3rd is complete
Daily TF 1 and 2 with Subwaves
Daily TF wave 3 with subwaves
Daily TF 4th wave and subwaves
I am not a SEBI registered Analyst. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views.
#Nifty directions and levels for the second week of January:Nifty
Previous Week Recap:
Last week, Nifty moved in a three-way structure. It started on a negative note, shot up sharply midweek, and ended with a slight decline. Open interest indicates a bearish bias, but it hasn’t fully confirmed. This suggests a moderately bullish bias for now. Let’s examine the charts.
Current View:
If the week starts negatively, Nifty could reach a minimum of 23,624. After that:
* If it consolidates or breaks below this level, the correction may continue.
* However, if it holds above 23,624, it could turn into a range-bound market between the previous high and 23,624.
Alternate View:
If the market finds support around 23,934 and breaks the previous high, it could target 24,559–24,698. This range is a significant resistance, and the rally will continue only if it breaks this level. Otherwise, the market could remain range-bound.
Final Note:
* The US market has several major events this week, so each session may open with fluctuations.
* The local market is entering the earnings season.
* Charts: Both global and local markets are in a range.
* Both Nifty and Bank Nifty have different structures as well as open interest.
Expectation: The market is likely to remain range-bound with a negative bias this week.
#Banknifty directions and levels for the second week of January:Bank Nifty
Bank Nifty is clearly in a range-bound market, and until it breaks out, we cannot expect directional movement. Open interest also indicates a bearish bias, so the probability of downside movement is higher. Let’s look at the chart.
Current View:
If the week starts negatively, Bank Nifty could reach a minimum of 50,255, which is a minor support level. While some consolidation may occur, the level might not sustain.
Alternate View:
If the market pulls back at the start, it could attempt to reach 52,174–52,386. However, this is a major resistance level. If the market rejects this level, we can expect a correction, which means it will re-enter a range-bound phase.
#Sensex directions and levels for the second week of January:Sensex
Sensex mirrors Nifty’s structure, so we can follow the same sentiment for Sensex.
Current View:
If the week starts negatively, Sensex could reach a minimum of 78,090. After that:
* If it consolidates or breaks below this level, the correction is likely to continue.
* Conversely, if it holds above 78,090, it could turn into a range-bound market between the previous high and 78,090.
Alternate View:
If the market finds support around 78,797 and breaks the previous high, it could reach 80,501–87,300. The 87,900 level is a significant resistance, and the rally will continue only if it breaks this level. Otherwise, the market could remain range-bound.
Harsha Engineers cmp 520.15 by Weekly Chart view since listedHarsha Engineers cmp 520.15 by Weekly Chart view since listed
- Price Band 459 to 473 Support Zone
- Price shouldering the Rising Support Trendline
- Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout sustained
- Support Zone Testing Retesting has been completed
- Volumes spiking intermittently by demand based buying
- Back to Back Rising Twin Bullish Rounding Bottoms completed
CAPITALSFB READY TO GAIN TRUST "Vishwas se Vikas tak"Hello, Everyone I hope you all will be doing well in your life and your investing as well. Here I have brought a stock of a small finance bank ltd. CAPITALSFB is the name of the stock. CMP is 286. Its all-time low is 270. can count as stoploss and all time high is 469. Strong support at 270. Strong Resistance at 300. If it breaks and close above 310 then Upside target as per Fibbo 350, 370, 390, 420 and 470.
Just an assumption. Please do you research. Not a suggestion of buying.
Source: Screener.in
Capital Small Finance Bank Ltd
About
Incorporated in 1999, Capital
Small Finance Bank Ltd is India's
first Small Finance Bank
Key Points
Business Overview:
CSFBL started as a local area bank and converted to a Small Finance bank. It extends agriculture loans including kisan credit card (KCC) loans, mortgage loans, housing loans and Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise (MSME) loans to middle income individuals.
Asset Quality:
99%+ of their advances are secured due to which they have been able to keep their asset quality under control with gross non-performing assets ratio remaining below 3% over the last five years, with minimal write-offs
Advances Book:
In FY24, their advances stood at Rs. 5,634 crore with overall 40,000 customers. Agriculture lending was 37% of advances, in the form of KCC and term loan.
The average ticket size for agricultural loans is Rs, 12 lakh and lending rate is ~12%. Rest of the loan portfolio consists of MSME loans with an average ticket size of Rs. 18 lakhs and lending rate of ~11%, contributing ~20% to their loan portfolio along with Mortgage Loans contributing ~27% to their advances with an average ticket size of ~Rs. 12 lakhs and lending rate of ~12%
Retail Loans & Deposits:
Their focus is on retail segment for loans and deposits. Retail advances form ~74% of the total gross advances, and retail deposits form ~97% of total deposits. Average roll over is ~90% for term deposits
Loan Portfolio:
Agricultural ~Rs. 2,293 Crore,
MSME, and Trading ~Rs. 1,182 Cr,
Mortgage Lending ~Rs. 1,624 Cr,
Large Corporate Loans ~Rs. 566 Cr,
Others ~Rs. 495 Cr
Deposit Portfolio:
Savings A/C ~Rs. 2,607 Cr.,
Current A/C ~Rs. 256 Crore,
Term Deposits ~Rs. 4,614 Cr
Services Offered:
a) Loan Portfolio:
Agricultural (Kisan Credit Card, Agricultural
Term Loan), MSME & Trading (CC/OD/WCTL, Project Loan, Machinery Loans), Mortgage (Housing, Loan-against-property), Others
(Gold loans, Auto loans Consumer durable
loans, Personal loans, Corporate loans)
b) Deposit Portfolio:
Savings Account (Capital Savings &
Capital Super Savings A/c), Current
Account (Capital plus Current Account
Capital flexi A/c), Term Deposits (Short
-Term Deposit, Cumulative Deposit,
Monthly Interest Deposit, Tax Saver
Accounts), NRE/NRO Accounts
c) Fee-based Products:
Insurance Products, Forex Services,
Money Transfer Services, Safe Deposit
Lockers, 3-in-1 Demat & Trading Account
d) Other Services:
Branches, ATMs, ATM cum Debit Cards,
Internet Banking, Mobile Banking (Capital Mobile+), Mobile Passbook (Capital Mobile Connect)
Geographical Presence:
Company has 180 branches in 40
districts and 7 states & UTs including:
Punjab ~154, Haryana ~16, Rajasthan
~3, NCR ~3, Chandigarh ~2, Himachal Pradesh ~1, Jammu & Kashmir ~1
Rural-Urban Mix:
Rural Areas ~41%, Semi-Urban Areas ~34%, Urban Areas ~25%
Revenue Breakup - FY24:
Interest on advances/bills ~72%, Income on investments ~13%, Interest on balance with Reserve Bank of India and inter-bank funds ~6%, and Commission, exchange, and brokerage ~7%, Other Income ~2%
Change of KMP:
M/s T R Chadha & Co. LLP resigned
as the Statutory Auditors and were
replaced by M/s SCV & Co. LLP on
July 23rd 2024
This is just to boost my confidence. No Suggestions for buying.
Disclosure: I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for educational purposes only. I will not be responsible for any of your profit/loss with these suggestions. Consult your financial advisor before making any decisions.
VOLTAS a Flag under formation will it breakout ?
NSE:VOLTAS Ltd. is an interesting chart to keep on radar with following
1. RSI on all time frames above or almost at 60
2. Flag Pattern under formation at weekly chart
3. Price earlier was forming lower highs and lower lows; However after 16th December it started forming higher high and higher lows
4. ABCD pattern under formation on weekly chart
5. Weekly green candle on close of week with higher volume
6. Consumer Durable index is also forming similar bullish structure on charts
Will it breakout or continue its consolidation ?
Lets See How it Evolves.
Disclaimer: NOT A BUY / SELL RECOMMENDATION I am not an expert I just share interesting charts here for educational purpose and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendation. Please seek expert opinion before investing and trading as trading/ investing in market is subject to market risks. I do not hold any position in the stock as on date but I may look to take some position with my own Risk Reward matrix.
Lupin Breakout on Weekly Chart Current Analysis of Lupin (Price: ₹2369)
Market Position:
Trading near all-time highs.
Recent breakouts were observed on both weekly and daily charts.
Entry Strategy:
Daily Candle: Wait for a retest of the ₹2306 level before entering. Look for a higher high (HH) candle for confirmation.
Weekly Candle: Consider entering if the candle closes above ₹2369 with a higher high pattern.
Technical Indicators:
RSI: Indicates bullish momentum.
Volume: Increased volume over the past few days supports the price movement.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
It appears favorable, suggesting potential for significant upside.
Target:
Aiming for ₹3000 within 6 to 8 months seems realistic based on current trends.
Support:
Trendline can be considered as a support level for managing risk.
Considerations
Monitor overall market conditions and any news that could impact Lupin’s performance.
It may also be wise to set stop-loss levels to manage risk effectively.
AIT Protocol Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis The AIT Protocol is a decentralised platform focused on data annotation and AI model training, leveraging blockchain technology to create a marketplace for these activities. Here are key technical aspects of the AIT Protocol:
Note :-
The technical analysis of AIT Protocol suggests a market with potential for both growth and risk. Investors should be cautious of the volatility, keep an eye on support and resistance levels, and consider the broader market sentiment. The integration with the Bit tensor network and developments like the Einstein-AIT Subnet could drive future value, but as with all cryptocurrencies, careful analysis and risk management are advised.
PSU BANKSHello & welcome to this analysis
PSU Banks which had been outperforming Private Banks and the broader market since 2020 have since June 2024.
It has for now stopped the lower high formation, for more strength it needs to sustain above 7250 and confirm a higher low formation.
Happy Investing & Trading
Bitcoin 2H SMC Chart Analysis: Bearish Outlook Bitcoin 2H Chart Analysis: Bearish Outlook
Currently, Bitcoin is forming a Lower Low (LL) and Lower High (LH) pattern, signaling a potential bearish trend in the short-term. Key support levels to watch are around $88,000 and $85,000.
📉 Next Targets: $88,000 → $85,000
🚫 Critical Level: A 2H close above $101,000 would invalidate this bearish outlook.
Note: If Bitcoin holds below $100,000, expect a possible decline to $85,000.
Remember, always set your stop losses to protect your funds in case the trend shifts.