Suzlon (W): Cautiously Bullish, Pending BreakoutThis is a classic "wait and watch" scenario. The stock is coiling in a major, year-long consolidation pattern, and the pressure is building. A powerful fundamental catalyst (record-breaking results) is now meeting a critical technical resistance, setting the stage for a significant move.
📈 1. The Long-Term Context
- The Run-Up: After hitting its all-time low in March 2020, the stock has been in a massive, multi-year uptrend, which paused in September 2024.
- The Pattern: The stock has been consolidating in a Symmetrical Triangle for over a year. This pattern indicates a period of indecision and contracting volatility—a "coiling spring" before its next major trend.
- The Foundation: The long-term trend remains bullish, supported by an active Golden Cross (50/200 SMA) on both the Weekly and Monthly charts .
🚀 2. The Current Setup (The Decisive Hurdles)
The stock is currently squeezed between two key resistance levels that must be broken:
1. A Short-Term Horizontal Resistance: A minor "lid" formed around ₹59-₹61 .
2. The Primary Angular Resistance: The main, multi-month downtrend line that forms the top of the Symmetrical Triangle.
The stock must first break the short-term horizontal level to gain the momentum needed to challenge the main triangle.
📊 3. Indicators & Catalysts
Conflicting indicators are observed which is the key. This is a classic feature of a consolidation phase:
- Short-Term (Weak): The RSI is down (currently in neutral/sell territory), and the short-term EMAs are not yet in a PCO state . This shows the immediate price action is choppy and lacks momentum.
- Long-Term (Strong): The active Golden Cross on higher timeframes shows the underlying trend is still firmly bullish.
- The Catalyst: The "good results" are a massive fundamental driver. The company just reported its highest-ever quarterly net profit (a 539% YoY increase) and a record 85% revenue jump . This provides a strong fundamental case for the triangle to break to the upside .
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels to Watch
This is a "wait for confirmation" setup.
🐂 The Bullish Case (Two-Step Breakout)
- Trigger 1 (Short-Term): A decisive, high-volume breakout and close above the horizontal resistance (₹61) .
- Target 1: This would likely trigger a quick move to the first target of ₹65 .
- Trigger 2 (Long-Term): A sustained move that breaks the main angular resistance of the triangle.
- Target 2: This confirms the end of the year-long consolidation and opens the door to long-term target of ₹74 .
🐻 The Bearish Case (Breakdown)
- Trigger: If the stock fails to break out (due to weak short-term momentum) and instead breaks the triangle's support .
- Target: The price would likely fall to retest the recent support level, which is the identified zone of ₹51 - ₹53 .
Chart Patterns
Interarch Stock Breakout Above 4-Month BaseThis TradingView chart highlights Interarch’s significant breakout above a 4-month consolidation base, with the price rallying to ₹2,520.70 (+14.87%). Key moving averages are displayed, and the breakout is supported by positive earnings momentum. The annotation indicates an earnings event driving the move. The chart includes box statistics for financials such as market cap, P/E ratio, and quarterly performance, helping visualize recent company fundamentals and price action context.
SCI- High-Volume Breakout ContinuationThe Setup: Breakout and Launch Pad
SCI has confirmed a major, high-volume breakout from a multi-year consolidation base. The stock powered through the previous overhead supply zone (the box around ₹240 - ₹250) and is currently consolidating tightly just above this newly established support.
The Breakout: The move above the resistance zone was backed by huge institutional volume, validating the transition into a strong Stage 2 uptrend.
The Launch Pad: The price is currently forming a small, high-tight consolidation (a Flag/Handle) between approximately ₹240 and ₹275. This is a final clearing of supply and provides an ideal, low-risk setup for the next major leg of the trend.
Trend Confirmation: The price is trading above all upward-trending key moving averages, establishing clear dynamic support beneath the price action.
Key Technical Confirmation
Strong Relative Strength: The Relative Strength is decisively positive, confirming $SCIL is a market leader and is strongly outperforming its benchmark.
Volume Spike: The volume on the recent breakout candles is excellent, showing large-scale participation that validates the move.
Structural Integrity: The base is large, deep, and well-formed, suggesting a powerful and potentially long-lasting uptrend.
Trade Plan & Risk/Reward Advice
The advice is to wait for the stock to finish this tight consolidation to achieve the best risk/reward ratio. Buying the breakout from this current tight base minimizes the risk of getting caught in volatility within the range.
Entry Signal: Wait for a decisive weekly close above the current consolidation high (above ₹275). The move must be accompanied by a noticeable increase in volume to confirm the strength.
Stop Loss (Risk Management): Place a clear, objective stop loss below the low of the current tight consolidation box and the top of the initial breakout zone, for example, around ₹245 - ₹255.
Target Expectation: Given the size of the multi-year base, the expectation is for a sustained move into new All-Time Highs. The "Weak High" near ₹375 is the first major psychological hurdle.
Potential Risks & Cautionary Notes
Whipsaw Risk: Do not jump in on an intraday spike. Wait for a confirmed weekly close above ₹275 to avoid a short-term reversal.
Failure to Hold: If the stock reverses and closes decisively below the major support at ₹220, the breakout is invalidated, and the position should be exited immediately.
#Disclaimer: This is for educational and observation purposes only and is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Part 1 Identifying Support and ResistanceWhy Trade Options?
Options serve multiple purposes in modern finance:
Hedging:
Investors use options to protect their portfolios from adverse price movements. For example, a stockholder may buy a put option to guard against a potential price fall.
Speculation:
Traders can speculate on short-term market movements with limited risk and potentially high returns. Buying calls or puts allows traders to profit from expected price directions without owning the underlying asset.
Income Generation:
Selling options (writing covered calls or cash-secured puts) generates regular income through premiums. Many institutional investors use this strategy to enhance portfolio returns.
Weekly analysis BTC with 4R trade ideaLast weeks’ trade has performed well and already moved ~15K points and still going on. Further to this week analysis, we expect good reversal trade from the zone of 89700 to 90385. Still we have ~11k points movement pending to reach to this level. Price would be showing weakness in sell side and reversal pattern. We should patiently wait for entry model and confirmation as price is in sell side.
1. 1D FVG and wick is creating strong cluster of their relevant CE levels.
2. We would see exaction in sell side movement and reversal pattern.
3. RSI will also show oversold or bearish divergence on HTF.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1H/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~4R trade scenario.
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Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
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PCR-basedTradingOption Pricing
Option prices are influenced by several factors, known collectively as the “Greeks.” These variables determine how an option’s value changes with respect to different market conditions.
Delta (Δ): Measures how much an option’s price changes for a ₹1 change in the underlying asset.
Gamma (Γ): Measures the rate of change of Delta.
Theta (Θ): Represents time decay — how much an option loses value as it nears expiry.
Vega (ν): Sensitivity to changes in volatility.
Rho (ρ): Sensitivity to changes in interest rates.
The Black-Scholes model is commonly used to estimate theoretical option prices by combining these factors.
Privi Speciality Chemicals Ltd - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#PRIVISCL trading above Resistance of 3196
Next Resistance is at 4757
Support is at 2166
Here is previous chart:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NMDC 1 Week Time Frame 📝 Key levels to watch
Support: ~₹74 region (short term) → if broken → ~₹69.
Resistance: ~₹78-₹79.
Price of interest: Current trading around ~₹74-₹76 (depending on the source)
✅ What the technicals are saying
a) According to one source, NMDC has a “Strong Buy” rating on daily indicators: RSI ~55, MACD positive, 5-day MA above price, 50-day MA above price — all suggesting bullish bias.
b) Another set of technicals (via Moving Averages & Oscillators) shows a Bearish bias: MACD negative, RSI ~38, SMA(20/50/200) all above current price indicating downward pressure.
c) Support / resistance levels from Charts: Short-term support around ₹74.19, intermediate support near ₹69.44, major support around ₹61.87. Resistance around ₹78.80 to ~₹79.58.
#BankNifty Weekly UpdateThe index is holding strong above the breakout zone 💪 confirming support around 57444 - 57628 .
With sustained strength, #BankNifty looks set for the next breakout towards 58,900 → 62,400 🎯
As long as the ✅ green zone support holds, the 🐂 bullish structure remains intact.
#BankNifty | #BullishTrend | #AllTimeHigh | #TechnicalAnalysis | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
SUZLON 1 Month Time Frame ✅ Current Price & Context
The stock is trading around ₹ 57.38 on the NSE.
Technical indicators give a mixed but mildly positive bias: Many moving averages show “Buy” signals aside from some longer-term averages.
On a charting site, for short term the support is about ₹ 52.67 and resistance about ₹ 60.40.
🔍 One-Month Timeframe Levels
Here are suggested levels to watch for the next ~4-5 weeks:
Support level: around ₹ 52-53
Resistance level: around ₹ 60-61 (or slightly above)
Intermediate pivot / near‐term area: around ₹ 56-58
Part 2 Understanding the Structure of a CandlestickKey Terminologies
To understand options deeply, it’s essential to know the following terms:
Strike Price: The fixed price at which the option holder can buy (call) or sell (put) the underlying.
Premium: The price paid by the option buyer to the seller.
Expiry Date: The date on which the option contract expires.
In-the-Money (ITM): A call option is ITM if the underlying price is above the strike price; a put option is ITM if the price is below the strike.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): The opposite of ITM; when exercising the option would not be profitable.
At-the-Money (ATM): When the underlying price is equal (or close) to the strike price.
Intrinsic Value: The amount by which an option is in the money.
Time Value: The portion of the option’s premium that reflects the time left until expiry and market volatility.
Reliance IndustryPrice within FVG range buy above half FVG risk rewar 1:3, sl below 1/2 FVG on closing basis,
Financials (Recent Results, FY25):
Q1 FY25 Net Profit: ₹17,445 crore (down 17.9% QoQ, down 4.5% YoY)
Q1 FY25 EBITDA: ₹42,748 crore (down 9.1% QoQ, up 2% YoY)
Retail Segment: Revenue ₹75,615 crore (up 8.1% YoY), EBITDA ₹5,664 crore (up 10.5% YoY)
Growth drivers: Strong performance from retail, digital (Jio), and oil & gas businesses. O2C (Oil-to-Chemical) business faced a tough environment.
Target Price by Rating Agencies:
Jefferies: Target price ₹1,695, ‘Overweight’ rating
CLSA: Target price ₹1,650, ‘Outperform’ rating
TradingView Analysts (Consensus): Target price around ₹1,693.49, max ₹2,020, min estimate ₹1,370
Traders Union: ₹1,497.15 by the end of 2025, up to ₹2,702.9 by 2029
Future Growth Prospects:
Projected earnings growth: ~8.6% per annum
Projected revenue growth: ~6.3% per annum
EPS (Earnings Per Share) expected to grow by ~8.3% per annum
Key drivers: Expansion in digital (Jio), retail, and renewable/green energy initiatives (aim to be net-zero by 2035), significant investments in new energy value chains like solar, green hydrogen, and fuel cells.
Long-term outlook: Steady, sustainable growth paced by diversification and innovation, though earnings and revenue growth are expected to be slightly lower than the broader Indian market averages.
Summary Table:
Metric Value/Projection
Net Profit (Q1 FY25) ₹17,445 crore
EBITDA (Q1 FY25) ₹42,748 crore
Jefferies Target Price ₹1,695
CLSA Target Price ₹1,650
Analyst Consensus Target ₹1,693 (max ₹2,020, min ₹1,370)
Earnings Growth (annual) 8.6%
Revenue Growth (annual) 6.3%
EPS Growth (annual) 8.3%
Long-term Theme Digital, Retail, Energy Transition
Key Future Catalysts:
Jio (Digital), retail network expansion
Green and renewable energy investments and targets
Ambitious net zero carbon emissions goal by 2035
Long-term investments (Rs 75,000 crore+) in energy transition.
Overall, Reliance continues to have robust financials and long-term growth potential—especially in digital and energy—though overall medium-term growth is projected to be moderate compared with some fast-growing sectors of the Indian market.
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 10th November 2025If NIFTY sustain above 25509 above this bullish then around 25536/41 strong level then 25563/73 then 25601/08 or 25619/38 then above this more bullish above this wait
If NIFTY sustain below 25489/79/72 below this bearish then around 25433/25387/77 big range but a strong level below this more bearish then around 25308/25272 last hope then below this wait
My view :-
"My viewpoint, offered purely for analytical consideration, is that the market will exhibit volatility with movement in both directions . The trading thesis is: Nifty (bullish tactical approach: buy on dip ) and Bank Nifty (bearish tactical approach: sell on rise ). This analysis is highly speculative and is not guaranteed to be accurate; therefore, the implementation of stringent risk controls is non-negotiable for mitigating trade risk."
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
Basic Concepts of Options TradingWhat Are Options?
An option is a financial derivative contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset—such as a stock, index, or commodity—at a predetermined price (called the strike price) on or before a specified date (the expiry date).
Options are of two main types:
Call Option: Gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
Put Option: Gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
Each option contract typically represents 100 shares of the underlying stock in many markets (such as the U.S.), but in the Indian derivatives market (NSE/BSE), the lot size varies for different stocks and indices.






















