Indigo: Accumulating the Market LeaderCorrections in market leaders like InterGlobe Aviation (Indigo) are opportunities, not warnings. The recent pullback offers a classic setup for value investors to apply a "Buy on Dips" strategy on India's premier airline.
Key Accumulation Levels:
1st Buy Zone (Immediate Value): The stock is currently testing support between ₹4,923 and ₹4,636. This is an ideal range to initiate positions.
2nd Buy Zone: A deeper dip towards the red moving average (approx. ₹4,200) offers a strong "average down" opportunity.
3rd Buy Zone: The ultimate value floor sits near ₹3,600.
Strategy: Instead of trying to time the exact bottom, i will use these defined zones to stagger entries. This correction allows us to buy high-quality growth at a discount.
Chart Patterns
Bitcoin AI tool data Analysis showing accumulation on lower pricParameter Data
Asset Name Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Spot
Price Movement 🟨 Neutral/Consolidation (LTP: $88,000 | +1.12% 24h)
Current Trade 🟨 ACCUMULATE (Spot buying preferred over high-leverage)
SMC Structure 🟨 Consolidation within Bullish Macro (Testing 4H Order Block)
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Bullish Trap: $92,000 | 🟩 Liquidity Pool: $84,450
Probability 🟨 60% (Likely range-bound movement until year-end expiry)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟨 Medium (Elevated volatility due to Dec 26 OpEx)
Max Pain 🟨 $86,800 (Current Options Max Pain level)
DEMA Levels 🟨 Trading below 20-DEMA; Testing 50-DEMA support ($85.6k)
Supports 🟩 S1: $84,450, S2: $81,200, S3: $78,500
Resistances 🟥 R1: $91,500, R2: $98,000, R3: $110,000
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI: 48 (Neutral), ADX: 24 (Trend losing momentum)
Market Depth 🟩 High ($27B Open Interest maintained)
Volatility 🟥 High (30-day realized volatility near 45%)
Source Ledger Binance / Deribit / CME Aggregate
OI 🟩 $27.00B (Stable OI suggesting long-term conviction)
PCR 🟥 0.38 - 0.58 (Put/Call ratio indicates heavy Call selling)
VWAP 🟩 Above VWAP (Intraday recovery sustained above $87,200)
Turnover 🟩 Increasing (High volume on the $87k rebound)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Potential Gartley (Completing near $84k support)
IV/RV 🟥 IV: 57% - 58% (Option premiums elevated due to risk)
Options Skew 🟥 -5% (Put Skew) (Downside protection is expensive)
Vanna/Charm 🟥 Negative (Dealer hedging creating friction near $90k)
Block Trades 🟩 Whale Accumulation detected at $85,000–$86,000 range.
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Asset managers increasing long exposure)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟥 Negative with DXY (Inverse move with USD continues)
ETF Rotation 🟨 Neutral (Outflows slowing; IBIT seeing renewed interest)
Sentiment Index 🟨 Fear/Neutral (Flipping from Greed last month)
OFI 🟩 Positive (Bid-side orders gaining strength at $87.5k)
Delta 🟩 Cumulative Delta: Neutralizing (Sellers losing steam)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Upper: $90,100 | Lower: $85,800
Rotation Metrics 🟥 Lagging Alts (Solana/Ethereum showing 3-4% strength)
Market Phase 🟨 Re-accumulation Phase
Prime Focus (W): Strongly Bullish - Blue Sky BreakoutTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic
The stock has confirmed a major structural breakout, clearing both a short-term horizontal hurdle and a multi-year channel resistance. This move is supported by the highest weekly volume in months and significant corporate restructuring news.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The massive volume and breakout are driven by strategic clarity:
> Internal Restructuring: The company recently announced the divestment of its subsidiary, Prime Focus Studios , to DNEG S.a.r.l (its material subsidiary). This simplifies the group structure and potentially unlocks value ahead of DNEG's future listing plans.
> New ATH: The stock hitting a new All-Time High (~₹224) attracts momentum traders and algorithms, fueling the volume surge.
📈 2. The Chart Structure (Channel Breakout)
> The Pattern: Ascending Parallel Channel (since Aug 2021).
- The Move: Most stocks trade inside the channel. Breaking the Upper Resistance Line is a sign of extreme bullishness. It indicates that buyers are so aggressive they are willing to pay prices above the standard trend trajectory.
> Horizontal Breakout: The level of ₹203 (Sep 2025 High) was the final "Lid." The stock smashed through this on massive volume, turning it into a concrete floor.
📊 3. Volume & Indicators
> Volume Ignition: The 52.99 Million volume is not just "rising"; it is an Ignition Bar . It confirms that institutions are participating in this leg of the rally.
> RSI Strength: Rising RSI in all timeframes confirms the trend. Note that in a "Blue Sky" breakout, RSI can stay "overbought" (>70) for weeks.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is now in "Price Discovery" mode.
> 🐂 Bullish Target (Momentum):
- Target 1: ₹254 .
- Blue Sky: If the "Parabolic" phase holds, the stock could overshoot towards ₹275 .
> 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"):
- Immediate Support: ₹203. The horizontal resistance has flipped to support. A pullback to ₹203-205 is a high-probability "buy the dip" zone.
- Trend Support: As long as the stock stays above the Upper Channel Line (now acting as dynamic support around ₹210), the accelerated trend is intact.
Conclusion
This is a High-Octane Setup . You have an "Upper Channel Breakout" + "New ATH" + "Massive Volume."
> Strategy: Ride the momentum. Use a trailing stop (e.g., weekly low) rather than a fixed target, as these breakouts can extend further than expected. Watch ₹203 as your safety net.
"ETH/USDT Forecast""ETH/USDT Forecast"
The market shows evidence of strong participation earlier, where price moved with speed and consistency, reflecting clear intent. That phase established direction and control without prolonged hesitation.
As price progressed, momentum began to ease. Movement slowed, reactions became more frequent, and volatility compressed. This change indicates a shift from active pressure to evaluation, where participants reduced aggression and allowed price to stabilize.
The subsequent recovery unfolded in a measured and uneven manner. Advances were short, overlapping, and lacked continuation, suggesting limited commitment behind higher prices. Opposing flow remained active, preventing expansion.
Currently, price behavior is defined by balance and compression. Activity reflects positioning rather than resolution. Until behavior shifts from overlap to decisive movement, the market remains in a waiting state, with continuation favored once imbalance returns.
"Gold in Firm Bullish Control""Gold in Firm Bullish Control"
Gold is currently trading in a constructive upward environment, where price behavior reflects sustained participation from institutional buyers rather than speculative spikes. Recent movements show that upside progress has been built through measured advances followed by controlled pauses, a pattern that typically appears when the market is preparing for continuation rather than exhaustion.
Market activity suggests that buy-side interest remains dominant, with pullbacks being absorbed efficiently and failing to generate follow-through selling. This indicates that bearish pressure lacks commitment, while bullish participation remains organized and patient. The absence of aggressive downside momentum during pauses reinforces confidence in the prevailing direction.
Volatility has compressed after an expansion phase, which often precedes another directional move. This compression reflects balance at higher price levels, a sign that the market is accepting value above prior ranges. Such acceptance generally supports further upside attempts once activity re-expands.
From a flow perspective, price reactions imply that liquidity has already been tested and cleared, reducing immediate downside vulnerability. The market now appears positioned for continuation rather than correction, with sentiment favoring gradual appreciation rather than sharp reversals.
Overall Assessment:
Gold remains in a positive continuation phase, where conditions favor further upward progress as long as market behavior continues to show acceptance at elevated levels and pullbacks remain corrective in nature
Bank Nifty spot 59069.20 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly UpdateBank Nifty spot 59069.20 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly Update
- Bank Nifty has closed within the Support Zone range
- Support Zone sustained at 58850 to 59375 for Bank Nifty
- Resistance Zone stands firmly at 59825 to ATH 60114.30 for Bank Nifty
- Volumes in close sync with avg traded quantity over with intermittent spikes
- Falling Resistance Trendline weighing hard for Bank Nifty has closed below trendline
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [22/12/2025: Monday]Top-Down Analysis of Nifty 50 Price Structure for 22nd of December 2025. The day is Monday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
The monthly candle looks like a combination of a piercing candle and red hanging man. It is the sign of both trend exhaustion and indecision. Strong support is in the zone of (25750 - 25700). Strong resistance is at two levels - 26000 and 26100. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
The candle is a green long-legged doji. The market has been making doji or indecisive candles for the past 5 weeks. It is also showing signs of rounded top consolidation. Thus, there is no clear trend. Highly choppy market for the past 5 weeks. Presently, there are 3 strong support levels - 25700, 25750, and 25800. However, there are also 3 strong resistance levels - 26000, 26050, and 26100. Considering the candle formation of the past 3 candles, the trend is downward. That is, the lower lows and lower highs structure is intact. The present week's candle is also within the previous week's candle. Maybe it's forming a harami (pregnant lady pattern). However, either side break will only confirm if it is a bullish harmai or bearish harami. Additionally, the green long-legged doji is a pause for the previous 2-week fall. No clarity for now. However, the bullish trend will start when the price makes a green candle for a week above the level 26000. Then the price must sustain above the level 26100 to finally confirm bullish continuation. On the contrary, it is not wise to short the market unless there is a decisive breakdown below the level of 25700. The view is indecision until bullish or bearish levels are confirmed.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
The market is in a range-bound region. The market gapped up and sustained above the level 25800. The zone (25700 - 25750) seems to be a very strong support (buying) region. The zone offered price support at least 4 times since October 2025. However, the lower lows and lower highs structure is still intact. The first sign of bullishness will emerge once the price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000. Presently, there is neither a bullish nor a bearish trend clarity. The view is indecision.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Today's bullish move was led by the underconfident bulls. The intraday activity is very similar to the price structure formed on 12th and 15th December. Also, there is at least a 100-point gap below. The market structure is cracked. There are 3 strong support levels - 25700, 25750, and 25800. There are 3 strong resistance levels - 26100, 26050, and 26000. The gap below is pending. The gap above in the zone of 26000 is also pending. Thus, today's movement showcases the feature of an isolated island. These are signs of weakness. The bullish moves are driven by weak or underconfident bulls. Also, the price structure of lower lows and lower highs is still intact. The first sign of bullishness will emerge after price forms a higher highs and higher lows structure above the level 26000, with a promise of breaking above the level 26100. The view is indecision.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price fills up the gap in the level 26000 zone.
(iii) Price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000 with a promise of breaking above the level 26100.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price fills up the gap below in the zone (25900 - 25800).
(iii) Price forms a lower lows and lower highs structure below the level 25800 with a promise of breaking down the level 25700.
Events: No expiry on Monday. No major or high-impact event on Monday.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) The complex correction continues. The market is cracked and moving through a range-bound, non-directional consolidation. There is no trend clarity.
(ii) Major support zone: (25700 - 25750)
(iii) The gap below in the zone (25900 - 25800) is still unfilled.
(iv) The gap in the level 26000 is also unfilled.
(v) Lower lows and lower highs structure is still intact, but bulls are also offering strong defense from the levels 25800, 25750, and 25700.
(vi) Take bullish trades only if the price sustains above the level 26000 with a promise of breaking out the level 26100.
(vii) Think of bearish trades only if the price sustains below the level 25800 with a promise of breaking down the level 25700.
(viii) Since the market is indecisive, try to avoid trading in the first half of Monday. Wait for price structure clarity. No need to risk unnecessarily.
(ix) Execute trades only if either a bullish/ bearish scenario is established. Otherwise, do not trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of trading activity. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
ETH UNDER PRESSURE - BREAKDOWN Ethereum slipped below the $3,000 support, following heavy selling in spot ETH ETFs. Net outflows hit $224.7M in a single day, the largest exit in weeks, extending total ETF selling to $286.5M over the past three days. Notably, BlackRock and Grayscale led the withdrawals, with zero inflows recorded across funds.
This breakdown triggered a liquidation cascade, wiping out nearly $168M in ETH long positions and driving price down toward the $2,895 zone.
📉 Technical View:
ETH remains under bearish pressure, forming a bearish flag while a confirmed death cross keeps downside risk elevated. Unless price reclaims resistance near $3,170, the structure points toward a potential move to the $2,620 support zone.
⚠️ Market Takeaway:
Momentum favors the downside for now. Bulls need a strong reclaim of key resistance to shift sentiment — otherwise, volatility remains skewed against longs.
Reliance Industries Stock Analysis: Fibonacci Breakout volume
📈 Overview
Reliance Industries Limited (NSE: RELIANCE) has demonstrated a strong bullish move on the 4-hour chart, breaking above key Fibonacci retracement levels with rising volume. As of December 19, 2025, the stock is trading at ₹1,566.90, up ₹22.90 (+1.48%) from the previous session. This surge, coupled with technical indicators, suggests potential continuation toward higher resistance zones.
🔍 Key Technical Indicators
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Drawn from the swing high of ₹1,580.20 to the swing low of ₹1,466.70:
0.236 Level: ₹1,493.50
0.382 Level: ₹1,510.05
0.5 Level: ₹1,523.45
0.618 Level: ₹1,536.85
0.786 Level: ₹1,555.90
1.0 Level: ₹1,580.20
The current price has broken above the 0.786 level, indicating bullish strength and a potential test of the 1.0 level at ₹1,580.20.
Volume Analysis
Latest Volume: 5.68M
Rising volume confirms the breakout, suggesting strong buyer interest and momentum.
📊 Price Action Insights
Current Price: ₹1,566.90
High: ₹1,574.20
Low: ₹1,551.00
Trend: Bullish breakout above 0.786 Fibonacci level
Candlestick patterns show strong green candles with minimal wicks, indicating decisive upward movement. The breakout above ₹1,555.90 (0.786 level) is significant, as it often precedes a retest of the swing high.
📌 Trading Strategy
Bullish Scenario
Entry: Above ₹1,566.90
Target 1: ₹1,580.20
Target 2: ₹1,595.00
Stop Loss: Below ₹1,551.00
Bearish Scenario (if reversal occurs)
Entry: Below ₹1,551.00
Target 1: ₹1,536.85
Target 2: ₹1,523.45
Stop Loss: Above ₹1,566.90
🧠 Sentiment & Momentum
Market Sentiment: Bullish
Momentum: Strong, supported by volume and breakout structure
📅 Timeframe Consideration
This analysis is based on the 4-hour chart, suitable for:
Swing traders targeting multi-day moves
Intraday traders seeking confirmation from higher timeframes
📌 Final Thoughts
Reliance Industries is showing strong bullish momentum with a breakout above key Fibonacci levels. Traders should monitor price action near ₹1,580.20 for potential resistance or continuation. Volume confirms the move, making this setup ideal for short-term gains.
XAUUSD H1 Main Trend for the Weekend
Gold failed to confirm a sustainable upward momentum after yesterday's price reaction, prioritizing a short-term adjustment scenario before reassessing the trend
PRIORITY SCENARIO
Strategy to sell based on reactions at large volume areas, suitable for the current short-term structure
Focus sell area: 4332 – 4342
Technical basis: these are areas concentrated with volume according to the Volume Profile, where price is likely to show distribution reactions after a weak recovery
Expected movement: price recovers to the large volume area for distribution, then continues the adjustment phase
Daily target:
Heading towards the 4275 area, coinciding with the Fibonacci retracement area and underlying support
Position management:
Sell should only be held short-term. If the price surpasses and stabilizes above 4342, risk should be reduced and avoid holding sell orders.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO
Monitor price reactions at deeper support areas to reassess trading opportunities
Strong support area: around 4275
Technical context: this is the convergence area between structural support and Fibonacci retracement, likely to show defensive buying force
Expected movement: if the price reacts well at this area, the market may enter a re-accumulation state
MAIN REASON
On H1, the previous upward phase failed to maintain a clear upward structure, indicating weakening buying force
Volume Profile helps identify the 4332 – 4342 areas as advantageous entry points for the sell reaction scenario
The 4275 area serves as a reasonable adjustment target in the context of a typically momentum-lacking weekend market
MACRO CONTEXT AND MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK
While short-term fluctuations lean towards adjustment, major institutions still maintain a positive outlook for gold in the medium and long term. Goldman Sachs forecasts gold prices could reach $4,900/oz by the end of 2026, supported by strong buying demand from central banks and positive impacts from the Fed's interest rate cut cycle.
This suggests that short-term declines may be more of a technical adjustment rather than a reversal of the long-term trend.
SRF: EMA Golden Crossover & Fib Retracement Resistance BreakoutSRF:
10 DEMA Golden Crossover above 100 DEMA
Swing Low (P1): ₹2,700
Higher Swing Low (P2): ₹2,880
Swing High (P3): ₹3,325
Fib Channel indicates
61.8% Retracement Target :3062
78.6% Retracement Target : 3160
Recent Price volume action,10 DEMA Golden cross over and Fib Channel resistance points suggests possible upside move as mentioned above.(For educational purpose only)
TVSMOTOR- FLAG PATTERN BOTVS Motor has formed a classic flag pattern after a strong upward move. The sharp rise shows momentum, and the current sideways-to-down consolidation is the market cooling off, not reversing.
This structure usually represents continuation, where price digests earlier gains before the next move. As long as price stays within the flag, there is no edge in taking random entries.
ACTUSDT – Sell Setup (Futures | Intermediate)ACTUSDT – Sell Setup (Futures | Intermediate)
ACTUSDT is showing clear signs of weakness after failing to sustain above the recent resistance zone. Price action suggests sellers are regaining control, with lower highs forming and momentum shifting to the downside. A sell-stop entry at 0.02797 is planned to confirm continuation below support. If bearish momentum accelerates, price is expected to move toward 0.02739 as the first target, followed by 0.02677, which aligns with the next demand zone. The stop loss at 0.02884 is placed above the invalidation level to protect against false breakdowns. Overall, the structure favors continuation selling as long as price remains below resistance and broader market sentiment stays neutral to bearish.
No clear move until chart pattern breaksIn Banknifty decending triangle is about to complete. It might either rocket upside or breakdown within next 2,3 days. so wait for good opportunity.
There would be big candles on both side can form within descending triangle so dont wait for big Targets.
Bank nifty seems bit weak and nifty neutral. wait for Price action/chart pattern to form under 3 minutes.
STRONG BULL CASE - VALUE ZONECompelling value buy at current levels. Following a corrective phase, the stock has stabilized at a critical support zone (INR 350), offering a highly favorable risk-reward ratio. Despite recent headwinds in revenue growth (-5% YoY), the company’s valuation at ~11x P/E discounts much of the negativity, while its leadership in the EV segment remains a robust long-term catalyst.
Key Investment Thesis
Dominant EV Market Share: TMPV retains a commanding ~62% share of the Indian EV market. With the new battery gigafactory expected to go online by 2026, margin expansion is anticipated.
Valuation Comfort: Trading near INR 350, the stock is at a significant discount to its historical average valuation. The current price prices in the recent cyclical slowdown, ignoring the improving retail sales data from the JLR segment.
Technical Reversal: The daily chart shows a "Mean Reversion" setup. The stock is respecting the INR 345-350 demand zone (previous breakout level). A bounce here aligns with the lower Bollinger Band support, signaling an oversold condition ripe for a relief rally.
Technical Levels (from Chart)
Support: INR 350 (Immediate Demand), INR 340 (Strong Floor).
Resistance: INR 380 (20-day MA confluence), INR 411 (Supply Zone).
JK Tyre new high in a weak marketEvaluating Tyre companies for sometime now and JK and CEAT looks good with the RM basket coming down. Net of Rupee devaluation the impact looks positive. JK Tyre is forming what is akin to a C&H pattern, though its not your case of classic C&H ( took more than 65 weeks to form) . Seeing the auto sales number + lower RM basket, this looks like a case of possible upside.
RELIANCE -Likely Cup&SAUCER Huge BREAK OUTRELIANCE : Trading at 1565 and above its 10/20/50 DEMA even on weekly chart .
Has formed Cup&Handle Pattern in weekly chart.
Price volume action and the pattern suggests a break out to 1600/1650/1700 levels on positional basis and giving a close above 1575(For educational purpose only)
Influx Healthtech LtdDate 19.12.2025
Influx Healthtech
Timeframe : Day Chart
Highlight : zero-debt small-cap company beating in valuation ratios to many large cap cos.
About
(1) Incorporated in September 2020
(2) Healthcare-focused company specialising in contract manufacturing
(3) Catering Business-to-Business (B2B)
(4) Clients in nutraceuticals, cosmetics, ayurvedic, veterinary and homecare
Business Segments & Product Portfolio
(1) Nutraceuticals (2874 products)
(2) Cosmetics (240 products)
(3) Ayurvedic (79 products)
(4) Veterinary (46 products)
(5) Homecare (30 products)
Revenue Bifurcation
(1) Nutraceuticals: 90.74%
(2) Cosmetics: 5.21%
(3) Ayurvedic: 2.92%
(4) Veterinary: 1.08%
(5) Homecare: 0.05%
Geographical Presence
Revenue From Domestic: 99.27%
Major states:
Maharashtra (61.29%)
Gujarat (19.72%)
Karnataka (6.79%)
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 513 Cr
(2) Stock Pe 29
(3) Roce 60 %
(4) Roe 45 %
(5) Book Value 5.5X
(6) Opm 21%
(7) Promoter 73%
(8) Profit Growth (TTM) 20%
(9) EV/Ebita 19
(10) PEG 0.66
Regards,
Ankur Singh






















