btcbearish crossover occurs when the MACD line crosses below the signal line. This indicates a potential shift to downward momentum, especially if it happens above the centerline
Chart Patterns
Gold Trading Strategy for Monday✅ Fundamental Analysis
🔹 Fed Rate Cut Expectations
The Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut rates by 25 basis points in September, which is the market consensus. The recent rally in gold has been primarily driven by “rate cut expectations” rather than purely safe-haven demand. As the rate decision approaches, market volatility is expected to increase.
🔹 Geopolitical Risk Support
Ongoing global geopolitical risks continue to provide additional safe-haven support, keeping gold prices within a strong range.
🔹 “Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact” Logic
Before the rate decision: Market sentiment dominates, with gold maintaining a high-level bullish consolidation.
After the rate decision: If the rate cut is delivered and Powell does not sound excessively dovish, a short-term pullback could occur on “sell the fact” behavior.
✅ Technical Analysis
🔸 From a structural perspective, gold broke out of a four-month consolidation range and formed a strong unilateral uptrend, reaching as high as $3674. Based on the principle of “the longer the base, the higher the move,” the trend remains strong, with no clear topping signal yet. However, the rapid rise has caused short-term overextension, suggesting a need for technical correction.
🔸 On the 4-hour chart, the current candles are trading near the Bollinger Band midline (around $3640), showing balanced forces between bulls and bears. The narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate a consolidation phase. A strong breakout above the upper band ($3660) could lead to a retest of $3675–3680. The MA5, MA10, and MA20 are converging, showing that the market is waiting for a directional breakout. As long as prices hold above MA20 ($3640–3620), the bullish structure remains intact.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3657–3660 / 3675–3680
🟢 Support Levels: 3625–3630 / 3605–3610
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 Short-Term Idea: Focus on buying on dips near the 3625–3630 support zone. Light short positions may be considered if the price stalls near 3657–3660.
🔰 Medium-Term Idea: If gold breaks and holds above 3675–3680, the rally could extend toward 3700 or even new highs. If it falls below 3620–3610, a deeper correction may unfold, targeting 3595–3580.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
Trendline Breakout and Markt Strctr BreakoutA clear trendline has broken with huge volumes
Market structure of lower lows and lower highs was broken
Price can touch the high of the trendline
Follow with strict target and stoploss
my view on PNGJLP.N. Gadgil Jewellers Ltd (PNGJL)
192-year-old legacy: Founded in Sangli in 1832, it is a long-established jewelry company with six generations of experience.
Business: Primarily involved in the retail sale of gold, diamond, platinum, and silver jewelry.
Store network: Operates 53 stores, with a majority in Maharashtra and Goa, as well as one in the USA. In 2025, the company announced expansion plans to open 20–23 new stores, particularly in Central and North India.
Retail model: Uses a combination of company-owned and franchisee-operated stores.
Financial performance: As of June 2025, the company showed strong growth, with a year-over-year profit increase of 96.32% in its Q1FY26 results.
IPO: Conducted an IPO in September 2024, raising ₹1,100 crore to fund its expansion and repay debt.
"I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
content is for educational purposes only, academic interest, or personal analysis, and not financial advice.
Consolidation and Potential BreakoutResistance: resistance zone is located between $4,700 and $4,800, it is all time high level there are some profit booking whic led to a short reversal,
Support:The primary support is the rising trendline, which has been guiding the price upwards since early September.
There's also a strong horizontal support zone between $4,100 and $4,200. A break below the rising trendline would likely test this lower support level.
An intermediate support level is visible around $4,300 to $4,400, which is where the price is currently hovering.
Ethereum is currently in a high-stakes waiting game. The price is consolidating, building energy for its next major move or all time high. The most prudent strategy is to remain patient and wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown before entering a position. Waiting for a break of the key resistance at $4,700 or the key support at $4,100 provides a clear entry signal and allows for better risk management.
Vascon Eng (Daily Timeframe) - Is this the trend reversal ?Vascon is showing strong indications of a major trend reversal. After forming a series of higher lows since March 2025, the stock has now broken out of a clear Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern on the weekly timeframe.
The breakout is particularly significant as it occurred at a confluence of two major resistance zones: a long-term horizontal trendline dating back to February 2012 and the more recent descending trendline from January 2024. This bullish move was accompanied by a +7.06% surge on high volume and is supported by a positive crossover in the short-term EMAs.
If the bullish momentum continues, the next potential target is the 86 level . Conversely, a failure to sustain the breakout could see the price retrace to support around the 46 level .
GOLD ANALYSIS IN 30MINHELLO,
there is high probability for gold to reach the 3713$ in few HOURS,
thanks
DAX Breaks H&S Pattern – Eyes 22,300–22,200🔎 Chart Setup
DAX has given a breakdown of the Head & Shoulders pattern on the daily chart. This is a strong bearish reversal pattern, usually signaling further downside.
⚖️ Downside Targets
With the breakdown confirmed, the pattern target lies in the 22,300–22,200 zone.
As long as 24,000 (on a closing basis) is not reclaimed, the bearish bias remains intact.
🔄 Retest Scenario
After such breakdowns, it’s common for the index to retest the neckline.
In this case, a pullback up to 23,700 is possible before resuming the downward move.
✅ Summary
DAX has entered a bearish phase after breaking down from the Head & Shoulders pattern. Unless it closes back above 24,000, the path of least resistance remains down toward 22,300–22,200.
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 17-Sep-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 17-Sep-2025
📌 Nifty is currently hovering near its immediate resistance zone after a strong upward move. Tomorrow’s opening will be critical in deciding whether the index continues its bullish momentum or faces resistance-led profit booking. Gap openings of 100+ points will set the initial tone.
1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 25,354) 🚀
If Nifty opens above the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (25,354–25,400), the bullish tone will be reinforced.
Sustained trading above 25,400 can push the index towards the higher resistance target at 25,687.
Traders can look for long opportunities on dips, keeping a stop loss below 25,247 (Opening Support/Resistance).
Avoid chasing the very first green candle; let the market stabilize in the first 15–30 minutes before entering.
📌 Educational Note: A gap-up above resistance often triggers continuation buying. However, false breakouts are common – confirm with hourly close above 25,400 for strong conviction.
2. Flat Opening (Near 25,247–25,254 Zone) ⚖️
A flat open around the support/resistance zone signals indecision and could create a range-bound start.
Inside this zone (25,247–25,254), avoid aggressive trades; this is a "wait and watch" area.
If Nifty sustains above 25,354, initiate longs towards 25,400 → 25,687.
If it breaks below 25,173, bearish momentum may emerge, targeting 25,091.
Maintain tight stop losses around the opposite side of the breakout to reduce risk.
📌 Educational Note: Flat openings test patience. The best strategy is to let the market pick a direction instead of predicting one.
3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 25,150) 🔻
A gap-down below the Opening Support (25,173) may trigger profit booking or fresh selling pressure.
If the index opens below 25,150 and sustains, expect further downside towards 25,091 (Last Intraday Support).
Breakdown of 25,091 can extend the fall, leading to stronger bearish sentiment.
Any pullback towards 25,173 should be carefully monitored; rejection here may provide another shorting opportunity.
Stop loss for shorts should be placed just above 25,254 on an hourly closing basis.
📌 Educational Note: Gap-downs can trap emotional sellers. Always wait for stability before committing to shorts.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Prefer ATM or slightly ITM options over OTM to reduce time decay risk.
Do not over-leverage; use only a fixed % of your capital in one trade.
Always trade with a stop loss, especially in weekly options where premiums erode quickly.
Consider spreads (Call/Put spreads) to manage risk in volatile sessions.
Book partial profits when targets are near, instead of holding entire position.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Above 25,354 → Bullish continuation towards 25,400–25,687.
Flat near 25,247–25,254 → Wait for breakout; direction will decide trade.
Below 25,150 → Bearish momentum towards 25,091, with risk of further fall.
📌 Key Point: Tomorrow’s opening is crucial. Avoid trades inside consolidation zones and focus on clean breakouts for better risk-reward setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational purposes. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before taking trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 17-Sep-2025BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 17-Sep-2025
📌 The market is currently trading near a consolidation range with clear supports and resistances. Tomorrow’s opening levels will play a crucial role in shaping intraday momentum. Gap openings beyond 200+ points can provide strong directional clues.
1. Gap-Up Opening (200+ Points Above 55,366) 🚀
If Bank Nifty opens strongly above the Opening Resistance (55,166–55,366 zone) and sustains, bullish momentum is likely to extend towards the Last Intraday Resistance at 55,599.
Wait for the first 15–30 minutes to let prices stabilize. Avoid chasing the first green candle.
A sustained move above 55,366 can act as confirmation for long trades.
Upside targets: 55,500–55,599 zone. Beyond this, a fresh breakout can lead to extended momentum.
Stop loss should be placed just below 55,166 on an hourly closing basis.
📌 Educational Note: Gap-up opens often attract profit booking. Always confirm strength with volume before entering longs.
2. Flat Opening (Near 55,166–55,200 Zone) ⚖️
If the market opens flat around the consolidation range, it will trade inside the No-Trade Zone initially.
Avoid immediate trades inside this range (55,100–55,200) to prevent whipsaws.
If the price sustains above 55,366, fresh longs can be taken targeting 55,500–55,599.
If the price breaks below 55,038, it may trigger selling pressure towards 54,858–54,811.
Stop loss should be maintained just outside the breakout zone to avoid false triggers.
📌 Educational Note: Flat openings are tricky. Patience is key – wait for either a breakout or breakdown to confirm direction.
3. Gap-Down Opening (200+ Points Below 54,950) 🔻
A sharp gap-down below the Opening Support (55,038) will shift sentiment to bearish.
If the index opens below 54,950 and sustains, selling pressure can push it towards the Last Intraday Support (54,811–54,858).
Further breakdown below this zone can extend the fall towards 54,550.
Any bounce back towards 55,038 should be watched carefully; if rejected, it may give another shorting opportunity.
Stop loss for shorts should be placed just above 55,166 on hourly close basis.
📌 Educational Note: Gap-downs often trap early shorters if not confirmed. Always wait for price stability before entering fresh shorts.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Avoid buying deep OTM options; prefer ATM or slightly ITM strikes for better risk-reward.
Time decay (Theta) works fastest in the last 2–3 days of expiry – keep position sizing small.
Follow strict stop losses; don’t average in loss-making options.
Use hedged strategies (Spreads) instead of naked calls/puts during volatile moves.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Above 55,366 → Bullish momentum can extend towards 55,500–55,599.
Inside 55,100–55,200 → No-trade zone; wait for breakout confirmation.
Below 55,038 → Bearish momentum towards 54,858–54,811, with risk of extension to 54,550.
📌 Key Point: The first 30 minutes will be crucial tomorrow. Traders should align trades only after confirmation to capture the best risk-reward setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Cup and handle Restest in JSWSTEELJSW Steel shows a classic cup and handle retest breakout. Price retests the neckline near 1,115 INR, confirming bullish momentum. Meanwhile, the falling 1120 put option price suggests waning bearish sentiment. Consider long entries above support; avoid fresh puts unless price closes below breakout zone.
Stock-wise Investigation: Breakouts or Support? ( MTF )Using 3-month-old chart data, this video explores how stocks tend to favor breakouts or support zones, with key technical terms to sharpen your pattern recognition skills—purely educational in nature.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in MBLINFRA
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in MBLINFRA
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
M&MFIN SCREAMING BUY BUY BUY!!! Stock can easily cross ATH
personally im holding avg@275
below 300 looks like a great zone to accumulate
target 500+
sl 200
RRR minimum 1:2 easy.
if interest rates are cut then this will fly!
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 37.2%
Company has been maintaining a healthy Profit Margins
Company has been maintaining a decent gains
M&M Fin does look relatively good value when compared to the top peer (Bajaj Finance).
M&M Fin can maintain stable growth, keep asset quality in control, then paying
P/E @16, stock is very much in a good buy zone
A HIDDEN CUP AND HANDLE ?this chart is nifty futures chart and as we can see that there is nearly a formation of cup and handle also it has not formed completely , lets see what nifty has for us in coming days and if it does breakout ??????
Amber Enterprises Amber Enterprises is showing a strong breakout above the resistance zone with higher lows formation 🔥📈. Support around 7800, resistance near 8600. Momentum looks bullish
Part 9 Trading master ClassOptions trading involves the buying and selling of financial contracts that give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a specific price (the strike price) before a set expiration date. There are two main types: call options, which grant the right to buy, and put options, which grant the right to sell. Traders pay a premium to the seller for this right. Options can be used to speculate on an asset's price movements or to manage risk by hedging existing positions.
How it Works
The Contract: An options contract specifies the underlying asset (like a stock), the strike price (the agreed-upon price for the transaction), and the expiration date (the deadline for the contract to be valid).
The Buyer: The buyer pays a premium to the seller for the option. They gain the right to exercise the contract if it becomes profitable but is not obligated to do so
The Seller: The seller receives the premium and is obligated to fulfill the contract if the buyer chooses to exercise it.
Exercise: If the price of the underlying asset moves favorably, the buyer can exercise the option. For example, with a call option, if the stock price is above the strike price, the buyer can purchase the stock at the lower strike price.
Expiration: If the market price doesn't reach a profitable level by the expiration date, the option can expire worthless, and the buyer loses the premium paid.
Why Trade Options?
Leverage: Options require less upfront capital than buying the underlying asset directly, allowing traders to potentially profit more from smaller price movements
Risk Management (Hedging): Options can be used to protect existing investments from potential losses.
Flexibility: Options offer greater flexibility than traditional stocks, allowing traders to profit from both rising and falling markets without needing to own the asset.
Part 8 Trading master ClassWhy Trade Options?
Options are popular because of their flexibility. They can serve multiple purposes:
Hedging (Insurance)
Just like insurance, options protect against downside risk.
Example: Buying a put option to protect your stock holdings.
Speculation (Profit from Price Movements)
Traders use options to bet on direction, volatility, or even stability of prices.
Income Generation
Selling covered calls or cash-secured puts generates steady premium income.
Leverage
Options allow large exposure with smaller capital compared to stocks.
How Options Work: Pricing
Option pricing is complex, but two main values exist:
Intrinsic Value → Difference between stock price and strike (if favorable).
Time Value → Extra value based on time left till expiry and expected volatility.
Example:
Stock = ₹1,000
Call strike = ₹950, Premium = ₹70
Intrinsic = ₹1,000 – ₹950 = ₹50
Time Value = ₹20
Options Market Structure
The options market involves:
Buyers of Options – Limited risk (premium), unlimited potential reward.
Sellers (Writers) of Options – Limited reward (premium), potentially high risk.
Exchanges (like NSE in India, CBOE in US) – Standardized contracts.
Clearing Corporations – Ensure smooth settlement, reduce counterparty risk.
Next nifty plan for 17-9-25As we can see nifty closed bullish today the next plan is if after profit booking some consolidation is happening then bullish trend is possible which we can catch with the help of 9ema 15min time frame. If any supply zone is made while profit booking then be cautious. Near that rest it is bullish. Till 25425
Part 7 Trading master ClassIntroduction to Options Trading
Financial markets offer countless opportunities for investors and traders to grow wealth. Among them, options trading stands out as one of the most versatile, powerful, and misunderstood tools. Options can help protect a portfolio from risk, generate extra income, or allow a trader to speculate on price movements with limited upfront capital.
At its core, options trading is about making calculated decisions on probabilities — the probability of a stock rising, falling, or staying stable. While stocks represent ownership in a company, options are contracts that give special rights tied to those stocks (or other assets).
Before diving deep, remember this: options are not inherently risky. Misuse of options is risky. With the right understanding, options can be a trader’s best friend.
Basics of Options
What is an Option?
An option is a financial contract that gives the buyer the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell an underlying asset (like a stock, index, or commodity) at a predetermined price (strike price) before or on a certain date (expiry date).
Two main types exist:
Call Option → Right to buy the underlying at strike price.
Put Option → Right to sell the underlying at strike price.
The buyer pays a fee, known as the premium, to acquire this right.
Example:
Stock: Reliance Industries trading at ₹2,500
You buy a Call Option with strike ₹2,600, expiring in 1 month, premium ₹50.
If Reliance rises to ₹2,700 before expiry:
You can buy at ₹2,600, sell at ₹2,700, and profit (₹100 – ₹50 = ₹50 per share).
If Reliance stays below ₹2,600:
The option expires worthless, and you lose only the premium (₹50).
Key Terms
Strike Price → Fixed price at which option can be exercised.
Expiry Date → Last date to exercise the option.
Premium → Cost of buying the option.
Lot Size → Minimum quantity per option contract.
In the Money (ITM) → Option has intrinsic value.
Out of the Money (OTM) → Option has no intrinsic value.
At the Money (ATM) → Strike price is close to current market price.
DLF SEP FUTURE DLF1! is showing strong upward momentum, trading at ₹789.15
Daily chart indicates a bullish breakout with price targeting the ₹820 zone and potential resistance near ₹880 by the month-end.
Maintain a watch for follow-through buying and manage risk with suitable stop-loss levels.
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Could Launch Wave (5)Namaste Traders
Gold on the M30 chart remains bullish, but the push into the upper channel line signals short-term profit booking. For those trading Gold/USD or tracking Gold in INR terms on MCX, here’s my plan for the upcoming sessions:
🔍 Technical Overview
Price completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural zone for sellers to take profits.
The 3666–3670 region has acted as a pivot/support multiple times. I expect a Wave (4) correction into this zone before a fresh rally.
3657 is deeper support and also serves as the invalidation level for the bullish scenario.
If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) could push towards 3720–3725.
📈 Key Levels
Type Price Level Notes
Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch for rejection
Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4)
Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation
Target (5) 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target
⚙️ Trading Plan
✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation)
Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a small sweep to ~3657).
Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on the M30 chart.
Take Profit:
TP1: 3695–3700 (previous high/resistance)
TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection)
Stop Loss: Below ~3652.
Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 to 1:3.
⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short
If price retests 3695–3700 and forms a strong rejection, a quick countertrend short is possible.
Targets: 3670 → 3657.
Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707.
Use small position sizing, as this is against the primary trend.
🛡 Risk & Invalidation
A close below 3656 plus a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario.
For Indian traders watching MCX Gold (in INR), keep in mind USD/INR fluctuations – a weaker rupee can amplify gold gains even if spot prices pause.
Always keep risk ≤1–1.5% per trade and avoid chasing late entries.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold’s trend is still bullish on the short-term chart. A healthy correction into 3666–3670 could offer a prime entry for Wave (5). Be patient, wait for confirmation, and let the price come to your zone.
Countertrend shorts are valid only on a clear rejection at 3695–3700 – otherwise, stick with the trend.
Good luck and happy trading,
