XAU/USD – REJECTION AT 3997 SUPPLY ZONE | SHORT-TERM PULLBACK SE📅 Date: Nov 06, 2025
📊 Main timeframe: H2 confirmation + M30 execution
🎯 Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + OB Rejection
🟡 MARKET CONTEXT:
Gold (XAU/USD) is retesting the 3995–3997 supply zone where a previous liquidity sweep and Break of Structure (BOS) took place.
The higher timeframe bias remains bullish, but intraday price action suggests a short-term pullback before continuation.
🔸 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:
Strong rejection from OB/Supply Zone (3995–3997)
BOS and CHoCH confirm short-term weakness.
Key buy zones aligning with demand + FVG areas:
• 3968–3966 → first liquidity pocket
• 3957–3955 → main intraday demand
• 3936–3934 → deep liquidity / FVG zone
🎯 TRADING PLAN:
SELL Setup
• Entry: 3995 – 3997
• Stop Loss: 4001 (≤ 6$ risk)
• Take Profit: 3970 / 3968
• Reason: OB rejection + liquidity sweep confirmation
BUY Setup
• Entry: 3968 – 3966 (conservative) / 3957 – 3955 (aggressive)
• Stop Loss: 3949 (≤ 6$ risk)
• Take Profit: 3988 / 3995
• Reason: Demand zone reaction + FVG fill + bullish BOS
📊 BIAS:
Short-term bearish retracement within a bullish higher timeframe trend.
Expecting liquidity sweep below 3970 before potential continuation toward 3995–4000.
Choch
GOLD READY FOR A BULLISH REBIRTH | Pullback Buy Setup Inside🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN — GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 30, 2025
Main timeframe: H1 – M30
Strategy: SMC + EMA Confluence + Trendline Reversal
🧩 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold has just completed a liquidity sweep below 3920 and is forming a bullish corrective structure along the rising trendline.
The short-term structure shows CHoCH → BOS confirmation around 3950–3970, signaling a potential reversal phase.
Price is currently testing the EMA zone (H1) and approaching the key supply at 4026–4028, where short-term profit-taking might appear.
Overall, market sentiment remains bullish toward 4020–4030, but a short retracement could occur before the next leg up.
🎯 TRADE PLAN
BUY SETUP #1
Entry: 3950 – 3948
SL: 3943
TP: 4018 → 4026
(R:R ≈ 1:3)
If price fails to hold above 3948, wait for a deeper liquidity grab:
BUY SETUP #2
Entry: 3921 – 3919
SL: 3913
TP: 3980 → 4020
(Liquidity sweep + trendline confluence)
SELL SETUP (Counter-trade)
Entry: 4026 – 4028 (rejection zone)
SL: 4033
TP: 3970 – 3950
(Only valid if bearish BOS appears on M15)
🔍 TECHNICAL INSIGHT
Structure flipped bullish after CHoCH & BOS on M30
Trendline support remains intact
EMA 34 crossing upward on H1 – confirming short-term momentum
Main liquidity pools sit around 3919 (below) and 4028 (above)
Expect pullback → bullish continuation as long as price stays above 3948
PGEL: Suggest Momentum ShiftPG Electroplast Ltd. (PGEL) has recently shown signs of emerging strength after a prolonged phase of consolidation. Over the last two trading sessions, the stock has demonstrated upward momentum, suggesting a possible attempt to break out of its range-bound structure. This observation is supported by several technical factors:
1. Moving Averages & Volume Dynamics
The stock has successfully closed above the 20-day EMA, indicating short-term bullish sentiment.
It is currently trading near the 50-day EMA, although it has not yet closed above this level. The recent price movement has been accompanied by increased trading volume, which may reflect growing market participation.
2. Change of Character (CHOCH)
The break above the 20-day EMA, despite the price not closing above the 50-day EMA, may signal a CHOCH. This is often interpreted by technical analysts as a potential shift in trend direction, particularly from bearish to neutral or bullish.
3. RSI Momentum
The RSI has moved above the 60 level, suggesting strengthening momentum. This level is typically viewed as a transition zone between neutral and bullish conditions.
4. MACD Signal
A bullish crossover on the MACD indicator has occurred on the daily timeframe. This crossover may indicate a potential shift in momentum, especially when supported by price structure and volume.
Breakout Confirmation Level:
A sustained close above ₹597 could be interpreted as a breakout from the consolidation zone. If this level is cleared with volume support, the next potential resistance may lie near ₹712 , based on historical price action. The lower boundary of the recent consolidation zone, around ₹494 , may act as a support level. This area could be monitored for potential retests or invalidation of the breakout attempt.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Market participants are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Red CHoCH Confirms the Bears – Sell at Premium Zone📌 Gold Plan – M30 Timeframe | Captain Vincent ⚓
Background
On the D1 chart, the candle closed lower, showing bearish pressure still dominates.
On H4, the bearish structure continues.
However, Gold is currently stuck around 3345/oz, unable to make a clear breakout.
The 3323 – 3335 zone remains strong support – a level where Vincent has bought multiple times before with solid profits. But with the current structure, today’s priority will be Sell in line with the main trend.
Sell Zone – Premium 🎯
Entry: 3345 – 3347
SL: 3352
TP: 3340 → 3335 → 3330 → 33xx
SMC Note (CHoCH 🔴)
On the M30 timeframe, a recent red CHoCH has appeared – a signal confirming that sellers have regained control.
This strengthens the case for selling at upper resistance zones.
Today’s Scenarios
If price holds below 3345 – 3347 → Prioritise short setups, selling in line with the downtrend.
If price breaks below current support → High chance the market will move to fill the previous FVG. In that case, wait for a Breakout Down retest to enter safer.
Consider entering one small probe trade first, then go in stronger once a reversal candle confirmation appears.
Resistance to watch: 3337 – 3345
Support to watch: 3323 – 3335
⚠️ Captain’s Note:
"SMC structure with a red CHoCH has confirmed that the bears are steering the market. We will flow with the main current – Sell at the Premium Zone – but always with discipline, waiting for clear confirmation before taking action."
Breakout Confirmation Above ₹2491 - Trend Reversal in Play?After months of downtrend, Asian Paints is showing signs of reversal. A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) has been marked, and the price is approaching a key resistance at ₹2491.
🔍 Trade Idea:
Entry (Trigger): Weekly close above ₹2491 (break of recent BSL)
Target: ₹3203 (Previous high + Weekly Fair Value Gap zone)
Stop Loss: Below swing low around ₹2110
Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2.8+
📌 Technical Confluences:
CHoCH confirmed in mid-2025
Weekly FVG above offers price imbalance that price may seek to fill
Current structure forming a higher low with bullish momentum
💬 Idea: Wait for a strong weekly close above ₹2491 for confirmation. Once confirmed, a potential rally towards ₹3200+ is in play, targeting the FVG zone and liquidity above the previous swing high.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and use proper risk management.
CHoCH + FVG = Institutional Entry Point for Option Traders!Hello Traders!
Today, we’re diving into one of the most powerful Smart Money Concepts — combining CHoCH (Change of Character) with FVG (Fair Value Gap) to identify high-probability institutional entry zones. This setup works brilliantly for both equity and option traders , especially when you want to catch the move before the breakout.
What is CHoCH (Change of Character)?
CHoCH occurs when the market shifts from a bearish to bullish structure or vice versa. It marks the first sign that market structure is shifting , and smart money is potentially stepping in.
What is a Fair Value Gap (FVG)?
An FVG is an imbalance between buyers and sellers. When price moves sharply in one direction, it leaves behind an area (usually 1-2 candles) with no trading activity — that’s the gap smart money fills later to enter or add positions.
Why This Combo Works Like Magic
CHoCH gives confirmation that market direction is changing.
FVG gives the entry zone where big players are likely to buy or sell again.
High Risk-Reward : You’re entering close to where institutions enter — not chasing breakouts.
Ideal for Option Traders looking for momentum entries at discounted zones.
How to Trade This Setup
Wait for a CHoCH on the 5min/15min chart.
Mark the FVG zone created after CHoCH.
Enter near the FVG zone with confirmation (rejection candle, volume spike, or VWAP bounce).
Place stop loss below the FVG and target swing high or based on option premium chart.
Rahul’s Tip
Don’t just chase the breakout. Learn to identify where smart money accumulates before the rally. CHoCH + FVG = sniper-level precision for option scalpers.
Conclusion
This setup is becoming a go-to for institutional-style intraday traders. It’s clean, logical, and extremely efficient when executed with discipline. Start spotting these patterns and backtest your entries — you’ll be amazed by the results!
Have you tried CHoCH + FVG before? Let me know your experience in the comments!
Graphite India Limited: Ready for a Bullish Breakout?Following a prolonged downtrend spanning five months, Graphite India Limited appears poised for a potential bullish reversal.
A pivotal indication of a changing market structure is anticipated as Graphite India approaches the end of a BOS. A confirmed shift in CHoCH would be a strong signal for investors, indicating a potential transition from bearish to bullish momentum.
On the daily timeframe, a notable double bottom pattern has been identified. This pattern typically indicates a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend, strengthening the case for a bullish outlook.
The present price action demonstrates a close above the equilibrium level, which can serve as a psychological and technical support point. This level is often critical in affirming bullish sentiment among traders.
The weekly MACD has exhibited a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line. Furthermore, the histogram transitioning into positive territory indicates increasing momentum that may support a shift in the prevailing trend.
The RSI metric is currently reflecting strength as it moves away from oversold conditions. An RSI reading above 50 typically indicates bullish momentum and may signify growing buying interest among market participants.
A successful close above the price level of ₹624 could catalyze upward momentum towards the next resistance level at ₹696 . This point will be critical in determining whether the bullish trend can sustain itself. A support floor is identified at ₹485 , which would serve as a critical level of protection for investors should the price experience short-term volatility.
Based on the outlined technical analysis there may be an opportunity for an approximate 18% return on investment from the current price levels in the short term, contingent upon successful price action and trend confirmation.
Disclaimer: This technical analysis report is intended for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Investors should consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough personal research prior to making any investment decisions. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.












