Is Bitcoins Range Box maybe hiding a bearish secret ? CAUTION ?
I have been talking about his range box that PA is in for a while and, at the same time, referenceing the previous 2 times PA has done this this Cycle.
But I also pointed out recently how this range is slightly different and possibly in a bearish way..
And I just found this on a 4 hour chart, which if true, could point towards PA taking a sudden drop to bottom of Range or Lower.
As you can see, PA has ranged across and just got rejected off the Upper trendline of a descending channel. The Fib Retracements levels seem to offer support
There is a vertical line on 1st April to give you a marlker to work on as main chart is a daily and this chart is 4 hour.
PA could continue to range horizontalyt till around 3rd March before hitting trend line again.
If PA tries to break out, it will hit it earlier.
In my head, I always have that Still open CME Gap at 77K - 82K
This is a perfect opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a discount if we get down there.
I do have an open SPOT BUY order at 78600 just in case. I would not expect PA to remain down there for very long, so I have placed my order above what I consider to be the possible Low.
None of this may happen BUT I find it prudent to be aware of all possibilities.
Cmegap
Could Bitcoin PA head down to fill CME Gap at 82K-77K usdt
And the answer is "Very possibly"
50 SMA ( RED ) -100 SMA ( BLUE ) - 128 SMA ( GREEN ) - 200 SMA ( YELLOW )
For a start, Lets Look at what the 50 SMA did in the previous range.
PA bounced off that 50, having tested it 4 weeks previously ( see wick down )
I can see no reason why that would not happen again if PA reaches this point.
But we are now seeing the 50 beginning to flatten out after 3 months of PA ranging.
The CME Gap exists since 11 Nov 2024
Price range of Gap is 80720 down to 77535
On the main chart, See how that 50 SMA is currently flattening out just under this range ?
If PA comes down to the 50 SMA for support, it will fill that CME gap.
Notice also how there is a similarity to the pattern of PA from that Range in 2024, though it seems we are experiencing a contracted version.
As mentioned in previous posts, this range is also different in that we are under a 618 Fib Ext.
Little Support below.
This does not mean we will not bounce, indeed, I think we will but ultimately, I can see PA visiting that CME Gap, even if it is just a flash Wick down.
It is a superb opportunity to buy BTC at a lower price