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Nifty 500
8th Nov ’23 - Nifty hits the resistance, Going Neutral nowNifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow, I wish to change my stance to neutral if 19446 is not getting broken in the opening 2 hours. I would love to go bearish if 19310 support is broken”
The encircled areas on the chart represent the period when 19446 resistance was in play. The open was right at that zone, then we spent 09.55 to 10.25 around those levels. We took a minor dip, but nothing impressive to retest the 19310 levels.
Then we picked up some momentum and went past the 19446 resistance by 13.10 only to be pulled back by 14.15. Then we hovered around those levels again in the last 30mts only to close marginally below.
There are 2 ways to look at things now.
Either the retracement from 26th Oct has stalled and a lower high is getting formed, wherein further moves will be downside
Nifty is just taking a pause to catch its breath and further propel upside.
Unfortunately, I am unable to comment with confidence on the direction right away.
In line with yesterday’s research, I have changed my stance from bullish to neutral. To go long not only Nifty has to break through the 19446 barrier but trade above 19561 levels. Whereas to go short, a break below 19310 would be enough.
Market Internals suggest WEAKNESSCNX500 Relative Strength
Attached: Nifty 500/ Nifty 50 Daily Chart as of 21st March 2023
- I am watching this Ratio Chart to turn down after Retesting a Confluence Zone
- Its looking Bearish currently post a Rising Wedge breakdown and Three Black Crows candlestick pattern
- It signals Weakness in the Broad Market relative to the Index.
- This Chart had Topped out in Sept 2022 and since then there has been Under the Hood Selling in the Market.
This is a Leading Indicator of the Broad Market Strength/ Weakness
And comes under the Study of Intermarket Analysis
LTI will run nowLTI has broken out of downward ratio channel on weekly time frame
Also it has taken support near the rising trend line
Similar pattern of LTi breaking out of downward channel can be observed in previous weeks as highlighted
GMM PFAUDLERIn weekly time frame after making a Bullish Hidden Divergence near an Ichimoku Kumo it has now activated a Bullish C Clamp. It has strong support near 3600 with minor resistance at 3900. Probable upside for 4600 and then 5100. View negates below 3500
NIFTY 500
Harmonic Trading Patterns have several patterns, one among them is AB=CD, currently CNX 500 has shown a reversal from the PRZ signifying bearishness. Fresh bullishness as per the pattern would happen only if it negates the pattern above 9500, the strength of the pattern reversal would further accelerate below 9000 for its expected retrace levels as per theory of 38-50-62% which are near 8500-8200-8000