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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 14, 2025 🔍 Momentum Analysis D1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently reversing to the upside, indicating that the bullish trend may continue into early next week (Monday). H4 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone, suggesting that a short-term correction is likely to bring momentum back down into oversold territory. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H4 chart, we observe a contracting triangle pattern (abcde) approaching its final stages. In the Friday trading plan, we anticipated that the corrective phase had ended and price was entering a new impulsive wave. However, there are two irregularities worth noting: A pin bar candle with high volume has appeared at the resistance zone near 3365, while H4 momentum is overbought. This signals a likely short-term correction — something that ideally should not happen if price is already in wave 3. Ideally, price should have surged to 3402 on Friday to strengthen the bullish case. On the H1 chart, bullish candles are small and overlapping, reflecting weak bullish momentum and a lack of conviction from buyers. These two signs suggest that the market may still be within the correction phase, and the 3402 level will serve as a key confirmation zone to determine whether the correction has truly ended. 💡 Trading Outlook The bullish momentum on the D1 chart still supports BUY positions for the coming week. However, since the H4 chart is overbought, a short-term pullback is likely. We will look to buy on dips toward lower support zones, targeting a move toward 3393 – 3402, which remains the target area as outlined in Friday’s plan with the original entry at 3332 – 3330. 📊 Trading Plan BUY Zone: 3342 – 3340 Stop Loss (SL): 3330 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3370 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3393
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Price Today: Uptrend or Correction?The price of gol today is showing mixed trends, with key factors affecting the market. Expectations around Federal Reserve monetary policy and important economic data, such as CPI and unemployment rate, are directly influencing the precious metals market. Additionally, global political tensions and the strengt continue to play a significant role in gold's direction. Gold remains a safe-haven asset amid economic uncertainty, but fluctuating interest rates and market volatility could lead to unpredictable movements. Current Trend: Gold may experience a slight correction if economic data turns positive and the USD strengthens, but it still remains an attractive long-term asset due to global uncertainty and inflation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
2
Nifty is consolidating just under ~25,500–25,600 Current Market Picture Nifty is consolidating just under ~25,500–25,600, having pulled back a bit after last week's dip due to global market jitters and some profit booking 🛡️ Key Support Zones (Ideal Buy-on-Dip Areas) ₹25,000 – ₹25,050 This is the most critical support. A daily close below this could signal deeper weakness. ₹24,900 – ₹24,950 A secondary support zone based on pivot points—if Nifty falls here, it's potentially a good buying window. ₹24,600 – ₹24,700 A deeper backing level used if global or domestic markets take a leg lower. 🚧 Crucial Resistance Levels (Upside Barriers) ₹25,500 – ₹25,600 Near-term ceiling. A breakout and close above ₹25,600 could usher in momentum toward ₹26,000. ₹26,000 Psychological and technical landmark. A decisive move above this signals a strong bullish tilt. 📌 What You Can Do Already Holding: Stay invested. The trend is constructive unless ₹25,000 is decisively broken. Looking to Buy: Watch for mild dips toward ₹25,000–₹25,050—a safe area to add quality index or ETF positions. Or buy shares now if you believe the upward trend and institutional flows are intact. Upside Play: A clean daily close above ₹25,600 opens the path to ₹26,000, then all-time highs.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TechnicalExpress
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 15, 2025 🟢 Trade Update The BUY order at the 3342 – 3340 zone was triggered at 3341. As of now, price has moved up by 140 pips, and the market is still following the planned scenario from the previous analysis. 📊 Momentum Analysis D1 Timeframe: Momentum is in the overbought zone, and indicator lines are showing signs of crossing — a warning signal of a potential reversal on the daily chart. H4 Timeframe: After a 6-candle decline from 3377 to 3342, H4 momentum has reversed upward. With 2 bullish candles already formed, we expect another 3–5 bullish candles, aiming toward the 3390 zone. 🌀 Elliott Wave Update Price action is currently moving toward the end of the abcde contracting triangle. We are monitoring two potential scenarios: Scenario 1 – Ongoing Triangle Correction If price returns to the lower boundary of the triangle, it is likely forming wave e, which would present a buy opportunity for the final leg of the triangle. Scenario 2 – 5-Wave Impulse Extension The current structure shows a 5-wave impulsive move, with wave 4 completed and wave 5 now beginning. The projected target for wave 5 aligns with the resistance zone at 3398 – 3402. After completing wave 5, the market could enter a corrective phase, consistent with the idea that wave d ends at this resistance. 🔔 If the price breaks above 3402, it would likely confirm that the abcde correction is complete and that a new impulsive bullish wave has started. 🎯 Trade Plan 📍SELL Zone: 3396 – 3398 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 3406 🎯 TP1: 3376 🎯 TP2: 3327 📍BUY Zone: 3295 – 3293 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 3285 🎯 TP1: 3327 🎯 TP2: 3365 🎯 TP3: 3402 ✅ Note: Prioritize entries only after confirmation from price action and momentum at key levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
BTC/USD Soars: A Surge That Took the Market by SurpriseBitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has shocked the market with a massive surge, reaching new highs in recent days. This unexpected jump has taken many traders and analysts by surprise, as BTC breaks through previous resistance levels. The driving forces behind this surge appear to be increased institutional interest, positive market sentiment, and strong demand from retail investors. As Bitcoin enters new territory, it's essential for traders to stay vigilant and manage their risk, as volatility remains high. Will Bitcoin continue its rally or face a correction? Keep an eye on the charts for the next move!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
Donchain Channel Explainedthe donchian channel is a powerful trend-following indicator that helps traders visualize price breakouts, volatility, and market direction. it plots the highest high and lowest low over a selected period, forming an upper, lower, and middle band on the chart. 🔍 how it works the donchian channel consists of: 🔹 upper band – highest high over the lookback period 🔹 lower band – lowest low over the same period 🔹 middle line – average of the upper and lower band (optional in some versions) when price breaks above the upper band, it may indicate bullish momentum or a potential breakout. conversely, a break below the lower band suggests bearish momentum. ⚙️ customizable settings you can adjust the channel period to fit your trading style: 📆 short periods (10–20) work well for scalping and intraday trading 📆 longer periods (50–100) help filter noise and spot bigger trends 🧠 how to use it ✅ trade long: can enter long when price closes above the upper band ✅ trade short: can enter short when price closes below the lower band ✅ ride trends: stay in the trade as long as price stays outside the band ✅ set trailing stops: use the opposite band as a dynamic stop-loss ✅ confirm signals: combine with volume, rsi, or moving averages for better accuracy 📈 strategy tips • in trending markets, donchian channels can help capture large moves • in ranging markets, be cautious of false breakouts • works best when combined with a solid risk management plan 💡 the donchian channel was originally developed by richard donchian, a pioneer of trend-following systems. it remains popular among swing traders, breakout traders, and trend followers. feel free to try it on different timeframes and instruments to see how price reacts to the channel boundaries. let the trend guide your decisions 📉📈 Disclaimer : This post is not financial advice, it's for educational purposes only, I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. Trading and investing involve risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. I do not guarantee profits or take responsibility for any losses you may incur.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Shivam_Mandrai
DYDX could be one of the biggest 10x plays this cycle DYDX is finally showing strong reversal signals after months of downtrend. What’s happening? We’ve spotted a clear Bullish Divergence on both the price chart and RSI. While the price made lower lows, RSI is printing higher lows — a classic signal that selling pressure is weakening and buyers are stepping in quietly. Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Support (Invalidation Zone): $0.405 🔹 If price breaks below this level, the bullish setup is invalid. 🔹 Resistance Barrier: $0.84 Once DYDX closes above this level, a major breakout could unfold. Upside Potential (if breakout confirmed): $0.84 / $3.97 / $6.83 / Bonus RSI is also trending upward, confirming hidden strength in the move. Volume is gradually picking up too — another positive sign. If this divergence plays out fully, we’re looking at a potential 10x+ move from here. Keep a close eye on the $0.84 breakout zone — it could be the ignition point for a major rally. Always trade with SL and proper risk management. This is NOT financial advice. Just sharing what I see on the charts.
Long
by CryptoPatel
Option TradingInvesting Approach by Institutions ✅ Investment Philosophy: Long-term horizon Focus on fundamentals (P/E, ROE, growth) Sector rotation and macro trends ✅ Allocation Strategies: Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA) Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA) Smart Beta and Factor Investing Trading Strategies by Institutions 🔹 High-Frequency Trading (HFT) Executes thousands of trades in milliseconds Relies on arbitrage, price inefficiencies 🔹 Statistical Arbitrage Mean-reversion strategies using historical patterns 🔹 Swing & Trend Trading Use technical indicators like MACD, Moving Averages, RSI
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Advance Option Trading Why Institutions Prefer Options Leverage – Control large positions with small capital Risk Management – Protect portfolios Cash Flow – Earn premium income Volatility Play – Earn from IV rise/fall Customization – Tailored exposure using exotic options Core Strategies Used by Institutions 1. Protective Puts Buy puts to insure large stock holdings against downside risk. 2. Covered Calls Earn premium income on long-term stock holdings. 3. Calendar Spreads Take advantage of time decay and volatility differences. 4. Straddles & Strangles Bet on volatility movement, not direction. Tools Used by Institutional Option Traders Bloomberg Terminal – Real-time data, pricing models Quantitative Models – Black-Scholes, Binomial Trees Algo Execution – Smart order routing Risk Management Software – VaR, Greeks analysis Option Analytics Platforms – Orats, Trade Alert
OANDA:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Option Trading Part-1 What Is Institutional Option Trading? Institutional Option Trading involves using derivatives (Options) for: Hedging big equity portfolios Speculating on volatility or price movement Arbitrage opportunities 🔹 Key Techniques: Volatility Arbitrage Delta-Neutral Hedging Covered Calls Protective Puts Iron Condors & Spreads How Institutions Use Options Differently ✅ Retail Focus: Naked calls/puts Directional trades Limited capital ✅ Institutional Focus: Portfolio insurance Complex multi-leg strategies Implied Volatility arbitrage Event-based hedging (like earnings or Fed news)
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
Institution Option Trading What Is Trading? Trading refers to buying and selling financial instruments (stocks, options, futures) in financial markets for profit. It can be: Retail Trading – Done by individual investors. Institutional Trading – Conducted by large organizations like banks, mutual funds, hedge funds. What Is Investing? Investing involves allocating capital with the expectation of long-term wealth generation. It focuses on: Value appreciation Dividends or returns over time Longer holding periods
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Gold Finds Strength in UncertaintyGold prices surged for the fourth consecutive session after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a new wave of tariffs — including a 35% import tax on Canadian goods and threats of 15–20% tariffs on other major trade partners. Previously, the U.S. had already imposed a 50% tariff on copper and Brazilian imports. These aggressive trade measures have reignited fears of a global economic slowdown, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold. As a result, gold is increasingly viewed as a buying opportunity, with many prioritizing safety over chasing equity market highs. Adding to the bullish case, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut — reinforced by comments from Fed officials Waller and Daly — have further boosted the metal’s appeal. In summary, the mix of rising trade tensions and a dovish monetary outlook is providing strong short-term support for gold’s upward momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
Stellar Breakout: Is $XLM the Next 10x Altcoin of 2025?After months of sideways action and accumulation, Stellar is finally showing real strength. In the last 4 weeks alone, CRYPTOCAP:XLM has pumped over 120%, bouncing perfectly from the key 0.618 Fibonacci level near $0.19 — a classic reversal zone. Here’s what’s really going on 👇 🔹 Back in Nov 2024, CRYPTOCAP:XLM went from $0.09 to $0.6374 in just 30 days — that’s a 600% move! 🔹 After that huge rally, price corrected nearly -68%, landing right at the golden Fib zone. 🔹 And guess what? Buyers stepped in hard, flipping the trend back to bullish. Could we see a pullback? Sure — maybe a small dip toward $0.30 (0.382 Fib). That’s normal. But the overall structure looks super bullish right now. Major Resistance: $0.58 If that breaks and flips into support — we’re likely headed toward $2–$5 in the next wave. This is one of the cleanest macro charts in the altcoin market right now. 👇 Drop your XLM target for this bull run in the comments! Let’s see who’s aiming for the moon. Note: DYOR & NFA
Long
by CryptoPatel
$PENGU is up 180% from our entry. Insane move.CSECY:PENGU is up 180% from our entry. Insane move. Entry was around $0.010 — today it touched $0.0308. Almost 3x. I booked 50% profits here. Still bullish, but I always play safe. Profit booking is part of the game — don’t wait till it’s too late. If you’re holding big — at least secure your free capital. Then ride the rest with peace of mind. What’s your move? Booked profits or still holding? 👇 Drop a comment + Retweet if you caught this run. NFA & DYOR
Long
by CryptoPatel
Manorama Industries - Flag Pattern Manorama Industries is consolidating from last 2 months, and is ready to explode as it breakout for a ATH. Other factors: 1. Manorama Industries is into a niche business of making exotic fat / butter from vegetable seeds, which are used in Cosmetics, Chocolates and Confectionary. 2. Sales & Profits are increasing - high demand for its products 3. Next 3-4 years growth strategy ready - a plant in Africa, entering in Cocoa Butter Alternative market. 4. After a long jump, stock is consolidating from last 2 months. Manorama Industries is in a very niche business and its growth strategy is sound to take it to heights. Keep following @Cleaneasycharts for Rights Stocks at Right Time at Right Price!! Cheers!!
NSE:MANORAMALong
by Cleaneasycharts
SHOPPERS STOP - SWING SHOPPER'S STOP Swing Opportunity LTP 510 Either add on dips till 470 OR Buy when it sustains above 540 SL CLB 440 T1 610 T2 680 📌 Stick to levels. Follow discipline. Let the trade work for you. 📌Please Follow TSL (Trailing Stop Loss) To help maximize your profits and protect gains as the trade progresses. Let’s stay hopeful that the move continues as per our expectations! 📈 💡 Liked the idea? Then don’t forget to Boost 🚀 it! For more insights & trade ideas, 📲 Visit my profile and hit Follow Warm regards, Naresh G SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:SHOPERSTOPLong
by NareshG_SEBI_REGISTERED_RA
If $NEAR hits $50, will you regret not buying at $2?🚨 NEAR/USDT Weekly Chart Update 🚨 NEAR has bounced from a strong weekly support level inside a multi-year triangle. This bounce looks powerful and could be the start of a major move. 🔹 Current Price: $2.51 🔹 Entry Zone: $2.00–$2.50 🔻 Invalidation Level: Below $1.80 (if price drops here, the setup fails) This bounce could lead to a big rally in the coming months. 🟢 Target Levels: $3.30 $7.77 – Mid-term resistance $16.72 – Bullish target $30 to $50 – Long-term upside if momentum builds That’s up to 2000% potential upside from current levels. Pullbacks between $2.50–$2 can offer another good entry. Key Point: This bounce from support looks like the early stage of a larger uptrend. It's a good time to position slowly and carefully — but always manage your risk. What’s your view on NEAR’s bounce? Note: NFA & DYOR
Long
by CryptoPatel
TRADER PSYCHOLOGY - Overtrading The Silent Killer of ConsistencyTRADER PSYCHOLOGY | EPISODE 1: Overtrading – The Silent Killer of Consistency In the dynamic world of forex trading, success doesn't come from doing more — it comes from doing right. Yet many traders, especially full-time traders in India, unknowingly fall into a common psychological trap that slowly erodes both their capital and confidence: Overtrading. Let’s break it down — what overtrading is, why it happens, and most importantly, how to stop it before it burns through your progress. 🧠 What Is Overtrading in Forex? Overtrading refers to excessive trading – opening too many positions without clear signals or justification based on your strategy. In most cases, it’s driven by emotion, not logic. It usually shows up in two forms: Trading out of boredom or the urge to “do something” Trying to recover from previous losses (a.k.a. revenge trading) Over time, this behavior becomes a habit — and like most bad habits in trading, it’s expensive. ⚠️ Signs You Might Be Overtrading If you answer "yes" to any of these, it’s time to check your discipline: Do you feel uncomfortable when you’re not in a trade? Do you enter trades even when your system says “no trade”? Do you keep switching charts hoping to “find a setup”? After a losing trade, do you jump right back in to recover? Have you lost more to fees/spread than actual price movement? 🧩 Why Indian Traders Often Fall Into Overtrading 🔹 The Action Bias Traders often feel they must "do something" to be productive. In reality, sitting out is a strategy — especially when markets are flat or unclear. 🔹 Pressure to Perform Daily Many traders in India try to generate consistent income from trading — and assume they must win every day. That pressure leads to forcing trades just to “hit targets.” 🔹 Overconfidence After a Winning Streak Success leads to confidence — but too much confidence without structure leads to impulsive trading. One good day shouldn’t convince you that you’ve mastered the market. 🔥 Consequences of Overtrading Overtrading doesn’t just hurt your account — it breaks your mindset. Capital Depletion: Small losses + transaction costs = big drawdown over time Mental Burnout: You feel drained, frustrated, and reactive Lack of System Trust: You abandon good strategies because you never followed them properly Emotional Instability: You start making decisions based on fear or revenge, not analysis ✅ How to Control Overtrading – Practical Steps 1. Limit the Number of Trades Per Day Set a clear rule — e.g., “Maximum 3 trades per day.” This forces you to choose the best setups and ignore mediocre ones. 2. Keep a Simple Trading Journal Write down: Why you took the trade Whether it matched your plan Your emotional state Reviewing this weekly will reveal patterns you never noticed in real time. 3. Block Out Non-Active Trading Hours For Indian traders, this might mean avoiding low-volume periods like mid-Asia session. Focus on London or US overlap hours — when liquidity and volatility are high. 4. Understand: Not Trading Is Still Trading Being flat (no position) is a strategic decision. Markets reward patience, not impatience. 🎯 Final Thoughts Overtrading is not a technical issue — it’s a mindset issue. When you feel the urge to “do something,” remind yourself: the best traders don’t trade all the time. They wait, they observe, and they only act when everything aligns. "The market doesn’t pay you for activity — it pays you for accuracy." If you want to grow consistently, you must master the art of waiting, filtering, and executing with purpose. 📌 Next in the Series: TRADER PSYCHOLOGY | EPISODE 2: FOMO – How Fear of Missing Out Destroys Good Decisions Follow this page to get notified when it drops!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Struggles Under Tariff Pressure Hello everyone, great to see you again! Today, OANDA:XAUUSD remains under notable pressure as the U.S. continues to signal a tougher trade stance. The latest move: the U.S. President announced a 50% import tariff on copper and a potential 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals, following a previous tariff notice ranging from 25% to 40% sent to 14 countries — including Japan, South Korea, Thailand, and Malaysia. This isn’t just about protectionism. These measures fuel fears of global inflation, supply chain disruptions, and a broader economic slowdown. With surging prices in raw materials and essential goods, consumers may be forced to cut back spending, a classic warning sign for future growth. In this environment, investors had hoped gold would shine again as a safe haven asset. However, the recent bullish momentum has been underwhelming, signaling ongoing market hesitation. 📉 On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is being squeezed into a descending pattern, which typically carries a high probability of a downside breakout. If the current support fails, the next target could fall below the 32xx area. On the flip side, if supportive news emerges — such as a hint of rate cuts from the Fed — gold must break above the $3,335 level to revive bullish sentiment. 🔎 What do you think? Will gold break lower — or bounce back? Drop your thoughts below!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
2
Sideways: Identifying Ranges and BreakoutsMaster the quiet before the move. Not every market moves in strong trends. In fact, many stocks spend a lot of time trading sideways moving within a defined range without making a clear move up or down. While this can frustrate trend-following traders, sideways phases actually offer great setups if you know what to look for. Understanding how to identify sideways markets, define price ranges, and spot breakouts early can help you enter trades with better timing and stronger conviction. What is a Sideways Market? A sideways market (also called a consolidation or range-bound market) is when a stock or index trades between horizontal support and resistance levels for an extended period. The price lacks clear direction, and both buyers and sellers seem to be in balance. During this phase: Volatility contracts Indicators flatten out (e.g., Moving Averages) Breakouts or breakdowns are often short-lived until they aren’t These quiet zones can build up pressure. When a breakout finally occurs, it often leads to a significant price move. How to Identify a Range Look for: Horizontal support and resistance: Price bounces between two levels without breaking out. Flat Moving Averages: The 20, 50, or 100-period MA may start to go sideways. Diminished volume: Volume often tapers off during consolidation. Failed breakouts: Price may pierce the top or bottom of the range but quickly revert. Using tools like rectangles or horizontal rays on TradingView helps visualize the range clearly. Trading the Range vs. Trading the Breakout You can approach sideways markets in two ways: Range Trading Buy near support Sell near resistance Use indicators like RSI or Stochastic to confirm overbought/oversold conditions Range trading works best when the price has respected the zone multiple times and volume is low. Breakout Trading Wait for price to close outside the range Look for increased volume on the breakout Confirm with indicators like MACD crossover or momentum surge Breakouts from sideways zones often lead to trending moves especially if the range has held for several days or weeks. Why Sideways Markets Matter While many traders wait for big trends, experienced traders know that sideways markets are where setups are built. Whether you’re scalping quick moves inside the range or preparing for a breakout, this phase is rich with opportunities if you’re patient and prepared. Conclusion A sideways chart isn’t just “nothing happening” it’s a pause with purpose. Identifying ranges correctly allows you to stay out of noisy trades, time your entries better, and prepare for explosive breakouts.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Dhan