Crash!!!!!
Bubble of 2020 will burst by April 2021!All governments globally have been generous in providing decent amount of stimulus to their respective countries as compared to their GDP's. What makes me wonder is that even after such huge amount of stimulus many countries have shown flat GDP growth or economic contraction. What if these stimulus were not provided at first place? The economies and the global markets would die out of lack of liquidity. The stimulus just acted like a ventilator for dead global economies. The scary part is the recovery rally that we witnessed after 23rd March 2020 (bottom of crash) is actually a bubble as stock prices have increased whereas earnings of many stocks are still away from their previous highs resulting in crazy P/E ratios on index (i have never witnessed a PE ratio of 34 on Indian markets). This bubble shall burst as on ground in practical life consumer spending is less and many small businesses have shut down. Banks are at a huge risk of default (worst then 2007-2008). The interest rates are cheap and people are buying automobiles on huge loans out of their affordability. Things will start spiraling down to reality as central banks will increase interest rates soon and consumer spending through loans will also go down. Financially, next decade will be challenging. We will see another market crash by 12th April 2021 (max). The bull rally is short lived!
MARKET WILL FALL!!!!!! BULL MARKET OVER OR CORRECTION?All the things I want to say is mentioned in the chart, please read it carefully.
Besides that,
Reason to this fall :
1.MARKET HAVE A STRONG SUPPORT IN THE MID RANGE OF 26500-26600.
So we can expect fall up to that.
And as per logical TARGET FOR A #RISINGWEDGE PATTERN is 2L , which is exactly DOUBLE of length L mentioned on chart.
2. RSI is showing above 70, which is signal for reversal.
3. MARKET and RSI are both moving towards different direction of each other and RSI DIVERGENCE created.
DISCLAIMER:
This is my personal view and I have booked my profit in finance sector TODAY.
DONT TAKE DISCISION BASED ON MY IDEA, KINDLYTAKE A ADVICE FROM YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR.
I have also publish BULLISH idea on NIFTY as well as NIFTY BANK month ago in OCTOBER. According to that , Hope You might have enjoy NOVEMBER MONTH well.😊
You can visit my IDEAS Section for more analysis.
This is only TEMPORARY CORRECTION in the market , which will run for DECEMBER AND JANUARY. You can see MARKET TURN-AROUND AT 26500-26600 ,(act as AS A SUPPORT) , which we will see around JANUARY END.
Panic market crash may be seen ahead of Ayodhya verdictNifty developed an 'evening star' pattern in daily chart, which is a very strong bearish signal. Ahead of Ayodhya verdict, market is selling off from the strong selling zone near all time high. There is a strong possibility of an extreme volatile market in the coming days due to the high sensitivity of the issue.
If price breaks the blue trendline, I am anticipating a downward rally till price reaches the strong buy zone as marked in the chart.
Also, a clear bearish divergence in MACD histogram has developed in daily chart of Nifty
Nifty - D-Street or Damaged Street-520 Points Fall-Elliott WavesTrading Strategy
Safe Traders
Buy above 11585 for Targets
11625/Above 11650 for 11775-11800 / Above 11800 for 11980-12000 / Above 12000 for 12100-12200
Risky Traders
Look to buy in 11480-11510 zone with strict stops below 11460 for above mentioned targets as suggested for safe traders.
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Please consider following reasons -
1. Trend Line Resistance
2. Negative Divergence on Stocastic
3. Inverted Cup and Handle Pattern