Why BTC is going down ? Follow up Today, BTCUSDT has reached one critical point. In the past analysis linked here, we were waiting for two left-behind point, one between 56k and 53k and another below 51k, around 45k.
The price recovered the inefficiency, kept the lateral movement on the 60k resistance, consolidated by returning to the 63k level.
I was looking for a probable BARR but, as said in the past analysis, the pair had few liquidity and interest point to reach before increase and start the post-halving bull run.
The decreasing trend line fake out on the begin of the month can be mistaken for a break out, but the price did not draw a strong BOS and satisfying the fibonacci TP and level on the monthly inefficiency level (purple line).
This new bearish movement of the last few days included all crypto pairs. Ethereum, Ripple, Solana, Dogecoin... everyone's price decreased.
From a technical point of view, the price have reached our POI, point of interest zones. For Bitcoin we were waiting a recover around 56-53k, which were a inefficiency zone left behind from February 2024. It's impressive the reactivity of the price around our levels, snipers !
There are still areas to cover. On higher tf, the price is creating a M-pattern, indicator for an imminent bearish run. It would be in line with our analysis. The price would cover those missing areas, consolidating and the start a bull run. I am confident on a return around 42k before the long run.
I have just a note, a little thing that does not make sense so far : the price in below the Halving-level and this happened just another time before. Anyways, from an historical and fundamental point of view, the price has always increased after the halving (that's the aim). Are there any fundamentals points which have to be essentially consider for a fair analysis ? Are institutions and big whales a turning player for this halving as never before ?
Let's see..
