CUP
PUNJAB SIND BANK - PSB - 5Year Cup Handle BreakoutPUNJAB SIND BANK (PSB) is showing a 5 year Cup Handle Breakout with high RSI and good volumes. Obviously it is the week's first day and the weekly candle is still forming so look out for the candle close is important and the breakout should sustain over the next weeks. The PSU bank sector is also bullish now as many other banks are breaking out too.
HG INFRA: CUP AND HANDLESTRATEGY: BUY CMP i.e. 985-980 SL:905 TGT: 1130-1150
Theory:
The Cup with Handle is a bullish continuation pattern that marks a consolidation period followed by a breakout. It was developed by William O'Neil and introduced in his 1988 book, How to Make Money in Stocks.
As its name implies, there are two parts to the pattern: the cup and the handle. The cup forms after an advance and looks like a bowl or rounding bottom. As the cup is completed, a trading range develops on the right-hand side and the handle is formed. A subsequent breakout from the handle's trading range signals a continuation of the prior advance.
Trend: To qualify as a continuation pattern, a prior trend should exist. Ideally, the trend should be a few months old and not too mature. The more mature the trend, the less chance that the pattern marks a continuation or the less upside potential.
Cup: The cup should be “U” shaped and resemble a bowl or rounding bottom. A “V” shaped bottom would be considered too sharp of a reversal to qualify. The softer “U” shape ensures that the cup is a consolidation pattern with valid support at the bottom of the “U”. The perfect pattern would have equal highs on both sides of the cup, but this is not always the case.
Cup Depth: Ideally, the depth of the cup should retrace 1/3 or less of the previous advance. However, with volatile markets and over-reactions, the retracement could range from 1/3 to 1/2. In extreme situations, the maximum retracement could be 2/3, which conforms with Dow Theory.
Handle: After the high forms on the right side of the cup, there is a pullback that forms the handle. Sometimes this handle resembles a flag or pennant that slopes downward, other times it is just a short pullback. The handle represents the final consolidation/pullback before the big breakout and can retrace up to 1/3 of the cup's advance, but usually not more. The smaller the retracement, the more bullish the formation and significant the breakout. Sometimes it is prudent to wait for a break above the resistance line established by the highs of the cup.
Volume: There should be a substantial increase in volume on the breakout above the handle's resistance.
Target: The projected advance after breakout can be estimated by measuring the distance from the right peak of the cup to the bottom of the cup.
Is CRISIL out of CRISIS ? Company has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 30.4%
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 67.2%
CRISIL Ltd is a globally diversified analytical Company providing ratings, research, risk and policy advisory services. CRISIL is India’s leading ratings agency and the foremost provider of high-end research to large banks and leading corporations.
Khelo Kushti aur Karo Masti with MSTC.- Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 3.51%.
- Company has delivered good profit growth of 26% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 30%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 39%
- Promoter holding 65 %
- Annual Net Profit rose 21.5% in the last year to Rs 242 Crores. Its sector's average net profit growth for the last fiscal year was 49.2%.
- PE Ratio is 12 vs its sector PE Ratio of 85.
MSTC (Metal Scrap Trade Corporation) Ltd undertakes trading activities, e-commerce and also disposal of ferrous and non-ferrous scrap, surplus stores, minerals, agri and forest products, etc. The company is owned and controlled by the Government of India. The company is significantly important for GOI as it undertakes various important e-auctions for the government.
It sources raw materials like heavy melting scrap, low ash metallurgical coke, HR coil, Naptha, crude oil, coking coal, etc
The company's branches are located across India in cities like New Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, Bangalore, Hyderabad, Lucknow, Jaipur, Raipur, Guwahati, Chandigarh, and others
It is casting more focus on untapped e-comm business from the private sector and has signed ticket agreements with Reliance, Indus Towers, Tata Power, Vedanta, and others.
Mahindra MSTC Recycling Pvt Ltd is a JV with Mahindra Intertrade Ltd wherein the company holds 50% stake. It owns India’s first auto-recycling plant in Greater Noida, Uttar Pradesh for the scientific recycling of End of Life Vehicles (ELVs) and white goods. It has further operationalized Collection & Dismantling centers at Chennai and Pune in FY22.
The JV can greatly benefit from the vehicle scrapping policy which can ensure continuous supply of ELVs for its plants.
Caplin point Daily flag and pole B/OA bullish flag and pole b/o has been confirmed on daily chart of NSE:CAPLIPOINT . Here one can create a fresh position in the scrip. Buy@840 SL@800 TGT@880/920/960
The risk to reward ratio is 1:3
Exit the position if the stop loss is triggered on DCB.
DO YOU WANT ALL MY RESEARCH FOR FREE THEN DON'T FORGET TO FOLLOW ME.
I AM EAGERLY WAITING FOR YOUR COMMENTS ON THE STUDY...
Disclaimer: Content shared is for information and education purposes only and should not be treated as investment or trading advice. Please do your own analysis or take independent professional financial advice before making any investments based on your own personal circumstances. Investment in securities are subject to market risks, please carry out your due diligence before investing. And last but not the least, past performance is not indicative of future returns.
MPS - Short and Long Term
The Higher Time frames look solid.
Multi-year Breakout Contender.
On the Lower Time frame an inverted Head and Shoulder was spotted.
A breakout happened and followed it up with a retest.
Stock is moving in a Rising Wedge.
I expect an upward rally from here on to the top end of the wedge.
VARDHMAN STEEL is SPECIAL !Market Cap 1,111 Cr.
Promoter holding 60.8 %
Pledged 0%
Dividend Yield 1.25 %
Intrinsic Value 483
Stock P/E 10.4
Industry P/E 18.2
Debt to equity 0.26
ROCE 25.7 %
ROE 19.8 %
OPM 9.74 %
EBIDT growth 3Years 42.9 %
Free Cash Flow 24.2 Cr.
EPS 26.4 vs EPS last year 24.8 vs EPS preceding year 10.9
Vardhman Special Steels is engaged in manufacturing of Billets, Steel bars & Rods and Bright Bars of various categories of special and alloy steels since 1973 which caters to sectors such as Engineering, Automotive, Tractor, Bearing and Allied Industries.
The Co is amongst India’s Leading Steel Bar Producers for Automotive Applications.
The Co. has the capacity to manufacture 2 lakh TPA of steel billets and also 2 lakh TPA of steel rolled products. It has received approval from the Ministry of Environment for expanding its rolled-products capacity from 2 lakh TPA to 2.80 lakh TPA. The Co. invested Rs. 35 crore in capital expenditure in its unit. The most important among them was the modifications made to the Continuous Casting Machine (CCM) which has increased its melting capacity from 2 lakh TPA to 2.60 lakh TPA
The Co. sold 1.7 lakh tonnes in FY22 against 1.5 lakh tonnes in FY21.
The Co. has strong relations with 200+ customers like Toyota, Hero Moto Corp, Caterpillar, Hino Motors, Maruti, Bajaj, and Hyundai, among others. Its top 5 clients contribute about 30% of total revenue and about 70-75% of the contribution coming from passenger vehicles and two-wheelers.The Co also caters to international customers and has a presence in countries like Thailand, Taiwan, Turkey, Russia, Germany and Spain.In FY22, 5% of total sales came from exports.