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Cupandhandlebreakout

Inverse Cup and Handle for Bearish indicationAfter strong Bullish Engulfing formation on 5th September 2025, the OANDA:NZDCAD price is rocketing towards higher highs, aiming for 0.8624 resistance. Now it needs some breath after forming a bearish Harami on 12th September 2025. Looking at the Hourly timeframe, it made an inversed Cup and Handle which indicates for bearish signal. Yet we need another confirmation for breaking its lower high at 0.8229 which is our entry price I am bearish from Monday onwards waiting for that cup's handle breakout. Once its done my orders must be triggered and left for bearish. I will place a sell stop order 0.8229 with my SL at the handle of cup at 0.8256. I will take two positions both at the breakout of Handle at 0.8229. Both position has 2% risk in total Note: The Sell stop order is a must. If its not triggered then we are not aiming for any other trade. Position 1 with 1 % Risk Buy Stop: 0.8229 Stop Loss: 0.8256 TP: 0.8197 Position 1 with 1 % Risk Buy Stop: 0.8229 Stop Loss: 0.8256 TP: 0.8160
Short
by hameedops
Cup and Handle Breakout & Retest in BRITANNIABritannia Industries has delivered a textbook Cup and Handle breakout on its daily chart, signaling renewed bullish momentum and the potential for higher highs ahead. After months of base-building, the stock surged above the key resistance level near ₹6,083, confirming the breakout with strong volume and a sharp price spike. This technical pattern often foreshadows continued upward movement, as buyers regain control following consolidation. On the right, the Britannia 6100 September PUT option chart highlights a significant retest, with the PUT price dropping over 44% today, indicating strong bullish sentiment in the underlying stock. The sharp drop in the PUT’s value reinforces the breakout’s validity, since a falling PUT price typically aligns with rising equity prices. Overall, Britannia’s decisive close above resistance and the synchronized retreat in bearish option premiums underscore an emerging uptrend. Traders may watch for continuation above ₹6,083 while managing risk near the breakout level.
NSE:BRITANNIA250930P6100
by Kapil-Mittal
1
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Cup and Handle Breakout in JAICORPLTD BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:JAICORPLTD
by Kapil-Mittal
2
APOLLO: C&H and Rounding Bottom BO: Chart of the Week NSE:APOLLO : The Cup and Handle Breakout That Finally Delivered After Multiple False Starts with Rounding Bottom Breakout on Daily TF Let's Analyze it in the Chart of the Week. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action: • The chart reveals a sophisticated Cup and Handle pattern formation spanning from Late-2023 to August 2025, with the "cup" forming between 205-160 levels and the "handle" consolidating around the 180-200 zone • Multiple breakout attempts were witnessed - first in December 2024 with a King Candle formation, followed by another sharp rally in May 2025, both failing to sustain above the descending trendline • The current August 2025 breakout represents the third and most convincing attempt, breaking through both the descending resistance trendline and the horizontal resistance at 205-220 levels • Volume surge during the current breakout (119.95M vs average 54.33M) confirms institutional participation and validates the breakout authenticity • The curved line clearly marks the rounding bottom formation, indicating a gradual shift from bearish to bullish sentiment Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Pattern Insights: • Exceptional volume breakout with nearly 2.2x average daily volume during the recent surge • Volume accumulation visible during the cup formation, indicating smart money participation • Low volume during handle formation, suggesting healthy consolidation • Volume expansion coinciding with price breakout confirms institutional buying Key Support and Resistance: • Immediate Support Zones: - Primary: 220-225 (previous resistance turned support) - Secondary: 200-205 (handle formation base) - Major: 180-185 (cup formation low) • Critical Resistance Levels: - Near-term: 250-260 (measured move target from cup depth) - Intermediate: 280-290 (Fibonacci extension 1.618 level) - Long-term: 320-340 (cup and handle pattern target) • Base Formation: Strong accumulation base established between 160-220 over 18+ months Multi-Pattern Technical Setup: • Cup and Handle Pattern: Classic bullish continuation pattern with 18-month formation period • Descending Triangle Breakout: Successfully breached the falling trendline resistance • Rounding Bottom: Long-term reversal pattern indicating strong institutional accumulation • Volume Breakout Pattern: Exceptional volume expansion confirming price breakout validity Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Latest Financial Performance: • Net profit surged 126% to Rs 19 crore in Q1 FY2026 compared to Rs 8 crore in Q1 FY2025 • Revenue growth of 46.5% to Rs 134 crore versus Rs 91 crore in the previous year, same quarter • Quarterly growth basis shows a 32.21% jump in net profits since last quarter • Market capitalization stands at approximately Rs 7,854 crores, reflecting strong market confidence Strategic Business Positioning: • Company is involved in more than 150 indigenous defence programs and 60 DcPP (Defence Capital Procurement Policy) programs as a sub-system partner • Specializes in ruggedized electronic hardware and software solutions for critical sectors • Strong focus on import substitution and Atmanirbhar Bharat initiatives • Diversified client base including DRDO, HAL, BEL, and other major defence contractors Sector Momentum Analysis: • Apollo Micro Systems gained 14.6% on August 22, 2025, demonstrating resilience amid market fluctuations • Stock has significantly outperformed the broader market year-to-date, reflecting strong performance in the Aerospace & Defence sector • Defence budget allocation increases continue to provide sectoral tailwinds • Growing focus on indigenous defence manufacturing creates long-term opportunities Market Participation Analysis: • High institutional interest is evident from volume patterns • Retail participation is likely to increase given the breakout visibility • Options activity expected to increase as the stock approaches higher price levels • Potential inclusion in small-cap/midcap indices could trigger passive fund buying Risk Assessment and Scenario Analysis: Technical Risk Factors: • Failed breakout history (December 2024 and May 2025) suggests caution is required • High beta nature means increased volatility during market corrections • Potential for profit booking at psychologically important 250 levels • Need for sustained volume to validate the breakout authenticity Fundamental Risk Considerations: • Defence sector dependency on government policy changes and budget allocations • Long procurement cycles are typical in defence contracts, affecting quarterly results • Competition from established defence majors and emerging players • Currency fluctuation impact on imported components and raw materials Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:APOLLO
by Karanshah137
12
BRITANNIA - Cup & Handle Breakout Attempt📊 BRITANNIA – Technical & Fundamental Educational Snapshot Ticker: NSE: BRITANNIA | Sector: FMCG – Packaged Foods & Biscuits CMP: ₹5,765.50 Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Bullish Setup – For Educational Purposes Only) Pattern Observed: ☕📈 Cup & Handle Breakout Attempt 📊 Technical Observations BRITANNIA (CMP: ₹5,765.5) is exhibiting a Cup & Handle breakout formation, confirmed by a strong bullish candle on heavy volumes. The stock has moved up from a recent bottom zone near ₹5,256–₹5,487 towards the neckline at ₹5,794, with key resistances placed at ₹5,848, ₹5,931, and ₹6,068, while supports are noted at ₹5,628, ₹5,491, and ₹5,408. Technical indicators show RSI at 59 (breakout zone), a bullish MACD crossover, CCI at 76, and Stochastic at 94, highlighting strong upward momentum. The price action is supported by VWAP strength, and a Bollinger Band squeeze-off breakout, suggesting a possible trend continuation. Volume surged to ~1.31M shares, significantly higher than the 20-day average of ~0.44M, indicating institutional participation. Based on the current momentum and technical structure, there is a strong possibility of breakout continuation; however, traders should carefully monitor the ₹5,628 and ₹5,518 levels as critical supports for risk management. Britannia Industries has been in focus after analysts at PL Capital named it among their top stock picks, citing its strong positioning to benefit from India’s consumption revival. In its Q1 FY26 results, the company reported a consolidated net profit of ₹521 crore, up ~3% YoY, with revenues rising ~9% to ₹4,622 crore, though profitability fell short of street expectations due to higher input costs. Standalone performance was softer, with net profit down 0.8% YoY to ₹498 crore despite an 8.8% increase in revenue, reflecting margin pressure from raw material cost inflation. On the positive side, Britannia highlighted broad-based demand growth across both rural and urban markets and announced steps to boost the nutritional profile of its products by increasing whole grain content while reducing sugar and sodium, aligning with health-conscious consumer trends. From a sentiment standpoint, the stock currently reflects a neutral to slightly positive bias. Bullish triggers include the ongoing consumption recovery, strong rural demand, analyst endorsements, product innovation, and sequential revenue growth. On the bearish side, rising input costs, weak standalone profitability, and rich valuations (P/E ~60) pose risks to near-term upside. From an investment perspective, the outlook for Britannia remains mixed but constructive. On the bullish case, volume-led demand growth, health-focused innovation, and strong brand positioning could support further upside. On the bearish case, margin pressure and stretched valuations may limit near-term gains. In the short term (next few sessions), price action appears momentum-driven, supported by a bullish cup-and-handle breakout setup and strong institutional participation, making a continuation move possible in the next 1–2 days. Over the longer term (6–12 months), Britannia’s growth story remains intact provided cost pressures ease and the company sustains its demand momentum, aligning with PL Capital’s positive stance on the FMCG leader. 📊 STWP Trade Analysis – Under the STWP trade framework, one illustrative breakout scenario could involve a long entry near ₹5,794.50, with a protective stop at ₹5,518.40. In comparable past structures, price has tended to extend towards zones such as ₹5,848–₹5,880 (approx. 1:1 risk–reward), ₹5,931 (around 1:1.5 R:R), and ₹6,049–₹6,071 (approx. 1:2 R:R). If momentum accelerates, a stretch target may open towards ₹6,068 → ₹6,347. An alternative, more conservative illustration could be a pullback entry in the ₹5,545–₹5,525 zone, with a tight invalidation stop at ₹5,518. A quick reaction pullback may also occur around the Fibonacci level of ₹5,719.70, before attempting a continuation higher. Upside zones remain aligned with the same resistance ladder (₹5,848–₹5,880 → ₹5,931 → ₹6,049–₹6,071 → ₹6,347). Possible Demand Zone (Illustrative): ₹5,608.50 – ₹5,545 Stop Loss (tight): ₹5,537.90 Approximate Risk: ~₹70 per lot ⚠️ Risk Reminder: Price momentum is strong but Stochastic readings are elevated, which may lead to volatility or shakeouts. Traders should trail stops actively (e.g., move SL to breakeven after T1, and under higher lows after T2). Market volatility, raw material cost changes, and broader FMCG index sentiment can influence outcomes. Past price behavior and backtests are illustrative only and do not guarantee future performance. ⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data. Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments. 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning. ✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness. 👉 “If you liked this breakdown, follow for more clean, structured setups with discipline at the core.” 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
NSE:BRITANNIALong
by simpletradewithpatience
HWC - LongThis is a weekly candlestick chart of Hancock Whitney Corporation (HWC) listed on NASDAQ. The chart is showing a Cup and Handle pattern, which is a bullish continuation pattern often seen before an upward breakout. Let’s break it down step by step: 🔎 Pattern Analysis Cup Formation (Left Side to April 2025) The chart formed a large round bottom (cup), which reflects a gradual decline followed by a steady recovery. This signals accumulation by smart money (big investors quietly buying at lower levels). Handle Formation (June–August 2025) After the cup, prices consolidated slightly downward and sideways, forming the handle. This is the last stage before a breakout, essentially a "pause" before buyers take full control. Breakout Zone (63 level): The neckline (or breakout level) is around $63. Price has just broken above this neckline, confirming the bullish pattern. 🎯 Price Target Projection The height of the cup is around $18.43 (41.73%). Adding this to the breakout point ($63) gives a target of around $81. This is marked on the chart as the Target zone. 📉 Stop Loss (Risk Management) The suggested Stop Loss (SL) is set at $56.94. If prices fall below this, the bullish setup would be invalid, so risk needs to be controlled. 🔔 Key Takeaways for Members ✅ A bullish Cup and Handle breakout is visible. ✅ Breakout confirmed above $63. 🎯 Upside Target: $81 📉 Stop Loss: $56.94 ⏳ This is a weekly timeframe, so it may take weeks/months for the target to be achieved. Patience is key. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This explanation is only for educational purposes, not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before making trading decisions.
NASDAQ:HWCLong
by PowerOfTA
Zydus Lifesciences – Cup and Handle Breakout SetupThe stock has formed a classic Cup and Handle pattern, with a breakout zone around ₹1,010–1,020. A successful breakout above this level indicates bullish continuation, with a projected upside target of around ₹1,235.90 (21.5% potential). The daily RSI (67.49) and weekly RSI (61.78) are both rising, signaling strong bullish momentum with room for further upside. The MACD also remains in positive territory, reinforcing the bullish trend. A sustained breakout above ₹1,010–1,020 can be used as an entry point, with an upside target of ₹1,235, while maintaining a stop loss at ₹919 to manage risk below the handle low. Disclaimer: The information provided in this analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
NSE:ZYDUSLIFELong
by RahulPritwani
SMLISUZU: Explosive Cup and Handle Breakout, Chart of the Month From Years of Consolidation to Explosive Breakout: Why NSE:SMLISUZU Cup & Handle Pattern Could Deliver Multi-Bagger Returns. Let's Deep Dive into "Chart of the Month" Price Action Analysis: - Current trading price is approximately ₹3,799.40 - The stock has demonstrated a textbook Cup & Handle formation spanning over a decade (2015-2025) - Post-breakout momentum shows strong bullish continuation with healthy volume expansion - Recent breakout above the ₹2,400 breakout level indicates institutional accumulation Volume Spread Analysis: - Volume spike during the 2024-2025 breakout phase confirms genuine institutional interest - Average daily volume has increased significantly from historical levels - Volume pattern shows healthy distribution during consolidation phases and accumulation during breakouts - Recent volume bars indicate sustained buying interest at higher levels Key Technical Levels: Base Formation: - Primary base formed between 2020-2023 at ₹400-800 levels - Secondary base consolidation occurred in 2023-2024 around ₹1,200-1,600 range - The decade-long cup formation created a strong foundation for the current uptrend Support Levels: - Immediate support: ₹3,200-3,400 (recent consolidation zone) - Strong support: ₹2,400-2,600 (cup breakout level) - Critical support: ₹1,800-2,000 (previous resistance turned support) - Long-term support: ₹1,200-1,400 (base formation) Resistance Levels: - Immediate resistance: ₹4,200-4,400 (psychological round number) - Next resistance: ₹4,800-5,000 (projected target based on cup depth) - Long-term target: ₹6,000+ (measured move from cup formation) Technical Pattern: Cup & Handle Pattern - Formation period: 2015-2025 (10-year formation) - Cup depth: Approximately ₹1,800 (from ₹2,400 high to ₹600 low) - Handle formation: 2024-2025 consolidation - Breakout confirmation: Volume expansion above ₹2,400 Moving Average Alignment: - Price trading above all major moving averages - Strong uptrend with moving averages in bullish sequence - No signs of trend reversal in the immediate term Trade Setup: Entry Levels: - Aggressive entry: ₹3,600-3,700 (current market price on minor dips) - Conservative entry: ₹3,200-3,400 (on pullback to support) - Accumulation zone: ₹2,800-3,200 (for long-term positions) Exit Levels: - Target 1: ₹4,500-4,700 (25-30% upside) - Target 2: ₹5,500-5,800 (50-60% upside) - Target 3: ₹6,500+ (multi-bagger potential) Stop-Loss Strategy: - For aggressive entries: ₹3,100 (8-10% risk) - For conservative entries: ₹2,800 (12-15% risk) - Trailing stop: Use a 20% trailing stop once the position moves 30% in favour Position Sizing & Risk Management: Position Sizing Guidelines - Conservative investors: 2-3% of portfolio - Moderate risk investors: 3-5% of portfolio - Aggressive investors: 5-8% of portfolio (maximum recommended) Risk Management Framework - Never risk more than 2% of the total portfolio on a single trade - Use position sizing formula: (Portfolio Risk ÷ Trade Risk) × 100 - Implement pyramid buying on pullbacks to support levels - Book partial profits at each target level (33% at each target) Portfolio Allocation Strategy: - Core holding: 60% of position for long-term (2-3 years) - Trading position: 40% for swing trades and profit booking - Rebalance quarterly based on technical developments Sectoral & Fundamental Backdrop: Commercial Vehicle Sector Overview: - The Commercial Vehicles market in India is projected to grow by 2.13% (2025-2030), resulting in a market volume of 1,165.00k vehicles in 2030 - India's commercial vehicle industry is gearing up for a modest recovery, with ICRA forecasting a 3-5 per cent year-on-year growth in wholesale volumes for FY26 - The India Commercial Vehicles Market size is estimated at 51.09 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 62.95 billion USD by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 5.36% Industry Dynamics: - Infrastructure development is driving demand for commercial vehicles - The government's focus on road construction and the logistics sector - The e-commerce boom is increasing last-mile delivery vehicle demand - Replacement demand cycle supporting steady growth Company Fundamentals: - Net profit of SML ISUZU rose 44.34% to Rs 67 crore in the quarter ended June 2025 as against Rs 46 crore during the previous quarter ended June 2024. Sales rose 13.39% to Rs 846 crore in the quarter ended June 2025 - Market Cap: 5,498 Crore (up 84.8% in 1 year), Revenue: 2,498 Cr, Profit: 142 Cr, Promoter Holding: 43.96% Business Model Strengths: - NSE:SMLISUZU Limited manufactures and sells commercial vehicles and related parts in India and internationally. Its products include trucks and buses - Strong partnership with Isuzu Motors for technology and product development - Focus on fuel-efficient and reliable commercial vehicles - Growing aftermarket services contributing to recurring revenue Financial Health Indicators: - Consistent revenue growth over recent quarters - Improving profit margins, indicating operational efficiency - Stable promoter holding, suggesting management confidence - Strong balance sheet supporting growth investments Risk Assessment: Technical Risks: - Failure to hold ₹3,200 support could trigger correction to ₹2,800 - High volatility expected due to recent sharp price appreciation - Potential profit booking pressure at psychological levels Fundamental Risks: - Cyclical nature of the commercial vehicle industry - Dependency on economic growth and infrastructure spending - Competition from established players like Tata Motors - Raw material cost fluctuations impacting margins Market Risks: - Overall market correction could impact individual stock performance - Interest rate changes affecting vehicle financing demand - Regulatory changes in emission norms requiring investment My Take: NSE:SMLISUZU presents a compelling technical setup with the successful breakout from a decade-long Cup & Handle pattern. The combination of strong fundamentals, improving sector dynamics, and bullish technical indicators suggests potential for significant upside. However, investors should implement proper risk management given the stock's recent appreciation and inherent sector volatility. The stock appears well-positioned to benefit from India's infrastructure growth story and the recovery of the commercial vehicle sector. Technical indicators support a bullish outlook with multiple price targets achievable over the next 12-18 months. Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:SMLISUZULong
by Karanshah137
20
Nested Bullish Patterns Signal Major Breakout!Script: NSE:SUPREMEIND | Timeframe: Daily | Analysis Type: Technical (Pure Price Action) | Patterns: Symmetrical Triangle + Cup & Handle Idea Summary 💡 A powerful, nested pattern setup is concluding on the daily chart! A large Symmetrical Triangle contains a secondary Cup and Handle (Bullish) pattern. This rare confluence signals strong accumulation and suggests an imminent, powerful upside breakout is likely! Chart Pattern Logic 🔍 Primary Pattern (Symmetrical Triangle): Characterized by descending resistance (highs: Dec-18-2024, Jun-17-2025) and ascending support (lows: Apr-9-2025, May-9-2025, Jul-24-2025). Secondary Pattern (Cup & Handle): Formed entirely within the triangle, adding a potent layer of bullish confirmation. Confluence: This pattern-within-a-pattern setup significantly amplifies the potential for a strong upward resolution. Trade Thesis 📈 Price is coiling at the triangle's apex under immense pressure. A decisive break above the upper trendline could ignite the next major bullish impulse phase. Trade Setup ⚡ Direction: LONG 🟢 Entry Trigger: WAIT for a strong Marubozu green candle 🕯️ to close above the triangle's trendline on high volume (min. 1.5x average). Stop Loss: Below the low of the breakout candle. 🛑 Profit Targets: 4700 🎯 | 4800 🎯 | 5125 🎯 Long-Term Target: 6000+ (Extended Target Based on Pattern Confluence & Momentum) 🚀 Risk Management: Trail stops aggressively after Target 1. Got another stock you want me to break down? 📊 Drop the ticker in the comments below! If you found this idea useful, like and follow for more pure price action analysis. Disclaimer: This post/information is solely for educational purposes and should not be construed as a recommendation or financial advice. Trading carries a risk of loss. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author and TradingView are not liable for any financial losses incurred based on this content.
NSE:SUPREMEINDLong
by Alert_Trader
YATRA: Spectacular Recovery, Chart of the Week Post Q1 FY26From IPO Disaster to Cup & Handle Breakout: NSE:YATRA Spectacular Recovery Rally May Just Be Getting Started post Strong Q1 FY26 Numbers As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: Chart Pattern Identification: - Primary Pattern: Cup & Handle Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern) - Cup formation period: March 2024 to May 2025 - Handle formation: May 2025 to July 2025 - Breakout confirmation: August 2025 with strong volume spike Key Price Levels: - IPO Base Level: ₹125-130 (Initial listing range) - All-Time High: ₹194.00 (Early 2024 peak) - Major Support Levels: - ₹118 (Cup base/IPO resistance turned support) - ₹106 (Handle low) - ₹90-95 (Previous resistance cluster) - Major Resistance Levels: - ₹160 (Next logical resistance) - ₹180-185 (Pre-ATH resistance zone) - ₹194 (All-time high) Trend Analysis: - Long-term Trend: Bullish reversal after prolonged downtrend - Medium-term Trend: Strong bullish momentum post-breakout - Short-term Trend: Consolidating after breakout with bullish bias Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Characteristics: - Breakout Volume: Exceptional surge to 134.47M (significantly above average) - Volume Confirmation: Strong institutional participation is evident - Historical Volume Pattern: Low volume during handle formation followed by breakout explosion Volume Spread: - Volume surge indicates genuine breakout with institutional backing - Previous accumulation phase visible during cup formation - Current volume levels suggest sustained interest Key Support & Resistance: Dynamic Support Levels: - Immediate Support: ₹125-130 (Breakout level/IPO base) - Secondary Support: ₹118 (Cup rim level) - Critical Support: ₹106 (Handle low - stop loss reference) Resistance Levels: - First: ₹160 (38.2% retracement from ATH) - Second: ₹180-185 (Pre-ATH consolidation zone) - Ultimate: ₹220-240 (Cup & Handle measured move) Technical Indicators & Patterns: Classical Patterns: - Cup & Handle: Completed with successful breakout - Rounding Bottom: Visible in the cup formation - Ascending Triangle: Formed during handle consolidation Key Technical Observations: - Price action shows strong momentum post-breakout - Previous IPO resistance at ₹125-130 now acting as support - Breakout occurred with a gap-up opening, indicating strong sentiment Sectoral Backdrop: Online Travel Industry Overview: - India Online Travel Market expected to reach USD 23.10 billion in 2025 and grow at a CAGR of 7.76% to reach USD 33.90 billion by 2030 - Online travel booking service market in India expected to reach projected revenue of US$57,924.4 million by 2030 with a CAGR of 10.6% - India's travel industry is valued at $178 billion, fueling economic growth with travel stocks offering lucrative investment opportunities Market Position: - Yatra Online Ltd. was identified as one of the major companies operating alongside MakeMyTrip, EaseMyTrip, and Cleartrip - Strong competitive position in a growing market - Recovery phase post-pandemic showing robust growth trajectory Fundamental Backdrop: Financial Metrics: - Market Cap: 2,223 Crore, Revenue: 900 Cr, Profit: 49 Cr (TTM) - Promoter Holding: 64.46% (Strong management commitment) - Trading at 2.84 times book value at 45.8 times P/E Operational Assessment: - The company has a low return on equity of 2.90% over the last 3 years - Profitability achieved, indicating operational efficiency improvement - Revenue growth trajectory supported by sector tailwinds Growth Lever: - Beneficiary of India's domestic tourism boom - Digital transformation in travel booking - Post-pandemic recovery in the travel sector - The government's focus on tourism development Market Outlook & Catalysts: Positive Catalysts: - Travel & Tourism market in India projected to grow by 8.07% (2025-2029) - Increasing domestic travel penetration - Corporate travel recovery - Digital adoption acceleration Key Risk Factors: - Intense competition from larger players - Seasonal business variations - Economic slowdown impact on discretionary spending - Regulatory changes in the travel sector Key Monitoring Points: - Sustained holding above the ₹125 breakout level - Volume sustainability in the coming sessions - Broader market conditions and sector rotation - Company's Next Few quarterly results and guidance updates. Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:YATRA
by Karanshah137
6
TATACHEM: Breaks out of Cup & Handle Breakout Post Q1 FY 26NSE:TATACHEM Breaks Out: The Cup and Handle Formation That Could Signal New Highs Post Good Q1 FY 26 with Margin Expansion. Price Action: Trend Structure • Long-term uptrend intact with a higher lows pattern since March 2025 • Strong momentum breakout above key resistance at 1,000 levels • Price action showing bullish continuation after brief consolidation • Current trading above all major moving averages (20, 50, 200 EMA) Breakout Characteristics • Clean breakout above resistance • Volume expansion confirming institutional participation • No immediate rejection at breakout level, suggesting strength • Momentum favouring further upside continuation Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Pattern: • Significant volume spike during the breakout phase in July 2025 • Volume contraction during handle formation (typical healthy pattern) • Above-average volumes during cup formation, indicating accumulation • Recent volume expansion suggests institutional buying interest Volume Confirmation: • Breakout supported by 2-3x average daily volume • Previous resistance turning into support with volume backing • Accumulation-distribution pattern favourable for continued upside Chart Pattern: • The chart displays a classic Cup and Handle pattern formation spanning from Jan 2025 to July 2025 • The "Cup" formation shows a rounded bottom with the low around 750-780 levels during March 2025 • The "Handle" represents the consolidation phase between June-July 2025, around 920-960 levels • Clear breakout above the 1,000 resistance level with strong volume confirmation Key Technical Levels • Primary Support: 920-950 (handle low and recent consolidation) • Secondary Support: 850-880 (mid-cup level) • Major Support: 750-780 (cup bottom) • Immediate Resistance: 1,050-1,080 (psychological levels) • Target Resistance: 1,200-1,250 (measured move from cup depth) Trade Setup and Strategy: Entry Levels: • Aggressive Entry: 1,000-1,020 (on breakout confirmation) • Conservative Entry: 950-980 (on pullback to handle support) • Scale-in Entry: 920-950 (major support retest) Exit Levels: • Target 1: 1,100-1,120 (initial resistance cluster) • Target 2: 1,200-1,250 (measured move target) • Target 3: 1,300-1,350 (extension target based on cup depth) Stop-Loss Strategy: • Initial Stop-Loss: 920 (below handle low) • Trailing Stop: 950 after Target 1 achievement • Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 to 1:4 on conservative entry Position Sizing and Risk Management: Position Sizing: • Allocate 2-3% of portfolio for this trade • Calculate position size based on stop-loss distance • Consider scaling in approach for better average entry Risk Management: • Maximum risk per trade: 1-2% of total capital • Use position sizing formula: Risk Amount ÷ (Entry - Stop Loss) • Maintain diversification across sectors and market caps Risk Factors: • Broader market correction could impact individual stock performance • Sector-specific headwinds in the chemicals industry • Global economic slowdown affecting demand Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Recent Financial Performance: • Q1 FY26 results showed consolidated revenue of ₹3,719 Cr with EBITDA of ₹649 Cr and PAT of ₹316 Cr • Standalone revenue at ₹1,169 Cr, up 11.65% compared to Q1FY25, with PAT of ₹307 Cr, up 20% • Stock gained 16.66% over the last three months • Strong operational performance supporting technical breakout Sectoral Outlook: • The Chemicals market in India is projected to grow by 3.46% (2025-2029), resulting in a market volume of US$35.4bn in 2029 • India's speciality chemicals market is expected to increase at a CAGR of 12% to US$64 billion by 2025 • The chemical industry, currently valued at around US$250 billion, aims to grow to US$300 billion by 2025 • The sector is projected to grow by 11 to 12 per cent during 2021–27, tripling its global market share by 2040 Investment Thesis: • Strong sectoral tailwinds supporting long-term growth • Company's positioning in the speciality chemicals segment • Potential beneficiary of India's manufacturing growth story • Technical breakout aligning with fundamental strength Key Monitoring Points: Technical Triggers: • Sustain above 1,000 levels for breakout confirmation • Volume patterns on any pullbacks • Price action at target levels for profit booking decisions Fundamental Catalysts: • Quarterly earnings performance and guidance • New project announcements or capacity expansions • Sectoral policy developments and government initiatives • Global chemical prices and demand trends Risk Monitoring: • A break below 920 levels would invalidate the bullish setup • Broader market sentiment and global risk-off scenarios • Sector rotation away from chemicals and industrials • Company-specific news flow and management commentary My Take: The combination of technical breakout, strong fundamentals, and positive sector outlook makes NSE:TATACHEM an attractive investment proposition at current levels, with the cup and handle pattern suggesting potential for significant upside over the next 6-12 months. Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:TATACHEMLong
by Karanshah137
8
MHRIL : Swing Trade#MHRIL #patterntrading #chartpattern #cupandhandlepattern #swingtrading #trendingstock MHRIL : Swing Trade >> cup & Handle chart pattern >> Breakout soon >> Trending Setup >> Stock in Momentum >> Good Strength & Volumes Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% & keep trailing Pls boost, comment & Follow for more Learnings Disc : Charts shared are for Learning purpose and not a Trade recommendation. Consult your financial advisor or a SEBI Registered Advisor before taking position in it.
NSE:MHRILLong
by moneyfesttrading
RRKABEL: Cup & Handle Pattern Could Trigger 30% Upside RallyNSE:RRKABEL Perfect Storm: How Cup & Handle Pattern Could Trigger 30% Upside Rally Price Action Analysis: Candlestick Patterns: - Doji Formation: Multiple doji candles during handle formation indicate indecision and potential reversal - Bullish Engulfing: Strong bullish engulfing pattern on breakout day, showing buying pressure - Higher Highs/Lows: Clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows post-breakout - Rejection Candles: Long lower wicks during handle formation show buying support Price Structure: - Swing: Clear swing low at ₹853 (March 2025) and swing high at ₹1,850 (previous year) - Impulse Waves: Strong impulsive moves during the breakout phase indicate institutional participation - Corrective Waves: Orderly corrective structure during cup and handle formation - Price Momentum: Accelerating price momentum post-breakout with minimal pullbacks Market Structure: - Trend: Transition from downtrend to sideways consolidation to uptrend - Support Respect: Multiple tests of support levels without breakdown showing strength - Resistance Breaks: Clean break above multiple resistance levels with conviction - Price Velocity: Increasing price velocity on breakout indicates strong momentum Intraday Price Action: - Opening Gaps: Positive opening gaps during the breakout phase show overnight interest - Closing Strength: Consistent closing in the upper portion of the daily range - Pullback Behaviour: Shallow pullbacks with quick recoveries indicate a strong underlying bid - Volume-Price Sync: Price advances accompanied by volume expansion Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Patterns: - Base Formation: Declining volume during cup formation indicates a lack of selling pressure - Handle Volume: Minimal volume during handle formation, showing controlled supply - Breakout Volume: Significant volume spike on breakout confirming institutional participation - Volume Trend: Above-average volume sustaining post-breakout Volume Indicators: - Accumulation Phase: Volume patterns suggest institutional accumulation during the base - Breakout Confirmation: 2-3x average volume on breakout day - Follow-through: Consistent volume support in subsequent sessions - Volume Price Analysis: Positive volume-price correlation during upward movement Technical Patterns: Primary Pattern: Cup & Handle Formation - Cup Formation: The stock formed a classical cup pattern from Jan 2025 to March 2025, with the left rim at approximately ₹1,420 levels - Handle Formation: A clean handle pattern developed from May to July 2025, showing controlled consolidation with diminishing volume - Breakout Confirmation: Strong breakout above ₹1,420 resistance with increased volume, signalling pattern completion - Pattern Reliability: The 6-month cup formation provides a strong technical foundation for sustained upward momentum Secondary Pattern: Ascending Triangle - Formation Period: June to July 2025 within the handle structure - Resistance Level: Horizontal resistance at ₹1,420 tested multiple times - Support Trend: Rising support line indicating accumulation phase - Breakout: Clean breakout above triangle resistance with volume expansion Support & Resistance Levels: Key Support Levels: - Immediate Support: ₹1,350 (breakout pullback level) - Secondary Support: ₹1,280 (handle low) - Major Support: ₹1,200 (psychological level and previous resistance) - Critical Support: ₹1,080 (cup base level) Key Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance: ₹1,500 (psychological level) - Target Resistance: ₹1,650 (cup depth projection) - Extended Target: ₹1,800 (previous swing high) - Long-term Resistance: ₹1,850 (52-week high) Base Analysis: Base Characteristics: - Base Type: Cup with handle base formation - Duration: 7 months (Jan 2025 to July 2025) - Depth: Approximately 35% correction from highs - Volume Pattern: Declining volume during base formation, expanding on breakout - Base Quality: High-quality base with proper structure and time frame Base Strength Indicators: - Volatility Contraction: Price volatility decreased during handle formation - Volume Dry-up: Minimal selling pressure during consolidation - Support Holding: Multiple tests of support levels without breakdown - Institutional Activity: Likely accumulation phase based on volume patterns Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: - Primary Entry: ₹1,420-1,430 (on breakout confirmation) - Secondary Entry: ₹1,380-1,400 (on pullback to breakout level) - Aggressive Entry: ₹1,350-1,360 (deeper pullback support) Entry Confirmation Signals: - Volume Expansion: Minimum 1.5x average volume on entry - Price Action: Close above ₹1,420 for two consecutive sessions - Momentum: RSI above 50 and trending upward - Moving Averages: Price above 20 and 50-day moving averages Exit Levels: Profit Targets: - Target 1: ₹1,500 (5.5% upside) - Psychological resistance - Target 2: ₹1,650 (16% upside) - Cup depth projection - Target 3: ₹1,800 (27% upside) - Previous swing high - Extended Target: ₹1,850 (30% upside) - 52-week high Exit Strategy: - Partial Profit: Book 25% at Target 1 - Scale Out: 50% at Target 2 - Trailing Stop: Implement 8-10% trailing stop after Target 2 - Final Exit: Complete exit at Target 3 or on stop-loss trigger Stop-Loss Strategy: Stop-Loss Levels: - Conservative: ₹1,320 (7% below entry) - Moderate: ₹1,280 (10% below entry) - Aggressive: ₹1,250 (12% below entry) Stop-Loss Management: - Initial Stop: Below handle low at ₹1,280 - Trailing Stop: Move to breakeven after 5% profit - Progressive Stops: Raise stops with each target achievement - Time Stop: Exit if no progress within 4-6 weeks Position Sizing: Risk-Based Sizing: - Conservative Approach: 1-2% of portfolio risk - Moderate Approach: 2-3% of portfolio risk - Aggressive Approach: 3-5% of portfolio risk Position Calculation: - Risk Per Share: Entry price minus stop-loss level - Position Size: (Portfolio Risk Amount) / (Risk Per Share) - Example: For ₹1,400 entry with ₹1,280 stop, risk = ₹120 per share - Capital Allocation: Maximum 5-8% of total portfolio in a single position Risk Management: Risk Control Measures: - Position Sizing: Limit individual position to 5% of portfolio - Stop-Loss Discipline: Strict adherence to predetermined stop levels - Diversification: Maintain exposure across multiple sectors - Correlation Risk: Avoid concentration in similar cable stocks Risk Monitoring: - Daily Monitoring: Track volume, price action, and sector performance - Weekly Review: Assess progress toward targets and adjust stops - News Monitoring: Stay updated on company and sector developments - Market Correlation: Monitor broader market conditions Sectoral Backdrop: Indian Cable Industry Outlook: - Market Growth: The market is projected to grow from USD 10.01 billion in 2025 to USD 17.08 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 7.94% during the forecast period - Infrastructure Push: India's National Grid capacity is expanding continuously under the PM Gati Shakti National Master Plan, which is expected to add around 26,988 circuit km capacity by 2024-2025 - Renewable Energy: India has observed a substantial rise in the demand for wires and cables due to the country's ambitious renewable energy goals Growth Drivers: - Smart Cities: The development of smart cities in the country, along with the increase in electronic devices in the household, would increase the demand - Government Investment: India Wires and Cables Market would grow on the back of rapidly growing investment by the government towards the development of infrastructural projects - Electrification: Growing electricity demand is driving transmission and distribution network expansion Fundamental Backdrop: Company Profile: - Market Position: RR Kabel is now the 4th largest W&C Company in India by value. - Global Presence: With a global presence spanning over 67 countries, this electrical company has established a strong international footprint - Financial Performance: Revenue: 7,618 Cr · Profit: 312 Cr Financial Metrics: - Market Cap: Mkt Cap: 16,529 Crore (down -17.5% in 1 year) - Valuation: Stock is trading at 7.68 times its book value - Promoter Holding: Promoter Holding: 61.8% - 52-Week Range: The 52-week high is ₹1825 and the 52-week low is ₹750 Investment Considerations: - Sector Tailwinds: Strong sectoral growth prospects with government infrastructure push - Market Leadership: Established position as the 4th largest cable company in India - International Exposure: Diversified revenue streams from 67 countries - Valuation Concerns: Recent 22.8% decline in market cap may indicate value opportunity My Take: The technical setup for NSE:RRKABEL presents a compelling opportunity with the successful completion of a cup and handle pattern. The 8-month base formation, combined with strong sectoral tailwinds and the company's market leadership position, creates a favourable risk-reward scenario. The breakout above ₹1,420 with volume confirmation suggests institutional participation and potential for sustained upward momentum toward the ₹1,650-1,800 target range. Key success factors include strict adherence to stop-loss levels, proper position sizing, and monitoring of broader market conditions. The sectoral growth prospects, driven by infrastructure development and renewable energy initiatives, provide fundamental support for the technical breakout. Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:RRKABELLong
by Karanshah137
27
PEL: Perfect Cup & Handle Breakout That Could Double Your MoneyNSE:PEL : The Perfect Cup & Handle Breakout That Could Double Your Money? Let's Analyse Price Action Analysis: • Stock has formed a classic Cup & Handle pattern over approximately 8 months (Dec 2024 to July 2025) • The "cup" formation shows a rounded bottom with the low around ₹850-900 levels in March 2025 • Current breakout above the handle resistance at ₹1,200 levels with strong momentum • Price has surged from ₹1,158.70 to ₹1,217.50 with a healthy 4.69% gain on breakout day • The handle formation shows controlled consolidation with lower volumes, indicating accumulation Volume Spread Analysis: • Volume spike of 2.51M shares on breakout day, significantly higher than the 20-day average • During the cup formation, volume was relatively subdued, showing smart money accumulation • The breakout volume of 556.96K is substantial, confirming the validity of the pattern • Volume profile shows institutional participation during the base-building phase Key Support and Resistance Levels: • Primary Support: ₹1,150-1,160 (previous handle resistance now acting as support) • Secondary Support: ₹1,100-1,120 (handle low) • Major Support: ₹1,000-1,020 (cup rim level) • Immediate Resistance: ₹1,240-1,250 • Major Resistance: ₹1,275 (all-time high) • Target Resistance: ₹1,400-1,450 (measured move from cup depth) Base Formation: • 8-month base formation from Dec 2024 to July 2025 • Base depth: Approximately 35-40% from highs to lows • Constructive base with multiple retests of support levels • Base shows characteristics of institutional accumulation with controlled selling pressure Technical Patterns: Cup & Handle Pattern: • Perfect textbook Cup & Handle formation with 8-month duration • Cup depth of approximately ₹400 (from ₹1,240 to ₹850) • Handle formed over 6-8 weeks with declining volume • Breakout above ₹1,200 with expanding volume confirms pattern completion • Measured target: ₹1,600+ (adding cup depth to breakout level) Additional Patterns: • Ascending triangle formation within the handle • Multiple higher lows during the recovery phase • Bullish flag pattern preceding the final breakout • Volume price confirmation throughout the pattern development Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: • Aggressive Entry: ₹1,210-1,220 (on breakout confirmation) • Conservative Entry: ₹1,180-1,190 (on pullback to breakout level) • Scale-in Entry: 50% at ₹1,210, 50% at ₹1,190 if pullback occurs • Entry should be accompanied by volume expansion above 1.5x average Exit Strategy: • Target 1: ₹1,320-1,340 (8-10% upside) • Target 2: ₹1,450-1,480 (20-25% upside) • Target 3: ₹1,600-1,650 (pattern target, 35-40% upside) • Partial profit booking at each target level (33% each) Stop-Loss Management: • Initial Stop-Loss: ₹1,150 (below handle support) • Trailing Stop-Loss: Move to breakeven once Target 1 is achieved • Progressive Stop-Loss: ₹1,250 after Target 1, ₹1,350 after Target 2 • Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 minimum for the trade setup Risk Management: Position Sizing: • Maximum allocation: 3-5% of the portfolio for this single position • Scale-in approach recommended for average entry price • Avoid concentrating more than 10% in the financial services sector • Consider correlation with other financial holdings Risk Mitigation: • Set alerts at key support and resistance levels • Monitor volume patterns for any divergence signals • Keep track of broader market sentiment and financial sector performance • Regular review of stop-loss levels and profit booking strategy • Avoid averaging down if the stop-loss is triggered Sectoral Analysis: Financial Services Sector Overview: • NBFC sector showing signs of recovery post-COVID consolidation • Regulatory environment becoming more favourable for established players • Credit growth revival benefiting well-capitalized NBFCs • Sector rotation from growth to value creates opportunities in the financial space Sector Positioning: • NSE:PEL is positioned in the diversified financial services space • Benefits from real estate cycle recovery and pharma business stability • Regulatory changes favouring larger, well-capitalized players • Sector P/B multiples are still reasonable compared to historical averages Fundamental Backdrop: Company Overview: • Diversified conglomerate with presence in financial services, pharmaceuticals, and real estate • Strong balance sheet with improved asset quality metrics • Management focuses on deleveraging and core business strengthening • Strategic divestments are improving cash flows and reducing the debt burden Past/Recent Developments: • Successful completion of major asset sales improves the liquidity position • Pharma business showing steady growth with new product launches • Real estate segment benefiting from sector recovery • Financial services arm gaining market share in target segments Valuation Metrics: • Trading at reasonable valuations compared to sector peers • Improved return ratios and asset quality metrics • Strong cash generation from core operations • Debt reduction improving financial flexibility and credit ratings Growth Catalysts: • Real estate sector recovery driving housing finance growth • Pharma business expansion in domestic and international markets • Potential for higher ROE as leverage normalizes • Market share gains in target financial services segments My Take: This technical setup in NSE:PEL presents a compelling risk-reward opportunity with the stock breaking out from a well-formed base pattern, supported by improving fundamentals and favourable sector dynamics. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:PELLong
by Karanshah137
43
APARINDS : Stage 3 Candidate#APARINDS #stage3 #swingtrade #breakoutstock #trendingstock #patternbreakout APARINDS : Swing trade >> Stock in stage3 >> Breakout Candidate >> Cup & Handle pattern >> Good strength in Stock >> Good Recent Buildup >> Risk Reward Favorable Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings. Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.
NSE:APARINDSLong
by moneyfesttrading
UNIVPHOTO - Cup & Handle Breakout | Daily Chart📊 UNIVPHOTO – Cup & Handle Breakout | Strong Volume | RSI Overbought | Fibonacci Confluence | Daily Chart 📅 Chart Date: July 3, 2025 📍 CMP: ₹291.55 (+20.00%) 📈 Symbol: NSE:UNIVPHOTO 🔍 Technical Analysis Summary ✅ Cup & Handle Breakout Price has broken out above the neckline of the Cup & Handle pattern at ₹258.95 with strong bullish momentum. Post-consolidation breakout visible with a solid bullish candle. 📊 Fibonacci Retracement Levels (Swing: ₹173.55 to ₹483.90) 23.60% – ₹246.79 38.20% – ₹292.10 ✅ (Price nearing this level – short-term resistance) 50.00% – ₹328.70 61.80% – ₹365.35 78.60% – ₹417.50 100% – ₹483.90 🎯 📈 RSI Indicator (14) RSI has surged to 77.17, indicating strong momentum but entering overbought territory. RSI breakout with multiple prior bullish divergences validated the upside move. 📉 Volume Current breakout supported by above-average volume (256.71K) adds credibility to the move. 🏁 Key Technical Levels Neckline Breakout: ₹258.95 ✅ Immediate Resistance: ₹292.10 (Fib 38.2%) Next Targets: ₹328.70 → ₹365.35 Support Levels: ₹258.95 → ₹246.79 Major Swing Low: ₹173.55 💡 Trade Setup Entry: On breakout confirmation above ₹259 SL: Below ₹246 Short-term Target: ₹292 Mid-term Target: ₹328 → ₹365 Risk Level: Medium (due to RSI overbought – may see retracement) ⚠️ Disclaimer This chart is for educational and analytical purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:UNIVPHOTOLong
by PriceAction_Pulse
TRANSRAILL : Breakout Stock (Swing Trading) #TRANSRAILL #breakoutstock #swingtrading #chartpattern #cupandhandlepattern #patternbreakout #patterntrading TRANSRAILL : Swing Trading >> Breakout Stock >> Cup and Handle pattern >> Breakout with Volume >> Good Strength in Stock >> Risk Reward Favorable Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.
NSE:TRANSRAILLLong
by moneyfesttrading
2
BEML: Breaks Multi-Month Resistance: Perfect Cup & Handle SetupNSE:BEML Breaks Multi-Month Resistance: Perfect Cup and Handle Setup Signals Major Upside Potential Price Action Analysis: Current Price Movement: -Current Price: ₹4,291.50 (as of June 20, 2025) -Daily Change: +₹351.70 (+8.20%) - Strong bullish momentum -High: ₹4,728.40 | Low: ₹4,261.00 -Opening: ₹4,291.50 | Volume: 1.57M shares Key Price Action Points: Phase 1: Initial Decline (Sep 2024 - Dec 2024) -Price Range: 4,400 to 3,600 levels -Characteristics: Controlled selling with no panic dumping -Volume: Moderate selling pressure -Significance: Formation of the cup's left rim Phase 2: Deep Correction (Dec 2024 - Feb 2025) -Price Range: 3,600 to 2,350 (Cup Bottom) -Characteristics: Capitulation phase with heavy selling -Volume: High volume during the decline indicates washout -Key Level: 2,350 marked the absolute low and cup base Phase 3: Recovery Rally (Feb 2025 - Apr 2025) -Price Range: 2,350 to 3,400 levels -Characteristics: Strong bounce from cup bottom with increasing volume -Price Action: Higher lows formation indicating accumulation -Recovery Strength: 45% bounce from lows Phase 4: Handle Formation (Apr 2025 - May 2025) -Price Range: 3,400 to 3,000 levels (shallow pullback) -Characteristics: Light volume decline, healthy consolidation -Duration: Approximately 4-6 weeks of sideways action -Volume Pattern: Drying up volume during pullback - classic handle behaviour Phase 5: Breakout Phase (May 2025 - Current) -Breakout Level: Above 3,400-3,500 resistance -Price Acceleration: From 3,000 to the current 4,639 levels -Volume Confirmation: Massive volume surge during breakout -Momentum: 43% rally from handle lows in just 6-8 weeks Candlestick Patterns and Price Behaviour -Recent Action: Large green candles with minimal upper shadows indicating strong buying pressure -Volume-Price Relationship: Price advancing on expanding volume - healthy trend -Pullback Quality: Any pullbacks have been shallow with quick recoveries -Support Holding: Price consistently holding above key moving averages Price Structure Analysis: -Higher Highs: Consistent pattern of higher peaks since February 2025 -Higher Lows: Each pullback finds support at higher levels -Trend Strength: Steep angle of ascent indicates strong institutional buying -Momentum Characteristics: Price moving in strong trending phases rather than choppy action Critical Price Levels Based on Price Action: -Breakout Confirmation: 3,500 level successfully held as support after breakout -Momentum Continuation: 4,000 psychological level cleared with ease -Current Resistance Test: Approaching the 4,800 level with strong momentum -Volume at Key Levels: Each significant level break is accompanied by volume expansion Chart Patterns: -Cup and Handle Formation: The chart displays a classic cup and handle pattern spanning from late 2024 to mid-2025, with the cup formation completing around June 2025 at approximately 4,639 levels -Breakout Confirmation: Stock has successfully broken above the handle resistance levels with strong volume confirmation -Time Frame: The pattern has developed over approximately 9 months, indicating strong institutional accumulation Support and Resistance Levels: Major Support Levels: -Immediate Support: 4,000-4,100 (psychological and technical level) -Primary Support: 3,800-3,900 (previous resistance turned support) -Secondary Support: 3,400-3,500 (breakout level) -Long-term Support: 2,800-3,000 (cup base formation) Resistance Levels: -Immediate Resistance: 4,800-4,900 (current test level) -Major Resistance: 5,200-5,400 (projected target based on cup depth) -Extended Target: 5,800-6,000 (long-term projection) Volume Spread Analysis: -Breakout Volume: Significant volume spike observed during the recent breakout from handle formation -Volume Confirmation: Above-average volume during the entire cup formation phase indicates institutional interest -Current Volume: 1.57M shares showing continued institutional participation -Volume Trend: Consistent volume buildup supporting price advancement Base Formation Analysis: Primary Base Characteristics: -Base Type: Cup and Handle pattern with 7-month consolidation -Base Depth: Approximately 47% correction from highs of 4,400 to lows of 2,350 -Base Duration: Extended consolidation period allowing for proper shake-out of weak hands -Base Quality: Clean consolidation with clear support and resistance levels Trade Setup Analysis: Entry Strategy: -Primary Entry: 4,100-4,200 (on pullback to support zone) -Aggressive Entry: Current market price around 4,300 with tight stop-loss -Conservative Entry: Wait for retest of 3,800-4,000 support levels Exit Levels: Target 1: 5,200 (21% upside from current levels) Target 2: 5,600 (30% upside potential) Target 3: 6,000 (40% upside - long-term target) Stop-Loss Management: Initial Stop-Loss: 3,800 (below key support) Trailing Stop: Move to 4,000 once Target 1 is achieved Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 (favourable risk-reward setup) Position Sizing Recommendations: -Conservative Approach: 2-3% of portfolio allocation -Moderate Risk: 3-5% allocation for growth-oriented portfolios -Risk Management: Maximum 5% position size due to single stock concentration risk Risk Management Framework: Key Risk Factors: Market Risk: Overall market volatility can impact individual stock performance Sector Risk: Defence and infrastructure sector cyclicality Execution Risk: Pattern failure if stock breaks below 3,800 support Risk Mitigation Strategies: Diversification: Avoid over-concentration in a single position Stop-Loss Discipline: Strict adherence to predetermined exit levels Position Monitoring: Regular review of technical and fundamental developments Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop: Business Verticals: -BEML operates across Defence, Rail, Power, Mining and Infrastructure sectors, serving India's core industries BemlindiaBemlindia -The company manufactures heavy earthmoving equipment for mining and construction, defence vehicles, and coaches for metro and Indian Railways, Bharat Earth Movers Limited Financial Performance: -Market Cap: ₹19,324 Crore with revenue of ₹4,022 Cr and profit of ₹293 Cr -Promoter holding stands at 54.0%, indicating strong government backing. -The board has recommended a final dividend of ₹1.20 per share for FY25, reflecting confidence in financial performance. Growth Drivers: -Company targeting ₹30bn annual opportunity in the mining sector with state-of-the-art equipment. -Defence projects, including DATRAN prototypes, are expected to be completed by mid-2025 -The company has grown from ₹5 Cr turnover in 1965 to over ₹4,300 Cr currently. Sector Outlook: -Defence Modernization: Beneficiary of India's defence modernization and Make in India initiatives -Infrastructure Push: The Government's focus on infrastructure development supports mining and construction equipment demand -Railway Expansion: Metro and railway coach manufacturing aligned with India's transportation infrastructure growth Investment Thesis: -PSU Re-rating: Part of the broader PSU re-rating theme in Indian markets -Diversified Revenue: Multi-sector exposure provides revenue stability -Government Support: Strong backing from the Ministry of Defence ensures policy support -Technical Breakout: Pattern completion suggests an institutional accumulation phase My Take: The combination of strong price action momentum with improving fundamental backdrop makes BEML an attractive investment opportunity for medium to long-term investors, with the cup and handle breakout providing clear entry and exit parameters for risk management. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:BEMLLong
by Karanshah137
11
Cup & Handle Breakout + Golden Cross Confirms Bullish Megatrend Timeframe: Daily Ticker: NSE:SIEMENS 🔥 Key Technical Setup: Cup & Handle Pattern: Cup Depth: ~1026 points Breakout Level: 3414 (multi-touch resistance). Golden Cross Confirmation: 50 EMA crossed above 200 EMA (bullish long-term momentum shift). Volume & Price Confirmation: - Entry Trigger: Close above 3414 with a strong green candle + above-average volume (min. 1.5x 20-day avg volume). - False Breakout Filter: Volume must surge to validate breakout. 🎯 Trade Strategy: Entry Zone: 3415–3430 (after confirmed breakout). Stop Loss: 3169 (swing low of the handle, below key support). Target 1: 3750 Target 2: 4170 Final Target: 4455 (cup depth projected from breakout: *3414 + 1026 = 4440–4455*). The trade targets 4455, but reaching this level will take time—patience is key as price works through resistance at 3750 and 4170. 📉 Price Action Mantra: “Price absorbs all noise! Trade the CHART, not the news.” 📊 Why This Works: 1. Golden Cross Amplifies Momentum: Post-crossover, rallies average +25% in trending stocks. 2. Cup & Handle Statistics: 85% success rate when volume confirms breakout. 3. Volume Divergence: Declining volume in handle + surge on breakout = institutional accumulation. ⚠️ Risk Management: Position Size: Risk ≤1% capital per trade. Trailing SL: Move SL to 3300 after Target 1 (3750) hit. Partial Exit: Book 50% at 3750, 25% at 4170, hold 25% for 4455. 🧠 Psychology & Market Structure: Resistance Levels to Watch: 3750: Profit-taking zone. 4170: Key options barrier (break = accelerated FOMO). Support Floor: 3200–3169 (must hold to preserve structure). Set alerts, follow volume, and let price lead the way! 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Past performance ≠ future results. Conduct your own due diligence. Technical analysis has limitations and may not account for black swan events. Manage risk aggressively.
NSE:SIEMENSLong
by Alert_Trader
3