FOMC XAUUSD: Time to Hold Super SELL before FOMC🟡 XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan – Ahead of FOMC
📊 Market Context
Gold (XAUUSD) has recently moved out of its accumulation/manipulation zone and is now trading in the 3,684–3,690 range.
The market structure is bullish after a Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS).
Still, imbalances remain below the present price level, suggesting the possibility of a retracement before further upside continuation.
Liquidity pools are forming around 3,721–3,725, which increases the risk of false breakouts (liquidity traps) near the FOMC.
🔎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective)
Structure: Bullish bias on H1/H4, confirmed by higher highs and BOS.
Imbalance Zone: 3,674 → 3,664 (likely to be revisited).
Liquidity Pools:
Buy-side liquidity: 3,721–3,725 (Sell Zone).
Sell-side liquidity: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Zone).
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zones
3,686.88 (Immediate resistance)
3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Sell Zone)
Support / Buy Zones
3,668 (Front End Buy – imbalance retest)
3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone)
3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity Zone)
✅ Priority Scenario – BUY
Entry 1
Buy Limit: 3,668 (Front End Zone – imbalance retest)
SL: 3,661
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
Entry 2
Buy Limit: 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone)
SL: 3,648
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
Entry 3
Buy Limit: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity)
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
🔻 Alternative Scenario – SELL (Counter-trade)
If the price touches 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Zone) before revisiting the lower buy zones → look for rejection patterns.
Enter SELL if bearish confirmation appears.
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,698 → 3,690 → 3,676
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
Expect high volatility during FOMC – liquidity traps are very likely.
Reduce lot size before the news release to minimise risk.
Take trades only with confirmation (avoid blind buys/sells).
Main directional bias: Bullish as long as 3,648 holds.
Dailyanalysis
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedOn the 1H chart, Gold is holding near 3,682 after showing a clear Break of Structure. Liquidity is now seen both above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the Fair Value Gap demand around 3,669–3,667. With U.S. Retail Sales data due at 19:30 IST today, intraday volatility is expected, but overall positioning is still cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this week. Traders can look for liquidity sweeps towards premium levels before retracements into demand zones.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance likely to trigger rejection towards 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracements, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support, targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667)
• Entry: 3,669 – 3,667
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Targets:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,690
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York session begins.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639)
• Entry: 3,641 – 3,639
• Stop Loss: 3,632
• Targets:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,685+
👉 A good risk-to-reward opportunity if price sweeps stops below structure before Retail Sales release.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698)
• Entry: 3,700 – 3,698
• Stop Loss: 3,707
• Targets:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,680
TP3: 3,670
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower.
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🔑 Strategy Note
While Retail Sales data may bring short-term price swings, market attention is focused on the Fed. Smart Money is likely to trap both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while accumulating buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with smaller positions and confirm with H1 closes before entries.
Gold 4H Outlook – Buy the Dip or Fade the Drop?On the 4H timeframe, Gold is consolidating just below 3,600 after a strong bullish rally. The current structure shows price pausing near premium levels, with liquidity building both above 3,600 and below 3,530. This indicates engineered sweeps are likely before the next major move.
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H):
🔼 Buy Zone 3,572 – 3,574 (SL 3,565): Fresh demand zone at intraday discount; potential continuation level.
🔽 Sell Scalp Zone 3,530 – 3,526 (SL 3,537): Short-term supply/pivot area; scalp opportunity if rejection happens.
📍 Liquidity Magnet 3,603 – 3,605: Upside imbalance area likely to get filled.
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Zone Reaction
Entry: 3,572 – 3,574
Stop Loss: 3,565
Take Profits:
TP1: 3,585
TP2: 3,595
TP3: 3,605
👉 Demand block in line with bullish order flow. Watch for a liquidity sweep and rejection to fuel trend continuation.
🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Short-Term Reaction
Entry: 3,530 – 3,528
Stop Loss: 3,537
Take Profits:
TP1: 3,520
TP2: 3,510
TP3: 3,500
👉 Intraday supply/pivot area. Best suited for quick scalp trades against the trend, targeting downside liquidity.
🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias stays bullish, but intraday shorts can work for scalping purposes. The cleaner setup is to buy from 3,572–3,574 for continuation towards 3,600+. Smart money may attempt a liquidity sweep at 3,530 before pushing higher.
Gold 1H – Fed Decision Looms After $3,700 BreakOn the 1H timeframe, Gold is consolidating around 3,675 after sweeping through the key $3,700 level. Price briefly touched 3,702 before retreating back into the 3,670s, showing engineered liquidity runs on both sides. With the Fed policy decision expected at 1 AM VN time, volatility is likely to spike. The market remains supported by easing USD, central bank flows, and geopolitical tensions, but short-term positioning indicates possible liquidity grabs before a clear directional move.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H)
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,696 – 3,694 (SL 3,703)
Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,685 → 3,680.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,674 – 3,665 (SL 3,660)
Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracement into structure, targeting 3,685 → 3,695 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,636 – 3,638 (SL 3,630)
Deep discount accumulation zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,680+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based)
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,674–3,665)
• Entry: 3,674 – 3,665
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,685
o TP2: 3,695
o TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for liquidity sweep into FVG before NY session/Fed.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount (3,636–3,638)
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,638
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,655
o TP2: 3,670
o TP3: 3,680+
👉 High risk-to-reward setup if stops are hunted before Fed decision.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Trap (3,696–3,694)
• Entry: 3,696 – 3,694
• Stop Loss: 3,703
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,690
o TP2: 3,685
o TP3: 3,680
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium before fading lower.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Gold’s break above $3,700 highlights strong bullish sentiment, but the Fed decision risk suggests smart money may sweep liquidity both ways. Stay flexible: short from premium zone (3,696–3,694), and defend longs at demand zones (3,674–3,665 and 3,636–3,638). Use lighter position sizing until post-Fed clarity emerges.
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped the breakout zone and is currently trading between the scalp supply in premium and the higher liquidity pools. The structure indicates engineered moves into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity around 3,672–3,674 before the next expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection, targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640.
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs, targeting 3,645 → 3,640.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow, targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection
• Entry: 3,656 – 3,658
• Stop Loss: 3,663
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,645
TP2: 3,640
👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity.
🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,672 – 3,674
• Stop Loss: 3,679
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,640
👉 Expect an engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,614 – 3,612
• Stop Loss: 3,607
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,640
TP3: 3,655
👉 A high R:R trade if price retraces to the protected demand before expansion.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones near the breakout point. The directional bias favours:
• Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658
• Swing sells at 3,672–3,674
• Discount buys at 3,614–3,612
Strict risk management is essential — expect liquidity sweeps on both sides before the actual expansion.
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is range-bound around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a possible Fed cut this week and the dot-plot in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for an engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand within prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656)
• Entry: 3,658 – 3,656
• Stop Loss: 3,651
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,665
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,675+
👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613)
• Entry: 3,615 – 3,613
• Stop Loss: 3,610
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,645
TP3: 3,655+
👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before the New York session.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678)
• Entry: 3,676 – 3,678
• Stop Loss: 3,683
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,665
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,645
👉 Expect a stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on a firm H1 close above 3,683.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favours: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
Gold 1H – Demand Sweep Before Premium ExpansionGold on the 1H chart is currently consolidating near 3,644 after multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) moves, signalling engineered liquidity grabs. Price has formed clear demand footprints around 3,620 and deeper at 3,593, while premium supply is positioned between 3,673–3,680. This suggests a likely retracement into discount demand zones before expansion towards premium liquidity levels.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,620 – 3,618 (SL 3,613): Fresh demand block aligned with bullish order flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,593 – 3,591 (SL 3,596): Deeper liquidity sweep zone, offering strong risk-to-reward.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680): Premium supply pocket, likely to trigger short-term liquidity grabs.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Shallow Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,620 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,613
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,635
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,665+
👉 Expect a bounce from shallow demand before retesting premium supply.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Liquidity Sweep
• Entry: 3,593 – 3,591
• Stop Loss: 3,596
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,645+
👉 Suitable for swing traders targeting higher R:R after liquidity engineering.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,635
👉 Scalp trade opportunity at premium supply; overall bias remains bullish, so risk should be managed tightly.
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🔑 Strategy Note
The broader bias is bullish, but smart money may drive price into 3,620 or even 3,593 demand zones before expansion. Cleaner setups favour buying dips, while shorts from 3,673 are counter-trend scalps with limited scope.
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With today’s CPI release, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday)
• Entry: 3,643 – 3,645
• Stop Loss: 3,650
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,620
TP3: 3,600
👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone.
🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,688 – 3,691
• Stop Loss: 3,696
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,660
TP4: 3,650
Open: 3,625
👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep
• Entry: 3,595 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,615
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,635
TP4: 3,645
Open: 3,685
👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion.
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🔑 Strategy Note
CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favours:
• Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645
• Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691
• High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592
Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
Gold 1H – Buy the Dip, Watch 3,687 Premium SupplyOn the 1-hour chart, Gold is trading above 3,650 after a clear break of structure. Price has created demand footprints near 3,636 and deeper at 3,594, while resistance is seen around 3,670 and premium supply is at 3,687–3,689. This indicates a possible engineered retracement into discount demand zones before a move towards liquidity above 3,688.
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,636 – 3,634 (SL 3,630): Fresh demand block in line with bullish flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,594 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Deeper discount demand, strong base for buyers.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,687 – 3,689 (SL 3,694): Premium supply zone, possible liquidity sweep.
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,634
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,650
TP2: 3,665
TP3: 3,680+
👉 Expect retracement into discount demand before price continues bullish.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Demand Test
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,640+
👉 Best for swing buyers seeking higher risk-reward on a deeper liquidity grab.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,687 – 3,689
• Stop Loss: 3,694
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,640
👉 Short-term liquidity grab at premium levels, good only for scalping with strict risk.
🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may push price into 3,636 or even 3,594 demand zones before expanding higher. Safer setups are buying dips; short positions at 3,687 should be treated only as quick scalps.
Gold 1H – Smart Money Plays Below 3,600Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating close to 3,600 after sweeping short-term liquidity. Price is currently forming imbalance around intraday highs, while demand is positioned lower at 3,565. This structure suggests engineered moves designed to trap both buyers and sellers before the next expansion.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,565 – 3,563 (SL 3,560): Discount demand block, aligned with bullish order flow.
• 📍 Scalp Sell Zone 3,594 – 3,596 (SL 3,601): Intraday rejection pocket; scalp opportunity.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,630 – 3,628 (SL 3,637): Premium supply zone, suitable for liquidity sweep reaction.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,565 – 3,563
• Stop Loss: 3,560
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,585
o TP2: 3,595
o TP3: 3,600+
👉 Expectation is for liquidity sweep into discount demand before resuming bullish trend.
🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Intraday Reaction
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,596
• Stop Loss: 3,601
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,592
o TP2: 3,590
o TP3: 3,585 → 3,580 → 3,570 → 3,560
👉 Short-term liquidity pocket; scalp trades only with strict risk control.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,630 – 3,628
• Stop Loss: 3,637
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,610
o TP2: 3,600
o TP3: 3,590
👉 Targeting liquidity lying below intraday lows; best for quick short opportunities.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a sweep of 3,626–3,630 supply before driving price back into 3,565 demand. Cleaner setup is to buy dips, while sell scalps are short-lived opportunities.
Gold 05/09: Ready to Scalp the Drop or Buy the Dip?🟢 Market Context
Gold is currently showing a short-term bearish setup after a ChoCH (Change of Character) near 3,536.556. The market is rejecting supply and forming liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. Expect price to pull lower towards demand areas before the next bullish leg.
📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan
🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Opportunity)
• Entry: 3,531 – 3,533
• Stop Loss: 3,535
• Target: 3,485
🟢 Swing Buy Zones
Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477
o Stop Loss: 3,470
o Target: 3,508 – 3,526
Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443
o Stop Loss: 3,435
o Target: 3,500+
⚖️ SMC Bias
• Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone.
• Mid-term: Looking for liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones.
• Long-term: Maintaining bullish order flow as long as deeper demand (3,441) holds.
Gold 04/09 – Smart Money Setup: Sell Scalp, Prep for Buy Zones🟢 Market Context
Gold is currently reflecting a short-term bearish setup after a Change of Character (ChoCH) near 3,536.556. The market is reacting from supply and creating liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. We anticipate the price to move lower towards demand areas before the next upward push.
📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan
🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Trade)
Entry: 3,531 – 3,533
Stop Loss: 3,535
Target: 3,485
🟢 Swing Buy Zones
Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477
Stop Loss: 3,470
Target: 3,508 – 3,526
Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443
Stop Loss: 3,435
Target: 3,500+
⚖️ SMC Bias
Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone.
Mid-term: Expecting liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones.
Long-term: Bullish order flow intact as long as deeper demand (3,441) is respected.
Gold 03/09 – Smart Money Playbook: Buy the Dip, Sell the High🟢 Market Context
Gold continues to show a bullish trend with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCH (Change of Character) confirmations. The price is currently consolidating around the 3,533–3,540 range, with a noticeable FVG (Fair Value Gap) below. The market is likely to sweep liquidity before making another upward move.
📍 Key Levels
• Resistance (Sell Zones): 3,564 | 3,575–3,576 | 3,586 | 3,595
• Support (Buy Zones): 3,528 | 3,508 | 3,494 | 3,480–3,478 | 3,468
🛠️ Trade Ideas
✅ Buy Zone (Intraday Swing)
• Entry: 3,480 – 3,478
• SL (Stop Loss): 3,473
• TP (Take Profit): 3,485 – 3,490 – 3,500 – 3,515 – 3,520 – 3,530
📌 Expectation: Price is expected to fill the FVG and react from the demand zone before resuming its upward trend.
✅ Buy Scalp (Quick Reaction)
• Entry: 3,501 – 3,503
• SL (Stop Loss): 3,491
• TP (Take Profit): 3,510 – 3,525 – 3,545 – 3,550
📌 Expectation: A short-term liquidity grab above the 3,500 psychological level, leading to a bullish push.
❌ Sell Zone (Countertrend Play)
• Entry: 3,575 – 3,573
• SL (Stop Loss): 3,582
• TP (Take Profit): 3,565 – 3,555 – 3,545 – 3,530 – 3,520
📌 Expectation: A strong supply zone where smart money may target liquidity before a price reversal.
🔑 SMC Insights
• BOS confirms a bullish bias, but the price may pull back to address the FVG imbalance.
• Liquidity is likely to be present around 3,480–3,500 before a push towards 3,575 or higher.
• High probability of buying at demand zones (dips) and selling at extreme supply zones.
Will Gold Return to 3400?Market Context
Price has registered multiple bullish break of structure, confirming short-term bullish momentum.
A supply zone around 3449 – 3451 may trigger liquidity-driven reactions.
The fair value gap between 3360 – 3310 is still open and could pull price down before continuation.
Key Levels
Supply Zone: 3449 – 3451
Buy Zone 1: 3396 – 3400 (Stop Loss: 3390)
Buy Zone 2: 3310 – 3315 (Stop Loss: 3303)
FVG Zone: 3360 – 3310
Trading Scenarios
Primary Buy Setup
Entry: 3396 – 3400
Stop Loss: 3390
Target: 3449 – 3460 liquidity sweep
Secondary Buy Setup
Entry: 3310 – 3315
Stop Loss: 3303
Target: 3396 – 3449
Counter-trend Sell
Entry: 3449 – 3451, provided rejection is visible
Stop Loss: above 3458
Target: 3400 demand
Summary
The overall bias stays bullish with two key demand zones in play: 3400 for a shallow retracement and 3310 for a deeper liquidity sweep. Short positions near supply remain valid only as quick counter-trend trades.
Gold 29/08: Smart Money Looks at 3444 or 3395 LevelsMarket Context (SMC View):
Gold faced rejection from the 3423 liquidity zone and is now pulling back.
Demand is seen near 3397–3395, which can give a bounce if price tests it.
Premium supply zones above 3422 and 3442 are good areas to look for selling opportunities.
🔼 BUY SCENARIO
Buy Zone: 3397 – 3395
Stop Loss: 3389
Targets: 3405 → 3415 → 3425
🔽 SELL SCENARIO 1 (Price Action)
Sell Zone: 3422 – 3424
Stop Loss: 3430
Targets: 3412 → 3400
🔽 SELL SCENARIO 2 (Swing)
Sell Zone: 3442 – 3444
Stop Loss: 3452
Targets: 3425 → 3412 → 3400
📌 Conclusion & Notes
Bias: Buy near 3397–3395, then watch for possible liquidity grabs at 3422–3424 or a bigger sweep near 3442–3444 to go short.
Key Levels: 3422–3424 is the first intraday supply zone, while 3442–3444 is the major swing sell zone.
Tip: Wait for rejection candles or confirmation before selling.
Risk: Gold is very volatile; use strict stop losses and manage capital carefully.
Divergence has appeared at H4 – TOP IS ABOUT TO BE FORMEDGold SMC Daily Plan – 28/08
Market Context (SMC view):
Gold is trading near 3395–3396 after a sharp bullish rally. Early bearish divergence is visible on H4, hinting at a short-term top.
Key resistance is at 3400 – a clean breakout above may trigger liquidity sweep towards 342x–343x, retesting the old ATH.
On the downside, if 3370 support breaks, price may correct deeper into 335x BUY zone for a strong bullish setup.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3396–3400 (Sell Zone), 342x–343x (Liquidity sweep area)
Support: 3370, 3354–3352 (Buy Zone), 3325 (SL for longs)
SMC Zones & Liquidity Pools:
BUY ZONE 1: 3354–3352 (below liquidity sweep under 3370)
SL: 3347
TP: 3365 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395 → 3400+
BUY ZONE 2: 3380–3382
SL: 3374
TP: 3390 → 3400 → 3415 → 3430 → 3450+
SELL ZONE: 3408–3410 (above recent high)
SL: 3416
TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3375 → 3360
Trading Plan & Scenarios:
Sell Setup (Primary Bias – Divergence Play):
Look for liquidity grab above 3396–3399 (into resistance).
Enter short with SL above 3403.
Partial profits at 3390–3380–3375; keep runner towards 3360 if support breaks.
Buy Setup (Counter Play – Break & Retest):
If price dips into 3354–3352 BUY zone, wait for bullish confirmation (choch/BOS on lower TF).
Enter long with SL below 3347.
Targets: 3365 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395 → 3400+
Confluences:
H4 bearish divergence signalling possible exhaustion at top.
Liquidity pools above 3396 and below 3370 remain untapped.
FVG and imbalance align with 335x buy zone.
Gold 27/08: Smart Money Targets 3405 or Sweeps 3355?Gold SMC Daily Plan – 27/08
Market Context (SMC View):
Price is consolidating around 3378, holding the liquidity trendline with multiple BOS and ChoCH, indicating strong smart money activity.
Key resistance: 3393–3406 (supply & liquidity pool).
Key support: 3352–3358 (demand zone) with an Order Block (OB) near 3325.
A possible liquidity sweep could happen above 3405 or below 3355 before confirming the next trend move.
📊 Key Liquidity Zones & Entries
✅ Sell Zone: 3402–3406
SL: 3410
TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3360
✅ Buy Zone 1: 3352–3358
SL: 3345
TP: 3360 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395
✅ Buy Zone 2 (intraday pullback): 3376–3380
SL: 3370
TP: 3385 → 3395 → 3405
SMC Scenarios for 27/08
Scenario 1 – Liquidity Grab at Resistance:
If price sweeps 3402–3406, look for fake breakout signals.
Short from this zone with the TP levels mentioned above.
Scenario 2 – Buy on Dip (Demand Zone):
If price retraces deeper to 3352–3358, wait for bullish confirmation to go long.
If price respects the trend and holds 3376–3380, consider intraday buy opportunities.
SMC Notes:
Focus on buying dips unless a liquidity grab occurs first at 3402–3406.
Keep an eye on price action near the trendline & OB at 3325 for potential high-probability reversal setups.
Gold SMC Playbook 25/08 – Liquidity Hunt at 3400 & 3325Market Context (SMC Perspective)
Price is consolidating near 3367 after a strong impulsive move upward and is currently reacting around a minor resistance area.
Clear ChoCH and BOS patterns indicate bullish intent on the H1 timeframe; however, liquidity pools still lie below 3343 and 3325 (buy-side liquidity).
Imbalance zones spotted: 3343–3341 and a deeper order block zone around 3325–3323.
Key Levels
Resistance (Supply): 3372 – 3382 – 3389
Support (Demand): 3350 – 3342 – 3325
SMC Bias: Mixed – Opportunities to Play Both Long & Short Around Liquidity
🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Liquidity Grab)
Entry: 3400 – 3403 (above local liquidity sweep)
Stop Loss: 3408
Targets:
TP1: 3390 (partial)
TP2: 3380
TP3: 3370
TP4: 3360 (opens 3350 liquidity zone)
Rationale: Expecting a sweep above 3400 into supply, followed by mitigation and a sell-off.
🟢 BUY Scenario (Bullish Continuation from Demand OB)
Entry 1 (Scalp Buy): 3343 – 3341 (reactive zone), SL 3337
Entry 2 (Main OB): 3325 – 3323 (strong OB), SL 3319
Targets:
TP1: 3330
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3350
TP4: 3370 (opens 3390 liquidity)
Rationale: Price may retrace below 3340 to fill imbalance and mitigate the 3325 OB before the next bullish leg.
Execution Plan (SMC Flow):
Wait for a liquidity sweep at highs or lows (above 3400 or below 3325) with proper confirmation.
Look for ChoCH and BOS signals on LTF (M5–M15) around OB zones for entry confirmation.
Trail stop loss after TP1 is hit; take partial profits and hold the remaining position toward the final liquidity target.
Stock Analysis - chart pattern analysis & fundamepinchStock Analysis - step by step for Algoquant Fintech Ltd.
Chart & Price Action Analysis (Weekly Chart)-:
-Current Price: 78.95 (-3.84%)
+Recent Move: Stock gave a strong breakout above its long consolidation channel ( 42- 69).
-Candlestick: The latest candle is a long wick candle after a strong breakout - This signals profit booking after a sharp rally.
- Support Levels
69 - Recent breakout retest zone
60 - Strong support from previous swing highs
42.6 - Major base support (long-term)
- Resistance Levels
85- 88 - Immediate resistance (due to long upper wick supply)
100+ - Psychological round level
120 - Next major target if momentum sustains
🕯️ Candlestick & Swing Analysis
Pattern: Breakout candle with long wick - suggests short-term profit booking, but trend remains positive.
Swing Trend: Stock formed higher highs & higher lows since mid-2023, a sign of strong uptrend.
Risk: If it falls below 69 on weekly closing, trend may weaken.
- Fundamental Comparison (with Fintech peers like Infibeam Avenues, IndiaMart, and small fintech players)
Metric Algoquant Fintech Infibeam Avenues IndiaMart Intermesh
P/E Ratio Very High (Loss-making / low EPS stage) -38x -45x
Revenue Growth Very high (small base effect) Moderate Stable
Debt Low Low Very Low
Business Stage Emerging (High growth, high risk) Mid-sized, stable Established, B2B stronghold
👉 Learning: Algoquant is in an early stage compared to peers - higher growth potential but also higher risk.
📘 Basic Learnings for Students (Investment Education)
1. Candlestick Learning - Long upper wicks after breakout = profit booking - watch for retest of breakout levels.
2. Swing Analysis - Trend is up as long as higher highs-higher lows structure is maintained.
3. Chart Pattern - Breakout from long channel = momentum can continue if volumes sustain.
4. Fundamental Insight - Always compare with industry peers on P/E, revenue growth, debt, margins.
5. Risk Management - In emerging companies, volatility is high. Always keep a stop-loss.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Stock markets are subject to risks. Please do your own research (DYOR) or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.
#Algoquant #FintechStocks #StockMarketIndia #TechnicalAnalysis #CandlestickPatterns #SwingTrading #InvestingForBeginners #FundamentalAnalysis #StockMarketEducation #DYOR
GBPCHF – Could This Be the Start of a Bullish Comeback?Looking at GBPCHF right now, it feels like the market is finally speaking my language.
After an extended downtrend, price has landed on a major support zone visible on the higher timeframes — a zone that’s been tested and respected multiple times before. We're now seeing early signs of rejection from that area, and I’m eyeing a potential move back up toward 1.1000.
What makes this setup stand out isn’t just the technicals — it’s the patience behind the play. I waited for the sell-off to complete, for price to return to a proven zone, and now I’m watching for signs of strength to kick in. This type of setup? I’ve seen it play out time and time again in my previous chart work.
Drop your thoughts in the comments — do you see the same potential, or are you taking a different side of the trade?
EUR/USD - 02/04/2025🔥 D1:
🔹 In my view, the Daily supply zone is still holding price well.
🔹 I'm leaning towards a bearish scenario, but need lower timeframes to confirm.
🔥 H4:
🔹 Price has broken structure (BOS) and might retrace to the H4 supply zone (~1.0900-1.0920) before continuing down.
🔹 If it reacts well in this zone, I'll look for sell opportunities following the main trend.
⚠ Note: USD might be volatile before tomorrow’s news, so stay alert.
📊 Plan:
✅ Wait for price to reach the H4 supply zone and confirm a reaction before entering.
✅ Manage risk properly, avoid jumping in too early.
💹 If you share the same view, wait for signals and let's trade together! 🔥🔥🔥