KFINTECH – Daily | Compression → Breakout SetupKFINTECH has been in a long consolidation phase after a strong move and is now trading near an important demand zone. Price is forming higher lows, indicating selling pressure is reducing.
This setup looks like a build-up before a directional move.
🔹 Trend: Neutral → Turning bullish
🔹 Support Zone: Lower grey area (demand)
🔹 Resistance Zones: Upper grey areas
🔹 Entry Idea: Buy on confirmation / sustained hold above support
🔹 Stop Loss: Below demand zone
🔹 Targets:
Target 1: First resistance
Target 2: Upper resistance / range high
📌 Why this setup is strong:
Price respecting demand zone multiple times
Higher lows show accumulation
Risk is limited, reward is larger
Clean structure with clear invalidation
📈 A breakout and hold above the immediate resistance can lead to strong upside expansion.
⚠️ If price breaks below the demand zone, this view becomes invalid.
💡 Patience is key. Best trades come after consolidation.
Dailychart
ETHUSD – Daily Timeframe AnalysisETH is currently trading in an upward trend, forming higher lows, which shows bullish strength in the market. Price is respecting the ascending trendline, indicating buyers are still in control.
🔹 Entry Zone:
Price is reacting near the trendline support, making this a buy-on-dip opportunity.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Placed below the recent support zone to protect against trend failure.
🔹 Targets:
Target 1: Previous resistance / minor supply zone
Target 2: Major resistance area above (strong selling zone)
🔹 Market Structure:
Higher Highs & Higher Lows ✅
Trendline support holding ✅
Bullish continuation setup 🚀
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always wait for confirmation and manage position size properly. This setup works best if the trendline continues to hold.
📌 Bias: Bullish
📌 Timeframe: 1D
📌 Asset: ETHUSD
BHARTIARTL (Airtel) – Daily Chart | Simple Long SetupBharti Airtel is currently pulling back after a strong up-move and has reached an important support area. Price is also near an upward trendline, which often acts as support.
🔹 Trend: Overall trend is up
🔹 Support Zone: Marked grey area
🔹 Entry Idea: Buy if price holds above support
🔹 Stop Loss: Below the red zone (support break)
🔹 Target: Previous highs / upper green area
📌 Why this setup makes sense (simple):
Price is in an uptrend
It came down to a support level
Trendline support is also present
Risk is small compared to reward
📈 If the price stays above support, it can move higher again.
⚠️ If it breaks and closes below support, avoid the trade.
💡 For learning purpose only. Always use stop loss.
BNBUSDT.P – 1D | High RR Trend-Continuation SetupBNB is forming a higher-low structure after a prolonged correction and is now reacting from a key demand / flip zone aligned with the ascending trendline. Price acceptance above this level can lead to a strong upside expansion.
🔹 Market: BNBUSDT Perpetual (Bitget)
🔹 Timeframe: 1 Day
🔹 Bias: Bullish continuation
🔹 Entry Zone: Demand / Structure support
🔹 Stop Loss: Below invalidation level
🔹 Targets:
TP1: Previous supply / range high
TP2: Major resistance zone
TP3: Higher-timeframe liquidity area
📌 Confluence Factors:
Higher-low market structure
Trendline support
Previous resistance turned support
Clean risk-to-reward profile
📈 As long as price respects the marked demand zone and holds the trendline, upside continuation remains favorable.
⚠️ A daily close below support invalidates the setup.
💡 Trade with strict risk management. This chart reflects technical analysis, not financial advice.
XAUUSD No breakout today, only liquidity and structure🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan
📈 Market Context
Gold remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframe (HTF), but intraday price action is currently transitioning into a controlled corrective phase after buy-side liquidity has already been delivered.
With ongoing USD volatility, U.S. yield fluctuations, and Fed rate-cut speculation, Smart Money is not pushing aggressive continuation today. Instead, price is being engineered around premium and discount liquidity zones.
Ahead of U.S. macro events, Gold is behaving typically near extremes:
inducement → liquidity sweep → mean reversion, rather than impulsive trend extension.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1–M15)
Current Phase:
HTF bullish bias remains intact, while intraday structure shows rotation and consolidation following the completion of buy-side liquidity grabs.
Key Idea:
• Look for short opportunities from premium supply
• Or long re-entries from discount demand aligned with the higher-timeframe trend
Structural Notes:
• HTF BOS confirms bullish dominance
• Buy-side liquidity already taken
• Price is rotating, not expanding impulsively
• Internal FVG acting as a downside magnet
• Discount demand aligns with prior order block (OB) support
💧 Liquidity Zones & Trade Ideas
🔴 SELL GOLD 4618 – 4620 | SL 4628
🟢 BUY GOLD 4578 – 4576 | SL 4568
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → OB/FVG retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules
🔴 SELL GOLD 4618 – 4620 | SL 4628
Entry Conditions:
✔ Price taps premium supply
✔ Buy-side liquidity taken above recent highs
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Clear downside BOS
✔ Entry via bearish FVG or supply OB
Targets:
• 4595 — internal reaction
• 4578 — liquidity pool
• Trail aggressively (distribution setup)
🟢 BUY GOLD 4578 – 4576 | SL 4568
Entry Conditions:
✔ Liquidity sweep into discount demand
✔ Confluence with OB + FVG
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Strong upside BOS with displacement
✔ Entry via refined bullish order block
Targets:
• 4618 – 4620 — first reaction
• 4670 — internal liquidity
• 4700+ — continuation if expansion resumes
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Premium zones are liquidity traps
• Expect fake breaks during news volatility
• No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation
• Reduce position size near extremes
📍 Summary
Gold remains bullish by structure, but today is about execution, not prediction:
• 4618 – 4620 may offer a Smart Money distribution short
• 4578 – 4576 is the key discount zone for long reloads
Gold 4H – Liquidity Plays Ahead of Fed Minutes & PMI Data🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade inside a controlled 4H consolidation as markets brace for a highly event-driven week: U.S. PMI releases, updated Fed guidance, and renewed debates over the timing of future rate cuts.
Recent data has shown mixed momentum — softer employment trends but steady business activity — keeping the dollar volatile and gold reactive near mid-range liquidity.
Institutional flows remain cautious, reducing aggressive positioning ahead of major macro catalysts. This environment typically leads to engineered sweeps on both sides of the range as Smart Money hunts liquidity before revealing direction.
Expect short-term volatility spikes, especially around U.S. session opens and PMI releases.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
• Price is navigating a minor bearish structure, forming lower highs while protecting deeper liquidity beneath 4020.
• The recent 4H BOS + corrective pullback suggests the market may generate a liquidity grab toward the discount zone before any strong bullish leg develops.
• A Premium Sell Zone at 4225–4227 sits above resting liquidity, making it an ideal region for stop hunts and short-term distribution.
• The Discount Buy Zone at 4010–4008 aligns with structural reaction points, unmitigated demand, and a liquidity shelf — ideal for accumulation.
• Mid-range liquidity around 4060–4080 may be swept before the market chooses a larger weekly direction.
🟢 Buy Zone: 4010–4008
SL: 4000
TP targets: 4085 → 4120 → 4175 → 4220
Rationale:
• Deep discount zone beneath 4H liquidity
• Confluence of demand + structural mitigation
• High probability of engineered sweep before bullish expansion
🔴 Sell Zone: 4225–4227
SL: 4235
TP targets: 4175 → 4120 → 4060 → 4015
Rationale:
• Premium supply above equal-high liquidity
• Favors stop hunt + distribution before correction
• Aligns with previous 4H rejection and imbalance fill
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS inside each zone before entering — avoid blind entries.
• Expect spreads and liquidity manipulation around news: US PMI, Fed speeches, and data surprises.
• Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact events.
• Scale partial profits at each structural target to secure gains and let runners develop.
✅ Summary
Gold remains trapped in a structured 4H range where Smart Money is likely to sweep one side before delivering a decisive expansion.
Discounted buys at 4010–4008 and premium sells at 4225–4227 remain the highest-probability weekly setups.
Stay patient, respect liquidity, and follow confirmation.
🔔 FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups 🚀
Gold H1 - Can Gold reject 4167 and fall to 4133 today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside an intraday consolidation after a strong H1 displacement. The session is now primed for liquidity engineering before the next leg.
Key narrative drivers traders must respect today:
• Stronger USD expectations continue to shape risk sentiment
• Institutional desks frequently exploit sweep zones during consolidation
• Range-bound conditions favor fakeouts → displacement → expansion mechanics
• Headlines around U.S. monetary tone amplify intraday volatility
The current chart highlights balanced liquidity both above and below structure, supporting a two-way SMC playbook.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1)
Market is holding a rising channel, but internally ranging — a typical liquidity map scenario:
• Buy-side liquidity pocket: 4180 → 4182 (premium extreme)
• Sell-side liquidity pool: 4110 → 4133 (discount extreme / origin zone)
• Internal equilibrium zone: 4150–4170 chop region (no-trade area)
We expect this sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH/BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion.
🎯 Trade Plans for Today
🔴SELL GOLD 4180–4182 | SL 4190
Thesis: Premium liquidity sweep above local highs before downside displacement.
Activation rules:
• Price sweeps 4182 liquidity
• Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15
• Imbalance retest / FVG entry after structure break
Targets:
• 4167 (nearest reaction)
• 4150 (equilibrium raid)
• 4135–4133 (discount retest)
🟢 BUY GOLD 4135–4133 | SL 4125
Thesis: Sell-side liquidity sweep into the origin zone before upside impulse.
Activation rules:
• Price taps 4133 pool (sweep below structure)
• Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15
• FVG fill / bullish rejection wick confirmation
Targets:
• 4155+
• 4167 (reclaim zone)
• 4180+ (premium raid target)
⚠️ Risk Management
• Do NOT trade inside 4150–4170 without clear displacement
• Wait for CHoCH + BOS before execution
• Treat the upper and lower zones as liquidity traps, not trend entries
• Reduce size during news spikes unless structure confirms
• SL = wave invalidation, no averaging in chop
📝 Summary
Gold is in accumulation/redistribution mode. Desks may:
• Run buy-side liquidity at 4182, then displace down → retest discount
or
• Sweep sell-side liquidity at 4133, confirm CHoCH up → expand with impulse
Today is a liquidity session, not early trend chasing. Execute only after confirmation.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
Gold H1 – Liquidity Plays as Hassett Leads Fed Chair Race🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (26/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold opens the week reacting to fresh political headlines as Kevin Hassett emerges as the frontrunner for Trump’s next Fed Chair.
This matters for gold because:
• A hawkish-leaning Fed Chair pick typically strengthens USD and weighs on gold.
• Markets may price in tighter policy expectations, increasing short-term bearish pressure.
• Political volatility ahead of the official announcement often triggers liquidity grabs on both sides.
With sentiment shifting toward a stronger USD, gold is positioned for classic SMC-style sweeps around key premium and discount zones.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H – Smart Money Structure)
• Market Structure
Price has tapped into a minor premium zone and is showing early rejection signs.
Below, the 4140–4138 area aligns with intraday demand and the origin of recent displacement.
• Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply)
4210 – 4212
• Sits above current buy-side liquidity
• Clear premium relative to intraday structure
• High-probability sweep zone before any downside displacement
• SL region: 4220 liquidity pocket
• Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand)
4140 – 4138
• Previous CHoCH origin
• Aligns with discount retracement
• Confluence with unmitigated internal demand block
• SL region: 4130 sell-side liquidity
• Liquidity Map
• Buy-side: 4212 → 4220
• Sell-side: 4138 → 4130
Expect the typical SMC sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH → Displacement → Retest → Expansion.
🔴 Sell Setup – Premium Reaction
Entry: 4210 – 4212
Stop-Loss: 4220
Take-Profit:
→ 4160 (reaction level)
→ 4145 (mid-range liquidity)
→ 4140–4138 (discount zone retest)
📌 Only activate after a liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup – Discount Reaction
Entry: 4140 – 4138
Stop-Loss: 4130
Take-Profit:
→ 4160 (intraday reaction)
→ 4185 (premium edge)
→ 4210 (liquidity sweep target)
📌 Valid only after sell-side sweep + bullish CHoCH.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Headlines around the Fed Chair nomination may create sudden USD strength spikes—wait for structure shifts.
• Avoid trading inside the chop zone 4150–4180 without clear displacement.
• Treat today as a liquidity-driven session, not a directional trend day.
📝 Summary
Gold is rotating between premium and discount zones as markets digest news of Kevin Hassett leading the Fed Chair race, a development that could tilt expectations toward firmer policy.
Institutional players are likely to hunt liquidity above 4210 or below 4140 before committing to direction.
Key Levels Today (26/11)
🔴 Sell Zone: 4210–4212
🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138
Prepare for:
Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
Gold H1 – Pre-NFP Liquidity Hunt as US–China Tone Warms🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (25/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is approaching a key premium zone while markets react to fresh geopolitical headlines. Earlier today, Donald Trump confirmed he had a “very good call” with President Xi of China, highlighting strong bilateral relations and continued cooperation.
This matters for gold because:
• Warmer US–China relations often reduce geopolitical risk premiums, pressuring gold.
• The timing is critical: markets are entering NFP week, a period where institutions frequently engineer liquidity grabs.
• Traders may see a USD-supportive environment ahead of NFP, especially if risk sentiment stabilizes.
In short, gold is sitting in a zone where liquidity sweeps are highly probable before a larger move develops.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H – SMC Structure)
• Market Structure
Price is climbing toward a major liquidity cluster around 4170–4172, aligning with previous equal highs and an unmitigated supply block.
Below, the FVG demand zone at 4102–4100 serves as today’s discount reaction zone.
• Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply)
4170 – 4172
• Buy-side liquidity sits above prior highs
• Clear premium zone relative to current swing structure
• Likely target for engineered sweep ahead of NFP volatility
• Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand)
4102 – 4100
• FVG imbalance + BOS origin
• Confluence with discount retracement levels
• Strong RR for bullish reaction after sell-side sweep
• Liquidity Map
• Buy-side: 4172 → 4180
• Sell-side: 4100 → 4092
Expect the classic SMC sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH → Displacement → Retest → Expansion.
🔴 Sell Setup – Premium Reaction
Entry: 4170 – 4172
Stop-Loss: 4180
Take-Profit:
→ 4138 (imbalance fill)
→ 4115 (mid-range liquidity)
→ 4102–4100 (discount zone retest)
📌 Must wait for liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup – Discount Reaction
Entry: 4102 – 4100
Stop-Loss: 4092
Take-Profit:
→ 4135 (intraday reaction)
→ 4160 (premium edge)
→ 4170 (buy-side liquidity sweep)
📌 Valid only after sell-side liquidity is taken.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect extra volatility as markets price in US–China optimism ahead of NFP.
• Liquidity traps are common during Asian/London sessions—wait for confirmation.
• Avoid taking positions inside the chop zone 4125–4150 without structure shifts.
• Treat both scenarios as liquidity plays, not trend continuation trades.
📝 Summary
Gold is approaching a major liquidity pocket as geopolitical sentiment improves following Trump’s positive call with President Xi.
With NFP approaching, institutions are likely to sweep liquidity above 4170 or below 4100 before establishing direction.
Key Levels Today
🔴 Sell Zone: 4170–4172
🟢 Buy Zone: 4102–4100
Prepare for the typical pre-NFP pattern:
Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
Gold H1 – Will Economic Slowdown Trigger a Liquidity Sweep?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (24/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to move inside a tight compression range while markets react to new economic concerns raised by U.S. analysts.
According to today’s report, economists are increasingly worried about an unusual slowdown pattern in consumer behavior — spending remains high, but confidence and savings are weakening.
This mixed macro picture creates uncertainty:
🔹 Key takeaways from today’s news:
• U.S. consumers are still spending but confidence is deteriorating, a red flag for future growth.
• Economists warn this divergence could lead to slower economic momentum over the next quarters.
• Weakening sentiment → higher recession fears → typically supportive for gold after liquidity sweeps.
• However, short-term volatility remains high as markets reassess the sustainability of U.S. demand.
With uncertainty rising, institutions are likely engineering both-side liquidity grabs before committing to a directional move.
Gold is currently rotating between 4015–4100, respecting a clean SMC range structure.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Market Structure
Price is forming a descending compression pattern with repeated CHoCH signals, indicating engineered liquidity on both sides.
• Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply)
4100 – 4102
→ Overhead resting buy-side liquidity
→ Aligns with unmitigated internal supply + trendline liquidity
• Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand)
4015 – 4013
→ Inside the prior sweep zone
→ Confluence with ascending structure + BOS origin
• Liquidity Map
• Buy-side liquidity: above 4102 – 4110
• Sell-side liquidity: below 4013 – 4008
A sweep of either pocket is likely before real displacement.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4100 – 4102
Stop-Loss: 4110
Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4065 (imbalance fill)
→ 4040 (range midpoint)
→ 4018–4015 (discount retest)
📌 Execution Rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4015 – 4013
Stop-Loss: 4008
Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4055 (short-term reaction)
→ 4080 (premium edge)
→ 4100 (sweep target)
📌 Valid only if price takes sell-side liquidity first and shows bullish displacement from discount.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Market may react unpredictably to weakening U.S. consumer sentiment — reduce risk during spikes.
• Avoid trading inside the 4040–4070 chop zone unless a clean break or CHoCH forms.
• Treat both setups as liquidity–based plays, not trend continuation trades.
• Expect engineered manipulation during Asian session before London expansion.
📝 Summary
Gold remains trapped in a controlled SMC range as economic signals turn mixed.
With economists raising concerns about consumer–confidence divergence, gold may experience pre-breakout liquidity sweeps today.
Key Zones:
🔴 Sell Zone: 4100–4102
🟢 Buy Zone: 4015–4013
Expect the classic SMC sequence:
Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
Gold H1 – Is This Just a Range or a Break Incoming?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (21/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade inside a compressed intraday range as markets react to the latest discussion on whether the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates anytime soon.
According to new reports, policymakers remain cautious, and early rate-cut expectations are fading as inflation progress slows.
This shift pushes USD stronger, increases Treasury yields, and temporarily weakens gold’s bullish momentum.
Key takeaways from the news:
• Fed officials note that inflation is “still not where it needs to be,” reducing the probability of early rate cuts.
• Markets have scaled back expectations for a Q1 cut, keeping USD supported.
• Higher yields → tighter financial conditions → gold struggles to break premium levels.
• Institutions are likely engineering liquidity grabs on both sides before committing to a new directional move.
Price is currently sitting near the 4030–4045 zone, right above discount liquidity, waiting for a catalyst to break out of the short-term compression.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Market Structure:
Gold has completed a clear CHoCH + short-term bearish sequence and is now compressing into the discount zone around 4030.
• Premium Sell Zone (4H Supply):
4128–4130 aligns with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above internal highs.
• Discount Buy Zone:
4030–4028 sits inside the last clean demand zone where a previous sweep occurred.
• Liquidity Map:
→ Buy-side liquidity: above 4128–4135
→ Sell-side liquidity: below 4028–4020
Institutions are likely to sweep one side before delivering direction.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4128 – 4130
• Stop-Loss: 4140
• Take-Profit:
→ 4080 (minor imbalance fill)
→ 4045 (range EQ)
→ 4030–4028 (discount demand retest)
📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15 before entering.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4030 – 4028
• Stop-Loss: 4020
• Take-Profit:
→ 4060 (short-term reaction level)
→ 4095 (inefficiency fill)
→ 4120 (premium retest)
📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4030–4028 pocket and shows bullish displacement from discount.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• USD strength may spike unexpectedly as rate-cut bets fade — reduce position size during volatility.
• Avoid trading inside the 4045–4085 chop zone unless a clean structure break forms.
• Manage trades aggressively once liquidity levels are taken.
• Expect engineered manipulation during low-volume Asian hours.
📝 Summary
Gold is compressing inside a narrow intraday range as markets reassess the likelihood of Fed rate cuts.
SMC structure suggests a two-sided liquidity sweep before a decisive move:
• Sell Zone: 4128–4130 (premium supply)
• Buy Zone: 4030–4028 (discount demand)
Expect classic accumulation → sweep → displacement patterns until macro conditions create a new trend.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
Gold H1 – Sideway or Preparing for a Bigger Break?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (20/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to move inside a tight consolidation as markets digest fresh headlines:
Treasury markets just erased hopes for a December rate cut and now even a January cut is doubtful, following hawkish tones revealed in the latest Fed minutes.
This shift reinforces USD strength in the short term and pressures gold’s bullish momentum, keeping price trapped between well-defined liquidity zones.
Key implications from the news:
• The 6-month Treasury yield jumped back to 3.83%, aligning with hawkish expectations.
• Rate-cut bets evaporating → USD stays firm, limiting gold’s upside.
• Institutions are engineering both-side liquidity sweeps ahead of upcoming Fed speakers.
• Gold is currently hovering around ~$4,070 inside a neutral zone where no clean premium/discount imbalance exists.
Until the market receives fresh macro catalysts, price is likely to sweep liquidity at the edges of the range before choosing direction.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Price remains inside a short-term sideways distribution after the recent CHoCH + BOS sequence.
• Premium Sell Zone: 4145–4147, aligning with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs.
• Discount Buy Zone: 4004–4002, sitting inside last clean demand with previous sell-side sweep.
• Liquidity Map:
→ Buy-side liquidity: above 4145–4150 (equal-high cluster).
→ Sell-side liquidity: below 4004–3997, where earlier long positions were cleared.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4145 – 4147
• Stop-Loss: 4155
• Take-Profit:
→ 4085 (minor imbalance)
→ 4045 (range midpoint)
→ 4004 – 4002 (discount demand)
📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into zone + bearish CHoCH M5–M15 before entering.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4004 – 4002
• Stop-Loss: 3997
• Take-Profit:
→ 4040 (short-term range high)
→ 4075 (inefficiency fill)
→ 4140 (premium retest)
📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4000–3997 liquidity pocket and shows strong bullish displacement.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect increased volatility as markets reposition after the sharp decline in rate-cut expectations.
• Avoid trading inside the 4030–4080 chop zone unless a clear structure break occurs.
• Reduce risk size during sudden USD spikes caused by Treasury-yield moves.
• Trail stops progressively as each liquidity level is taken.
📝 Summary
Gold is currently stuck in a clean intraday range as hawkish Fed minutes remove hopes for early rate cuts, pushing USD up and holding gold below premium supply.
SMC structure favors liquidity-sweep setups at both edges:
• Sell Zone: 4145–4147 (premium supply)
• Buy Zone: 4004–4002 (discount accumulation)
Expect classic manipulation → reaction → continuation patterns until the market resolves the new macro pressure.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
GOLD H1 – Trump’s Fed Comments Shake Market Sentiment🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (19/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading in a tight corrective structure as markets react to breaking headlines that Donald Trump is considering removing Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
This news injects uncertainty into Fed policy expectations, causing short-term volatility in USD and positioning gold at a critical decision zone.
• Trump’s comments increase speculation about a potential policy shift, which may temporarily weaken USD sentiment.
• However, gold remains capped below the premium supply zone as institutional flows continue to engineer liquidity sweeps.
• Price is hovering near $4,080 ahead of key Fed-related discussions, keeping both sides of liquidity active.
Institutional order flow suggests controlled accumulation at the discount range while premium regions remain defended by sellers.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Price is forming a short-term distribution pattern after multiple BOS events from the 4150 breakdown.
• Premium Sell Zone: 4109–4111, aligning with unmitigated supply and internal liquidity pockets.
• Discount Buy Zone: 4009–4007, sitting inside a clean demand block + previous sell-side sweep.
• Liquidity:
→ Buy-side liquidity sits above 4111, where equal-high clusters form.
→ Sell-side liquidity rests between 4007–4000, where earlier long positions were cleared.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4109 – 4111
• Stop-Loss: 4119
• Take-Profit:
→ 4055 (minor inefficiency)
→ 4028 (BOS retest)
→ 4009–4007 (discount demand)
📌 Execute only after a liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHOCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4009 – 4007
• Stop-Loss: 4000
• Take-Profit:
→ 4040 (short-term range high)
→ 4075 (inefficiency rebound)
→ 4105/4110 (premium retest)
📌 Valid if price sweeps 4007 and shows bullish displacement.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect volatility as traders react to Trump’s comments on Fed leadership.
• Avoid trading in the 4030–4080 chop zone without a clear structural break.
• Reduce position size during impulsive spikes around USD sentiment shifts.
• Trail stops once price clears each liquidity pocket.
📝 Summary
Gold is being influenced heavily by uncertainty around Trump’s remarks about replacing Fed Chair Powell. Liquidity is building at both extremes, offering clean opportunities at the edges of the range.
• Sell Zone: 4109–4111 (premium supply)
• Buy Zone: 4009–4007 (discount accumulation)
Expect a manipulation → reaction → continuation pattern as institutions play both sides of the current structure.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
🎁 Gifts in BIO for traders who follow daily plans.
GOLD H1 – Hawkish Fed Pressure Ahead of Key NFP Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (18/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside a bearish corrective channel as markets react to hawkish Federal Reserve commentary and positioning ahead of this week’s U.S. NFP data.
• Fed officials signaled a stronger stance against premature rate cuts, keeping USD supported and limiting gold’s upside.
• Price continues to hover near $4,080, reflecting uncertainty as traders balance Fed tone with upcoming labour-market reports.
Institutional order flow shows controlled downside pressure, with engineered liquidity sweeps forming around both channel extremes.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Price remains inside a Bearish Correction Channel, creating consecutive BOS points, confirming distribution.
• Premium Sell Zone: 4107–4105 aligns with a previous mitigation block + internal liquidity.
• Discount Buy Zone: 3983–3985 sits at the lower boundary of the channel + liquidity sweep zone.
• Liquidity:
→ Buy-side liquidity above 4107 (clean equal-high pocket).
→ Sell-side liquidity resting around 3985–3976, where prior long positions were removed.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,107 – 4,105
• Stop-Loss: 4,117
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,060 (minor imbalance fill)
→ 4,030 (BOS retest)
→ 3,985 (discount zone)
📌 Execute only after a liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish BOS on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 3,983 – 3,985
• Stop-Loss: 3,976
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,030 (short-term structure high)
→ 4,060 (inefficiency midpoint)
→ 4,105 (premium retest)
📌 Valid if price taps channel low + shows bullish displacement.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect volatility as markets digest hawkish Fed remarks before NFP.
• Avoid entering trades inside the 4020–4070 chop region without clear BOS.
• Reduce position size during news hours.
• Trail stops once price clears each liquidity pocket.
📝 Summary
Gold remains pressured by Fed rhetoric, but liquidity is building at both extremes.
• Sell Zone: 4107–4105 (premium mitigation area)
• Buy Zone: 3983–3985 (discount liquidity sweep)
Price is likely to form a manipulation → reaction → continuation pattern within the channel.
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GOLD H1 – Will Retail Sales Trigger Gold’s Next Big Move?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (17/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside a corrective phase as markets anticipate today’s U.S. Retail Sales data and several Fed speeches — both crucial for assessing whether inflation momentum is slowing or rebounding.
• Weak retail numbers may hint at cooling consumer strength, supporting safe-haven bids in gold.
• Strong data could revive USD demand, prompting sell-side setups from premium zones.
Institutional flows show engineered pushes into inefficiency before a directional leg unfolds.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Gold is forming a short-term accumulation at the discount range after consecutive bearish candles and a deep liquidity sweep below 4030.
• FVG Sell Zone: 4140–4138 aligns with an unmitigated FVG + internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions.
• Discount Zone: 4008–4010 is the last clean demand zone + sweep area, matching the chart’s projected bullish inducement.
• Liquidity:
→ Buy-side liquidity rests above 4140.
→ Sell-side liquidity remains exposed near 4000–3995.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,140 – 4,138
• Stop-Loss: 4,150
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,095 (intra-day imbalance fill)
→ 4,060 (previous BOS block)
→ 4,010 (discount accumulation area)
📌 Trade only after a liquidity sweep into FVG + bearish BOS on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,010 – 4,008
• Stop-Loss: 4,000
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,060 (short-term structure high)
→ 4,095 (mid-range inefficiency)
→ 4,138 (final premium reaction zone)
📌 Valid if price sweeps 4008 and shows bullish BOS + displacement.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect volatility during the U.S. Retail Sales release.
• Avoid chasing price inside the 4060–4100 chop region.
• Lock profits at each liquidity level and trail stops.
• Keep total risk under 1–2% per setup.
📝 Summary
Gold remains in a engineered pullback phase with clear liquidity pockets at both extremes.
• Sell Zone: 4140–4138 (FVG / premium reaction zone)
• Buy Zone: 4008–4010 (discount accumulation zone)
A clean manipulation–reaction–continuation pattern is likely before the next intraday move.
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GOLD H1 – Gold Reacts to Mixed U.S. Inflation Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (14/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade within a balanced range as investors digest the latest U.S. inflation data. The CPI report showed cooling price pressures, while producer prices (PPI) are due soon — both shaping market sentiment toward the Fed’s December rate outlook.
• Softer inflation supports a bullish bias if gold holds the discount zone.
• Renewed USD strength could trigger short setups from premium liquidity zones.
Institutional flows suggest engineered liquidity hunts before a decisive move resumes.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Gold remains in a short-term bullish correction after a strong sell-off, with recent ChoCH signaling a possible re-accumulation phase.
• Premium Zone: 4300–4298 aligns with a previous unmitigated supply and internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions.
• Discount Zone: 4144–4142 overlaps with the last bullish OB and EMA100 area — a potential demand zone for continuation.
• Liquidity: Resting buy-side liquidity sits above 4300, while inducement below 4140 could lure early longs before true accumulation.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,300 – 4,298
• Stop-Loss: 4,310
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,178 (previous BOS zone)
→ 4,144 (discount retest)
→ 4,110 (deep liquidity pocket)
📌 Valid only after a liquidity sweep and bearish BOS confirmation on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,144 – 4,142
• Stop-Loss: 4,135
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,185 (minor structure high)
→ 4,210 (liquidity void fill)
→ 4,300 (final premium reaction zone)
📌 Valid if price reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Stay patient until U.S. PPI data confirms direction.
• Avoid trades between 4175–4250 (low R/R consolidation area).
• Scale out partials near liquidity pools and trail stops after confirmation.
• Maintain disciplined risk exposure under 2%.
Summary
Gold is in an engineered equilibrium phase — liquidity pools are forming at both extremes.
• Sell zone: 4300–4298 (premium reaction zone)
• Buy zone: 4144–4142 (discount accumulation zone)
Expect manipulation around mid-range levels before a clean directional move unfolds.
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Gold H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data After 5-Wave Completion🟡 XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 14/11
📈 Elliott Wave Context
Gold has completed a textbook 5-wave impulsive rally, peaking near 4250 before entering a corrective phase. The current retracement appears to be forming an ABC correction, with price now approaching the C-wave completion zone around 4145–4147.
Today’s focus shifts to the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) report — a crucial inflation indicator that may influence Fed policy expectations and short-term dollar momentum.
• A hotter PPI print could strengthen USD and trigger a brief sell-off from premium zones.
• A softer reading could weaken USD and fuel a renewed push from discount levels.
🔎 Wave Structure Breakdown (H1)
• Wave 1 → Initial breakout from liquidity trap (~4070).
• Wave 2 → Shallow retracement, respecting prior OB.
• Wave 3 → Strong extension into new highs (~4220+).
• Wave 4 → Sideways correction with internal liquidity grab.
• Wave 5 → Final push to ~4250 — marking potential top.
Now the market is tracing an A–B–C corrective structure, with wave C expected to finalize near the BUY ZONE 4145–4147 (SL 4138) before the next bullish leg resumes.
Intraday Trade Zones (Elliott-Based)
🟩 BUY ZONE: 4145 – 4147 | SL 4138
Looking for completion of wave C and bullish reversal confirmation (BOS or mitigation from demand block).
Targets: 4205 → 4230 → 4250
🟥 SELL ZONE: 4245 – 4243 | SL 4252
Scalp opportunity aligning with potential wave B retest or short-term overextension before larger correction.
Targets: 4180 → 4150
📌 Summary
Gold remains technically bullish after completing a 5-wave structure but is currently digesting gains through a corrective ABC phase. The 4145–4147 discount zone serves as a high-probability wave C completion area, especially if PPI data softens USD momentum.
Wait for structure confirmation before entering, and monitor the PPI release as it may dictate whether gold extends higher or deepens its correction.
GOLD H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data for Directional Clarity🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (13/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is consolidating after a strong impulsive leg, with intraday traders now focused on the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) release — a key inflation metric that often shapes Fed expectations.
• A hot PPI reading could strengthen the USD and trigger a sell-off from premium levels.
• A softer print may weaken the dollar, encouraging another liquidity grab above 4250.
Institutional order flow shows potential for engineered liquidity sweeps around both extremes before the next directional push.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Still bullish overall, but showing early distribution near the 4250 handle.
• Premium Zone: 4255–4253 aligns with an unmitigated supply and prior buy-side liquidity pool — a prime short setup if price reacts after a liquidity sweep.
• Discount Zone: 4168–4166 sits within the recent FVG and above EMA100 — a valid area for re-accumulation and continuation if price corrects deeper.
• Liquidity: Equal highs at 4255 and lows near 4156 signal potential stop-hunt traps before a decisive move.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,255 – 4,253
• Stop-Loss: 4,265
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,182 (previous BOS zone)
→ 4,148 (mid-range equilibrium)
→ 4,110 (discount reaction zone)
📌 Valid only if price sweeps buy-side liquidity and confirms bearish BOS on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,166 – 4,168
• Stop-Loss: 4,156
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,210 (short-term liquidity pocket)
→ 4,248 (imbalance fill zone)
→ 4,255 (final liquidity target)
📌 Valid only if price mitigates the FVG and reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for PPI volatility before entering trades.
• Avoid trading mid-range (4180–4210) – low R/R zone.
• Scale out partials near liquidity points and trail stops post-confirmation.
• Maintain disciplined risk: 1–2% max per setup.
Summary
Gold is in pre-news equilibrium, with both buy- and sell-side liquidity pools clearly defined:
• Sell zone: 4255–4253 (premium reaction area)
• Buy zone: 4168–4166 (discount re-entry area)
Expect engineered liquidity grabs before a decisive move — patience and structure confirmation remain key.
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GOLD H1 – Awaiting CPI Data for Next Big Move🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (12/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold remains in a controlled retracement phase after a strong impulsive leg last week. The market is now consolidating within a defined 1H range, showing clear reactions near short-term EMAs as traders await today’s U.S. CPI release, a key driver of intraday volatility.
• A higher-than-expected CPI could reignite USD strength and push gold toward the discount zone.
• A softer CPI print may trigger a renewed push into the premium zone, inviting liquidity grabs above 4200.
Institutional flows remain balanced between short-term profit-taking and position building ahead of the inflation print, suggesting engineered liquidity sweeps before the real move unfolds.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: Market structure is still bullish but showing distribution signs at the top of the range.
• Premium Zone: 4201–4199 aligns with unmitigated supply — a prime area for potential sell-side reaction if CPI sparks a bullish liquidity sweep.
• Discount Zone: 4083–4081 overlaps with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and sits just above EMA100 — an ideal re-accumulation area for institutional buys.
• Liquidity: Equal lows near 4080 and equal highs near 4200 make both sides vulnerable to engineered stop-hunts before direction is confirmed.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,201 – 4,199
• Stop-Loss: 4,210
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,140 (first liquidity pocket)
→ 4,102 (mid-range equilibrium)
→ 4,083 (discount zone confluence)
📌 Only valid if CPI causes a liquidity sweep into premium, followed by M5–M15 bearish BOS confirmation.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,081 – 4,083
• Stop-Loss: 4,074
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,102
→ 4,140
→ 4,199
📌 Only valid if price sweeps 4080 liquidity and reclaims structure with bullish BOS on M15 timeframe.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for CPI-induced volatility before executing any setup.
• Avoid mid-range trades between 4100–4140 — this is equilibrium noise.
• Reduce size pre-news; volatility spikes can trigger premature stops.
• Scale partials at each liquidity pocket and trail stop-losses accordingly.
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating ahead of CPI, with dual liquidity zones clearly defined:
• Sell zone: 4201–4199 (premium reaction area)
• Buy zone: 4083–4081 (discount re-entry area)
The market is likely to hunt one side of liquidity before revealing true intent. Traders should remain patient, trade from extremes, and align entries with confirmed structure shifts.
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Gold H1 – 5-Wave Complete Amid Fed Rate Hopes & Dollar Rebound🟡 XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 12/11 | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Elliott Wave Context
Gold appears to have completed a clear 5-wave impulsive advance on the H1 chart, with wave 5 reaching into the premium zone around 4,149–4,151. Concurrently, macro news is supporting bullion: weaker US labour data and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut have bolstered safe-haven flows.
Now price is retracing from the highs, suggesting that a classic corrective ABC sequence may be forming.
🔎 Technical Breakdown (Wave Structure)
• Wave 1: Initiation rally from ~3,965
• Wave 2: Shallow pull-back to near ~4,000
• Wave 3: Strong impulse past ~4,080 → extended
• Wave 4: Controlled correction holding trend-line support
• Wave 5: Final push topping near ~4,149–4,151 (SELL ZONE)
With the 5-wave impulse complete, the market is likely shifting into:
Wave A → bear leg
Wave B → corrective rebound
Wave C → deeper decline
📉 Expected Elliott Wave Path (ABC)
Wave A projection:
• Likely break below the 2-4 trend-line
• First reaction zone: ~4,081 (Fibonacci 0.382)
• Main downside target: ~4,059 (BUY ZONE)
Wave B projection:
• Corrective rebound toward either ~4,108 or ~4,149 (upper premium)
Wave C projection:
• Key downside targets:
o ~4,037 (Fibo 0.618)
o ~4,025–4,010 (trend-line support)
Wave C often equals Wave A in length → aligns with ~4,059 zone for potential cycle end.
Intraday Trade Plan (Elliott-based)
Scenario 1 – SELL the corrective wave (A–B–C)
Preferred strategy given completed impulse.
Entry: After H1 candle breaks below 2-4 trend-line, or on Wave B retest into ~4,149–4,151 (SELL ZONE)
Stop Loss: Above wave-5 high: ~4,155
Take Profit zones:
• TP1: ~4,081
• TP2: ~4,059
• TP3: ~4,037
Scenario 2 – BUY only if correction invalidates
If gold refuses to break the 2-4 trend-line and pushes above ~4,155 → wave 5 may extend.
Entry: Above ~4,155
SL: ~4,149
TP: ~4,175–4,200
📌 Summary
For 12/11, gold has completed a textbook 5-wave impulse and is now ripe for a corrective ABC pattern. With macro forces (Fed rate-cut expectations, weaker dollar) providing backdrop, the highest-probability trade is to sell the Wave B retest and ride Wave C toward deeper support near ~4,059. Stay patient, let the structure confirm the impulse → correction transition before committing.
Gold 1H – Is This Pump Temporary or the Start of a Bigger Move?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold extended its bullish leg overnight, driven by a sharp upside displacement following a clean ChoCH on the H1 structure.
However, the impulsive rally is now pushing deep into premium territory, where higher-timeframe supply begins to re-enter the picture.
Market sentiment remains cautious ahead of U.S. consumer confidence data and upcoming comments from several Fed officials.
• A hawkish tone could strengthen the dollar intraday, making the current rally vulnerable to a pullback.
• A neutral or dovish signal may allow gold to sweep higher liquidity before forming its next decisive move.
Price is currently tapping into resting buy-side liquidity above 4060–4070, with the next pool sitting just beneath the 4090 supply zone, making this an ideal location for short-term reversals.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: H1 bias remains bullish after the major ChoCH, but price is now entering an exhaustion phase as it reaches unmitigated supply.
• Premium Zone: 4090–4088 aligns with the freshest H1 supply, formed right before the displacement — a prime location for a short-term reversal.
• Liquidity Sweep: The candles show aggressive wicks into higher liquidity, suggesting the market may engineer one final sweep into 4090 before rotating downward.
• Discount Zone: 3974–3976 lines up with unmitigated demand and sits directly below the previous accumulation range — an ideal discount level for continuation buys if price retraces.
🔴 Sell Setup (High-Probability Reversal)
• Entry: 4090 – 4088
• Stop-Loss: 4100
• Take-Profit Targets: → 4040 (first liquidity pocket) → 4005 (return to structure) → 3976 (discount zone & demand confluence)
🟢 Buy Setup (Demand Reaction Setup)
• Entry: 3974 – 3976
• Stop-Loss: 3967
• Take-Profit Targets: → 4005 → 4040 → 4080
(Only valid if price performs a liquidity sweep into 3976 and prints a clean M15 ChoCH.)
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Avoid entering early inside the premium zone — wait for bearish confirmation (M5–M15 BOS).
• The demand at 3974–3976 is strong but only valid once liquidity beneath the range has been fully taken.
• Do not chase buys near current levels; price is overextended and has no discount alignment.
• Partial profits should be secured at each liquidity point, with stops trailed using structural highs/lows.
• Intraday bias remains bullish-to-neutral, but current price is at an extreme, making shorts more favorable short-term.
✅ Summary
Gold is reaching into a major premium zone near 4090, where a short-term reversal becomes highly probable.
The 4090–4088 supply provides a clean, high-quality SMC continuation-short setup, while the 3974–3976 demand zone remains the strongest location for reactive long positions.
Stay patient — today’s movement will likely determine whether the recent pump is temporary or the beginning of a broader structural shift.
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Sobha- A breakout of consolidation is on cardsRealty sector has been performing well post Q2 results announcements.
Sobha has posted stellar Q2 numbers but it might be one off quarter as well.
Technically, stock is looking ripe for a good flag breakout of consolidation.
We might soon see a breakout coming but sustainment of breakout is crucial for further upmove.
Levels are mentioned on chart. We can see upside of more than 50% if breakout sustains.
You can also check other realty sector stocks and see if any similar pattern is visible.
Please note that I am just NISM certified RA and not SEBI registered.
This analysis is not a recommendation but has been shared for educational purposes only.
Gold 4H – Key Liquidity Zones Ahead of US PMI & Fed Commentary🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to consolidate within a tight 4H range as traders prepare for a week influenced by U.S. PMI releases, Fed speeches, and shifting rate-cut expectations.
Mixed economic signals — including softer labour data but resilient manufacturing prints — have kept gold trapped between supply overhead and stacked demand levels below.
Institutional flows remain cautious, with markets waiting for clarity on the Fed’s stance. This uncertainty often fuels liquidity-driven sweeps, making this week especially favourable for SMC-style setups.
Short-term volatility is expected as price interacts with major liquidity pools on both ends of the range.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
• Price is moving within a well-defined range structure, with repeated liquidity grabs on both sides indicating accumulation by larger players.
• The latest 4H ChoCH signals continued hesitation from buyers near the mid-range, hinting that the market may engineer another sweep before committing to a directional leg.
• A significant Premium Supply Zone at 4154–4152 sits just above recent equal highs — an attractive area for liquidity hunts followed by potential short-term distribution.
• Conversely, the Discount Demand Zone at 3907–3909 aligns with previous structural reaction levels and sits below a liquidity shelf, making it an ideal zone for re-accumulation.
• Expect engineered stop-hunts around mid-range liquidity (4000–4016) before a stronger move develops.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3907–3909
SL: 3900
TP targets: 3978 → 4003 → 4016 → 4125
Rationale:
• Discount zone within the current 4H range
• Liquidity resting below the structure lows
• Potential accumulation before the next bullish impulse
🔴 Sell Zone: 4154–4152
SL: 4161
TP targets: 4080 → 4016 → 3978 → 3920
Rationale:
• Premium supply positioned above equal-high liquidity
• Likely area for a sweep before corrective downside
• Confluence with previous 4H structure rejection
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH or BOS confirmation inside each zone before entering.
• Expect liquidity manipulation around 4000–4016, especially during US session opens.
• Avoid entries 10–15 minutes before major Fed or PMI releases to limit spread expansion.
• Scale partial profits at each structural target to lock in gains while letting runners play out.
✅ Summary
Gold remains in a controlled 4H range with clear institutional footprints above and below the current price.
Smart Money is likely to engineer a move into either the 4150 supply or the 3900 demand before choosing its next major direction.
Both setups offer high-probability opportunities when combined with intraday confirmations.
Stay patient, wait for liquidity sweeps, and respect structure.
Premium sells remain valid at 4154–4152, while discounted buys are favoured at 3907–3909.
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