GOLD RETRACEMENT BEFORE NEXT LEG DOWN GOLD RETRACEMENT BEFORE NEXT LEG DOWN
Body: 🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 27, 2025
Main timeframe: M30 – H1
Strategy: SMC + Fibo Zone Reaction + OB/Trendline Confluence
1️⃣ MARKET CONTEXT
Price is consolidating after a sharp drop from 4186 → 4058.
Currently, price is trading inside a support trendline + OB BUY ZONE (4058 - 4061), showing signs of demand reaction.
Above, multiple supply zones are stacked (4093 - 4095 / 4114 - 4116 / 4135 - 4137), creating strong short-term resistance layers.
Structure remains bearish, but a corrective leg toward premium zones is likely before any continuation down.
2️⃣ BIAS
Short-term bullish retracement, then sell continuation from premium supply zones.
3️⃣ SCENARIO 1 — BUY SETUP (Short-term retracement)
Entry: 4061 – 4059
SL: 4055
TP1: 4093
TP2: 4114
RR: ≈ 1:4
Note: Only buy if price forms bullish BOS / engulf on M15 from this OB zone (confluence with Fibo 0.786).
4️⃣ SCENARIO 2 — SELL SETUP (Main setup)
Option 1:
Entry: 4093 – 4095
SL: 4100
TP1: 4061
TP2: 4002
RR: ≈ 1:5
Option 2:
Entry: 4114 – 4116
SL: 4120
TP1: 4061
TP2: 4002
RR: ≈ 1:5
If price reaches 4135 – 4137, this is an extreme premium zone (reactive Fibo + previous double top). Expect strong reaction and liquidity sweep before a larger sell-off.
5️⃣ KEY LEVELS
OB BUY ZONE: 4058 – 4061
SELL ZONE 1: 4093 – 4095
SELL ZONE 2: 4114 – 4116
SELL ZONE 3: 4135 – 4137
Liquidity Target: 4002 – 3930
6️⃣ SUMMARY
Wait for reaction at 4058 zone for short-term buy retracement.
Main idea: Sell from premium → Target liquidity below 4000.
