Dollarindex
SILVER VIEW silver is sell on rise as there is no change in the fundamentals yet so break above the given resistance line is not seen in near future so we continue to drop in the downward channel also it depends on the behaviour of dollar index and cpi data of usa so upcoming Data can be used as a trigger for change in the fundamentals and can help silver to get above the resistance and shine again Till the time we are experiencing low industrial demand.
Dollar Index (DXY) to end correction and start fresh upmoveTVC:DXY has been moving perfectly as per Elliott waves. It has completed an impulse and now in correction. It has already corrected near 50% which is also close to previous degree wave 4. Worst case we might do 61.8% around 107. Once we get a positive daily close from here, it would be reasonable to assume next impulse has started. What does this mean for equities and cryptos? They'll take a dive as soon as DXY upmove starts.
DXY set for Decisive MoveOn Daily Basis:
US Dollar Index (DXY) is correcting after it achieved the target of 109.29 as predicted in earlier published idea. 105.50 is a near term support level which is a test of DXY for further next decisive move. The trend is bullish right now and it should take the support of 105.50 with next probable target of 112 to 114. RSI on weekly basis has come down and on monthly basis it has scope to go to extreme overbought position which means it will be a final up leg. Usually it is volatile top. August or September may prove to be a blow off top in DXY. The ultimate target of 120 may not be ruled out.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.
Inverse Correlation Between BTC and US Dollar Economic narratives and dialogues covering crypto and traditional market trends have discussed the hypothesis of inverse correlation between Bitcoin and the US Dollar. As the world’s largest cryptocurrency was created with the vision of decentralized substitution for centralized fiat currencies, we have seen the hypothesis becoming true in the past couple of days. As reflected in the chart, BTC is definitely thriving on a weaker dollar.
THE DOLLAR INDEX MIGHT SEE A CORRECTION OR EVEN A REVERSALthe dollar index might see a sell-off for quite a few while the reasons for it is
REASONS
1. on a 1week time frame we are seeing a strong resistance.
2. on the 1day time frame we are seeing double top on the resistance.
3. and on 15 min time frame, we can see a head and shoulder pattern and a descending triangle pattern.
4. if the US market stays positive today we could see and in verse affect the dollar index.
so, my suggestion is to stay against the dollar and you could eventually capture a big move
USDINR-evening star pattern at 4 hourFX_IDC:USDINR
Indian Rupee at all-time low which can mean:
1. RBI will intervene next week to make the bull run slow
2. Evening star at 4 hours look promising. One should watch the next 4 hourly candle.
3. The previous high, 77.88 can be a resistance for the next consolidation. The consolidation is possible as the Dollar is at all-time high and RBI might intervene.
The Fibonacci Game!After the yesterday's 160 pips fall, EURUSD took great support at $1.0776 - $1.07574 levels for a good 78 pips pull back therefrom.
Saw some rejection, Retraced 50% and ended up forming a wedge with a $1.07970 low and $1.08236 high.
There was quite a resistance at $1.08070 levels, Breakout therefrom made the high of $1.08236.
(Which happens to be the 61.8% Retracement level too).
When I got to my desk, This whole story was already in play. Price was travelling near the $1.08070 levels and thanks to the buying pressure reflected by the long wick and a hammer candle, which made the entire set up look like a re-test.
1) Getting some decent 1.95 Reward to Risk.
2) DXY seeking resistance at 100.49 levels and preparing for a quick Immediate fall.
3) Buying pressure at 61.8% retracement level.
4) Making higher highs - higher lows on a shorter timeframe.
These were the reasons for me to put on this quick trade for 13-14 pips.
It's just so amazing to see the way Fibonacci levels play out even on such a shorter timeframe.
Fun Fact (Just in case you didn't know) - Fibonacci Sequence was first discovered by an Indian mathematician Acharya Pingala.
Dollar to plunge & weaken in the long term?This is a long term analysis on TVC:DXY . Dollar has a strong supply area around 98. As long as 103 isn't crossed, we can expect lower levels of 80 soon. Considering global macro factors, this is a strong possibility. The rub off of this would be huge on other linked currencies. One can keep a watch on this in coming months.
Disclaimer : This is a long term view, not a trade idea for you to execute. Trade at your own risk and consult your financial advisors.
DOLLAR INDEXThe Dollar index witnessed over throw or fake breakout from ascending parallel channel due to excess optimism but it is now back into the channel. Pattern wise, it seems to be forming distribution triangle. MACD is also going negative in daily time frame along with turning towards negative in weekly time frame. Once it breaks down lower side of Triangle then it could show more bearish-ness, One can go short on break down of support line of triangle with stop loss of upper line of triangle pattern.
Break below this triangle can be trigger point for short.
Fake Breakout of parallel channel or Over-Throw.
macd in weekly converging towards negative crossover
macd in daily already running in negative crossover and downtick along with increasing histogram
rsi in daily down tick and below 50 range
stochastic in daily also down tick and negative
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
US Dollar Index Buy Setup foundUS Dollar Index Buy Setup found
accoring to elliott wave analysis,
market created elliote 1,2,3,and wlliott 4th wave is running and creating the triangle pattern, as i have discussed with you all.
i will be in buy as i analysed us index.
Best of luck
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