Dow Trading Strategy for 13th November 2024Dow Trading Strategy: Buy Above 44,300 / Sell Below 44,030
Current Price: 44,025.00 USD
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 44,300 on the one-hour candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 44,030 on the one-hour candle, it suggests a potential downward trend, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 44,025.00 USD, just below the sell signal level.
The market is showing signs of bearish momentum, but it's important to monitor the price closely, especially around the 44,000 to 44,100 levels, which could act as support or resistance.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 44,300 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions. Book profit at regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 44,500 and 44,600.
Sell: If the price breaks below 44,030 on the one-hour candle close, consider short positions. Book profit at regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 43,900 and 43,800.
Disclaimer: This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
Downtrend
A comparison of US Economy under Trump Vs Joe Biden PresidencyIt is debatable whether any sitting US President can exert much control over an economy that is as large and as complex as that of the U.S. But Stock Markets are a fair indicator of the overall state of the US economy based on investor sentiment in the markets.
So let's have a look at the various factors that affected how the Dow Jones (as an illustrative example) and the US economy in general fared under Trump Vs Biden-Harris.
1. The DJI gained an impressive approx +12337 points (+67.22%) during the Presidency of Donald Trump, whereas it gained an equally impressive +11,868 points (+38.70%) under Biden-Harris.
2. Yet, the markets stumbled in the Second year of each Presidency - due to COVID lock downs, rising interest rates, Government shutdowns, Trade friction with China (under Trump), and rise in Inflation and interest rates (under Biden).
3. Year-3 was best under each Presidency, with impressive returns and dividends partly driven by reduction in interest rates (under Trump), Billions of Dollars in Stimulus packages, and reopening of economy post COVID and burgeoning AI driven boom (under Biden) and also lowering of interest rates (late into Biden Presidency).
4. Americans enjoyed relatively low Inflation under Trump, whereas resurgence of Inflation has been the biggest problem of Biden-Harris administration. The COVID induced supply chain snarls, geopolitical pressures, unleashing of pent-up demand, all pushed prices sharply higher under Biden-Harris.
5. Inflation has since cooled, most supply chains have normalised, Aggressive Fed rates have helped bring down price growth, still Inflation has increased by +20% during Biden-Harris Presidency and Americans are grappling under it's debilitating effects.
6. The US economy added 6.8 million jobs in the first three years under Trump, it then lost 9.8 million jobs in 2020 producing a Net Loss in employment under Trump. The US added 16.4 million jobs under Biden-Harris.
7. Americans ability to spend is usually their view of the economy. It is no surprise that most Americans feel they did better under Trump, when although wages were lower, but so was Inflation, with average hourly earnings rising +6.4% under Trump. While a tight labour market brought significant wage growth for most Americans under Biden-Harris, high Inflation has restricted purchasing power. The REAL Inflation adjusted wage growth under Biden-Harris is only +1.4%.
8. Notwithstanding a strong job market and economy under Biden-Harris, consumers aren't pleased with economic the conditions. But the Biden-Harris administration inherited a country suffering from the COVID pandemic fallout and soon Inflation added to the woes. Considering these factors Biden-Harris has done a fair job of keeping it together despite the added presuure of global geopolitical challenges.
Even as the US markets are at All Time High levels, confidence in the trajectory of the economy is very low. The Gallup's Global Life Evaluation Index for US is registering low levels of confidence typically seen during recession.
So, which Presidential candidate Trump or Harris, do you think will be better for the US economy in General and US and global markets in particular?
Please let us know in the comments below.
And we will have to wait and see who wins the elections this time and how the markets react.
Will NIFTY consolidate or will show a strong SELL OFF ?Nifty has touched the upper trendline, previously whenever Nifty has touches the upper trendline it has give a correction or a sideways movement and slow downward movement.
23800 looks like a strong support zone also a breakout point for the Flag pattern. It can touch it and have a strong retest at that level and start its journey towards 24800 levels !!
ADANIGREEN, Technical OutlookWith a bearish cross of bands the price has been trading in the negative zone. From these levels the price could give a short trade of 9% to 10%. The level of R1-1,870 can be used as a maximum stroploss level.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
TATACONSUM, Breakdown of Descending Triangle PatternThe price has given a strong breakdown of Descending Triangle pattern. Also the degree and nature of separation in bands also indicates a downtrend. Hence we are in a downtrend and the price could test the lower levels of 1,048 and if broken then 1,028.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
ITC Technical Outlook, Support Broken with a strong momentumToday an important support of 423 has been broken with a strong momentum having RSI below 40. The price could test the next support level of 414 and if broken then we go for 400.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
TATASTEEL, Technical OutlookThe price is in a strong down trend. Today's candle has changed the character of price.
The next important level to consider is 162.30 and if broken then the price could test the levels of 158. Also the degree and nature of separation in both bands indicates the price is entering in the compression zone.
Disclaimer : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
SHREECEM, Weekly Chart Technical OutlookA strong bearish piercing candle formed in the compression zone.
The candle gives a strong breakdown of the bands.
Trend is negative with medium strength.
The probability of down move of 7% is more than 60%
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Vedanta Levels, Inverted Hammer formed on Weekly ChartAn Inverted Hammer candle formed on the top of the trend. I use the Fibonacci tool for levels.
Zone : Expansion
Trend : Negative
Probability > 65% (On Scale)
CMP : 460.80
R1 : 507.10
S1 : 436.60
S3 : 393.00
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
BHARTIARTL SHORTBharti Airtel has finished Wave 5 according to the Elliot Wave Theory and is poised for a correction. We're currently anticipating a strong follow-up candle to the recent Lower High (Spinning Top Candle), which could signify a trend reversal.
ADDITIONALLY, ENDING DIAGONAL TRAIANGLE CAN ALSO BE SEEN.
Potential Future Outlook for XAUUSD - March 12th, 2024Why We Think the Price Might Drop:
1. The support level broke at 2160 and is being tested again.
2. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is around 40, suggesting a signal to sell.
3. The Super Trend indicator indicates a bearish trend.
What Might Happen Next:
Overall, it might be a good idea to sell XAUUSD when the price is around 2160 . We're aiming for targets around 2145 .
Potential Future Outlook for XAUUSD - March 10th, 2024Why We Think the Price Might Drop:
1. The price is hitting a trendline around 2195-2205 .
2. We expect a correction after a big increase in price.
What Might Happen Next:
Overall, it might be a good idea to sell XAUUSD when the price is between 2200-2210 . We're aiming for targets around 2145 and 2085 afterwards.
DATAPATTNS - 5 months consolidation / Downtrend Breakout Data Patterns (India) Ltd
1) Time Frame - Daily.
2) The Stock has been in a downtrend / consolidation since (September, 2023). Now It has given a breakout & Closed at it's 5 months High with good bullish momentum in Daily Time Frame.
3) Option 1 - With the strong 5 months consolidation breakout in Daily, Buy at this current level.
Option 2 - Wait for the strong weekly candle's close above the price 2175.40.
4) Next target will be it's All Time High (2485).
5) Recommendation - Strong Buy
Head and Shoulder Pattern in ICICI bank
Today price break the trend line. As we can see price create a head and shoulder pattern. It's indicate that price will go down with in couple of days.
Indicator:
MACD divergency.
Support 1: 1042
Support 2:1032
if we can see a bearish candle create near 1042 then we can take short position target of 1032 .
VAIBHAVGBL / VAIBHAV GLOBAL - 5 Months consolidation Breakout.VAIBHAVGBL
1) Time Frame - Monthly.
2) The Stock was in downtrend since 2021 and had a breakout in August, 2023.
3) It has been consolidating since August, 2023 and has given a breakout with bullish momentum & Huge volume.
4) The stock may reach its previous Life Time High (1050) in the long term.
4) Recommendation - Strong Buy
Banknifty: Bearish Trends and Cautionary SignalsBig Red Candle: Today's trading session witnessed a significant bearish movement, evident in the formation of a substantial red candle on the daily chart.
EMA Confirmation: Adding to the bearish outlook, Banknifty closed below the 20 EMA, reinforcing the negative sentiment among traders.
Short-Term Downtrend Signals: Lower Low and Lower High
Lower Low Formation : Banknifty has created a lower low in the short term, coupled with a lower high, indicating a clear sign of a short-term downtrend.
Cautious Optimism: Despite the bearish signals, we cautiously identify the 46900 zone as a potential bullish trend support, offering a glimmer of hope in the current market scenario.
Exercise Caution and Watch Key Levels:
High Probability of Downside: Acknowledging the strong likelihood of a downside movement, traders are advised to exercise caution and closely monitor market developments.
Critical Level Alert: Today's low holds significant importance; a breach below this level may indicate unfavorable market conditions and should be considered a crucial signal for market participants.






















