DXY
#Nifty Falcon Wave Counts Recently we had to re-look at what is happening with Falcon Waves. Even though we use two more tools along with Falocn Waves (always) that helps, Heikinashi Candles (as we do not trade against the trend) and Falcon trigger line, however, counts can not be wrong too many times, and we were on the wrong side of the count.
Upon deep analysis, here is a new count, where ABCDE pattern of Falcon Wave is in formation. Out of that Wave D - 5 waves finsihed and we are in wave E - which can be tricky.
Today because DXY went down yesterday - Nifty went up, but DXY has found its temp bottom. This means that Nifty should fall? Perhaps yes.
We have finished 5 waves up, and if we do not get pull back then there is something wrong again with entire process.
DXY chart found temp bottom here on Daily Chart:
We can find some downard pressure now, but this is a good learning for all of us.
One good way is to follow the trend, not a single candle close below previous candle - falcon trigger line method that can help you identify the way forward.
DXY: just 3.7 % down DXY is down just 3.7% from its highs and all its counterpart are behaving like the Fuel in DXY is over. There is no sign support broken on DXY 103.5 and 101.4 are the immediate support level. Once these support level got breached then only we can say that DXY has done with the top for the short term.
DXY set for Decisive MoveOn Daily Basis:
US Dollar Index (DXY) is correcting after it achieved the target of 109.29 as predicted in earlier published idea. 105.50 is a near term support level which is a test of DXY for further next decisive move. The trend is bullish right now and it should take the support of 105.50 with next probable target of 112 to 114. RSI on weekly basis has come down and on monthly basis it has scope to go to extreme overbought position which means it will be a final up leg. Usually it is volatile top. August or September may prove to be a blow off top in DXY. The ultimate target of 120 may not be ruled out.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.
DXYDXY ANALYSIS
It has retracted to its Fibonnacci Level 0.5 (106.17) where it actes as a support and bounced back to its 0.382 (106.84) level which acted as resistance for now.
Further drop is expected to 0.618(105.5) level before another pull up towards 1.618 (112.5 ) LEVELS
THIS IS JUST A VIEW. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE DOING TRADE WITH PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT.
Wolfewaves on DXY and coupled up with strong Fibonacci TVC:DXY Wolfewaves on DXY and coupled up with strong Fibonacci . Until DXY curtailed below 109 to 110 region, it could be said that it has made the top, and there needs a correction in the same. With strong supports around 104, where there could be a consolidation drama, then expecting it to fall till 98. This cycle according to my theory should complete by Feb 25th of 2023.
Wolfewaves on DXY and coupled up with strong Fibonacci TVC:DXY Wolfewaves on DXY and coupled up with strong Fibonacci . Until DXY curtailed below 109 to 110 region, it could be said that it has made the top, and there needs a correction in the same. With strong supports around 104, where there could be a consolidation drama, then expecting it to fall till 98. This cycle according to my theory should complete by Feb 25th of 2023.
Dollar Index Chart over H4 Chart.US Dollar Index in 20-year peaks
The index extends the optimism seen at the beginning of the week and trade beyond the 108.00 mark for the first time since October 2002, always underpinned by the unabated sell-off in the euro.
The move higher in the dollar comes on the back of diminishing US yields, as recession concerns seem to prompt investors to seek shelter in the safe haven universe for the time being.
Friday’s release of the June Payrolls, however, appear to have mitigated part of those worries and now favour the continuation of the current pace of the Fed’s normalization process.
Speaking about recession fears, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow sees the economy contracting 1.2% in the April-June period (from a 1.9% contraction recorded previously).
#GBP AUD # SELL IDEA..Hey M, I am looking to sell GBPAUD below 1.76000 and expecting continuation to the 1.75000 based on fundamental and technical confluence price broke major resistance and tuned to rejection to support and supply creation to continuation of bearish momentum with head and shoulder confirmation thanks.
HUGE Weekly CUP and handle formation on the DXY chartThe DXY chart shows the value of the Dollar against all assets, it is said that if the value of the dollar goes up the value of assets goes down and vice versa.
If this plays out we can expect some red days around all assets.
I hope it doesn't play out, else 2022 will be a bear market.