DXY
EURUSD Going back!EURUSD has finally completed its long correction upside. The ending diagonal is also completing and price reversal is expected from this level. For adding shorts, the stop loss can be used at the previous high (wick).
We can see impulsive move downwards in the coming week to finish its bearish sequence.
USDCHF - Dollar Uprising again?This analysis shows the whole downside as a corrective move. And the ongoing ending diagonal confirms a reversal to more upside. The invalidation level remains at the previous low, and above that the upside remains a likely move.
The Fed's Interest rate decision could trigger the strong move breaking the structure.
Price breaking the previous low (Invalidation level) means the dollar would go to further bearish levels.
The analysis is based on the Elliott Wave Theory.
USDCHF BEARISH IDEAUSDCHF BEARISH TRIANGLE
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Correlations between Nifty and DXY studyHello Friends, here we had shared just an observation on correlation between NIFTY and DXY which are clearly showing opposite directional runs from last couple of months, also we are assuming the wave counts on both, which are suggesting same patterns ahead along with good support by this correlation, this increases good chances of winning probabilities of our forecasting and analysis, this whole scenario helps in view building and analyzing charts.
I'll mention that this is for educational purpose only, and this is not for trading purpose . Thanks
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USDCAD BEARISH IDEAH&S has been formed already and in our previous analysis we made this clear, again the neckline of the H&S was broken which we previously traded it on retest.
After this retest we expect the price it's low now however there were a raising trendline acting as support below after retest, if bears have the energy to push down then we'll reach the target of next support level of 2.30089.
The FED's pivot is underway and the interest rate hikes is expected to be halt my the FED, this will cause more weakness to greenback.
SELL DXYDollar dominates the whole market
We clearly see that DXY should start to fall from 114.0 to 109.0
Current Market Price is 113.45
This indicates that eurusd, gbpusd, audusd, nzdusd should go up
Be ready to book good profit in coming weeks
Sell DXY from 113.50 to 114.0
Stop Loss = 115.20
Take Profit = 109.0 - 108.0
EURUSD, 1D BEARISH FORECASTDespite the fact EU trading in correction, I've spotted an area where traders should pay attention to, the price has already tested the major resistance level between Aug-Sep.
Consider below reasons for selling market.
1. EURUSD is now trading below 50% and 61.8 fib ret.
This is clear indication that EUR could continue trading low against Cable.
2. Another reason is that our harmonic or XABCD pattern have came with a bat pattern, which shows that the CD leg has already been completed, and the Bearish movement has taken place according to the current market price.
3. I've noticed that the price has started with raising trendline or channel from the price level of 0.95455 which matced exactly to the 100% of the 31 may high.
And the last highest traded price matched with our last part of our bat pattern leg that's D and that's exactly the resistance of the raising trendline/channel.
4. The European Central Bank (ECB) has came dovish after their interest rate decision, and the Lagarde hints more economical pains till end of the year.
With the above reasons I believe EURUSD will reach atleast 0.98088, which is retest level of broken descending trendline respected since 08/Jun/22, it also matches our 78.6 ret level, and the testing area of raising trendline/channel.
It means price has to reset raising trendline/channel atleast before going back high to 61.8 ret level.
Find confirmation using lower timeframe.
My views for Dollar Currency Index According to my analysis and with major news events coming up, My opinion on DXY is looking bearish.
Why do I feel so?
- Change of Structure in higher timeframe
- We have been in a long upward cycle. CHoC may lead to short term correction
- We have a demand zone in the bottom. we I expect the price to bounce off.
Again, these are my views for the week. Thank you.
DXY CONSOLIDATION PATTERNDollar index is consolidating in the big time frame We are still for the news to get the breakout or the breakdown the further movement in different currency pairs , commodities , equity will be directly depend on it and break on either side will give a start to new bearish cycle or the bullish cycle for dollar index.
As per my view we will be going higher towards 120-128 levels in short term .
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) at crucial point. What's the next move ?The U.S. dollar index (USDX) is a measure of the value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. The USDX was established by the U.S. Federal Reserve in 1973 after the dissolution of the Bretton Woods Agreement. It is now maintained by ICE Data Indices, a subsidiary of the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).
The index is currently calculated by factoring in the exchange rates of six foreign currencies, which include the euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), Canadian dollar (CAD), British pound (GBP), Swedish krona (SEK), and Swiss franc (CHF).
The Dollar index also impacts the inflationary trend in India. Though the Indian Rupee is not included in the index, changes in the dollar's index relative to other currencies have an impact on the Indian economy. An increase in the Dollar index makes the dollar strong and depreciates the value of the INR.
A weakened rupee makes imports costlier and impacts India Inc.’s profitability due to increased production costs. Increased costs lead to inflation, and the prices of goods and services rise, much to the detriment of consumers. Thus, the overall GDP (Gross Domestic Product) is impacted and suffers a slowdown when the dollar strengthens.
* 15 Year cycle is progressing.
* Trading withing rising channel.
* Arc 1 breakout around July, 2014.
* Arc 2 breakout around March, 2022.
* Trading near it's resistance (Resistance 5).