Dxylong
EURUSD, 1D BEARISH FORECASTDespite the fact EU trading in correction, I've spotted an area where traders should pay attention to, the price has already tested the major resistance level between Aug-Sep.
Consider below reasons for selling market.
1. EURUSD is now trading below 50% and 61.8 fib ret.
This is clear indication that EUR could continue trading low against Cable.
2. Another reason is that our harmonic or XABCD pattern have came with a bat pattern, which shows that the CD leg has already been completed, and the Bearish movement has taken place according to the current market price.
3. I've noticed that the price has started with raising trendline or channel from the price level of 0.95455 which matced exactly to the 100% of the 31 may high.
And the last highest traded price matched with our last part of our bat pattern leg that's D and that's exactly the resistance of the raising trendline/channel.
4. The European Central Bank (ECB) has came dovish after their interest rate decision, and the Lagarde hints more economical pains till end of the year.
With the above reasons I believe EURUSD will reach atleast 0.98088, which is retest level of broken descending trendline respected since 08/Jun/22, it also matches our 78.6 ret level, and the testing area of raising trendline/channel.
It means price has to reset raising trendline/channel atleast before going back high to 61.8 ret level.
Find confirmation using lower timeframe.
Dollar Index Chart over H4 Chart.US Dollar Index in 20-year peaks
The index extends the optimism seen at the beginning of the week and trade beyond the 108.00 mark for the first time since October 2002, always underpinned by the unabated sell-off in the euro.
The move higher in the dollar comes on the back of diminishing US yields, as recession concerns seem to prompt investors to seek shelter in the safe haven universe for the time being.
Friday’s release of the June Payrolls, however, appear to have mitigated part of those worries and now favour the continuation of the current pace of the Fed’s normalization process.
Speaking about recession fears, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow sees the economy contracting 1.2% in the April-June period (from a 1.9% contraction recorded previously).
Dollar Index (DXY) | Analysis of the dollar index for 2022🔥Hello traders, Dollar Index ( DXY ) in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
In the wave count that was performed at higher times, a progressive trend was formed and from this trend, waves 4 and 5 remain.
Wave 4 was originally intended as a flat, but wave c , which we have now identified in the count, does not resemble a leader, and we assumed that it would be a triple zigzag .
So the count has changed to a triangle, and from this triangle the waves a , b and c are complete, and now we are inside wave d .
From wave d , wave a is still forming.
And from wave a the end of wave 3 is unknown and waves 4 and 5 are not formed in our view.
At the end of wave a , wave b forms a sideways trend that is long in time, after which wave c moves to the size of wave a and is ready to start wave e on the upper side of the triangle.
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