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Dollar Index Chart over H4 Chart.US Dollar Index in 20-year peaks
The index extends the optimism seen at the beginning of the week and trade beyond the 108.00 mark for the first time since October 2002, always underpinned by the unabated sell-off in the euro.
The move higher in the dollar comes on the back of diminishing US yields, as recession concerns seem to prompt investors to seek shelter in the safe haven universe for the time being.
Friday’s release of the June Payrolls, however, appear to have mitigated part of those worries and now favour the continuation of the current pace of the Fed’s normalization process.
Speaking about recession fears, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow sees the economy contracting 1.2% in the April-June period (from a 1.9% contraction recorded previously).
Dollar Index (DXY) | Analysis of the dollar index for 2022🔥Hello traders, Dollar Index ( DXY ) in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
In the wave count that was performed at higher times, a progressive trend was formed and from this trend, waves 4 and 5 remain.
Wave 4 was originally intended as a flat, but wave c , which we have now identified in the count, does not resemble a leader, and we assumed that it would be a triple zigzag .
So the count has changed to a triangle, and from this triangle the waves a , b and c are complete, and now we are inside wave d .
From wave d , wave a is still forming.
And from wave a the end of wave 3 is unknown and waves 4 and 5 are not formed in our view.
At the end of wave a , wave b forms a sideways trend that is long in time, after which wave c moves to the size of wave a and is ready to start wave e on the upper side of the triangle.
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US dollar will likely strengthen in the long term.Quantitative Easing is essentially trapping the US dollar in the financial system which will cause disinflationary pressures in the future. USD will likely strengthen in the future to all-time highs. USD/INR is forming a falling wedge pattern taking support on a trend line. Very good opportunity for long side exposure on the dollar.