Dixon & Bajaj-Auto Showing High Rise in Future OIDIXON
Following a significant upward trend, the stock price experienced a correction and later established a Double Bottom pattern.
Recently, a breakout occurred, backed by strong volume, suggesting that the price is set for further gains.
Additionally, a notable increase in future open interest—nearly 11%—has been recorded.
This rise in both stock price and future open interest signals that big investors are optimistic about this stock.
As long as the price remains above the 12,900 level, the overall sentiment is likely to stay positive.
BAJAJ-AUTO
During the upward movement, the price experienced a brief consolidation phase, resulted in the formation of a Rounding Bottom pattern.
Recently, a breakout occurred, supported by significant volume, suggested that the stock price is poised to maintain its upward trajectory.
Moreover, there has been a remarkable surge in future open interest, climbed nearly 19%.
This increase in both the stock price and future open interest indicates that big investors are bullish about this stock.
As long as the price remains above the 10,000 level, the overall sentiment is likely to stay positive.
Community ideas
Arrow Greentech Ltd (ARROWGREEN): Bullish Breakout from Cup and Arrow Greentech Ltd has shown a strong bullish breakout from a cup and handle pattern, which suggests a potential continuation of the uptrend. The increase in volume during the breakout supports this bullish sentiment.
Key Observations
Cup and Handle Formation: A potential "Cup and Handle" pattern is observed, which can often signal a bullish continuation after a period of consolidation.
Breakout: The stock has recently broken above the handle of the cup, indicating a bullish breakout.
Volume: The volume has increased during the breakout, supporting the bullish momentum.
Positive Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently above 50, suggesting a bullish bias.
Investment Bet - IOLCPAfter long wait this stock has given breakout. This one stock is from chemical & pharma industry, booming in current market.
Pros
Good Breakout on weekly and daily tf
Upside of 40-50% from current level
Good base formation after 2 years of down trend.
Cons
Low Promoter holding and high public holding.
LUPIN IS THE KING OF PHARAMA SECTOR stock performing very good finacials with the support of technical
very small pattern like w pattern breakout level at 800
1st cup breakout at 1200
2nd cup breakout at 1700
3rd and most important breakout is going at level of 2150
Fundamentals of the stock are supporting the technicals which makes it a best buy
BETA - Breakout with a good upside potential BETA - Good breakout is observed in the daily timeframe. This company is a fantastic compounder and has excellent fundamentals and technicals.
There is an immediate upside of around 17% and it can also be a good option for long term holding.
Please do OWN your research before making a decision. These are only my personal views.
Thangamayil shining: The strong financials caused a price surge!Company Overview
Thangamayil Jewellery Limited (TMJL) is a rapidly growing company in India with a chain of retail jewellery stores in Tamil Nadu. They specialize in selling Gold, Silver, Diamonds, and Platinum, with gold being the main source of income. The majority of their ornaments are purchased from dealers in states like Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Kerala, and West Bengal for sale in their stores. Established in 1947, Thangamayil is headquartered in Madurai, India.
Market Capitalization
● Current Market Cap - ₹ 5,128 Cr.
● Market Cap 3-years back - ₹ 802 Cr.
● The figures indicate that the company has increased over six times in the past three years, which is truly remarkable.
Revenue & Profit Growth
● In the last three years, this stock has demonstrated an impressive compounded annual growth rate of 28% in its sales figures.
● Meanwhile, the total profit growth during this period has been a modest 12%.
● The company has successfully maintained a operating profit margin of 6%, which has risen from 4% in FY24.
● For the fiscal year 2024, the earnings per share have seen a remarkable increase, soaring from 29.10 in fiscal year 2023 to 44.91.
Increasing Product Demand
● Inventory Turnover Ratio
➖ This ratio typically assists in determining whether the growth in sales is primarily due to rising product prices or if it is also influenced by increased demand for the product.
➖ Current Inventory Turnover - 3.14
➖ Inventory Turnover 3 years ago - 2.63
➖ These figures indicate that product demand has risen over the past three years.
Valuation
● P/E Ratio
The company's present price-to-earnings (PE) ratio stands at 42.3, significantly higher than its 1-year median PE of 31. When we look at the industry average PE of 31.6, it indicates that the stock might be considered somewhat overvalued at this time.
● PEG Ratio
The company has a PEG ratio of 1.3, indicating that its current P/E ratio is valid.
● Intrinsic Value
➖ Thangamayil Jewellery is currently trading at ₹1870, which is nearly 2.5 times its intrinsic value of ₹764, indicating that the stock is overvalued at this moment.
➖ When we compare Thangamayil to its competitors, such as Titan and Kalyan Jewellers, some interesting insights emerge. Titan's current market price (CMP) stands at ₹3560, which is nearly 5.5 times its intrinsic value of ₹652. Meanwhile, Kalyan Jewellers has a CMP of ₹545, approximately 4.7 times its intrinsic value of ₹115.
➖ These numbers don't necessarily indicate that Titan and Kalyan Jewellers are overvalued; rather, they suggest that Thangamayil could be an attractive investment choice.
Debt Analysis
● Debt to Equity Ratio
➖ The company carries a debt of approximately ₹532 Cr., resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08.
➖ When discussing debt, it's important to note that for a small-cap company, this isn't necessarily a major concern. The key factor to consider is whether the company can consistently meet its loan interest payments.
➖ To assess this, we should examine the interest coverage ratio.
● Interest Coverage Ratio
With an interest coverage ratio of 5.62, it’s evident that the company is well-equipped to manage its loan interest payments regularly.
Cash Flow Analysis
● Operating cash flow has seen a remarkable surge, soaring to 330 crore from just 10 crore in FY23.
● The CFO/PAT ratio is currently at 0.74 of the five-year average, indicating that the company is quite proficient at converting its profits into cash.
Shareholding Pattern
● The promoters have maintained their 67.33% stake for the last three quarters.
● Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been steadily raising their stakes since June 2023, now holding 1.08%.
● Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have also grown their stakes to 12.08% in June 2024, up from 11.46% in June 2023.
● At the same time, retail investors have been consistently selling their shares over the past few quarters.
Mutual Fund Holding
● Notable small-cap funds such as SBI Small Cap Fund and DSP Small Cap Fund have made substantial investments in this stock, representing 0.63% and 1.55% of their total assets under management, respectively.
● Additionally, ICICI Prudential Exports and Services Fund has recently added (in July 2024) its position in this stock, accounting for approximately 1.11% of its overall portfolio value.
Technical Aspects
● From a technical standpoint, this stock appear to be currently overextended. Any pullbacks could provide a valuable opportunity to take positions.
● Stock Volume & Delivery surged by 3.4 times & 3.2 times respectively vis-a-vis their 5 day average with a 5.48% move in price.
Conclusion
While the company primarily functions in Tamil Nadu, it's fascinating to note that this state accounts for the largest portion (40%) of India's overall gold consumption. Furthermore, the company is gearing up to make its mark in the Chennai market by launching a flagship store along with 3-4 satellite locations.
Given the increasing demand for gold jewelry, we anticipate that Thangamayil Jewellery will thrive in the industry in the years ahead.
LAURUS LAB By KRS ChartsDate: 21st Aug 2024
Time: 9:32 AM
Why Laurus Lab?
1. Correction Wave was finished with 5th wave low in Mar 2023, after that it gradually moving up and made upside channeling.
2. Currently price is sustaining above 100 EMA and likely to reversed from that too. 🤞
3. why I'm keen to post L Lab is because along with both above points its likely to close and try to be making Morning Star at bottom in 1W TF.
Lauras Lab is at better price at this level with Future Targets of 525 and 605.
SL would be flexible Weekly Closing Below 100EMA
Once Morning Star Closing will confirm at end of this week this trade will Activated 🎇
Dollar Index (DXY) 2024-2025 Elliottwave Cycle As shown in the chart from Years 2008 to 2022 5 wave cycle from $71 to $115 is completed.
After five waves there is an ABC correction.
Here we can see five impulse waves inside the "A" wave so it may Zig-Zag ABC Correction. We know Zig-zag correction's "C" wave is fast and deep.
Forecast of "C" wave 123.6%(A) is near $89 &
161.8%(A) is near $85. So the DXY may Bear up to $89 or $85.
RML (RANE MADRAS) BREAKS 6-YEAR RESISTANCE TO TRADE AT NEW HIGHSRML (RANE MADRAS) Made over a 6-year resistance breakout today on strong volume. Monthly vol is already higher than that of the last month. Its momentum (RSI), & relative performance to Nifty, both are strong.
On this monthly chart RSI is strongly moving above 60, and the RS Line is rising above its 52-week MA. If the momentum sustains the stock can make some strong up-move.
No recommendation. Only personal analysis for educational purposes. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any buy or sell decisions in the stock market.
Finnifty - Aug 20Movement was choppy today. 22900 acted as support so far. Patterns seen in chart are channel formation which can be taken as bull flag also.
Buy above 23020 with the stop loss of 22980 for the targets 23060, 23120, 23180 and 23240.
Sell below 22880 with the stop loss of 22920 for the targets 22840, 22800, 22760, 22720 and 22680.
Check the live market updates.
Hit the like button to Rock !! Show some energy !!
Note : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
You are responsible for whatever you do.
#Nifty directions and levels for August 20th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 20th.
Market Overview
There haven't been any major changes in the global or local markets. Global markets have a bullish sentiment, while our local market shows a moderately bullish sentiment. So, today the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as the SGX Nifty indicates a positive 25-point move as of 8:00 AM.
In the previous session, Nifty closed with consolidation, so the previous sentiment may continue today as well. However, I will explain it simply. First, let's look at an alternate variation.
Alternate Variation:
The previous pullback was strong, that indicating a bullish trend. So, if the market breaks the previous high solidly or after some consolidation, we can expect the rally to continue. This is our alternate view. In this case, if the breakout has a solid structure, then the upcoming rally could be a long one, structurally forming a "flag pattern." On the other hand, if the breakout occurs with low volume, meaning if it breaks with some grinding, the upcoming rally could be smaller.
Current View:
The current view is similar to what we saw in the last session. If the market finds support at the immediate support level, it may continue to consolidate, and if this happens, it could break upward. But if it breaks the immediate support level strongly, then we can expect the correction to continue.
#SEQUENT - Rounding bottom pattern formation#SEQUENT - SEQUENT SCIENTIFIC LTD
Trade Type - Long Term ( 6 month 18 Month)
Trade Logic - Stage 2 breakout (Rounding Bottom)
CMP - 146.30
Target 1 : 157
Target 2 : 203
Target 3 : 230
Target 4 : 277
Stop : 98.5
Disclaimer: The stock information shared above is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. It reflects my own analysis and is intended solely for educational purposes. Any actions you take based on this information are your responsibility, and the admin of this channel is not liable for any financial gains or losses. Please consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
Dalmia Bharat sugar (19 Aug 2024)Dalmia Bharat sugar (19 Aug 2024)
Monthly chart
since listing (October 2010) stock is consolidating around 45 to 50 months before breakout.
Now it is consolidating since last 47 months. We can expect good breakout in few months.
Disclaimer- This chart is only for learning purpose. It is not for trade.
#OBEROIRLTY ... Swing trade ideaTrade setup and detailing
1. **Price Channel**: The stock has been trading within a well-defined upward sloping channel and has consistently respected the lower and middle boundaries of this channel, indicating a strong trend.
2. **Support Levels**: The stock is currently closer to the middle or lower portion of the channel, which could act as a support zone for the price.
3. **Stop-Loss and Target**:
- **Target**: Marked at ₹1,872.00, representing a 5.77% upward move .
This target is in alignment with the resistance near the upper boundary of the channel.
- **Stop-Loss**: The stop-loss is placed at ₹1,724, which is about a 5.66% downside risk. This level likely corresponds to a key support level near the middle boundary of the channel.
4. **Risk-Reward Ratio**: The risk/reward ratio is slightly equal 1:1, which indicates taking on similar levels of risk and reward. However, the overall uptrend in the channel strengthens the possibility of the price reaching your target.
5. **Bullish Trend**: The long-term trend remains bullish as the stock is in a rising channel, which reinforces your expectation of an upward move. The previous swing lows and highs suggest momentum is on the side of the bulls.
### Conclusion:
Expecting a continuation of the uptrend with a potential target around ₹1,872 followed by ₹1,931 , using the support from the middle channel boundary. Maintaining stop-loss at ₹1,715 helps manage risk effectively if the trend weakens.
Overall, the structure suggests a positive outlook, with a move towards the upper channel boundary being the next logical step in the price action.
Sequent - Cup and Handle formation - Best above 158Sequent Scientific had Superb set of Results (₹ in Mlns)
YOY (qtr)👍
REV⬆️₹3902 vs ₹3332
PBT⬆️₹120 vs ₹-556
PAT⬆️₹90 vs ₹-346
EPS⬆️0.26 vs -1.4
QOQ (qtr)👍
REV⬆️₹3902 vs ₹3612
PBT⬆️₹120 vs ₹26
PAT⬆️₹90 vs ₹12.7
EPS⬆️0.26 vs -0.04
The Stock is forming Cup & Handle Pattern with turaround from this quarter.
The stock can be added above 158 for Targets of 220/280/340
Strict stoploss of 132.
Disclaimer : Educational Content. Please do your own research.
PANACEA BIOTECH LTD LONG ANALYSIS 15 AUG 24 Investment type : Short term (2-5 months)
CMO- 164.32
R:R = 1:3
Pattern formed : Rounding bottom
Expected Gain : 10-22 %
Bullish levels :
level 1 : 178.86
level 2 : 201.67
level 3 : 232.18
level 4 : 277.65
SL : 130.00
This tech. analysis is purely for education purpose only we did not recommend to invest as per our analysis.
For investment plz consult financial advisor .
A simple guide to coming up with an investment OpportunityHello,
1. Understand the Business
Before committing your money to any investment, the first and most crucial step is to thoroughly understand the company you’re considering. Below are some of the things you carefully need to look at.
Business Model: Start by breaking down the company’s business model. How does the company generate revenue? What are its primary products or services? In our case here;
Adani Wilmar Ltd. provides edible oil, vanaspati and specialty fats. The firm offers vanaspati, packed basmati rice, pulses, soya chunks, besan and specialty fats, lauric range products, castor oils, oleo chemicals and non-GMO soya products.
More analysis on the revenues & expenses of the company is also very key. All this data can be found on the Tradingview website under financials.
Once you have understood the companies moat, now its time to move to technical analysis.
Technical analysis is a method used to evaluate and predict the future price movements of financial assets, like stocks, by analyzing past market data, primarily price and volume.
Technical analysis is very important since all market information has been priced in the stock market price. Below is a past chart for the company adani Wilnar.
The chart shows that the company has moved from the bottom to the top and back to the bottom. From our Tradingview chart it's possible to identify the trend as well as the time used for each move. This will be very key as we build our trading bias. From our chart, its easy to see the time taken for each move and the highest/lowest prices.
Our chart easily communicates that the stock has been on a sideways move for over 500 days. Very key to note is that the stock is also trading at the bottom. This makes it at a great buy point.
Next is to identify the patterns forming on the chart. In our chart the stock is forming a corrective wave for a buy to the upside. My buy areas would be around 320 with my first target at IRN 500. I shall relook at the stock once we hit those areas.
Recommendation
Based on the analysis, consider buying Adani Wilmar Ltd. stock at around IRN 320, with a target to sell at IRN 500. Monitor the stock closely, especially as it approaches the target, to reassess your position.
Good luck!
ATHER INDUSTRIES LTD - Go Long above 920Can go long above 920 after a candle close
In consolidation around 800 to 900 for around 1 year with cup and handle pattern in Daily timeframe.
Take minimal risk. Since Market is in correction mood for been a month now.
Stoploss - Mentioned in the Chart.
Target - TP1 and TP2 mentioned in the chart.
ANGELONE
The stock has witnessed almost a 50% drawdown from its all time high, similar to its past major correction.
The Weekly RSI has also come its Oversold level.
Price is consolidating near its Key support level around 2000.
A breakout above the down-sloping trendline resistance would confirm strength in the stock.
However, break of 2000 would keep on-going downtrend intact.
Unlocking Potential: ELGIEQUIP's Bullish Reversal Signal
In the world of trading, spotting key opportunities can make a significant difference. Today, we'll dive into an exciting analysis of ELGIEQUIP, focusing on its current position and what it signals for future price movement.
Key Technical Analysis
Daily Demand Zone 📉: ELGIEQUIP has recently reached a significant daily demand zone characterized as a Rally Base Rally (RBR) .
SMA 200 Support 📊: The stock is currently trading around its daily 200-SMA (Simple Moving Average). This key moving average often serves as a strong support level.
Polarity Action 🔄: The current level of ELGIEQUIP was previously a resistance area. According to the principle of polarity, resistance turning into support can be a powerful signal. This transformation adds to the strength of the current support zone.
Up Sloping Trendline 📈: ELGIEQUIP is also at an up-sloping trendline where the price has historically found support. This trendline further reinforces the potential for a bullish reversal.
Volume Analysis 📉: A critical observation is the declining volume on both daily and weekly timeframes. Lower volume during a downtrend often suggests reduced selling interest, hinting at a potential price bounce.
Trade Setup and Strategy
Given these factors, ELGIEQUIP presents a low-risk, high-reward trade opportunity. The confluence of demand zone support, SMA 200, trendline support, and low selling volume suggests a strong potential for a bullish reversal. Traders can aim for a minimum target of 1:2 reward-to-risk ratio, making this setup an attractive proposition.
Conclusion
In summary, ELGIEQUIP's technical setup aligns well with a potential bullish reversal. Remember, trading is about managing risk and seizing opportunities wisely. 🚀
Thank you for your support . Feel free to ask if you have questions.
“Success in trading comes from consistent discipline and strategic planning.” This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not a recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.