Exploring the Golden Crossover Strategy: A Christmas Day Special🎄 Merry Christmas, My TradingView Family! 🎄
Greetings to all. I trust that you are all thriving in both your personal lives and trading endeavors. Today, I present educational content aimed at understanding the concepts of Golden Crossover with EMA.
The Golden Cross strategy using Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) is a technical analysis signal that occurs when a short-term EMA (50-period) crosses above a long-term EMA (200-period). This pattern is seen as a bullish signal, suggesting the potential start of an upward trend.
Key Concepts:
50-EMA: Reflects the average price over 50 periods, more responsive to recent price changes.
200-EMA : Reflects the average over 200 periods, showing a longer-term trend.
Why It’s Bullish:
The 50-EMA crossing above the 200-EMA signals that recent price momentum is stronger than the long-term trend, indicating a shift to a bullish market.
Trader's Approach:
Entry Point: Traders may buy once the 50-EMA crosses above the 200-EMA, expecting further price increases.
Volume Confirmation: High volume during the crossover strengthens the signal.
Risk Management: Traders often use stop-loss orders to protect against sudden reversals.
Advantages of EMAs:
Faster Signals: EMAs respond quicker to price changes, providing earlier signals than SMAs.
More Sensitivity: EMAs are more responsive to recent market moves.
Limitations:
False Signals: In choppy markets, the crossover can sometimes lead to false trends.
Lagging Indicator: Though quicker than SMAs, EMAs still reflect past price data and can be delayed.
In summary, the Golden Cross with EMAs is a bullish trend reversal signal, where the 50-EMA crossing above the 200-EMA suggests a potential upward trend, but traders should confirm with volume and manage risks.
🎄 Merry Christmas, My TradingView Family! 🎄
As we celebrate this wonderful season of joy and giving, I have a special wish to Santa Baba: May each one of you grow into exceptional traders, achieve your financial goals, and find success and happiness in every trade you make.
This journey of two years, sharing ideas and growing together, has been nothing short of amazing. Your support, encouragement, and the love you’ve shown me have been the driving force behind my growth and accomplishments, including being chosen as a TradingView Moderator. It’s a dream come true, and I owe it all to you.
This Christmas, I want you all to know how deeply I appreciate your trust and belief in me. Together, we’ve created a community that thrives on learning and growing, and I’m so excited to see what we’ll achieve in the year ahead.
May this holiday season bring peace, happiness, and prosperity to you and your loved ones. Let’s continue to chart new paths and reach greater heights together.
Thank you for being a part of my journey, and once again, Merry Christmas to all of you! 🎅✨
Warm wishes,
Rahul Pal
Educational
A-Z About HEIKEN ASHI CandlesticksHEIKEN ASHI Strategy:
1.INTRODUCTION (WHY HEIKEN ASHI CANDESTICKS)
Often trading on the trend gets difficult due to price action that makes trader exit trades early. (USELESS NOISE FORMED BY TRADITIONAL CANDLES)
This mainly happens due to impact of one single candle or bar on Trader’s ability to hold positions.
Through Heiken Ashi Candles , this problem is largely solved as Price Trend is clearly represented through these.
LOOK at the difference between TRADITIONAL and HEIKEN-ASHI Candlesticks below:
A) TRADITIONAL candlestick with a lot of noise during uptrend and downtrend which confuses most of the traders and forces them to exit early
B) HEIKEN-ASHI with a smooth buttery experience while trading:
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2.TYPES OF CANDLES
Let us now come to the types of Heiken Ashi candles.
In this chart, I have done 5 markings to explain the various types of candles in Heiken Ashi.
a)The wide range yellow/green candles indicates good momentum and shows the stock shall be bullish for some more days unless and until there are signs of reversals
b)The small body green/yellow candles represents the continuation of the trend although they show that the stock is not very bullish but is bullish
c)SPINNING TOP- is formed when the body of the candle is very small (NOT A DOJI) and there is wick equal on both upper and lower side.
d)The wide range red candles shows weakness in the stock
e)INDECISIVE Candles- are formed when it is neither of the above candles (small body and irregular size wicks on up and down side)
Always remember, size of body, shadows, and range of candle determines whether it Is bullish, bearish or neutral candle
Do read futhur to understand
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3) KEY RULES to follow
There are broadly 5 rules that need to be followed when trading with Heiken Ashi Candles.
DO HAVE A LOOK AT THE CANDLES SIMULTANEOUSLY
Rule 1 – Green candles with no lower shadows indicate a strong uptrend: When you spot these on charts, be in the trade and don’t think about profit booking. You might want to add to your long position and exit short positions.
Rule 2 – Candles with a small body with upper and lower shadows indicate trend change: These are indecision candles and require more confirmation.
Rule 3 – Red/Black candles with no upper shadow indicates strong a downtrend: When you spot these on charts, be in the trade and don’t think about profit booking. You might want to add to your short position and exit long positions
Rule 4 – Candles with long lower shadows represent Buying interest. Always take note of these candles and assess price action after you spot these candles.
Rule 5 – Candles with long upper shadows represent selling interest and be cautious with existing long positions if you spot such Candles.
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4) INITIATION AND CONTINUATION:
You just need to know 2 types in trend analysis
1.INITIATION CANDLE
2.CONTUATION CANDLES
1.Initiation candle is one that sets the tone of Trend and defines underlying momentum for price. This is why Initiation candles are most important in Trend Analysis and Price action trading.
2.Continuation candles are ones that reaffirm the direction of trend and are useful to increase positions in the direction of trend.
FREE TIP:
When you begin price trend analysis, always look for initiation Heiken Ashi candles and then look for continuation candles.
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5) IDENTIFYING STRONG TRENDS:
In the chart below, let us see how a strong Up/Down trend looks like.
In Heiken Ashi, we should be measuring strength of move based on Initiation Candles (Candles that represent strong trend).
If you look at the chart, all markings that I have done are that of Strong Initiation candles on the downside and upside (BUY/SELL)
When such candles are visible on the chart, invariably Price tends to move up/low. Always keep range of Candle in mind.
It should be wide with no upper/lower shadows for uptrend and downtrend respectively.
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6) COMMON MISTAKES
Most Common mistake when using Heiken Ashi Candles is to Enter or Exit Trades based on the color of Candle. Most beginners commit this mistake and this should be avoided at all times. Whether it is Heiken Ashi Candles or any other charting method, you need to understand the overall Market Trend and Context. Without this, you will find it difficult to Trade successfully over a longer period of time.(PRICE ACTION IS THE KING) This is just an additional filter like an indicator and should not be treated as the only parameter in your strategy...If trading was so easy then 90% wouldn't have lost their money in trading...Trading is like cooking you need to add the right ingredients in the right amount to taste a dish good.A pinch of salt less can ruin the entire hardword behind making the dish...Similar is trading...Will make a tutorial on risk management as well...Do let me know if you are interested only then it would be wise for me to proceed ahead.
One of the main things you have to do is to analyze which candles contribute to Trend and which do not. This effective way of filtering out relevant candles from non relevant one’s is what will help you succeed with Heiken Ashi Candles.
FREE TIP:(SAVES TIME DO READ)
Always divide your Candles into two types;
1.Candles that have impact on Trend
2.Candles that have no impact
This way, you will know which one’s to be focussed upon.
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7)DISADVANTAGES:
EVERY + HAS A - ELSE EVERY TRADER WOULD HAVE USED THIS STRATEGY TO MAKE TONS OF MONEY EVERYDAY
The one main disadvantage that most traders refer to is that by the time Traders take positions based on Heiken Ashi Candles, the entire move is already over. While there is some merit to this, it is important to note that this mainly applies to short time frame charts. On higher time frame charts (30 Min to Monthly time frame), Heiken Ashi has tremendous benefits and Traders should try and incorporate these in their Trading arsenal.
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I hope this tutorial as helpful for you to understand some basics of HEIKEN-ASHI candlesticks...There are many other types of candlesticks which have their own importance like RENKO and PnF candlesticks...Do let me know in the comments whether I should make posts on STOCKs that I Trade/EDUCATIONAL posts like this
FOLLOW me for many more such content ahead...DO hit the like button...Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
TRADING A GAME OF PROBABILITYTRADING A GAME OF PROBABILITY
We know that market has random movements; the pattern behaved in the past cannot behave exactly the same next time so in a random market environment there are so many external factors that can affect the outcome of the trade, a trader cannot know all those factors. What you know is your EDGE (your strategy) which is certain in an uncertain market environment, If your edge has a positive outcome you can produce a consistent result in a random environment.
HOW TO PRODUCE CONSISTENT RESULT IN A RANDOM ENVIRONMENT
An event that has a probable outcome can produce consistent results if you have the odds in your favor and there is a large enough sample size. (a series of trades generated by your edge). You have to think in probabilities and take every single trade which meets the criteria of your system (your edge); you don’t know the outcome of any trade before taking the trades (you don’t know which trade is going to be a winner or loser) unless you know a way to travel in time so, you cannot select between the trades you have to play all.
Every event is independent of the previous one. If your last 2 trades are loser doesn’t mean next will also be a loser, because markets are random and you can make consistent result if you have odds in your favor.
RISING LADDER LOGIC IN HINDUSTAN CONSTRACTION COMPANYCompany is engaged in provision of engineering and construction services, . Its services include hydro power, water solutions, transportation, and nuclear power. The firm operates through the following segments: Engineering and Constructions; Infrastructure; Real Estate; Comprehensive Urban Development and Management.
Published idea is based on ''Rising Ladder Logic'' , expecting higher targets in the future
Levels are the projection of the rising trend.
Views are for ‘’EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY’’ trade at your own risk.
"Always Respect Risk"
Happy Trading
Jai Hind
Flag Pattern (Flag and Pole Pattern)A flag pattern is a trend continuation pattern, appropriately named after it’s visual similarity to a flag on a flagpole. Flag patterns can be bullish or bearish.
1. Flagpole: A line extending up from this break to the high of the flag/pennant forms the flagpole. The flagpole is the distance from the first resistance or support break to the high or low of the flag. The sharp advance (or decline) that forms the flagpole should break a trend line or resistance/support level.
2. Flag: A flag is a small rectangle pattern that slopes against the previous trend. If the previous move was up, then the flag would slope down. If the move was down, then the flag would slope up. The price action just needs to be contained within two parallel trend lines.
3. Break: For a bullish flag, a break above resistance signals that the previous advance has resumed. For a bearish flag, a break below support signals that the previous decline has resumed.
4. Volume: Volume should be heavy during the advance or decline that forms the flagpole. Volume contracts during the flag's formation and expands right after the resistance/support breakout.
5. Target: The length of the flagpole can be applied to the resistance break or support break of the flag to estimate the advance or decline.
Simple Trade Setup | MARICO | 25-01-2022 [INTRADAY]NSE:MARICO
Observations:
1) On 15 min time frame, we can see that it made regular bullish divegence as price made lower lows and RSI made high lows.
Please refer below chart : 15min Time Frame.
Also today on 15min time frame, we can see that it made almost flat lows and RSI made higher lows which is also Exaggerated Bullish divergence.
Please refer below chart : 15min Time Frame.
2) On 15min time frame, we can plan for a small trade, if RSI breaks the Resistence trendline then it will be quick buy trade along with price breakout of 473 with target of 476.50.
But Safe buy on price breakout of 477 only.
For short/sell trade, if RSI breaks down the support trendline along with price breakdown below 466.50 level.
Please refer below chart : 15 min Time Frame.
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Trade Setup for 25-01-2022
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
Stock Analysis of KNR ConstructionDate - 21-01-2022 Price - 315.05
KNR Construction is near the support zone and as govt. is likely to focus on the infra sector, this stock can be huge beneficial. KNR Construction main business is building roads and highways which going to be the main focus of govt. in the upcoming budget.
Stock can be good buy for budget play.
Short Term BreakoutWhen price consolidate near 200 Day Moving average and break the boundary then high probability price the continue the trend
Institutional money - Volume speaks a lot!Apl Apollo is one of the leading companies in Indian Steel sector.
I had some previous posts on it as well, which played out well for me.
The key aspect is to put urself in those big shoes and think like an Institution.
The key problem if you are an institution and want to buy a sizeable portion in a share is LIQUIDITY.
How will you get enough sellers to buy shares from?
Notice how on 11th Nov at 902 level,
One MF house Sold its position in APL Apollo while another Bought it.
One created Liquidity for the other.
Similarly on 20th December, Two MF houses did the same routine.
To understand how this impacts Volume, we need to understand what VOLUME is!
VOLUME of a day is simply the number of TRADES that took place on that day.
It doesn't mean that there are more buyers or more sellers, simply that N number of buyers and sellers did a trade.
Now MF Houses do this in a very large amount, and this drives up the volume.
If you have been in the market long enough, you would have definitely noticed that
Price tends to return back to the Institutional Buying Level after a short Impulse -
The Retailers usually buy in the rise and then when share prices fall down to original levels, they exit their positions to avoid further losses or simply put, their stop losses get triggered. This creates LIQUIDITY for the Institutions to fill their partial positions at the same price after offloading them to retailers previously at the top.
In this particular case,
There are a number of green flags.
Share Price bounced from EMA 100 - which has been a strong support all along.
RSI 30 - the usual bounce level and MACD Divergence decreasing
Prices are again above EMA 50 which has been a key level in rising trends for this share.
In previous 4 occasions when this happened, the share went on to make a Higher High.
I am expecting some upside here as well.
This is not an Investment Advice. Only for Educational Purposes.
Thanks for reading!
Maruti-Interesting short & long setupAlthough the chart is self-explanatory, Yet to see in the coming session, if the stock retraces up to around 7200 levels, then it will be a good price to enter in a long position.
This is learning and sharing purposes, not a bit trading recommendation.
Please comment with your views.
All the best.
Strategy : Buy in Dips using Support Zone & EMAIEX is an Indian Company in Power Sector.
Recently after forming a Bearish Bat, Share price fell by almost 20% from 303 to 235
The RSI of the company also reached 30 level - Key level for bounce back
After taking support at its previous low that is the W pattern low 1 at 236- 232 zone ( purple rectangle in chart ),
The share has shown a healthy bounce led by the Bullish Kicker and is trading at 254 now.
If it follows the trend of bouncing from EMA 100, one can look for targets at previous Highs of 300 and 317
In a rising market, EMA is a good tool to catch the Dip if price shows a healthy initial bounce.
Stop loss at 230 that is previous low will warrant a reward risk ratio of 5:2
The share fundamentals are strong and has a PEG Ratio of 1.8.
PEG ratio above 1 is generally considered good.
The EPS of the company has been on a rising trend and can be a good long term pick as well.
Thanks for reading!
I am pretty much self taught in Harmonics, so in case I missed something, let me know in the comments.
Note : This is purely for Educational purposes and not to be considered as an Investment Advice.
MISSED LONG OPPORTUNITY IN AUDJPY*** Trade at your own risk ***
AUDJPY broke its previous resistance and there was a minor retest at the same zone. Even though there was minor retest at the previous resistance we can expect a good pullback from the same zone . Remember market is more about risk management and psychology no human being is right 100% in analysis . The more we manage risk the higher probability of making profits in a consistent way.