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Elliottwaveprojection

#Nifty Direction's and levels for July 30th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 30th: Even though both global and local markets have experienced a correction structurally, it is a moderately bullish market. Today, the market may open with a gap-down start, as indicated by the GIFT Nifty, showing -80 points at 8:00 am. Structurally, Nifty and Bank Nifty differ. Let's examine each one: Nifty: In the previous session, Nifty opened with a gap-up, but there was no continued rally, and it fell drastically mid-market. What's next? > As per the weekly analysis, it could be in the 4th wave and has already reached the 23% Fibonacci level. If the market finds support around the 38% Fibonacci level today, we can initially expect it to range between the previous high and the 38% Fibonacci level. If it then breaks the previous high, the 5th wave may continue, > with pullback targets expected to be a minimum of 61% to 78%, which is the usual range market target. > The alternate view suggests that if the gap-down sustains and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may turn into a correction. If this happens, we can expect a minimum target level of 50%. After that, if the market breaks this level with minor consolidation, the correction will likely continue. However, if it is sharply rejected, we may also expect a range market, but the probability is lower.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 29th.Bank Nifty: Bank Nifty also saw a strong pullback in the last trading session. If the gap-up sustains, then the pullback will likely continue. My expectation is that, as per the structure, we can't expect much of a retrace even if it rejects either of the resistance levels. This means that if the gap-up sustains, it will continue the rally with some little consolidation. This is our first variation. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if it rejects either of the resistances sharply, we can expect a 61 to 78% correction in the minor swing, but it should break the 38% Fibonacci level. If it doesn't break it, then it will maintain the bullish bias.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
6
#Nifty directions and levels for July 29th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 29th: The global market has a moderately bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, and our local market mirrors this sentiment. Today, the market may open with a gap-up, as indicated by the GIFT Nifty, showing +130 points at 8:00 am. Structurally, Nifty and Bank Nifty differ but may both continue their pullbacks today. Let's examine each one: Nifty: Nifty experienced a strong rally in the previous session, which could be identified as sub-wave 3. If the market opens with a gap-up, this 3rd wave may continue towards the 24956 to 25067 range. If the market hits one of these resistance levels and then reverses, we can expect a minor correction forming the 4th wave. Typically, the 4th wave is a consolidation phase, potentially leading to a 23 to 38% retracement in the minor swing. This is our primary scenario. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, we could complete the 3rd wave immediately, and the decline could be considered the 4th wave. There are no significant changes in the 4th wave levels; it could take a maximum of 23 to 38%. However, if the decline has a solid structure and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it could turn into a correction.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
2
#BankNifty directions and levels for July 26th.**Bank Nifty:** >Bank Nifty has a bearish sentiment, but RSI doesn't support that much due to the huge pullbacks. So, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, we can expect a range market between 23% and the previous low. After that, if it breaks down, we can expect correction continuation. >Alternatively, if the gap-up sustains above the level of 23%, then we can expect a move to the 38% level. >But Even if it takes a pullback, structurally it could be the 4th wave. So, after that pullback, if it rejects around the 38% Fibonacci level, then we can expect a correction.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
5
#Nifty directions and level for July 26th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 26th: The global market has a bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market has a structurally moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by the GIFT Nifty, which shows +40 points at 8.00 am. **Nifty:** In the previous session, Nifty closed with a pullback, and today it may continue this trend because GIFT Nifty indicates that. However, if you look at the wave count, every swing has a three-wave count. There are many variations with three-wave structures, but here we can take these two variations for simplicity: 1. **Diagonal Variation:** - In this variation, it shouldn't close the candle above the level of 24,473. If it happens, we can expect a correction. - This means if the market initially declines sharply or, after the gap-up, if it rejects around the level of 24,473, then it may turn into a correction. - However, confirmation is expected from the 38% Fibonacci level breakout in the minor swing. If this happens, we can expect a minimum of 50%, 78%, and 24,175. - If it doesn't break this level, it will continue the moderately bullish sentiment. This is our current variation. 2. **Pullback Continuation:** - In this variation, we could complete the correction to the first three swings from the start of the correction. So, if the gap-up sustains above the level of 24,473, then we can expect pullback continuation with some consolidations. The targets are a minimum of 24,588 to 24,635. This is our alternate variation.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
4
#Nifty directions and levels for July 24th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 24th: The global market has a bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market, however, maintains a structurally moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by the Gift Nifty, which shows -60 points at 8 am. Structurally, both Nifty and Bank Nifty are range-bound, so they might continue in this manner today. In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced significant movements due to the budget announcement but closed with a solid pullback at the end of the day. Structurally, this indicates potential for further continuation. It's important to note that The budget announcement of the previous session may affect the market today, so we should trade cautiously. However, I have analyzed my sentiments for Nifty and Bank Nifty, so let's examine them one by one. Today's sentiments: Nifty: If the gap-down sustains and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may again enter the range market. This is difficult to trade, but my expectation is if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may reach the 78% with some consolidation. This is our first variation. In this variation, after that correction if it also breaks 78%, the correction may continue further. Alternatively, if the decline finds support around the 38% Fibonacci level, it’s a sign of a bullish bias. We can expect a pullback continuation if it breaks the minor swing high. Until then, it may consolidate between the minor swing high and the 38% Fibonacci level. Note: If the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the minor swing high, the rally will continue. The upside levels remain the same.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 24th.Bank Nifty: Bank Nifty also has a range-bound structure, so the next movement is expected only if it breaks out of the range. Until then, it may continue within the current range. Due to the market closing within the range, precise levels are difficult to determine. However, if it breaks 52,502, it may continue the correction to a minimum of 51,325 to 51,186. Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn’t sustain and finds support around 51,502, then structurally it may continue within the range, with an expected upside to a minimum of 52,086 and up to the 61% Fibonacci level. Note: If the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the minor swing high, the rally will continue. The upside levels remain the same
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for July 19th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 19th: In the last session, the Dow Jones fell drastically, indicating a negative bias. Our local market has a mixed bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by the Gift Nifty, which shows a +10 points. Nifty and Bank Nifty are showing different structures. Nifty has a solid bullish structure, while Bank Nifty is in consolidation. Let's look at this one by one. Nifty: In the previous session, Nifty had a huge movement at the end of the day, making a new high with a solid handle. What’s next? I will explain step by step to help you easily understand. Point 1: If you roughly look at the chart, it shows a solid bullish structure. You can expect the rally to continue if it breaks the previous high. This is the basic structure. Point 2: But even if made a new high with solid candle The RSI did not break the previous high in 4H, 1H, or even 15min. At the same time, the Dow Jones also fell drastically. Point 3: And if u look at the Bank Nifty it did not participate in this rally. but it has a consolidation. If it breaks the consolidation, it may help continue the rally. The probability is uncertain. Considering these three points, it’s complicated to conclude the direction. Here’s my opinion: if the market breaks the previous high and Bank Nifty supports it, we can enter a long position, which may yield better results. Alternatively, if there is a solid breakout candle, you can enter, but the decision is yours. This is our bullish variation. Bearish view: Alternatively, if the market declines initially, we could wait for the 38% Fibonacci level breakout. If it breaks, we can expect a correction of a minimum of 50% to 78%. On the other hand, if it doesn’t break 38%, then it will maintain the bullish bias.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
1
#Nifty directions and level for July 18th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 18th: The global market has a bullish sentiment (based on Dow Jones). Our local market has a moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start because the Gift Nifty indicates a 20-point decrease. Nifty: In the previous trading session, Nifty opened with a gap-up but did not rise much higher. Structurally, it is showing consolidation, which is likely to continue in the same direction. However, this will only happen if it breaks the previous high. Given that Gift Nifty suggests a gap-down opening today, the scenario changes slightly. So, If the market declines initially, we can expect a 23% to 38% level of correction. After that, if it finds support at these levels, the consolidation may continue. For a continuation, it must break the 38% Fibonacci level solidly. Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn't sustain and the market pulls back, we can expect consolidation until it breaks the previous high. If it breaks the previous high with a solid candlestick structure, a rally continuation is expected, with some consolidations around the resistance levels. On the other hand, if it doesn't break with a solid candlestick structure, the market may continue in a diagonal pattern, meaning it won't generate much premium today. (I have plotted a bow and tie pattern). Note: You can follow the same sentiment if it opens with a gap-up movement.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 16th.Bank Nifty: Bank Nifty maintained a range market in the previous session and may continue that today. We can try a range breakout trade: that's if the market breaks the previous day's high, we can expect a swing high to 52,878. On the other hand, if it declines, we should wait for a breakout below 52,263. If that happens, it may fall further to a swing low of 52,088. Even if it breaks either upside or downside, the premium might not increase much. So please take your positions based on your knowledge.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for July 16th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 16th: Global markets are maintaining their range (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market has a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open neutral to slightly gap-down, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 13 points at 8:00 am. Nifty and Bank Nifty have different structures: Nifty indicates a moderately bullish bias, while Bank Nifty indicates a range-bound market. Let's look at each one. Nifty: In the previous session, Nifty maintained a gap-up sentiment, but there was no big movement. Based on the wave structure, it could be a 5th wave, meaning a distribution wave. So, today we might see an initial correction. This is our first variation. Alternatively, if the market pulls back and consolidates or breaks the supply zone, we can expect the rally to continue. in this case, If the market doesn't break the supply zone, it may consolidate between the supply zone and the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing. > Without breaking this 38% level, it may maintain a bullish bias. A correction is expected only if it breaks the 38% level in the minor swing. > that means, If it sharply rejects around the supply zone and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing, it may turn into a correction.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for July 15th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 15th: The global markets are showing a slightly bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market is maintaining a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open neutral or with a gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 50 points at 8:00 am. Nifty and Bank Nifty have different structures: Nifty indicates a two-way move, while Bank Nifty indicates a range-bound market. Let's look at each one. Nifty has closed above the all-time high after seven consecutive consolidation sessions. This suggests a solid rally ahead on a normal trading day. However, with the upcoming budget event, even if the market breaks the all-time high again, it is unlikely to go much higher due to current sentiment rather than technical factors. > Based on this sentiment, if the gap-up sustains, we can expect a minimum of 24608 to 24644. After that, if the market rejects around the supply zone, we can expect a reversal of 38 to 78% in the Fibonacci sequence. This is our first variation. On the other hand, if the market doesn't reject there and consolidates, the rally will likely continue further. > Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, it may range between the previous day's high and the 4th wave demand zone. In this sentiment, there is no big correction. The correction will continue only if it breaks 24420.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
2
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 15th.> Bank Nifty has a range-bound sentiment. If the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect a range between the previous day's low and 52666. In this case, the rally will continue only if it breaks the level of 52666. > Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, the same range-bound market may occur. If the initial market declines, it may continue the range between the previous day's high and 52090 or 78%. Here, the correction will continue only if it breaks the 78% Fibonacci level.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
ULTRACEMCO - ELLIOT WAVE 5 IN MAKINGHi All, This idea is about Ultratech Cement Mkt Cap - 3L Cr ROE - 12% ROCE 15.3% P/BV - 5.56 MktCap/Sales - 4.7 FCF - 2k Cr Technicals Price action being published is on a 1 hour TF. As can be seen by the pattern, Elliot waves are in motion. Wave 1 was an impulsive wave followed by Correction wave (Wave 2). Ideally Wave 2 should correct to 50-60% as per Elliot theory & that is what happened during Wave 2 formation. Wave 4 corrected again by 30% and point 4 above point 1 which all points to the validation of Elliot theory. Wave 5 is about to commence which is as per the theory strongest impulse wave. Cement Sector as a whole is doing well due to boost in infra sector. Happy Trading, Thanks, Stock-n-Shine
NSE:ULTRACEMCOLong
by Stock-n-Shine
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 12th.Yesterday, there was significant movement in Banknifty. What about next? As per the pullback, the market may go further up with minor consolidation. GiftNifty also indicates that. If the market opens with a gap-up, we can expect minor rejection around the immediate resistance level. If this happens, it may retrace up to 23 to 38%. After that, if the market finds support at the 38% level, it may continue the rally with minor consolidation. This is our basic structure. In this case, we have to discuss something simple and not too complicated: > 1st one, There is no need to reject around the immediate resistance level. If it happens, we can expect a minor retracement. that menas If the market consolidates or breaks it with a solid candle structure, the rally will likely continue further(around the immediate resistance). > 2nd one, Is there any correction possible? Yes, correction is also possible. If the retracement breaks the 38% Fib level, it may continue to range. > This sentiment is also applicable for an initial market decline. This means that if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the market declines sharply initially, we can follow the same sentiment.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for July 12th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 12th: There are no significant changes in the global markets, which are still showing a moderately bullish trend. Our local market is also showing a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open with a gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 60 points. Yesterday, there was significant movement in Nifty. What about next? As per the pullback, the market may go further up with minor consolidation. GiftNifty also indicates that. If the market opens with a gap-up, we can expect minor rejection around the immediate resistance level. If this happens, it may retrace up to 23 to 38%. After that, if the market finds support at the 38% level, it may continue the rally with minor consolidation. This is our basic structure. In this case, we have to discuss something simple and not too complicated: > 1st one, There is no need to reject around the immediate resistance level. If it happens, we can expect a minor retracement. that menas If the market consolidates or breaks it with a solid candle structure, the rally will likely continue further(around the immediate resistance). > 2nd one, Is there any correction possible? Yes, correction is also possible. If the retracement breaks the 38% Fib level, it may continue to range. > This sentiment is also applicable for an initial market decline. This means that if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the market declines sharply initially, we can follow the same sentiment.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
4
#Nifty directions and levels for July 11th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 11th: There are no significant changes in the global markets, which are still showing a moderately bullish trend. However, our local market is showing a moderately bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 40 points (as of 8:00 AM). Nifty and BankNifty structures differ from one another. Let's look at them one by one. Nifty had a huge swing in the previous session. However, the structure is obviously a range market. Today, GiftNifty indicates a slightly positive start. If it rejects around the immediate resistance, then we can expect a correction, meaning the range market will likely continue. For this correction to happen, it should break the 38% fib level in the current swing. If it doesn't break the 38% fib level, it may go a little bit further up. This sentiment also applies to the initial market decline.that means If the gap-up doesn't sustain or the initial market takes a decline, then use the same sentiment. The alternate variation suggests that if the gap-up sustains and consolidates around the 78% fib level or breaks the 78% fib level with a solid candle, then the rally will likely continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
8
METROBRAND - BULLISH - IMPULSE - STARTINGHi Folks, Metrobrand has shown very high delivery in overall day volumes. It has gone through a healthy correction of 50% of last leg of impulse. Stock has absorbed selling pressure, albeit with low volumes with high liquidity. Currently, price has broken out the falling wedge and RSI has shooted up to corroborate the strength of this up move. Constant weekly close above 30 WEMA also indicates bullish stance of this stock. Elliott Wave Analysis 1. On larger timeframe its an ongoing impulse in the form of 12345. 2. Internal 4 of larger 3 seems to be getting over with one more divergent bounce left. 3. Targets are marked with fib projections on the chart. 4. 2-4 trendline will act as invalidation levels. 5. 5th wave can hit the upper channel. Not a trading reco, please do your own due diligence.
NSE:METROBRANDLong
by KunalSaxena10
3
UPL LTD - BULLISH BREAKOUT - STRONG UPMOVE POSSIBLE - LONG TERMHi Folks, I have been studying this sector(agro chemical) for a while. This sector can outplay operational deleverage since sitting on capex since few years. Recently, they did a rights to lessen their debt to save interest on borrowings. UPL is also a market leader in agro chemicals sector with presence across the globe with an array of topline products. Quarterly results are improving indicating they might be going towards the capacity utilisation they built on capex. Still early days but technically risk-reward is highly favourable. Elliott Wave Analysis 1. Larger 5 wave is playing out on weekly time frame. 2. 2 of 5 seems to be getting over after decent retracement. Good time and price correction happened. 3. A strong weekly candle above 30 WEMA is visible, more follow ups needed with huge daily candles to signify 3 wave up. 4.Low of 2 can act as an invalidation point for this whole structure. 5. Volumes and delivery are very high near the recent bottom indicating smart money interested in accumulation here. Happy Trading! Cheers!! Not a trading recommendation, please do your own due diligence.
NSE:UPLLong
by KunalSaxena10