Part [A] Basic of Wave Principle
Elliott Wave background
In the 1930s, R.N Elliott identified the price of the stock trends and reversed a specific pattern. This pattern is repetitive in form and, the patterns have predictive value. He decided to use this pattern (Elliott wave theory) to predict the market. The Elliott wave is not primarily a trading system. It is a detailed description of how the market acts. The Elliott wave is part of technical analysis. Also, the Wave principle is the reassembled form of dow theory.
-Elliott Wave Principle The key To Market Behavior]
Waves in the market?
We all know that price never moves in a straight line. It will neither fall in a straight line nor rise in a straight line.
Price will create highs and lows. And this high and low creates waves. Elliott wave theory is all about counting waves and, we are going to use the Elliott wave to trade the market.
Now, the concept of waves is acceptable for you.
Elliott wave theory is made of 5+3= 8 waves.
Let me show you that structure in both trends.
In bull market ( UP Trend ) :
Figure 1.1 This is the Elliott wave structure in an uptrend. As we discussed, Elliott's wave theory is made up of 5+3=8 waves. Where five waves move with the trend and three waves move against the trend.
In Bear market (downTrend) :
Figure 1.2 This is an example of Elliott wave theory in the Bear market. We can see that five waves move with the trend and, three waves move against the trend.
Take a deep breath, I know you have lots of doubts in your mind. Let me solve some.
1. Elliott wave theory works in any time frame.
2. These 5+3=8 waves will give us a market edge. It will provide strong trends & trend reversals.
3. The accuracy of Elliott wave theory is 84% of you are using the wave principle correctly.
Practical Example of Elliott wave theory :
In the Bull market :
Figure 1.3 This is the TATA MOTORS 4 hour timeframe chart. I used bar charts because It is easy to recognize Elliott's waves in bar Patterns. Well, it works for me to recognize if you feel that you can recognize patterns in another chart, go ahead with bar charts!
In Bear Market:
Figure 1.4 : This is the ITC daily time frame chart. It shows the beautiful Elliott wave structure in the Bear market.
Elliott wave structure :
Now, we all know that Elliott is made of a 5+3= 8 wave structure. So, Let's start getting into it!
To understand the wave principle, we have divided the wave structure (5+3=8) into two Phases which are an Impulse phase/structure & a corrective phase/structure.
Figure 1.5 This picture illustrates Two phases of the Elliott wave principle.
The impulse phase is made up of 5 waves and, the corrective phase is made up of 3 waves.
Figure 1.6: This picture divides the wave principle into two phases.
1. Impulse phase/structure ( which includes five waves and, which moves with the trend you can see in bull market impulse phase is going upward and in a bear market, impulse phase is going down which is directional move.)
&
2. Corrective Phase/structure ( which includes three waves and which moves against the trend, you can see that in bull market corrective phase is going downward and
In bear markets, the corrective phase is going upward, which is a counter-trend move.
Figure 1.7 , Elliott wave has 2 phases. motive/Impulse phase ( directional move ) and corrective phase(counter trend move). We can divide these 2 phases into two types of waves. Impulsive waves and corrective waves.
Let’s zoom in on the impulse phase to understand the underlying structure and wave behavior.
Motive/Impulse Phase :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). Motive/Impulse phase is a Five wave structure that includes wave1,2,3,4 & 5.
2). motive/Impulse phase is a directional move ( moves with the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the impulse phase is the starting point of the corrective phase.
4). motive/Impulse structure is powerful than corrective structure.
5) Impulse phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: 1, 3,5 ( move with Trend of impulse Phase )
ii) Corrective waves: 2,4 ( Moves against the trend of Impulsive Phase)
Let me give you a quick understanding because we are going to cover these waves in-depth,
Impulsive waves are trend-following moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Impulsive waves create trends.Impulsive waves are (1,3,5,A,C)
Corrective waves are counter-Trend moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Corrective waves provide pause to continue the trend,
Corrective waves : (2,4,B)
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bull market
Figure 1.8(A) , wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because The trend of impulse phase up and, Impulsive wave are following the trend and heaving upward move.
And
wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the impulse phase is up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.8(B), wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because the trend of Motive/impulse phase down and Impulsive wave are following trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the Impulse phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward, which is against the trend.
Corrective Phase/structure :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). The Corrective Phase is a three-wave structure that includes waves A, B, C.
2). The corrective phase is a counter-trend move ( moves against the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the corrective phase is the starting point of the Impulse phase.
4) correction phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: A, C ( move with Trend of correction Phase )
ii) corrective waves: B ( moves against Trend of correction Phase )
Corrective Phase in a bull market:
Figure 1.9(A ): wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of the correction phase is down and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward which is against the trend.
Correction phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.9(B) : wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of correction phase Up and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving Upward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is Up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
[ Note : here, the correction phase moves against the trend. That's why the market has a Downtrend but, the correction phase is in an uptrend.]
Impulsive wave structure :
1. Impulsive waves are directional moves that are bigger than corrective waves.
2. Impulsive waves create trends.
3. Impulsive waves are subdivided into five waves.
( that means wave 1,3,5, A, C which moves with the trend will have five sub-waves.)
4. Impulsive waves are easy to recognize.
(Impulsive waves can also be called motive waves)
5. Ride of impulsive wave can give us a high probability trade setup with high Rewards
We are going to cover impulsive wave formations in the next part.
(diagonals,extensions,Impulse,Truncation)
Figure 1.10: As we discussed, Impulsive waves subdivide into five waves.
Here wave 1,3,5, A, C has five subwaves which you can see in the chart.
Elliottwaveretracement
Nifty Outlook: Will the seller crash the remaining bull?Nifty is occurring a corrective wave ((iv)) on the hourly timeframe chart.
It has broken the previous corrective (iv) of a lower degree and price fall to 17377 .
The bullish scenario is valid till the price is above 17150 .
According to the Elliott wave principle, wave ((iv)) can never enter the price territory of wave ((i)).
Wave ((iv)) has retraced 78.6% , and it can't retrace more than 78.6% if there is a bull power on the other hand.
If the nifty breaks 78.6% at 17156, it will also break the invalidation level point of 17150 .
Nifty is creating a downtrend channel, where bull power has controlled by sellers.
If the price breaks out of the channel downtrend, we can see a sharp upward move soon.
However, nifty has to confirm its bull run by breaking the breaking supply zones.
Previous Idea:
Other ideas:
Use the play button to see the results.
NIFTY Research Report 2: Elliott Wave And Price Action analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Timeframe: 1- Day
Theory: Elliott Wave
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Click here to read research report 1:
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Timeframe: 1- hour
Theory: Elliott Wave
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Let's zoom the 5th impulsive wave of wave ((5)) to know the current situation of the Wave cycle.
The ending point of wave 4 is the starting point of wave 5.
After the accomplishment of, triple zigzag, the price has started an impulsive wave, and it has broken the X wave.
X was had holder the correction, and break out of X wave increased public participant in nifty.
Wave formations of the impulsive wave 5 of wave ((5)).
Wave ((i)) is a leading diagonal.
Wave ((ii)) is a zigzag correction, retraced 50% of wave ((i)).
Wave ((iii)) is a five-wave impulse where sub-wave v is near to being completed.
After the completion of wave ((iii)) , the price will start the corrective wave ((iv)). The question is, how to know if the corrective wave started or not?
The best way to find the starting point of the corrective structure is the breakout of the base channel.
If the price breaks the base channel, it may end near the previous wave (iv). I have already mentioned levels in the daily time-frame analysis.
If the price couldn't break down the parallel base channel, it can create a new high, but it will give a short pullback to increase public participants.
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Timeframe: 1- hour
Theory: Price Action Analysis
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Price has broken out the downtrend channel and started an upward move.
However, the current bullish move looks strong, but the price can't make a new high without proper retracement.
Nifty can't get public participants Without trend pause( correction).
If the price breaks the parallel channel, we can expect the following support level: 18232-17944-17604-17261
Please note that the price is bullish above 18250 .
If the price takes support on the parallel channel, it can go for 18600-18845+ to touch the upper band of the channel.
Nifty spot ChartNifty spot chart Elliot wave counts updated
zoomed view in corrective phase subdivided counts
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Will bull traders drive Apollotyer above Rs.300?Preface
APOLLOTYER is preparing for a bull run. After completion of the 3rd wave at 261.2. Price had started a corrective wave ((4)) and took 38 weeks to finish this structure.
A trader can trade impulsive wave ((5)) to make a high confidence trade setup.
Wave Formations and Fibonacci relationships:
Wave ((1))is an impulse with a 5-3-5-3-5 wave structure.
Wave ((2)) is a zigzag move. Fibonacci retracement of wave 2 is 50% of 1st impulsive wave at 109.55. Sub-wave of wave 2 fulfilled the rule of equality (wave A= wave C)
Wave ((2)) is not exceeding the starting point of wave 1.
Wave ((3)) is an extensive impulse. 3rd wave has 261.8% retracement of 1st impulsive at 261.
Wave ((4)) is a triple three with a 3-3-3-3-3 wave structure.
It retraced 38.2% of the 3rd wave and did not overlap the starting point of wave 1.
What will happen next?
Completion of sub-wave z indicates that the corrective wave has ended. Price has started forming sub-waves of wave 5.
The sub-wave z of wave ((4)) has formed a descending channel.
If the price breaks descending channel and close above sub-wave ((b)) at 237, it will confirm the impulsive behavior.
(Note that the ending point of the corrective wave is the starting point of an impulsive wave.)
A trader can expect the following targets:237-250-279-297+
Target 1: 237
Target 2: 250
Target 3: 279
Target 4: 297+
The safe traders can wait for the breakout of wave X.
If the price fails to break the wave X, correction is about to make a new leg down.
They can enter on the pullback to enter where they can manage risk with tight stop loss.
Invalidation: pullback can't break the low of wave ((4))
IOC 1HOUR CHARTIn this post I will show you IOC stock✌
Now a time market go to reach the level of previous swing..
Day trading is available in this time
Wait for previous level break out after go to entry.
It's just for education purpose, trade is your own risk
Follow me
And commend here for next stock
XRPINR IN 4HOUR CHARTHi, helo banakam
Tool>>EWF
IF BREAK THE LEVEL. OF PREVIOUS SWING AND RETEST THE LEVEL AFTER GO TO ENTRY
STOPLOSS WILL 5S BELOW THE LEVEL OF ENTR....
(----------)IF Doesn't break the level of previous level , day traders only go to trade because of R2R level 1.1ratio so Don't go to entry , are u in a positional trader
Important point:
This is only education purpose.not for pratical trade
Trade is your own risk..
Thanksyou
Elliott WaveElliott Wave Theory is a way to organize the market into waves and sub - waves . This strategy is useful for identifying patterns in several timeframes . These structures usually follow Fibonacci Retracements . The main structure is a five - wave patterns ( or impulse ) for a rally or drop . The ABC ( or consolidation ) pattern Usually acts as the next wave movements .
Nifty good long candidateNifty spot cmp 15680
Elliot wave counts of this last swing from 14200 to 15900,,
last impulse wave of impulse phase is pending,,
good upmove coming if manage to sustain above last swing low,,
Good conditional long trade,, the move will be violent as the consolidation is longer,,
Reliance - Ending Diagonal Finish (Sell Below 2100) • Safe Traders
Sell Below 2050 – Target Downside – 2025 / below 2025 –Target -1980-1990/ Below 1980
Target-
1927 / Below 1925 Target – 1890-1900 / Below 1890 Target – 1830 / Once Double Bottom gets
broken then stock may slip to 1650-1700 zone which I have suggested since Oct-Nov2020
• Risky Trader
They can sell if stock holds below 2100 or as close as possible to 2100
• No Trading
If stock crosses above 2100 – we will avoid taking sell or short trades.
Reliance - Careful At The Tops- The Y-Wave 1980-2000Have suggested already -its all choppy & messy suggesting that fall in Reliance is pending -which can take stock back again to 1830 & once 1830 is taken out - fall can become more serious. Trade carefully. Thanks
The Y- Wave Next for 1980-2000 Levels
Granuels India - Final Waves Unfolding from 2008/2009 Bottoms• Final Waves could be unfolding for the sequence which started from 2008/2009 bottoms post
financial crisis
• Suggesting Corrective Flat Sequence WXY from 2008/2009 Bottoms till it moves slowly & in time
consuming pattern – taking this as primary or main view.
• Wedge or Diagonals are Time consuming patterns which can be a possibility once more price details
are available
• Alternate Scenario / view-
If Stock moves vertical above 600-700 zone that could be early signal that it has potential for
bigger moves later but failing to cross the suggested zone will also call markets participants to be
cautious at the new highs
• Short Term Trading
Buy in 300-325 zone with stops below 280 for Target 1- 375/380 & Above 380 for Target 2-
450/500+ or Buy Above 380 if fails to drop in 300-325 zone.
• Long Term Trading
Once stock has new highs possibly in 600-700 zone & fails to move further or consuming lot of
time then participants have to be careful & review would be required at later stage.
*** Avoid Taking Long Positions if stock falls below 280 levels ***
Thanks & Best Wishes
Reliance-Breakdown Below 1890-Can it End with Ending Diagonal ?Careful to trade only on assumptions as the pattern proposed (Ending Diagonal) is immature - wait for the markets to move first & as a trader you should join the direction of the trade
----------------------------------Do not trade if stock falls below 1855 -1875 zone--------- ------------
Crossing Above 1890-1900
Target 1 - 1975
Target 2 - 2020-2025
Target 3 - 2075
Snapshot on lower degree - 30 mins chart
Reliance- Important Support Zone 1890-1900 (Catching The BottomsMarket Commentary
As suggested over the last idea - comment this morning @ 09:51 Hrs / 27th Jan2021 - 1890-1900 is the important zone - If it holds then another upside push is open & it can travel to 1975/2000/2020
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******** Note- Falling below 1890 which is critical level-it may retest 1835 & new low expected ************
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Once it crosses above 2020 - upside extension can be seen to 2050-2075 where traders have to be careful
Last Idea- What a top @ 2120
Bandhan Bank Low Risk High Reward Tripple ZigzagDISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The investment study provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgment while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
--------------------------(((((LIKE)))))-------------------------------
I am holding this stock so my analysis could be biased. So do your own study or ask your financial advisors before investing.
Bandhan Bank in parallel channel right and making Tripple Zigzag pattern, now looks in longer consolidation zones, it will take time to come out of it.
Long can be initiated near 280 Stop loss 250 for targets 450-480.
After that another dip can be seen then it would give breakout of channel.
Reliance - (Wave Analysis) Cracks 4% - What A Top at 2120!!!Last Price- 1970
Hope you enjoyed the selling at the tops of 2100
Channel Support at 1950's could support the stock & If drops below 1920-1950 that will be next clue for the stock to do bigger damage.
Happy Trading!!!
Last Idea - Corrective 1st Leg Done at 2120
Trent-The Trap-False Breakout Above 805 (Wave Analysis)This stock has limited trading opportunity in current scenario. Possible Trading Strategies mentioned below
• Sell below 625 for downside target -540 which is 61% retracement of upside last wave (365 to 809)
• Buy above 725 (strictly hold your buy positions till it holds above 725 as false breakouts can
happen above 725 as they are extremely choppy moves)
• Sell below 540
• Buy Above 810
Long Term Scenario - Positive once 810- critical level gets broken upside to be reviewed later.
Reliance-Last Impulse 5th Wave Ended in Truncation-Wave AnalysisSmall Modification - Possibly Last Impulse ended in truncation at the lows @ 1855
Why Traders Have to be Careful-
Channel Resistance
Corrective in next higher degree possibly close to end
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Recap from last idea
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2022- Most Important Level & fulcrum level so sell below & buy above was suggested as per previous ideas- Hope you enjoyed selling two times close to 2022 with minimum target of 1900 downside
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What Next ?
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Short Term
Next Most Important levels - 2100 / 2050 /2020 - which can be used as intraday levels for short term trades - Sell Below or Buy Above plans can be executed with proper risk management.
Long Term Outlook
Long Term Outlook remains unchanged which is still bearish as suggested for last few ideas with key level @ 2095-2100 as the most important zone
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Note
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Any sustained move above 2100 has to be reviewed again






















