AMBUJACEM- Relative Strength says SELL!Attached: Ambuja Cements/ Nifty 50 Daily Chart as of 19th April 2023
A Classic Triangle Setup is visible in the above Ratio Chart
The Breakdown of this Triangle would result in the Ratio Selling Off (AMBUJACEM accelerating its Underperformance vs. Index Nifty 50)
Hence this makes the Stock a Sell Candidate based on Weakness
Well if you also look at the Price Chart which I have not shared here but it also has a Classic Triangle Setup with a Bearish Bias just like its Ratio Chart
Elliotwaveanalysis
Elliot wave counts of copper looks bullish post dips (if any)Hello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliot wave counts of copper on hourly time frame chart, in which it is showing that after impulse move as a wave 1 we are unfolding now correction waves as a (w) - (x) and (y), in which we had already finished and completed wave (w) and (x) now possibly we are in wave (y) of one bigger degree wave 2, so wave (y) may give some areas of dips too, which can be an opportunity to go Long at good levels, and an invalidation level is also mentioned on chart. My studies are for educational purpose only, Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
TITAN- Relative Strength says SELL!Attached: Titan/ Nifty 50 Daily Chart Live Market Hours as of 18th April 2023
The Ratio Chart signals that TITAN has completed Wave A/ 1 and done a retracement in Wave 2/ B and now the 3rd Wave/ C Wave Down is to Start
This implies that on a Relative Basis, TITAN is likely to MASSIVELY Underperform Nifty 50 Index
Today Titan is also One of the Top Losers from the Nifty 50 Index Top 20 Heavyweights
So as they Sell Weakness and Buy Strength
Hence, Look for Short Opportunities in Titan
Nifty IT= THE SECTOR TO AVOID FOR INVESTORS!⚠️FIRST THE TECHNICAL VIEW
Attached: Nifty IT Index Weekly Chart as of 13th April 2023
In the Chart above, I have mapped out the Potential Elliot Wave Count to play out over the coming Months:
- Price has fallen in 3 Waves which is our Larger A Wave
- Then Price did a Corrective bounce in an ABCDE structure making up our Larger B Wave
- And now the Larger C Wave Down in the form of an Impulse is about to start/ has already started!
I have 2 Downside Targets🎯 based on the Elliot Wave Count:
T1= 23400 to 22700 (which is C = 0.618 of A)
T2= 18350 to 17750 (which is C = A)
This implies an approx. 19% decline📉 for Target 1 and a 36% decline📉 for Target 2, from Current Market Price😨
NOW, THE FUNDAMENTAL VIEW
Regarding IT Stocks from an Investor's Stand Point, it is going to be the DIRTY FISH💩🐟 of the Pond and can potentially Spoil the Whole Pond as well
Irrespective of whether it is a Bull Market or a Bear Market for Broad Market Stocks.
IT Index is set for New Lows and Infosys is Leading it on the Downside
As an Analogy for the Indian Market:
Remember how Auto Sector was in 2018? TOP out
how Pharma was in 2015? TOP out
IT is the same now in a Bear Market🐻🩸. Fundamental Reasons:
- US Recession
- Wage Inflation (IT Co. main cost is Employees), Lay Offs, Etc.
- De Dollarization (aka USD Crash hurts Dollar Revenue of these IT Companies)
I suggest if you have any Investments in IT Stocks Sell Them Off✅
You will get better Value in Other Sectors✅
This is a SECTOR SPECIFIC View for INVESTORS!⚠️
Possible Elliot wave counts of GBPJPY (now down then up)Hello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliot wave counts of GBPJPY on hourly time frame chart, in which wave structure says that currently we are in wave (c) of wave 2 of wave (C) of some complex correction heading towards north, on bigger scale post (C) again we may start journey towards south directions, Right now on hourly chart we can assume that we may witness fall as a wave iii, iv & v of (c) of 2 of (C), (c) can be an equal of (a) so it may show us 164.858 levels as an equality. Now down then up, Overall it's suggesting buy on dips only. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
RK's mass psychological cloud is also suggesting good support at same buying zone area
Bigger picture
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Tata Motors - Mid Term (Now down then UP)Hi Friends,
Tata Motors is in up move from a couple of weeks.
The move is expected to continue after a brief retracement. Retracement levels are marked with Fib retracement.
A zone around 452 can be a potential reversal zone.
2 daily closings below 61.8% fib marking will confirm the trend change.
Infosys in Trouble along with All Tech stocksInfosys is in Zig zag correction after making top near 1955. The Rally from covid low ends in 5 waves near 1955.
Currently in Wave C which can head up to 1073 and worst case 700 which is 1.618 extension.
Analysis invalidation level will be 1620.
The LAST Time we analyzed it, moved as per chart
DISCLAIMER:
There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses.
The stock and its levels discussed are solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your judgement while investing/Trading decisions.
Seek help of your financial advisor before investing/trading.
Investment Warnings:
We would like to draw your attention to the following important investment warnings.
-Investment is subject to market risks.
-The value of shares and investments and the income derived from them can go down as well as up.
-Investors may not get back the amount they invested - losing one's shirt is a real risk.
-Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
-I may or may not trade this analysis
--------------------------(((((LIKE)))))-------------------------------
Elliott wave counts of USOIL and Fibonacci levels (up, down, up)Hello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliott wave counts of USOIL CRUDEOIL chart on hourly time frame, which is suggesting we are currently in impulse wave of some degree, in which we had completed (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv) and now possibly we are unfolding wave (v) of bigger degree wave 1, in this scenario we had seen that wave (iii) has been extended and clearly showing subdivisions inside it and also shown gap up as its nature, so we can assume that wave (v) can go up to equality of wave (i) which is showing price level of near $ 86.75, post completion of it, we can start retracement as a wave 2 in a-b-c pattern, that correction could get support at that same gap which we got gap up in wave (iii) so it can provide good support and as per Fibonacci measurements 50% retracement of entire rally also meets that same level of gap support which is pegged at $ 75.50, which can make that support more stronger. I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Overall crude oil is looking bullish right now then little down to unfold wave 2 and then again up to unfold wave 3.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
USOIL CRUDE OIL possible Elliot wave countsHello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliot wave counts with our view on US OIL - CRUDE OIL, in which we are waiting for further confirmation to confirm the TREND as per Elliot wave structure, we are possibly at the ending of wave ((2)) corrections or may have started wave ((3)), let's wait to confirm by chart itself, so possibilities of wave counts have been discussed in details in this video study, one can observe it in live market as per study discussed in this video study, I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Thanks
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
DOGECOIN possible elliot wave counts on hourly chartHere we had shared possible Elliot wave counts of Dogecoin on daily time frame aligned with hourly time frame.
Which is indicating that possibly we are unfolding fresh leg of impulse as a wave 1 of bigger degree wave (1) of one more bigger degree ((3)), and inside wave 1 we had unfolded subdivisions as wave 1-2-3-4 and possibly we have started 5th of wave 1 it may become leading diagonal. post wave 1 we should get retracement as a wave 2 of (1) and then wave 3 of (1), overall if invalidation is safe then journey is towards north.
My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not sebi registered analyst.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Possible elliot wave counts on daily time frame
macd positive crossover in hourly
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Nifty wave analysisNIFTY SPOT HAS MADE A LOW NEAR 16828 ON 20TH MARCH 2023.. will give wave count from this low as follow
WAVE 1 : 16828 TO 17207 (379 POINTS)
WAVE 2: 17207 TO 16914 (293 POINTS i.e. nearly 77% corrected)
NOW WAVE 3 IS ON : 16914 TO 17290 (HIGH TILL NOW) (376 points till now)
1.61 fib level comes near 17527
now wave 3 is on so it will sub divided into mini 5 waves as follows
wave 3 started from 16914
wave 3(1) : 16914 to 17049 (135 points)
wave 3(2) : 17049 to 16940 (109 points i.e. 80-81% corrected)
wave 3(3) : 16940 to 17290 (high till now) (350 points) here 3rd wave has achieved its minimum target of 1.61%.. and got extended to 2.61% near 17290
market buy on dip mode as per wave count...
immediate resistance on upside: 17300 & `17500
whereas support on downside : 17050 -17150
views are for educational purpose.
Apollo Hospitals possible elliot wave countsHello Friends,
Here we had analyzed the chart of the stock Apollo Hospitals which is convincing bearish bias aligned with price action breaking down trendline along with good intensity of volumes on daily time frame, supporting same view by trend indicators like macd, rsi, bollinger bands, dmi adx and Elliot waves. As per Elliot wave structure it is clearly in correction phase in which most probably seen that we are unfolding corrective waves in zigzag pattern, in which we can assume that we had finished wave A and B and now possibly we are unfolding wave C which should unfold in 5 subdivisions, in wave C we had completed one lower degree wave 1 and wave 2, Once low of wave 1 is taken by bears then it would confirm that wave 3 of C has started to unfold. Overall we can say we are assuming Bearish bias in this stock aligned with each and every parameters. I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
All highlights shared below.
Thanks.
Corrective Wave structure
Break-down with Good intensity of Volumes on Daily time frame
Price getting rejection from RK's stopline and closed below RK's mass psychological cloud.
MACD in daily Negative cross over
MACD in weekly already running negative
MACD in monthly already running negative
Price challenging lower band on daily time frame
RSI down tick and below 40 on daily time frame
DMI ADX also supporting same bearish bias in daily time frame
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
watch out for Atul Auto reversal anytimeElliot wave corrective mode to get over soon.
Chart is self explanatory, only Elliot wave analysis and no indicators used.
This chart is for educational purpose.
Traders who use Elliott wave theory often look for the completion of wave c as a potential entry point for a trade in the direction of the larger trend. However, it's important to note that Elliott wave theory is just one tool among many for analyzing markets, and traders should use other technical and fundamental analysis methods to confirm their trading decisions.
SGX NIFTY- Anchored VWAP Detailed Analysis!Attached: SGXNIFTY Daily Live Market Chart as of 24th March 2023 (post 12:00 AM)
I am sharing this to bring to your attention the following points:
1. Price is currently consolidating below a Cluster of Anchored VWAPs (labelled on the chart). These same AVWAPs have acted as support in the past, see from where Price had rallied off in Oct 2022 for example
2. Price is also consolidating in the Lower Half of the Falling Trend Channel drawn from the Dec 2022 Highs
3. 16800 is the Make or Break Level using the Law of Polarity (labelled on the chart)
So when Price breaks⚠️ down these 3 Confluences, expect the 🐻Bear Market/ Bear Trend📉 to ACCELERATE 🩸!
And that will then Open the AVWAP Downside Targets🎯 as follows:
T1= 16400
T2= 15800
T3= 15300
Also these are the Very Same Downside Targets that I have been calling for when Nifty was trading at 18000 in the first week of Jan 2023.
In addition to all of this you would also notice my Elliot Wave marking for the B Wave false breakout to New Highs. We are in Wave C of a Bear Market presently.
Best,
Siddharth Bhansali
SAIL possible Elliot wave counts with Multi parameters alignedHello Friends,
here we had shared analysis of stock from metal sector stock named SAIL, in which we had checked multi parameters which are aligned in same bearish bias as in current scenario.
As per Elliot wave counts we are in complex correction or we can say double threes or double zigzag correction which we had labled as ABC as a (W) then (X) and again ABC as (Y), as per wave principles (Y) should be equal to (W) so we have enough space towards south zones (down side) which is indicating bearish bias as per Elliot wave counts.
Trend identified by Dow theory is also giving same bearish bias because stock is forming lower highs and lower lows since last 22 months, which is aligned itself with same bearish bias.
Trend indicator like MACD on monthly, weekly and daily these all are in sell modes and aligned with each others, which are indicating same bearish bias.
As per Bollinger bands on all three time frames like monthly, weekly, and daily are also showing that stock is trading below 20 Monthly SMA, 20 Weekly SMA, and also 20 Daily SMA, which also indicates same bearish bias.
On bigger picture possibly we are in last leg of correction which is to complete or finish very soon, Overall wave structure is suggesting on higher degree we had completed wave ((1)) and currently we are in correction phase almost near verge of end as a wave ((2)), post ((2)) we can start fresh impulse of bigger degree as a wave ((3)) which can cross highs of wave ((1)) so we can say that, currently we assume this stock as a bearish and after finishing wave ((2)) we should change our bias from bearish to bullish after confirming with price actions and other parameters also.
I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
All major parameters are shared below as snapshots must watch
Thanks
This stock is forming lower highs & lower lows since last two years which is clearly bearish trend
Possible Elliot wave counts on daily time frame
Monthly macd negative
Weekly macd negative crossover
Daily macd negative
Price trading below 20MMA (monthly mid bollinger)
Price trading below 20WMA (weekly mid bollinger)
Price trading below 20DMA (daily mid bollinger)
Possible wave counts on hourly chart
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
NaturalGas Possible Elliot wave counts (up than down & again up)Hello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliot wave counts of NaturalGas on weekly time frame to daily, 4hourly and hourly time frames which seems aligned with each other, so the conviction increases.
Well, on weekly time frame it seems that post impulse move, currently we are unfolding correction which is already at werge of completion, after A,B we are now in wave C, in which we had already done wave 1-2-3-4 of one lower degree, and now possibly we are unfolding wave 5th of C, and in wave 5th we had done wave i of lower degree and possibly we are unfolding wave ii of 5th of C, still wave iii, iv, and v are pending to complete wave 5th of wave C, which should not go below $ 1.529, because its an initial level of bigger degree wave ((1)) and as per wave principals, wave ((2)) should not retrace more than 100% of wave ((1)), so post completion of wave C we can assume that correction to be finish and hopefully fresh impulse up move should start towards north direction for long term.
Overall very soon we should start fresh impulse for long term along with invalidation level of $ 1.529
One can wait for dips to complete wave 5th of C of bigger wave ((2)) to grab an opportunities to find best entry to go long, so we should have to ride only in right direction because right direction is always more important and better then speed. I am not sebi registered analyst, My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Possible wave counts on weekly chart
Possible wave counts on daily chart
Possible wave counts on 4 hourly chart
Possible wave counts on hourly chart
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
ZEEL Buy SetupZEEL Buy Setup
Attached: Daily Price Chart as of 29th March 2023
- Price has put in a 5 Wave Rise and also done a 0.382 Fib Retracement post that
- On Wednesday on the back of the Zee Indusind Bank News piece, Buyers stepped in
- A 3rd Wave appears to be playing out now on the Upside📈
Current Market Price= 216
Upside Targets🎯:
T1= 227
T2= 239
T3= 248
T4= 260
Stop Loss < 20 Day SMA