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XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+ Brian – Prioritize buying with the trend, use VAL to position entry Market snapshot At the end of the US session yesterday, gold had a strong increase and then stabilized, currently moving sideways around 4,216 on H1. The structure is still an uptrend, the current decline is mainly a technical correction within the value area. On the chart, the 4,264–4,265 area is marked as important resistance, where if broken, the medium-term uptrend could be unleashed more strongly. Volume Profile & key price areas The VAL (Value Area Low) of the Volume Profile is currently around 4,200 – this is an area where the market has previously accepted a large volume of trades, suitable for trend-following buys. A deeper support area is around 4,164 (Supportsides on the chart), where buyers have previously intervened very clearly. Above: 4,265 – confirmed resistance, if broken will strengthen the scenario of gold heading to higher price areas, matching the "super cycle 5,000 USD" story in the long term. Trading plan for next week (according to H1 & Volume Profile) Priority scenario – Buy at VAL with the trend Buying area: around 4,200 (VAL of Volume Profile). Can flexibly range 4,198–4,203 depending on spread and market conditions. Idea: wait for the price to pull back to the VAL area, observe H1 candle reactions (long lower tail, rejection candles...) before entering the order. Immediate targets: TP1: area 4,240–4,245 TP2: 4,265 – important resistance marked as "important resistance, confirming medium term increase". If the price closes clearly above 4,265 and successfully retests, consider holding part of the position or finding additional entry points, according to the scenario of expanding to higher areas in the new cycle. Defensive scenario – Deep support If the 4,200 area does not hold, the 4,164 area will be the next support to watch. Closing H1/D1 below 4,164 will be a signal to reduce short-term expectations and wait for a new structure instead of trying to "buy every dip". Fundamental context – Reasons gold is still supported Gold is heading for its best growth year since 1979, with an increase of over 60% in 2025 – this is the context of a true bull market, not just a recovery wave. YTD performance of XAU outperforms BTC, showing that large capital flows prioritize stability and gold's safe haven role. Current supporting factors: US bond yields cooling, USD weakening. Geopolitical tensions escalating, Russia–US negotiations have not brought clear breakthroughs. The market prices in nearly a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates at the next meeting, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. Follow Brian to share the Gold scenario together
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
7
XAUUSD – Ascending Channel in Play, Upside Target Towards 4,240 Brian – Focusing on buying the dip, watching for short setups near upper resistance Market overview & structure On the H4 chart, gold is moving neatly inside a well-defined ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows. The current leg is pointing towards the 4,237–4,240 region, which aligns with: The upper boundary of the channel. A key resistance zone. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension and resting liquidity above recent highs. This keeps the broader bias bullish, but as price approaches 4,240, the probability of profit-taking and short-term selling pressure naturally increases. Wave & technical context The current move is an extension of the previous bullish structure after price broke out of the old bearish channel and started to consolidate in a new bullish one. Liquidity levels around 4,193 and above suggest that the market has been building positions and has room to drive price into higher resistance. The buy zone highlighted near the lower boundary of the channel, around 4,154–4,157, is where buyers are likely to step back in to defend the trend. As long as price holds above 4,150–4,154, the scenario of a continuation towards 4,240 remains the higher-probability path. Key zones & trading plan Primary scenario – Buy with the trend inside the channel Buy zone: 4,154–4,157 (channel support + marked buy zone). Idea: Wait for a pullback towards the lower boundary of the channel, or a brief liquidity sweep into this zone, followed by a clear rejection candle on H1/H4 before entering long. Targets: Short-term: 4,190–4,200 (mid-channel / interim liquidity). Extended: 4,237–4,240 (major resistance + 1.618 Fibonacci extension). This is a trend-following “buy the dip” setup suitable for swing or short-term positional traders. Secondary scenario – Short-term sell from 4,237–4,240 Sell zone: 4,237–4,240 – the confluence of strong resistance and the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Idea: If price tags this zone and shows clear rejection (long wicks, bearish reversal pattern on H1/M15), it may offer a counter-trend short back towards the mid-channel or 4,190–4,200 support. This is a short-term, counter-trend idea, so: Position size should be smaller than the main long setup. Stop loss should be kept tight above 4,240 and not dragged wider out of emotion. News & broader context Liquidity conditions may thin out towards the end of the day due to the ongoing Thanksgiving holiday period in the US, which can lead to sudden spikes and stop hunts, especially around obvious liquidity pools. On the political side, headlines such as Mr. Trump’s comments about “permanently suspending immigration from third-world countries” add to general policy uncertainty, but the impact on gold is mostly indirect through broader risk sentiment. Another interesting point: silver has been rallying strongly, supported by solar-energy demand and supply concerns. It is acting like a “silent workhorse”, attracting fresh capital. This does not remove gold’s role, but shows that precious metals as a whole are gaining attention. Strategy & risk management For now, my focus remains on buying dips around 4,154–4,157 in line with the ascending channel, and only looking for short, tactical sell setups if price clearly rejects 4,237–4,240. I prefer to avoid entering fresh trades when US liquidity is very thin or right into major holiday sessions, as spreads can widen and price action can become erratic. Once price closes decisively below the buy zone and breaks the channel structure, this bullish plan loses validity, and it is better to step aside and reassess rather than forcing trades. What do you think – does this channel still favour the bulls, or are you expecting a deeper correction from the 4,240 region? Feel free to share your view in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – H1 uptrend channel, short-term downside risk increasingXAUUSD – H1 uptrend channel, short-term downside risk increasing Brian – Prioritize short selling at the channel peak, wait to buy back at lower support I. Strategy Summary Gold is trading in an uptrend channel on H1, but the rise around 4.160 shows signs of weakening, increasing short-term correction risk. Preferred Scenario: Short sell at the channel peak 4.162–4.164, targeting support areas 4.145 – 4.130 – 4.115 – 4.100. After the correction, the 4.100–4.080 area may become the foundation for the next rise in the larger trend. Important price areas to watch: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110 – 4.088. II. Macro Context & News 27/11 02:00 – Fed releases Beige Book This document updates the Fed branches' assessment of the US economic situation. Describing slower growth, cooling price pressures will further reinforce expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates → supporting gold. Conversely, if the Beige Book describes the economy as still “resilient,” the market may temporarily slow down pricing in rate cuts → causing a short-term adjustment for gold. 19:30 – ECB releases October meeting minutes If the minutes lean towards the scenario of keeping high interest rates longer, the EUR may be supported, indirectly affecting the USD and gold inflows. However, the impact is usually not as strong as US data, mainly affecting the overall risk-on/risk-off sentiment. General Context: Gold has surpassed 4.160 USD/oz as the market increasingly expects the Fed to cut interest rates as early as December, reducing the appeal of interest-bearing assets and increasing the allure of gold – a non-yielding asset. This creates a support foundation for the medium-term uptrend, but after a hot rise, technical adjustments on H1 are normal. III. Technical Structure – H1 uptrend channel The price is within the H1 uptrend channel, with rising peaks and troughs, but the upper area near 4.160 coincides with: The upper boundary of the price channel. The “Sell POC” area on the chart – where liquidity and sell orders are concentrated. Preferred scenario on the chart: The price may slightly rebound to the POC area 4.162–4.164, then be rejected and slide to the important support area around 4.110 before extending the adjustment down to 4.100–4.080. The lower trendline of the uptrend channel also acts as a short-term buy area if a clear candle reaction appears. Notable price areas on H1: Resistance: 4.162–4.164 (channel peak + POC). Intermediate support: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110. Deep support: 4.088 – 4.080 – 4.100 (area that may form the bottom for the next rise). IV. Trading Plan 1. Preferred Scenario – Short sell at the channel peak Idea: Short sell when the price rebounds to the upper boundary of the H1 uptrend channel and POC 4.162–4.164, expecting a correction to support. Sell: 4.162–4.164 SL: 4.168 TP targets: TP1: 4.145 TP2: 4.130 TP3: 4.115 TP4: 4.100 This is a counter-move order in the uptrend channel, only targeting a short-term correction, not a major trend reversal scenario. 2. Supplementary Scenario – Short buy at support trendline Idea: When the price hits the lower trendline of the H1 uptrend channel and a nice candle reaction appears, consider a short-term buy according to the channel, prioritizing areas: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110 – 4.088 Specific Entry/SL levels will depend on the actual price reaction at the trendline, but the general principle: Buy close to the trendline, SL placed below the immediate support area, TP aimed at the middle of the channel or the nearest resistance. V. Risk Management & Notes Do not open new positions right before or at the time of the Beige Book and ECB minutes release, as volatility may suddenly increase, widening spreads. The sell order at 4.162–4.164 is a short-term counter-trend order in the uptrend channel, requiring moderate volume and strict adherence to SL 4.168. If the price clearly breaks and holds above the 4.170 area, the H1 correction scenario weakens – in that case, stay out, wait for a new structure instead of trying to maintain a sell view.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
USDJPY Vulnerable to Deep Pullback After Wave 5USDJPY has completed a full 5-wave rising structure inside a clear wedge pattern, which usually signals exhaustion. The final Wave (5) shows weakening momentum, and price is beginning to slip below the wedge support — an early sign that the trend may be reversing. This suggests the pair is likely entering a deeper corrective decline, potentially retracing toward 150 or lower in an impulsive A-B-C move. In simple terms: uptrend looks tired → wedge breakdown could trigger a strong downside correction. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
Short
by Money_Dictators
Bullish — Silver bounce expected toward ₹1,59,000 and ₹1,72,000 Silver Futures (SILVERZ2025 – 4H Chart) Technical Outlook Elliott Wave Structure & Current Setup Silver is currently trading in Wave 4, and the corrective phase appears to be complete. Silver has completed its Wave 4 correction and has started a new impulsive leg (Wave 5). A breakout above ₹1,50,000 has confirmed bullish momentum, supported by RSI and MACD signals. 📈 Upside Targets: ₹1,59,000 – first resistance / 6% upside ₹1,72,000 – extended target / 13.5% upside ⚙️ Supports: ₹1,49,000 – near breakout retest zone ₹1,44,000 – wave 4 base, invalidation below this level
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by tradetechnicalanalyst
1
XAG/USD Set for Decline After Finishing Wave YSilver has completed a clear 5-wave upward move, ending near the 51.23 zone, which likely marks the completion of Wave C of the corrective structure. Price action shows rejection from the upper trendline, signaling that buying momentum is fading. This suggests the start of a new A–B–C corrective decline, where Silver could first drop toward 48–47 levels before any temporary bounce. The overall structure remains bearish in the short term unless the price breaks above the 52.76 invalidation zone. In simple terms: rally looks complete → downside correction likely ahead. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Money_Dictators
11
US Dollar Weakness Likely After Final Push UpDXY has completed a complex corrective W–X–Y pattern, with the final leg (Y) recently topping near the 100.50 zone. Price has failed to break above the invalidation level, suggesting the uptrend is losing strength. This signals that the dollar may have finished its corrective phase and could now start a fresh bearish wave targeting lower zones near 97–98. The overall structure indicates that momentum is shifting from bullish to bearish. In simple terms: rally is likely over → downside move toward new lows expected next. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
TVC:DXYShort
by Money_Dictators
Silver Correction Ending: Major Drop AheadSilver (XAG/USD) has completed a 5-wave decline, marking the end of Wave (A)/(1) near the 45.53 level. Since then, price has been retracing upward in a complex W–X–Y corrective structure, which appears to be forming the final leg of Wave (B)/(2). The rise is losing strength near the upper channel, hinting that bulls may soon exhaust. Once Wave (B)/(2) finishes, the next big move is expected to be a strong bearish Wave (C)/(3) decline targeting lower zones near or below 45. In simple terms: last leg of correction nearly done → next big drop ahead. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
by Money_Dictators
2
Astral on the Verge: Technical Breakout & Investment Zones MappeAstral Limited : CMP: 1557.30: After studying its monthly chart structure and weekly Elliott Wave formations. Recent price action suggests a potential breakout setup, offering opportunities for both aggressive traders and patient investors. Entry for Aggressive Traders: • Aggressive traders can look for a breakout above the recent swing high near 1,579, as marked on both the monthly and weekly charts. This level has already shown strong momentum, with a notable price jump of +7.39% in the recent candle. • Targets: 1630, 1725, 1795, 1935, 2200. Use trailing stop-loss: 1500, 1625, 1710, 1790, 1900 as you move up.​ Manage risk and adjust stop-loss as per levels. Conservative Entry for Investors • Investor Entry: Investors may enter on reasonable dips towards 1,440–1,460 support zone, as this range aligns with previous resistance turned support and is less volatile. Alternatively, entry after confirmation of the breakout above 1,579 with sustained volume is also suitable. • Targets: Investors: Enter between 1,440–1,460. Targets: 1,935 and 2,200 for the medium term.​ These represent major Fibonacci retracement zones and historical resistance levels, suggesting strong probability of acting as future price objectives. Investors can use a wider stop near 1,230 based on weekly chart support. 📌 Thanks a ton for checking out my idea! Hope it sparked some value for you. 🙏 Follow for more insights 👍 Boost if you found it helpful ✍️ Drop a comment with your thoughts below!
NSE:ASTRALLong
by DrPrashantVerma
S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Breakdown & Long Setup (15-Min Chart)The S&P 500 has completed a full five-wave impulsive decline and is now progressing through a corrective A–B–C structure, offering a potential long setup on the horizon. 🔍 Wave Structure Recap: - Wave (1) began on Oct 29, 2025, from a top of 6,920.33, and ended on Oct 31 at 6,814.27. - Wave (2) retraced to the 61.8% Fib level of Wave (1), topping at 6,879.01. - Wave (3) extended to the 161.8% Fib projection of Wave (1), bottoming at 6,707.52. - Wave (4) retraced between the 23.6%–38.2% Fib zone, peaking at 6,757.64. - Wave (5) concluded near the 61.8% extension, at 6,631.45. 📈 Current Setup: - The index is now completing corrective Wave A, currently in its final sub-wave (v), targeting the 38.2% projection at 6,734.47. - We anticipate a Wave B retracement toward the 50%–61.8% zone, near 6,670, which will be our entry level to go long and ride the upcoming Wave C. 🧠 Strategy: - Wait for Wave A to complete near 6,734. - Look for bullish confirmation around 6,670 during Wave B. - Target Wave C extension with trailing stops to capture the move.
TVC:SPXLong
by Rajnish_Jana_
AUD/NZD Nearing Peak: Expect Controlled PullbackAUD/NZD has completed a clean 5-wave impulsive move to the upside, finishing Wave (1)/(A) near the recent peak. From here, the price looks ready to start a deeper correction in the form of Wave (2)/(B), which may pull back toward the lower support zone inside the rising channel. This corrective move could unfold in multiple legs before turning bullish again. Once Wave (2)/(B) completes, the chart expects a strong rally into Wave (3)/(C), aiming for new highs. In simple terms: a healthy pullback first, then a powerful upside continuation. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
by Money_Dictators
GOLD – TRIANGLE COMPRESSION ON H4 ✨ GOLD – TRIANGLE COMPRESSION ON H4, AWAITING A STRONG BREAKOUT IN WAVE 5 ✨ 💬 Gold is accumulating in a compression triangle – when silence lasts too long, the market is about to speak. Hi everyone 💖, Kristina is back with today's perspective on gold. I hope this analysis will help you – whether you're a new trader or have been trading gold for years – gain a clearer view to prepare for the upcoming breakout. 📉 Technical Analysis: Currently, gold is moving within a triangle pattern on the H4 frame, indicating that market energy is being compressed. When the price breaks out of this area, the movement range could reach several tens of points. Important support zone: 3960–3980 Strong resistance zone: 4035–4045 👉 When the price breaks one of these zones, the trend will be clearly confirmed. According to Elliott Wave, Kristina is observing two scenarios: 1️⃣ Long-term: Wave (5) could be a downward wave, heading towards 3820. 2️⃣ Medium-term: Wave (5) can still rise if the price holds the 4000 zone, targeting around 4110–4130. 💎 Trading zone according to ICT: Order Block around 4040 is a potential supply zone – a reversal signal is likely to appear. The area around 4000 is a notable support point – it can create a bounce reaction if the price retests. 🎯 Reference trading scenarios: Sell around 4040 when there is a reversal signal, SL 10 points, TP 4020–4000. Buy around 4000 after the price retests the OB, SL 10 points, TP 4110. If the price breaks 3970, wait to Sell around 3980, SL 10 points, TP 3820. 🕊️ Currently, gold is in a waiting phase – observe, don't rush, to act with the trend when the market "speaks." 🌷 The analysis reflects Kristina's personal perspective, not an investment recommendation. If you share the same viewpoint or have a different perspective, please leave a comment below 💬💕
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kristina_noieva
2
BAJAJ AUTOHello & welcome to this analysis The decline from September 2024 high till April 2025 low appears to be a 5 waves down impulse that I have marked as A of the corrective ABC wave. The rise from April 2025 low till September 2025 high appears to be corrective ABC in structure. If we consider the corrective as completion of B of ABC then the current decline would unfold into another 5 waves impulse down to complete C of ABC If we consider the corrective as completion of (A) of B of ABC then the decline would pause between 8400 - 8000 to attempt another leg up within the corrective. In either scenario a decline is likely coming as long as it stays below 9200 Conclusion Short term weakness, investors/buyers should wait for proper structure to unfold before attempting longs All the best
NSE:BAJAJ_AUTOShort
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
[XAUUSD] New Week Scenario: Accumulation Awaiting Drop New Week Scenario: Accumulation Awaiting Drop - Watch for Selling at Liquidity Zone $4195 Hello traders community, The new week begins with XAUUSD (Gold) being "restrained" in a sideways structure. However, don't let this calm deceive you. Technically, this is an accumulation pattern with a clear bearish bias. The market is in "wait" mode, and patience will be the key to catching the next big wave. 📰 MACRO ANALYSIS: TUG OF WAR AHEAD OF FOMC The market is caught between two opposing streams of information: Bearish Pressure: Positive signs of a US-China trade deal are reducing the demand for safe-haven assets, putting pressure on Gold prices. Bullish Support: The weakening USD due to expectations that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates, inadvertently provides some short-term support for the precious metal. Decisive Factor: Traders are "lying low" waiting for this week's two-day monetary policy meeting (FOMC). This will be the main event, determining the medium-term trend of USD and Gold. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: CONTINUATION OF BEARISH STRUCTURE The H1 chart shows a very clear "Sell" scenario: Price Structure: After a strong drop from the peak, the price is moving sideways in an accumulation pattern of a bearish pennant. This is a continuation structure, indicating that the Sellers are "resting" before pushing the price further down. Ideal Sell Zone: The $4195 zone is an extremely strong resistance confluence, marked as "Liquidity strong" on the chart. This is the 0.5 Fibonacci level, the "golden" retracement point of the entire previous decline. This is the old support zone now turned into new resistance. Optimal Scenario: We will wait for the price to pull back to test the $4195 liquidity zone. This is an opportunity for Sellers to enter the market with low risk and high profit potential. 🎯 TRADING PLAN (SELL SETUP) Absolute priority is to Watch for Selling (Sell) in line with the main trend. ENTRY (Sell): $4195 STOP LOSS: $4205 TAKE PROFIT: TP1: $4168-TP2: $4145-TP3: $4122-TP4: $4102 SUMMARY In the context of the market awaiting FOMC news, Gold is likely to make a final "pullback" to the $4195 zone before continuing its downtrend. Be patient and wait for signals at this ideal sell zone. Wishing traders a successful and disciplined new trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave..LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave, Short-term Sell at 4028 Hello traders, Gold has had an impressive growth week, but as prices hit new highs, the risk of correction always increases. Let's examine this week's Gold scenario based on wave analysis and market liquidity. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart H4 – XAUUSD) Based on the H4 chart, Gold (GOLD) seems to have completed the Push Wave 5 (Elliott Wave 5) in the current uptrend cycle, reaching strong resistance around 4050–4060. Current Structure: The price is within a sustainable Uptrend Channel. The 4050–4060 range is a significant resistance where selling pressure may emerge. An ABC correction wave scenario appears after completing Wave 5. Key Liquidity Zones: Potential Resistance Zone (Sell Wave C): Around 4028–4033 (Price area to watch for the reaction of the final Wave C). Confirmed Drop Support Zone: 3972 (Critical price area confirming if selling pressure is strong enough). Attractive Buy Zone: 3976 (Temporary liquidity if price corrects, waiting for Breakout confirmation). Long-term Buy Zone (POC Buy): ~3850 (Price area with a huge Volume Profile, ideal for long-term buy orders). 🎯 New Week Trading Scenario 📉 Short-term Sell This scenario is based on the expectation of an ABC correction wave starting from the resistance zone. 📍 Entry: 4033 🛑 SL: 4040 (Very tight SL, suitable for short-term Sell strategy at the wave peak) 🎯 TP: 3976 → 3943 → POC (~3850) 📈 Long-term Buy This setup waits for a correction to lower liquidity zones to enter Buy orders with optimal R:R ratio. 📍 Entry: 3976 (Temporary liquidity buy zone) 🛑 SL: 3970 🎯 TP: 4040 → 4090 → 4150 🛑 Failure Scenario (Wait for Breakout Confirmation) If the price breaks the 4060 peak and creates a new ATH (All-Time High), the ABC wave scenario will fail. Action: Continue to prioritize Buying. The best entry is to wait for the price to retest the broken liquidity zone (Breakout Retest) around 3976. 🧭 Fundamental & Long-term Analysis Macroeconomic Sentiment: The Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) forecasts Gold to rise to $4,500 in the next two years, bolstered by long-term inflation concerns. This confirms the long-term uptrend of Gold remains intact. US Dollar Impact (USD): The traditional view is that USD rises as investors seek liquidity during market stress. However, Gold's rise alongside USD shows the market prioritizes gold as an inflation hedge rather than just a safe haven. Long-term Strategy: The buy zone at POC (~3850) according to Volume Profile is extremely suitable. Large liquidity here will help traders enter optimal orders and hold long-term, leveraging the pressure from the Seller's Liquidity to push prices up. 📌 Conclusion Gold is at a critical crossroads. Although the long-term trend is up, the short-term correction risk (ABC Wave) at the 4028–4033 zone is very high. Priority: Watch for short-term sells at the resistance zone with a tight SL. Safe strategy: Wait to Buy at liquidity support zones like 3976 or POC (~3850) to optimize risk/reward (R:R). I will continue to update Gold scenarios daily with insights from 8 years of trading experience. 👉 Follow me to not miss important updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
CHF/JPY Builds Momentum for Next Wave HigherThe CHF/JPY 1-hour chart shows a completed wave (1) near the 191.17 level, confirming a strong bullish impulse after a previous decline. The pair is now entering a wave (2) corrective phase, which is likely to retrace toward the 188.7–189.0 support zone before resuming the next upward move. This pullback appears to be a healthy correction within the broader uptrend. Once the correction is complete, wave (3) is expected to begin, targeting levels above 193.0 . The overall market structure remains bullish, suggesting that any short-term dips could offer potential buying opportunities for traders waiting for the next impulsive rally Stay tuned @Money_Dictators Thank you.
Long
by Money_Dictators
LiamTrading – Gold: Wave 5 isn't over yet...Gold: Wave 5 isn't over yet, awaiting ABC corrective wave According to Elliott Wave perspective, gold is currently in wave 5 and no clear reversal signals have appeared. Once wave 5 is completed, a reasonable scenario would be entering the ABC corrective phase. Technical Analysis The current price range remains in an uptrend, supported by the medium-term trendline. Key resistance – support zones are identified based on Fibonacci, Volume Profile, and strong psychological levels. RSI indicates gold is approaching the overbought region, hence short-term Sell orders (scalping) around the peak area might offer an advantage. Trading Plan Reference Sell: 3840 – 3842, SL 3846. This is a strong resistance zone, prioritise scalping if the downward reaction lacks strength. Buy: 3783 – 3785, SL 3779, TP 3800 – 3818 – 3838. Large liquidity Buy: 3740, SL 3733, expecting a strong reaction from this area due to previous accumulation volume. Important Note Early in the week, there are often numerous political – economic news causing noise, which might unexpectedly push gold up. The resistance zones 3840–3850 are strong psychological levels, observe reactions before making decisions. For short-term trading, adhere closely to the plan, while flexibly adjusting when price paths change to maintain an advantage. In summary, wave 5 is still developing and trading opportunities mainly focus on key resistance – support zones. Traders need to manage risks well, patiently wait for confirmation, and remain flexible to adapt to fluctuations. The DXY index fell around 97.95 on Monday, extending the decline into the second session as the risk of a US government shutdown weakens market sentiment and investors await a series of important economic data to be released this week. Wishing you successful trading, follow me and the trading community!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1: Adjustment structure formed, awaiting confirmation below 3685 After the surge to 375x, gold is entering a correction phase in line with the structural pattern. On H1, the price clings to the upper edge of the rising wedge, with RSI cooling off from overbought levels, indicating that supply pressure is starting to dominate. Today's plan focuses on the adjustment structure, prioritising selling upon confirmation signals. Key price zones (as per the attached chart) Sell strong resistance 3775–3785: confluence of channel top + 2.618 extension. Look for weakening reactions to initiate short/medium-term sell orders. Buy zone volume 3726–3720: a thin support area providing momentum for a rebound. Holding this zone could push the price to retest 3750–3775; conversely, losing 3720 may lead to a deeper decline. Resistance + FVG 3715–3698: as the price drops, this area turns into supply; a failed retest here is an early signal for further decline. Confirm sell 3688–3685: closing H1 below this zone confirms a short-term downtrend, targeting a lower buy zone. BuyZone 3652–3646: confluence of channel bottom + old liquidity, expecting a strong bullish reaction if revisited. Reference trading scenarios (adhering to risk management) Sell reaction at peak: 3778–3783, SL 3792, TP 3755 → 3738 → 3722. Sell on confirmation: wait for H1 to close below 3685, enter sell 3684–3682, SL 3696, TP 3673 → 3656 → 3648. Buy scalp by volume: 3726–3720, SL 3715, TP 3738 → 3750 (only short-term if the larger structure remains corrective). Buy swing at strong zone: 3652–3646, SL 3639, TP 3673 → 3698 → 3712 → 3740. Operational notes Prioritise waiting for rejection/closing signals at the mentioned zones; avoid chasing orders in between. Order volume should be allocated according to confirmation levels (confirmation zone < breakdown < failed retest). Avoid excessive leverage; adjust SL according to structure when in profit. This is a personal perspective, not an investment recommendation. If you want the quickest updates on the next XAUUSD scenarios, follow me and join my community for discussions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – Long-Term Trend for XAUUSD is Taking ShapeGold continues its robust upward momentum, currently trading around 3,680 – 3,685. After a series of consecutive bullish candles, the price is showing signs of consolidation and slight adjustment, paving the way for crucial scenarios in the upcoming phase. Technical Analysis On the Daily chart, the RSI has surpassed the 70 mark, indicating an overbought condition. This is often an early warning sign for a potential correction. The price structure suggests that the FVG zone of 3,630 – 3,600 will be the first observation point if a short-term correction occurs. A stronger support zone lies at 3,510 – 3,475, coinciding with Fibonacci levels 0.5 – 0.382, and also the previous resistance area that has been broken. This is considered a potential long-term 'Buy zone'. If the correction completes, gold has the potential to return to its upward trend with a further target around 3,800 (Fibonacci extension levels 2.618 – 3.618). Trading Scenarios Short-term: Monitor the reaction at 3,630 – 3,600. If it holds, there might be a short recovery. The price area around 3552-3562 should be watched for reactions. Medium-term: Wait for the price to test the 3,500 – 3,475 zone to find more sustainable buying opportunities. Long-term: The major trend still leans towards an increase, with an expected target towards 3,800. This is my personal view on XAUUSD, and you can consider it to build your own plan. If you find it useful, follow me for the latest updates on gold's upcoming scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate CutXAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate Cut Hello fellow traders, The most anticipated event of September is now clear: the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the first reduction this year. Market expectations also indicate the possibility of another 50 basis points cut in the upcoming meeting. In his speech, Chairman Powell highlighted the “dual risk” – inflation could rise further while employment shows signs of weakness. Technical View Gold has formed an H1 candle closing below the rising price channel, signalling a possible violation of the medium-term uptrend. The buying side failed to maintain momentum after the rate cut news, showing caution in entering at elevated price levels. Medium-term investors may consider waiting for a lower price to enter fresh longs. However, the downside is not fully confirmed, as price is still hovering around the ascending trendline → selling directly at current levels still carries certain risks. Trading Scenarios Sell Strategy Scalping: 3676 – 3678 | SL: 3683 | TP: 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628 (Stop loss can be moved to breakeven if price reacts well, to hold positions longer). Sell Zone: 3697 – 3700 | SL: 3705 | TP: 3680 – 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628 Buy Strategy Scalping: 3634 – 3636 | SL: 3629 | TP: 3645 – 3660 – 3672 Buy Zone: 3600 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3633 – 3645 – 3660 – 3675 (extended) Conclusion Gold is currently in a sensitive phase after the Fed’s decision to cut rates. Traders must watch price action carefully around major support and resistance levels to confirm a clearer direction. Stay tuned to this outlook — I will continue to provide updates as the market structure evolves. Follow along to receive the fastest scenario changes as price action develops.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital