Elliotwaveanalysis
MCX Natural Gas – Elliott Wave projectionNatural gas has completed the impulsive cycle at 801 and started collapsing to form the corrective process. In this corrective cycle, the price has accomplished the corrective wave B and started constructing wave C of normal zigzag correction.
There are two reversal points for natural gas:
1) Wave C can occur near wave (4)
2) wave C can accomplish its corrective cycle at 219.8 where wave A=C.
If the price sustains below the lower band of the channel, traders can expect the following targets: 288 – 275 – 267 . According to Elliott waves, correction can occur near wave (4) of the previous cycle. I already mentioned expected reversal points.
Elliotical Approach to US30 Short.Hello traders!
1. We see a 5-wave descent of US30 market. This is the beginning of the downtrend that has been expected since our first analysis on 9th January . Ideas attached.
2. The invalidation level is very far. If someone hasn't taken the initial trade on 16th January, best wait for a trade with a better risk reward. Those already in this trade since 16th Jaunuary could risk some for a larger profit. Extensive risk management advised as the protective stop will be very far.
3. At present, there are two variations in count that seem possible. The ABC correction that we see can be wave A of Wave (i) or Wave (ii) itself. More unfolding of the markets required.
4. We have an important resistance zone at 33400-33500 .
5. There is a 38.2 percent retracement level.
6. Even though the market is bearish, we can expect a longer, more complex correction because the market has shown a quick fall of over 1300 points. But, at the same time, not a very deep correction as the bulls have already pushed the market enough for a long time now.
7. Use of Elliotically correct protective stops is advised.
Do use proper risk management.
Happy Trading!
Profits,
Market's Mechanic.
Time and Growth percentage of different waves.Hello Traders!
We recently saw the market analysis of Nifty50 using Elliot wave theory. Elliot wave theory can be very accurate when it comes to the market. You can get the analysis wrong, but if you apply the theory correctly, it can help you in more ways than one .
1. As we see on the chart, Wave 1 and Wave 3 were completed in 62 days each . This is not just a coincidence but an actual observation in Elliot Waves where impulsive waves tend to be in equality or in ratio when it comes to time taken to complete each wave. Since, Wave 1 and Wave 3 took 62 days each, it's very probable that Wave 5 will also take 62 days to complete, i.e., 16th March 2023.
Now, the question might be, how does this help? As traders, we now know that we have to look for long positions till 16th March 2023 . We know the trend. Trading against the trend is fun, but only when you have enough to lose a little.
We also know that the downtrend will begin after 16th March 2023 and hence, we will look for shorting positions thereon.
Isn't the date a bit too convenient? Why is Mid-March so hyped ?
2. Let's come to Growth percentage. The market grew around 18% in Wave 1 and around 12% in Wave 3 . This gives us a ratio of 1.5 and that gives us a value of around 8% for Wave 5 . The Nifty50 market will grow 8% which gives us a target of 19200-19300 for Wave 5, again . When dealing with Elliot Waves, we put the most number of 'coincidences' possible in one single bag and then go for the bag. Just too many reasons to expect a good, nice fall from 19200-19300 for a very trending market.
3. Previous analysis attached. Do refer if needed.
The world moves in harmony. And so do the markets. All they need is an observer. Be one.
Happy observing!
Profits,
Market's Mechanic.
RECOVERY IN IT SECTOR?? NOT SOON...The IT sector had a wonderful bull run post-Covid giving 250% returns and the sector has been correcting ever since January 2021.
As per Elliot wave analysis, the sector probably has started the 5th corrective wave.
This wave is likely to end by March-April.
A good time to invest in this sector will be before the next quarter's results.
My Elliotical Approach to EURUSD Short.Hello traders! I came up with this trading idea on January 2 2023 itself and will be attaching the link for the same as well. I was just waiting for the market to give us a better picture. As you can see on the chart, various guidelines point out the yellow zone to be a strong selling point with target levels at Wave 4 end(50% fib). We just have to wait for some price action to develop in the zone and from there on we can go short on EURUSD.
Thank you for viewing!
Profits,
Market's Mechanic.
My Elliotical Approach to XAUUSD Short.
Hello traders!
1. I see a clear 5 wave impulsive structure and then a correction to 88.6% Fib . This is important as most 2nd waves tend to move till 78.6% to 88.6% Fib.
2. We also have a confirmation of a double top candle pattern in 30min tf.
3. The expected target can reach 161% of wave 1 and 2 after using trend based Fib extension. This is because most 3rd waves tend to go till 161% of wave 1.
Do use proper risk management.
Happy Trading!
Profits,
Market's Mechanic.
My Elliotical Approach to US30 Short.On the daily TF, I see a complex correction in the form of WXY. According to guidelines, the expected target of a C wave is 161.8% of A wave of an expanded flat. The same expanded flat is expected in the Y wave. That sets the target of C wave at 25500 which also happens to be 61.8% of the prior bull wave. We do still have to wait for confirmation of the wave 2 of C wave. Happy trading!
#banknifty :- Weekly view (Week starting 9th Jan'23)#banknifty :- Weekly view (Week starting 9th Jan'23)
Looks like the complex correction in the 4th wave is in progress, last 2 days of fall were an impulse, which will be followed by the ABC correction, which gives a target of 42,928 on the upside.
Regards,
SG
BankNifty - The Last Move / Idea for 2022Disclaimer
There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns.
Wishing You All A Happy & Prosperous New Year 2023 !!!
Short Video on Bank Nifty - The last move or idea for year 2022.
Last Price - 43115
Trading Strategy
Plan A - Important Support Zone 42900-43000
Index taking support close to this zone, we expect upside bounce 43500-43600 zone
Plan B - Important Resistance Zone 43500-43600
Kindly do your due diligence, If Index halts in 43500-43600 or close by zone upside, we expect downside move back into 42900-43000 zone
Plan C - Breaking Support Zone 42900-43000 & Holding below
Index while returning back if breaks 42900-43000 then we expect 42500 downside
Plan D- Critical Support Zone 42400-42500 if breached on downside
Falling below 42400-42500, It can attempt 41597 where we started our idea published on 23rd & 26th Dec 2022
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Last Ideas Published
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23rd Dec 2022 - Ending Diagonal Idea at bottoms of 41600
26th Dec 2022 - Bears, Bulls & Bounce 500+ Points
Dollar Index - The Last PushDXY has a 5 wave decline on Weekly charts & Wave 5 have formed a ending diagonal today's push could mean end of Wave A so now a 3 wave or 7 wave pullback can take us back to 110 levels confirmation will be Weekly close above 105.35 (40 WEMA Red Line) & this bounce in $ should see some selloff in Commodity & Equity.
USDINR multi time frame aligned Elliott wave counts analysisUSDINR possible and aligned Elliott wave structure of multi time frames from monthly to hourly.
Monthly chart
Weekly chart
Daily chart
4 Hourly chart
1 Hourly chart
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Nifty Wave Count HourlyNifty has either completed Wave Y or wave 3 of Y both the counts have implication for a down move now if we decline in 5 waves or 3 waves next towards 17600-17430 area will decide how should we mark this decline.
Nifty should be heading towards retest of larger channel towards 18125 area but as it could be wave 4 of Y we could form a sideways triangle in this holiday week before starting next leg down.






















