SOLANA Expected move (SMC)The recent increase in cryptocurrency has resulted in a bullish trend persisting for several days now. By examining the 1-hour chart of SOLANA, we identify an area of high demand where we can strategically plan a long trade. To ensure greater certainty, we can transition to a shorter time frame after addressing the Order Block and carefully evaluating CHoCH.
Smart Money Concepts.
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
A Bearish Outlook on ETHUSDT Amidst Technical WeaknessA bearish view on ETH/USDT (Ethereum to Tether) means that the market participants or analysts anticipate a decline in the value of Ethereum relative to Tether. Here are some factors that might contribute to a bearish outlook:
Technical Analysis:
Chart Patterns: Traders often use technical analysis to identify patterns, trendlines, and other indicators that suggest a potential downward movement.
Moving Averages: A bearish crossover of short-term moving averages below long-term moving averages could signal a negative trend.
Market Sentiment:
Negative News: Adverse news about Ethereum, such as regulatory developments, security concerns, or technological issues, can lead to a bearish sentiment.
Investor Sentiment: Monitoring sentiment indicators, such as social media discussions or surveys, can provide insights into market sentiment.
Fundamental Analysis:
Market Fundamentals: Negative developments in the Ethereum ecosystem, such as issues with smart contracts, scalability challenges, or changes in the development team, could impact the market negatively.
Economic Factors: Economic indicators, such as inflation or interest rate changes, can influence the value of cryptocurrencies.
Market Dynamics:
Trading Volume: A decrease in trading volume, especially during a price decline, may indicate weakening demand and potential for further downward movement.
Liquidity: Low liquidity in the market can amplify price movements, making it easier for the market to experience rapid declines.
Global Economic Factors:
Macro-Economic Trends: Economic events on a global scale, such as geopolitical tensions or financial crises, can impact the entire cryptocurrency market.
Remember that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and predictions can be challenging. It's crucial to conduct thorough research and consider multiple factors before forming any trading decisions. Additionally, consulting with financial professionals and keeping up with the latest news can help you make more informed decisions based on the most recent information.
Mastering the Art of Diamond Pattern Trading in Crypto and StockWhat is a Diamond Pattern?
The diamond pattern is a unique formation characterized by two converging trend lines, creating a pattern that resembles a diamond or kite. Within this pattern, price movements oscillate, presenting traders with an opportunity to make informed decisions. However, to successfully navigate the diamond pattern, you need to understand its nuances and follow a disciplined trading strategy.
Trading the Diamond Pattern: A Step-by-Step Approach
1. Identifying the Pattern
The first step in diamond pattern trading is identifying the pattern on the price chart. Pay close attention to two converging trend lines between which prices fluctuate. This visual cue is crucial for decision-making.
2. Determining the Trend Direction
Once you've identified the diamond pattern, the next step is to determine the direction of the trend. The diamond pattern's context within the existing trend is essential:
If the diamond pattern forms during an uptrend, it is considered a bearish pattern. This suggests a potential reversal.
If it forms during a downtrend, it indicates a bullish reversal pattern.
3. Opening the Trade
After determining the trend direction, wait for a breakout from the diamond pattern to confirm your trade's direction. Your actions will differ depending on the type of pattern:
For a bearish reversal pattern, open a short trade as soon as the price breaks below the lower trend line.
For a bullish reversal pattern, open a long trade when the price breaks above the upper trend line.
4. Setting a Stop Loss
To limit potential losses, it's essential to set a stop loss order. For a long trade, place your stop loss just below the low of the breakout candle. For a short trade, position your stop loss just above the high of the breakout candle. This ensures that you are protected if the trade goes against your expectations.
5. Setting the Target
Determining the target for a diamond pattern trade is critical for managing your risk-reward ratio. The target can be calculated by measuring the height of the diamond pattern, from the highest to the lowest point, and adding this distance to the breakout point. Remember, the target can be adjusted to align with your risk tolerance and trading style.
6. Managing the Trade
As the trade unfolds, closely monitor price action and adjust your stop loss and take profit orders accordingly. If the trade is moving in your favor, consider taking partial profits or tightening your stop loss to lock in gains.
7. Avoiding False Breakouts
Diamond patterns are susceptible to false breakouts, where the price briefly exits the pattern but then quickly retraces. To minimize this risk, wait for the price to close outside the pattern before entering the trade. This extra confirmation can significantly improve your success rate.
8. Trading with Proper Risk Management
Just like any trading strategy, risk management is paramount. Only risk a small percentage of your trading account on each trade, and never invest more than you can afford to lose. Always use stop loss orders to protect your capital.
Additional Tips for Trading the Diamond Pattern
- Confirm with Other Indicators
While the diamond pattern can be a reliable signal, it's wise to confirm it with other technical indicators, such as moving averages, momentum indicators, or volume indicators. Seek additional signals that support the breakout direction.
- Pay Attention to Multiple Time Frames
To enhance your trade's probability of success, look for the diamond pattern on various time frames, including daily, weekly, and monthly charts. Trade only when it aligns with the larger trend, increasing your chances of a winning trade.
- Be Patient
Diamond patterns take time to develop fully. Rushing into a trade before the pattern matures can lead to false breakouts and unnecessary losses. Exercise patience and wait for the pattern to confirm before making your move.
- Practice with a Demo Account
Before risking real capital, practice trading the diamond pattern on a demo account. This allows you to refine your strategy, identify optimal entry and exit points, and gain confidence in your trading plan.
In conclusion, mastering the diamond pattern in your trading strategy requires a combination of technical analysis skills, a disciplined approach, and a commitment to risk management. The diamond pattern can offer valuable insights into potential trend reversals or continuations, but successful trading relies on careful observation and strategic execution.
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RUNE 1W UPDATE Rune 1W Analysis:
- Rune has shown an impulsive move staggering gains of around 200-250% from our entry
- Rune currently is at a weekly supply
- Mitigation of that weekly supply can lead to a 20-50% retracement.
- IMO Rune can first pierce the weekly supply trap Buy side liquidity and then start dropping.
- Do not FOMO here rather just observe and try to be a hawk
- Rune is currently sitting at an overbought level.
- For those who are looking to accumulate Rune or want to buy wait for a 20-50% retracement from this zone around 2.3-2.6$ and start adding it to your bags so that you do not miss the next wave.
$ETH MacroTechnical Analysis:
$Ethereum is currently trading in the $1600 range, displaying resilience around its yearly pivot. Notably, it has faced rejection at this level twice, indicating a significant resistance zone.
Long-Term Investment Perspective:
For investors seeking entry points for the next bull run, a prudent approach may be to monitor the price range between $900 and $650. This range aligns with strong historical support and is often referred to as the "liquidity box." Buying within this range during market corrections can be a strategic move to accumulate CRYPTOCAP:ETH for the long term.
Short-Term Swing Trading Perspective:
Traders looking for shorter-term opportunities can keep a close watch on Ethereum's behavior around the yearly pivot. If CRYPTOCAP:ETH attempts to test this level again and faces rejection, it could present an attractive short swing trading opportunity. Careful risk management and technical analysis will be crucial in executing this trade.
Conclusion:
In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading, Ethereum offers a spectrum of opportunities. Long-term investors may consider accumulating CRYPTOCAP:ETH in the $900 - $650 range, while short-term traders can capitalize on potential reversals around the yearly pivot. As always, thorough research and a disciplined approach are essential for success in this market.
Not A Financial Advice
DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH
My Demand & Supply zone on 4H Swing Chart of EthereumTime Frame : 4H
Chart Type : High-Low
(High-Low chart type filters noise from the chart and gives us a candle with High-Low)
The resistance zone is marked on the basis of the bearish move of 13% in 10 days (13August to 22August). The price has marked a zone of 1618.50 to 1660 and now the price has further declined 5% from this zone. Now the price is at the support of the previous low of 1550.
For now we mark a support line at 1550 and as price moves we decide for our support zone with the help of High-Low chart.
Support - 1550
Resistance Zone - 1618 to 1660
Hope this helps.
Thanks
Sardar Simranjit Singh Virdi
ETH/USDT:- Bullish Momentum Building Towards 1760-1770 Levels ?In this technical analysis, we delve into the current market trends of the ETH/USDT trading pair. The Ethereum cryptocurrency has shown promising signs of bullish momentum, with key buying and selling levels identified for traders to consider.
Buying Area at 1760-1780 Levels:-
Ethereum's recent price action reveals a strong support zone between the 1760-1780 levels. Traders looking to establish long positions can consider accumulating Ethereum within this range, aiming to capitalize on potential price appreciation.
Price Targets at 1950-1960 Levels:-
The ETH/USDT pair is exhibiting a promising uptrend, with price targets set at the 1950-1960 levels. It is essential to monitor price movements closely, as a sustained breach above this range could trigger further gains.
Bullish Order Block Opportunity:-
An intriguing opportunity arises from the presence of a bullish order block at 1760-1770 levels. This block signifies a strong demand area, highlighting the potential for upward price movement. Additionally, if the market corrects itself and ETH/USDT retraces to the 1650-1680 levels, astute traders can consider this a "buy for bag" opportunity.
By staying informed about these key levels and potential opportunities, traders can position themselves for success in the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading. Follow us on Trading View for real-time updates, in-depth analyses, and actionable insights to enhance your trading journey.