BHEL - Elliott Wave Analysis Application : Expanding Wedge Disclaimer:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them?
Elliott Wave Analysis Insight
BHEL's stock movement is currently showcasing an expanding wedge or ending diagonal pattern, often seen in the final phases of a trend, such as the fifth wave or wave -C in Elliott Wave Analysis. This pattern indicates we're possibly at a critical juncture.
Today's High and Implications
Today, BHEL hit a peak at 234.45, a significant level under Elliott Wave Analysis. This point is crucial because it tests the cardinal rule that Wave 3 must not be the shortest, and Wave 3 should be equal to or greater than either Wave 1 or Wave 5. In current BHEL's case, Wave 1 surpasses Wave 3, creating a unique situation. The stock's movement above 234.45 or 235 could mean Wave 5 will also exceed Wave 3, violating the cardinal rule of Elliott wave analysis, which is not allowed.
Technical Indicators and Outlook
The RSI shows a negative divergence, indicating the recent rise to 234/235 might not have strong momentum behind it. This divergence suggests caution.
What's Next for BHEL?
If BHEL remains below the 235 resistance, we might see a retracement to 200, a key support level. A fall below 200 could lead to a further drop to 165.80, which would be critical to watch.
Conclusion
BHEL's stock is at a pivotal point, with Elliott Wave Analysis providing a unique lens to anticipate future movements. While the resistance at 235 is vital, the underlying momentum indicators suggest a potential pullback. Investors and analysts should keep a close eye on these levels for future direction.
WaveTalks... Market Whispers... Can you hear them?
Expandingendingdiagonal
DrReddy - What A Fall 5400 to 4400- What Next?As per last update suggested an hour back on previous idea mentioned below (DrReddy- Dramatic Selling from 5400)- avoid selling if stock holds or crosses back above 4400
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Trade active: 12:06 Hrs / 2nd Feb2021
Last @ 4406
Avoid sell if it holds or crosses above 4400 as later crossing above 4470 - upside Reddy will get ready for 4650-4700 target zone
Sell only below 4400 as suggested earlier.
Thanks
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Next Buy
Only Above 4670 (For Safe Traders) - Next Up move may start for targets 4650-4700 zone
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Last Idea - DrReddy- Dramatic Selling From The Tops 5400
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TataElxsi- It's Elxsi or Expanding! Bottoms Picked at 2408Recap from Last Idea-
Bottoms picked in 2400-2425 (Support Zone) suggested @ 09:46 Hrs / 25th Jan2021- continue...
Structure unfolding as expanding structure with key level- 2530 (suggested in last idea) & critical level-2408
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Trading Strategy
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Plan A -
Buy Above 2735 for 2850 & strictly above 2850 for 2950-3000 zone
Plan B -
Buy with stops below 2530 for 2735 / 2850
Plan C -
Sell once stock falls below critical level- 2408 for target 2280 / only below 2280 for 2025 / only below 2000 for 1525
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Last Idea Published @ 24th Jan2021
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NIFTY METAL INDEX GOOD SHORT CANDIDATENifty Metal index CMP :- 3200 levels.
Harmonic pattern :- Bearish butterfly pattern formation.
PRZ zone in range :- 3200-3300 levels
1.27XA = 3313,, Equivalent AB =CD matures at 3210, 2.24 BC extension around 3180 levels.
Bearish AB = CD pattern formation matures around 3210 levels..
Elliot Wave study :- Whole structure formation is in Expanding rising wedge pattern, at the moment index is trading around the resistance line of wedge pattern.
Wave 1 : First impulse wave gave 26% move from the low point
Wave 2 :- have retraced around 0.618% of wave 1
Wave 3 have extended around 2.618% of wave 1,,in % terms,, gave 60% move from low of wave 2
Wave 4 have retraced around 0.50% of wave 3
wave 5 have extended around 2% of wave 1,, in % terms,, gave 52% up move from low of wave 4.
As per harmonic index is trading in PRZ zone,, as per elliot wave impulse phase is on verge to mature,, as per wedge chart pattern index is trading around resistance line of expanding rising wedge pattern, spinning top and doji candle formation seen in last two trading sessions on daily time frame, all indicates good reversal in trend can be seen from this levels.