GOLD | Is This the FINAL Short Setup Before the Next Move? Welcome Traders!
Forget the noise — focus on structure and sentiment. Gold is holding firm near $3,950, but the macro backdrop just got tighter.
The question now: Can demand strength beat Powell’s new hawkish tone?
1. Market Insight – Powell vs. Demand
Two forces are pulling Gold in opposite directions:
🐻 Bearish Catalyst:
Powell hinted that another rate cut in December is unlikely, and the Fed plans to continue balance sheet reduction — strengthening the USD and weighing on non-yielding assets like Gold.
🐂 Bullish Support:
Persistent central bank demand and ETF inflows continue to provide a safety net, tightening overall Gold supply.
🎯 Outlook:
Expect sideways compression before a potential breakout. We’re stalking the strategic Sell Zone to align with the bearish fundamentals.
📊 2. Structure Check – Where Bears Wait
The market is approaching a major confluence zone:
SELL LIMIT Zone: $4,057 — intersection of the descending trendline and key horizontal resistance.
Immediate Support: $4,005 — target for the first leg down.
3. Action Plan – The Short Sniper Setup
Entry: SELL LIMIT $4,057
Stop-Loss: just above the descending trendline
TP1: $4,005 (short-term support retest)
Extended Target: $3,938 if breakdown accelerat
Powell’s hawkish tone is clear — but will bears finally take control from $4,057$, or will central bank demand defend the rally?
Fibomatrix
GOLD DIP ALERT! Sniping the $3,89x FIBO Floor Ahead of FOMC!FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Quick Insight (H1/M30 Focus)
Welcome Traders! Gold paused its sell-off near $4,065 as safe-haven demand returned pre-FOMC. Dovish Fed expectations are weakening the USD, setting the stage for a major rally. This is the final BUY ON DIPS setup!
🧠 INSIGHT & LOGIC
Fundamental Anchor: Weak US inflation and strong expectations for a Fed rate cut are the key drivers limiting downside. Long-term bias is Bullish.
Technical Focus: We are tracking the final deep correction to the $3,89x zone (Fibo 1.5 - 1.618 Extension). This is the ultimate technical floor for the ATH rally.
Action Plan: WAIT for the price to hit this extreme zone and confirm reversal (H1/M30).
🎯 KEY ACTION ZONES
🔥 CRITICAL BUY: $3,89x region ($3,881.435$).
Strategy: BUY on confirmation here.
TP TARGET 1: $4,037.647 (Immediate Resistance).
TP TARGET 2: $4,232.374 (Major Structural Resistance).
SL MANDATE: Place SL safely below the 1.618 Fibo zone.
Patience is key. Do NOT rush the entry! Is the $3,89x$ floor strong enough for the ATH rally? 👇
$4,005 BROKEN! GOLD READY FOR CPI COLLAPSEFranCi$$_FiboMatrix Emergency Action Plan (H1 Focus)
Welcome Traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has attracted sellers and is now trading below $4,100. With the US CPI release looming, the DOWNSIDE BREAKDOWN is our highest conviction scenario!
1. Market Snapshot
Current State: Gold is consolidating in a Sideway Zone between $4,159 (Resistance) and $4,005 (Critical Support).
Pressure: The recent break below $4,100$ and the recovering USD are key bearish factors.
The Catalyst: US CPI today. A hot inflation print will fuel the USD and shatter the $4,005$ floor.
Dominant Risk: Break below $4,005.438$ confirms the major bearish trend targeting $3,889$.
2. MAIN TRADING PLAN: Breakdown Scenario (SHORT) 💰
We are setting the trap to execute the SELL trade immediately upon the decisive breach of the $4,005$ Support.
Activate SHORT: Breakdown below $4,005.438$. (Wait for H1 close confirmation).
STOP-LOSS (SL): $4,159.686$. Placed safely above the Sideway Resistance.
TAKE-PROFIT 1 (TP1): $3,938.128 (Fibo Target).
TAKE-PROFIT 2 (TP2): $3,889.330 (Ultimate Structural Target).
3. Contingency Scenario (LONG) ⬆️
Activate LONG: Only if Gold decisively breaks $4,159.686$ (Breakout Zone) and targets $4,237.334.
Note: High-risk counter-trend trade, likely requiring a major negative surprise from the CPI report.
Community Interaction 🚀
The CPI is coming! Will the data be hot enough to smash $4,005$? Or is the Sideway Zone here to stay?
Drop your priority scenario NOW! 👇
SELLOFF IMMINENT GOLD TRAPP Final Warning Before $4000 COLLAPSEWelcome Traders! The Gold market (XAU/USD) is tightly constrained, and the pressure from the USD, combined with the technical breakdown risk, makes the SHORT scenario our highest conviction trade!
1. Sharp Technical Analysis
The H1 chart confirms a Bearish Consolidation structure after the steep drop from $4,370$. The price is locked in a high-stakes "No-Trade Zone".
Dominant Trend: BEARISH (following the breakdown of the Double Top pattern at $4,100$).
Consolidation Range (No-Trade Zone): Price is squeezed between $4,005 (Support) and $4,159 (Resistance).
Bear Flag Warning: A highly probable Bear Flag pattern is forming, suggesting an explosive downside move upon breakout.
Action Mandate: WAIT FOR THE BREAKDOWN CONFIRMATION!
2. Fundamental Analysis: USD Fueling the Drop
USD Strength: The USD sustained its upward momentum, increasing the burden on Gold. While a slight pullback occurred at the US open, the overall positive USD momentum remains a significant bearish factor.
Impact: Consistent USD demand makes a decisive break above $4,159$ highly unlikely. This heavily favors the scenario where Gold breaches the critical $4,000$ support.
3. MAIN TRADING PLAN: Breakdown Scenario (SHORT)
We are setting the trap to execute the SELL trade immediately upon the decisive breach of the $4,005$ Support.
Activate SHORT: Breakdown below $4,005$. Confirm with an H1 candle closing decisively beneath this level.
STOP-LOSS (SL): $4,159$. Placed safely above the No-Trade Zone Resistance.
TAKE-PROFIT 1 (TP1): $3,955.772. The next structural support target.
TAKE-PROFIT 2 (TP2): $3,889.251. The final objective, aligning with the larger pattern target.
Contingency Scenario (LONG)
Activate LONG: ONLY if Gold decisively breaks $4,159$ (Breakout Zone) and targets $4,332.127.
Note: This is a counter-trend, high-risk trade requiring massive news to justify.
Community Interaction 🚀
Are you ready for the break? Will Gold collapse to $3,889$ or surprise us with a break of $4,159$?
Drop your priority scenario NOW! 👇
GOLD PULLBACK: $4330 SLIDE! Sniping the Fibo BUY Zone🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: USD Stability Triggers Profit-Taking
Gold is extending its corrective slide from the all-time high zone, hitting around $4,331 - $4,330.
Primary Headwind: The US Dollar (USD) attracted buyers for three consecutive days, causing stability which triggered profit-taking in the overbought Gold market.
Long-Term Support: DXY trades slightly negatively due to the US government shutdown and trade tensions, keeping the long-term bullish outlook intact.
Technical Bias: The market is in a deep correction/profit-taking phase. Our focus is strictly on finding the FIBO BUY REACT ZONES to join the underlying bullish trend. DO NOT CHASE THE SELL MOVE.
📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels
Based on the current corrective structure and the Fibo/Volume zones defined on image_ddd575.png, we have our strategic levels:
1. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES):
These are current resistance areas for short-term rejection or supply zone testing:
REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 4340 - 4320: Current resistance. Look for a SCALP SELL opportunity if the price rejects this zone.
REACTION SELL ZONE - Big Volume for Sell Side 435x: Major supply/liquidity zone if price attempts a deeper retracement.
2. Strategic BUY Zones (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE):
These are the most critical Fibo support zones for initiating Long entries:
REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4270 - 4265: The first crucial Fibo Retracement support.
REACTION BUY ZONE - Big Volume For Buy Side 4230 - 4220: The high-volume demand zone and optimal entry point for the major Long trade.
📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN
Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Wait for the price to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4270 - 4265 or 4230 - 4220.
Long Entry: Execute the BUY entry only upon confirmed reversal candles (H1/M30/M15).
Scalp SELL Action: If the price strongly rejects the 4340 - 4320 zone, a quick SCALP SELL targeting the nearest BUY ZONE can be considered.
Targets (TP): Aim for the highs and the 435x Sell Zone for the Longs.
⚠️ Risk Warning
Risk Management: Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE. DO NOT OVERLEVERAGE in this corrective phase.
Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!




