DXY – TRADES | MTF ANALYSE | KW48In today's post I present relevant marks of the DXY for the next week, which could support the one or the other, in their own analysis.
= the technical analysis approaches, are shown in individual images in the post. So that an individual interpretation of the respective - standing alone - is possible.
= the title picture shows an example, of a possible trade. This is one of many possible setups because the current course isn`t able to take a clear direction.
PERSONAL ASSESSMENT
If you look at the price in the higher time frames, you can quickly see that "without" another correction, we have been in free fall.
Thus, an intermediate correction in the smaller time frames is long overdue and could possibly await us next week, with a rising USD / DXY.
This just announces itself with a MACD divergence, in the small-time units. This does not mean that the price must immediately react to it, however, over the next few days after a possible small sell-off, the whole thing can run in the opposite direction.
Why this is so, I explain to you in the following.
MARKET MAKERS MOVE THE PRICE .
The DXY has been in correction for 2-months and many market participants assume a further USD value decline.
And exactly there is the existing problem,
-> "many market participants" are on the USD short side.
If you look a little bit into the TRADING of the HEDGE funds and banks, you will quickly come to the conclusion that without their participation, the market will not move.
1. from the moment the price moves permanently in one direction, it is no longer interesting for large investors.
2. their opportunities to make money are very small, which is why they have to reverse the market direction or initiate a consolidation.
This in turn is due to the following reasons:
- The position sizes of these investors are too large to be executed in a normal market environment.
- For this reason, you can e.g. only build LONG positions if enough investors sell to you = go SHORT.
- Thus, when the market falls, they can build a LONG position piece by piece, without having a "visible" influence on the market.
Then, when you decide that their position size has been successfully filled, let the price go in the opposite direction.
- During the e.g. upward movement, profits are then taken piece by piece where liquidity is highest so that the market does not break away again after these profit-takings.
So that you are prepared for both scenarios (LONG / SHORT), I have carried out the analysis combined with the different time units (monthly, weekly, daily and INTRA-Day) and in the following with chart images.
The following methods are used and shown below:
- MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSIS
- TREND LINES + TREND CHANNELS
- SUPPLY&DEMAND ZONES
- FIBONACCI LEVEL
- MACD
MONTHLY TIME FRAME
WEEKLY WINDOW
DAY WINDOW
INNER DAY TIME WINDOW
4h + LONG
4h + SHORT
1h
4h Divergence - MACD - Intraday
> Feel free to discuss this in the comments and share our perspectives, I would be "burning" to hear your take on the whole thing.
If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive a review of it.
Thank you and happy trading!
Fibonaccianalysis
HDFC Bank | Inverse H&S in formation | 35% upsideNSE:HDFCBANK
Inverse Head & Shoulder under formation whose BO neckline is at 1510
Triple Bottom on Weekly Chart made on multi-year support line
CMP @1450 is bouncing from Short Term EMAs. Upside from CMP ~35%
Based on Fibonacci Next Tgts : 1558 - 1720 - 1980
SL : 1260
Time Frame : 3 to 12 Months
For Learning Purpose
Chaukhambha_Charts
HBL Power : Perfect Example of Fibonacci Levels
Good Day ,
Hello Traders,
HBL Power is one of the best dark horse, Consolidates then moves.
Fibonacci Levels are been respected perfectly as you can see the levels of 122 achieved and now it retraced a bit . Gearing up for the next level of 152.
Good candidate for Long term perspective.
Chart Self explanatory
Time Frame : Daily
Disclaimer : I am not SEBI registered analyst, this is for educational purposes.
Please trade as per your risk and do consult with your financial advisor before taking any
trading decisions..
If you really like the analysis , please do comments, LIKE and Follow me.
Divis Lab possibility of going bearish for short term.As you can see Divis Lab is on the way to downside, in minor Wave E forming a Triangle pattern.
As per EWT minutte wave (c) can travel till fibo ratio 1 or 1.2 which are also my target.
But a trader must be cautious if it breaks the invalid level of 3710, if this level breaks above all study/ Analysis will be invalid.
What is Fibonacci extension?Hey everyone! 👋
Last time we explained some of the basics to know when it comes to understanding the Fibonacci retracement tool. If you haven’t read that post, be sure to check it out here:
In this post, we are going to look at the Fibonacci extension along with a few exhibits that may help you solidify your understanding of this unique trading tool.
Please remember this is an educational post to help everyone better understand investing and trading tools. In no way are we trying to promote a particular style of trading!
Table of Contents:
1. What are Fibonacci extension levels?
2. What is the significance of extension levels?
3. How to find extension levels?
4. Difference between the Fibonacci retracement and Fibonacci extension
Without further ado, let’s jump in!
What are Fibonacci extension levels?
A Fibonacci extension is a tool that can be used to find price targets or estimate how far a price may move after the retracement/pullback is over.
Extension levels are also possible areas of interest where the price may stall or reverse.
It can be used to find projected areas of support or resistance when the price is moving into an area where other methods of finding support or resistance are not applicable or evident.
Fibonacci extension levels can be calculated to give the trader ideas on profit targets.
Significance of Fibonacci extension levels
Different traders use this tool differently but the most common usage is as follows:
Fibonacci extensions can be used for any timeframe and in any market- stocks, commodities, cryptocurrencies, etc.
Fibonacci extension levels indicate a price area that will be significant for the stock after the pullback/correction is over.
Extension levels can be drawn on different price waves over time. When levels from these different waves converge at one price, that could be a very important area.
For example , A stock may be in an uptrend. After a move up, it retraces to the 61.8% level. Then, it starts to go up again. In this case, the extension tool can be used to find the optimal targets after the price moves above the swing high level (100% level).
How to find Fibonacci extension levels?
In order to find the Fibonacci extension levels, you have to find the recent significant swing high and swing low and then plot the Fibonacci extension accordingly.
For uptrend: First, select the swing low and then the swing high. Then go to the Fibonacci settings and select reverse.
For downtrend: First, select the swing high and then the swing low. Then go to the Fibonacci settings and select reverse.
Exhibit: Fibonacci extension in an uptrend
Exhibit: Fibonacci extension in a downtrend
Difference Between Fibonacci Retracements and Fibonacci Extensions
Fibonacci retracements provide levels for a pullback whereas Fibonacci extensions provide levels in the direction of the existing trend.
For instance, a stock goes from 50 to 100 and then falls back to 75. The move from 100 to 75 is a retracement. If the price starts rallying again and goes to 150, that is an extension because the price moved past the previous swing high which is 100 in this case.
Conclusion:
Adding Fibonacci analysis with other common methods of technical analysis can be useful for adding confluence to a trade.
Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. 🙂
– Team TradingView
Feel free to check us out on Twitter and Instagram for more awesome content! 💘
What is Fibonacci retracement?If you have been in the market for some time, you may have heard of “Fibonacci retracements” . Today we are going to share an informative write-up along with a few exhibits that may help you solidify your understanding of this concept.
Table of Contents:
1. What are Fibonacci levels?
2. What is the significance of retracement levels?
3. How to find retracement levels?
4. How to use the retracement levels?
Without further ado, let’s jump in!
What are Fibonacci Retracement levels?
The retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate areas where the price could stall or reverse.
These horizontal levels can act as potential support or resistance levels.
They are based on Fibonacci numbers. Each level is associated with a percentage which means how much of a prior move the price has retraced.
The retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%.
While 50% is not a pure Fibonacci ratio, it is still used as a support and resistance. This is because people regard it as an important level.
The price won’t always bounce from these levels. They should be looked at as areas of interest. Hence, the Fibonacci retracement should be used as a confirmation tool.
Significance of Fibonacci Retracement levels
Different traders use this tool differently but the most common usage is as follows:
Place entry orders
Determine stop-loss levels
Set price targets
For example, A stock may be in an uptrend. After a move up, it retraces to the 61.8% level. Then, it starts to go up again. Since the bounce occurred at a retracement level during an uptrend, long positions can be initiated with an optimal stop loss.
Finding Fibonacci Retracement levels
In order to find the retracement levels, you have to identify the recent significant swing high and swing low and then plot the Fibonacci accordingly.
For uptrend: First, select the swing low and then the swing high.
For downtrend: First, select the swing high and then the swing low.
Exhibit: Fibonacci retracement in an uptrend
Exhibit: Fibonacci retracement in a downtrend
How to use the retracement levels?
If the price is approaching a Fibonacci level, you should look out for the following things at the point of interaction or in the vicinity of the level.
Reversal candlestick patterns
Rising volumes
Moving average
RSI divergence
Previous support/resistance level
Conclusion:
Adding Fibonacci analysis with other common methods of technical analysis can be useful for adding confluence to a trade.
Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. 🙂
– Team TradingView
Feel free to check us out on Twitter and Instagram for more awesome content! 💘