#finnifty"Good morning! As of September 18th, global market sentiment is slightly turning negative, primarily based on the performance of the Dow Jones. The market trend is moderately bullish; it may open with a slightly negative gap. After that, if it takes support around the immediate support zone, then we can expect the range market to continue rallying. However, if it breaks the immediate support level, the correction is likely to continue."
Finnifty
Finnifty weekly expiry analysis of 18/09/23.Finnifty is trading around the ATH higha and has closed near to the level. The weekly close is quite good for a bullish move as it has closed 393 point higher this week.
It has shown a U-shape recovery on the weekly charts and it might take a halt before creating a new high.
On the daily charts, it has closed 123 points higher and consolidated in a triangle.
Tomorrow is it weekly expiry and there are possibilities of a trending move as the market has consolidated in last trading session.
On 15 minute time frame, market took support from the 20 ema and closed around the level. There are supports near by and the market can reverse from the any support.
It will be wise to keep smaller target on the bearish and bullish side.
Market has stretched alot and there are possibility of market taking a halt or showing some sideways market as previous trading session.
Support :- 20420, 20360
Resistance :- 20560, 20610, 20665(ATH)
Watch for the option premiums as it is expiry tomorrow. If there is break out in the second half it can give good momentum in the premium as well as option charts.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Finnifty"Good morning! As of September 14th, there is no significant difference between the last session. Global market sentiment is neutral, based on the Dow Jones alone. The market trend is moderately bullish, and there is a possibility that the market might open with a neutral to slightly bullish gap. Structurally, we are in a ranging market, so we could wait for a breakout from this range. If the range breaks, we will set our target at the next resistance level. Otherwise, the range will likely continue."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of September 13th, global market sentiment is neutral, based on the Dow Jones alone. The market trend is moderately bullish, and there is a possibility that the market might open with a neutral to slightly bullish gap. Structurally, we are in a ranging market, so we could wait for a breakout from this range. If the range breaks, we will set our target at the next resistance level. Otherwise, the range will likely continue."
12 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on FinNifty - weekly expiry analysisBetween the last expiry and today, FinNifty has gone up an impressive 2.64% ~ 521pts. The financial services companies really took the lead this time to get Nifty out from the bearish zone.
Today might be the only day in this year wherein I did not actively trade FinNifty for expiry. The options premiums were juicy enough, but I was more attracted to the Nifty50 premiums. Although I got into FinNifty twice, I exited it both times to switch to Nifty.
Since we have consecutive expiries now and since the trader pool remains more or less constant, the best opportunities are now getting presented by liquidity or lack of liquidity. I am guessing that is going to be the new normal unless we have more people coming into markets.
FinNifty has a similar chart pattern like banknifty but has a higher gap to take out the ATHs. Also the breakout rally is not completed yet.
#finnifty"Good morning! As of September 12th, There is no significant difference between the last session. Global market sentiment is positive, based on the Dow Jones alone. The market trend is bullish, and there is a possibility that the market might open with a gap-up. If the gap-up sustains, we can expect the rally to continue with minor corrections. On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn't hold, we can anticipate a minor correction."
Finnifty weekly expiry analysis for 12/09/23.Finnifty has given a close above 20300 levels gaining 167 points higher.
On the hourly charts, the market gave a breakout after consolidating in the second half of the session and is trading above both the moving averages.
Nifty has also touched the 20k levels and now its time for other indices to form new ATH.
Tomorrow is weekly expiry and if the index take a halt it will give pain to the option buyers. It will be wise to trade the dips as the market is of buy on dip.
On 15 minute time frame, there is a support around 20250 which coincides with the 20 ema. It has closed above both the moving averages.
Support :- 20255, 20180
Resistance :- 20360, 20450
Watch the break out and only trade a confirm setup as it will be a weekly expiry.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Financials to bleed for next one yearBanknifty and nifty charts I have already shared in other posts.
This is finnifty chart on weekly time frame with my wave countings.
Finnifty completed its double correction at around 20650 mark in july itself.
The breakdown should start soon, and it will be bigger bear cycle which will continue for next 1 year (atleast, it may extend ).
No overnight longs suggested.
IF not shorting, dont go long now.
The bull part is almost over here.
Let the bear party begin.
All the best and stay alert, stay updated.
#finnifty"Good morning! As of September 11th, global market sentiment is slightly positive, based on the Dow Jones alone. The market trend is bullish, and there is a possibility that the market might open with a slight gap-up. If the gap-up sustains, we can expect the rally to continue with minor corrections. On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn't hold, we can anticipate a minor correction."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of September 8th, the global market sentiment is slightly positive, based on the Dow Jones alone. The market trend is bullish, and there is a possibility that the market might open with a slight gap-up. If the gap-up sustains, we can expect the rally to continue with minor corrections. On the other hand, if the initial market experiences sharp declines and reaches yesterday's minor high, that's a sign of a trend reversal."
Finnifty"Good morning! As of September 7th, there is no significant difference compared to the last session; the global market sentiment is negative (based on the Dow Jones alone). The market trend is moderately bullish, and the market might open with a neutral to slight gap-down. Structurally, it is a range-bound market, so we can expect some consolidation. We can anticipate a directional move after a major support or resistance level is breached."
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#finnifty"Good morning! As of September 6th, there is no significant difference compared to the last session; the global market sentiment is neutral to slightly negative (based on the Dow Jones alone). The market trend is moderately bullish, and the market might open with a neutral to slight gap-down. Structurally, it is a range-bound market, so we can expect some consolidation. We can anticipate a directional move after a major support or resistance level is breached."
05 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on FinNifty | Weekly Expiry AnalysisFinNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis
Between the last expiry and today, Finnifty has only fallen 0.21% ~ 41pts. From a headline level the fall of 1.83% ~ 365 pts and its recovery is not obvious. Moreover FinNifty has respected the support level of 19421 and is trading at a safe distance from it.
As it stands Finnifty is not showing any directional sentiment, this was the reason the options premium were very less today. In fact Nifty50 and BankNifty far OTM options had good juice today, I am assuming it would be because the liquidity was sucked out by the FinNifty expiry traders.
Finnifty"Good morning! As of September 5th, the global market sentiment is neutral to slightly negative (based on the Dow Jones alone). The market trend is moderately bullish, and the market might open with a neutral to slight gap-down. After that, if the market declines, it will reach a demand zone. Structurally, it's a major demand zone, so once the market reaches there, we can expect a pullback. Alternatively, if it breaks the demand zone, then the correction is likely to continue. On the other hand, if the initial market takes a sharp pullback, then we can expect a range-bound market. Only if it breaks the major supply zone will it turn into a bullish continuation."
Finnifty weekly expiry analysis for 05/09/23.Finnifty on the daily charts has given a grave stone doji and closed around 19800 levels.
The market after an initial selling tried to recover and slow regained some points closing only 23 points lower.
On the hourly charts, after the initial hour candle the market consolidated and closed between both the moving averages.
The gap up and gap down are taking a oppportunity. Tomorrow is finnifty weekly expiry and the market have not given a trending market on last few expiries.
On 15 minute charts, it retest the 20 ema and bounced back after the retest. There is also a cup and handle formation.
The market remained volatile and there weren't much opportunity to trade.
Support :- 19760, 19760, 19640
Resistance :- 19800, 19900
Supports are near by and market can reverse from the support. If market open flat and consolidate during the first half, second half break out can give nice profits.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
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#finnifty"Good morning! As of September 4th, the global market sentiment is neutral to slightly positive (based on the Dow Jones alone). The market trend is moderately bullish, and the market might open with a neutral to slight gap-up. After that, if the market consolidates or breaks the immediate resistance, then we can expect a rally continuation. Alternatively, if it rejects there, then we can expect a correction, but that should break the Fibonacci level of 38%. I mentioned only the gap-up variation; however, if the market takes correction without breaking yesterday's high, then we could expect a correction ranging from 38% to 50% based on the structure. This is an indication of pullback continuation. Alternatively, if the correction breaks the Fibonacci level of 50%, then we can expect correction continuation with minor pullbacks."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of September 1st, the global market sentiment is slightly negative (based on the Dow Jones alone). The market trend is bearish, and the market might open with a neutral to slightly lower gap. In my personal opinion, the market might enter into a range from yesterday's low to the Fib level of 38%. Therefore, we can anticipate a directional move after the range breaks. However, if it breaches yesterday's low, it will likely reach the next support level immediately."