Finniftyintraday
#FinniftyGood morning! As of May 22nd, the global market has shown a negative start with a moderately bearish market nature. There may be a gap-down at the beginning. After that, if it sustains, we can anticipate a range-bound market or a continuation of the correction. On the other hand, if the market sharply pulls back at the start, we can expect a continuation of the rally with minor consolidation.
Simple Trade Setup | FINNIFTY | 22-05-2023 [INTRADAY]NSE:CNXFINANCE
Flip zone: : This zone is such a zone which will work as resistance if price is below it. And it will work as support if price is trading above it.
Resistance zone: This zone will mainly work as resistance. Once price sustain above it then it is considered as breakout.
Support zone: This zone will mainly work as support. Once price sustain below it then it is considered as breakdown.
All other levels between zones are such a level that you can scalp from it , book partial/full profit and also use it as trailing SL.
Good trade setup with good Risk reward will be only if we enter from any of zone.
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Trade Setup for 22-05-2023
Most of all the levels and zones remains same as per previous.
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
#FinniftyGood morning! As of May 19th, the global market has shown a positive start with a moderately bearish market nature. There may be a gap-up at the beginning. After that, if it sustains, we can expect a pullback continuation. If it rejects in the immediate key zone, we can anticipate a range market or a correction. On the other hand, if the market declines sharply at the start, that's a sign of a correction continuation.
Finnifty 18th may (Cup pattern)finnifty forming a cup pattern and in 45 mins timeframe it's forming morning star pattern which indicates bullish trend. I would suggest to be neutral and trade accordingly with the market direction.
BUY Above 19357(FINNIFTY 19300 CE) Target 19399,19431,19465,19497
SELL Below 19212 (FINNIFTY 19150 PE) Target 19147,19089,19020
#FinniftyGood morning! As of May 18th, the global market has shown a positive start with a bearish market nature. There may be a gap-up at the beginning, and there is a possibility of a sub-wave 4th. So, if it sustains, we can expect a minor three-wave structure. After that, if it rejects in the key zone, we can expect the 5th wave on the downside. However, the minor pullback shouldn't break the fib level of 78%. On the other hand, if the market declines sharply at the start, we can expect a 5th correctional wave.
#FinniftyGood morning! As of May 17th, the global market has shown a neutral to slightly negative start with a bearish market nature. There may be a gap-down at the beginning, and there is a possibility of sub-wave three. If it sustains, we can expect a continuation of the correction with minor consolidation. On the other hand, if the market declines sharply at the start, we can expect a range market.
#Finnifty"Good morning! As of May 16th, today's sentiment remains the same with no significant difference compared to the last trading session. However, the global market has shown a positive start with a moderately bullish nature. There may be a gap-up at the beginning, and if it sustains, we can expect a continuation of the rally with minor consolidation, but it should break the immediate resistance level. On the other hand, if the market declines sharply at the start, we can expect a correction. If you want confirmation, you can use EMA20 and fib. If the market breaks EMA20 and the fib level of 38%, that's a sign of a trend reversal."
#Finnifty"Good morning! As of May 15th, there is no significant difference compared to the last trading session. The global market has shown a negative start with a moderately bullish nature. It may begin with a gap-down, and if the gap-down sustains, we can expect a correction with minor consolidation. On the other hand, if the market sharply pulls back at the start or rejects the immediate support zone, that's a sign of a range market and a pullback continuation."
#Finnifty"Good morning! As of May 11th, the global market has shown a positive start, with a moderately bullish nature. It may begin with a gap-up, and if the gap-up sustains, we can expect a continuation of the rally with minor consolidation. On the other hand, if the market declines sharply at the start or rejects the immediate resistance zone, that's a sign of a reversal. However, it should break the Fib level of 38%."
#Finnifty"Good morning. As of May 10, the global market has shown a slightly neutral to positive start, but it is currently moderately bearish in nature. It may begin with a gap-up, followed by a minor pullback (sub-wave B or 2nd wave) as per the market structure. Once it reaches its fib level, we can expect a correction (sub-wave C or 3rd wave). Alternatively, if the pullback sustains around the fib level of 78%, that's a sign of pullback continuation. On the other hand, if the market declines sharply at the start, we can expect a correction that will reach a minimum of fib level 50% and 61%."
PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 09 MAY 2023 finniftyThe real move came a little late today, from 12.45 to close wherein NSE:BANKNIFTY gave up 403pts ~ 0.93%. I was expecting the fall to come in the morning session - but the finnifty expiry trades would have limited this damage to a great extent.
For some reason Axis Bank and IndusInd bank was quite strong today counter balancing the fall in SBI. Remember the Fibonacci discussion we had yesterday - seems like its playing its part, but not until all the strike premiums got eroded on NSE:CNXFINANCE .
The late movements on the index has become a mainstay these days - it is a safe strategy for the big boys not to burn their pockets.
So today banknifty has taken out 1 support level at 43253, at 15.10 (5mts TF). All that while the markets were slowly grinding up, I was also quite surprised by the strength showed by the bulls today - with a negative sentiment prevailing they were not giving up. It took 4 red candles from 13.45 to 14.00 just to shake them.
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15mts TF has not turned bearish yet, we would need a close below 42576 for that. At any point in the next 3 sessions if NSE:BANKNIFTY is able to take out 43700 levels then the chart will look bullish. So if the bears has to do something - now is the time.
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1hr TF is shown with the FIB levels, today's reversal came at 78.6% retracement level and not at 61.8% (so my first assumption was wrong). Also the strength of the bulls were too strong that my bearish opinions were weakly held.
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Finnifty had a similar pattern to banknifty, but the support provided by HDFC in the early part of the day was quite evident. The FIB levels are exactly same for both the indices - today's reversal came exactly at the resistance zone of 19421.
From an expiry stand point, the margin requirements on finnifty options are comparatively lower giving a higher returns for the same risk vs banknifty.
Will NSE:CNXFINANCE gain more popularity than banknifty due to this??
#Finnifty"Good morning. As of May 8th, the global market has shown a slightly neutral to positive start, but the market nature is bearish. We may see a small gap-up at the start, and if it sustains, we could expect a minor pullback. If it reaches the key zone, we can expect correction continuation. Alternatively, if it sustains around the key zone, that's a sign of a range market or rally continuation. On the other hand, if the market declines sharply at the start, the correction will continue with a minor pullback."
PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 05 MAY 2023Finally some volatility to keep the bears alive. This entire week the technical analysis was saying keep buying. See how a fundamental change can alter the sentiment.
"MSCI tweaks spook HDFC twins, merged entity may see $150-200 million outflows"
The MSCI news hit just before the start of the day and NSE:HDFCBANK and HDFC were down 5% in pre-open. The biggest loser was NSE:CNXFINANCE index compared to NSE:BANKNIFTY & NSE:NIFTY during the preopen session.
Even after such bad news the other banks did hold banknifty up till 12.55 after which the banks had a near free fall.
The open was gap down, but it recovered very neatly till 10.20, there was volatility visible in CE options premium, but PE premiums were still under control. Obviously the near ATMs had huge spikes as the gapdown itself was an uncertainty in itself.
The pattern formed after 10.20 was a perfect 2 legged down-fall. The 2nd leg had a depth of 1.6% ~ 695pts. Banknifty was holding its ground near the 43253 support at the start as well as from 11.05 to 12.55. In this period of 2 hours the options premiums started decaying.
Right after the 1pm move there was a broad-based selling on other banks as well. And what it did was to ensure banknifty's fall was matching the Finnifty's percentage drop. Its true that both of them fell exactly 2.34% today. However the HDFC which fell 5.58% is just present in Finnifty.
Somehow to the naked eye I am not convinced how banknifty had an equivalent fall as finnifty. The only positive contributor to finnifty was SBILIFE which has a small weightage.
Seems like IndusInd & Federal bank which has weightages of 5.4% and 1% would have made the difference. I am still not convinced :(
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15mts TF is showing banknifty has broken 2 supports 43253, 43012 today and was stopped at 42576 support.
This is the first time in many sessions that we had a decent retracement. Since its fundamental/news driven, the technical analysis wont really work here.
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1hr shows the top formation quite clearly. The nearest support of 42576 if broken will open up a free-fall gap of 952pts till the next decent support at 41624. If that happens we can start taking bearish trades.
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Nifty50 chart pattern is not bearish even after the blip today. The nearest support is at 17976 and the next support is 3% lower at 17429. Interestingly this 3% gap between 2 SR zone is similar to banknifty as well showing a vulnerability.
If the indices can hold its ground very well we will not have a snowballing effect.
#Finnifty"Good morning, as of May 5th, the global market is showing a slight negative trend, but with a bullish sentiment. We may see a small gap-down at the start, but if the market exceeds yesterday's high, it could signal a continuation of the rally. However, if the gap-down persists and breaks below the 38% Fib level, we can expect a correction."
Finance Nifty Daily Levels Update For Option Day Trading finifty Price Action Trading Strategy with Option Chain Signals for Trading 05 May 2023
FINNIFTY SUPPORT LEVELS FOR TRADING
S1 - 19315- 30
S2 - 19245 –55
S3 - 119165-75
FINNIFTY RESISTANCE LEVELS FOR TRADING
R1 - 19470 -82
R2 - 19517 -500
R3 - 18617- 600
finnifty Trend Signal From Open Interest Analysis
PCR ratio as per Option Chain Analysis 1.37 ( Bullish )
Max Pain As per Option Chain Analysis - 19200
Major Resistance as Per Nifty Open Interest Analysis- 18500
Major Support as Per Nifty Open Interest Analysis - 18200
Trading Plan for finnifty Call Side / Long Side -
Take Long Position / Buy CALL Above 18520
Stoploss - 15 min Candle Closes Below 18500
Trading Plan for finnifty PUT Side /Short Side
Take Short Position or Buy Put Below 18470
Stoploss - 15 min Candle Closes Below 18500
#Finnifty"Today, May 4th, the global market is indicating a negative start with a moderately bullish market sentiment. It may begin with a gap-down. Structurally, there is a range-bound market, so we will wait for the range breakout. The high probability is a downside breakout, and I have given two variations, both describing sub-wave 5th. Once the 5th is finished, we could expect a minor pullback. On the other hand, if the market takes a pullback without breaking yesterday's low, that's a sign of rally continuation."
#Finnifty"Today, May 3rd, the global market is indicating a negative start with moderately bullish market sentiment. It may begin with a gap-down. After that, if the initial market takes a sharp pullback, we can expect a range market to rally consolidation. On the other hand, if the gap-down sustains, we can expect correction with minor pullbacks."
PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 02 MAY 2023Signs of tiredness visible in the price action today. To start with, never expected that our indices will close in green today, even though the momentum is slowing, it is pushing up the bulls inch by inch.
Nifty50 was having more positive price action vs banknifty today - that may be because there are 2 more resistance zones to go for Nifty50 to reclaim the ATH whereas I do not have another resistance level for banknifty.
Also the NiftyIT was providing some additional support today. If NSE:NIFTY has to go up further, the additional points has to come outside of the financial sector.
NSE:BANKNIFTY opened gap-up, but the price action formed is continuous as the first candle retested last closing level. From there we had a narrow band sideways market.
For 5h 50mts today we had a narrow traded range of 43362 to 43476. The upside was capped as the buying momentum was missing. The downside was protected as the bulls were quite strong. So literally we did not have any place to go today.
Only in the last 1 hr we had some pattern forming indicating a profit-booking or an interim top like formation. Just a minor 180pts fall from HOD. Why I say there could a bit more selling to come is mainly because the volume of credit spreads that were getting created on the call side.
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Nifty50 also had a flattish pattern and unlike the banknifty the last 1 hr selling was not visible. It was a perfect day to get into a straddle today as the opening and closing prices are near same.
Nifty50 traded in the range 18136 to 18175 today with no pressure to pick a direction.
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15mts on banknifty is still bullish pattern. And its looks like a rounded top is getting formed. We would need further trades to happen below 43253 to have a change in bias.
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1hr is still bullish and we would need a close below 42576 to have a change in bias. I do not have a resistance zone above the current levels. However it is quite unlikely that just banknifty moves up without Nifty50 crossing the 2 more resistance lines.
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NSE:CNXFINANCE expiry special.
The open was gapup same like bank nifty and the traded range was again pretty narrow. However the selling pressure in 3 candles via 14.45, 15.00 and 15.15 was quite strong.
These 3 came at a time when the options premiums were all near zero, so assuming these were un-windings of the positional trades taken for expiry.
I am starting to spend more time on finnifty for Tuesdays as its much easier to trade than just banknifty. Atleast the certainty that the options will go to zero is still there. This is more relevant now as the banknifty options premiums are at their lowest levels. Unless the volatility rises the premiums of banknifty will remain subdued.