29 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on FinNifty + Weekly AnalysisBetween the last expiry and today, FinNifty has moved up 1.4% ~ 272pts in what looked like a show of strength by the bulls. Since this came right from the trend line, the scales are now weighing for a bull run.
We have broken the falling wedge pattern and the support of 19424 looks quite impenetrable. Today was a flat day for FinNifty but the inability to drive down the prices will give some added boost to the bulls by tomorrow & 31st Aug. Already FinNifty and BankNifty have given enough clues to Nifty on a possible trend change from bearish to bullish on the 1hr and 1D time frames. Slowly but surely Nifty should follow the financial sectors to outperform unless the NiftyIT has some stories to tell. I wish to maintain a bullish stance on FinNifty till the support of 19424 holds.
Finniftyintradaylevel
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 2nd, there is no significant difference compared to the last session. The global market sentiment is slightly positive (based on the Dow Jones alone). The market trend is moderately bullish, and the market might open with a slight gap-up. Therefore, we can expect a minor pullback afterward. If the market rejects the immediate resistance zone, we can anticipate a correction. Alternatively, if the market consolidates or breaks beyond it, the pullback will likely continue. On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn't sustain and breaks the 38% Fib level, then the correction will probably persist."#nifty #banknifty #finnifty
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 28th, the global market sentiment is slightly positive (based on the Dow Jones alone). The market trend is moderately bullish, and the market might open with a slight gap-up. Therefore, we can expect a minor pullback afterward. If the market rejects the immediate resistance zone, we can anticipate a correction. Alternatively, if the market consolidates or breaks beyond it, the pullback will likely continue. On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then the correction will probably persist."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 25th, the global market sentiment is negative, based on the Dow Jones alone. The market trend is bearish, and the market might open with a long gap down. Therefore, we don't know where it will open. If the market finds support around the immediate support zone, we can expect a minimum pullback of 23% to 38%. On the other hand, if the decline sustains, then the correction will likely continue." #finnifty
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 24th, the global market sentiment is positive (based on the Dow Jones alone), and the market trend is moderately bullish. The market might open with a gap-up. If the market reaches resistance with consolidation, we can expect a minor correction. On the other hand, if the initial market experiences a sharp rally, then the rally is likely to continue with minor consolidation."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 23rd, the global market sentiment is slightly negative (based on the Dow Jones alone), while the market trend is moderately bullish. The market might open neutrally, suggesting a ranging market. If it breaks yesterday's high after the neutral opening, we can expect a pullback continuation. On the other hand, if the initial market declines, it will likely undergo a minimum 78% Fibonacci correction. After that, if it rejects around the 78% level, we can expect a pullback. Conversely, if it consolidates or breaks the 78% level, the correction is likely to continue."
22 Aug ’23 Post Mortem and Expiry Analysis on FinNifty Between the last expiry and today, FinNifty has only given up 110pts ~ 0.56%. This is not at all a bad number if you consider the bearish trend it is in. Just like banknifty, finnifty is also following a falling wedge pattern with the same descending trendline slope. The noticeable point is that the support is at 19424 and technically Finnifty is still in the wedge whereas BankNifty has fallen below the support.
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 18th, The global market sentiment is negative (based on the Dow Jones alone), while the market trend is moderately bearish. The market might start with a gap-down. After that, if the market takes a pullback around the immediate support zone, we can expect a range-bound market or a pullback continuation. If it breaks the immediate support zone, then the correction will likely continue."
#Finnifty"Good morning! As of August 17th, there isn't a significant difference from the last session. The global market sentiment is negative (based on the Dow Jones alone), while the market trend is moderately bullish. The market might start with a gap-down. After that, if the market takes a pullback around the immediate support zone, we can expect a range-bound market or a pullback continuation. If it breaks the immediate support zone, then the correction will likely continue."
#Finnifty"Good morning! As of August 16th, the global market sentiment is negative (based on the Dow Jones alone), while the market trend is moderately bullish. The market might start with a gap-down. After that, if the market takes a pullback around the immediate support zone, we can expect a minimum 38% pullback. If it breaks the immediate support zone, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the decline doesn't break yesterday's low, it might turn into a range-bound market."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 14th, the global market sentiment is neutral to slightly negative (based on the Dow Jones alone), There is no significant difference from the last session. While the market trend is bearish. Therefore, there might be a start with a minor gap-down. After that, if the market takes a pullback around the immediate support zone, we can expect a minimum 38% pullback. or if it breaks it(immediate support zone), then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the initial market shows a positive start, we can expect a ranging market."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 11th, the global market sentiment is neutral to slightly negative (based on the Dow Jones alone), while the market trend is moderately bearish. Therefore, there might be a start with a minor gap-down. After that, if the market takes a pullback around the immediate support zone, we can expect a minimum 38% pullback. or if it breaks it(immediate support zone), then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the initial market shows a positive start, we can expect a ranging market."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 10th, the global market sentiment is slightly negative (based on the Dow Jones alone), while the market trend remains moderately bullish. There is no significant difference from the last session. Therefore, whether it opens with a gap-up or down, it won't matter. If the initial market experiences sharp declines, we can anticipate a ranging market or a correction. On the other hand, if the market exceeds yesterday's high, we can expect the rally to continue with minor corrections. However, the important thing to note is that today's market has a significant event: the RBI MPC meeting at 10 am. This is a major event, and the market will likely move based on its outcome. So, it's advisable to take your position a bit more cautiously."
#Finnifty"Good morning! As of August 9th, the global market sentiment is neutral to slightly negative (based on the Dow Jones alone), while the market trend remains moderately bullish. There is no significant difference from the last session. Therefore, whether it opens with a gap-up or down, it won't matter. If the initial market experiences sharp declines, we can anticipate a ranging market. However, if it breaks the immediate support zone, the correction is more likely to continue.. On the other hand, should the market exceed yesterday's high, we can expect the rally to continue with minor corrections."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 8th, there is no significant difference compared to the last session. The global market sentiment is slightly positive (based on the Dow Jones alone), while the market trend remains moderately bullish. Therefore, whether it opens with a gap-up or down, it doesn't matter. If the initial market experiences sharp declines, we can anticipate a ranging market. On the other hand, if the market surpasses yesterday's high, we can expect a continuation of the rally with minor corrections."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 7th, the global market sentiment is slightly negative (based on the Dow Jones alone), while the market trend remains moderately bullish. Therefore, whether it opens with a gap-up or down, it doesn't matter. If the initial market experiences sharp declines, we can anticipate a ranging market.
On the other hand, if the market surpasses yesterday's high, we can expect a continuation of the rally with minor corrections."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 4th, there is no significant difference compared to the last session. However, the global market sentiment is slightly positive (based on the Dow Jones alone), and the market trend is bearish. There is a possibility of opening with a neutral to slight gap-up. Afterward, if the initial market breaks the previous day's closing price, it will reach the 38% Fib level. This level acts as a strong resistance, so there might be a rejection here. We can expect a continuation of the pullback only if the market breaks the 38% Fib level.
On the other hand, if the initial market experiences sharp declines, we can anticipate a continuation of corrections with minor pullbacks, but it should break the previous day's low."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 3rd, the global market sentiment is slightly negative (based on the Dow Jones alone), and the market trend is bearish. Therefore, whether it opens with a gap-up or down doesn't matter. If the initial market experiences sharp declines, we can anticipate a continuation of corrections with minor pullbacks (potentially breaking the previous day's low).
On the other hand, if the initial market undergoes some consolidation, there is a possibility of a 50 to 61% pullback (with the potential to break the 38% Fib level)."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of August 2nd, the global market sentiment is negative (based on Dow Jones only), and the market nature is moderately bearish. Therefore, it might begin with a minor gap-down. Following that, if the market rejects the immediate support, we can expect it to move within a range-bound structure to pullback continuation. This is because there is an ongoing sub-wave two. We can anticipate a correction only if the market breaks the swing bottom."
01 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on FinNifty and weekly analysisFinNifty Analysis
From the last expiry and today, Finnifty has fallen 197pts ~ 0.96%. We did hit an ATH of 20666 on 27th Jul and the same day we fell quite deeply. Today’s close is almost matching the intraday low set on that day.
Today’s Analysis
There was some interesting price action till 12.50 today - the fall was quite decent to watch esp after a gap up open. However the momentum was not in favor and we quickly gained back 82pts ~ 0.41% to finally close flattish. The usual volatility was missing today. Usually the trading in finnifty sucks out the liquidity from nifty and banknifty - but did not see that much activity today. Will wait for final traded contract numbers from exchange to verify this.
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Comment with your thoughts, opinion or bias, I will respond with the levels I am watching for tomorrow !
#finniftyGood morning! As of August 1st, the global market has a slightly positive sentiment (based on only Dow Jones), and the market nature is moderately bullish. Therefore, it might start with a minor gap-up. After that, if the market rejects the immediate resistance, we can expect a minor correction. On the other hand, if it breaks through, it moves your target to the next resistance level. However, if the market opens gap-down, we can expect a range-bound market. We can anticipate a correction only if it breaks the previous bottom.
#finnifty"Good morning! As of July 31st, there is no significant difference between the last session, but the global market has a neutral sentiment (based on only Dow Jones), and the market nature is bearish. Therefore, it doesn't matter if it opens gap-up or down. If the initial market takes sharp declines, we can expect correction continuation with minor pullbacks.
On the other hand, we can expect a rally only if it opens with a gap-up and sustains above the level of fib 38%. If it sustains, our next targets are 61% and 78%. Here, I mentioned a reversal structure (alternate view). If it rejects sharply around the 61% or 78%, we can expect a correction, but use the confirmation signal of (EMA20 and fib level 38%). If it breaks both signals, we can expect a correction. Otherwise, the rally might continue."
#finnifty"Good morning! As of July 27th, the global market indicates a negative start (based on only Dow Jones), and the market nature is bearish. Therefore, it doesn't matter if it opens gap-up or down; if the initial market takes sharp declines, we can expect correction continuation with minor pullbacks. On the other hand, we can expect a rally only if it opens with a gap-up and sustains above the level of fib 38%. If it sustains, our next targets are 61% and 78%. Here, I mentioned a reversal structure (alternate view). If it rejects sharply around the 61% or 78%, we can expect a correction, but use the confirmation signal of (EMA20 and fib level 38%). If it breaks both signals, we can expect a correction. Otherwise, the rally might continue."