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DXY Breakdown After Major Top – Wave v in ProgressThe DXY chart shows that the U.S. Dollar has completed a larger corrective structure and is now moving inside a new impulsive bearish phase. After forming a major top near the 110 area, the index started a clear five-wave decline, indicating strong downside momentum. The recent sideways movement looks like a corrective pause (wave iv / Y) rather than a trend reversal. As long as the price stays below the key resistance zone around 100–101, the overall structure remains bearish. This suggests the dollar is preparing for the final wave lower (wave v / 3), which could push the index toward deeper support levels. Overall, the Elliott Wave structure favours continued weakness in the U.S. Dollar in the coming months. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
TVC:DXYShort
by Money_Dictators
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Outlook - 24/12/2025XAUUSD – Gold Technical Snapshot (Intraday) Gold remains bullish across higher timeframes (Daily–Monthly). Price is trading near 4,492, close to the day’s high, with all major moving averages aligned upward. Momentum indicators support the uptrend, though overbought conditions suggest possible short-term pullbacks. Key_Levels Support: 4,480 / 4,465 Pivot: 4,495 Resistance: 4,520 → 4,550 → 4,575 Outlook & Strategy Bias stays bullish above 4,480 Buy pullbacks near support or breakouts above 4,520 Below 4,465, expect a corrective move toward 4,440–4,410 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves risk—always manage your risk and do your own research.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tradewith_ritik
USDCAD Trade Description – Liquidity Sweep + Discount Rejection USDCAD created a clean sell-side liquidity sweep below the previous low near 1.3700, taking out resting liquidity and tapping into a higher-timeframe discount zone. After the sweep, price showed a sharp rejection wick, signaling absorption of sell orders and a potential reversal. The market then broke structure to the upside on lower timeframes, confirming a shift in momentum. Price retraced back into the refinement zone / mitigation block, aligning perfectly with: ✔ Discount pricing ✔ Liquidity grab below the equal lows ✔ Rejection from a demand zone ✔ Bullish displacement following the sweep This offered a high-probability long setup with entry near the mitigation block, stop below the sweep low, and targets toward the premium zone around 1.3780–1.3800. The trade idea is based on price reverting back to its equilibrium after removing inefficient lows and collecting sell-side liquidity.
Long
by NiftyProTrader
1
XAUUSD (Gold) Intraday Outlook - 23/12/2025XAU/USD Trend: Strong Bullish Current Price: $4,491.99 Key Levels: Support: $4,486 / $4,479 Resistance: $4,497 / $4,501 / $4,508 Pivot: $4,490 Strategy: Buy on dips: $4,486–$4,479 → Target $4,497–$4,501 Breakout buy: Above $4,497 → Target $4,501–$4,508 Sell only if below $4,486 Gold remains bullish; prefer buying on dips or breakouts, keep stops tight near support. Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tradewith_ritik
NZDJPY – Imbalance + Liquidity Sweep + Mean Reversion SetupNZDJPY recently took out a major liquidity level around 90.907, sweeping the equal lows resting below that zone. This sweep created a fake breakout of structure, indicating that the downside move was engineered to capture liquidity rather than continue lower. After the liquidity grab, price immediately reversed back inside the previous range, showing rejection from the sweep level. This confirms a liquidity sweep + BOS failure, a strong signal that the market is shifting direction. Price is now correcting back toward its mean value, reacting to the inefficiencies left behind. There is a clear imbalance zone above, and price is actively rebalancing that inefficiency. Furthermore, NZDJPY has an equilibrium structure near 90.20, which acts as a magnet for price during mean reversion phases. This equilibrium zone aligns with the discounted area of the current micro-range, creating a high-probability retracement target.
Short
by NiftyProTrader
USD/CAD – Liquidity & Structure Based Short IdeaUSD/CAD has been trading inside a well-defined rising channel for a while. Price is now approaching the upper boundary of this channel, a zone where sellers have previously stepped in with strength. This area is not just resistance, it’s also a liquidity zone, where stop-losses of late buyers are resting above recent highs. Such zones often attract smart money activity before a directional move. What Price Is Telling Us: Price is currently stalling near resistance instead of expanding higher. We can observe Multiple rejections near the channel top, Overlapping candles showing loss of bullish momentum and Lack of strong follow-through despite previous volume spike. This behavior often appears before distribution or a corrective move, especially when price is trading at premium levels. If this analysis helped you, like, follow, and comment for more clean Forex breakdowns. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please manage risk responsibly.
Short
by TraderRahulPal
GBP/USD Signals Trend Shift – Impulsive Upside ExpectedThe chart shows that GBP/USD has completed a full W–X–Y corrective pattern, with the final wave (y) and its C wave forming a clean bottom near the long-term support line. From that low, price has started a strong upward move, which looks like the beginning of a new impulsive Wave 1. The current pullback toward the 0.382–0.618 Fibonacci zone is typical behavior for a Wave 2 retracement before the next strong rally. As long as the price stays above the invalidation level at 1.30094 (the wave (y) bottom), the bullish scenario remains valid. This suggests that GBP/USD is preparing for a larger Wave 3 push to the upside. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
Long
by Money_Dictators
XAUUSD (H1) – Liquidity-Based Trading XAUUSD (H1) – Liquidity-Based Trading Price has broken the channel, but buying momentum is weakening – waiting for a pullback to the trendline for entries Today’s Strategy Summary Gold has broken out of its price channel, but the key point is that buying pressure is fading after the strong acceleration. With the market approaching the holiday period and liquidity thinning, the focus is on trading at the right liquidity zones rather than chasing price or FOMO. Plan: Look for Buy opportunities on pullbacks into the trendline / old channel Look for Sell reactions at the Fibonacci liquidity zone 4474–4478 1) Key Levels Today (from the chart) ✅ BUY zones (liquidity pullback) Buy Zone 1: 4379 – 4382 SL: 4373 Buy Zone 2: 4361 – 4358 SL: 4353 These are clean liquidity areas to wait for price to retrace into – true liquidity-based trading: let price come back to reaction zones, do not chase highs. ✅ SELL zone (Fibonacci liquidity) Sell zone: 4474 – 4478 SL: 4482 This is a premium + liquidity area. If price reaches this zone and fails to hold, the probability of profit-taking or a short-term reversal is high. 2) Main Scenario: Wait for a Pullback to the Channel/Trendline to Buy After a breakout, the market often retests the old trendline or channel to confirm genuine buying strength. As buying momentum is weakening, the likelihood of choppy moves and liquidity sweeps is high. Patience is key – wait for 4379–4382, or a deeper pullback into 4361–4358. Expected targets (scalp / short swing): Capture 8–15 USD moves depending on volatility, taking partial profits as price reacts according to plan. 3) Alternative Scenario: Sell Reaction at 4474–4478 If price continues to push higher into the Fibonacci zone, priority is to Sell on reaction rather than chasing Buy entries. Only sell if there are signs of loss of momentum (long wicks, rejection, failure to close strongly above the zone). 4) News & Market Context: Thin Liquidity = Easy Sweeps With the market nearing the holiday period, liquidity is weak, increasing the chances of spikes and stop-hunts. Political and economic developments related to policy and tax matters are influencing corporate positioning, but at this stage, price is more likely to react to short-term capital flows rather than a sustainable trend. Conclusion: Today’s focus is “right zone – strict discipline”, avoiding mid-range entries and emotional trades. 5) Risk Management Risk per trade: maximum 1–2% Avoid trading when spreads widen or candles spike abnormally Which scenario do you lean towards today? A pullback to 4379 / 4361 for Buy, or a push to 4474–4478 for a Sell reaction?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD H4 – Medium-Term Outlook for the Coming WeekGold remains within a broad rising channel, but recent price action shows clear rejection at the upper trendline. For the week ahead, the focus is on a potential technical pullback, while keeping an alternative bullish scenario if the market fully accepts higher prices. PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN SCENARIO Wait for structural confirmation to sell the medium-term corrective move. Key confirmation level: a break of the trendline around 4317. Trade idea: look for confirmation below 4317 to sell the corrective leg within the rising channel. Technical context: price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel and showing rejection, a common setup before a rotation back toward lower value areas. Position management: Sell positions should be treated strictly as corrective trades within a broader uptrend. If price fails to stay below 4317 and regains bullish structure, risk should be reduced and short positions avoided. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY SCENARIO Trend continuation if price breaks to new highs and finds acceptance. Trigger condition: a clean breakout to new highs with sustained bullish momentum. Trade idea: prioritize buy setups once the market clearly accepts higher prices. Technical context: successful breakouts often lead to range expansion, making short positions unfavorable. KEY MEDIUM-TERM BUY ZONE Liquidity-based opportunity in the event of a deeper pullback. Reference buy zone: around 4220. Rationale: this area represents a major liquidity cluster and a logical zone to monitor for bullish reactions during a deeper year-end pullback. KEY TECHNICAL REASONS The dominant H4 trend remains bullish, but rejection at the upper channel increases the probability of a technical correction. The 4317 level acts as a key decision point to distinguish between a genuine pullback and temporary consolidation. The 4220 area serves as a value zone aligned with liquidity for potential trend-following buys. MACRO AND NEWS CONTEXT Recent comments have reinforced expectations of future rate cuts to address labor market risks, which remains supportive for gold in the broader context. Geopolitical developments, including discussions around the next steps in the Gaza peace process, continue to underpin safe-haven demand. However, year-end holiday conditions often result in thinner liquidity, wider spreads, and less reliable price moves, making discipline and risk control essential. RISK MANAGEMENT AND WEEKLY PLAN Avoid chasing long positions near the upper trendline of the rising channel. Only consider short positions after clear confirmation below 4317, avoiding emotional top-picking in a bullish market. If price breaks and holds above recent highs, shift focus back to trend-following buy setups. Reduce position size during the holiday week and prioritize trades around well-defined key levels rather than extended moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
2
XAUUSD (D1) – Weekly OutlookLana focuses on buying discounted zones, preparing for a possible ABC correction 💛 Quick summary Higher timeframe (Daily): The main uptrend remains intact and structurally strong Elliott Wave: Gold likely completed Wave 5, with a potential ABC corrective phase ahead to complete the cycle Liquidity: Christmas week and year-end positioning may cause thin liquidity and irregular price movements Plan: No chasing. Lana waits for price to reach key buy zones at 4250 and 4205 Market context for next week Next week’s trading activity may slow down due to the Christmas holiday and preparations for the year-end. Thinner liquidity often leads to sharp, irregular moves and liquidity sweeps. At the same time, ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to support gold, while USD weakness adds further tailwinds. Because of this, Lana prefers a zone-based approach rather than trying to predict exact tops or bottoms. Technical view on D1 On the Daily chart, gold still shows a solid bullish foundation. However, from an Elliott Wave perspective, price appears to be finishing the final impulsive wave (Wave 5). After a Wave 5 completion, a corrective ABC structure is common, allowing the market to rebalance before the next major move. For Lana, a correction is not bearish—it’s an opportunity to look for higher-probability buys at discounted levels instead of chasing price at elevated zones. Key levels Lana is watching 1) Primary buy zone: 4250 This level previously acted as a strong resistance and was decisively broken. Liquidity remains concentrated in this area, making it a favorable zone to look for buying opportunities if price pulls back. 2) Long-term buy zone: 4205 (POC from Volume Profile) This is a major Point of Control where price previously accumulated heavily. If the ABC correction extends deeper, this zone becomes a key area for longer-term positioning. Trading plan for next week (overview) Early in the week, Lana will observe lower timeframes to confirm entries. Priority is given to pullbacks toward 4250; deeper corrections may offer opportunities near 4205. With thin holiday liquidity, Lana plans to: reduce position size keep stop losses clearly defined scale out profits once price reacts from the zones Lana’s note 🌿 Holiday weeks often bring fewer clean setups but more unexpected liquidity grabs. Lana will stay patient, trade selectively, and focus only on price levels that truly make sense. This is Lana’s personal market view, not financial advice
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
How Emotions Destroy Profitable TradersHow Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders 🧠 How Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders | Trading Psychology Explained Most traders don’t fail because of strategy. They fail because they can’t control emotions. Even a profitable system becomes useless when emotions take control of decision-making. Let’s break it down 👇 😨 Fear: The Profit Killer Fear appears after losses or during volatility. What fear causes: Closing trades too early Missing high-probability setups Moving stop losses emotionally 📉 Result: Small wins, big regrets. Fear stops traders from letting probabilities play out. 😤 Greed: The Account Destroyer Greed appears after wins. What greed causes: Overleveraging Ignoring risk management Holding trades too long 📈 Traders want “more” and end up losing everything. Greed turns discipline into gambling. 😡 Revenge Trading: The Fastest Way to Blow an Account After a loss, many traders try to win it back quickly. Revenge trading leads to: Random entries No confirmations Breaking trading rules 🔥 One emotional trade often leads to many bad trades. 🤯 Overconfidence After Wins Winning streaks create false confidence. Overconfidence causes: Larger position sizes Ignoring market context Believing losses “won’t happen” Markets punish ego — always. 😴 Impatience: Silent Consistency Killer Good trades require waiting. Impatience leads to: Forcing setups Trading low-quality zones Entering without confirmation ⏳ The market rewards patience, not speed. 🧘‍♂️ How Profitable Traders Control Emotions Professional traders don’t eliminate emotions — they manage them. Key habits: Fixed risk per trade Pre-planned entries & exits Accepting losses as part of business Waiting for confirmation Trading less, not more 🧠 Discipline > Emotion 📊 Process > Outcome 📌 Final Thought If emotions control your trades, the market will control your money. Master your psychology, and your strategy will finally work. Trade the plan. Respect risk. Stay patient.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
1
XAUUSD H1 Main Trend for the Weekend Gold failed to confirm a sustainable upward momentum after yesterday's price reaction, prioritizing a short-term adjustment scenario before reassessing the trend PRIORITY SCENARIO Strategy to sell based on reactions at large volume areas, suitable for the current short-term structure Focus sell area: 4332 – 4342 Technical basis: these are areas concentrated with volume according to the Volume Profile, where price is likely to show distribution reactions after a weak recovery Expected movement: price recovers to the large volume area for distribution, then continues the adjustment phase Daily target: Heading towards the 4275 area, coinciding with the Fibonacci retracement area and underlying support Position management: Sell should only be held short-term. If the price surpasses and stabilizes above 4342, risk should be reduced and avoid holding sell orders. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO Monitor price reactions at deeper support areas to reassess trading opportunities Strong support area: around 4275 Technical context: this is the convergence area between structural support and Fibonacci retracement, likely to show defensive buying force Expected movement: if the price reacts well at this area, the market may enter a re-accumulation state MAIN REASON On H1, the previous upward phase failed to maintain a clear upward structure, indicating weakening buying force Volume Profile helps identify the 4332 – 4342 areas as advantageous entry points for the sell reaction scenario The 4275 area serves as a reasonable adjustment target in the context of a typically momentum-lacking weekend market MACRO CONTEXT AND MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK While short-term fluctuations lean towards adjustment, major institutions still maintain a positive outlook for gold in the medium and long term. Goldman Sachs forecasts gold prices could reach $4,900/oz by the end of 2026, supported by strong buying demand from central banks and positive impacts from the Fed's interest rate cut cycle. This suggests that short-term declines may be more of a technical adjustment rather than a reversal of the long-term trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
2
XAUUSD (H1) – Friday Weekend Lana prioritizes the adjustment phase towards the POC area, looking to Sell in the liquidity zone 💛 Quick Summary Context: Friday, the market often tends to take profits and sweep liquidity before the week closes Monitoring Frame: H1 Main Viewpoint: Prioritize a decrease during the day (adjustment phase) Key Point to Note: 4308 has reacted multiple times, a sensitive point in the structure Market Context The weekend is usually a time when the cash flow is “lighter” and price behavior tends to lean towards profit-taking. Therefore, an adjustment phase to gain more liquidity is the scenario Lana prioritizes today. From a medium-term perspective, some large institutions still maintain a positive view on gold. However, in intraday trading, Lana still prioritizes following the current price behavior and trading according to the liquidity zone. Technical View H1 On H1, the price is fluctuating around the accumulation zone, and the POC/VAL area indicates this is a market zone that has been “back and forth” for quite a while. When the price returns to these areas, there is usually a clear reaction. The 4308 area is noteworthy because the price has reacted multiple times, so this is a point that could determine whether the adjustment phase continues. Today's Trading Scenario Main Scenario – Sell at POC/VAL area (large liquidity) Sell: 4335 – 4340 Lana prioritizes waiting for the price to rebound to this area to sell according to the adjustment phase. This is a large liquidity zone, suitable for finding a downward reaction during the day. Alternative Scenario – Buy scalping at near support Buy: 4284 – 4289 This Buy order is only for scalping when the price hits the support area and a bounce reaction appears. If the market continues to be weak, Lana will not hold the Buy for too long. Session Notes If the price continues to be rejected around resistance areas and cannot surpass the supply zone, the adjustment scenario will have an advantage. For Friday, Lana prioritizes light trading, quick closing, avoiding holding positions too long over the weekend. Lana's Notes 🌿 Each scenario is just a probability. Lana always sets a stop loss first, chooses the appropriate volume, and is ready to skip if the price does not reach the waiting area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
2
Bank of Japan Policy Decision: Global Market Impact AnalysisBank of Japan Interest Rate Decision (December 19) Introduction : Why Japan’s Interest Rate Policy Matters Japan’s monetary policy plays a critical role in the global financial system. For decades, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained ultra-loose conditions, turning the Japanese yen into the world’s primary funding currency. Global investors borrow cheaply in JPY and deploy capital into higher-yielding assets such as equities, bonds, and cryptocurrencies. Because of this structure, even a small shift in BoJ policy can trigger large cross-market reactions. The BoJ’s interest rate decision on December 19 is therefore a high-impact macro event with potential consequences for forex, global equities, bonds, gold, and crypto markets. Scenario 1: If the Bank of Japan Raises Interest Rates A rate hike would represent a historic policy shift and signal the early stages of monetary normalization. Impact on Forex (USD/JPY & JPY Pairs) * The Japanese yen (JPY) is likely to strengthen due to improved yield appeal * USD/JPY may face strong bearish pressure * Carry trades funded in JPY could unwind rapidly, increasing volatility JPY crosses such as EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, and AUD/JPY may also decline as risk exposure is reduced. Impact on Global Equity Markets * Japanese equities: Mixed to bearish bias due to a stronger yen hurting exporters * Asian markets: Short-term weakness as financial conditions tighten * US & European equities: Increased volatility and pressure on growth stocks Overall, a rate hike may trigger a short-term global risk-off reaction driven by liquidity repricing rather than economic deterioration. Impact on Crypto Markets (Bitcoin & Altcoins) * Bitcoin: Short-term bearish pressure and higher volatility * Altcoins: Likely underperformance due to higher risk sensitivity * Macro-driven selling could create longer-term accumulation zones once volatility settles Impact on Bonds, Gold & Risk Sentiment * Bonds: Japanese and global yields may rise * Gold: Short-term pressure from higher yields, medium-term support if risk aversion increases * Risk sentiment: Shift toward defensive positioning and reduced leverage Scenario 2: If the Bank of Japan Does NOT Raise Interest Rates If rates remain unchanged, markets may view the decision as continued policy caution. Expected Market Reactions * JPY: Continued weakness * USD/JPY: Bullish continuation * Global equities & crypto: Supported by ongoing liquidity * Risk sentiment: Risk-on behaviour likely to persist Short-Term vs Medium-Term Outlook Short-Term * Rate hike: Sharp volatility, risk-off moves * No hike: Relief rally in risk assets Medium-Term * Gradual tightening allows controlled market adjustment * Continued loose policy supports assets but increases structural risks over time Markets typically shift from news reaction to trend confirmation within weeks. Educational Entry–Exit Examples (Not Financial Advice) USD/JPY (Rate Hike): * Bias: Bearish * Concept: Breakdown → pullback → continuation * Invalidation: Above recent swing high Bitcoin (No Hike): * Bias: Bullish * Concept: Pullback after impulse * Risk Note: Reduced size during news volatility US Indices: * Rate hike: Sell rallies near resistance * No hike: Buy dips in confirmed trend Conclusion: Key Takeaways for Traders The Bank of Japan’s December 19 interest rate decision is a major global liquidity event. A rate hike would favour the yen while pressuring risk assets, whereas a no-change policy would support equities, cryptocurrencies, and carry trades. Traders should prioritise volatility management, confirmation from price action, and cross-market correlations over predictions and forecasts. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Money_Dictators
XAUUSD H1 Trading with Volume Profile Ahead of CPI RiskXAUUSD H1 Trading with Volume Profile Ahead of CPI Risk Gold is slowing down as the market awaits news and liquidity is fragmented, so prioritize trading according to Volume Profile zones to choose advantageous entry points instead of chasing prices. PRIORITY SCENARIO Strategy to buy at POC and VAL zones according to Volume Profile, suitable for a medium-term perspective. Buy zone: 4314 – 4317 SL: 4307 TP: 4328 – 4345 – 4363 – 4370 Technical context: On H1, the price is accumulating and reacting around the value area. The 4314–4317 area is the POC and VAL zone, often a liquidity attraction point and likely to see buying pressure if the structure maintains support. Expected movement: Price holds the 4314–4317 zone, absorbs short-term selling pressure, then rebounds to the above TP levels. When approaching 4345, monitor reactions as this is an area prone to selling pressure. Position management: If the price quickly rises but fails to hold above 4328, consider reducing risk. If the price clearly breaks below 4307, prioritize stopping the buy scenario and wait for a deeper zone. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO Sell scalping strategy at short-term resistance zone, higher risk as the larger trend still favors buying. Sell scalping zone: 4343 – 4346 SL: 4353 TP: 4325 – 4310 – 4290 Technical context: The 4343–4346 area is a sell scalping zone on the chart, suitable for short-term trading when the price rebounds to resistance and clear rejection signals appear. Note: Sell should only be a scalping order. Do not prioritize holding long sell positions if the market is still in an accumulation phase awaiting news. MAIN REASON Volume Profile shows that POC and VAL zones are advantageous entry points during a sideways market lacking a clear trend. The 4314–4317 zone acts as a value support area for finding buy points, while 4343–4346 is suitable for sell scalping when the price rebounds to resistance. When the market awaits news, the likelihood of liquidity sweeps increases, so trading by zones will be more effective than chasing candles. MACRO CONTEXT AND CPI DATA The upcoming US CPI release during the North American session will be the main variable guiding Fed policy expectations, directly impacting USD and gold. Ahead of data risk, dovish expectations from the Fed are causing USD to lack strong upward momentum, but volatility may spike suddenly at the time of the news release, creating spikes and sweeping SL on both ends. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Do not open orders when the price is between zones and has not reached the exact levels of 4314–4317 or 4343–4346. Prioritize reducing volume before CPI or only maintain positions that are already profitable and manage tightly. Focus on observing price reactions at POC VAL and sell scalping zones, as these are decisive points for short-term direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD H1 Analysis Before Key NewsXAUUSD H1 Analysis Before Key News During the Asian-European session, gold is likely to move sideways awaiting news as the market enters a sensitive phase with data and political factors, amidst a clearly formed short-term downtrend structure. PRIORITY SCENARIO Trading strategy according to the current structure, prioritizing short-term sell and buy at lower liquidity zones. Main sell zone: around 4323, coinciding with the POC of the Volume Profile. Technical context: price is moving below the equilibrium zone, clear H1 downtrend structure; the POC area often acts as a "pullback to sell" price zone. Expected movement: early European session may see a pullback of about 40–50 points, then price returns to sideways movement and faces downward pressure again. Position management: Sell should only be held short-term and tightly managed when price reacts at 4323. If price surpasses POC and holds above this zone, risk should be reduced and avoid holding sell positions. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO Strategy to buy at lower liquidity zones, suitable for medium-term trading. Buy zone 1: around 4242, important VAH zone. Buy zone 2: around 4215, Buy Zone according to Volume Profile. Technical context: these are two price zones with high liquidity density, often attracting buying force when the market needs to rebalance after a decline. Expected movement: price sweeps liquidity below, creating a new accumulation base and seeking recovery opportunities. MAIN REASON On H1, a downtrend structure has formed after a distribution phase, indicating short-term advantage leans towards the sell side. Volume Profile clearly identifies POC 4323 as a reasonable pullback zone to sell, while 4242 and 4215 are price zones with high probability of buying reaction. Sideways scenario before news fits the market context awaiting important macroeconomic and political information. MACRO CONTEXT AND POLITICAL NEWS Political factors are strongly impacting the currency market, especially the USD. The US is said to have proposed a security guarantee mechanism for Ukraine similar to NATO's Article 5 to promote negotiations to end the conflict with Russia, although territorial issues have not yet reached consensus. These signals are putting weakening pressure on the USD, thereby continuing to support gold in the medium term. However, in the short term, strong volatility around news release time is something to be particularly noted. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Do not prioritize trading when price is between the equilibrium zone and has not reached important Volume Profile levels. Sell orders should only be considered short-term trades before news, avoiding holding through data release or important political speeches. Medium-term buy strategy will have more advantage if price reacts clearly at 4242 or deeper at 4215. Closely monitor USD fluctuations as current political news is the main driving factor.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Continuation Update | Buy Trade Progressing as PlannedAfter the earlier move and corrective phase, Gold once again respected the previous high → support zone, confirming that buyers were still defending structure. 🔹 Buy Trade Recap: Entry taken after structure held above support Price dipped close to SL, but never broke structure Liquidity was grabbed, weak hands shaken out Market respected demand and expanded upward 🎯 TP1 hit successfully Partial profits secured as planned. 🔹 Current Status: Buy position still active Targeting TP2 SL protected and trade managed This trade is a reminder: Markets don’t reward impatience. They reward those who trust their analysis and manage risk. Almost stopped out, yes — but structure stayed intact. And that’s all that matters. Patience is not passive. It’s a position. #XAUUSD #Gold #TradeManagement #SmartMoney #TradingView #ValhallaCore
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by VALHALLA-FX
NAS100 Preparing for Wave 3 Rally After Healthy PullbackThe NAS100 chart shows that a larger corrective move has likely finished at the (Y) / C low, after which price started a new upward impulsive structure. The recent decline looks like a normal Wave 2 pullback, which has already reacted from the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone, a common area for corrections to end. This suggests buyers are stepping back in and the market is preparing for Wave 3, which is usually the strongest upward move. As long as price stays above the invalidation level near 23,836, the bullish Elliott Wave setup remains valid. Overall, the structure favors further upside toward new highs once Wave 3 gains momentum. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Money_Dictators
XAUUSD H1 Analysis Based on Volume ProfileXAUUSD H1 Analysis Based on Volume Profile Gold is moving sideways and consolidating around the 4,300 USD/oz area. The short-term direction remains unconfirmed and requires clear reactions at key liquidity zones. PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN SCENARIO Medium-term trend-following buy strategy at price areas with Volume Profile advantage Primary buy zone: around 4284 based on VAL Technical context: this is the lower value area where buying interest is likely to appear as the market continues to consolidate Price expectation: price holds above VAL, absorbs short-term selling pressure, and gradually rotates back toward the upper balance area Position management: If price reacts positively and H1 candles hold above the 4284 level, a medium-term bullish bias in line with the main trend can be maintained. If price breaks clearly below VAL, caution is required and deeper reaction zones should be monitored. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY SCENARIO Deeper buy opportunity in the event of additional liquidity sweep Alternative buy zone: around 4242, based on the VAH of the previous value area Technical context: this area represents the upper value zone of the prior consolidation and may act as strong support during a deeper pullback Price expectation: downside liquidity sweep followed by a recovery, restoring market balance SELL SCENARIO – HIGH RISK Sell positions should only be considered as short-term trades, not a primary strategy Short-term sell zone: around 4378, based on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension Note: sells should only be considered if clear price rejection signals appear. Avoid holding short positions for extended periods while the broader trend remains bullish. KEY REASONS On the H1 timeframe, price is consolidating, indicating the market needs additional liquidity before confirming the next directional move Volume Profile clearly highlights high-probability trading zones, particularly VAL at 4284 and VAH at 4242 The 4378 level represents an extended resistance zone suitable for profit-taking or short-term countertrend sells MACRO CONTEXT AND MARKET SENTIMENT Gold continues to hold strong near the 4,300 USD/oz level, supported by expectations of continued monetary easing from the Federal Reserve and rising safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, silver has faced short-term profit-taking pressure after reaching record highs, reflecting a more cautious market tone. This week’s focus is on the US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Weak data may reinforce gold’s bullish trend, while strong data could trigger a short-term correction amid ongoing policy uncertainty within the Fed. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Avoid trading while price remains in the middle of the consolidation range and away from key Volume Profile levels. The medium-term buy strategy loses its edge if price breaks clearly below 4242 and fails to reclaim the level. Closely monitor volatility around the Nonfarm release, as sharp spikes and liquidity sweeps are highly likely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD H4 Medium Term Rising Channel and Key Liquidity ZonesXAUUSD H4 – Medium-Term Rising Channel and Key Liquidity Zones Gold reacted sharply after touching the trendline, with the primary focus next week on buying pullbacks in line with the dominant trend PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN STRATEGY Trend-following buy strategy on a corrective move into key support and liquidity areas Primary buy zone: 4175 – 4203 Technical context: this area represents a previously validated support zone and a clear pool of downside liquidity Price expectation: a corrective dip into support, absorption of selling pressure, followed by a potential rebound back toward the upper balance area Position management: If price shows a strong reaction and H4 candles hold above the support zone, maintaining a swing-long bias remains favoured. If price breaks decisively below support, risk should be reduced and deeper levels monitored. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY STRATEGY Deeper pullback buy opportunity near the lower trendline of the rising channel Alternative buy zone: near the lower boundary of the rising channel, aligned with long-term liquidity Technical context: this area acts as the last line of defence for the medium-term bullish structure and is suitable for longer-term positioning Price expectation: a deeper liquidity sweep followed by recovery, reaffirming the rising channel KEY TECHNICAL POINTS On the H4 timeframe, price continues to trade within a rising channel. The sharp 100-point drop after touching the upper trendline highlights profit-taking pressure at higher levels The 4175 area and the lower channel trendline remain the most important liquidity zones for trend-aligned buying Upper resistance and the FVG-liquidity zone are better suited for trade management rather than aggressive new longs MACRO AND MARKET CONTEXT Markets are reacting to growing expectations of a potential shift in future Federal Reserve leadership and policy direction. The probability of Kevin Warsh becoming the next Fed Chair has increased, alongside comments indicating a preference for significantly lower interest rates. Such expectations may remain supportive for gold in the medium term, although short-term technical corrections should still be respected after strong upside moves. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Avoid chasing price near the upper boundary of the rising channel. Any sell positions should be treated as short-term countertrend trades and only considered with clear rejection signals. The bullish scenario weakens if price breaks and fails to reclaim the rising channel structure. Remain alert to volatility around policy-related headlines and key economic data, as liquidity sweeps are likely.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
4
Gold Strengthening as Bullish Structure FormsOANDA:XAUUSD is beginning to present a noticeably stronger bullish tone as the underlying price structure shifts upward. The most recent market interaction is particularly noteworthy as an early recovery phase has emerged, bearish momentum has weakened, and a series of low-volume candles highlights clear seller exhaustion. These characteristics often signal the early stages of a new bullish movement. From the current structure, my upside target remains the 4,330 region, a logical and well-aligned level within this developing trend. If price continues to build on this momentum, the next leg could become a clean and convincing extension of the broader bullish narrative we have been following on Gold. This setup stands out as highly compelling. The story is unfolding, yet it still requires patience and a confirmed signal to validate the upward potential. Although a deeper pullback cannot be completely ruled out due to the defined support zone below, I continue to favor bullish continuation as the forming structure clearly supports the upside scenario. Wishing you a strong and profitable trading session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
1
Gold’s Next Move: 4,350 Within Reach – Are You Ready?Hello everyone, it's Luiss_Miguel here! Gold is looking pretty interesting right now. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price has shot up. But guess what? Right now, it's slightly pulling back, moving in the opposite direction to the previous uptrend, which looks like a familiar bullish flag pattern. In this case, there’s only one scenario that could play out, and when the price breaks out from the top of the bullish flag, it’s usually a buy signal, and the price could continue to rise. My target is 4,350. Do you agree? Leave a comment below. Joining the TradingView community is always helpful to improve and develop your trading skills.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
XAUUSD H1 Volume Profile and Key Price AreasXAUUSD H1 – Volume Profile and Key Price Areas Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with the primary strategy focused on buying pullbacks PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN STRATEGY Buy-the-dip approach aligned with the dominant trend using Volume Profile levels Expected buy zone: around 4253 based on VAH Short-term range to monitor: 4263 – 4285 Price expectation: rebound from VAH toward the upper range before further expansion Position management: If price holds above the 4263 area and shows clear bullish reaction, maintaining long exposure remains favorable. If price is strongly rejected near 4285, risk should be reduced as this zone represents an important short-term resistance. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY SETUP Short-term countertrend opportunity at an extended resistance level Sell zone for the alternative scenario: around 4310 at the Fibonacci extension This setup is only considered if clear rejection signals appear at the level KEY REASONS The bullish structure on the H1 timeframe remains intact Volume Profile highlights the VAH near 4253 as a high-probability reaction zone The 4310 area represents an extended resistance suitable for profit-taking or short-term pullback reactions MACRO CONTEXT The Federal Reserve continues its rate-cutting cycle and maintains a dovish stance, putting pressure on the US dollar and supporting gold prices. Geopolitical tensions and concerns about US economic slowdown further reinforce safe-haven demand. Markets are now focused on the upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls report, where weaker data could drive further upside, while stronger data may trigger a short-term correction. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Avoid chasing price while gold trades within the 4263 – 4285 range. The bullish scenario becomes invalid if price breaks clearly below the support area beneath the VAH. Expect increased volatility around major economic data releases and manage exposure accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital